Cumulus Media (CMLS) – A Sanguine Outlook

Thursday, May 05, 2022

Cumulus Media (CMLS)
A Sanguine Outlook

Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) is an audio-first media company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. Cumulus Media engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 406 owned-and-operated radio stations across 86 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across more than 9,500 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through the Cumulus Podcast Network, its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. Cumulus Media provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, full-service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences. Cumulus Media is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees. For more information visit www.cumulusmedia.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A solid quarter. Q1 revenues increased a strong 15% to $232.0 million, above our $227.2 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA was $31.2 million, above our $22.2 million estimate.  The Revenues and Adj. EBITDA results benefited from a $5 million in pull forward revenues and adj. EBITDA as a results of the cancelled Wynbet contract. Notably, the company would have beat our Adj. EBITDA estimate, without the adjustment.

Tweaking 2022 estimates upward. We are flowing through a portion of the Q1 upside to our full year 2022 estimates. We are raising our full year 2022 adj. EBIDA estimate from $173.7 million to $175.1 million. At this time, we are maintaining our full year 2023 estimates. …

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

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