Trying To Make A Dash To The Other Side

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

Cumulus Media Inc. (CMLS)

Trying To Make A Dash To The Other Side

CUMULUS MEDIA, Inc. (NASDAQ: CMLS) is a leading audio-first media and entertainment company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. CUMULUS MEDIA engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 428 owned-and-operated stations across 87 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, the Olympics, the GRAMMYS, the American Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across nearly 8,000 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. CUMULUS MEDIA provides advertisers with local impact and national reach through on-air, digital, mobile, and voice-activated media solutions, as well as access to integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, and live event experiences. CUMULUS MEDIA is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Q1 disappoints given impact from Covid. Total revenues of $227.9 million was below our $250.7 million estimate. We believe that the majority of the variance was due to the cancellation of the March Madness, NCAA Tournament, due to Covid 19. Operating cash flow (Adj. EBITDA) was $27.7 million versus our $34.3 million estimate.

    Radio takes a big hit. Radio broadcasting has been uniquely hit given stay at home rules that limit driving in cars where listenership largely happens. The second quarter spot advertising decline is expected to be roughly 50%. We are lowering our Q2 revenue and cash flow estimates and full year 2020 and 2021 estimates to reflect a…



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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report.  NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

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