Bowlero (BOWL) – Feeling Some Impact Of Economic Headwinds


Thursday, May 18, 2023

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Q3 results. The company reported solid Q3 revenue of $315.7 million, up 22.5% from the prior year period, beating our estimate of $298 million by 5.9%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter increased 17.7% to $127.6 million, beating our estimate of $116.3 million by 9.7%. Our estimates are illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. 

Favorable margins. Bowling center adj. gross profit margins were a strong 68% and adj. Center EBITDA margins were 48%, a record high. The company posted impressive total company Adj. EBITDA margins of 40.4% for Q3. The total company adj. EBITDA margins were 60 basis points better than our estimate. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bowlero (BOWL) – Stock Slips Creating More Compelling Opportunity


Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Exercised the earn-out. In 2021, Bowlero issued 11.4 million “earn-out” shares exercisable should the shares trade at or above $15 for a 10 day  period. Given the recent price movement, the “earn-out” was achieved, and, as a result, Atairos Group and Thomas Shannon each received 4.9 million earn-out shares. Atairos subsequently sold the shares.

Increasing float. Atairos acquired the “earn-out” shares as part of the business combination agreement when Bowlero went public in 2021. Atairos could have sold up to 9 million shares under 144a, but only sold the exact number of “earn-out” shares. Atairos cannot sell additional shares until Bowlero’s next earnings date in mid-May. The sale of the 4.9 million earnout shares increased Bowlero’s public share float from 17.9% to 20.7% of total shares outstanding. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bowlero (BOWL) – In A League Of Its Own


Thursday, February 16, 2023

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Impressive Q2 results. The company reported fiscal Q2 end December 2022 revenue of $273.4 million, up a strong 33%, and Adj. EBITDA of $97 million, up 45%. The impressive revenue and Adj. EBITDA beat our estimates by 7.4% and 18.6%, respectively. Adj. EBITDA margins increase from 32.9% a year earlier to 35.5%.

Events and walk-in revenue rebound.  The company reported impressive event revenue of $69 million, an increase of 74% from the prior year period. Walk in retail revenue in the quarter was $170 million, growing by 24% from the prior year period. Management attributed the strong rebound in event revenue to waning concerns over the Omicron Covid variant.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bowlero (BOWL) – Favorable Retail Trends; Raising Estimates


Thursday, November 17, 2022

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A good start to the fiscal year. Fiscal first quarter revenues exceeded our expectation at $230.3 million versus our estimate of $222.5 million. Notably, the quarter illustrated the return of COVID-impacted business lines. League and Tournament revenue was up 46% and Group Event revenue was up 86%.

Hitting its stride. The company demonstrated favorable revenue trends across all of its business lines with strong growth of Bowling & Shoe (+24.5%), Food & Beverage (+31.2%), and Amusement (+29.9%).


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bowlero (BOWL) – Fiscal Q1 2023 Preview


Monday, November 14, 2022

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Previewing Fiscal Q1. We are adjusting our forecast for Bowlero ahead of the company’s Q1 earnings release next Wednesday, November 16. For Q1, we are lowering our adj. EBITDA estimate, as we anticipate lower gross profit margins compared with the prior year period. We believe staffing costs in centers will be up over the prior year period, which was affected by COVID related staffing issues. 

Building in more seasonality. In our updated model, we are giving more credence to the seasonality of the business. Notably, the reduction in our adj. EBITDA forecast for fiscal Q1 is offset by a higher adj. EBITDA forecast in fiscal Q2. Our Q1 adj. EBITDA forecast is lowered from $72.0 million to $63.9 million and our Q2 adj. EBITDA forecast is raised from $73.1 million to $81.2 million, illustrated in Figure #1 Forecast Revisions.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bowlero (BOWL) – Hitting A Good Stride


Friday, September 16, 2022

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Reports a strong year. The company reported another strong quarter. Q4 revenue of $267.7 million increased a strong 68% from year earlier levels and an impressive 42% above our estimate of $188.3 million. The strong revenue was attributed to favorable “walk-in” revenue. Adj. EBITDA was well above our estimate at $82.4 million, 45% higher than our forecast of $56.8 million.

The COVID bounce continues. Management noted the strong performance was driven in large part by a continuation of the COVID recovery. This is perhaps best illustrated by Group Event revenue which was $46 million, up 140% from the prior year period. Notably, the recovery of Event revenue will likely get an additional boost over the upcoming holiday season as year earlier results reflected lingering Covid issues.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.