Industrial Archives - Channelchek

SKYX Platforms (SKYX) – A Step Forward for Its Commercial Distribution Channel

Posted on January 16, 2025January 16, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, January 16, 2025

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Commercial expansion. On January 15th, the company announced that it will begin supplying its products to real estate developer Jeremiah Baron Companies. The developer has mixed-use residential and commercial projects underway in Florida. The partnership is expected to encompass approximately 1,000 units, which we believe equates to roughly 30,000 receptacles.

Seeding for the future. The company will initially supply receptacles to the developer, followed by plug-in products in the later stages of development, such as chandeliers, ceiling fans, and others. Importantly, the company’s fixtures, which plug into the receptacles, sell at higher prices. As such, we expect initial revenue impacts from the partnership to be modest, followed by a more meaningful impact when the units are ready for the installation of plug-in products. We anticipate that the development of the mixed-use project will extend into 2026.

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NN, Inc. (NNBR) – Another Year of Record-Setting New Business Wins

Posted on January 15, 2025January 15, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Business Wins. NN reported full-year 2024 new business wins of $73 million, exceeding the high end of the Company’s guidance. This is the second consecutive year of record annualized new business wins, up from the previous record of $63 million in 2023. The new wins were in key focus areas such as vehicle control, energy efficiency, electrical grid components, and medical components.

Driving to the Five-Year Goal. With another record year of new business wins, NN remains on track to meet its five-year goal of $325 million in new business wins, which will, in turn, be a key driver in the Company’s organic growth to $600 million in sales. Notably, we expect management to also seek inorganic growth opportunities, especially in the medical and electrical segments, to drive the five-year revenue goal even higher.

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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Award Momentum Continues

Posted on January 10, 2025January 10, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, January 10, 2025

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) develops and fields transformative, affordable technology, platforms, and systems for United States National Security related customers, allies, and commercial enterprises. Kratos is changing the way breakthrough technologies for these industries are rapidly brought to market through proven commercial and venture capital backed approaches, including proactive research, and streamlined development processes. At Kratos, affordability is a technology, and we specialize in unmanned systems, satellite communications, cyber security/warfare, microwave electronics, missile defense, hypersonic systems, training and combat systems and next generation turbo jet and turbo fan engine development. For more information go to www.kratosdefense.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Award Momentum. Hot on the heels of announcing the largest award in Company history, Kratos Defense & Security received two more awards totaling over $107 million. The two new awards continue the award momentum for Kratos, in our view, and suggest a solid growth opportunity for the Company in 2025.

Geolocation Services. Kratos was awarded a Geolocation Global Support Services (GGSS) contract in the amount of $48 million. The Company will provide support services to Space Forces Space electromagnetic interference managers and supporting elements with EMI resolution services. Notably, this award takes advantage of Kratos’ internally funded and constructed, one-of-a-kind, worldwide Space Domain Awareness network.

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DLH Holdings (DLHC) – A New Award

Posted on January 10, 2025January 10, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, January 10, 2025

DLH delivers improved health and readiness solutions for federal programs through research, development, and innovative care processes. The Company’s experts in public health, performance evaluation, and health operations solve the complex problems faced by civilian and military customers alike, leveraging digital transformation, artificial intelligence, advanced analytics, cloud-based applications, telehealth systems, and more. With over 2,300 employees dedicated to the idea that “Your Mission is Our Passion,” DLH brings a unique combination of government sector experience, proven methodology, and unwavering commitment to public health to improve the lives of millions. For more information, visit www.DLHcorp.com.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Contract. On Monday, DLH was awarded a new Governmentwide Acquisition Indefinite Delivery/Indefinite Quantity contract through the One Acquisition Solution for Integrated Services (OASIS+). OASIS+ is a multi-billion dollar expansive suite program used by various federal agencies such as the Defense Health Agency, CDC, and the DoD, and is expected to grow in usage over the next few years.

Details. Through the contract, DLH will deliver complex professional services and advanced capabilities to various federal agencies. DLH won all five domains for which the Company submitted a bid, including Research and Development Services, Technical and Engineering Services, Intelligence Services and Solutions, Logistics Services and Solutions, and Management and Advisory Services. As a prime awardee of the contract, the base period is five years, with one option for an additional five.

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AZZ, Inc. (AZZ) – Well-Positioned for Sales Growth and Margin Expansion; Increasing Estimates

Posted on January 10, 2025January 10, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Friday, January 10, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. For the fiscal year (FY) 2025, AZZ reported third quarter adjusted net income of $41.9 million or $1.39 per share compared to $34.8 million or $1.19 per share during the prior year period and our estimate of $37.7 million or $1.25 per share. Compared to the prior year period, sales increased 5.8% to $403.6 and exceeded our estimate of $398.5 million. AZZ generated a 24.2% gross margin as a percentage of sales compared to 23.1% during the prior year period and our estimate of 23.3%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 5.0% to $90.7 million, above our estimate of $86.1 million, representing 22.5% of sales versus 22.6% of sales during the third quarter of FY 2024.

Updating estimates. We have increased our 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $351.6 million and $5.23, respectively, from $346.8 million and $5.05. Our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates have been raised to $372.6 million and $5.77, respectively, from $371.5 million and $5.70. Our revised estimates are largely due to changes in sales growth and gross margin assumptions. The company is expected to provide guidance for FY 2026 in early February.

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V2X (VVX) – Term Loan Repriced; Shares Attractive

Posted on January 8, 2025January 8, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 08, 2025

For more than 70 years, Vectrus has provided critical mission support for our customers’ toughest operational challenges. As a high-performing organization with exceptional talent, deep domain knowledge, a history of long-term customer relationships, and groundbreaking technical expertise, we deliver innovative, mission-matched solutions for our military and government customers worldwide. Whether it’s base operations support, supply chain and logistics, IT mission support, engineering and digital integration, security, or maintenance, repair and overhaul, our customers count on us for on-target solutions that increase efficiency, reduce costs, improve readiness, and strengthen national security. Vectrus is headquartered in Colorado Springs, Colo., and includes about 8,100 employees spanning 205 locations in 28 countries. In 2021, Vectrus generated sales of $1.8 billion. For more information, visit the company’s website at www.vectrus.com or connect with Vectrus on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Term Loan. V2X successfully repriced its $900 million First Lien Term Loan at 2.25%, a 50 basis point reduction in the interest margin. The interest margin reduction represents approximately $4.5 million of annual interest expense savings. The repricing continues a series of actions that have reduced the cost and outstanding debt. We would remind investors that the Company’s goal was to achieve a net leverage ratio of 3.0x or below by the end of 2024.

Shares Attractive. With VVX shares down from the $68 level just prior to the November 12th stock sale by AIP, we believe the current price represents an attractive risk/reward opportunity. The shares have been pressured by the AIP sale, as well as concerns about the future growth rate of Defense spending, especially given the DOGE focus. We believe these concerns are overblown.

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Euroseas (ESEA) – Thoughts on Euroseas Planned Spin-Off

Posted on January 8, 2025January 8, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 08, 2025

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Planned spin-off of older vessels. On January 7, Euroseas held an investor call to discuss its planned spin off the company’s three older vessels into a separate company, Euroholdings Ltd., which has applied for a listing on the NASDAQ Capital Market. The three unlevered vessels include M/V Aegean Express, M/V Diamantis P, and M/V Joanna. In exchange for contributing the three vessels, Euroseas will receive 100% of the shares of Euroholdings, which will then be distributed to its shareholders.

Euroseas to modernize its fleet. Following the spin-off, Euroseas will own 22 vessels, including 15 feeder and 7 intermediate containerships with 2 under construction. Euroseas will be positioned to expand its fleet of modern, eco-friendly containerships, with the goal of becoming a significant competitor in the feeder/intermediate containership segment. A modern and fuel-efficient fleet should command premium rates and longer contracts resulting in greater profitability and earnings visibility.

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AZZ, Inc. (AZZ) – Third Quarter Financial Results Exceed Expectations

Posted on January 8, 2025January 8, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, January 08, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt reduction. During the first nine months of FY 2025, AZZ generated operating cash flow of $185.6 million and reduced debt by $80 million and expects full year debt reduction to exceed $100 million. At quarter end, the company’s net leverage was 2.6 times trailing twelve months EBITDA, and cash and cash equivalents amounted to $1.5 million.

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FreightCar America (RAIL) – FreightCar America Lowers its Cost of Capital

Posted on January 7, 2025January 7, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, January 07, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Redemption of preferred stock. FreightCar America closed a $115 million four-year term loan on December 31, 2024. The loan is priced at the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) plus 600 basis points. Proceeds from the term loan were used to redeem all 85,412 shares of Series C preferred stock for a total redemption price of $113,274,739, including accrued dividends of $27,862,739. Recall that the dividends accrued at a rate of 17.5% per annum on the initial stated value of the preferred stock.

Lower cost of capital. The completion of the term loan financing, along with the retirement of the Series C preferred stock, enhances the company’s financial flexibility, cash flow profile, and lowers borrowing costs. Most recently, the secured overnight financing rate was ~4.40%.

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Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) – Awarded Largest Contract in Company History

Posted on January 7, 2025January 7, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, January 07, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Award. Kratos announced yesterday that it was awarded a five-year OTA contract for the Multi-Service Advanced Capability Hypersonic Test Bed (MACH-TB) 2.0 under Task Area 1. The total value of this award, if all options are exercised over the five-year period, is $1.45 billion, which would be the largest contract in the Company’s history.

Tasks. Kratos was awarded the prime role in Task Area 1 Systems Engineering, Integration, and Testing (SEIT), to include integrated subscale, full-scale, and air launch services to address the need to affordably increase hypersonic flight test cadence. Kratos will lead a team of subcontractors that will provide systems engineering, assembly, integration, and test (AI&T), mission planning and execution, and launch services.

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Graham Corp. (GHM) – Raising Price Target

Posted on January 7, 2025January 7, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Tuesday, January 07, 2025

Graham Corporation designs, manufactures and sells critical equipment for the energy, defense and chemical/petrochemical industries. The Company designs and manufactures custom-engineered ejectors, vacuum pumping systems, surface condensers and vacuum systems. It is a nuclear code accredited fabrication and specialty machining company. It supplies components used inside reactor vessels and outside containment vessels of nuclear power facilities. Its equipment is found in applications, such as metal refining, pulp and paper processing, water heating, refrigeration, desalination, food processing, pharmaceutical, heating, ventilating and air conditioning. For the defense industry, its equipment is used in nuclear propulsion power systems for the United States Navy. The Company’s products are used in a range of industrial process applications in energy markets, including petroleum refining, defense, chemical and petrochemical processing, power generation/alternative energy and other.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Performance. Since the beginning of November, GHM shares have risen from approximately $30 to over $45, exceeding our $45 price target, which we had raised on November 8th. We believe the positive stock performance reflects investors’ increased awareness of Graham’s current operating performance and future potential.

Defense Opportunity. Graham already has a significant billion dollar plus opportunity with the U.S. Navy. The incoming Trump Administration is likely to drive defense spending at an increased pace, potentially targeting areas in which Graham specializes for even faster growth.

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NN, Inc. (NNBR) – New ABL Facility

Posted on January 6, 2025January 6, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Monday, January 06, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Facility. As part of the ongoing strategic transformation, NN entered into a new ABL facility. The new agreement provides NN with a $50 million revolving credit facility, with proceeds used to repay amounts outstanding under the previous ABL. The new agreement eliminates liquidity covenants under the previous ABL. We view the new ABL as a positive.

Improved Terms. The new ABL comes with improved terms, an indicator of the markets growing confidence in NN. The maturity date has been pushed out until December 2029, assuming the term loan is refinanced. The fee structure is lower across the board. And, most significantly, the interest rate should be lower. Based on the current one-month SOFR rate, the interest rate would be approximately 6%, down from approximately 7.2% at the end of September.

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Euroseas (ESEA) – Intention to Spin Off Older Vessels into a Separate Company

Posted on January 6, 2025January 6, 2025 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Monday, January 06, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Spin-off of older vessels into a new entity. Euroseas announced that it intends to spin off the company’s three older vessels into a separate company, Euroholdings Ltd., which has applied for a listing on the NASDAQ Capital Market. The three unlevered vessels include M/V Aegean Express, M/V Diamantis P, and the M/V Joanna. In exchange for contributing the three vessels, Euroseas will receive 100% of the shares of Euroholdings, which will then be distributed to its shareholders.

Investor conference call. Euroseas does not expect the spin-off to have any impact on its growth strategy or dividend policy and expects to continue modernizing its fleet. Management believes Euroholding’s valuation will be supported by the company’s fleet profile, capital structure, and higher intended dividend distribution policy. Euroseas management will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the spin-off on January 7 at 9:00 a.m. ET.

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