Release – Cesar Millan Partners with Xcel Brands to Launch Next-Level Pet Brand

Research News and Market Data on XELB

March 24, 2025 at 8:00 AM EDT

PDF Version

NEW YORK, March 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Xcel Brands (NASDAQ: XELB), an industry leading media and consumer products company specializing in building influencer-driven brands through social commerce and livestreaming, is partnering with renowned dog behaviorist, New York Times best-selling author, and global television star Cesar Millan to launch an innovative pet brand, “Trust-Respect-Love by Cesar Millan,” that will redefine the pet industry. Spanning multiple pet categories, this new brand will introduce a collection of high-quality, purpose-driven products designed and developed in collaboration with Cesar Millan to enhance the bond between pets and their owners through trust, respect, and love.

Cesar Millan brings over two decades of experience to this exciting new venture. The brand will feature premium pet essentials, including toys, training tools, and accessories. Every product reflects Cesar’s core values of trust, respect, and love—offering solutions that are both functional and deeply aligned with the principles of balanced relationships between dogs and humans.

By combining Cesar’s expertise in canine psychology with Xcel Brands’ proven success in brand building, licensing, content creation, and social commerce, Xcel Brands is creating a transformative pet brand that delivers innovation, quality, and education to pet owners worldwide.

“We are thrilled to partner with Cesar Millan to launch this brand. His unparalleled expertise, deep connection with pet owners, and global influence align perfectly with Xcel’s vision of creating innovative, lifestyle-driven consumer brands,” stated Robert W. D’Loren, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Xcel Brands. “This collaboration brings us one step closer to our goal of reaching over 100 million social followers across our brand portfolio, reinforcing our commitment to transforming how consumers engage with the brands they love.”

With over 21 million loyal followers across social media and a presence in more than 120+ countries through his hit TV series, Cesar Millan is uniquely positioned to lead the next wave of pet care innovation. With Cesar’s heritage and global influence, the brand will uniquely resonate with both English and Spanish-speaking markets, fostering inclusivity and connection.

I am looking forward to this collaboration with Xcel and can’t wait to share “Trust-Respect-Love by Cesar Millan” with dog lovers everywhere; to offer our philosophy and guidance to them, and lead humans and their pets into the beautiful discovery of balance and nurture,” expressed Millan.

The new brand, “Trust-Respect-Love by Cesar Millan,” will also serve as an educational platform, combining top-tier products with expert guidance helping pet owners nurture balanced, happy pets. With the expanding pet industry, this partnership is strategically positioned to set new trends and create an engaging community of pet owners. As part of its anticipated debut, Xcel will be showcasing the brand at Global Pet Expo, the pet industry’s premier event on March 26 – 28, 2025. The brand is set to launch in Spring 2026, with availability through select retailers, e-commerce platforms, and live-stream shopping. Stay updated on this exciting journey at www.xcelbrands.com.

About Xcel Brands
Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) is a media and consumer products company engaged in the design, licensing, marketing, live streaming, and social commerce sales of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods and other consumer products, and the acquisition of dynamic consumer lifestyle brands. Xcel was founded in 2011 with a vision to reimagine shopping, entertainment, and social media as social commerce. Xcel owns the Halston, Judith Ripka, and C. Wonder brands, as well as the Tower Hill by Christie Brinkley co-branded collaboration, and holds noncontrolling interests in the Isaac Mizrahi brand and Orme Live. Xcel also owns and manages the Longaberger brand through its controlling interest in Longaberger Licensing LLC. Xcel has recently announced the launch of new pet brand, Trust-Respect-Love by Cesar Millan. Xcel is pioneering a true modern consumer products sales strategy which includes the promotion and sale of products under its brands through interactive television, digital live-stream shopping, social commerce, brick-and-mortar retail, and e-commerce channels to be everywhere its customers shop. The company’s brands have generated in excess of $5 billion in retail sales via livestreaming in interactive television and digital channels alone, growing social media presence of 27+ million followers across their brand profile and talent, and over 20,000 hours of livestream content production time and social commerce. Headquartered in New York City, Xcel Brands is led by an executive team with significant live streaming, production, merchandising, design, marketing, retailing, and licensing experience, and a proven track record of success in elevating branded consumer products companies. www.xcelbrands.com

About Cesar Millan
Cesar Millan is a world-renowned dog behaviorist with over 25 years of experience transforming relationships between humans and their dogs. From his original hit TV series, the Dog Whisperer, to his most recent TV series Better Human, Better Dog, to his best-selling books and iconic workshops, Cesar has become a trusted guide for millions of dog lovers worldwide. With a social media following of over 21 million people and a legacy that spans two decades on U.S. television, Cesar’s influence extends far and wide. Trusted by celebrities, world leaders, and first-time pet owners alike, Cesar is committed to helping you achieve lasting harmony with your dog. Cesar moves forward in his journey with purpose and you can follow this journey at www.cesarmillan.com.

For further information please contact:
Seth Burroughs
Xcel Brands
sburroughs@xcelbrands.com

Blanca Lassalle
Publicity Contact for Cesar Millan
blanca@creativelinkny.com

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Source: Xcel Brands, Inc

Release – Xcel Brands Announces Reverse Stock Split

Research News and Market Data on XELB

March 21, 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT

PDF Version 1-for-10 reverse stock split to become effective as of the opening of trading on March 25, 2025

NEW YORK, March 21, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) (“Xcel Brands” or the “Company”), a media and consumer products company with significant expertise in livestream shopping and social commerce, today announced that it will effect a 1-for-10 reverse stock split (the “Reverse Stock Split”) of its issued and outstanding common stock par value $0.001 per share (the “Common Stock”), effective with the opening of trading on March 25, 2025.

Xcel Brands’ Common Stock will continue to trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market (“Nasdaq”) under the symbol “XELB”. The new CUSIP number for the Common Stock following the Reverse Stock Split will be 98400M200.

The material effects of the Reverse Stock Split are for every ten shares (the “Reverse Stock Split Number”) of Xcel Brands’ issued and outstanding Common Stock have been combined into one (1) share of Common Stock. The ownership percentage of each Xcel Brands stockholder will remain unchanged, other than as a result of fractional shares. No fractional shares of Common Stock will be issued in connection with the Reverse Stock Split. Instead, stockholders who otherwise would have been entitled to receive fractional shares were entitled to receive a cash payment (without interest and subject to applicable withholding taxes) in lieu of such fractional shares equal to the fraction of a share of common stock to which such stockholder would otherwise be entitled multiplied by (i) the closing price per share of the common stock on the Nasdaq Capital Market at the close of business on the trading day preceding the date of the Certificate of Amendment, multiplied by (ii) the Reverse Stock Split Number.

The shares of Common Stock underlying the Company’s outstanding stock options and warrants will be proportionately adjusted along with corresponding adjustments to their exercise prices.
  
At the special meeting of stockholders held on March 12, 2025, the stockholders of the Company approved a proposal to authorize the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) to file a Certificate of Amendment to effect the Reverse Stock Split at a ratio between 1-for-2 and 1-for-10, as determined by the Chairman of the Board in his sole discretion.

The combination of, and reduction in, the number of issued shares of Common Stock as a result of the Reverse Stock Split will occur automatically on March 25, 2025, without any additional action on the part of Xcel Brands’ stockholders. The Company’s transfer agent, Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company, is the exchange agent for the Reverse Stock Split and will correspond with stockholders of record regarding the Reverse Stock Split. Stockholders owning shares via a broker or other nominee will have their positions automatically adjusted to reflect the Reverse Stock Split.

Among other considerations, the Reverse Stock Split is intended to assist in bringing Xcel Brands into compliance with the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement for maintaining the listing of its Common Stock on the Nasdaq Capital Market.

Additional information regarding the Reverse Stock Split can be found in the Company’s Definitive Proxy Statement on Schedule 14A, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 14, 2025. A link to this document is available at https://www.sec.gov and on Xcel Brands’ website at https://www.xcelbrands.com/pages/sec-filings.

For more information about Xcel Brands, visit www.xcelbrands.com. Information on the Company’s website does not constitute a part of and is not incorporated by reference into this press release.

About Xcel Brands

Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) is a media and consumer products company engaged in the design, licensing, marketing, live streaming, and social commerce sales of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods and other consumer products, and the acquisition of dynamic consumer lifestyle brands. Xcel was founded in 2011 with a vision to reimagine shopping, entertainment, and social media as social commerce. Xcel owns the Halston, Judith Ripka, and C. Wonder brands, as well as the Tower Hill by Christie Brinkley co-branded collaboration, and holds noncontrolling interests in the Isaac Mizrahi brand and Orme Live. Xcel also owns and manages the Longaberger brand through its controlling interest in Longaberger Licensing LLC. Xcel is pioneering a true modern consumer products sales strategy which includes the promotion and sale of products under its brands through interactive television, digital live-stream shopping, social commerce, brick-and-mortar retail, and e-commerce channels to be everywhere its customers shop. The company’s brands have generated in excess of $5 billion in retail sales via livestreaming in interactive television and digital channels alone, and over 20,000 hours of live-stream and social commerce. Headquartered in New York City, Xcel Brands is led by an executive team with significant live streaming, production, merchandising, design, marketing, retailing, and licensing experience, and a proven track record of success in elevating branded consumer products companies.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this press release, including statements regarding future events, our future financial performance, business strategy and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. We have attempted to identify forward-looking statements by terminology including “anticipates,” “believes,” “can,” “continue,” “ongoing,” “could,” “estimates,” “expects,” “intends,” “may,” “appears,” “suggests,” “future,” “likely,” “goal,” “plans,” “potential,” “projects,” “predicts,” “seeks,” “should,” “would,” “guidance,” “confident” or “will” or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our anticipated revenue, expenses, profitability, strategic plans and capital needs. These statements are based on information available to us on the date hereof and our current expectations, estimates and projections and are not guarantees of future performance. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, including, without limitation, the risks discussed in the “Risk Factors” section and elsewhere in the Company’s Annual Report on form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 and its other filings with the SEC, which may cause our or our industry’s actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Moreover, we operate in a very competitive and rapidly changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all risk factors, nor can we address the impact of all factors on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Except as expressly required by the federal securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or any other reason.

For further information please contact:

Seth Burroughs
Xcel Brands
sburroughs@xcelbrands.com

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Source: Xcel Brands, Inc

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS) – A Largely Self Inflicted Miss


Friday, January 31, 2025

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fiscal Q2 Results. The company reported fiscal Q2 revenue and adj. EBITDA of $775.5 million and $116.3 million, both of which were lower than our estimates of $801.1 million and $124.7 million, respectively. Notably, an order management system (OMS) that was implemented in Q2 for Harry & David faced issues with complicated orders during periods of high volume. The OMS issue, which was resolved in the quarter, resulted in roughly $20 million of lost revenue and is largely to blame for the downside variance.

Strategic initiatives. Importantly, the company remains focused on reducing costs through increased automation, increasing investments in sales and marketing, and broadening its product offerings for its price-sensitive customers. Notably, management highlighted that the savings from its cost reduction efforts will largely fund its increased investment in sales and marketing in an effort to broaden its customer base.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – P180 Acquires Sun Capital’s Majority Stake in Vince Holding Corp.

Research News and Market Data on VNCE

01/22/2025

Vince Holding Corp. Significantly Reduces Debt

Brendan Hoffman Expected to Become CEO of Vince Holding Corp.

NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Vince Holding Corp., (NYSE: VNCE) (“VNCE” or the “Company”), a global contemporary retailer, today announced that P180, a new venture focused on accelerating growth and profitability in the luxury apparel sector, acquired a majority stake in VNCE (the “P180 Acquisition”) from affiliates of Sun Capital Partners, Inc. (collectively, “Sun Capital”).

In conjunction with the P180 Acquisition, Brendan Hoffman is expected to assume the role of Chief Executive Officer of VNCE effective on or around February 3, 2025, subject to finalization of his employment terms. With this transition, David Stefko is expected to step down as Interim CEO of VNCE and continue to serve on the VNCE Board of Directors. In addition, Matthew Garff resigned from the VNCE Board of Directors in connection with the P180 Acquisition.

“VNCE is the perfect partner for P180; the brand’s dominance in the luxury contemporary market aligns seamlessly with our acquisition strategy. In addition, as VNCE has evolved its operating model, we believe having access to the technology and team of CaaStle, founded by Christine Hunsicker, my co-founder at P180, will further advance the company’s momentum in driving improved profitability while enhancing its omni-channel experience.” Mr. Hoffman added, “Personally, I have a strong connection to the Vince brand, having served as VNCE CEO for five years. I am excited to lead the team again as we continue to unlock new growth opportunities, drive innovation, enhance the brand’s market position, and focus on monetizing the Company’s inventory to ensure continued long-term success.”

“P180’s acquisition represents a transformative opportunity for VNCE. With this transaction, we will gain the operational expertise and cutting-edge digital capabilities needed to drive the brand’s future success,” commented Michael Mardy, Chairman of VNCE. “On behalf of the Board and the organization, I would also like to thank Dave for stepping into the interim CEO role for the past year. Through his leadership, the company has continued to execute and deliver results by operating a healthier full price model. We are glad to have Dave remain on the Board and are excited to welcome Brendan back to lead the organization into its next chapter.”

This acquisition marks the third strategic deal for P180 since its inception in 2024 and follows its recent investment with the prestigious fashion label Altuzarra and digital partnership with the multi-brand premium retailer elysewalker.

VNCE Significantly Reduces Debt

Simultaneously with the P180 Acquisition, an indirectly wholly owned subsidiary of VNCE, V Opco, LLC (“V Opco”), amended its existing credit agreement (the “ABL Credit Facility”) with Bank of America, N.A. (“BofA”). The amendment consents to, among other things, the change in control in connection with the P180 Acquisition, as well as a partial pay down of the subordinated debt (“Sun Debt Facility”) with SK Financial Services, LLC, an affiliate of Sun Capital, through increased borrowings under the ABL Credit Facility. On the same day, V Opco paid $15 million to SK Financial Services, LLC using proceeds from the ABL Credit Facility, which resulted in a pay-down of $20 million under the Sun Debt Facility (the “Sun Debt Paydown”).

In addition, P-180 acquired and assumed $7 million of the loans (the “P-180 Assumed Loan”) outstanding pursuant to the Sun Debt Facility and immediately thereafter cancelled such $7 million (the “P-180 Debt Forgiveness”).

Following the Sun Debt Paydown and P-180 Debt Forgiveness, the outstanding principal amount of subordinated loans is reduced by approximately $27 million with $7.5 million remaining outstanding under the Sun Debt Facility, which will continue to accrue payment-in-kind interest in accordance with, and otherwise be subject to, the terms and conditions therein.

Immediately following the P-180 Acquisition, P180 beneficially owned approximately 65% of all outstanding shares of common stock of VNCE and affiliates of Sun Capital continue to beneficially own approximately 2% of the Company’s outstanding common stock.

As part of the terms to the transactions described above, P-180 agreed to reimburse the Company for certain fees and expenses incurred in connection with such transactions, including the Company’s legal fees as well as the consent fee to BofA.

About P180:

P180, a new venture co-founded by Christine Hunsicker (founder and CEO of CaaStle, Inc.) and Brendan Hoffman, is dedicated to driving brand and retailer profitability by providing operational expertise and access to leading industry resources, including CaaStle’s innovative monetization platform. P180’s core mission is to invest in or acquire brands and retailers that stand to benefit from digital expertise and inventory monetization.

About VNCE:

Vince Holding Corp. is a global retail company that operates the Vince brand women’s and men’s ready to wear business. Vince, established in 2002, is a leading global luxury apparel and accessories brand best known for creating elevated yet understated pieces for every day effortless style. Vince Holding Corp. operates 47 full-price retail stores, 14 outlet stores, and its e-commerce site, vince.com and through its subscription service Vince Unfold, www.vinceunfold.com, operated by CaaStle, as well as through premium wholesale channels globally. Please visit www.vince.com for more information.

Forward-Looking Statements: This document contains forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding, among other things, our planned transformation program and our current expectations about possible or assumed future results of operations of the Company and are indicated by words or phrases such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “believe,” “expect,” “seek,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “plan,” “target,” “project,” “forecast,” “envision” and other similar phrases. Although we believe the assumptions and expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these assumptions and expectations may not prove to be correct and we may not achieve the results or benefits anticipated. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of actual results, and our actual results may differ materially from those suggested in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, including, without limitation: our ability to successfully manage the transition of VNCE majority ownership to P180 and to execute P180’s strategies for the Company; our ability to execute and realize the enhanced profitability expectations of our planned transformation program; our ability to maintain the license agreement with ABG Vince, a subsidiary of Authentic Brands Group; ABG Vince’s expansion of the Vince brand into other categories and territories; ABG Vince’s approval rights and other actions; our ability to maintain adequate cash flow from operations or availability under our revolving credit facility to meet our liquidity needs; our ability to realize the benefits of our strategic initiatives; general economic conditions; further impairment of our goodwill; the execution and management of our direct-to-consumer business growth plans; our ability to make lease payments when due; our ability to maintain our larger wholesale partners; our ability to remediate the identified material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting; our ability to comply with domestic and international laws, regulations and orders; our ability to anticipate and/or react to changes in customer demand and attract new customers, including in connection with making inventory commitments; our ability to remain competitive in the areas of merchandise quality, price, breadth of selection and customer service; our ability to attract and retain key personnel; seasonal and quarterly variations in our revenue and income; our ability to mitigate system security risk issues, such as cyber or malware attacks, as well as other major system failures; our ability to optimize our systems, processes and functions; our ability to comply with privacy-related obligations; our ability to ensure the proper operation of the distribution facilities by third-party logistics providers; fluctuations in the price, availability and quality of raw materials; commodity, raw material and other cost increases; the extent of our foreign sourcing; our reliance on independent manufacturers; other tax matters; and other factors as set forth from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including those described under “Item 1A—Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. We intend these forward-looking statements to speak only as of the time of this release and do not undertake to update or revise them as more information becomes available, except as required by law.

This press release is also available on the Vince Holding Corp. website (http://investors.vince.com/).

VNCE Investor Relations Contact:
Caitlin Churchill
ICR, Inc.
Caitlin.Churchill@icrinc.com

P180 Media Contacts:
Jacqueline Renaud
Vice President
Lividini & Co.
Jacqueline@lividini.com

Morgan Tanacea
Senior Director
Lividini & Co.
Morgan@lividini.com

Source: Vince Holding Corp.

Credit Card Debt Hits Record Levels Amid Holiday Spending Surge

Key Points:
– U.S. holiday spending in 2024 is projected to reach nearly $1 trillion, driven by wage growth and consumer demand.
– Over one-third of Americans incurred debt this holiday season, with an average balance of $1,181.
– Credit card interest rates remain above 20%, making it crucial to pay off balances quickly to avoid long-term financial strain.

As the holiday season winds down, American consumers are grappling with the financial aftermath of record-breaking spending. Fueled by strong consumer demand and elevated prices, holiday expenditures are set to reach historic levels. However, this surge in spending has coincided with a sharp rise in credit card debt, painting a mixed picture of financial resilience and vulnerability.

According to the National Retail Federation (NRF), U.S. holiday spending for the 2024 season is projected to hit between $979.5 billion and $989 billion. These numbers reflect robust consumer activity from November 1 through December 31, buoyed by wage growth, modest inflation, and healthy household balance sheets.

Jack Kleinhenz, the NRF’s chief economist, commented that these factors have “led to solid holiday spending.” Despite economic uncertainties, consumers have shown remarkable willingness to shop for gifts, experiences, and celebrations.

This holiday season, however, many Americans have leaned heavily on credit cards to fund their purchases. A LendingTree survey revealed that 36% of shoppers took on debt during the season, with the average amount owed climbing to $1,181, up from $1,028 last year.

Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst at LendingTree, pointed to inflation as a key driver behind this trend, saying, “Prices are still really high, and that means lots of Americans simply didn’t have any choice.” For many, the combination of rising costs and the desire to maintain holiday traditions has outweighed concerns about accumulating debt.

Even before the holiday shopping frenzy, credit card debt in the U.S. was at an all-time high. Data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shows that balances were 8.1% higher year-over-year heading into the season. Compounding this issue, a NerdWallet report found that 28% of consumers had not fully paid off the credit card debt incurred during last year’s holiday season.

While some see increased spending as a sign of consumer confidence, the costs associated with credit card borrowing remain a significant concern. Interest rates on credit cards now average more than 20%, with some retail card rates climbing even higher.

For those unable to pay off their balances quickly, the financial repercussions can be steep. LendingTree’s survey indicated that 21% of those with holiday debt expect it to take five months or longer to pay off. This extended timeline can lead to ballooning interest charges, diminishing consumers’ ability to save or meet other financial goals.

Schulz warns, “High-interest debt means less money to put towards building an emergency fund, saving for college, or even covering basic expenses. In extreme cases, it can lead to financial insecurity.”

As the new year approaches, financial experts urge consumers to prioritize paying down holiday debt as quickly as possible. Strategies such as creating a repayment plan, consolidating debt, or transferring balances to a lower-interest option can help mitigate the impact of high interest rates.

While the 2024 holiday season may have been a record-setter in terms of spending, its legacy will likely serve as a cautionary tale about the dangers of relying too heavily on credit in an era of rising costs.

Xcel Brands (XELB) – A Noisy Quarter, But In Line With Expectations


Friday, December 27, 2024

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 Results. The company reported Q3 revenue and adj. EBITDA of $1.9 million and a loss of $1.0 million, respectively, both of which were largely in line with our forecast, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. Notably, the quarter was impacted by Hurricanes, which led to canceled shows and delayed sales, resulting in roughly $500,000 of lost revenue. Importantly, we believe the company’s long term growth outlook remains favorable.

Looking past the Noise. In Q3, the company recorded a non-cash charge of $6.3 million, which is related to its equity interest in Isaac Mizrahi. The write-down anticipates that the company may not meet the minimum royalty threshold in 2025, which would result in a decrease in its ownership interest in Isaac Mizrahi from 30% to 17.5%.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Nordstrom Family to Take Retail Giant Private in $6.25 Billion Deal

Key Points:
– Nordstrom will go private in a $6.25 billion deal, with shareholders receiving $24.25 per share in cash.
– The Nordstrom family will hold a 50.1% stake, with Mexican retailer Liverpool owning 49.9%.
– The privatization aims to revitalize Nordstrom’s operations away from public market pressures.

Nordstrom Inc., the iconic department store chain, is set to go private in a landmark $6.25 billion deal spearheaded by its founding family. This strategic move is designed to provide the company with greater flexibility away from the pressures of the public market, enabling it to address evolving retail challenges more effectively.

Under the terms of the agreement, Nordstrom shareholders will receive $24.25 per share in cash, reflecting a significant valuation for the company. The transaction, expected to close in the first half of 2025, will leave the Nordstrom family with a controlling 50.1% stake, while their partner, Mexican retailer El Puerto de Liverpool SAB, will hold the remaining 49.9%.

Nordstrom’s stock has seen a 33% increase this year, bolstered by optimism surrounding the retail sector’s recovery and this transformative move. However, the offer represents a notable decline from a 2018 bid by the family to take the company private at $50 per share, which the board deemed too low at the time.

This privatization signals the Nordstrom family’s confidence in reviving the brand’s fortunes amidst a shifting retail landscape. CEO Erik Nordstrom expressed optimism about the deal, stating, “On behalf of my family, we look forward to working with our teams to ensure Nordstrom thrives long into the future.”

Nordstrom, like many department stores, has struggled to regain its pre-pandemic revenue levels. After peaking at $15.9 billion in annual revenue in fiscal 2019, the company’s sales have not returned to those heights. Analysts project fiscal 2024 revenue to close at $14.9 billion, reflecting a lingering decline exacerbated by changing consumer habits and the rise of online competitors such as Amazon.

The challenges faced by Nordstrom echo broader trends in the U.S. department store sector. Macy’s Inc. has downsized its store footprint to reduce costs, while Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman Marcus have undergone significant ownership changes to adapt to market dynamics.

The transaction will be funded through a mix of rollover equity contributions from the Nordstrom family and Liverpool, $450 million in borrowings from a $1.2 billion ABL bank facility, and company cash reserves. A special dividend of up to $0.25 per share is planned for shareholders, contingent on the deal’s completion.

The Nordstrom board, excluding Erik and Peter Nordstrom, who recused themselves from the vote, unanimously approved the transaction. The deal still requires approval from two-thirds of the company’s common stockholders, including a majority of shares not owned by the Nordstrom family or Liverpool.

Taking Nordstrom private marks a pivotal moment for the 123-year-old retailer, granting it the freedom to restructure and innovate away from Wall Street’s scrutiny. The Nordstrom family’s continued involvement and partnership with Liverpool signal a commitment to ensuring the company adapts to the evolving retail landscape.

The success of this move could serve as a case study for other legacy retailers grappling with similar challenges, as Nordstrom seeks to reclaim its position as a leader in the retail industry.

US Goods Trade Deficit Hits 2.5-Year High Amid Import Surge

Key Points:
– Goods trade deficit rose by 14.9% to $108.2 billion, the highest in over two years.
– Goods imports increased by 3.8%, reflecting a rise in consumer and capital goods.
– Inventory growth in retail, especially for motor vehicles, is likely to cushion GDP impact.

The U.S. goods trade deficit soared in September to its highest level since March 2022, reaching $108.2 billion. This rise, primarily driven by a 3.8% jump in imports, underscores strong consumer demand but has led some economists to scale back their growth projections for the third quarter. Released by the Commerce Department, the deficit reflects the challenges of balancing robust domestic consumption with slowing exports, which declined by 2%.

Economists noted that while a larger trade deficit traditionally weighs down gross domestic product (GDP), this impact may be mitigated by increased retail inventories, particularly in motor vehicles. Consumer spending remains strong, anticipated to be a major driver of growth for the third quarter. Yet, the trade data has led analysts to revise their economic forecasts downward, with some now expecting annualized GDP growth to hit 2.7% rather than the initially forecasted 3.2%.

Imports of consumer goods led the surge, climbing by 5.8%, while food imports saw a 4.6% boost. The demand for capital goods also rose, with businesses stocking up on equipment and industrial supplies, including petroleum and automotive parts. Analysts suggest that businesses were also building up inventories in anticipation of potential supply disruptions, such as the recently resolved dockworkers strike.

Although the high import figures signal economic strength, the dip in exports of consumer goods, industrial supplies, and capital goods points to potential headwinds for U.S. trade competitiveness. The export decline in consumer goods, down by 6.3%, indicates that external demand may be softening, potentially challenging U.S. exporters.

Meanwhile, both wholesale and retail inventories saw shifts in September. Wholesale inventories slipped slightly by 0.1%, while retail inventories rose 0.8%, reflecting sustained consumer demand. Motor vehicle and parts inventories surged by 2.1%, while non-automotive retail inventories grew modestly. Rising inventories support GDP growth, though they also suggest that retailers may have overestimated sales for the period.

Economists are closely watching inventory levels as they provide insight into whether consumer demand can match the increased supply. According to Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, an unexpected rise in retail inventories could signal a slowdown in consumer demand but could still provide short-term GDP support.

The recent trade data arrives ahead of Wednesday’s anticipated GDP report, which is expected to provide a clearer picture of the U.S. economy’s trajectory. While strong consumer demand is evident, analysts remain cautious, noting that the elevated goods trade deficit may continue to be a drag on economic growth in the near term.

Starbucks Shakes Up Leadership: Brian Niccol Takes the Helm in Surprise CEO Switch

Key Points:
– Starbucks replaces CEO Laxman Narasimhan with Chipotle’s Brian Niccol.
– The move comes amidst struggling sales and pressure from activist investors.
– Niccol’s successful track record at Chipotle raises hopes for Starbucks’ turnaround.

Coffee giant Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) has announced a major leadership change, replacing CEO Laxman Narasimhan with Chipotle’s (NYSE: CMG) Brian Niccol. This unexpected move sent Starbucks’ stock soaring over 20%, marking its best day since its 1992 IPO.

The coffee chain’s board of directors had been contemplating this change for several months, according to Starbucks’ lead independent director Mellody Hobson. The decision comes as Starbucks faces challenges in its two largest markets, the United States and China, with same-store sales declining 3% in the latest quarter.

Niccol, who has led Chipotle since 2018, brings a wealth of experience in the restaurant industry. Under his leadership, Chipotle’s stock surged an impressive 773%, defying industry trends with climbing traffic and sales even as other restaurants reported consumer spending pullbacks.

The transition marks a pivotal moment for Starbucks, which has been grappling with weakening demand and operational issues. Former CEO Howard Schultz, who handpicked Narasimhan as his successor, had recently penned an open letter addressing the company’s challenges without mentioning Narasimhan by name.

Activist investors have also been circling the coffee behemoth. Elliott Management and Starboard Value both recently acquired stakes in Starbucks, adding pressure for change. Elliott’s managing partner Jesse Cohn and partner Marc Steinberg called the CEO switch “a transformational step forward for the Company.”

Niccol’s appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage his expertise in digital ordering and operational efficiency. At Chipotle, he successfully implemented a second assembly line for mobile orders and introduced “Chipotlanes” for digital order pickup, addressing issues similar to those plaguing Starbucks’ mobile ordering system.

The leadership change also signals Starbucks’ board’s reluctance to engage in deals with activist investors. Despite Elliott’s offer of a settlement that would have protected Narasimhan’s position, the board moved forward with the CEO switch without prior notification to the hedge fund.

Starbucks’ CFO Rachel Ruggeri will serve as interim CEO until Niccol officially takes the reins on September 9. The coffee chain’s shares had fallen 21% during Narasimhan’s tenure, excluding the recent surge following the announcement.

As Starbucks embarks on this new chapter, all eyes will be on Niccol to see if he can replicate his Chipotle success and breathe new life into the struggling coffee giant. With his track record of navigating challenging market environments and driving digital innovation, expectations are high for a swift turnaround in Starbucks’ fortunes.

The Rise of Chinese E-commerce Giants and Their Impact on US Tech Earnings

Key Points:
– Temu and Shein’s rapid growth in the US market is influencing tech earnings and competition.
– These platforms leverage low prices and aggressive marketing strategies to gain market share.
– The impact of Chinese e-commerce companies on US tech giants raises questions about fair competition and trade policies.

In recent months, the e-commerce landscape in the United States has been dramatically altered by the meteoric rise of Chinese discount shopping apps Temu and Shein. As Wall Street prepares for the latest round of tech earnings reports, the influence of these platforms on industry giants like Amazon, Meta, and eBay is becoming increasingly apparent.

Temu and Shein have captured the attention of American consumers with their rock-bottom prices and aggressive marketing campaigns. Temu, which launched in the US in 2022, quickly surpassed established social media apps in popularity on the Apple App Store. Shein, present in the US market since 2017, has seen similar success. Both platforms offer incredibly low-priced goods, such as $3 shoes or $15 smartwatches, directly from Chinese manufacturers to American consumers.

The success of these platforms is partially attributed to a trade loophole known as the de minimis exception. This rule allows packages valued under $800 to enter the US duty-free, giving Chinese retailers a significant competitive advantage. Amazon’s top public policy executive, David Zapolsky, has expressed concern about this trend, suggesting that some business models may be unfairly subsidized.

The impact of Temu and Shein extends beyond just e-commerce. Their substantial ad spending has become a significant revenue source for companies like Google and Facebook. However, recent data suggests that Temu may be adjusting its marketing strategy, potentially affecting ad revenue for these tech giants.

Established e-commerce players are responding to this new competition in various ways. Amazon, while emphasizing its delivery speed advantage, is reportedly planning to launch its own discount store featuring unbranded items priced below $20. eBay has stressed its differentiated selection, while Etsy has highlighted its focus on artisan goods.

The rise of these Chinese platforms has also sparked discussions about fair competition and trade policies. US officials, along with their counterparts in the European Union, are considering closing the de minimis loophole, which could significantly impact the growth of Temu and Shein.

Despite the challenges posed by these new entrants, analysts suggest that major players like Amazon and Walmart are relatively insulated from the competition. The established e-commerce giants’ superior shipping speeds and extensive logistics networks provide a significant competitive advantage.

As the tech industry braces for the upcoming earnings reports, all eyes will be on how companies address the impact of Temu and Shein. Investors will be particularly interested in any commentary on changes in e-commerce marketplaces and shifts in ad spending patterns.

The story of Temu and Shein’s rise in the US market is more than just a tale of successful market entry. It represents a shifting dynamic in global e-commerce, raising important questions about international trade policies, fair competition, and the future of retail. As these Chinese platforms continue to grow and evolve, their impact on the US tech industry and broader economy will likely remain a topic of intense scrutiny and debate.

Luxury Retail Mergers and Acquisitions Reshape the Fashion Landscape

In a strategic move set to redefine the luxury retail sector, HBC, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue, announced plans to acquire Neiman Marcus Group for $2.65 billion. This landmark deal will pave the way for the formation of Saks Global, a powerhouse conglomerate encompassing Saks Fifth Avenue, Saks Off 5th, Neiman Marcus, and Bergdorf Goodman.

The acquisition comes amidst a turbulent period for brick-and-mortar retail, where consumer preferences have shifted towards experiential shopping over traditional goods. Luxury brands are increasingly bypassing department stores to establish direct connections with consumers through their own retail channels.

Marc Metrick, current CEO of Saks.com, will assume the role of CEO for the newly formed Saks Global, while Ian Putnam, President and CEO of HBC Properties and Investments, will lead the property and investments division.

This merger, long speculated upon, is expected to bolster the combined entity’s negotiating power with luxury brands, potentially driving down costs. It also marks a strategic alliance with tech giants Amazon and Salesforce, both of which will hold minority stakes in the new company. Amazon’s involvement underscores its ambition to penetrate the luxury retail market, leveraging its technological prowess and logistical infrastructure.

In a separate development reported by the Wall Street Journal, Arkhouse and Brigade Capital have increased their buyout offer for Macy’s to $6.9 billion. This revised bid represents a significant premium of nearly 43% over Macy’s closing price in December 2023, when the talks began. The proposal aims to acquire all outstanding Macy’s shares at $24.80 per share, indicating confidence in Macy’s potential despite its recent challenges.

Macy’s, facing declining sales and market share, has responded with store closures and strategic overhauls. Another option, taking the company private, could provide the flexibility needed to execute its turnaround plan away from the pressures of public markets.

Recent activity, and proposed activity, in the space highlights luxury brands trying to reposition themselves to survive in an ever-evolving consumer landscape that sees more and more consumers turning to online purchases and direct-to-consumer interaction. At the same time, it shows that many experts see the potential for a turnaround.

Gain more insight on the current, and future, state of the consumer, media, and tech sectors straight from the executives. Watch the replays from Noble’s recent virtual equity conference.

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Sets Its Course Toward Profitability


Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A noisy quarter. The company reported Q4 revenue of $2.3 million down year over year, but reflected strong 48% licensing revenue growth. Adj. EBITDA loss of $1.2 million was modestly lower than our estimate. In our view, the full impact of the company’s lower cost, licensing model has not yet been manifested. 

Significant amount of revenue growth initiatives. In our view, the company’s outlook in 2024 appears favorable in terms of revenue and potential swing toward positive adj. EBITDA. The favorable outlook is supported by its joint venture with Christie Brinkley, TWRHLL, which is launching in May; G-III and its launch of Halston in Q3 of 2024; expanding products from C. Wonder and Judith Ripka. 


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Release – Vera Bradley, Inc. Announces Reporting Date For Fourth Quarter And Fiscal Year 2024 Results

Research News and Market Data on VRA

Feb 8, 2024

FORT WAYNE, Ind., Feb. 08, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Vera Bradley, Inc. (Nasdaq: VRA) (the “Company”) today announced that it plans to report results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended February 3, 2024 at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, March 13, 2024.

The Company will host a conference call to discuss its financial results at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time that same day. A live webcast of the conference call will be available on the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website, www.verabradley.com. Alternatively, interested parties may dial into the call at (877) 407-0779, and enter the access code 13742953. A replay will be available shortly after the conclusion of the call and remain available through March 27, 2024. To access the recording, listeners should dial (844) 512-2921, and enter the access code 13742953.

ABOUT VERA BRADLEY, INC.

Vera Bradley, Inc. operates two unique lifestyle brands – Vera Bradley and Pura Vida. Vera Bradley and Pura Vida are complementary businesses, both with devoted, emotionally connected, and multi-generational female customer bases; alignment as causal, comfortable, affordable, and fun brands; positioning as “gifting” and socially-connected brands; strong, entrepreneurial cultures; a keen focus on community, charity, and social consciousness; multi-channel distribution strategies; and talented leadership teams aligned and committed to the long-term success of their brands.

Vera Bradley, based in Fort Wayne, Indiana, is a leading designer of women’s handbags, luggage and other travel items, fashion and home accessories, and unique gifts. Founded in 1982 by friends Barbara Bradley Baekgaard and Patricia R. Miller, the brand is known for its innovative designs, iconic patterns, and brilliant colors that inspire and connect women unlike any other brand in the global marketplace.

In July 2019, Vera Bradley, Inc. acquired a 75% interest in Creative Genius, Inc., which also operates under the name Pura Vida Bracelets (“Pura Vida”). Pura Vida, based in La Jolla, California, is a digitally native, highly engaging lifestyle brand founded in 2010 by friends Paul Goodman and Griffin Thall. Pura Vida has a differentiated and expanding offering of bracelets, jewelry, and other lifestyle accessories. The Company acquired the remaining 25% of Pura Vida in January 2023.

CONTACTS:
Investors:
Julia Bentley
jbentley@verabradley.com

Media:           
877-708-VERA (8372)                                
Mediacontact@verabradley.com