The Big Price Impact on Stocks After Warren Buffett’s Most Active Buying Spree
Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) were actively spending down the company’s large pool of cash last quarter, just as they promised during their recent annual meeting. This makes sense as some stock prices are lower than they have been in years, and a few sectors are showing they could have plenty of upside potential. It makes even more sense when you consider that Berkshire Hathaway was sitting on $144 billion in cash. The inflation rate is now running above 8% and eroding the value of every unearning penny.
Jumping into the market can be costly if wrong, but investor’s ‘dry powder’ is being eroded with increased costs by the day – finding a place for money to grow by at least the inflation rate would seem prudent. The analysts at Berkshire Hathaway are certainly aware of this.
The positive impact of Berkshire showing confidence in a company is often all that is needed to exceed the near non-earnings holding a cash position. Below we look at three Berkshire Hathaway changed positions as reported on May 16, and then compare the stock’s price moves versus the overall market.
Where Did They Gain Exposure
As revealed by the companies 13F filed on May 16, as of March 31 Berkshire Hathaway added Citigroup (C), Paramount Global (PARA), and sold Verizon (VZ). There were older positions added to as well, such as Chevron (CVX), and Activision Blizzard (ATVI). But for the purpose of showing the power of Buffett’s believing a stock is attractive, or in Verizon’s case, no longer attractive, we’ll take a look at the market moves of these companies as of 1pm the day after the 13F was made public.
The above chart of Citibank, Paramount Global, and Verizon from the beginning trading on Monday compares the stocks to the S&P 500 performance during the same short period.
The S&P, as reflected during the short period in this chart, beginning on the date of Berkshire’s 13F filing, shows the S&P 500 up 1.60%. This is substantial in a year when the index has mostly been delivering red to investors. Verizon was the most noteworthy sale of Buffett as they brought their position near zero. The company’s stock rose only 0.11%, well below the S&P benchmark performance.
As for the positions opened during the first quarter by Berkshire Hathaway, Citicorp shot up 8.28%. Paramount Global reacted even more strongly, rising double digits to 13.95%.
Lessons
While an SEC-registered portfolio new holdings are kept close to the vest before reported in order to avoid insider trading problems, listening to what someone like Warren Buffett is saying at annual meetings and at other times can allow you to get a sense if they have been active, and in what industries. More important, is whether they are active buying or selling. For an investor that is holding a stock which a well-followed investor has decided to sell, can cause significant underperformance for at least the near term.
Other Pertinent Info from the 13F Filing
During the first quarter of 2022, the value of Berkshire’s US stock portfolio rose by 10% to $364 billion. Buffett had indicated the firm he manages has been struggling to find bargains in recent years. He blamed this on stocks swelling to record highs, fierce competition from private equity firms, and SPACs which increased competition and costs of acquisitions. Even Berkshire’s own rising stock price made it unappealing as a company stock buy-back.
A change of appetite took place in the first quarter of 2022. Berkshire bought $51 billion worth of equities and sold less than $10 billion in stocks. Its net cash reduction of $41 billion helped slash its cash pile by 28% to $106 billion. Q1 2022 marked one of the most active buying periods in Berkshire Hathaway’s history.
Take-Away
Well known, successful investors can either make a winner out of your holding or cause it to trade at a pace below the market. While knowing and trading on information before it is made public can get you in trouble, investors like Buffett do provide guidance. These hints as to their thinking and likely direction may help investors somewhat. This is why it always makes sense to know what they’re saying – it isn’t fun holding something they just reported sold, and the tailwind they create when you’re long the same company can be profitable.
Managing Editor, Channelchek
Sources
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067983/000095012322006442/xslForm13F_X01/primary_doc.xml
https://whalewisdom.com/filer/berkshire-hathaway-inc#google_vignette