Research orion group holdings orn significant industrial award pushes ytd awards to 87 million

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Orion Group Holdings (ORN)

Significant Industrial Award Pushes YTD Awards to $87 million

Orion Group Holdings, based in Houston, Texas, is a specialty construction company within the Marine and Industrial Construction sectors, with operations focused in the continental United States and Caribbean. Revenue is split roughly 50/50 between a Marine Construction segment that provides marine facility, pipeline and structural construction services and a Commercial Concrete segment that provides turnkey concrete services in the light commercial and structural construction markets.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

$47 million award is first sign of emerging industrial strategy. The multi-discipline work for the Port of New Orleans on the Nashville Terminal in New Orleans is the first industrial award. Work includes demolishing a warehouse, repairing/upgrading existing wharf infrastructure, and modifying/installing rails for four container cranes. Work is longer term, slated to begin this quarter and run six quarters through 3Q2021.

Combined with prior concrete awards of $40 million, YTD awards total $87 million. The longer term industrial award complements the six shorter concrete jobs previously awarded that begin this quarter and…



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Research – Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) – Scrubbers Done, Quarterly Dividend Tempers Weakness

Thursday, January 30, 2020

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)

Scrubbers Done, Quarterly Dividend Tempers Weakness

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

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Scrubber program completed and all 17 Cape scrubbers ready now. Last installation done in mid-January. Capes are capturing value from IMO2020 changes and cape volatility adds upside optionality to bar bell strategy.

Dry bulk market weakness accelerating into 1Q2020. The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) average of 822 so far in 1Q2020 is down 71% from 2,837 in 4Q2019, and the Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) average of 578 so far in 1Q2020 is down 40% from 956 in 4Q2019. While IMO2020 adjustments to the indices are partially to blame, the dry bulk market has clearly been weaker than expected and…


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Research genco shipping trading limited gnk scrubbers done quarterly dividend tempers weakness

Thursday, January 30, 2020

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)

Scrubbers Done, Quarterly Dividend Tempers Weakness

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Scrubber program completed and all 17 Cape scrubbers ready now. Last installation done in mid-January. Capes are capturing value from IMO2020 changes and cape volatility adds upside optionality to bar bell strategy.

Dry bulk market weakness accelerating into 1Q2020. The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) average of 822 so far in 1Q2020 is down 71% from 2,837 in 4Q2019, and the Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) average of 578 so far in 1Q2020 is down 40% from 956 in 4Q2019. While IMO2020 adjustments to the indices are partially to blame, the dry bulk market has clearly been weaker than expected and…


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this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
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Research – Scorpio Bulkers (SALT) – Weakness Takes A Toll, But Rebound Expected

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Scorpio Bulkers (SALT)

Weakness Takes A Toll, But Rebound Expected

Scorpio Bulkers Inc is a shipping company based in Monaco. It owns and operates a fleet of modern mid to large-size dry bulk carriers which provide marine transportation for major bulks, which include iron ore, coal and grain and minor bulks which include bauxite, fertilizers and steel products internationally. In terms of its dead weight tonnage, its vessels are classified as Capesize, Kamsarmax and Ultramax, by the order of highest to lowest capacity, with Kamsarmax accounting for the highest revenue.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adjusted 4Q2019 EBITDA of $20.0 million well below expectations. The main reasons for the negative variance were lower TCE rates, higher opex/G&A expenses and higher downtime for scrubber installations. Non-cash items include gain in STNG investment of $47 million and asset write down of $25 million.

Dry bulk market weakness accelerating into 1Q2020. The Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) average of 814 so far in 1Q2020 is down 52% from 1,461 in 4Q2019, and the Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) average of 542 so far in 1Q2020 is down 43% from 956 in 4Q2019. While IMO2020 adjustments to the indices have been partially to blame, the dry bulk market has clearly been weaker than expected and…



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Research scorpio bulkers salt weakness takes a toll but rebound expected

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Scorpio Bulkers (SALT)

Weakness Takes A Toll, But Rebound Expected

Scorpio Bulkers Inc is a shipping company based in Monaco. It owns and operates a fleet of modern mid to large-size dry bulk carriers which provide marine transportation for major bulks, which include iron ore, coal and grain and minor bulks which include bauxite, fertilizers and steel products internationally. In terms of its dead weight tonnage, its vessels are classified as Capesize, Kamsarmax and Ultramax, by the order of highest to lowest capacity, with Kamsarmax accounting for the highest revenue.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adjusted 4Q2019 EBITDA of $20.0 million well below expectations. The main reasons for the negative variance were lower TCE rates, higher opex/G&A expenses and higher downtime for scrubber installations. Non-cash items include gain in STNG investment of $47 million and asset write down of $25 million.

Dry bulk market weakness accelerating into 1Q2020. The Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) average of 814 so far in 1Q2020 is down 52% from 1,461 in 4Q2019, and the Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) average of 542 so far in 1Q2020 is down 43% from 956 in 4Q2019. While IMO2020 adjustments to the indices have been partially to blame, the dry bulk market has clearly been weaker than expected and…



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Research – Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – New Awards of $18 million Push YTD Awards to $40 million.

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Orion Group Holdings (ORN)

New Awards of $18 million Push YTD Awards to $40 million.

Orion Group Holdings, based in Houston, Texas, is a specialty construction company within the Marine and Industrial Construction sectors, with operations focused in the continental United States and Caribbean. Revenue is split roughly 50/50 between a Marine Construction segment that provides marine facility, pipeline and structural construction services and a Commercial Concrete segment that provides turnkey concrete services in the light commercial and structural construction markets.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Added concrete awards of $18 million helps 2020 visibility. Total concrete awards total $40 million so far in January. Three structural construction in Houston totaling $18 million were awarded. Combined with earlier awards totaling $22 million, about $40 million of work has been awarded so far this year. The work helps near-term visibility in Construction since it begins this quarter with completion in 4Q2020.

Potential good news coming in Marine. Low bidder on Port Mansfield work, but depends on USACE since bid was 27% above estimate. On January 14th, bids on dredging of the Port Mansfield, Texas channel (W912HY19B0015) were opened and ORN’s total bid of $15.96 million was the low bid. The bid is ~27% above the USACE estimate so not yet certain whether or…



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Research orion group holdings orn new awards of 18 million push ytd awards to 40 million

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Orion Group Holdings (ORN)

New Awards of $18 million Push YTD Awards to $40 million.

Orion Group Holdings, based in Houston, Texas, is a specialty construction company within the Marine and Industrial Construction sectors, with operations focused in the continental United States and Caribbean. Revenue is split roughly 50/50 between a Marine Construction segment that provides marine facility, pipeline and structural construction services and a Commercial Concrete segment that provides turnkey concrete services in the light commercial and structural construction markets.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Added concrete awards of $18 million helps 2020 visibility. Total concrete awards total $40 million so far in January. Three structural construction in Houston totaling $18 million were awarded. Combined with earlier awards totaling $22 million, about $40 million of work has been awarded so far this year. The work helps near-term visibility in Construction since it begins this quarter with completion in 4Q2020.

Potential good news coming in Marine. Low bidder on Port Mansfield work, but depends on USACE since bid was 27% above estimate. On January 14th, bids on dredging of the Port Mansfield, Texas channel (W912HY19B0015) were opened and ORN’s total bid of $15.96 million was the low bid. The bid is ~27% above the USACE estimate so not yet certain whether or…



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Research – Pyxis Tankers (PXS) – Delta MR Tanker Sale Closed

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Pyxis Tankers Inc. (PXS)

Delta MR Tanker Sale Closed

Pyxis Tankers Inc is a United States-based international maritime transportation company which focuses on the product tanker sector. It owns a fleet which comprises of double hull product tankers employed under a mix of short- and medium-term time charters and spot charters. The fleet owned by the company includes Pyxis Epsilon, Pyxis Theta, Pyxis Malou, Pyxis Delta, Northsea Alpha, and Northsea Beta. Each of the vessels in the fleet is capable of transporting refined petroleum products, such as naphtha, gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, and other liquid bulk items, such as vegetable oils and organic chemicals.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Sale of 2006-built MR Tanker has closed. The Pyxis Delta sale was driven by the trade-off between cash flow potential and rising fuel/maintenance cost, including the cost of the upcoming 15-year survey. In addition, debt repayment might have played a role.

No impact to 2019 estimates. Our 2019 EBITDA estimate stays in the $6.2 million range based on TCE rates of…



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Research pyxis tankers pxs delta mr tanker sale closed

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Pyxis Tankers Inc. (PXS)

Delta MR Tanker Sale Closed

Pyxis Tankers Inc is a United States-based international maritime transportation company which focuses on the product tanker sector. It owns a fleet which comprises of double hull product tankers employed under a mix of short- and medium-term time charters and spot charters. The fleet owned by the company includes Pyxis Epsilon, Pyxis Theta, Pyxis Malou, Pyxis Delta, Northsea Alpha, and Northsea Beta. Each of the vessels in the fleet is capable of transporting refined petroleum products, such as naphtha, gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, diesel, fuel oil, and other liquid bulk items, such as vegetable oils and organic chemicals.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Sale of 2006-built MR Tanker has closed. The Pyxis Delta sale was driven by the trade-off between cash flow potential and rising fuel/maintenance cost, including the cost of the upcoming 15-year survey. In addition, debt repayment might have played a role.

No impact to 2019 estimates. Our 2019 EBITDA estimate stays in the $6.2 million range based on TCE rates of…



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Research – Grindrod Shipping (GRIN): Dry Bulker with Tanker Upside – Launching Coverage with Outperform

Thursday, January 9, 2020

Grindrod Shipping (GRIN)

Dry Bulker with Tanker Upside – Launching Coverage

Grindrod Shipping, originated in South Africa with roots dating back to 1910. The company is based in Singapore, with offices around the world including, London, Durban, Cape Town, Tokyo and Rotterdam. Its primary listing is on Nasdaq and secondary listing on the JSE.
Grindrod Shipping owns and operates a diversified fleet of owned, long-term chartered and joint-venture dry-bulk and liquid-bulk vessels across the globe.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Launching coverage.A high quality asset base, consistent TCE rate outperformance and simplified corporate structure are positives. GRIN has dropped more than 60% since the June 2018 NASDAQ listing and the weak stock price performance creates a compelling risk/reward profile. The current valuation of 5.4x 2020 EBITDA is attractive and our 12-month price target of $11.55/share is based on 6.8x our 2020 EBITDA estimate of $65 million.

Dry bulk fleet profile is attractive due to high modern ECO ownership. Tankers add diversification and upside potential.  Newer, modern assets are more fuel efficient and attractive to…



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Research grindrod shipping grin dry bulker with tanker upside launching coverage with outperform

Thursday, January 9, 2020

Grindrod Shipping (GRIN)

Dry Bulker with Tanker Upside – Launching Coverage

Grindrod Shipping, originated in South Africa with roots dating back to 1910. The company is based in Singapore, with offices around the world including, London, Durban, Cape Town, Tokyo and Rotterdam. Its primary listing is on Nasdaq and secondary listing on the JSE.
Grindrod Shipping owns and operates a diversified fleet of owned, long-term chartered and joint-venture dry-bulk and liquid-bulk vessels across the globe.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Launching coverage.A high quality asset base, consistent TCE rate outperformance and simplified corporate structure are positives. GRIN has dropped more than 60% since the June 2018 NASDAQ listing and the weak stock price performance creates a compelling risk/reward profile. The current valuation of 5.4x 2020 EBITDA is attractive and our 12-month price target of $11.55/share is based on 6.8x our 2020 EBITDA estimate of $65 million.

Dry bulk fleet profile is attractive due to high modern ECO ownership. Tankers add diversification and upside potential.  Newer, modern assets are more fuel efficient and attractive to…



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Research – Euroseas (ESEA) – 3Q2019 Results In Line. Another Acquisition Adds Scale

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Euroseas Ltd. (ESEA)

3Q2019 Results In Line. Another Acquisition Adds Scale

Euroseas Ltd. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates containerships that transport dry and refrigerated containerized cargoes, including manufactured products and perishables; and drybulk carriers that transport iron ore, coal, grains, bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers. As of March 31, 2017, it had a fleet of seven containerships; and six drybulk carriers, including three Panamax drybulk carriers, one Handymax drybulk carrier, one Kamsarmax drybulk carrier, and one Ultramax drybulk carrier. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Maroussi, Greece.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

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3Q2019 results stabilized in challenging container market.  Adjusted EBITDA, excluding dry dock expenses, of $2.0 million was slightly below our estimate of $2.1 million, mainly due to higher opex, which more than offset higher revenue.

Fine-tuning 2019 EBITDA estimate to reflect quarterly results and acquisitions.  To incorporate quarterly results and acquisition timing, adjusted EBITDA estimate (excluding dry dock expenses) moves to $9.0 million, down from our previous estimate of $9.3 million, and…



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Research – Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Investor Meetings Renew Confidence

Thurday, November 21, 2019

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)

Investor Meetings Renew Confidence

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock is a marine and environmental infrastructure contractor, and the largest dredging company in the United States. Headquartered in suburban Chicago, the company provides port expansion and maintenance, coastal restoration, river dredging and environmental restoration for public and private entities worldwide. In June 2019, the Environmental & industrial (E&I) business was sold for $17.5 million in cash and the company is now pure play on the dredging market.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

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  • Tone was positive.  Recently, we hosted investor meetings with the CEO and CFO. The meetings touched on every aspect of the dredging market and focused on how restructuring and deleveraging have positioned the company to capitalize on the positive outlook and pursue growth opportunities. We walked away with renewed confidence in the macro/micro outlook.
  • Favorable dredging outlook over next three years.  Competitive pressures after the
    Panama Canal widening have driven East Coast ports to deepen, and the energy export wave is driving more work along Gulf Coast. Coastal protection and…


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