Thursday, February 12, 2026
InPlay Oil is a junior oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Alberta focused on light oil production. The company operates long-lived, low-decline properties with drilling development and enhanced oil recovery potential as well as undeveloped lands with exploration possibilities. The common shares of InPlay trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol IPO and the OTCQX Exchange under the symbol IPOOF.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q4 2025 Estimate Revisions. We are adjusting Q4 estimates to reflect softer commodity pricing, with WTI averaging $59.10 per barrel versus our prior $60.00 estimate and wider differentials reducing realized Canadian pricing. We are lowering our revenue, adjusted funds flow (AFF), and AFF per share estimates to C$80.7 million, C$29.1 million, and C$1.04, respectively, from C$88.8 million, C$35.8 million, and C$1.28. Our production estimate remains unchanged at 19,419 boe/d.
FY 2025 Estimate Revisions. We are modestly lowering our full-year revenue, AFF, and AFF per share estimates to reflect lower fourth-quarter estimates. We now forecast revenue of C$290.6 million, AFF of C$112.9 million, and AFF per share of C$4.58, down from C$298.7 million, C$119.5 million, and C$4.85, respectively. Our outlook continues to assume average 2025 production of approximately 17,000 boe/d. We will update our 2026 estimates following the release of InPlay’s 2026 guidance.
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