Tag: AZZ Inc.

Thursday, February 06, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A market leader with a strong growth profile. AZZ is the leading independent provider of hot dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets. We expect AZZ Precoat Metals’ new manufacturing facility in Washington, Missouri to contribute to top-line growth in fiscal year 2026 while capital expenditures decline. Approximately 75% of the facility’s production is already committed and could generate roughly $50 million to $60 million in revenue on an annualized basis once production is fully ramped.

Fiscal 2026 corporate guidance. AZZ Inc. released financial guidance for fiscal year 2026 and expects sales in the range of $1.625 billion to $1.725 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $360 million to $400 million, and adjusted diluted EPS of $5.50 to $6.10. Fiscal year 2026 guidance includes an increase in the Metal Coatings EBITDA margin expectations to a range of 27% to 32% from 25% to 30%, while Precoat Metals EBITDA margin expectations are unchanged at 17% to 22%.

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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Wednesday, January 08, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. For the fiscal year (FY) 2025, AZZ reported third quarter adjusted net income of $41.9 million or $1.39 per share compared to $34.8 million or $1.19 per share during the prior year period and our estimate of $37.7 million or $1.25 per share. Compared to the prior year period, sales increased 5.8% to $403.6 and exceeded our estimate of $398.5 million. AZZ generated a 24.2% gross margin as a percentage of sales compared to 23.1% during the prior year period and our estimate of 23.3%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 5.0% to $90.7 million, above our estimate of $86.1 million, representing 22.5% of sales versus 22.6% of sales during the third quarter of FY 2024. AZZ narrowed the range of its FY 2025 sales guidance range to $1.550 billion to $1.600 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $340 million (from $320 million) to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $5.00 to $5.30 from $4.70 to $5.10.

Debt reduction. During the first nine months of FY 2025, AZZ generated operating cash flow of $185.6 million and reduced debt by $80 million and expects full year debt reduction to exceed $100 million. At quarter end, the company’s net leverage was 2.6 times trailing twelve months EBITDA, and cash and cash equivalents amounted to $1.5 million.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Friday, January 03, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Corporate guidance for fiscal year 2025. Following AZZ’s strong second quarter earnings report for fiscal year 2025, the company maintained its FY 2025 sales guidance range of $1.525 billion to $1.625 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $320 million to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $4.70 to $5.10. During the company’s second quarter investor conference call, management indicated that AZZ had experienced a strong start to the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. Moreover, the tone seemed to indicate that the company’s fiscal year 2025 guidance was grounded in conservative assumptions knowing that the latter half of the fiscal year is generally weaker than the first half due to seasonality. 

Updating estimates.We have increased our FY 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $346.8 million and $5.05, respectively, from $344.8 million and $5.00. The revisions are driven mostly by higher third quarter margin expectations. Our estimates for FY 2026 revenue, EBITDA, and EPS have been increased to $1.675 billion, $371.5 million, and $5.70, respectively, from $1.673 billion, $367.4 million, and $5.60. We think the incoming Trump administration could support pro-growth economic policies that could favorably impact AZZ’s business.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Monday, December 02, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A market leader with a strong growth profile. AZZ is the leading independent provider of hot dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets. With AZZ Precoat Metals’ new manufacturing facility in Washington, Missouri expected to be completed in fiscal year 2025, we expect the facility to contribute to top-line growth in fiscal year 2026 while capital expenditures decline. Approximately 75% of the facility’s production is already committed and could generate approximately $50 million to $60 million in revenue on an annualized basis once production is fully ramped.

Updating estimates.We have increased our FY 2025 revenue, EBITDA, and EPS estimates to $1.598 billion, $344.8 million and $5.00, respectively, from $1.584 billion, $343.0 million, and $4.95. Our estimates reflect stronger sales growth during the remainder of the year and into 2026. Our FY 2026 revenue, EBITDA, and EPS estimates have been increased to $1.673 billion, $367.4 million, and $5.60, respectively, from $1.650 billion, $361.2 million, and $5.45. We think the incoming Trump administration could support pro-growth economic policies that could favorably impact AZZ’s business. While we have not assumed any gross margin expansion during the remainder of FY 2025, gross margin increases modestly in FY 2026 to 23.8% versus our prior estimate of 23.5%.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Friday, October 11, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. For the fiscal year (FY) 2025, AZZ reported second quarter adjusted net income of $41.3 million or $1.37 per share compared to $37.2 million or $1.27 per share during the prior year period and our estimate of $40.8 million or $1.35 per share. AZZ maintained its FY 2025 sales guidance range of $1.525 billion to $1.625 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $320 million (from $310 million) to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $4.70 to $5.10 from $4.50 to $5.00.

Updating estimates. We have lowered our 2025 EBITDA and EPS estimates to $343.0 million and $4.95, respectively, from $350.3 million and $5.00. Our estimates reflect seasonality in the second half of the year. Our 2026 EBITDA and EPS estimates have been reduced to $361.2 million and $5.45, respectively, from $366.8 million and $5.70. Our 2026 estimates reflect a slower ramp in revenue from the new facility under construction in Washington, Missouri.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Thursday, October 10, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. For the fiscal year (FY) 2025, AZZ reported second quarter adjusted net income of $41.3 million or $1.37 per share compared to $37.2 million or $1.27 per share during the prior year period and our estimate of $40.8 million or $1.35 per share. Adjusted EBITDA increased 4.4% to $91.9 million, roughly in line with our estimate, representing 22.5% of sales versus 22.1% of sales during the second quarter of FY 2024. While sales of $409.0 million were modestly below our $410.5 million estimate, AZZ generated a 25.3% gross margin as a percentage of sales compared to 24.4% during the prior year period and our estimate of 24.4%. AZZ maintained its FY 2025 sales guidance range of $1.525 billion to $1.625 billion, lifted the lower end of adjusted EBITDA to a range of $320 million (from $310 million) to $360 million, and increased adjusted diluted EPS expectations to a range of $4.70 to $5.10 from $4.50 to $5.00.

Debt reduction. During the first half of FY25, AZZ generated operating cash flow of $119.4 million and reduced debt by $45 million. Management expects to reduce debt by at least $100 million during the fiscal year compared to prior expectations of $60 million to $90 million. At quarter end, the company’s net leverage was 2.7x trailing twelve months EBITDA and cash and cash equivalents amounted to $2.2 million.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Thursday, September 26, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New manufacturing facility is on schedule and on budget. AZZ Inc. participated in Noble’s Virtual Basic Industries Conference on September 25. AZZ is the leading independent provider of hot-dip galvanizing and coil coating solutions to a broad range of end markets. With AZZ Precoat Metals’ new manufacturing facility in Washington, Missouri expected to be completed in fiscal year 2025, we expect the facility to contribute to top-line growth in fiscal year 2026 while capital expenditures decline. Approximately 75% of the facility’s production is already committed that we estimate could generate approximately $50 million to $60 million in revenue. A link to the presentation replay is here.

Declining debt balance and cost of capital. Based on the company’s strong first quarter fiscal year 2025 results and outlook, we have assumed AZZ will pay down $90 million of debt this fiscal year, or at the high end of the guidance range. On September 24, AZZ executed a fourth amendment to its existing credit agreement and reduced the interest rate of the Term Loan B by 75 basis points to the Adjusted Term Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plus 250 basis points.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Upgrading our rating to Outperform. We have raised our investment rating to Outperform based on an increasingly favorable cash flow growth profile. With the new greenfield plant construction in Washington, Missouri expected to be completed in fiscal year 2025, we expect the facility to contribute to top-line growth while capital expenditures associated with organic growth initiatives could decline in fiscal year 2026. Once its effort to deleverage the balance sheet is complete, we think AZZ could more aggressively pursue acquisitions to enable the company to expand geographically and broaden its product and service offerings.

New manufacturing facility in Washington, Missouri. AZZ Precoat Metals’ new 250,000 square foot manufacturing facility is expected to contribute to earnings beginning in fiscal year 2026. Approximately 75% of the facility’s production is already committed that we estimate could generate approximately $60 million in revenue. We expect EBITDA margins to be at the high end of the company’s stated 17% to 22% range for the precoat metals segment.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Seasonal decline was less due to warm weather. Precoat Metals reported strong results as construction sale benefitted from warm weather. Appliance sales were also strong.

Margins continue to improve steadily as increased sales are spread over fixed costs. Consolidated margins dipped slightly with the shift towards lower-margin Precoat Metal sales, but the overall trend continues to rise.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AZZ raised its FY 2025 guidance. Management increased its estimated sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted diluted EPS by 15-20%. The increase incorporates a $4.5-$5.0 million reduction in financing costs due to the repricing of AZZ’s Term Loan B. It also reflects an expected improvement in results from AZZ’s partially spun off AIS division (40% owned and treated as other income). Management expects $15-$18 million of other income in FY 2025, up from the $13 million we have assumed for FY 2024 (reporting 4/22).

AIS growth reflects increased activity in the Electrical Infrastructure business units. Increased use of data centers, electric grid improvements, and general growth in manufacturing is leading to increased sales. We view higher results as sustainable and have raised our other income estimate for the years beyond FY 2025..

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Friday, March 22, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We are lowering our rating on the shares of AZZ to Market Perform with the stock solidly above our price target. The shares of AZZ have risen sharply in recent months and now trade above our $75 price target. At current prices, the shares trade at 16 times our recently raised fiscal 2025 earnings estimate, a multiple similar to its peers. Our investment premise for the shares of AZZ had been that its multiples would expand as the company’s balance sheet improved. This has largely come true.

A Market Perform rating does not mean we think the stock wont continue to rise. The company continues to report favorable results and lay the foundation for future growth. Construction of a new factory is nearing completion and financing costs are decreasing. A recent debt refinancing is expected to reduce financing costs by $5 million allowing us to raise our fiscal 2025 earnings estimate. With sales growing at a 3-5% rate and margins rising with a shift towards AZZ’s Metal Coating business, we expect solid earnings growth over the next few years.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Monday, February 05, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Management releases initial fiscal 2025 guidance. Management projects sales of $1.5-$1.6 billion (Noble est. $1.57b), adjusted ebitda of $300-$350 million ($345m), and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.25-$4.75 ($4.50). Guidance assumes $10-$12m of income from its unconsolidated subsidiary ($9.3m), capital expenditures of $100-$120m ($90m), and $60-$100m of debt deleverage ($40m). Management assumes working capital improvements which we have not assumed in our models. Management also reconfirmed fiscal 2024 guidance.

We are not changing our estimates, but will monitor the areas in which we differ with guidance. Our model projects estimates that at the high end of the range for sales and adjusted ebitda but below unconsolidated sub earnings, capital expenditures, and debt reduction. Given that our estimates are generally in line with guidance, we are not making changes at this time. Instead, we will monitor the discrepancies quarterly and make adjustments as needed.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Thursday, January 25, 2024

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fiscal third quarter results continued AZZ’s upward trend. AZZ reported strong results in the third quarter as sales continued to expand and operating margins increased. While there was a nonrecurring boost to AZZ’s nonconsolidated division, that should not take away from favorable results at AZZ’s Metal Coating and Precoat Metals divisions. We look for top-line growth to continue at a 2-3% rate and for EBITDA margins to continue to expand towards 25% with a continued shift toward the higher-margin Metal Coating division.

Coating company stocks have risen in recent months. The DJIA has risen 14% in the last three months. AZZ’s increase of 33% over that time period leads its coating peer group, but other stocks such as Chemours (CC) and Sherwin-Williams (SHW) have also risen more than 25%. As a result, the peer group median forward P/E has risen to 17 times from 15 times and the median EV/EBITDA has increased to 13 times from 10 times.

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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.