Tag: Lifeway Foods

Wednesday, August 16, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Increased Demand for Kefir. Lifeway experienced continued momentum in its kefir products, as the Company had its 15th consecutive quarter of topline growth. Higher volumes of the drinkable kefir along with higher prices continued to benefit Lifeway’s sales, while more favorable milk pricing allowed the Company to generate better gross margin, which improved 1,170 basis points over the previous year.

Great 2Q Results. Lifeway reported sales of $39.2 million, above last year’s $33.5 million and our projection of $37.5 million. Gross margin was 28.7% versus 17.0% in the prior year. Net income for Lifeway was $3.16 million, or diluted EPS of $0.21, compared to $0.12 million, or $0.01, last year. We projected net income of $0.97 million, or EPS of $0.06.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Response. On Friday, Lifeway’s Board responded to the recent letter released by Kanen Wealth Management (KWM). As one would expect, the Board disagrees with the points laid out by KWM. From a governance standpoint, the Board noted its belief the executive team is successfully executing the Lifeway 2.0 strategy, has aligned interests with shareholders given insiders’ 18% ownership stake, and has consistently engaged with shareholders.

Operating Highlights. The Board goes on to point out a number of operating highlights, including: (i) 14 consecutive quarters of strong year-over-year net sales growth, (ii) growth into the 9th largest U.S. yogurt manufacturer, (iii) a growing customer base, (iv) positioned to capitalize on macro trends as customer demand for kefir grows, and (v) total shareholder return of 44% over the last year and 191% over the past three years, among other points.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Monday, June 12, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Chat. We had an opportunity to speak with David Kanen about his Lifeway investment and letter to the Board. Mr. Kanen reiterated a number of points he brought up in his letter, which we encourage investors to read. Mr. Kanen noted his desire to see other investors become familiar with the Lifeway opportunity.

What About the Proxy Contest? Mr. Kanen observed that, in his opinion, even if Edward and Ludmila Smolyansky are unable to mount a proxy contest this year, the terms of the settlement agreement would enable Edward and Ludmila to renew their quest at the 2024 annual meeting.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Friday, June 09, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Family. The saga between Lifeway CEO Julie Smolyansky and her brother, Edward, and mother, Ludmila, continues, with each side claiming the other breached the Proxy settlement reached last July. While the legal battle continues to unfold, the most recent Court decisions determined, “… no basis in law or fact that remains as to the invalidity of Mr. Smolyansky’s nomination of an alternate slate of directors and such nomination is void ab initio and is not a valid solicitation,” according to the Company.

The Twist. In a twist, David Kanen of Kanen Wealth Management issued a letter sent to Julie Smolyansky and the Board of Directors. According to the letter, Mr. Kanen owns approximately 4.1% of the outstanding LWAY shares and intends to vote his shares in support of the recent slate nominated by Edward and Ludmila Smolyansky.

Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tuesday, May 16, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Overview. The momentum exhibited in 2022 carried over into 2023 as Lifeway reported its 14th consecutive quarter of topline expansion. Higher pricing, accelerating kefir unit volume, and additional distribution drove the top line. Gross margin increased by 530 basis points y-o-y, reflecting higher pricing and volumes as well as favorable milk pricing.

1Q23 Results. Revenue totaled $37.9 million, up 11.2% year-over-year. Gross profit margin was 21.7%, compared to 16.4% in 1Q22. Lifeway reported net income of $830,000, or EPS of $0.06 per share, versus a net loss of $895,000, or a loss of $0.06/sh last year. We had forecast revenue of $36 million, gross margin of 22.2%, and net income of $1.26 million, or EPS of $0.08/sh.

Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director – Generalist Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

FY22 Results. Lifeway reported record full year revenue of $141.6 million for 2022, up 18.9% y-o-y. Higher volumes of drinkable kefir, increased pricing, and a full year of Glen Oaks drove the increased top line. Gross margin of 18.9% was constrained due to increased raw material costs. Lifeway reported full year net income of $0.9 million, or EPS of $0.06, down from $3.3 million, or EPS of $0.21, for 2021.

4Q22. The fourth quarter was the 13th straight quarter of y-o-y net sales growth. Revenues came in at $35.8 million, up 15.7% y-o-y, but modestly below our $39 million projection. Lifeway generated $716,000 of net income, or EPS of $0.05, in the quarter, compared to a loss of $93,000, or a loss of $0.01/sh, in 4Q21. We were at net income of $1.1 million, or $0.07/sh.

Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

ICR Conference. Lifeway CEO Julie Smolyansky presented at the ICR Conference yesterday. In addition to providing a brief Company history, Ms. Smolyansky’s presentation highlighted the size and growth potential of the probiotic market. Ms. Smolyansky’s goal is to make Lifeway to kefir what Tropicana is to orange juice internationally.

Market Size. The U.S. probiotic market was $9.3 billion in 2021 and is projected to post a 7.7% CAGR from 2022-2030, providing Lifeway with a rising tide for its various probiotic products. Notably, probiotic growth is not limited to the U.S. allowing Lifeway to capture additional opportunity in various international markets.

Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q22 Results. Lifeway reported record top line for the third quarter with sales up 29.1% y-o-y to $38.1 million. Price and volume in the core kefir product drove the top line results. Kefir unit volumes increased double digits in the quarter. Net income for the quarter totaled $983,000, or $0.06 per share, compared to $480,000, or $0.03 per share last year. We had forecast revenue of $33.5 million and net income of $215,000, or EPS of $0.01.

New Distribution. Management continues to pick up new accounts. Most recently convincing Food Lion to switch to Lifeway branded kefir from an unbranded product, and adding the 975 store Wawa convenience chain in the mid-Atlantic states and the 106 location Plaid Pantry convenience chain serving the Pacific Northwest. These new accounts should help Lifeway to continue to post top line growth.

Get the Full Report

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.