Gold soared to an all-time high on Friday after a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report intensified expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this month. The move marked the latest milestone in a multi-year rally that has been powered by economic uncertainty, rising geopolitical risks, and a steady flight to safe-haven assets.
Spot gold gained as much as 1.5% to break above $3,600 an ounce, eclipsing its previous record and capping a week of sharp gains. By early afternoon in New York, bullion was trading at $3,592.50 an ounce, up 1.3% on the day and on track for a 4.2% weekly advance, the strongest since late May. Silver also edged higher, while Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar slipped in response to the data.
The rally was triggered by a pivotal U.S. payrolls report showing that hiring slowed markedly in August, while the unemployment rate rose to its highest level since 2021. Economists said the numbers signaled clear signs of a cooling labor market, reinforcing the view that the Fed may need to act more aggressively to support growth. Lower interest rates typically enhance the appeal of gold, which does not yield interest or dividends but benefits from reduced opportunity costs in a lower-rate environment.
Investors have also been positioning for heightened volatility around the Fed’s independence. President Donald Trump has escalated his criticism of the central bank this year, vowing to secure a majority on the Fed’s board “very shortly” and pressing for sharp rate cuts. Markets are watching closely for a forthcoming ruling on whether Trump has grounds to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, a move that could allow him to appoint a more dovish policymaker and raise questions about the institution’s long-term credibility. Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a recent note that gold could rally toward $5,000 an ounce if investors lose confidence in the Fed’s independence and begin shifting even a small portion of their holdings from Treasuries into bullion.
Over the past three years, gold and silver have more than doubled in value, with a steady stream of macroeconomic and geopolitical risks bolstering demand. Trade tensions, slowing global growth, and renewed concerns about the trajectory of U.S. monetary policy have all converged to create a powerful tailwind for precious metals. At the same time, strong buying from central banks and institutional investors has added structural support to the market, pushing gold firmly into record territory.
While some analysts warn that prices may be vulnerable to a correction if employment data stabilizes or inflation ticks higher, many expect gold’s appeal to remain strong. With borrowing costs likely heading lower and confidence in traditional policy tools wavering, bullion’s role as a store of value appears more attractive than ever. For now, gold’s latest record marks another reminder that in times of economic uncertainty, investors continue to seek the safety of precious metals.