| Key Points: – Gold has overtaken the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks as the most crowded trade on Wall Street. – Gold futures have hit a record $3,334 per ounce, rising over 27% year to date. – Shifting sentiment may benefit small-cap gold miners as capital rotates into safe-haven assets. |
Gold is having its moment. In a year marked by volatility, uncertainty, and waning confidence in traditional tech plays, the precious metal has surged to all-time highs, overtaking the once-dominant “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks as Wall Street’s most crowded trade.
Gold futures (GC=F) soared to a new record of $3,334 per ounce this week, pushing year-to-date gains past 27%. This run-up is more than just a short-term spike — it marks a dramatic shift in sentiment from the high-growth, high-risk appetite that dominated the last bull cycle to a focus on stability, safety, and long-term value preservation. According to the latest Bank of America fund managers survey, nearly half (49%) of respondents identified “long gold” as the most crowded trade right now — the first time in two years that gold, not tech, has held that title.
Compare that with the once-revered Magnificent Seven — Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia — which have seen steep drawdowns in 2025. Tesla leads the slump with a 38% drop, while Apple and Nvidia have both tumbled 21%. Regulatory headwinds, rising costs, and tariff uncertainty have weighed on investor sentiment across the sector, leaving room for gold to steal the spotlight.
The reasons behind gold’s surge are multifaceted. First, central bank demand remains at record levels, with nations diversifying away from dollar-denominated assets. Second, inflows into gold-backed ETFs have risen as both institutional and retail investors look for shelter amid geopolitical instability and a weakening US dollar. The backdrop of rising trade tensions — particularly the escalating tariff battle between the US and China — has further fueled safe-haven demand.
More than just a hedge against inflation, gold is now seen as a vote of no confidence in the current trajectory of US economic policy. The Bank of America survey found that 73% of fund managers believe “US exceptionalism” has peaked — a notable shift that helps explain the flow of capital out of American equities and into alternative stores of value like gold.
While retail investors often focus on the headline gold price, it’s worth noting the broader implications for capital markets — including small and micro-cap stocks. With capital rotating out of mega-cap tech and into inflation-resistant assets, small-cap gold miners and exploration companies could stand to benefit. These stocks, often overlooked in favor of more liquid plays, may now see increased institutional attention as gold continues to climb.
Investor sentiment is clearly shifting. Wall Street analysts have begun raising their price targets for gold, and some 42% of fund managers now say it will be the best-performing asset of 2025 — up from just 23% last month. As confidence in traditional market leaders continues to erode, gold’s appeal looks less like a trade and more like a trend.