Tag: Auto Strike

GM Launches $10 Billion Buyback to Appease Shareholders

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Facing mounting criticism after production setbacks and labor unrest rattled investor confidence this year, automaker General Motors (GM) is opening the corporate coffers to initiate a massive $10 billion share repurchase program. The move aims to regain Wall Street’s trust by returning billions to shareholders.

Accelerating Buybacks to Prop Up GM Stock

GM shares have sputtered in 2023, down 14% year-to-date heading into Wednesday’s announcement. The stock dove nearly 5% in October when contract negotiations with the United Auto Workers (UAW) broke down into nationwide strikes, forcing GM to suspend guidance. With electric vehicle launches also lagging internal targets, GM hopes to stop the bleeding and inject positive sentiment through shareholder payouts.

The accelerated buyback comes after GM already spent $3.3 billion repurchasing shares so far this year. By expanding repurchases to $10 billion, GM moves aggressively to reduce outstanding shares and boost key per-share metrics like earnings-per-share.

How The $10 Billion GM Buyback Will Work

Rather than spacing out buybacks over several years, GM is frontloading the program to have maximum near-term impact. The company will immediately receive $6.8 billion worth of its shares from the banks underwriting the plan – Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Barclays and Citibank.

These banks will then repurchase GM shares on the open market over the next six months. The final tally of shares bought back depends on GM’s average share price during that period. If shares remain around current levels in the $37 range, the full $10 billion could retire nearly 270 million shares – almost 20% of GM’s float.

Such large buybacks often drive share prices higher by soaking up excess supply. It also means per-share financial metrics like earnings, cash flow and dividends appear larger with fewer shares outstanding. For GM to hit the upper end of its newly reinstated earnings-per-share guidance range this year, solid buyback execution will be key.

GM Shareholders Get More Cash Too

In tandem with turbocharging buybacks, GM also announced a 33% dividend hike from 9 cents to 12 cents per share annually. Together, these moves signal a shareholder-friendly turn for the automaker after delays in its electric and autonomous programs led to executive departures.

Rather than flashy visionary promises, GM looks to deliver tangible returns now in the form of cold hard cash. These initiatives could take center stage heading into 2024 as leadership emphasizes financial consistency through a period of technological transition.

For income-focused investors and funds, juicier dividends make GM appear more attractive relative to other automakers and electric vehicle pure plays. Combined with reduced shares outstanding, GM’s 4.2% dividend yield will rise even higher, bringing in more potential shareholders.

Outlook Still Uncertain Beyond 2023

An open question is whether GM can sustain enhanced shareholder returns in the years ahead while simultaneously investing billions in next-generation manufacturing and technology. Many bears argue spreading cash so liberally now leaves GM vulnerable to economic shocks down the road.

But with UAW deals running into 2028 and strains from this year mostly wiped clean, GM can campaign on hitting its earnings guidance in 2024 and rewarding loyal shareholders along the way. Where GM goes from there, however, remains clouded in uncertainty.

UAW Strikes End as Detroit 3 Reach Deals

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Detroit automaker General Motors (GM) has reached a tentative labor agreement with the United Auto Workers (UAW) union, bringing an end to 6 weeks of strikes that idled tens of thousands of autoworkers across the United States.

The 4-year deal was announced Monday after marathon negotiating sessions over the weekend. It follows similar tentative agreements reached last week by the UAW with Ford Motor Co. and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles.

With contracts now in place with all Detroit Three automakers, the UAW can turn its focus to ratification votes. The agreements are expected to add hundreds of millions in new labor costs, but deliver significant gains to autoworkers who made concessions during the Great Recession to help stabilize the industry.

Key improvements include an accelerated path to top hourly wages of over $32, pay increases of 3-4% each year, cost of living adjustments, $11,000 ratification bonuses, and restored rights to strike over plant shutdowns. The deals also hold healthcare costs steady without increased worker premiums.

For the automakers, the additional labor expenses come as the industry already faces rising costs for technology investments in electric vehicles and autonomy. But the end of strikes brings relief after 6 extremely costly weeks of lost production.

Ford pegged the financial impact of the work stoppage at $1.3 billion. The company expects its new deal to increase per vehicle labor costs by $850-$900. GM lost about $2 billion according to estimates, over $1 billion of that in the United States.

The sacrifices by both sides reflect just how damaging an extended strike could have been. A 2-day strike last year cost GM an estimated $400 million alone. With U.S. auto sales plateauing, neither side could afford an extended plant shutdown.

For Wall Street, the end of uncertainty from the labor disputes will be welcomed. GM stock gained 0.75% Monday after details emerged, while Ford’s share price rose 1.2%. Investors see the short-term costs of the deals as outweighed by the benefits of resumed production and sales.

Moody’s auto analyst Bruce Clark said the deals are “credit negative but containable” for the automakers, allowing them to remain competitive. Labor peace also helps attract talent and productivity gains.

The question now is whether rank-and-file UAW members will ratify the tentative contracts. Ford and GM workers are expected to start voting within 2 weeks, once the agreements are finalized and presented to members.

UAW leaders face pressure to avoid the rejection they suffered in 2015, when Fiat Chrysler workers initially voted down a proposed deal. But the united front displayed by the UAW in pursuing coordinated strikes gives momentum.

With U.S. unemployment at historic lows, workers leveraged a tight labor market and the automakers’ need for labor stability into significant gains after years of minimal increases. For the UAW, it represents a big win and reprieve from scandal.

The new contracts set the stage for a productive new era of labor-management relations in the auto industry, vital to the American manufacturing sector. As the UAW’s most profitable bargaining partners, Detroit now aims to move beyond the strikes and shift focus to the future of transportation.

Detroit Rocked as Auto Workers Unite in Strike Against Big 3

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The United Auto Workers union made history by simultaneously going on strike against Detroit’s Big 3 automakers – Ford, General Motors and Stellantis. For the first time, UAW is picketing factories across Michigan and Ohio in a dramatic show of force to win contract demands.

On the picket lines are 13,000 auto workers who assemble some of America’s most storied vehicles, including the Ford F-150 pickup, the Jeep Wrangler SUV and the Chevy Silverado truck. Their walkout could reverberate through the economy if dealer inventories dwindle and vehicle production stalls. But UAW contends this risky stand is necessary.

The union is insisting on higher wages after years of concessions, the restoration of pensions and cost-of-living raises to combat high inflation. But the automakers reject these proposals as unaffordable, warning they could force vehicle price increases.

This high-stakes standoff will shape the future of the legendary UAW and the Detroit automakers as they undergo a historic transition from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles. It also tests President Biden’s promise to be the most pro-labor president in history.

Rather than initiate a full-scale walkout, the union has targeted key plants to pressure automakers to raise their offers while preserving UAW’s $825 million strike fund. Top negotiators remain far apart, with the automakers offering 20% raises over 4 years versus the union’s demand of 36%.

On picket lines in Michigan and Ohio, workers want their pay and benefits restored after bailing out the automakers during tough times over the past decade. But executives counter their offers are strong given economic uncertainty.

UAW’s escalation coincides with a new, more aggressive approach under President Shawn Fain. The union aims to regain some of the concessions made during the Great Recession that preserved the automakers but cost workers.

With UAW flexing its muscles more forcefully, Motor City has become ground zero for labor’s resurgence. All eyes are on Detroit as its workers unite to reshape their contract. The outcome will echo through the auto industry and economy at large.

UAW insists the automakers can afford their proposals, arguing labor costs are minimal compared to profits and executive pay. But Ford, GM and Stellantis contend ballooning expenses will destroy their competitiveness against foreign automakers operating U.S. plants.

This dicey labor dispute encapsulates the shifting power dynamics between America’s workers and corporations. Coming out of the pandemic, unions are demanding a greater share of profits across industries.

The auto sector highlights this trend with UAW navigating a precarious situation. It must balance restoring worker pay and benefits while avoiding costs that could jeopardize the automakers’ stability.

UAW’s last major strike against GM lasted over a month in 2019, costing the company billions. With UAW now pressuring all three automakers concurrently, the economic risks are amplified.

Beyond pay, the union aims to secure jobs for members as Ford, GM and Stellantis scale EV production. This includes unionizing joint venture battery plants that represent the auto industry’s future.

UAW vows to hold the picket line for as long as it takes to win an equitable contract. With UAW doubling down on more aggressive collective bargaining, Detroit is at the epicenter of labor’s resurgence.

The outcome of the auto showdown will determine UAW’s direction. It will also impact America’s manufacturing landscape and the Biden administration’s pro-union bona fides. All eyes are on Motor City as workers stand united.

UAW Auto Workers Prepare for Targeted Strikes as Contracts Expire

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The United Auto Workers (UAW) union is barreling towards a confrontation with Detroit automakers as contracts for 145,000 members expire Thursday night. With little progress made in negotiations so far, the UAW is planning targeted strikes to bring production to a halt.

The contracts cover union workers at Ford, General Motors and Stellantis, which operates the Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep and Ram brands. If new four-year agreements are not reached by the 11:59 pm deadline, the UAW will initiate selective walkouts aimed at crippling operations.

According to UAW President Shawn Fain, the union will announce which unspecified facilities will strike at 10 pm Thursday absent any last-minute deals. He confirmed the UAW does not plan to continue bargaining on Friday if it moves forward with work stoppages.

Experts say the UAW could paralyze North American auto output quickly by striking only one or two key plants per automaker. For example, halting production at a couple engine and transmission factories could idle up to three-quarters of assembly lines in less than a week.

This targeted approach allows the UAW to conserve its $825 million strike fund, which would drain rapidly if all 145,000 members walked out simultaneously. Members on strike receive $500 weekly from the fund.

Fain has demanded an immediate 20% raise in the first year of new contracts, plus 5% hikes in each subsequent year of the 4-year deal. But automakers have proposed more modest increases in the range of 17-20% over the life of the contract.

The UAW is also seeking to limit the use of temporary workers, who receive lower pay and fewer benefits compared to permanent employees. This has emerged as a major sticking point, especially with Stellantis.

All automakers stated they aim to reach agreements before midnight to avert walkouts. There remains a small chance of an eleventh-hour deal, though Fain insisted the deadline is firm and the UAW is prepared to strike.

The union could opt to reach separate contracts with one or two automakers while targeting the other(s) for strikes. Stellantis is seen as most prone to a walkout due its greater temporary workforce and past corruption scandals tying executives to union leaders.

Ford has not had a national strike since 1976, giving it leverage in negotiations. A short-term extension past Thursday is possible if talks are progressing, but Fain has repeatedly said 11:59 pm is the “deadline, not a reference point.”

Industry experts predict almost certain strikes at some Stellantis facilities. Potential targets include transmission plants in Indiana and Michigan. Shutting down a couple engine or transmission factories per automaker could rapidly idle assembly lines across North America.

In the event of a walkout, Fain instructed members not on strike to remain working under the expired contract rather than an extension. This could allow non-striking workers to collect state unemployment benefits and ease pressure on the UAW strike fund.

With the auto industry struggling with shortages and high inflation, a prolonged strike could have devastating consequences. But workers want a fair share of record profits, amid union concerns temporary employees erode hard-fought gains.

If negotiators walk away prior to midnight as talks deteriorate, last-ditch deals become unlikely. The two sides remain far apart on critical issues with hours left before contracts lapse. Against this backdrop, targeted strikes at U.S. auto plants seem imminent.