Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Moving to Outperform. We are raising our rating on LWAY shares to Outperform from Market Perform, with a $20 price target. LWAY shares fell from a 52-week high of $28.61 on May 10th to $15.19 as of yesterday’s close. We believe the sell-off to be too swift and dramatic given the Company’s recent strong operating performance.
Behind the Decline. Without any news to point to, we believe a combination of factors caused the stock price decline. First is as simple as profit taking. Second is the insider selling. Since the beginning of May, both Ludmila and Julie Smolyansky have sold shares of LWAY. Third, a change in sentiment regarding a possible sale of the Company. And fourth, projected increased milk prices, a key component of COGS.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Continued Growth. The first quarter marked another quarter of net sales growth for Lifeway, the 18th consecutive quarter to do so. The quarter was also the 4th in a row of recording record net sales. The record quarter is coupled with an improved gross margin from the prior year, flowing through to an improved net income. We believe the continued growth is a testament to management’s strategy in marketing its products and investments made towards production efficiency.
Another Record. Net sales were $44.6 million, a new record for Lifeway, from $38.9 million in the previous year and above our estimate of $43 million. Gross margin was 25.8% from 21.7% last year. Net income totaled $2.4 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to $0.8 million, or $0.06, in the prior year. We estimated net income of $3.6 million, or $0.24 per diluted share.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Net sales of $44.6 million; up 17.8% year-over-year driven by volume growth of Lifeway Kefir
18th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth
Delivers 410 basis points of gross profit margin expansion
MORTON GROVE, Ill., May 14, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Lifeway Foods, Inc. (Nasdaq: LWAY) (“Lifeway” or “the Company”), a leading U.S. supplier of kefir and fermented probiotic products to support the microbiome, today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024.
“Following our tremendous results in 2023, I am thrilled to report yet another record-breaking quarter on the topline to kick off 2024,” commented Julie Smolyansky, President and Chief Executive Officer of Lifeway Foods. “Driven by volume growth in our flagship Lifeway drinkable kefir, we delivered our highest ever quarterly net sales of $44.6 million in the first quarter, up nearly 18% year-over-year, as our strategic sales and marketing investments continue to accelerate our sales velocities, grow awareness and win new consumers seeking better-for-you, premium products at a great value. This marked our 18th consecutive quarter of growth and 4th consecutive quarter reporting record net sales, which demonstrates the loyalty of our core customer base. Through our strong operational execution, accompanied by favorable transportation cost tailwinds, we also continued to improve on our key profitability metrics in the quarter, highlighted by our gross margin expansion and net income growth. We are pleased with this strong start to the year, and are consistently evaluating additional brand marketing and incremental distribution opportunities in an effort to build on this high bar of success throughout 2024.”
First Quarter 2024 Results
Net sales were $44.6 million for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024, an increase of $6.7 million or 17.8% from the same period in 2023. The net sales increase was primarily driven by higher volumes of our branded drinkable kefir.
Gross profit as a percentage of net sales increased to 25.8% for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024 from 21.7% during the same period in 2023. The 410-basis point increase versus the prior year was primarily due to the higher volumes of Lifeway branded products, and to a lesser extent a favorable impact of transportation costs.
Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales were 17.6% for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
The Company reported net income of $2.4 million or $0.17 per basic and $0.16 per diluted common share for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024 compared to net income of $0.8 million or $0.06 per basic and diluted common share during the same period in 2023.
Conference Call and Webcast A pre-recorded conference call and webcast with Julie Smolyansky discussing these results with additional comments and details is available through the “Investor Relations” section of the Company’s website at https://lifewaykefir.com/webinars-reports/ and will also be available for replay.
About Lifeway Foods, Inc. Lifeway Foods, Inc., which has been recognized as one of Forbes’ Best Small Companies, is America’s leading supplier of the probiotic, fermented beverage known as kefir. In addition to its line of drinkable kefir, the company also produces a variety of cheeses and a ProBugs line for kids. Lifeway’s tart and tangy fermented dairy products are now sold across the United States, Mexico, Ireland and France. Learn how Lifeway is good for more than just you at lifewayfoods.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This release (and oral statements made regarding the subjects of this release) contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding, among other things, future operating and financial performance, product development, market position, business strategy and objectives. These statements use words, and variations of words, such as “continue,” “build,” “future,” “increase,” “drive,” “believe,” “look,” “ahead,” “confident,” “deliver,” “outlook,” “expect,” and “predict.” Other examples of forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, (i) statements of Company plans and objectives, including the introduction of new products, or estimates or predictions of actions by customers or suppliers, (ii) statements of future economic performance, and (III) statements of assumptions underlying other statements and statements about Lifeway or its business. You are cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations of future events and thus are inherently subject to uncertainty. If underlying assumptions prove inaccurate or known or unknown risks or uncertainties materialize, actual results could vary materially from Lifeway’s expectations and projections. These risks, uncertainties, and other factors include: price competition; the decisions of customers or consumers; the actions of competitors; changes in the pricing of commodities; the effects of government regulation; possible delays in the introduction of new products; and customer acceptance of products and services. A further list and description of these risks, uncertainties, and other factors can be found in Lifeway’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, and the Company’s subsequent filings with the SEC. Copies of these filings are available online at https://www.sec.gov, http://lifewaykefir.com/investor-relations/, or on request from Lifeway. Information in this release is as of the dates and time periods indicated herein, and Lifeway does not undertake to update any of the information contained in these materials, except as required by law. Accordingly, YOU SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE ACCURACY OF ANY OF THE STATEMENTS OR OTHER INFORMATION CONTAINED IN ANY ARCHIVED PRESS RELEASE.
Media: Derek Miller Vice President of Communications, Lifeway Foods Email: derekm@lifeway.net
General inquiries: Lifeway Foods, Inc. Phone: 847-967-1010 Email: info@lifeway.net
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Moving to Market Perform. With the shares shooting past our recently raised $16 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. LWAY shares over the last month have increased from $12.31 to $19.16 as of yesterday’s close.
Momentum in 2024. Year-to-date, LWAY shares have increased 42.9%. Over the last five trading days, average daily volume (ADV) has been just over 221,565 shares. The last three months have had an ADV of 59,642. We believe the increased volume is a reflection on the Company’s operational performance, with the Company recently capping a record year in revenue. The takeover speculation still looms around the Company, which also could be a driver of the price.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Fourth Quarter Results. The fourth quarter was another quarter of y-o-y revenue growth, making it the 17th consecutive quarter. The quarter also represented the highest ever quarterly net sales. Net sales were $42.1 million compared to $35.8 million last year and above our $40 million estimate. Gross margin was 28.0% versus 22.1% last year. Net income totaled $4.0 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, compared to $0.7 million or $0.05 last year. We estimated net income of $3.2 million or EPS of $0.21.
Fiscal Year Results. Net sales for the year were $160.1 million, a record-high annual top line result, an increase from $141.6 million in the prior year due to higher volumes of Lifeway’s drinkable kefir. Net income for the year was $11.4 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, compared to $0.9 million or $0.06.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Record annual net sales of $160.1 million; up 13.1% year-over-year
17th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth
Delivers 760 basis points of annual gross profit margin expansion
MORTON GROVE, Ill., March 20, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Lifeway Foods, Inc. (Nasdaq: LWAY) (“Lifeway” or “the Company”), a leading U.S. supplier of kefir and fermented probiotic products to support the microbiome, today reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023.
“I am pleased to report another outstanding year for Lifeway Foods, highlighted by our record-breaking annual net sales, and driven by volume growth in our flagship Lifeway drinkable kefir,” commented Julie Smolyansky, President and Chief Executive Officer of Lifeway Foods. “Our exceptional results in 2023 culminated with our highest ever quarterly net sales of $42.1 million in the fourth quarter, our 17th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. Our volume growth throughout the year is a testament to the steadfast loyalty of our expanding customer base. It is also a product of the effectiveness of our strategic sales and marketing investments at driving velocities in our core products and capturing additional consumers seeking premium, healthy offerings. Our profitability improvements for the year were significant across all of our key metrics, including gross profit margin and net income, guided by our strong operational execution and aided by favorable milk pricing. We are well positioned to build on this momentum in 2024, and plan to continue reinvesting in our core products to drive brand exposure and further growth. I would like to thank the entire Lifeway team, including our customers and retail partners, for helping us deliver these excellent results for 2023.”
Full Year 2023 Results
Net sales were $160.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $18.6 million or 13.1% versus prior year. The net sales increase was primarily driven by higher volumes of our branded drinkable kefir, and to a lesser extent the impact of price increases implemented during the fourth quarter of 2022.
Gross profit as a percentage of net sales increased to 26.5% for the year ended December 31, 2023 from 18.9% during the same period in 2022. The 760-basis point increase versus the prior year was primarily due to the higher volumes of Lifeway branded products and the favorable impact of milk pricing, and to a lesser extent the price increases implemented during the fourth quarter of 2022 and decreased transportation costs.
Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales were 15.6% for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to 16.9% in the prior year.
The Company reported net income of $11.4 million or $0.77 per basic and $0.75 per diluted common share for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to net income of $0.9 million or $0.06 per basic and diluted common share during the same period in 2022.
Conference Call and Webcast A pre-recorded conference call and webcast with Julie Smolyansky discussing these results with additional comments and details is available through the “Investor Relations” section of the Company’s website at https://lifewaykefir.com/webinars-reports/ and will also be available for replay.
About Lifeway Foods, Inc. Lifeway Foods, Inc., which has been recognized as one of Forbes’ Best Small Companies, is America’s leading supplier of the probiotic, fermented beverage known as kefir. In addition to its line of drinkable kefir, the company also produces a variety of cheeses and a ProBugs line for kids. Lifeway’s tart and tangy fermented dairy products are now sold across the United States, Mexico, Ireland and France. Learn how Lifeway is good for more than just you at lifewayfoods.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This release (and oral statements made regarding the subjects of this release) contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding, among other things, future operating and financial performance, product development, market position, business strategy and objectives. These statements use words, and variations of words, such as “continue,” “build,” “future,” “increase,” “drive,” “believe,” “look,” “ahead,” “confident,” “deliver,” “outlook,” “expect,” and “predict.” Other examples of forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, (i) statements of Company plans and objectives, including the introduction of new products, or estimates or predictions of actions by customers or suppliers, (ii) statements of future economic performance, and (III) statements of assumptions underlying other statements and statements about Lifeway or its business. You are cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations of future events and thus are inherently subject to uncertainty. If underlying assumptions prove inaccurate or known or unknown risks or uncertainties materialize, actual results could vary materially from Lifeway’s expectations and projections. These risks, uncertainties, and other factors include: price competition; the decisions of customers or consumers; the actions of competitors; changes in the pricing of commodities; the effects of government regulation; possible delays in the introduction of new products; and customer acceptance of products and services. A further list and description of these risks, uncertainties, and other factors can be found in Lifeway’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, and the Company’s subsequent filings with the SEC. Copies of these filings are available online at https://www.sec.gov, http://lifewaykefir.com/investor-relations/, or on request from Lifeway. Information in this release is as of the dates and time periods indicated herein, and Lifeway does not undertake to update any of the information contained in these materials, except as required by law. Accordingly, YOU SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE ACCURACY OF ANY OF THE STATEMENTS OR OTHER INFORMATION CONTAINED IN ANY ARCHIVED PRESS RELEASE.
Media: Derek Miller Vice President of Communications, Lifeway Foods Email: derekm@lifeway.net
General inquiries: Lifeway Foods, Inc. Phone: 847-967-1010 Email: info@lifeway.net
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Upgrade to Outperform. We are upgrading our rating on Lifeway shares to Outperform from Market Perform with a $14 price target. Since peaking on November 14th at an intra-day high of $17.33, LWAY shares have drifted lower, closing Friday at $10.51, modestly above the lowest closing price since mid-November of $9.38.
A Look Back. LWAY shares have been on a roller coaster ride since mid-August 2023, driven by a combination of improving operational performance, including a number of record quarters, and takeover speculation, in our view. The shares ran up from $6.50 in mid-August to $12.40 by mid-September, back below $10 by the end of September, back above $12 by mid-November, plunging to $9.38 on November 13th before hitting a 52-week high of $17.33 ten days later. Since the 52-week high, the shares have drifted lower. Notably, during the run up, ADV often exceeded 100,000 shares per day, compared to less than 20,000 prior to the run up. More recently, ADV has settled in the 20,000-40,000 range.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Moving to Market Perform. With the shares exceeding our recently instituted $13 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. While we remain impressed with operating results, we believe a good portion of the recent share performance is being driven in anticipation of a sale of the Company, which we do not believe is imminent.
Stock Performance. LWAY shares are up 82% since closing at $9.38 on November 13th. While we believe the sell off in the shares following strong operating results was unwarranted, the subsequent price rebound has exceeded our $13 price target. To maintain an Outperform rating, our PT would need to exceed $19.50, which we believe would have LWAY shares “priced to perfection” from an operating standpoint, which, given the uncertain state of the economy, is a stretch in our view.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
3Q23 Revenue. Revenue increased 7.2% y-oy to $40.9 million and represents the 16th consecutive quarter of y-o-y revenue growth. We had forecasted $39.5 million. Revenue growth was driven by volume growth in drinkable kefir, up 9% y-o-y, and the impact of price increases taken last December. Significantly, there does not appear to be any significant trading down, even with the uncertain economy.
GM and EPS. Gross margin in the third quarter improved 730 basis points to 27.3% and was better than our 25.6% estimate. Net income totaled $3.4 million, or EPS of $0.23, up from $983,000, or $0.06/sh, last year. We were at $2.4 million, or $0.14/sh. Higher volumes and more favorable milk prices y-o-y drove the results.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Net sales increase 7.2% year-over-year to $40.9 million; 16th consecutive quarter of year-over-year net sales growth
730 basis points of year-over-year gross profit margin expansion
MORTON GROVE, Ill., Nov. 13, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Lifeway Foods, Inc. (Nasdaq: LWAY) (“Lifeway” or “the Company”), a leading U.S. supplier of kefir and fermented probiotic products to support the microbiome, today reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023.
“I am excited to announce that our strong momentum continued in the third quarter as we once again set a Company record on the topline, and delivered robust, year-over-year gross profit margin expansion of 730 basis points,” commented Julie Smolyansky, President and Chief Executive Officer of Lifeway Foods. “Net sales were up 7.2%, marking our 16th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, and continued to be driven by volume growth in our flagship Lifeway drinkable kefir. This growth is particularly impressive as we lapped an exceptional third quarter of 2022, illustrating both the loyalty of our customers, who have maintained their dedication to our premium, healthy offerings in light of inflation-justified price increases last year, as well as the success of our strategic investments in capturing incremental consumers seeking better-for-you offerings at a great value. Additionally, our proactive operating discipline and favorable milk pricing helped achieve vastly improved year-over-year profitability alongside the heightened sales, a testament to the execution by the whole Lifeway team. Looking ahead, we will continue to assess further distribution opportunities and pursue additional brand exposure for our core Lifeway kefir products and farmer cheese. This was an amazing start to the second half of 2023, and I want to thank the Lifeway team, our customers and retail partners for helping us deliver yet another quarter of record revenue.”
Third Quarter 2023 Results
Net sales were $40.9 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023, an increase of $2.8 million or 7.2% from the same period of 2022. The net sales increase was primarily driven by higher volumes of Lifeway branded drinkable kefir, and to a lesser extent the impact of price increases implemented during the fourth quarter of 2022.
Gross profit as a percentage of net sales was 27.2% for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023, compared to 19.9% in the same period of 2022. The 730 basis point increase versus the prior year was primarily due to the higher volumes of Lifeway branded products and the favorable impact of milk pricing, and to a lesser extent the price increases implemented during the fourth quarter of 2022 and decreased transportation costs.
Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales were 14.6% for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023, compared to 16.4% in the same period of 2022.
The Company reported net income of $3.4 million or $0.23 per basic and diluted common share for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023 compared to net income of $1.0 million or $0.06 per basic and diluted common share during the same period in 2022.
Conference Call and Webcast A pre-recorded conference call and webcast with Julie Smolyansky discussing these results with additional comments and details is available through the “Investor Relations” section of the Company’s website at https://lifewaykefir.com/webinars-reports/ and will also be available for replay.
About Lifeway Foods, Inc. Lifeway Foods, Inc., which has been recognized as one of Forbes’ Best Small Companies, is America’s leading supplier of the probiotic, fermented beverage known as kefir. In addition to its line of drinkable kefir, the company also produces cheese, probiotic oat milk, and a ProBugs line for kids. Lifeway’s tart and tangy fermented dairy products are now sold across the United States, Mexico, Ireland and France. Learn how Lifeway is good for more than just you at lifewayfoods.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This release (and oral statements made regarding the subjects of this release) contains “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding, among other things, future operating and financial performance, product development, market position, business strategy and objectives. These statements use words, and variations of words, such as “continue,” “build,” “future,” “increase,” “drive,” “believe,” “look,” “ahead,” “confident,” “deliver,” “outlook,” “expect,” and “predict.” Other examples of forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, (i) statements of Company plans and objectives, including the introduction of new products, or estimates or predictions of actions by customers or suppliers, (ii) statements of future economic performance, and (III) statements of assumptions underlying other statements and statements about Lifeway or its business. You are cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations of future events and thus are inherently subject to uncertainty. If underlying assumptions prove inaccurate or known or unknown risks or uncertainties materialize, actual results could vary materially from Lifeway’s expectations and projections. These risks, uncertainties, and other factors include: price competition; the decisions of customers or consumers; the actions of competitors; changes in the pricing of commodities; the effects of government regulation; possible delays in the introduction of new products; and customer acceptance of products and services. A further list and description of these risks, uncertainties, and other factors can be found in Lifeway’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, and the Company’s subsequent filings with the SEC. Copies of these filings are available online at https://www.sec.gov, http://lifewaykefir.com/investor-relations/, or on request from Lifeway. Information in this release is as of the dates and time periods indicated herein, and Lifeway does not undertake to update any of the information contained in these materials, except as required by law. Accordingly, YOU SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE ACCURACY OF ANY OF THE STATEMENTS OR OTHER INFORMATION CONTAINED IN ANY ARCHIVED PRESS RELEASE.
Media: Derek Miller Vice President of Communications, Lifeway Foods Email: derekm@lifeway.net
General inquiries: Lifeway Foods, Inc. Phone: 847-967-1010 Email: info@lifeway.net
LIFEWAY FOODS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIESConsolidated Balance SheetsSeptember 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022(In thousands)
September 30,2023
December 31,
(Unaudited)
2022
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents
$
12,632
$
4,444
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts and discounts & allowances of $1,430 and $1,820 at September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 respectively
13,095
11,414
Inventories, net
9,321
9,631
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
1,621
1,445
Refundable income taxes
260
44
Total current assets
36,929
26,978
Property, plant and equipment, net
22,285
20,905
Operating lease right-of-use asset
203
174
Goodwill
11,704
11,704
Intangible assets, net
7,033
7,438
Other assets
1,900
1,800
Total assets
$
80,054
$
68,999
Current liabilities
Current portion of note payable
$
1,250
$
1,250
Accounts payable
9,102
7,979
Accrued expenses
5,555
3,813
Accrued income taxes
500
–
Total current liabilities
16,407
13,042
Line of credit
2,777
2,777
Note payable
1,731
2,477
Operating lease liabilities
130
104
Deferred income taxes, net
3,029
3,029
Total liabilities
24,074
21,429
Commitments and contingencies (Note 9)
–
–
Stockholders’ equity
Preferred stock, no par value; 2,500 shares authorized; no shares issued or outstanding at September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022
–
–
Common stock, no par value; 40,000 shares authorized; 17,274 shares issued; 14,691 and 14,645 outstanding at September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively
6,509
6,509
Paid-in capital
4,338
3,624
Treasury stock, at cost
(16,695)
(16,993)
Retained earnings
61,828
54,430
Total stockholders’ equity
55,980
47,570
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
$
80,054
$
68,999
LIFEWAY FOODS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIESConsolidated Statements of OperationsFor the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022(Unaudited)(In thousands, except per share data)
Three Months EndedSeptember 30,
Nine months EndedSeptember 30,
2023
2022
2023
2022
Net sales
$
40,896
$
38,140
$
118,030
$
105,730
Cost of goods sold
29,099
29,962
85,428
85,032
Depreciation expense
654
590
1,953
1,833
Total cost of goods sold
29,753
30,552
87,381
86,865
Gross profit
11,143
7,588
30,649
18,865
Selling expenses
2,884
2,843
8,974
8,527
General and administrative
3,085
3,415
10,028
9,546
Amortization expense
135
135
405
405
Total operating expenses
6,104
6,393
19,407
18,478
Income from operations
5,039
1,195
11,242
387
Other income (expense):
Interest expense
(109)
(77)
(322)
(171)
Gain on sale of property and equipment
–
–
33
–
Other (expense) income, net
(1)
(5)
(1)
(10)
Total other income (expense)
(110)
(82)
(290)
(181)
Income before provision for income taxes
4,929
1,113
10,952
206
Provision (benefit) for income taxes
1,517
130
3,554
(2)
Net income
$
3,412
$
983
$
7,398
$
208
Earnings per common share:
Basic
$
0.23
$
0.06
$
0.50
$
0.01
Diluted
$
0.23
$
0.06
$
0.49
$
0.01
Weighted average common shares:
Basic
14,677
15,490
14,659
15,462
Diluted
15,101
15,848
15,063
15,759
LIFEWAY FOODS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIESConsolidated Statements of Cash Flows(Unaudited)(In thousands)
Nine months ended September 30,
2023
2022
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net income
$
7,398
$
208
Adjustments to reconcile net income to operating cash flow:
Depreciation and amortization
2,358
2,238
Stock-based compensation
1,078
755
Non-cash interest expense
5
5
Bad debt expense
2
–
Deferred revenue
–
(23)
Gain on sale of equipment
(33)
–
(Increase) decrease in operating assets:
Accounts receivable
(1,683)
(1,576)
Inventories
310
(907)
Refundable income taxes
(216)
(309)
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
(176)
(115)
Increase (decrease) in operating liabilities:
Accounts payable
928
3,085
Accrued expenses
1,673
1,003
Accrued income taxes
500
(725)
Net cash provided by operating activities
12,144
3,639
Cash flows from investing activities:
Purchases of property and equipment
(3,146)
(2,609)
Proceeds from sales of equipment
40
–
Acquisition, net of cash acquired
–
(580)
Purchase of investments
(100)
–
Net cash used in investing activities
(3,206)
(3,189)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Repayment of note payable
(750)
(750)
Net cash used in financing activities
(750)
(750)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
8,188
(300)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period
4,444
9,233
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period
$
12,632
$
8,933
Supplemental cash flow information:
Cash paid for income taxes, net
$
3,270
$
640
Cash paid for interest
$
343
$
158
Non-cash investing activities
Accrued purchase of property and equipment
$
194
$
250
Increase in right-of-use assets and operating lease obligations
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Price Momentum. LWAY shares continue their rise, closing last Friday at $12.42, above our recently raised $12 price target. LWAY shares are up 97% since closing at $6.30 the Friday before the August 14th 2Q23 earnings release and are up nearly 124% YTD. Notably, volume continues to show strong momentum, with the ADV since August 14 at 136,522 shares, compared to a 90 day ADV of 15,430 shares just prior to the August 14th earnings release.
Rationale. With the sharp price rise, LWAY shares are likely to enter a consolidation phase, in our view. Further significant price appreciation leans towards operating results exceeding expectations and/or a potential acquisition of the Company, in our view. With insiders controlling nearly 50% of the outstanding shares, we do not believe a sale of the Company is in the cards.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Raising Price Target. With the shares exceeding our $10 price target, we are raising our target to $12. Our new target is 1.1x our 2023 revenue estimate, up from a prior 1.0x, and still well below the specialty foods peer group average of 2.3x. While we were impressed with the second quarter results, rising milk prices and the potential of consumers trading down in a recessionary environment continue to make us take a more conservative approach to valuation.
Shares Up Solidly YTD. On the heels of record quarterly results, LWAY shares appreciated over 60% since August 11th and are now up 77.8% YTD, compared to a 6.2% YTD rise in the Russell 2000. The last time LWAY shares breached the $10 level was back in 2017.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Increased Demand for Kefir. Lifeway experienced continued momentum in its kefir products, as the Company had its 15th consecutive quarter of topline growth. Higher volumes of the drinkable kefir along with higher prices continued to benefit Lifeway’s sales, while more favorable milk pricing allowed the Company to generate better gross margin, which improved 1,170 basis points over the previous year.
Great 2Q Results. Lifeway reported sales of $39.2 million, above last year’s $33.5 million and our projection of $37.5 million. Gross margin was 28.7% versus 17.0% in the prior year. Net income for Lifeway was $3.16 million, or diluted EPS of $0.21, compared to $0.12 million, or $0.01, last year. We projected net income of $0.97 million, or EPS of $0.06.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.