Thursday, April 22, 2021

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)
New 2022 Dividend Estimate and Fleet Renewal Intact

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Variable dividend policy begins in 1Q2022 and scenarios look attractive.  Our quarterly dividend calculation is based on estimated operating cash flow minus debt amortization, capex for drydocks and a reserve based on future quarterly debt amortization and interest expense.


Our FY2022 dividend estimate is $2.25/share is based on our 2022 EBITDA estimate of $171.3 million, which implies a current yield of 16.4%.  Assuming TCE rates of $18.8k/day and TCE revenue of $272 million, operating cash flow should approximate $164 million. Incorporating debt amortization of $24 million, drydock capex of $11 million, and a reserve of $34 million, net cash flow of $95 million …

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.