Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
3QFY24. Net revenue of $114.9 million, compared to $124.0 million in 3Q23, and below our estimate of $124 million. Gross margin improved to 54.8%, up 190 basis points y-o-y. Net income of $5.1 million, or $0.16/sh ($0.19/sh adjusted) compared to net income of $5.2 million, or $0.17/sh (adjusted of $0.20). We had forecasted net income of $4.5 million, or $0.14/sh.
Segments. VB Direct segment revenues totaled $72.3 million, a 9.7% decrease y-o-y. Comparable sales declined 8.2% in the third quarter, primarily driven by weakness in the outlet channel. VB Indirect segment revenues totaled $25.0 million, a 12.0% increase y-o-y, reflecting a significant one-time key account order in 3Q24. Pura Vida revenues totaled $17.7 million, an 18.3% decrease y-o-y, reflecting a decline in sales to wholesale accounts and a decline in ecommerce sales.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Moving to Market Perform. With the shares exceeding our recently instituted $13 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. While we remain impressed with operating results, we believe a good portion of the recent share performance is being driven in anticipation of a sale of the Company, which we do not believe is imminent.
Stock Performance. LWAY shares are up 82% since closing at $9.38 on November 13th. While we believe the sell off in the shares following strong operating results was unwarranted, the subsequent price rebound has exceeded our $13 price target. To maintain an Outperform rating, our PT would need to exceed $19.50, which we believe would have LWAY shares “priced to perfection” from an operating standpoint, which, given the uncertain state of the economy, is a stretch in our view.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Black Friday 2023 is officially here, kicking off the year’s biggest shopping weekend both online and in stores. Early indicators suggest consumers are hungry for deals, with e-commerce sales on Thanksgiving Day jumping 5.5% year-over-year to $5.6 billion according to Adobe Analytics.
The robust online sales activity on Turkey Day comes ahead of an expected $9.6 billion in Cyber Monday revenue, a 5.7% increase from last year. While these growth figures represent a slowdown from the blistering pace set during the pandemic, they highlight that holiday shoppers are still responding to discounts even amidst broader economic uncertainty.
This sets the stage for a pivotal Black Friday that may determine whether projections for up to 4% gains in total holiday sales materialize. Shoppers are expected to turn out in force to scoop up deals on popular items like toys, apparel, jewelry, and consumer tech that were top sellers online on Thanksgiving.
Mobile Shopping Surge Drives Online Revenue
Fueling the growth in Thanksgiving e-commerce sales is the continued surge in smartphone shopping. A record 59% of online revenue came from mobile devices as people browsed and bought gifts on the go. With mobile penetration rising every year, retailers have adapted their sites and apps to make it easier for iPhone and Android users to capitalize on promotions.
Savvy shoppers are discovering they can beat crowds and inventory shortages by taking advantage of online-only deals as well as ordering online and picking up in store. Retailers are encouraging this omnichannel behavior by making curbside pickup fast and frictionless. The convenience of mobile ordering combined with flexible fulfillment options underlies the shift towards more Thanksgiving and Black Friday spending happening digitally.
Top Deals Entice Consumers
Despite economic pressures from inflation and higher interest rates, consumers have shown a willingness to spend when the price is right. Adobe tracked toys discounted up to 28%, electronics up to 27% off, and computers 22% off on Thanksgiving, leading to triple-digit surge in those categories versus October.
Amazon and Target rolled out additional Black Friday toy deals with major markdowns on Barbie dream campers, Marvel action figures, and Nintendo Switch gaming bundles expected to rank among the most popular purchases.
Similarly, doors opening early at retailers like Best Buy, Walmart, and Apple will likely attract shoppers chasing deals on big-screen TVs, Bluetooth speakers, tablets, and the hot new Airpods Pro 2 earbuds. Though buying conditions are tougher this year, bargain hunters still prioritize snagging discounted must-have gifts for loved ones.
What’s at Stake for Retailers
While Thanksgiving and Black Friday don’t determine overall holiday fortunes, they set the tone for retailers during the critical year-end sales period. Those who miss targets this weekend play catch-up and may have to result to profit-busting promotions to move stagnant inventory later in December.
However, retailers who excite shoppers out the gates with alluring deals and experiences create positive momentum they can ride into the New Year. The outperformance of those players better able to adapt to the mobile and omnichannel-centric future of holiday shopping will be on full display this weekend.
For consumers, the state of Black Friday offers clues into buying conditions for the next month as they weigh completing wish lists amidst budget realities. With early reads tilting positive, cautious optimism seems warranted – though restraint may still pay off waiting to see if deals sweeten further in December.
One thing is certain: all eyes turn to how activity plays out on the unofficial start to the holiday sales season. Black Friday retains symbolic importance for retailers and consumers alike – so expect the 2023 version to again provide intrigue and insights into the health of the US consumer.
Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Solid Q3 results. The company reported $2.9 million in revenue, which was in-line with our estimate of $2.6 million. Adj. EBITDA loss of $1.4 million was modestly lower than our estimate of a loss of $0.8 million. Notably, Q3 operating results were affected by less QVC programming due to talent scheduling conflicts related to a return to an in-studio production policy and non-recurring restructuring expenses.
Favorable licensing model. In November, the company completed its transition to a licensing model, and should report the last portion of its restructuring costs in Q4. Notably, we anticipate significant reductions in direct operating expenses from 2022 levels of roughly $7.5 million to roughly $4.0 million in 2024. Additionally, in Q4, we estimate sequential licensing revenue growth from Q3.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Solid Q3 results. The company reported $2.9 million in revenue, which was in-line with our estimate of $2.6 million. Adj. EBITDA loss of $1.4 million was modestly lower than our estimate of a loss of $0.8 million, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. Notably, Q3 operating results were affected by less QVC programming due to talent scheduling conflicts related to a return to an in-studio production policy and non-recurring restructuring expenses.
Transition toward a licensing model. In November, the company completed a restructuring process by entering into licensing agreements for its Longaberger and made in the US baskets businesses. The new licensing model is expected to significantly lower operating costs and be a key catalyst toward a swing to positive cash flow in 2024.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Validated science-based targets emphasize The ODP Corporation’s commitment to environmental sustainability
BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 16, 2023– The ODP Corporation is proud to announce that it has successfully earned validation from the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) of its science-based targets for scope 1, scope 2, and scope 3 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This significant milestone demonstrates The ODP Corporation’s commitment to environmental sustainability and aligns with its ongoing efforts to combat the effects of climate change.
The science-based targets reflect The ODP Corporation’s goals for reducing GHG emissions, including a commitment to reduce absolute scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions 46.2% by 2030 from a 2019 base year. The Company further commits to reduce scope 3 GHG emissions from downstream transportation and distribution and use of sold products 55% per USD value added by 2030 from a 2019 base year.
As part of its dedication to driving sustainability throughout its supply chain, The ODP Corporation also commits that 75% of its suppliers by spend covering purchased goods and services will have science-based targets by 2027. This collaborative effort will contribute to reducing emissions and fostering an environmentally responsible business ecosystem.
“We are incredibly proud to have our science-based targets validated, as it underscores our commitment to make meaningful changes in our environmental impact,” said Shannon Hunter, vice president of sustainability at The ODP Corporation. “By setting these targets, we are sending a clear message to all of our stakeholders—including our employees, customers, and partners—that we are dedicated to environmental sustainability and actively reducing our carbon footprint.”
Achieving validation of our science-based targets is a testament to The ODP Corporation’s ongoing sustainability journey. The ODP Corporation remains committed to continuously improving its environmental practices and embracing innovative solutions. This announcement marks a pivotal step forward in the company’s sustainability efforts and reinforces its position as a responsible corporate citizen.
The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) is a leading provider of products, services, and technology solutions through an integrated business-to-business (B2B) distribution platform and omnichannel presence, which includes world-class supply chain and distribution operations, dedicated sales professionals, a B2B digital procurement solution, online presence and a network of Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores. Through its operating companies Office Depot, LLC; ODP Business Solutions, LLC; Veyer, LLC; and Varis, Inc., The ODP Corporation empowers every business, professional, and consumer to achieve more every day. For more information, visit theodpcorp.com.
ODP and ODP Business Solutions are trademarks of ODP Business Solutions, LLC. Office Depot is a trademark of The Office Club, LLC. OfficeMax is a trademark of OMX, Inc. Veyer is a trademark of Veyer, LLC. Varis is a trademark of Varis, Inc. Any other product or company names mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners.
Conference call scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET on November 20, 2023
NEW YORK, Nov. 15, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) (“Xcel” or the “Company”), a media and consumer products company with billions of dollars in retail sales generated by its brands through social commerce and live-stream shopping, today announced that it will report its third quarter 2023 financial results on November 20, 2023. The Company will hold a conference call with the investment community on November 20, 2023, at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Interested parties unable to access the conference call via the webcast may dial 800-715-9871 or 646-307-1963 and use the Conference ID 8167522. A replay of the webcast will be available on Xcel’s website.
About Xcel Brands Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) is a media and consumer products company engaged in the design, production, marketing, livestreaming, wholesale distribution and direct-to-consumer sales of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods and other consumer products, and the acquisition of dynamic consumer lifestyle brands. Xcel was founded in 2011 with a vision to reimagine shopping, entertainment and social media as one thing. Xcel owns the Judith Ripka, Halston, LOGO by Lori Goldstein, and C. Wonder brands and a minority stake in the Isaac Mizrahi brand. It also owns and manages the Longaberger brand through its controlling interest in Longaberger Licensing LLC. Xcel is pioneering a true omni-channel sales strategy that includes the promotion and sale of products under its brands through interactive television, digital livestream shopping, social commerce, brick-and-mortar retail and e-commerce channels. The company’s brands have generated in excess of $4 billion in retail sales via livestreaming in interactive television and digital channels alone.
Headquartered in New York City, Xcel Brands is led by an executive team with significant livestreaming, production, merchandising, design, marketing, retailing and licensing experience and has a proven track record of success in elevating branded consumer products companies. With an experienced team of professionals focused on design, production and digital marketing, Xcel maintains control of product quality and promotion across all of its product categories and distribution channels. Xcel differentiates by design. www.xcelbrands.com
For further information please contact: Andrew Berger SM Berger & Company 216-464-6400 andrew@smberger.com
LAKE ZURICH, Ill.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– ACCO Brands (NYSE: ACCO), a world leader in branded consumer and end user products, was named one of America’s Safest Companies in 2023 by EHS Today. The magazine for environment, health, and safety leaders, announced its list of the 2023 America’s Safest Companies last month with 10 companies on the list. These companies are involved in a broad range of activities, from industrial contracting to robotics, from packaging to cabinetry, from consumer packaged goods to electrical construction, and more.
ACCO Brands was among the outstanding companies being honored because of a committed understanding of the value that safety brings to an organization. This is the third time that ACCO Brands has been awarded this title, something only six other companies have achieved.
For more than 20 years, the America’s Safest Companies competition has sought to identify those characteristics that differentiate good safety programs from great ones, and to then celebrate the best practices and procedures that exemplify safety excellence.
“Every America’s Safest Company winner is a standard-bearer of safety excellence. Each winning company has engrained into their culture and their employees a consistent and constant need to keep every person and every situation free from harm,” said EHS Today Editor-in-Chief Dave Blanchard.
To be considered as one of America’s Safest Companies, organizations must complete an application that requires them to demonstrate excellence in several areas: support from leadership and management for EHS efforts; employee involvement in the EHS process; innovative solutions to safety challenges; injury and illness rates lower than the average for their industries; comprehensive training programs; evidence that prevention of incidents is the cornerstone of the safety process; good communication about the value of safety; and a way to substantiate the benefits of the safety process.
As a company with a personal stake in all things ergonomic, ACCO Brands understands the discomfort of aches and pains. That is why the company provides on-site massages using the certified active release technique (ART) to all U.S. manufacturing and distribution center employees—regardless of whether those aches and pains are job-related or not.
“While there is a significant cost to providing the ART benefit to our employees, we believe we have prevented many minor employee issues from becoming more serious medical issues and have a healthier workforce as a result of this program,” says James Edwards, senior director of environmental, health and safety, ACCO Brands.
The best practices from the 2023 America’s Safest Companies are featured in a special section in the July/August 2023 issue of EHS Today magazine and on the brand’s website, www.ehstoday.com. Since 2002, America’s Safest Companies has honored more than 250 organizations for their unwavering commitment to worker safety, health, and environmental stewardship.
About ACCO Brands ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, designs, manufactures and markets consumer and end-user products that help people work, learn, play, and thrive. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Five Star®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Swingline®, Tilibra® and many others. More information about ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) can be found at www.accobrands.com.
About EHS Today Owned by Endeavor Business Media, EHS Today is an American occupational safety, and health media brand. It is the leading US magazine for environmental, health and safety management professionals in the manufacturing, construction, and service sectors.
The Last Great Hamburger Stand Set to Debut in Hidalgo County
LOS ANGELES, Nov. 14, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc., parent company of Fatburger and 17 other restaurant concepts, announces a new development deal set to bring six additional franchised Fatburger locations to Hidalgo County, Texas in the next five years. The news comes on the heels of the recent opening of the first co-branded Fatburger and Round Table Pizza restaurant in Lantana, Texas.
“The Fatburger brand continues to expand in Texas,” said Taylor Wiederhorn, Chief Development Officer of FAT Brands. “Fatburger has a pipeline of approximately 50 restaurants to be built in Texas alone and the franchisee demand to develop more Fatburger restaurants throughout the state has not slowed down. We look forward to adding six more restaurants to our existing development pipeline in Texas with further growth near the southern border.”
Ever since the first Fatburger opened in Los Angeles 70 years ago, the chain has been known for its delicious, grilled-to-perfection and cooked-to-order burgers. Founder Lovie Yancey believed that a big burger with everything on it is a meal in itself; at Fatburger “everything” is not just the usual roster of toppings. Burgers can be customized with everything from bacon and eggs to chili and onion rings. In addition to its famous burgers, the Fatburger menu also includes Fat and Skinny Fries, sweet potato fries, scratch-made onion rings, Impossible™ Burgers, turkeyburgers, hand-breaded crispy chicken sandwiches, and hand-scooped milkshakes made from 100 percent real ice cream.
FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual and polished casual dining restaurant concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 18 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Smokey Bones, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.
About Fatburger An all-American, Hollywood favorite, Fatburger is a fast-casual restaurant serving big, juicy, tasty burgers, crafted specifically to each customer’s liking. With a legacy spanning 70 years, Fatburger’s extraordinary quality and taste inspire fierce loyalty amongst its fan base, which includes a number of A-list celebrities and athletes. Featuring a contemporary design and ambiance, Fatburger offers an unparalleled dining experience, demonstrating the same dedication to serving gourmet, homemade, custom-built burgers as it has since 1952 – The Last Great Hamburger Stand™.
Forward Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the future financial and operating results of the Company, estimates of future EBITDA, the timing and performance of new store openings, future reductions in cost of capital and leverage ratio, our ability to conduct future accretive acquisitions and our pipeline of new store locations. Forward-looking statements generally use words such as “expect,” “foresee,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “project,” “should,” “estimate,” “will,” “plans,” “forecast,” and similar expressions, and reflect our expectations concerning the future. Forward-looking statements are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are difficult to predict and beyond our control, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our current expectations and from the forward-looking statements contained in this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
3Q23 Revenue. Revenue increased 7.2% y-oy to $40.9 million and represents the 16th consecutive quarter of y-o-y revenue growth. We had forecasted $39.5 million. Revenue growth was driven by volume growth in drinkable kefir, up 9% y-o-y, and the impact of price increases taken last December. Significantly, there does not appear to be any significant trading down, even with the uncertain economy.
GM and EPS. Gross margin in the third quarter improved 730 basis points to 27.3% and was better than our 25.6% estimate. Net income totaled $3.4 million, or EPS of $0.23, up from $983,000, or $0.06/sh, last year. We were at $2.4 million, or $0.14/sh. Higher volumes and more favorable milk prices y-o-y drove the results.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
NEW YORK, Nov. 13, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) (“Xcel” or the “Company”), a media and consumer products company with billions of dollars in retail sales generated by its brands through social commerce and live-stream shopping, today announced a new licensing agreement with ALPHA OES, a provider of eCommerce services and strategies for brands. Under the terms of the licensing agreement, ALPHA OES will take over the day-to-day operations for Xcel’s Longaberger eCommerce business.
“We’re excited to partner with ALPHA OES on the Longaberger brand,” said Robert W. D’Loren, Chairman and CEO of Xcel Brands. “Since we acquired Longaberger in 2019, we’ve been able to evolve the business from a direct sales company into a social commerce marketplace for home products featuring Longaberger’s American made baskets. We believe that partnering with ALPHA OES, who is an expert in investing in and driving profitable growth eCommerce businesses that show strong brand affinity will help us continue to grow the Longaberger brand and business.”
“Longaberger is an American heritage brand with a strong consumer following and unique positioning in the market,” said Charles Mertz, CEO of ALPHA OES. “We’re thrilled to partner with Xcel to continue to build Longaberger’s eCommerce business and build upon the reputation and brand positioning that Longaberger enjoys and Xcel has invested in over the past several years. We’re also excited to work with Xcel on bringing Longaberger onto their social commerce marketplace, which we believe has the potential to reinvent customer acquisition of eCommerce brands that have a highly engaged audience through social commerce.”
Under the new agreement, ALPHA OES will take over day-to-day management of Longaberger’s eCommerce business under a license with Longaberger Licensing, a subsidiary of Xcel. Xcel will continue to build out its social commerce and short form video technology and plans to transition the Longaberger stylists onto its new platform by year-end. Xcel continues to strategically invest in social commerce technology platforms and partnerships that enable it to connect brands directly with consumers through short-form and live-stream video content.
About Xcel Brands
Xcel Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: XELB) is a media and consumer products company engaged in the design, production, marketing, livestreaming, wholesale distribution and direct-to-consumer sales of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods and other consumer products, and the acquisition of dynamic consumer lifestyle brands. Xcel was founded in 2011 with a vision to reimagine shopping, entertainment and social media as one thing. Xcel owns the Judith Ripka, Halston, LOGO by Lori Goldstein, and C. Wonder brands and a minority stake in the Isaac Mizrahi brand. It also owns and manages the Longaberger brand through its controlling interest in Longaberger Licensing LLC. Xcel is pioneering a true omni-channel sales strategy that includes the promotion and sale of products under its brands through interactive television, digital livestream shopping, social commerce, brick-and-mortar retail and e-commerce channels. The company’s brands have generated in excess of $4 billion in retail sales via livestreaming in interactive television and digital channels alone.
Headquartered in New York City, Xcel Brands is led by an executive team with significant livestreaming, production, merchandising, design, marketing, retailing and licensing experience and has a proven track record of success in elevating branded consumer products companies. With an experienced team of professionals focused on design, production and digital marketing, Xcel maintains control of product quality and promotion across all of its product categories and distribution channels. Xcel differentiates by design. www.xcelbrands.com
About ALPHA OES
ALPHA OES, a premier Outsourced eCommerce Solutions company, forms strategic partnerships with leading brands to maximize digital commerce and revolutionize direct-to-consumer (DTC) engagement. Leveraging proprietary FoxLogic performance marketing strategies, ALPHA OES drives sustainable revenue and contribution margin growth while supercharging a brand’s digital presence. The comprehensive suite of eCommerce services developed by ALPHA OES is customized to serve unique brand needs while scaling for continuous growth.
Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
3Q23 Results. Revenue came in at $2.009 billion, down from $2.172 billion in 3Q22, driven by store closures, lower comparable sales, and a challenging economic environment. Adjusted net income was flat at $73 million, while adjusted EPS rose to $1.88 from $1.48 as a result of the reduction in outstanding shares. Adjusted EBITDA was $125 million, compared to $131 million last year.
Strategy Is Working. ODP delivered solid operating results in spite of the challenging economic environment, with strong adjusted EPS and adjusted free cash flow. Adjusted FCF in the quarter was $89 million. The Company’s low cost operating model continues to deliver.
Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.
This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.
Low-Cost Business Model and Disciplined Capital Allocation Drive Solid Operating Performance and Strong EPS Growth
Third Quarter Revenue of $2 Billion with GAAP EPS of $1.79; Adjusted EPS of $1.88
GAAP Operating Income of $91 Million; GAAP Net Income of $70 Million; Adjusted EBITDA of $125 Million
Repurchased $32 Million of Shares in the Third Quarter of 2023
Updates Full-Year 2023 Guidance
BOCA RATON, Fla.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 8, 2023– The ODP Corporation (“ODP,” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ:ODP), a leading provider of products, services, and technology solutions to businesses and consumers, today announced results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023.
Consolidated (in millions, except per share amounts)
3Q23
3Q22
YTD23
YTD22
Selected GAAP and Non-GAAP measures:
Sales
$2,009
$2,172
$6,025
$6,385
Sales change from prior year period
(8)%
(6)%
Operating income
$91
$84
$232
$188
Adjusted operating income (1)
$95
$95
$247
$238
Net income from continuing operations
$70
$67
$176
$142
Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations
$1.79
$1.36
$4.38
$2.84
Adjusted net income from continuing operations (1)
$73
$73
$187
$177
Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations (fully diluted) (1)
$1.88
$1.48
$4.66
$3.54
Adjusted EBITDA (1)
$125
$131
$342
$347
Operating Cash Flow from continuing operations
$112
$163
$261
$79
Free Cash Flow (2)
$86
$138
$183
$11
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (3)
$89
$160
$192
$54
Third Quarter 2023 Summary(1)(2)(3)
Total reported sales of $2.0 billion, down 8% versus the prior year, primarily due to lower sales in its Office Depot consumer division, largely driven by 71 fewer retail locations in service compared to the prior year, as well as lower retail and online consumer traffic and transactions
GAAP operating income of $91 million and net income from continuing operations of $70 million, or $1.79 per diluted share, versus $84 million and $67 million, respectively, or $1.36 per diluted share, in the prior year
Adjusted operating income of $95 million, flat compared to the third quarter of 2022; adjusted EBITDA of $125 million, compared to $131 million in the third quarter of 2022
Adjusted net income from continuing operations of $73 million, or adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.88, versus $73 million or $1.48, respectively, in the prior year
Operating cash flow from continuing operations of $112 million and adjusted free cash flow of $89 million, versus $163 million and $160 million, respectively, in the prior year
Repurchased 659 thousand shares at a cost of $32 million in the third quarter of 2023
$1.2 billion of total available liquidity including $384 million in cash and cash equivalents at quarter end
“I am extremely impressed seeing the day-to-day commitment and exceptional execution from our team as I fulfill Chief Executive Officer Gerry Smith’s responsibilities while he is on medical leave,” said Joseph Vassalluzzo, ODP’s chairman of the board. “In the quarter, our team delivered strong operating income and earnings per share results against a challenging economic backdrop, reflecting our unwavering commitment to operational excellence and to our low-cost business model approach.
“We continue to make progress across our four business units as we execute our three horizons strategy. This included expanding margins at ODP Business Solutions, new product testing and category expansion at Office Depot, securing new third-party customers at Veyer while remaining on track to more than double third-party EBITDA this year, and enhancing our platform and customer engagement at Varis.
“Our shareholder value creation formula, which integrates operational excellence with a shareholder-focused capital allocation plan, including the repurchase of approximately $32 million of shares during the quarter, contributed to a meaningful year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter and revised upward EPS guidance for the full year,” Vassalluzzo added.
“As we look ahead, we anticipate the macroeconomic environment to remain challenging throughout the remainder of the year. However, we are confident in our position of strength and will continue to focus on driving value for shareholders through our low-cost business model, leveraging our multiple routes to market, and continuing with our disciplined capital allocation,” Vassalluzzo concluded.
Consolidated Results
Reported (GAAP) Results
Total reported sales for the third quarter of 2023 were $2 billion, a decrease of 8% compared with the same period last year. This was driven primarily by lower sales in its consumer division, Office Depot, primarily due to 71 fewer stores in service compared to last year related to planned store closures, as well as lower retail and online consumer traffic. Sales at ODP Business Solutions Division were down slightly compared to last year, largely driven by slower return to office trends and lower sales of technology products. Meanwhile, Veyer provided strong logistics support for the ODP Business Solutions and Office Depot Divisions, and continued to capture additional demand for its supply chain and procurement solutions among other third-party customers.
The Company reported operating income of $91 million in the third quarter of 2023, up 8% compared to operating income of $84 million in the prior year period. Operating results in the third quarter of 2023 included $4 million of charges. These charges consisted primarily of $3 million associated with non-cash asset impairments largely related to the operating lease right-of-use (ROU) assets associated with the Company’s retail store locations. Net income from continuing operations was $70 million, or $1.79 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2023, up from $67 million, or $1.36 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2022.
Adjusted (non-GAAP) Results(1)
Adjusted results for the third quarter of 2023 exclude charges and credits totaling $4 million as described above and the associated tax impacts.
Third quarter of 2023 adjusted EBITDA was $125 million compared to $131 million in the prior year period. This included depreciation and amortization of $28 million and $32 million in the third quarters of 2023 and 2022, respectively
Third quarter of 2023 adjusted operating income was $95 million, flat compared to the third quarter of 2022
Third quarter of 2023 adjusted net income from continuing operations was $73 million, or $1.88 per diluted share, compared to $73 million, or $1.48 per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2022, an increase of 27% on a per share basis
Division Results
ODP Business Solutions Division
Leading B2B distribution solutions provider serving small, medium and enterprise level companies with an annual trailing-twelve-month revenue in excess of $4 billion
Reported sales were $1.0 billion in the third quarter of 2023, down approximately 3% compared to the same period last year primarily related to lower sales of technology products and weaker macroeconomic conditions
Stronger sales in cleaning and breakroom supplies were more than offset by lower sales of technology and core supplies
Total adjacency category sales, including cleaning and breakroom, furniture, technology, and copy and print, were 44% of total ODP Business Solutions’ sales
Continued strong pipeline and net new business customer additions
Operating income was $56 million in the third quarter of 2023, up 17% over the same period last year, related primarily to higher gross margins. As a percentage of sales, operating income margin was 6%, up 90 basis points compared to the same period last year
Office Depot Division
Leading provider of retail consumer and small business products and services distributed via Office Depot and OfficeMax retail locations and an award-winning eCommerce presence
Reported sales were $1.0 billion in the third quarter of 2023, down 12% compared to the prior year period partially due to 71 fewer retail outlets in service associated with planned store closures, as well as lower demand relative to last year in certain product categories, softer back-to-school seasonal demand, and lower online sales. The Company closed 14 retail stores in the quarter and had 938 stores at quarter end. Sales were down approximately 6% on a comparable store basis
Stronger sales of copy and print services were more than offset by lower sales in supplies, technology, and other categories
Store and online traffic were lower year over year due to a greater percentage of customers having returned to the office post pandemic, as well as weaker macroeconomic activity
Operating income was $66 million in the third quarter of 2023, compared to operating income of $83 million during the same period last year, driven primarily by the flow through impact from lower sales. As a percentage of sales, operating income was 7%, flat compared to the same period last year.
Veyer Division
Veyer is a supply chain, distribution, procurement and global sourcing operation with over 35 years of experience and proven leadership, supporting Office Depot and ODP Business Solutions, as well as third-party customers. Veyer’s assets and capabilities include 8 million square feet of infrastructure through a nationwide network of distribution centers, cross-docks, and other facilities throughout the United States; a global sourcing presence in Asia; a large private fleet of vehicles; and next-day delivery to 98.5% of US population
In the third quarter of 2023, Veyer provided strong support for its internal customers, ODP Business Solutions and Office Depot, as well as for its third-party customers, generating sales of $1.3 billion
Operating income was $10 million in the third quarter of 2023, up from $9 million in the prior year period related to the favorable impacts of higher sales to external third parties and lower product costing
In the quarter relative to last year, sales and EBITDA generated from third party customers was up 57% and 119% respectively, resulting in sales of approximately $11 million and EBITDA of $3 million in the quarter
Varis Division
Varis is a tech-enabled B2B indirect procurement marketplace launched in the fourth quarter of 2022, which provides buyers and suppliers a seamless way to transact through the platform’s consumer-like buying experience and advanced spend management tools
Successfully launched the platform in the fourth quarter of 2022; adding and on-boarding new customers, incorporating feedback, and adding new features and capabilities to the platform
Varis generated revenues in the third quarter of 2023 of $2 million, flat compared to the third quarter of 2022
Operating loss was $17 million, flat compared to the third quarter of 2022, as the division continued to enhance its platform and onboard new customers
Share Repurchases
The Company continued to execute under its previously announced $1 billion share repurchase authorization, available through year-end 2025. During the third quarter of 2023, the Company repurchased 659 thousand shares at a cost of $32 million. Since the inception of the authorization beginning in November 2022, the Company has repurchased 9 million shares for approximately $420 million.
The number of shares to be repurchased in the future and the timing of such transactions will depend on a variety of factors, including market conditions, regulatory requirements, and other corporate considerations. The current authorization could be suspended or discontinued at any time as determined by the Board of Directors.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
As of September 30, 2023, ODP had total available liquidity of approximately $1.2 billion, consisting of $384 million in cash and cash equivalents and $771 million of available credit under the Third Amended Credit Agreement. Total debt was $173 million.
For the third quarter of 2023, cash generated by operating activities of continuing operations was $112 million, which included $3 million in restructuring and other spend, compared to cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations of $163 million in the third quarter of the prior year, which included $22 million in restructuring and other spend. The year-over-year change in operating cash flow is largely related to the timing of certain working capital items.
Capital expenditures in the third quarter of 2023 and 2022 were $25 million, reflecting continued growth investments in the Company’s digital transformation, distribution network, and eCommerce capabilities. Adjusted Free Cash Flow(3) was $89 million in the third quarter of 2023, compared to $160 million in the prior year period.
“I would like to recognize our entire team for their commitment and dedication in managing inventory and working capital, which has resulted in another quarter of strong cash flow generation,” said Anthony Scaglione, executive vice president and chief financial officer of The ODP Corporation. “As we work to close out the year, we maintain our disciplined approach, focusing on managing costs, maximizing cash flow, and executing our capital allocation plan,” Scaglione added.
Updated 2023 Expectations
“Our team’s unwavering commitment to delivering value is evident in our compelling customer proposition, strong free cash flow generation, and strategic capital allocation for the benefit of our shareholders,” highlighted Vassalluzzo. “While we acknowledge the influence of the challenging macroeconomic environment on consumer and business activity, we remain steadfast in our dedication to driving long-term value within our business through effective execution of our three horizons strategy.”
The Company’s full year guidance for 2023 included in this release includes non-GAAP measures, such as Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share and Adjusted Free Cash Flow. These measures exclude charges or credits not indicative of core operations, which may include but not be limited to merger integration expenses, restructuring charges, acquisition-related costs, executive transition costs, asset impairments and other significant items that currently cannot be predicted without unreasonable efforts. The exact amount of these charges or credits are not currently determinable but may be significant. Accordingly, the Company is unable to provide equivalent GAAP measures or reconciliations from GAAP to non-GAAP for these financial measures without unreasonable effort.
The Company is updating its full year guidance for 2023 as follows:
Previous 2023 Guidance
Updated 2023 Guidance
Sales
Approximately $8 billion
Revised to $7.8 – $7.9 billion
Adjusted EBITDA
$400 – $430 million
Affirmed
Adjusted Operating Income
$270 – $300 million
Revised to $280 – $310 million
Adjusted Earnings per Share(*)
$5.00 – $5.30 per share
Revised to $5.30 – $5.60 per share
Adjusted Free Cash Flow(**)
$200 – $230 million
Affirmed
Capital Expenditures
$100 – $120 million
Affirmed
*Adjusted Earnings per Share (EPS) guidance for 2023 includes tax benefits related to R&D and employee-related tax credits and includes expected impact from share repurchases
**Adjusted Free Cash Flow is defined as cash flows from operating activities less capital expenditures excluding cash charges associated with the Company’s Maximize B2B Restructuring and expenses incurred in connection with our previously planned separation of the consumer business and re-alignment
“Our year-to-date performance speaks to the resilience of our team and the strength of our low-cost business model and capital allocation approach,” said Scaglione. “While the weaker macroeconomic conditions have impacted the level of consumer and business activity creating top-line headwinds, our continued focus on operational excellence has us well positioned to continue driving strong operating results as we close out the year. Our updated guidance assumes a consistent overall macroeconomic environment and reflects our year-to-date revenue trends, while increasing our outlook for adjusted operating income and adjusted EPS.
Our increased adjusted EPS outlook also assumes a lower full-year effective tax rate driven by the execution of certain tax credits, lower than anticipated interest expense associated with projected intra-quarter ABL borrowings, and the impact from our continued share buyback activity,” Scaglione added.
The ODP Corporation will webcast a call with financial analysts and investors on November 8, 2023, at 9:00 am Eastern Time, which will be accessible to the media and the general public. To listen to the conference call via webcast, please visit The ODP Corporation’s Investor Relations website at investor.theodpcorp.com. A replay of the webcast will be available approximately two hours following the event.
(1)
As presented throughout this release, adjusted results represent non-GAAP financial measures and exclude charges or credits not indicative of core operations and the tax effect of these items, which may include but not be limited to merger integration, restructuring, acquisition costs, and asset impairments. Reconciliations from GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found in this release as well as on the Company’s Investor Relations website at investor.theodpcorp.com.
(2)
As used in this release, Free Cash Flow is defined as cash flows from operating activities less capital expenditures. Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP financial measure and reconciliations from GAAP financial measures can be found in this release as well as on the Company’s Investor Relations website at investor.theodpcorp.com.
(3)
As used in this release, Adjusted Free Cash Flow is defined as Free Cash Flow excluding cash charges associated with the Company’s Maximize B2B Restructuring, and expenses incurred in connection with our previously planned separation of the consumer business and re-alignment. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP financial measure and reconciliations from GAAP financial measures can be found in this release as well as on the Company’s Investor Relations website at investor.theodpcorp.com.
About The ODP Corporation
The ODP Corporation (NASDAQ:ODP) is a leading provider of products, services, and technology solutions through an integrated business-to-business (B2B) distribution platform and omni-channel presence, which includes supply chain and distribution operations, dedicated sales professionals, a B2B digital procurement solution, online presence, and a network of Office Depot and OfficeMax retail stores. Through its operating companies ODP Business Solutions, LLC; Office Depot, LLC; Veyer, LLC; and Varis, Inc, The ODP Corporation empowers every business, professional, and consumer to achieve more every day. For more information, visit theodpcorp.com.
This communication may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements or disclosures may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future trends, plans, events, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition, the potential impacts on our business due to the unknown severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic, or state other information relating to, among other things, the Company, based on current beliefs and assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally will be accompanied by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “plan,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “expectations”, “outlook,” “intend,” “may,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “propose” or other similar words, phrases or expressions, or other variations of such words. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside of the Company’s control. There can be no assurances that the Company will realize these expectations or that these beliefs will prove correct, and therefore investors and stakeholders should not place undue reliance on such statements.
Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among other things, highly competitive office products market and failure to differentiate the Company from other office supply resellers or respond to decline in general office supplies sales or to shifting consumer demands; competitive pressures on the Company’s sales and pricing; the risk that the Company is unable to transform the business into a service-driven, B2B platform that such a strategy will not result in the benefits anticipated; the risk that the Company will not be able to achieve the expected benefits of its strategic plans, including its strategic shift to maintain all of its businesses under common ownership; the risk that the Company may not be able to realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions due to unforeseen liabilities, future capital expenditures, expenses, indebtedness and the unanticipated loss of key customers or the inability to achieve expected revenues, synergies, cost savings or financial performance; the risk that the Company is unable to successfully maintain a relevant omni-channel experience for its customers; the risk that the Company is unable to execute the Maximize B2B Restructuring Plan successfully or that such plan will not result in the benefits anticipated; failure to effectively manage the Company’s real estate portfolio; loss of business with government entities, purchasing consortiums, and sole- or limited-source distribution arrangements; failure to attract and retain qualified personnel, including employees in stores, service centers, distribution centers, field and corporate offices and executive management, and the inability to keep supply of skills and resources in balance with customer demand; failure to execute effective advertising efforts and maintain the Company’s reputation and brand at a high level; disruptions in computer systems, including delivery of technology services; breach of information technology systems affecting reputation, business partner and customer relationships and operations and resulting in high costs and lost revenue; unanticipated downturns in business relationships with customers or terms with the suppliers, third-party vendors and business partners; disruption of global sourcing activities, evolving foreign trade policy (including tariffs imposed on certain foreign made goods); exclusive Office Depot branded products are subject to additional product, supply chain and legal risks; product safety and quality concerns of manufacturers’ branded products and services and Office Depot private branded products; covenants in the credit facility; general disruption in the credit markets; incurrence of significant impairment charges; retained responsibility for liabilities of acquired companies; fluctuation in quarterly operating results due to seasonality of the Company’s business; changes in tax laws in jurisdictions where the Company operates; increases in wage and benefit costs and changes in labor regulations; changes in the regulatory environment, legal compliance risks and violations of the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other worldwide anti-bribery laws; volatility in the Company’s common stock price; changes in or the elimination of the payment of cash dividends on Company common stock; macroeconomic conditions such as higher interest rates and future declines in business or consumer spending; increases in fuel and other commodity prices and the cost of material, energy and other production costs, or unexpected costs that cannot be recouped in product pricing; unexpected claims, charges, litigation, dispute resolutions or settlement expenses; catastrophic events, including the impact of weather events on the Company’s business; the discouragement of lawsuits by shareholders against the Company and its directors and officers as a result of the exclusive forum selection of the Court of Chancery, the federal district court for the District of Delaware or other Delaware state courts by the Company as the sole and exclusive forum for such lawsuits; and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Company’s business. The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Investors and shareholders should carefully consider the foregoing factors and the other risks and uncertainties described in the Company’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and Current Reports on Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
