Tag: Packaged Foods

Release – Lifeway Foods® Announces Inclusion in Russell 2000® Index

Posted on by dburczyk@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Research News and Market Data on LWAY

Leading kefir company added as part of 2024 Russell Reconstitution

MORTON GROVE, Ill., July 1, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Lifeway Foods, Inc. (Nasdaq: LWAY) (“Lifeway” or “the Company”), a leading U.S. supplier of kefir and fermented probiotic products to support the microbiome, today announced that the Company has been included in the Russell 2000® and Russell 3000® Indexes, as part of the annual reconstitution of the Russell stock indexes, effective at the open of U.S. equity markets on July 1, 2024.

“We are pleased that Lifeway has earned inclusion in the Russell indexes,” said Julie Smolyansky, President and Chief Executive Officer of Lifeway Foods. “With our recent earnings report marking an incredible string of 18 consecutive quarters of revenue growth and 4 consecutive quarters of record net sales, we welcome the elevated visibility within the investment community. Being part of the Russell indexes enhances our visibility to the many institutions and funds that consider them a key market reference point. We are excited about the opportunity to increase our exposure and continue creating shareholder value.”

The Russell indexes are widely used by investment managers and institutional investors for index funds and as benchmarks for active investment strategies. For more information on the Russell Indexes and the Reconstitution, visit the “Russell Reconstitution”  section on the FTSE Russell website.

About Lifeway Foods, Inc.
Lifeway Foods, Inc., which has been recognized as one of Forbes’ Best Small Companies, is America’s leading supplier of the probiotic, fermented beverage known as kefir. In addition to its line of drinkable kefir, the company also produces a variety of cheeses and a ProBugs line for kids. Lifeway’s tart and tangy fermented dairy products are now sold across the United States, Mexico, Ireland and France. Learn how Lifeway is good for more than just you at lifewayfoods.com.

Media:
Derek Miller
Vice President of Communications, Lifeway Foods
Email: derekm@lifeway.net

General inquiries:
Lifeway Foods, Inc.
Phone: 847-967-1010
Email: info@lifeway.net

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Sell-Off Overdone, Raising to Outperform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, May 30, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving to Outperform. We are raising our rating on LWAY shares to Outperform from Market Perform, with a $20 price target. LWAY shares fell from a 52-week high of $28.61 on May 10th to $15.19 as of yesterday’s close. We believe the sell-off to be too swift and dramatic given the Company’s recent strong operating performance.

Behind the Decline. Without any news to point to, we believe a combination of factors caused the stock price decline. First is as simple as profit taking. Second is the insider selling. Since the beginning of May, both Ludmila and Julie Smolyansky have sold shares of LWAY. Third, a change in sentiment regarding a possible sale of the Company. And fourth, projected increased milk prices, a key component of COGS.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Another Record Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Continued Growth. The first quarter marked another quarter of net sales growth for Lifeway, the 18th consecutive quarter to do so. The quarter was also the 4th in a row of recording record net sales. The record quarter is coupled with an improved gross margin from the prior year, flowing through to an improved net income. We believe the continued growth is a testament to management’s strategy in marketing its products and investments made towards production efficiency.

Another Record. Net sales were $44.6 million, a new record for Lifeway, from $38.9 million in the previous year and above our estimate of $43 million. Gross margin was 25.8% from 21.7% last year. Net income totaled $2.4 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to $0.8 million, or $0.06, in the prior year. We estimated net income of $3.6 million, or $0.24 per diluted share.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Momentum Increasing Stock Price, Moving to Market Perform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving to Market Perform. With the shares shooting past our recently raised $16 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. LWAY shares over the last month have increased from $12.31 to $19.16 as of yesterday’s close.

Momentum in 2024. Year-to-date, LWAY shares have increased 42.9%. Over the last five trading days, average daily volume (ADV) has been just over 221,565 shares. The last three months have had an ADV of 59,642. We believe the increased volume is a reflection on the Company’s operational performance, with the Company recently capping a record year in revenue. The takeover speculation still looms around the Company, which also could be a driver of the price.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Capping a Year of Growth in Sales and Margins

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, March 21, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fourth Quarter Results. The fourth quarter was another quarter of y-o-y revenue growth, making it the 17th consecutive quarter. The quarter also represented the highest ever quarterly net sales. Net sales were $42.1 million compared to $35.8 million last year and above our $40 million estimate. Gross margin was 28.0% versus 22.1% last year. Net income totaled $4.0 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, compared to $0.7 million or $0.05 last year. We estimated net income of $3.2 million or EPS of $0.21.

Fiscal Year Results. Net sales for the year were $160.1 million, a record-high annual top line result, an increase from $141.6 million in the prior year due to higher volumes of Lifeway’s drinkable kefir. Net income for the year was $11.4 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, compared to $0.9 million or $0.06.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Moving to Outperform, $14 PT

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, February 26, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Upgrade to Outperform. We are upgrading our rating on Lifeway shares to Outperform from Market Perform with a $14 price target. Since peaking on November 14th at an intra-day high of $17.33, LWAY shares have drifted lower, closing Friday at $10.51, modestly above the lowest closing price since mid-November of $9.38.

A Look Back. LWAY shares have been on a roller coaster ride since mid-August 2023, driven by a combination of improving operational performance, including a number of record quarters, and takeover speculation, in our view. The shares ran up from $6.50 in mid-August to $12.40 by mid-September, back below $10 by the end of September, back above $12 by mid-November, plunging to $9.38 on November 13th before hitting a 52-week high of $17.33 ten days later. Since the 52-week high, the shares have drifted lower. Notably, during the run up, ADV often exceeded 100,000 shares per day, compared to less than 20,000 prior to the run up. More recently, ADV has settled in the 20,000-40,000 range.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Moving Rating to Market Perform after Sharp Rise in Stock Price

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 27, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving to Market Perform. With the shares exceeding our recently instituted $13 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. While we remain impressed with operating results, we believe a good portion of the recent share performance is being driven in anticipation of a sale of the Company, which we do not believe is imminent.

Stock Performance. LWAY shares are up 82% since closing at $9.38 on November 13th. While we believe the sell off in the shares following strong operating results was unwarranted, the subsequent price rebound has exceeded our $13 price target. To maintain an Outperform rating, our PT would need to exceed $19.50, which we believe would have LWAY shares “priced to perfection” from an operating standpoint, which, given the uncertain state of the economy, is a stretch in our view.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Another Record Quarter; Moving to Outperform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Revenue. Revenue increased 7.2% y-oy to $40.9 million and represents the 16th consecutive quarter of y-o-y revenue growth. We had forecasted $39.5 million. Revenue growth was driven by volume growth in drinkable kefir, up 9% y-o-y, and the impact of price increases taken last December. Significantly, there does not appear to be any significant trading down, even with the uncertain economy.

GM and EPS. Gross margin in the third quarter improved 730 basis points to 27.3% and was better than our 25.6% estimate. Net income totaled $3.4 million, or EPS of $0.23, up from $983,000, or $0.06/sh, last year. We were at $2.4 million, or $0.14/sh. Higher volumes and more favorable milk prices y-o-y drove the results.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Stock Price Momentum Continues, Moving to Market Perform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, September 25, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Price Momentum. LWAY shares continue their rise, closing last Friday at $12.42, above our recently raised $12 price target. LWAY shares are up 97% since closing at $6.30 the Friday before the August 14th 2Q23 earnings release and are up nearly 124% YTD. Notably, volume continues to show strong momentum, with the ADV since August 14 at 136,522 shares, compared to a 90 day ADV of 15,430 shares just prior to the August 14th earnings release.

Rationale. With the sharp price rise, LWAY shares are likely to enter a consolidation phase, in our view. Further significant price appreciation leans towards operating results exceeding expectations and/or a potential acquisition of the Company, in our view. With insiders controlling nearly 50% of the outstanding shares, we do not believe a sale of the Company is in the cards. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Raising Price Target to $12.00

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 24, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Raising Price Target. With the shares exceeding our $10 price target, we are raising our target to $12. Our new target is 1.1x our 2023 revenue estimate, up from a prior 1.0x, and still well below the specialty foods peer group average of 2.3x. While we were impressed with the second quarter results, rising milk prices and the potential of consumers trading down in a recessionary environment continue to make us take a more conservative approach to valuation.

Shares Up Solidly YTD. On the heels of record quarterly results, LWAY shares appreciated over 60% since August 11th and are now up 77.8% YTD, compared to a 6.2% YTD rise in the Russell 2000. The last time LWAY shares breached the $10 level was back in 2017.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Continuing to Grow

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, August 16, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Increased Demand for Kefir. Lifeway experienced continued momentum in its kefir products, as the Company had its 15th consecutive quarter of topline growth. Higher volumes of the drinkable kefir along with higher prices continued to benefit Lifeway’s sales, while more favorable milk pricing allowed the Company to generate better gross margin, which improved 1,170 basis points over the previous year.

Great 2Q Results. Lifeway reported sales of $39.2 million, above last year’s $33.5 million and our projection of $37.5 million. Gross margin was 28.7% versus 17.0% in the prior year. Net income for Lifeway was $3.16 million, or diluted EPS of $0.21, compared to $0.12 million, or $0.01, last year. We projected net income of $0.97 million, or EPS of $0.06.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Lifeway Responds; Financial Advisor Retained

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Response. On Friday, Lifeway’s Board responded to the recent letter released by Kanen Wealth Management (KWM). As one would expect, the Board disagrees with the points laid out by KWM. From a governance standpoint, the Board noted its belief the executive team is successfully executing the Lifeway 2.0 strategy, has aligned interests with shareholders given insiders’ 18% ownership stake, and has consistently engaged with shareholders.

Operating Highlights. The Board goes on to point out a number of operating highlights, including: (i) 14 consecutive quarters of strong year-over-year net sales growth, (ii) growth into the 9th largest U.S. yogurt manufacturer, (iii) a growing customer base, (iv) positioned to capitalize on macro trends as customer demand for kefir grows, and (v) total shareholder return of 44% over the last year and 191% over the past three years, among other points.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – A Chat With David Kanen

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, June 12, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Chat. We had an opportunity to speak with David Kanen about his Lifeway investment and letter to the Board. Mr. Kanen reiterated a number of points he brought up in his letter, which we encourage investors to read. Mr. Kanen noted his desire to see other investors become familiar with the Lifeway opportunity.

What About the Proxy Contest? Mr. Kanen observed that, in his opinion, even if Edward and Ludmila Smolyansky are unable to mount a proxy contest this year, the terms of the settlement agreement would enable Edward and Ludmila to renew their quest at the 2024 annual meeting.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.