Tag: Advertising Agencies

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Highlights From Noblecon19; Compelling Total Return Vehicle

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, December 15, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Noblecon19 highlights. On December 5th, management presented at Noblecon19 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. The presentation conducted by Stuart Rosenstein, CFO, and Claire Yenicay, VP Business Development, highlighted the company’s strong cash flow generating ability of its hyper-local digital and legacy broadcast radio businesses. Notably, the company stands to benefit from high margin political revenue and prospective improved advertising environment in 2024.

Digital growth engine. The company is focused on growing its digital businesses, which have been a catalyst for revenue and cash flow growth for the past several years. In Q3 digital revenues accounted for 52% of total company revenue, and are anticipated to account for a greater percentage in the future. Notably, the company’s fastest growing business segment, programmatic advertising, is benefitting from the rising popularity of CTV.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Demostrates Scaleable Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Impressive results. The company posted revenue of $59.5 million and adj. EBITDA of $5.4 million, both well above our expectations. Revenues accelerated sequentially, up 125.5% in the latest quarter, up from 66.5% in Q2. Notably, Sell-side revenue grew a whopping 174% over the prior year period.

Investments paying off. In our view, the especially strong quarter indicates that the company’s growth investments and tech platform are paying off sooner than expected. Importantly, the Sell-side segment processed 400 billion monthly impressions, due to increased capacity.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Sum Of The Parts Support Significant Upside Potential

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line quarter.  The company reported Q3 revenue of $115.1 million and adj. EBITDA of $27.2 million, both of which were in line with our estimates. Notably, digital advertising revenue grew a solid 5.5% from the prior year period, in spite of net revenue decreasing 3.8% over the same period. Digital revenues accounted for 52% of total revenue in Q3, a development we view favorably.

Q4 outlook on target. We are modestly lowering our Q4 revenue forecast in light of softer than expected Q4 pacings. Q4 total revenue is lowered from $116.3 million to $111.3 million. Notably, our Q4 and full year 2023 adj. EBITDA forecasts of approximately $24.9 million and $100.1 million, respectively, are largely unchanged due to direct operating expense reductions.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Entravision Communications (EVC) – A Tempered, But Still Favorable View

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Entravision Communications Corporation is a diversified Spanish-language media company utilizing a combination of television and radio operations to reach Hispanic consumers across the United States, as well as the border markets of Mexico. Entravision owns and/or operates 53 primary television stations and is the largest affiliate group of both the top-ranked Univision television network and Univision’s TeleFutura network, with television stations in 20 of the nation’s top 50 Hispanic markets. The Company also operates one of the nation’s largest groups of primarily Spanish-language radio stations, consisting of 48 owned and operated radio stations.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A mixed quarter. Q3 revenues of $274.4 million, a record revenue quarter for the company, was largely in line with our $277.0 million estimate. But, the absence of high margin Political advertising and lower margin revenue mix caused an adj. EBITDA shortfall, $14.2 million versus our $17.0 million estimate. Lower Digital adj. EBITDA accounted for the largest portion of the EBITDA variance. 

Lower Q4 outlook. We are lowering our Q4 total company revenue from $318.0 million to $309.7 million to reflect the company’s current pacings. Based on lower margin assumptions, we are lowering our adj. EBITDA from $25.0 million to $19.0 million. For the year, we are lowering our adj. EBITDA estimate from $69.2 million to $60.4 million. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Travelzoo (TZOO) – Entering A More Normalized Growth Period

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Upside surprise. Q3 revenue of $20.6 million, which increased 30.0% year over year, was better than our $18.9 million estimate and reflected strong revenue growth in its Europe operations (+35.5%) and North America (+27.4%). Q3 adj. EBITDA beat expectations, $3.9 million versus our $3.1 million estimate. 

Margin improvement. Adj. EBITDA margins were 18.7%, up significantly from the year earlier margins of 7.1%, reflecting the improved revenue performance and the company’s diligence on keeping costs low and its earlier significant cuts in its infrastructure footprint.    


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Investor Meeting Highlights

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, October 23, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Highlights from investor meetings. This report provides highlights from a non-deal roadshow with investors last week in New York, Miami, and Boca Raton with Keith Smith, Co-Founder and President, and Diana Diaz, Chief Financial Officer. 

Reiterating full year guidance. Management appeared sanguine about at least hitting expectations on revenue and operating cash flow (adj. EBITDA) for the full year 2023. Revenues are expected to increase roughly 43% to $128.1 million, in line with management’s guidance. Adj. EBITDA in 2023 is expected to be $9.0 million, growing 25% to $11.3 million in 2024.  


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Entravision Communications (EVC) – A Compelling Total Return Opportunity

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 31, 2023

Entravision Communications Corporation is a diversified Spanish-language media company utilizing a combination of television and radio operations to reach Hispanic consumers across the United States, as well as the border markets of Mexico. Entravision owns and/or operates 53 primary television stations and is the largest affiliate group of both the top-ranked Univision television network and Univision’s TeleFutura network, with television stations in 20 of the nation’s top 50 Hispanic markets. The Company also operates one of the nation’s largest groups of primarily Spanish-language radio stations, consisting of 48 owned and operated radio stations.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Non Deal Road Show highlights. This report highlights a recent NDR with Christopher Young, the Chief Financial Officer of Entravision. We believe that the investor meetings reinforced our favorable investment thesis for the company; its above average revenue and cash flow prospects, the looming influx of high margin Political advertising, its attractive outlook for its Digital businesses, large cash position, free cash flow generation, and compelling stock valuation, which offers an impressive current 5.5% annualized dividend yield. 

Focus on margins. The company plans to focus on improving margins in its Digital business and is in the process of right sizing its Digital business by reducing staffing levels and reorganizing commissions. Its plan is to return Digital margins from the current 5% to the upper single digits to 10%. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Bucking The Trend With Favorable Revenue Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 11, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q2 in line. The company reported Q2 revenue of $35.4 million, above our previously lowered forecast of $29.7 million. Adj. EBITDA of $3.1 million was largely in line with our forecast of $3.2 million. Total company revenue grew a strong 66.5% over the prior year period, despite economic headwinds.

Sell-side revenue bucks trends. The robust revenue growth in the quarter was lead by the company’s Sell-side programmatic platform. Sell-side revenue nearly doubled (+97.7%) over the prior year period to $23.6 million. We believe the strong results reflect well on the technology investments management has made to position the platform for favorable growth.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – A Surprising Reaction To An In-Line Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 10, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In-line Q2 results. The company reported quarterly revenue of $121.2 million and adj. EBITDA of $28.6 million, both of which were in line with our estimates. The company’s revenue performance, which was roughly flat yoy, was among the best in the industry, on average down 4%. 

Favorable digital outlook. Q2 digital revenue grew 4% from the prior year period and comprised 52% of total company revenue, more than two times the industry average. Notably, Ignite grew revenue by 11% and its operating profit margin were an impressive 35%. Importantly, we view 2023 as a year of investment for Townsquare Interactive, with revenue and margin growth expected in 2024.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Entravision Communications (EVC) – Trying to Rope a Bull By Its Horns

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, August 04, 2023

Entravision Communications Corporation is a diversified Spanish-language media company utilizing a combination of television and radio operations to reach Hispanic consumers across the United States, as well as the border markets of Mexico. Entravision owns and/or operates 53 primary television stations and is the largest affiliate group of both the top-ranked Univision television network and Univision’s TeleFutura network, with television stations in 20 of the nation’s top 50 Hispanic markets. The Company also operates one of the nation’s largest groups of primarily Spanish-language radio stations, consisting of 48 owned and operated radio stations.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Mixed Q2 results. While revenues beat expectations ($273.4 million versus our $262.9 million estimate), adj. EBITDA was 13% lower than expected ($14.2 million versus our $16.4 million estimate). The revenue variance was due to its Digital revenue, $10 million above our expectations. Notably, the biggest adj. EBITDA variance was due to lower margins in its Digital Media segment. 

A Facebook faceplant. The company’s Digital Media margins going forward will be adversely affected by Meta (Facebook) is reducing Entravision’s commission revenue, from 10% to 7%. We estimate that this will adversely affect the company by over $8 million in adj. EBITDA in the second half 2023. While margins will take a hit, the company’s Digital Media revenue growth appears favorable and adj. EBITDA is expected to grow strong double digits in 2024. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Quarterly Preview: Expect A Noisy Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, August 03, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Upcoming quarterly results. The company is expected to report second quarter results on Thursday, August 10th with an investor call scheduled for 5pm ET. The dial in number is (888) 350-2056. 

Mixed results. We believe that the company will be in line with our revenue estimate of $29.65 million, up 39.5%, reflecting modest Buy-side advertising growth of 3.5% and strong Sell-side advertising growth of roughly 67%. Sell-side margins are expected to decline to roughly 12.5%, due to a step up in costs for additional servers. We do not believe that the increase costs will be ongoing and that Sell-side margins should rebound to the near 14% range for the balance of the year.  


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Travelzoo (TZOO) – Liftoff in Europe?

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, July 28, 2023

Travelzoo® provides its 30 million members with exclusive offers and one-of-a-kind experiences personally reviewed by our deal experts around the globe. We have our finger on the pulse of outstanding travel, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. We work in partnership with more than 5,000 top travel suppliers—our long-standing relationships give Travelzoo members access to irresistible deals.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q2 results. The company reported better than expected revenue and adj. EBITDA in Q2. Revenue was $21.1 million and adj. EBITDA was $4.2 million, compared with our estimates of $20.5 million and $3.4 million, respectively. Revenue growth accelerated to 19% in Q2, compared with 17% growth in Q1.

Strong margins. Adj. EBITDA margins were up to nearly 20%, due in large part to 27% operating profit margins in the North America business segment. Operating profit in Europe, though, still negative, improved to nearly flat (-3%).


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Entravision Communications (EVC) – M&A Signal?

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Entravision Communications Corporation is a diversified Spanish-language media company utilizing a combination of television and radio operations to reach Hispanic consumers across the United States, as well as the border markets of Mexico. Entravision owns and/or operates 53 primary television stations and is the largest affiliate group of both the top-ranked Univision television network and Univision’s TeleFutura network, with television stations in 20 of the nation’s top 50 Hispanic markets. The Company also operates one of the nation’s largest groups of primarily Spanish-language radio stations, consisting of 48 owned and operated radio stations.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shuns Inside Favorite. Entravision’s board appointed Michael Christenson as its Chief Executive Officer, effective July 1, 2023, denying Chris Young, the interim CEO and CFO, the position. Mr. Christenson has a decades long career as an investment banker and held leadership roles at software companies New Relic and CA Technologies. 

What does the move tell us? We believe that the appointment signals that the company will become more aggressive in seeking acquisitions. As of March 31, the company had a pristine balance sheet with roughly $180 million in cash and marketable securities and $207 million in debt, or a modest 0.3 times net debt to estimated cash flow. Given Mr. Christenson’s investment banking background, we believe that M&A likely will be his mandate.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.