DLH Holdings (DLHC) – A More Flexible Credit Facility


Thursday, November 14, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Credit Facility and CMOP Update. Yesterday, DLH announced the Company has amended its credit facility with lenders to modify the borrowing capacity of the facility itself and the financial covenants of the agreement. The credit facility’s maximum capacity is reduced from $70 million to $50 million with the amendment, although no changes were made to the maturity or pricing terms. We would point out that DLH also is expected to transition a portion of its CMOP locations to set-aside, small business contractors, although no further details were given.

Financial Covenants. As for the financial covenants of the agreement, the two that are specifically being changed are the Total Leverage ratio and Fixed Charge Coverage ratio. Importantly, the amendment increases the maximum threshold of the Total Leverage Ratio, with the most recent being to 4.5 to 1.0 in the first quarter next year from a prior 4.25 to 1.00. As for the Fixed Charge Coverage ratio, the minimum threshold is being lowered with the most recent staying the same at less than to 1.25 to 1.00 in the first quarter next year but lowering in subsequent quarters. While the reduction of the capacity of the facility is not ideal, we believe the changes to the covenants provides DLH flexibility in anticipation of the Company’s CMOP locations being moved to small businesses, impacting performance.


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DLH Holdings (DLHC) – New Contract Award


Wednesday, November 06, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Award. DLH has been awarded a contract to support the Naval Information Warfare Center Atlantic’s (“NIWC Atlantic”) Tactical Networks. NIWC Atlantic conducts research, development, and engineering to bolster integrated information warfare capabilities, with an emphasis on Enterprise IT systems.

Details. The award has a total value of approximately $76 million, comprised of $61 million in initial firm value and $15 million in optional services. The contract term includes up to a five-year period of performance. As the prime contractor, DLH will perform In-Service Engineering Agent and Integrated Logistics Support services. DLH’s work will support the missions of several C5ISR program offices and systems including PEO-C4I, PMW-160, NAVWAR, NAVSEA, and others.


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Release – DLH to Provide Critical Systems Engineering and Integrated Logistics Services for Navy C5ISR Systems

ATLANTA, Nov. 05, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: DLHC) (“DLH” or the “Company”), a leading provider of digital transformation and cybersecurity, science research and development, and systems engineering and integration, today announced that it has been awarded a contract to support the Naval Information Warfare Center Atlantic’s (“NIWC Atlantic”) Tactical Networks. NIWC Atlantic conducts research, development, and engineering to bolster integrated information warfare capabilities, with an emphasis on Enterprise IT systems. The award has a total value of approximately $76 million, comprised of $61 million in initial firm value and $15 million in optional services. The contract term includes up to a five-year period of performance.

“Our two-plus decades of experience enhancing the health and systems readiness of the fleet, service members, and public through innovative applications of emerging tools and industry-leading subject matter experts allows us to create differentiated solutions on behalf of our clients’ vital missions,” said Zach Parker, DLH President and CEO. “This contract win will bolster our engineering, IT, and Cyber portfolio as we continue to deliver on our transformation and growth-focused strategy.”

As the prime contractor, DLH will perform In-Service Engineering Agent and Integrated Logistics Support services. ​This work will support the missions of several Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (C5ISR) program offices and systems including PEO-C4I, PMW-160, NAVWAR, NAVSEA, and others.

“We are excited to expand our cutting-edge systems engineering, integration, and logistics capabilities through our long-standing partnership with the Naval and the C5ISR communities,” said Billy Burnett, President of DLH’s National Security Program Operations Center.

About DLH

DLH (NASDAQ:DLHC), a Russell 2000 company, delivers improved health and national security readiness solutions for federal programs through science research and development, systems engineering and integration, and digital transformation. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,800 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to innovation to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

This press release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events or DLH`s future financial performance. Any statements that refer to expectations, projections or other characterizations of future events or circumstances or that are not statements of historical fact (including without limitation statements to the effect that the Company or its management “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “intends” and similar expressions) should be considered forward looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events or DLH’s actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this release include, among others, statements regarding estimates of future revenues, operating income, earnings and cash flow. These statements reflect our belief and assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate. Our actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements made in this release due to a variety of factors, including: the risk that we will not realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions (including anticipated future financial performance and results); the diversion of management’s attention from normal daily operations of the business and the challenges of managing larger and more widespread operations; the inability to retain employees and customers; contract awards in connection with re-competes for present business and/or competition for new business; our ability to manage our debt obligations; compliance with bank financial and other covenants; changes in client budgetary priorities; government contract procurement (such as bid and award protests, small business set asides, loss of work due to organizational conflicts of interest, etc.) and termination risks; the impact of inflation and higher interest rates; and other risks described in our SEC filings. For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see “Risk Factors” in the Company’s periodic reports filed with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2023, as well as subsequent reports filed thereafter. The forward-looking statements contained herein are not historical facts, but rather are based on current expectations, estimates, assumptions and projections about our industry and business.

Such forward-looking statements are made as of the date hereof and may become outdated over time. The Company does not assume any responsibility for updating forward-looking statements, except as may be required by law.

INVESTOR RELATIONS

Contact: Chris Witty

Phone: 646-438-9385

Email: cwitty@darrowir.com

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Tempering Our Expectations; Rating Remains an Outperform


Friday, October 11, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $343.0 million and $4.95, respectively, from $350.3 million and $5.00. Our estimates reflect seasonality in the second half of the year. Our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates have been reduced to $361.2 million and $5.45, respectively, from $366.8 million and $5.70. Our 2026 estimates reflect a slower ramp in revenue from the new facility under construction in Washington, Missouri.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Second Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations


Thursday, October 10, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. For the fiscal year (FY) 2025, AZZ reported second quarter adjusted net income of $41.3 million or $1.37 per share compared to $37.2 million or $1.27 per share during the prior year period and our estimate of $40.8 million or $1.35 per share. Adjusted EBITDA increased 4.4% to $91.9 million, roughly in line with our estimate, representing 22.5% of sales versus 22.1% of sales during the second quarter of FY 2024. While sales of $409.0 million were modestly below our $410.5 million estimate, AZZ generated a 25.3% gross margin as a percentage of sales compared to 24.4% during the prior year period and our estimate of 24.4%. AZZ maintained its FY 2025 sales guidance range of $1.525 billion to $1.625 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $320 million (from $310 million) to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $4.70 to $5.10 from $4.50 to $5.00.

Debt reduction. During the first half of FY25, AZZ generated operating cash flow of $119.4 million and reduced debt by $45 million. Management expects to reduce debt by at least $100 million during the fiscal year compared to prior expectations of $60 million to $90 million. At quarter end, the company’s net leverage was 2.7x trailing twelve months EBITDA and cash and cash equivalents amounted to $2.2 million.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Highlights from the Noble Virtual Basic Industries Equity Conference.


Thursday, September 26, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New manufacturing facility is on schedule and on budget. AZZ Inc. participated in Noble’s Virtual Basic Industries Conference on September 25. AZZ is the leading independent provider of hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets. With AZZ Precoat Metals’ new manufacturing facility in Washington, Missouri expected to be completed in fiscal year 2025, we expect the facility to contribute to top-line growth in fiscal year 2026 while capital expenditures decline. Approximately 75% of the facility’s production is already committed that we estimate could generate approximately $50 million to $60 million in revenue. A link to the presentation replay is here.

Declining debt balance and cost of capital. Based on the company’s strong first quarter fiscal year 2025 results and outlook, we have assumed AZZ will pay down $90 million of debt this fiscal year, or at the high end of the guidance range. On September 24, AZZ executed a fourth amendment to its existing credit agreement and reduced the interest rate of the Term Loan B by 75 basis points to the Adjusted Term Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plus 250 basis points.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Upgrading to Outperform Based on Strengthening Cash Flow Profile and Outlook


Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Upgrading our rating to Outperform. We have raised our investment rating to Outperform based on an increasingly favorable cash flow growth profile. With the new greenfield plant construction in Washington, Missouri expected to be completed in fiscal year 2025, we expect the facility to contribute to top-line growth while capital expenditures associated with organic growth initiatives could decline in fiscal year 2026. Once its effort to deleverage the balance sheet is complete, we think AZZ could more aggressively pursue acquisitions to enable the company to expand geographically and broaden its product and service offerings.

New manufacturing facility in Washington, Missouri. AZZ Precoat Metals’ new 250,000 square foot manufacturing facility is expected to contribute to earnings beginning in fiscal year 2026. Approximately 75% of the facility’s production is already committed that we estimate could generate approximately $60 million in revenue. We expect EBITDA margins to be at the high end of the company’s stated 17% to 22% range for the precoat metals segment.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – In a Better Environment


Friday, May 03, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Government Budgets. With the budgets for the 2024 fiscal year passed, DLH is prepared to capitalize on the expected increased bidding environment, in our view. The Company has roughly $500 million in outstanding bids, and we expect to see awards to be announced throughout the fiscal year.

Increasing Cash Flow. The Company generated $10.3 million in cash from operations year-to-date, above 2023’s cash generation of $6.9 million. The result is from an improvement in the Company’s Day Sales Outstanding, which improved to 50 days from 61 days last year. Improved cash collections corresponds to quicker debt reduction, in our view.


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DLH Holdings (DLHC) – A Look into the Second Quarter


Thursday, May 02, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Past the Continuing Resolution. With the Continuing Resolution in the rear view mirror and building momentum in government decision making, DLH is positioned to realize any opportunities for awards throughout 2024, in our view. With the more positive environment, DLH already experienced an increase in its backlog, up $80 million sequentially, and we believe there is still more to come.

2Q Results. Revenue for the second quarter was $101.0 million, an increase from $99.4 million last year and above our estimate of $99 million. Net income totaled $1.8 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, versus $0.8 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, for 2Q23 and in-line with our estimate. EBITDA for 2Q24 was approximately $10.2 million versus $10.5 million in the prior year, or a margin of 10.1% and 10.5%, respectively, slightly below our $11.3 million projection.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Fiscal 2024 4Q and year results meet expectations


Tuesday, April 23, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seasonal decline was less due to warm weather. Precoat Metals reported strong results as construction sale benefitted from warm weather. Appliance sales were also strong.

Margins continue to improve steadily as increased sales are spread over fixed costs. Consolidated margins dipped slightly with the shift towards lower-margin Precoat Metal sales, but the overall trend continues to rise.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – AZZ raises guidance. We raised our numbers two weeks ago.


Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AZZ raised its FY 2025 guidance. Management increased its estimated sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted diluted EPS by 15-20%. The increase incorporates a $4.5-$5.0 million reduction in financing costs due to the repricing of AZZ’s Term Loan B. It also reflects an expected improvement in results from AZZ’s partially spun off AIS division (40% owned and treated as other income). Management expects $15-$18 million of other income in FY 2025, up from the $13 million we have assumed for FY 2024 (reporting 4/22).

AIS growth reflects increased activity in the Electrical Infrastructure business units. Increased use of data centers, electric grid improvements, and general growth in manufacturing is leading to increased sales. We view higher results as sustainable and have raised our other income estimate for the years beyond FY 2025..


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Another CMOP Update


Tuesday, March 26, 2024

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More Changes? The Veterans Administration appears to be making more changes to the Consolidated Mail Outpatient Pharmacy contract process. The procurements were set-aside for a service-disabled veteran owned small business as the prime contractor with each of the eight procurements being evaluated separately for 5-year contracts. On March 14th, the VA issued a notice for services for durations of up to three months.

Background. In an extended process, the VA is again seeking to complete a re-bid and award of the CMOP contracts. In January 2023 DLH and other parties submitted bids for the eight separately competed procurements pertaining to the program. Recall, DLH has operated under a series of “bridge” contracts since 2016. Most recently, the VA extended these contracts through April 30, 2024.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Stock due for a pause after recent strength, rating lowered


Friday, March 22, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We are lowering our rating on the shares of AZZ to Market Perform with the stock solidly above our price target. The shares of AZZ have risen sharply in recent months and now trade above our $75 price target. At current prices, the shares trade at 16 times our recently raised fiscal 2025 earnings estimate, a multiple similar to its peers. Our investment premise for the shares of AZZ had been that its multiples would expand as the company’s balance sheet improved. This has largely come true.

A Market Perform rating does not mean we think the stock wont continue to rise. The company continues to report favorable results and lay the foundation for future growth. Construction of a new factory is nearing completion and financing costs are decreasing. A recent debt refinancing is expected to reduce financing costs by $5 million allowing us to raise our fiscal 2025 earnings estimate. With sales growing at a 3-5% rate and margins rising with a shift towards AZZ’s Metal Coating business, we expect solid earnings growth over the next few years.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.