Category: Transportation

Strong Quarter, But Challenges Ahead

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Thursday, May 28, 2020

Euroseas Ltd. (ESEA)

Strong Quarter, But Challenges Ahead

Euroseas Ltd. provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates containerships that transport dry and refrigerated containerized cargoes, including manufactured products and perishables; and drybulk carriers that transport iron ore, coal, grains, bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers. As of March 31, 2017, it had a fleet of seven containerships; and six drybulk carriers, including three Panamax drybulk carriers, one Handymax drybulk carrier, one Kamsarmax drybulk carrier, and one Ultramax drybulk carrier. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Maroussi, Greece.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA, excluding dry dock expenses, of $4.1 million was above expectations by $1.2 million. The positive impact from two recent acquisitions, higher TCE rates and lower opex more than offset higher-than-expected downtime. 1Q2020 gross TCE revenue of $15.5 million increased from $13.2 million in 4Q2019 due to a $529 increase in TCE rates to $9,615/day from $9,086/day, which more than offset 21 higher off hire days.

    Adjusting 2020 EBITDA estimate. Weaker container market fundamentals and scrapping activity more than offset positive 1Q2020 variance. The recent acquisitions will have a full impact on 2020 operating results and we are forecasting 2020 EBITDA of $12.1 million based on 6,070 operating days, down from our previous estimate of $15.3 million and TCE rates of $9,373/day from a previous estimate of $9,691/day. Operating days are expected to drop to 6,070 with…


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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) – Fine-tuning 2020 EBITDA Estimate. Challenges Ahead, But Outlook Positive.

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Wednesday, May 20, 2020

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY)

Fine-tuning 2020 EBITDA Estimate. Challenges Ahead, But Outlook Positive.

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands and trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EDRY is the product of a spin-off of the dry bulk fleet by Euroseas (ESEA) completed in May 2018. For every five ESEA shares, ESEA shareholders received one EDRY share. There are currently ~2.2 million EDRY shares outstanding. EuroDry operates in the dry bulk shipping markets. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an affiliated ship management company, and Eurobulk FE (Far East) Ltd, which are responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operation of the fleet. EuroDry employs the fleet on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $0.8 million was weaker than expected due to lower TCE rates of $7,885/day. 1Q2020 TCE revenue of $4.9 million was below expectations by $1.6million, as TCE rates tied to indices were lower than expected and more than offset higher shipping days.

    Fine-tuning 2020 estimate.  Following the management call, we are moving adjusted 2020 EBITDA estimate lower to $5.7 million based on TCE rates of $8,684/day, down from $6.3 million based on TCE rates of $8,909/day. Given the current weakness in the dry bulk market environment and COVID-19 uncertainty, we are forecasting that weak TCE rates linger into next quarter before recovering in late 3Q2020. There were limited changes in the contract status update, with…


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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Fine-tuning 2020 EBITDA Estimate. Challenges Ahead, But Outlook Positive.

Posted on by Admin

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY)

Fine-tuning 2020 EBITDA Estimate. Challenges Ahead, But Outlook Positive.

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands and trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EDRY is the product of a spin-off of the dry bulk fleet by Euroseas (ESEA) completed in May 2018. For every five ESEA shares, ESEA shareholders received one EDRY share. There are currently ~2.2 million EDRY shares outstanding. EuroDry operates in the dry bulk shipping markets. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an affiliated ship management company, and Eurobulk FE (Far East) Ltd, which are responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operation of the fleet. EuroDry employs the fleet on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $0.8 million was weaker than expected due to lower TCE rates of $7,885/day. 1Q2020 TCE revenue of $4.9 million was below expectations by $1.6million, as TCE rates tied to indices were lower than expected and more than offset higher shipping days.

    Fine-tuning 2020 estimate.  Following the management call, we are moving adjusted 2020 EBITDA estimate lower to $5.7 million based on TCE rates of $8,684/day, down from $6.3 million based on TCE rates of $8,909/day. Given the current weakness in the dry bulk market environment and COVID-19 uncertainty, we are forecasting that weak TCE rates linger into next quarter before recovering in late 3Q2020. There were limited changes in the contract status update, with…


    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) – Challenging Quarter and Near-term Outlook Remains Uncertain

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Tuesday, May 19, 2020

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY)

Challenging Quarter and Near-term Outlook Remains Uncertain

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands and trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EDRY is the product of a spin-off of the dry bulk fleet by Euroseas (ESEA) completed in May 2018. For every five ESEA shares, ESEA shareholders received one EDRY share. There are currently ~2.2 million EDRY shares outstanding. EuroDry operates in the dry bulk shipping markets. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an affiliated ship management company, and Eurobulk FE (Far East) Ltd, which are responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operation of the fleet. EuroDry employs the fleet on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $0.8 million was weaker than expected due to lower TCE rates of $7,885/day. Call with management today at 10:00 am EST to discuss 1Q2020 results. The number is (877) 553-9962 and code is Eurodry.

    Lowering 2020 estimate.  Due to dry bulk market weakness, we are moving adjusted 2020 EBITDA estimate lower to $6.3 million based on TCE rates of $8,909/day, down from $11.5 million based on TCE rates of $11,671/day. Given the current weakness in the dry bulk market environment and COVID-19 uncertainty, we are forecasting that TCE rates remain weak this quarter before recovering in 2H2020. There were limited changes in the contract status update, with…


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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Challenging Quarter and Near-term Outlook Remains Uncertain

Posted on by Admin

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY)

Challenging Quarter and Near-term Outlook Remains Uncertain

EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands and trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker EDRY. EDRY is the product of a spin-off of the dry bulk fleet by Euroseas (ESEA) completed in May 2018. For every five ESEA shares, ESEA shareholders received one EDRY share. There are currently ~2.2 million EDRY shares outstanding. EuroDry operates in the dry bulk shipping markets. EuroDry’s operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an affiliated ship management company, and Eurobulk FE (Far East) Ltd, which are responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operation of the fleet. EuroDry employs the fleet on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $0.8 million was weaker than expected due to lower TCE rates of $7,885/day. Call with management today at 10:00 am EST to discuss 1Q2020 results. The number is (877) 553-9962 and code is Eurodry.

    Lowering 2020 estimate.  Due to dry bulk market weakness, we are moving adjusted 2020 EBITDA estimate lower to $6.3 million based on TCE rates of $8,909/day, down from $11.5 million based on TCE rates of $11,671/day. Given the current weakness in the dry bulk market environment and COVID-19 uncertainty, we are forecasting that TCE rates remain weak this quarter before recovering in 2H2020. There were limited changes in the contract status update, with…


    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) – Unique Business Model Tempers Impact of Challenging Market

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Monday, May 18, 2020

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL)

Unique Business Model Tempers Impact of Challenging Market

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd and its subsidiaries provide seaborne drybulk transportation services. It transports drybulk cargos including grains, coal, iron, ore, pig, iron, hot briquetted iron, bauxite, alumina, cement clinker, dolomite and limestone. The firm’s services include cargo loading, cargo discharge, vessel chartering, voyage planning and technical vessel management. The company derives all of its revenues from contracts of affreightment, voyage charters and time charters. Its strategy depends on focusing on increasing strategic contracts of affreightment, expanding capacity and flexibility by increasing its owned fleet and increasing backhaul focus and fleet efficiency.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    A challenging quarter, but unique and consistent business model delivered TCE rate outperformance. In a challenging dry bulk market environment, the unique business model once again delivered positive operating results. Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $2.9 million was below our estimate of $6.1 million mainly due to warmer weather that limited ice class demand in the Baltic Sea and hedging losses in the $2.5 million range, mainly on fuel.

    Adjusting 2020 EBITDA estimate to reflect current dry bulk market weaknessand near term uncertainty. While we remain convinced that a recovery is ahead in the second half of the year, similar to last year, we are taking a more conservative stance amid the current uncertainty. As a result, our EBITDA estimate moves down to $30.1 million, down from our previous estimate of $47.1 million, based on lower TCE rates of $12,179 (down from $13,423/day), which more than offset higher shipping days of 18,104 (up from 16,760), and…


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Unique Business Model Tempers Impact of Challenging Market

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Monday, May 18, 2020

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL)

Unique Business Model Tempers Impact of Challenging Market

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd and its subsidiaries provide seaborne drybulk transportation services. It transports drybulk cargos including grains, coal, iron, ore, pig, iron, hot briquetted iron, bauxite, alumina, cement clinker, dolomite and limestone. The firm’s services include cargo loading, cargo discharge, vessel chartering, voyage planning and technical vessel management. The company derives all of its revenues from contracts of affreightment, voyage charters and time charters. Its strategy depends on focusing on increasing strategic contracts of affreightment, expanding capacity and flexibility by increasing its owned fleet and increasing backhaul focus and fleet efficiency.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    A challenging quarter, but unique and consistent business model delivered TCE rate outperformance. In a challenging dry bulk market environment, the unique business model once again delivered positive operating results. Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $2.9 million was below our estimate of $6.1 million mainly due to warmer weather that limited ice class demand in the Baltic Sea and hedging losses in the $2.5 million range, mainly on fuel.

    Adjusting 2020 EBITDA estimate to reflect current dry bulk market weaknessand near term uncertainty. While we remain convinced that a recovery is ahead in the second half of the year, similar to last year, we are taking a more conservative stance amid the current uncertainty. As a result, our EBITDA estimate moves down to $30.1 million, down from our previous estimate of $47.1 million, based on lower TCE rates of $12,179 (down from $13,423/day), which more than offset higher shipping days of 18,104 (up from 16,760), and…


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Scorpio Bulkers (SALT) – Bolstering Liquidity Due to Near-term Market Weakness

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Tuesday, May 12, 2020

Scorpio Bulkers (SALT)

Bolstering Liquidity Due to Near-term Market Weakness

Scorpio Bulkers Inc is a shipping company based in Monaco. It owns and operates a fleet of modern mid to large-size dry bulk carriers which provide marine transportation for major bulks, which include iron ore, coal and grain and minor bulks which include bauxite, fertilizers and steel products internationally. In terms of its dead weight tonnage, its vessels are classified as Capesize, Kamsarmax and Ultramax, by the order of highest to lowest capacity, with Kamsarmax accounting for the highest revenue.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    1Q2020 results below expectations and a weak start to the year due to COVID-19 disruptions. Reported EBITDA was negative $100.1 million, but excluding non-cash items of $105.7 million, adjusted EBITDA was $5.6 million in 1Q2020, down sharply from $32.8 million in 1Q2019. Reported net losses of $124.7 million, or $18.12/diluted share, included mark-tomarket investment losses of $88.7 million and write-downs of $17.0 million on planned asset sales.

    Lowering 2020 EBITDA estimates to reflect 2Q2020 forward cover and the weaker than expected outlook. TCE rate weakness has lingered into the quarter due to the negative impact of the COVID-19 virus and several vessels have been repositioned away from weak markets. As a result, the 2Q2020 forward cover is muted with 64% of days booked at $7,149/day for Kamsarmaxes and 69% of days booked at $4,076/day for Ultramaxes. Given the slow start to the year and weaker forward cover, we are revising our 2020 EBITDA estimate to $23.2 million from $80.0 million, based on…


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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Bolstering Liquidity Due to Near-term Market Weakness

Posted on by Admin

Tuesday, May 12, 2020

Scorpio Bulkers (SALT)

Bolstering Liquidity Due to Near-term Market Weakness

Scorpio Bulkers Inc is a shipping company based in Monaco. It owns and operates a fleet of modern mid to large-size dry bulk carriers which provide marine transportation for major bulks, which include iron ore, coal and grain and minor bulks which include bauxite, fertilizers and steel products internationally. In terms of its dead weight tonnage, its vessels are classified as Capesize, Kamsarmax and Ultramax, by the order of highest to lowest capacity, with Kamsarmax accounting for the highest revenue.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    1Q2020 results below expectations and a weak start to the year due to COVID-19 disruptions. Reported EBITDA was negative $100.1 million, but excluding non-cash items of $105.7 million, adjusted EBITDA was $5.6 million in 1Q2020, down sharply from $32.8 million in 1Q2019. Reported net losses of $124.7 million, or $18.12/diluted share, included mark-tomarket investment losses of $88.7 million and write-downs of $17.0 million on planned asset sales.

    Lowering 2020 EBITDA estimates to reflect 2Q2020 forward cover and the weaker than expected outlook. TCE rate weakness has lingered into the quarter due to the negative impact of the COVID-19 virus and several vessels have been repositioned away from weak markets. As a result, the 2Q2020 forward cover is muted with 64% of days booked at $7,149/day for Kamsarmaxes and 69% of days booked at $4,076/day for Ultramaxes. Given the slow start to the year and weaker forward cover, we are revising our 2020 EBITDA estimate to $23.2 million from $80.0 million, based on…


    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE) – Solid Quarter, But Weakness Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

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Monday, May 11, 2020

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE)

Solid Quarter, But Weakness Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $18.8 million was higher than expected due to high 1Q2020 forward cover and hedging gains. Solid forward cover of 85% of 1Q2020 available days booked at $10,300/day helped offset the dry bulk market weakness, and hedging gains of $7.9 million helped push EBITDA above our estimate of $13.9 million. In addition, lower G&A expenses partially offset lower TCE revenue and higher opex.

    Adjusting 2020 estimates to reflect 1Q2020 operating results, lower forward cover and weaker dry bulk market fundamentals. 2Q2020 is off to a slow start and forward cover is lower at 67% of available 2Q2020 days booked at $8,110/day. We are lowering estimated 2020 EBITDA to $60.0 million from $80.0 million, as softer market fundamentals have extended into the quarter and…


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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Solid Quarter, But Weakness Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

Posted on by Admin

Monday, May 11, 2020

Eagle Bulk Shipping (EGLE)

Solid Quarter, But Weakness Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. is a US-based drybulk owner-operator focused on the Supramax/Ultramax mid-size asset class, which ranges from 50,000 and 65,000 deadweight tons in size; these vessels are equipped with onboard cranes allowing for the self-loading and unloading of cargoes, a feature which distinguishes them from the larger classes of drybulk vessels and provides for greatly enhanced flexibility and versatility- both with respect to cargo diversity and port accessibility. The Company transports a broad range of major and minor bulk cargoes around the world, including coal, grain, ore, pet coke, cement, and fertilizer. Eagle operates out of three offices, Stamford (headquarters), Singapore, and Hamburg, and performs all aspects of vessel management in-house including: commercial, operational, technical, and strategic.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $18.8 million was higher than expected due to high 1Q2020 forward cover and hedging gains. Solid forward cover of 85% of 1Q2020 available days booked at $10,300/day helped offset the dry bulk market weakness, and hedging gains of $7.9 million helped push EBITDA above our estimate of $13.9 million. In addition, lower G&A expenses partially offset lower TCE revenue and higher opex.

    Adjusting 2020 estimates to reflect 1Q2020 operating results, lower forward cover and weaker dry bulk market fundamentals. 2Q2020 is off to a slow start and forward cover is lower at 67% of available 2Q2020 days booked at $8,110/day. We are lowering estimated 2020 EBITDA to $60.0 million from $80.0 million, as softer market fundamentals have extended into the quarter and…


    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) – Solid Quarter, But Rough Sledding Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

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Friday, May 8, 2020

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)

Solid Quarter, But Rough Sledding Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $17.9 million was below our estimate of $19.3 million, mainly due to lower than expected TCE rates of $9.8k/day, or ~$700 below our estimate. Operating results were partially insulated from weak market conditions due to the forward cover of 79% of 1Q2020 days booked at $10.9k/day, but the remainder of the quarter was weaker than expected. Scrubbers on Capes and lower downtime were positives versus last year.

    Lowering 2020 EBITDA estimate to $83.4 million from $108.2 million based on lower TCE rates of $10.7k/day due to dry bulk market weakness, tighter fuel spreads and a smaller fleet. Forward cover is not as attractive this quarter with 62% of 2Q2020 days booked at $6.8k/day, and EBITDA is likely to be much weaker in 2Q2020. Softer market fundamentals have extended into the quarter and…

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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision. 

Solid Quarter, But Rough Sledding Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

Posted on by Admin

Friday, May 8, 2020

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)

Solid Quarter, But Rough Sledding Ahead Before 2H2020 Recovery

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Adjusted 1Q2020 EBITDA of $17.9 million was below our estimate of $19.3 million, mainly due to lower than expected TCE rates of $9.8k/day, or ~$700 below our estimate. Operating results were partially insulated from weak market conditions due to the forward cover of 79% of 1Q2020 days booked at $10.9k/day, but the remainder of the quarter was weaker than expected. Scrubbers on Capes and lower downtime were positives versus last year.

    Lowering 2020 EBITDA estimate to $83.4 million from $108.2 million based on lower TCE rates of $10.7k/day due to dry bulk market weakness, tighter fuel spreads and a smaller fleet. Forward cover is not as attractive this quarter with 62% of 2Q2020 days booked at $6.8k/day, and EBITDA is likely to be much weaker in 2Q2020. Softer market fundamentals have extended into the quarter and…

    Click to get the full report.

This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.