Bit Digital (BTBT) – May Production Numbers Released


Thursday, June 06, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

BTC Side. Bit Digital produced 63.3 BTC during the month of May, a 47% decrease from 119.3 BTC the prior month. The ‘halving’ is the main contributor to the decrease. The active hash rate as of May 31, 2024, was 2.54 EH/s down from 2.76 EH/s last month due to the Company curtailing some of its machines.

AI and ETH. The Company had 256 servers actively running on its AI contract and earned an estimated $4.2 million of revenue during the month of May 2024. On the staking side, Bit Digital had approximately 17,184 ETH actively staked in native staking protocols, flat from last month. The Company earned a blended APY of 3.1% on its staked ETH.


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – Riot Platforms Goes Public With Bitfarms Offer


Friday, May 31, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Riot’s Offer. Riot Platforms went public with a proposal to acquire all of the outstanding shares of Bitfarms Ltd. The initial April 22nd private proposal was rejected by Bitfarms’ Special Committee of the Board. Riot Platforms also announced that it accumulated a 10% stake in the Company and is now its largest shareholder. With the stake, Riot intends to requisition a Special Meeting of Bitfarms’ shareholders to add new directors to Bitfarm’s Board following its Annual General and Special Meeting on May 31, 2024.

Proposal Details. The offer from Riot is for $2.30 per share, an approximately 20% premium to Bitfarms’ closing price of $1.92 as of April 19, 2024, the day before Riot’s private proposal. The proposal results in a total equity value of $950 million.


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – AI Showing its Impact


Friday, May 17, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AI Adding to Growth. Total revenue for the first quarter was $30.3 million compared to $8.3 million in the prior year. This surpassed our $23.5 million estimate, as a higher bitcoin price and the Company’s inclusion of AI revenue led to the increase. The AI revenue comes from the Company’s anchor AI contract with expected annualized revenue of $50 million. We believe the AI contract provides an alternative revenue stream non-correlated to the cryptocurrency market.

Potential for More Soon. Although the $50 million contract is in place, earlier in the year Bit Digital received a proposal for an expansion of its contract. With the expansion, the proposal calls for an additional 2,048 GPUs on top of the 2,048 GPUs already in the contract, effectively doubling revenue to $100 million. The Company is currently in talks with the client on the terms of the expansion and we expect an announcement in the coming weeks.


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – A Look into the First Quarter


Thursday, May 16, 2024

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Guided by AI. Total revenue for the Company grew 266% y-o-y, driven by higher realized bitcoin price and from the Company’s AI business. The Company recognized $8.1 million of revenue during the quarter and reported a gross margin of 61%. With the potential increase of the segment’s AI contract earlier in the year, we expect the performance of the segment to rival its mining revenue in the coming quarters.

Mining Side. Bit Digital’s bitcoin mining revenue was $21.9 million, a 168% increase from the previous year, as a higher hash rate coupled with the higher bitcoin price drove the revenue. As noted in our previous report, the active hash rate was 2.76 EH/s as of April 30, 2024. The Company has a total of 48,898 miners owned or operating for a total maximum hash rate of 4.2 EH/s. We believe the Company is well on its way towards its active hash goal of 6.0 EH/s.


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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – Planting the Seeds For Attractive Revenue Growth


Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A transitional quarter. The company reported Q1 revenue of $138.5 million, down 15% year over year, but beating our estimate of $134.7 million. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was $4.9 million, higher than our estimate of $4.0 million. The results reflected redeployment of kiosks and lowered results in California due to unfavorable legislation. 

Favorable kiosk growth. We believe that the company is setting the stage for accelerated revenue and cash flow growth through the deployment of kiosks. In Q1, the company increased the number of deployed kiosks by roughly 700. Post Q1, the company announced the purchase of approximately 2,300 Bitcoin kiosks at a sizeable discount of roughly 50% per-kiosk. The purchase brings the number of kiosks owned by the company to over 10,000, of which 7,061 were deployed, as of the end of Q1. 


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – April Production Numbers Released


Tuesday, May 07, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Bitcoin Mining. For the month of April, Bit Digital produced 119.3 BTC, a 12.5% decrease from last month’s 136.4 BTC. The decrease was primarily due to the reduction of bitcoin block rewards post-halving, which we believe we’ll continue to see a lower production rate until more miners are potentially up and running. The active hash rate was approximately 2.76 EH/s as of April 30, 2024, compared to 2.73 EH/s last month.

AI and ETH Staking. Bit Digital had 251 servers running on its AI contract and earned an estimated $4.1 million in unaudited revenue during the month. The Company had approximately 17,184 ETH actively staked in native staking compared to 3,008 ETH last month. This is due to the Company changing providers last month for its native staking solutions. The Company earned a blended APY of approximately 1.0% on its staked ETH position versus 2.8% last month, with the decrease due to the lag time in redeploying its staked ETH after changing providers.


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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – Seizing an Opportunity


Monday, April 22, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Opportunistic kiosk purchase.  On April 18, the company announced the purchase of roughly 2,300 Bitcoin kiosks at a discount of approximately 50% per-kiosk. Notably, the company plans to deploy the majority of these kiosks over the next two quarters. Once all the kiosks from the recent purchase are delivered, the company will have over 10,000 kiosks deployed, ahead of our previous expectations. We view the announcement favorably.

Sizeable profit-share investment. On April 12, the company announced an outside firm made a multi-million dollar investment in 250 Bitcoin kiosks as part of the company’s profit sharing (or franchising) program. Notably, the kiosks will be operated by the company and a percentage of profits will be paid out to participants. The agreement provides an option for additional investment of up to 750 kiosks.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – The ‘Halving’ Commences


Monday, April 22, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

The Event. On Saturday, April 20th, 2024, the ‘halving’ event commenced with BTC. With the event, all miners will earn half of the mining rewards compared to before. According to CoinDesk, the event also brought higher transaction fees at $2.4 million for the ‘halving’ block compared to $40,000-$60,000 from before. The increased fees are partially attributed to network congestion from the launch of a new protocol, Runes. The protocol allows users to “etch” or mint tokens on the blockchain. The price of BTC decreased slightly to just under $64,000 on Saturday from roughly $65,490 last month.

What is the ‘Halving?’ Recall, the ‘halving’ occurs approximately every four years, in which the reward rate of bitcoin is halved. The reward rate is now at 3.125 BTC per block from a previous 6.25. These events will continue to occur until all potential 21 million bitcoin have been mined.


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Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – Expansion Ahead of Schedule


Monday, April 08, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

International expansion. The company recently announced its plans to ship 125 kiosks to Australia’s largest cities, Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, in Q2 2024. Notably, we believe there is a sizeable opportunity for growth in Australia, which has a population of approximately 27 million people, and less than 1000 Bitcoin ATM’s in the entire county. In addition to Australia, the company expanded to Puerto Rico in March, adding 87 kiosks.

Franchise opportunities. In our view, the company should benefit from franchising, which offers the company a capital efficient method to expand operations. Notably, the company captures roughly 30%-50% of profits from franchise locations with virtually no capital committed. We view the relatively new franchise program favorably.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – A Slight Improvement in March


Thursday, April 04, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Mining Business. Bit Digital produced 136.4 BTC during the month of March, a 6% increase from 128.7 BTC in the month of February. The active hash rate for the Company was 2.76 EH/s compared to 2.73 EH/s last month. We believe the Company is still on track towards its active mining fleet goal of 6.0 EH/s by the end of 2024.

Staking Side and AI. Approximately 3,008 ETH was actively staked in native staking protocols as of March 31, 2024. This is a decrease from the 12,384 natively staked last month due to the Company changing its provider for native staking solutions. The Company earned a blended APY of approximately 2.8% on its staked ETH during the month and earned aggregate staking rewards of approximately 29.0 ETH. As of March 31, 2024, the Company had 251 servers actively generating revenue on its AI contract, with an estimated $4.3 million of revenue earned during the month.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – Potential Expansion of AI Contract


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More GPUs. Yesterday, Bit Digital received a proposal from the Company’s existing customer in Bit Digital AI to expand the scope of its agreement. The proposal calls for an additional 2,048 GPUs, amounting to a total of 4,096 GPUs under the amended agreement. Management intends to accept the proposal, subject to agreement on certain terms and conditions.

Revenue Potential. The current contract before the potential upsize has an annualized revenue run-rate of $50 million. If the proposal is fully realized, the Company would be close to, or meet, its goal of $100 million of annualized revenue by the end of 2024, in our view. Recall, management noted an additional $60 million of capital would be needed to get to the $100 million target through acquiring the necessary GPUs, based on current market conditions.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – A Set Up Year For Future Growth


Tuesday, March 26, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q4 results. For Q4 the company reported $148.4 million in revenue, below our forecast of $157.0 million and roughly flat compared to the prior year period. Adj. EBITDA  for the quarter was $9.0 million, which was in line with our estimate. The softer than expected revenue was largely driven by the company’s redeployment of kiosks. Notably, we believe the company’s favorable redeployment efforts could improve operating results in the long-run.

Expansion strategy. Management highlighted franchising as a favorable option for expansion. Notably, franchising offers the company a less capital intensive method for expansion, which captures approximately 30%-50% of profits from licensed kiosks. Additionally, management views New York as a significant opportunity for growth, and is currently in the application process to obtain a license to operate in the state.


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Bit Digital (BTBT) – Being More Diversified


Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Diversification Heading into 2024. The Company’s fiscal year 2023 saw the company expand its bitcoin miners and change from ETH mining to native and liquid staking. Most importantly, during the fall of 2023, management announced a new segment, Bit Digital AI, to provide digital infrastructure services, including GPU rental services. With the AI business line, Bit Digital has recurring revenue that gives the Company stability in times of volatility with BTC and ETH prices, in our view.

BTC Mining and ETH Staking. For the year, the Company earned 1,507.3 bitcoins, a 21% increase from last year driven by a higher active hash rate partially offset by an increase in network difficulty. The average fleet efficiency for the active fleet was approximately 28.8 J/TH as of December 31, 2023. The Company earned 287.0 ETH in native staking and 81.9 ETH in liquid staking for the year.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.