FreightCar America (RAIL) – Stock Price Decline May Offer an Attractive Entry Point for Investors


Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated third quarter adjusted net income to common stockholders of $2.455 million or $0.08 per share compared to $3.953 million or $0.13 per share during the prior year period. We had anticipated adjusted net income to common stockholders of $2.465 million or $0.07 per share. Average shares outstanding of 31.4 million were lower than our estimate of 34.5 million. Revenue and rail car deliveries increased to $113.3 million and 961, respectively, compared to $61.9 million and 503 during the third quarter of 2023. On a year-over-year basis, adjusted EBITDA increased to $10.9 million compared to $3.5 million during the prior year period and our estimate of $9.8 million. Free cash flow amounted to $5.7 million.

Full year 2024 corporate guidance. While guidance for revenue and rail car deliveries is unchanged, management narrowed its guidance range for EBITDA to $37.0 million to $39.0 million compared to previous expectations of $35.0 million to $39.0 million.


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FreightCar America (RAIL) – Raising Price Target Based on Higher Revenue and Margin Growth Expectations


Thursday, October 24, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pure play manufacturer. FreightCar America, Inc. is a diversified manufacturer of railroad cars and rail car components. The company designs and manufactures a broad variety of railroad car types for the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products primarily in North America. The company reported strong second-quarter financial results and appears poised for greater scale and margin expansion as it increases its market share and expands its product suite.

On the path to greater profitability. While the company has broadened and diversified its product portfolio, we expect further growth into new areas such as producing tank cars which is expected to support margin expansion. Growth in the conversion and rebody business, along with increased parts sales, could enhance gross margins and reduce the company’s top-line sensitivity to the cyclicality associated with new railroad car orders. Additionally, we think FreightCar America will continue to improve its cost profile through productivity and efficiency gains.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Raising Price Target Based on Expected Lower Cost of Capital


Monday, September 16, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pure play manufacturer. FreightCar America, Inc. is a diversified manufacturer of railroad cars and rail car components. The company designs and manufactures a broad variety of railroad car types for the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products primarily in North America. The company recently reported strong second-quarter financial results and appears poised for greater scale and margin expansion as it increases its market share and expands its product suite.

Expected redemption of high-cost preferred stock. We have assumed the company could redeem its high-cost preferred shares using a private credit term loan. For the sake of simplicity, we have assumed this occurs just prior to 2025. Based on the company’s strong cash flow profile and outlook, we estimate the rate on a $100 million private credit term loan could approximate the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) plus 600 basis points or 11.33%. We note that the amount of the term loan and the interest rate could vary from our estimates. If the loan amount or interest rate is lower, interest expense could be lower. 


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FreightCar America (RAIL) – Positive Momentum Driven by Potential for Market Share Gains and Margin Expansion


Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pure play manufacturer. FreightCar America, Inc. is a diversified manufacturer of railroad cars and rail car components. The company designs and manufactures a broad variety of railroad car types for the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products primarily in North America. The company recently reported strong second-quarter financial results and appears poised for greater scale and margin expansion as it increases its market share and expands its product suite.

Updating estimates. While our 2024 and 2025 earnings per share estimates are unchanged at $0.25 and $0.47, respectively, we have increased our EBITDA estimates to $38.8 million and $46.7 million from $38.6 million and $46.0 million. We have assumed modestly higher sales. Importantly, we have increased our forward estimates beginning in 2026 to better reflect the company’s recent order for 1,000 tank car conversions and entry into the new tank car market beginning in 2028 which is expected to have a positive impact on gross margin.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Strong 2Q Operational and Financial Results; Increasing Estimates


Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated second quarter adjusted net income to common stockholders of $1.772 million or $0.05 per share compared to $0.424 million or $0.02 per share during the prior year period. We had forecast $1.582 million and $0.05 per share. Revenue and rail car deliveries increased to $147.4 million and 1,159 compared to $88.6 million and 760 during the second quarter of 2023. On a year-over-year basis, adjusted EBITDA increased 50.6% to $12.1 million. While EPS was in line with our estimates, railcar deliveries, revenues and adjusted EBITDA were above our estimates.

Full Year 2024 corporate guidance. Management raised its full year 2024 guidance ranges. Railcar deliveries are expected to be in the range of 4,300 to 4,700, revenue is expected to be in the range of $560 million to $600 million, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $35 to $39 million. Previously, railcar deliveries were expected to be in the range of 4,000 to 4,400, revenue was expected to be in the range of $520 million to $572 million, and adjusted EBITDA was expected to be in the range of $32 million to $38 million.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Solid 2Q Operational and Financial Results; 2024 Corporate Guidance Raised


Tuesday, August 13, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. FreightCar America generated second quarter adjusted net income to common stockholders of $1.772 million or $0.05 per share compared to $0.424 million or $0.02 per share during the prior year period. We had forecast $1.582 million and $0.05 per share. Revenue and rail car deliveries increased to $147.4 million and 1,159 compared to $88.6 million and 760 during the second quarter of 2023. On a year-over-year basis, adjusted EBITDA increased 50.6% to $12.1 million. While EPS was in line with our estimates, railcar deliveries, revenues and adjusted EBITDA exceeded our estimates of 980, $127.1 million, and $9.5 million, respectively. The weighted average diluted share count of ~32.3 million was also higher than our estimate of 31.1 million. Second quarter free cash flow amounted to $55.9 million based on net cash flows provided by operating activities of $57.2 million and $1.3 million of net cash flows used in investing activities.

Full Year 2024 corporate guidance. Management raised its full year 2024 guidance ranges. Railcar deliveries are expected to be in the range of 4,300 to 4,700, revenue is expected to be in the range of $560 million to $600 million, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $35 to $39 million. Previously, railcar deliveries were expected to be in the range of 4,000 to 4,400, revenue was expected to be in the range of $520 million to $572 million, and adjusted EBITDA was expected to be in the range of $32 million to $38 million.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Multi-Year Tank Car Conversion Contract Provides a Solid Path Toward Tank Car Production


Friday, August 02, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Ensuring the safe transportation of flammable liquids. The completed tank cars will receive new exterior tank jackets, thermal protection, full height head shields, top fittings protection and upgraded bottom outlet valves. As part of a federally mandated program, all tank cars transporting Class 3 flammable liquids, such as refined products, crude oil and ethanol, are required to meet DOT-117 or equivalent specifications by May 1, 2029.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FreightCar America (RAIL) – Poised for Greater Scale and Margin Expansion


Friday, June 28, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating. FreightCar America, Inc. is a diversified manufacturer of railroad cars and rail car components. The company designs and manufactures a broad variety of railroad car types for the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products primarily in North America. These include open top hoppers, covered hoppers, gondolas, and intermodal and non-intermodal flat cars. FreightCar America and its predecessors have been manufacturing railroad cars since 1901.

Unique competitive advantages. FreightCar America is a pure play manufacturer that has unique manufacturing capabilities that allow it to respond to customer orders with short lead times due to its ability to set up a production line to batch produce orders and quickly change over to the next line for a different product type. Its engineering capabilities allow it to offer tailored solutions in areas unmet by competitors.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.