Should Bitcoins Ability to Soften Sanctions and Stabilize Russian Finances be Stopped


Image Credit: Dmitry Shustov (Flickr)


The Conundrum Crypto-Exchanges Face – What is Their Wartime Responsibility?

 

The ethical question crypto exchanges are faced with as it relates to an aggressive nation versus maintaining a stateless bitcoin or other cryptocurrency creates a predicament with no satisfying answers. Exchanges are faced with allowing as regular transactions those that potentially help fund military aggression while undermining financial sanctions, or halting these transactions, which may in part undermine their own existence. The exchanges have unapologetically pushed back on requests from both U.S. officials and Ukraine leaders. While adhering to the requests may appear the most moral avenue, these same actions would undermine trust, which is the strength of any currency – so restricting transactions could undermine cryptocurrencies’ usefulness for everyone.  One-by-one the crypto exchanges have been solidifying or creating their policies as it relates to their overall obligation.

Position of the Exchanges

In an interview this week, Bloomberg spoke with Jean-Marie Mognetti, the CEO of CoinShares. Mr. Mognetti quoted Winston Churchill saying, “Where there is great power, there is great responsibility.” Mognetti thinks the marketplace and exchanges have good leaders and can develop responsible protocols. When the Bloomberg interviewer asked how an exchange can square the idea that at its philosophical core, cryptocurrency is designed to be stateless and without favoritism, the Coinshares CEO offered, “It’s a conundrum because there is, what crypto is supposed to be, at its core, and how it’s supposed to work. I think sometimes there are events that require different things.” Mognetti then added, “if government asks for freezing assets or doing something like this, most crypto platforms would abide by it, and stand by it.” It seems that, although Mognetti doesn’t feel as though the company should take a position, a regulated environment, perhaps even a self-regulated exchange environment, is not something exchanges would be completely against.

After Ukraine’s Vice Prime Minister Mykhailo Fedorov publicly pleaded for all major crypto exchanges to freeze related accounts to further challenge Russia’s resources and undermine the war, the CEO of widely used Kraken, Jesse Powell, responded to the call. The Kraken co-founder used Twitter to make clear, that while he has “deep respect” for the people of Ukraine, he believes crypto should enforce individualism, rather than a nationalistic alliance to a country.

Among the key points Binance founder and CEO Changpeng Zhao, told the BBC related to freezing Russian accounts is, “Many normal Russians do not agree with war…We [Binance] differentiate between the Russian politicians who start wars and the normal people…We don’t control the industry.” To demonstrate his company’s official neutrality, Zhao said, “I can publish my sanction list, you can publish yours… Guess what? No-one else is going to follow. It just moves Russian users to other smaller platforms.”

Coinbase, another large crypto U.S.-based exchange, responded to the plea from Ukraine by saying it, “will not institute a blanket ban on all Coinbase transactions involving Russian addresses.” A company spokesman explained their position. “A unilateral and total ban would punish ordinary Russian citizens who are enduring historic currency destabilization as a result of their government’s aggression against a democratic neighbor,” a spokesman for Coinbase said.

 

Position of the U.S. Treasury

The U.S. is forbidding U.S. citizens from employing cryptocurrencies as a work-around to undermine global financial sanctions placed on Russia. The primary goal of the sanctions is to cause the country to come to a financial standstill and tear at the support of some of the wealthiest Russians that may have used bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a safe haven asset leading up to the Russian invasion.  

Washington’s newest severe financial measures, include prohibiting transactions with Russia’s central bank and restricting access to the SWIFT global payments system.

The U.S. has also urged global cryptocurrency exchanges to block sanctioned individuals from accessing their digital assets regardless of location. The “ask” stops short of requiring this action.

Take-Away

Should crypto exchanges have within their power to do what many would consider “good”, or should they remain stateless and retain their neutrality promise to customers? Neutrality shows they can always be counted on to act one way, anything else may undermine their value and the value of the assets that are traded on their platforms.

While bitcoin and other cryptos are at their core stateless, and the crypto exchanges are honoring this, if required by a regulatory entity, it appears that they would view it as out of their hands and would abide by a legitimate authority.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Russia/Ukraine War and Reliance on Crypto and Blockchain



The International Energy Agency Takes Steps to Put a Ceiling on Oil Prices





Decentralized Finance, Is It The Future?



Is the Index Bubble Michael Burry Warned About Still Looming?

 

Sources

Bloomberg
Plus

https://news.bitcoin.com/coinbase-will-not-institute-a-blanket-ban-on-all-transactions-tied-to-russian-crypto-addresses/

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-60576373

https://www.investopedia.com/treasury-department-cracks-down-on-crypto-used-to-bypass-russian-sanctions-5220729

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-60576373


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Should Bitcoin’s Ability to Soften Sanctions and Stabilize Russian Finances be Stopped?


  Image Credit: Dmitry Shustov (Flickr)


The Conundrum Crypto-Exchanges Face – What is Their Wartime Responsibility?

 

The ethical question crypto exchanges are faced with as it relates to an aggressive nation versus maintaining a stateless bitcoin or other cryptocurrency creates a predicament with no satisfying answers. Exchanges are faced with allowing as regular transactions those that potentially help fund military aggression while undermining financial sanctions, or halting these transactions, which may in part undermine their own existence. The exchanges have unapologetically pushed back on requests from both U.S. officials and Ukraine leaders. While adhering to the requests may appear the most moral avenue, these same actions would undermine trust, which is the strength of any currency – so restricting transactions could undermine cryptocurrencies’ usefulness for everyone.  One-by-one the crypto exchanges have been solidifying or creating their policies as it relates to their overall obligation.

Position of the Exchanges

In an interview this week, Bloomberg spoke with Jean-Marie Mognetti, the CEO of CoinShares. Mr. Mognetti quoted Winston Churchill saying, “Where there is great power, there is great responsibility.” Mognetti thinks the marketplace and exchanges have good leaders and can develop responsible protocols. When the Bloomberg interviewer asked how an exchange can square the idea that at its philosophical core, cryptocurrency is designed to be stateless and without favoritism, the Coinshares CEO offered, “It’s a conundrum because there is, what crypto is supposed to be, at its core, and how it’s supposed to work. I think sometimes there are events that require different things.” Mognetti then added, “if government asks for freezing assets or doing something like this, most crypto platforms would abide by it, and stand by it.” It seems that, although Mognetti doesn’t feel as though the company should take a position, a regulated environment, perhaps even a self-regulated exchange environment, is not something exchanges would be completely against.

After Ukraine’s Vice Prime Minister Mykhailo Fedorov publicly pleaded for all major crypto exchanges to freeze related accounts to further challenge Russia’s resources and undermine the war, the CEO of widely used Kraken, Jesse Powell, responded to the call. The Kraken co-founder used Twitter to make clear, that while he has “deep respect” for the people of Ukraine, he believes crypto should enforce individualism, rather than a nationalistic alliance to a country.

Among the key points Binance founder and CEO Changpeng Zhao, told the BBC related to freezing Russian accounts is, “Many normal Russians do not agree with war…We [Binance] differentiate between the Russian politicians who start wars and the normal people…We don’t control the industry.” To demonstrate his company’s official neutrality, Zhao said, “I can publish my sanction list, you can publish yours… Guess what? No-one else is going to follow. It just moves Russian users to other smaller platforms.”

Coinbase, another large crypto U.S.-based exchange, responded to the plea from Ukraine by saying it, “will not institute a blanket ban on all Coinbase transactions involving Russian addresses.” A company spokesman explained their position. “A unilateral and total ban would punish ordinary Russian citizens who are enduring historic currency destabilization as a result of their government’s aggression against a democratic neighbor,” a spokesman for Coinbase said.

 

Position of the U.S. Treasury

The U.S. is forbidding U.S. citizens from employing cryptocurrencies as a work-around to undermine global financial sanctions placed on Russia. The primary goal of the sanctions is to cause the country to come to a financial standstill and tear at the support of some of the wealthiest Russians that may have used bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a safe haven asset leading up to the Russian invasion.  

Washington’s newest severe financial measures, include prohibiting transactions with Russia’s central bank and restricting access to the SWIFT global payments system.

The U.S. has also urged global cryptocurrency exchanges to block sanctioned individuals from accessing their digital assets regardless of location. The “ask” stops short of requiring this action.

Take-Away

Should crypto exchanges have within their power to do what many would consider “good”, or should they remain stateless and retain their neutrality promise to customers? Neutrality shows they can always be counted on to act one way, anything else may undermine their value and the value of the assets that are traded on their platforms.

While bitcoin and other cryptos are at their core stateless, and the crypto exchanges are honoring this, if required by a regulatory entity, it appears that they would view it as out of their hands and would abide by a legitimate authority.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading

Russia/Ukraine War and Reliance on Crypto and Blockchain

The International Energy Agency Takes Steps to Put a Ceiling on Oil Prices

Decentralized Finance, Is It The Future?

Is the Index Bubble Michael Burry Warned About Still Looming?

 

Sources

Bloomberg
Plus

https://news.bitcoin.com/coinbase-will-not-institute-a-blanket-ban-on-all-transactions-tied-to-russian-crypto-addresses/

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-60576373

https://www.investopedia.com/treasury-department-cracks-down-on-crypto-used-to-bypass-russian-sanctions-5220729

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-60576373


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Stocks in the Sectors Positively Impacted by Armed Conflict


Image: PxHere (1413412)


The Various Ways to Allocate into “War Investments”

 

The developments between Russia and Ukraine, coupled with international reactions will impact all investment markets over the coming weeks/months. While prices will settle as markets push and pull to determine the appropriate range, the current reaction has created some investments to gain substantially along with those that have been hurt by weakness in their own sectors.

 

A Different Angle on Gold

Gold spiked to its highest level since late 2020. Gold is up by $180 per ounce, or almost 10% since the end of January when it was well below $1800. Gold mining stocks, specifically junior gold miners, have performed even better. As measured by the VanEck Junior Miners ETF (GTXJ), the sector is up 16.89%.

 

 

Current news and company information on junior miners is plentiful on Channelchek. There you can review the research on Great Panther Mining (GPL) which is exceeding, by a wide margin, the performance of gold and the junior mining ETF. Among the many other junior miners worth the attention of investors interested in this sector are: Allegiant Gold Ltd. (AUXXF), Great Bear Resources (GTBAF), and Aurania Resources (AUIAF, ARU:CA).

 

Crude is Up, Who
Benefits?

Oil’s surge to the $100 per barrel mark has brought energy sector stocks up along with it, with a bit of a lag. While crude oil has risen 8.69% since January, the overall energy sector measured by the XLE, which is heavily weighted with giants like Chevron and Exxon, is up over 2% in less than a month while the overall stock market has been sliding rapidly.

Smaller energy stocks, represented in the graph below by the ETF Investco Small-Cap Energy (PSCE) are up twice the larger companies and appear to now be gaining at a more rapid pace than crude.

 

 

Small and microcap energy sector stocks are demonstrating they have more upside potential than larger companies in this sector. Current news and company
information
on smaller energy stocks is plentiful on Channelchek. There you can review the research on Indonesia Energy (INDO) whose price has more than doubled over this period. InPlay Oil Inc. (IPOOF, IPO:CA) has also seen a positive impact.

Overlooked Natural Resources

Palladium and platinum mining stocks, although less talked about, have also surged. A good example is Palladium One Mining Inc. (NKORF, PDM:CA). Since the end of January, the stock has risen 9.68%. The percent performance of Palladium One has spiked double digits over the past two days.

 

Take-Way

Changes and events bring opportunities for investors to reallocate and open themselves to other areas to enrich their portfolios. While at times the more profitable changes are from events that we would prefer not to happen, these events are beyond our control. Whereas one’s portfolio positions are well within their control. For example: Reallocating into construction materials after a devastating hurricane should be done without guilt. The same is true for those investing to take advantage of the current Ukraine/Russia situation.

Channelchek provides data and research on companies that often move by higher percentages when their industry moves. Sign-up to receive our emails to supplement your knowledge in ways missing on other equity research and market information platforms.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Small-Cap Companies and IRA Investments



How Cryptocurrencies, Gold, and Oil Trade When Political Tensions Rise





Index Funds Still May Fall Apart over Time



Trading Accounts for Children

 

Sources

Channelchek.com

www.koyfin.com


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Will New Social Media Platform Truth Social Fulfill its Promise



Investors Watch Media SPAC Stay in the Green as Markets Falter

 

The SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC), which is likely to soon to become Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), is up 750% since the end of the third quarter 2021. This compares quite favorably to the S&P 500, which is up just 1.54% for the same period. Once merged, the media company founded by former President Trump will be a rare publicly owned entity with the former President’s name attached. 

The new social media app offered as a product of the company, Truth Social, became available on Monday in Apple’s App Store. During his White House term, the former President had credited himself with driving traffic and users to social media sites like Twitter. It is unclear how high of a profile Trump will take on this upstart, but it has been a very successful SPAC for investors. The IPO price was $10 and has had a 52-week range of $9.84 to $175. The pre-merger SPAC is currently trading in the upper $80 range. 

While there have been beta users of the app for months, Apple and TMTG made it available for all to download at midnight on Presidents Day. Users that had pre-ordered the app saw it automatically download to their devices. The first day was not without its glitches for Truth Social though. It was reported that many who sought to register their account were unable to and instead received the message, “Due to massive demand, we have placed you on our waitlist.”

Former U.S. Representative Devin Nunes left his Congressional seat to run Trump Media.  Nunes said in an interview with Maria Bartiromo this past Sunday that by mid-March he expects the app to be fully operational within the U.S.

 

De-SPAC Details

In December, TMTG raised $1 billion committed financing from private investors; the funds won’t be made available until the merger with DWAC has been completed. Also, upon merging, the company will have access to capital now being held in trust from the original investors, this is approximately $293 million. The merger is expected to occur during the first quarter of 2022.

Take-Away

One of the most successful SPACs initially offered in 2021 is Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). At one point the shares were up 1,650%. Today holders of the, as yet unmerged, SPAC are watching the product Truth Social made launched and are responding more positively than the overall market.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Update on DWAC, the Trump Media SPAC



Trump Media SPAC Merger Details





FOMC Approves Tighter Rules on Trading Activity for Officials



Have You Positioned Your Account to Not Fall Victim to a Crypto-Exchange Hack?

 

Sources

https://www.maxpixel.net/Trump-Truth-Social-Social-Media-App-6739660

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312521348598/d242442d425.htm

https://apps.apple.com/us/app/truth-social/id1586018825

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-trump-spac-might-have-just-given-gensler-and-warren-an-accidental-invitation-to-start-probing-it-11637267697


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Will New Social Media Platform Truth Social Fulfill its Promise?



Investors Watch Media SPAC Stay in the Green as Markets Falter

 

The SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC), which is likely to soon to become Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), is up 750% since the end of the third quarter 2021. This compares quite favorably to the S&P 500, which is up just 1.54% for the same period. Once merged, the media company founded by former President Trump will be a rare publicly owned entity with the former President’s name attached. 

The new social media app offered as a product of the company, Truth Social, became available on Monday in Apple’s App Store. During his White House term, the former President had credited himself with driving traffic and users to social media sites like Twitter. It is unclear how high of a profile Trump will take on this upstart, but it has been a very successful SPAC for investors. The IPO price was $10 and has had a 52-week range of $9.84 to $175. The pre-merger SPAC is currently trading in the upper $80 range. 

While there have been beta users of the app for months, Apple and TMTG made it available for all to download at midnight on Presidents Day. Users that had pre-ordered the app saw it automatically download to their devices. The first day was not without its glitches for Truth Social though. It was reported that many who sought to register their account were unable to and instead received the message, “Due to massive demand, we have placed you on our waitlist.”

Former U.S. Representative Devin Nunes left his Congressional seat to run Trump Media.  Nunes said in an interview with Maria Bartiromo this past Sunday that by mid-March he expects the app to be fully operational within the U.S.

 

De-SPAC Details

In December, TMTG raised $1 billion committed financing from private investors; the funds won’t be made available until the merger with DWAC has been completed. Also, upon merging, the company will have access to capital now being held in trust from the original investors, this is approximately $293 million. The merger is expected to occur during the first quarter of 2022.

Take-Away

One of the most successful SPACs initially offered in 2021 is Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). At one point the shares were up 1,650%. Today holders of the, as yet unmerged, SPAC are watching the product Truth Social made launched and are responding more positively than the overall market.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Update on DWAC, the Trump Media SPAC



Trump Media SPAC Merger Details





FOMC Approves Tighter Rules on Trading Activity for Officials



Have You Positioned Your Account to Not Fall Victim to a Crypto-Exchange Hack?

 

Sources

https://www.maxpixel.net/Trump-Truth-Social-Social-Media-App-6739660

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312521348598/d242442d425.htm

https://apps.apple.com/us/app/truth-social/id1586018825

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-trump-spac-might-have-just-given-gensler-and-warren-an-accidental-invitation-to-start-probing-it-11637267697


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Federal Reserve Bans Officials from Active Trading



FOMC Approves Tighter Rules on Trading Activity for Officials

 

Over the past six months, three top Fed officials, including a Vice-Chairman, have resigned after the disclosure of their pandemic-era personal trading. The controversy has accelerated since the disclosures and resulted in Friday’s (February 18) unanimous adoption of sweeping changes to Federal Reserve ethics rules. The rules prohibit some officials from even the most basic securities transactions.

The Federal Reserve has now banned senior officials from engaging in various forms of active trading. The new rules “aim to support public confidence in the impartiality and integrity of the Committee’s work by guarding against even the appearance of any conflict of interest,” the central bank said in a statement.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced the guidelines, along with the effective date, which is May 1. The rules specifically prohibit senior officials from purchasing or shorting individual stocks. They also cannot buy or sell short sector funds, enter into derivatives contracts, or purchase securities on margins. The strict guidelines also prevent foreign currency transactions, commodities trading, cryptocurrencies, agency securities, or individual bonds.

The affected officials will be required to provide 45 days notice before selling or buying securities and may only do so after they obtain approval. They will also be required to hold any investments for at least one year. This portion of the rule becomes effective July 1. The FOMC is also extending its blackout trading period running up to regularly scheduled meetings by a day after each meeting.

People impacted by the rules range from Fed Board members and Reserve Bank presidents to Reserve Bank first vice presidents, research directors, staff officers, and any other person designated by the Chair—and their spouses and minor children.

 

Suggested Reading



Have You Positioned Your Account to Not Fall Victim to a Crypto-Exchange Hack?



About the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Appointments





The Detrimental Impact of Fed Policy on Savers



Lessons from How the Back of Inflation Finally Broke in 1982

 

Sources

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC_InvestmentPolicy.pdf

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20220218a.htm


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Lawmakers and Insider Trading Laws



What’s Insider Trading? – Is it a Problem for Investors?

 

There’s a growing bipartisan push to prohibit members of Congress from buying or selling stocks. The shift follows news reports that several senators sold stocks shortly after receiving coronavirus briefings in early 2020 and that at least 57 lawmakers have failed to disclose financial transactions since 2012 as required by law.

Congress passed that law – the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act, also known as the STOCK Act – in 2012 to fight insider trading among lawmakers with increased transparency. But a chorus of legislators and governance watchdogs argue that it didn’t go far enough and isn’t working.

All this raises two important questions: What exactly is insider trading and what’s the big deal?

 

This article was republished with permission from   The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of  Alexander Kurov Professor of Finance and Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance, West Virginia University and Marketa Wolfe Associate Professor of Economics, Skidmore College.

 

We are a finance professor and an economics professor who have been studying financial markets and how investors try to take advantage of access to information for their personal gain. Our research shows it’s very common but difficult to stop.

 

What is Insider Trading?

Insider trading is whenever someone uses market-moving nonpublic information in the act of buying or selling a financial asset.

For example, say you work as an executive at a company that plans to make an acquisition. If it’s not public, that would count as inside information. It becomes a crime if you either tell a friend about it – and that person then buys or sells a financial asset using that information – or if you make a trade yourself.

Punishment, if you’re convicted for insider trading, can range from a few months to over a decade behind bars.

Insider trading became illegal in the U.S. in 1934 after Congress passed the Securities Exchange Act in the wake of the worst sustained decline in stocks in history. From Black Monday 1929 through the summer of 1932, the stock market lost 89% of its value. The act was meant to prevent a whole litany of abuses from recurring, including insider trading.

The issue was dramatized in Oliver Stone’s 1987 classic movie “Wall Street,” in which ruthless financier Gordon Gekko makes millions of dollars by trading on inside information on several companies obtained from his protege, Bud Fox.

“The most valuable commodity I know of is information,” declares Gekko, who by the end of the film is convicted of insider trading and sent to jail.

 

‘Informed Trading’

While insider trading typically involves trading stocks of individual companies based on information about them, it can involve any kind of information about the economy, a commodity or anything else that moves markets.

For instance, the monthly consumer price index figures have a huge impact on financial markets at the moment because of concerns about inflation and how it will affect the pace of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. That data is collected and then closely guarded, but a small number of people have access to it before it’s officially released, making the information extremely valuable if any of them wanted to profit off it.

Our own research on financial trading ahead of the release of U.S. economic data shows that financial markets tend to move in the “correct” direction in the minutes before it’s released. That is, if the new data would be a positive for stocks, we saw patterns of stocks rising before that information becomes publicly available – something known as “informed trading.” We also found this to be the case on data released in China and the U.K.. This suggests that some traders may have advance knowledge of information in economic announcements.

Of course, alternative explanations could be that some traders are simply more skilled at collecting and analyzing available data that correctly predicts the economic announcements. For example, online prices collected in real time can be used to predict inflation levels. Also, satellite imagery and analyst forecasts can be used to predict crude oil and natural gas inventory levels.

Common, Profitable and Hard to Prove

Research shows that insider trading is common and profitable, yet notoriously hard to prove and prevent. A 2020 study estimated that only about 15% of insider trading in the U.S. is detected and prosecuted.

One of the more famous – and few – examples of insider trading being prosecuted was the 2004 conviction of businesswoman and media personality Martha Stewart for selling shares based on an illegal tip from a broker. Another came in 2016, when billionaire Steven Cohen and his now-defunct SAC Capital Advisors hedge fund entered into a US$135 million settlement over insider-trading allegations. The hedge fund also paid a fine of $1.8 billion in 2014 over similar charges.

And in 2020, former U.S. Rep. Chris Collins was sentenced to 26 months in prison for passing on a confidential tip to his son and then lying about it to the FBI.

More recently, two Fed officials stepped down in September 2021 after disclosures showed they were trading extensively in 2020 at the same time the U.S. central bank was spending trillions saving the economy from the effects of the pandemic. And Sen. Richard Burr and his brother remain under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission over stock trades they made in February 2020 shortly after the North Carolina Republican received closed-door briefings on the pandemic.

 

Why it Matters

Insider trading is not a victimless crime. By throwing sand in the gears of financial markets, people trading on inside information benefit at the expense of others.

A key characteristic of well-functioning financial markets is high liquidity, which means it is easy to make large trades at low transaction costs. Insider trading adversely affects market liquidity and makes transaction costs higher, reducing investor returns. And since a lot of people have a stake in financial markets – about half of U.S. families own stocks either directly or indirectly – this behavior hurts most Americans.

Insider trading also makes it more expensive for companies to issue stocks and bonds. If investors think that insiders might be trading bonds of a company, they will demand a higher return on the bonds to compensate for their disadvantage – increasing the cost to the company. As a result, the company has less money to hire more workers or invest in a new factory.

There are also broader impacts of insider trading. It undermines public confidence in financial markets and feeds the common view that they odds are stacked in favor of the elite and against everyone else.

Furthermore, since inside traders profit from privileged access to information rather than work, this makes people believe that the system is rigged.

Chris Collins arrives at a federal court as cameras record him

Former U.S. Rep. Chris Collins pleaded guilty to insider trading and lying to the FBI. He was sentenced to 26 months in jail in 2020.

Curbing Insider Trading

The odds of Congress prohibiting lawmakers from trading stocks got a boost when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently said she may support the idea – though she’d like to see a ban also apply to the Supreme Court, which currently has no rules governing the practice. At least some Republicans, such as U.S. Rep. Kevin McCarthy and Sen. Ben Sasse, also say they support a ban.

For its part, the Fed reacted to trading by its two former officials by banning bank policymakers and senior staff from buying individual stocks or bonds.

There are also less heavy-handed ways to curb insider trading. In recent years, policymakers in the U.S. and the U.K. have tightened procedures governing the release of economic data. In the U.K., for example, dozens of public officials used to get market-moving economic data 24 hours before the public release. After the practice stopped in 2017, we found evidence of significantly less informed trading ahead of the release – suggesting it effectively prevented a lot of insider trading.

Surveys show widespread bipartisan public support for Congress to ban lawmakers from trading financial securities, with a recent poll showing 75% in favor. While that doesn’t mean a law will get passed, it does put pressure on lawmakers of both parties to do something about the problem.

 

Suggested Reading



New Measures to Limit Government Officials Trading




WallStreetBets Founder May Create Controversial ETP






Trading Accounts for Children



What Hydrogen Investors are Excited About


 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

New House Bill Would Further Legitimize Virtual Currency



Bipartisan Legislation to Expand Use of Virtual Currency

 

Two lawmakers introduced a bill on Thursday (February 3) to create legislation that allows a functional structure for taxing purchases made with cryptocurrency. The bill is dubbed “The Virtual Currency Tax Fairness Act”. The proposed law was introduced during tax season as many are now faced with the FORM 1040 asking them if over the past year they received, sold, sent, exchanged, or acquired any financial interest in any virtual currency.

The bill was introduced by Rep. DelBene, D-Washington, and Rep Schweikert, R-Arizona, and is co-sponsored by Rep. Soto, D-Florida, and Rep. Emmer, R-Minnesota. The legislation would exempt personal transactions made with virtual currency when the gains are $200 or less. The IRS has in recent years made it more of a priority to pursue those that transact in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC.X) or Ether (ETH.X) and avoid taxes on gains. They have even issued summonses to cryptocurrency exchanges like Coinbase (COIN) and Kraken, asking for the identities of their users. Under current law, this makes sense as any gain from the sale of cryptocurrency must be reported as taxable income regardless of the size or purpose of the transaction.

The problem the proposed new law would solve is that currently using crypto as a payment method entails a sale for IRS purposes. For example, if a moviegoer buys
a ticket
to see a movie using Dogecoin ($DOGE.X), and the crypto spent had been acquired at a lower U.S. dollar price, the difference would be viewed as a capital gain, requiring reporting and a tax situation for the moviegoer.

The legislation seeks to amend the IRS Code of 1986 to remove these tax requirements when the capital gain doesn’t exceed $200, specifically to not discourage small transactions and allow the digital economy to grow.

A co-sponsor of the bill, Rep. Delbene said “Antiquated regulations around virtual currency do not take into account its potential for use in our daily lives, instead treating it more like a stock or ETF,” she adds, “However, virtual currency has evolved rapidly in the past few years with more opportunities to use it in our everyday lives. The U.S. must stay on top of these changes and ensure that our tax code evolves with our use of virtual currency. This commonsense bill cuts the red tape and opens the door to further innovations, ultimately growing our digital economy.”

Take-Away

“The Virtual Currency Tax Fairness Act” aims to remove a major hurdle to the everyday use of cryptocurrencies. If enacted it should benefit individuals, businesses accepting virtual currency, crypto exchanges, blockchain companies, and even the IRS.

 

Suggested Reading



The Fed and MIT are Experimenting with Digital Money



New Measures to Limit Government Officials Trading





Tax Treatment for Crypto Miners Could Cause U.S. Exodus



Why Zuckerberg Won’t be Adding a Cryptocurrency to Meta’s Features

Sources

https://delbene.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=3035

https://mikerogers.house.gov/legislation/cosponsoredbills.htm

https://delbene.house.gov/uploadedfiles/virtual_currency_bill_text.pdf

https://airbnbase.com/kraken-ipo/

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Are Fed Governor Appointments Important


Image Credit: New America (Flickr)

About the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Appointments

 

There are three names consistently mentioned as US President Biden’s picks for Federal Reserve Board nominees.  These are Sarah Bloom Raskin for the important regulatory role of Vice Chair for Supervision, also expected to be nominated are academic economists Philip Jefferson and Lisa D. Cook to fill the remaining two vacancies on the Fed’s seven-member governing board. Is it important who is chosen? What would these three bring to the table?

The Importance of Fed Governors

The Board of Governors is the governing body of the entire Federal Reserve System, with offices located in Washington DC. The board consists of seven members, or “governors,” who are nominated by the President and confirmed in their positions by the Senate. Governors guide the operation of the Federal Reserve System to promote the goals and fulfill the responsibilities given by the Federal Reserve Act.

The seven members of the Board are automatically voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) which consists of 12 voting members, and four non-voting regional Reserve Bank presidents. The FOMC is tasked with creating an environment where the banking system is safe, and inflation, economic growth, and full employment are well balanced. It’s expected that 2022 will be a particularly challenging year to successfully manage these priorities.

 

About the Nominees

President Biden is said to be nominating climate-change activist Sarah Bloom Raskin as the central bank’s vice chair for supervision. Raskin would be filling the seat vacated by Randal Quarles who recently left this role. She has served as a Fed governor previously (2010 to 2014) before becoming President Obama’s deputy treasury secretary. The 60-year-old is married to US Representative Jamie Raskin.

The president is also expected to name Lisa DeNell Cook whose career has predominantly been in academia. Cook earned a Ph.D. in economics from the University of California, Berkeley with concentrations in macroeconomics and international economics. She is currently a Professor of Economics and International Relations, Michigan State University. The Milledgeville, GA native formerly worked as a senior economist on Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors

The third expected Fed governor to be nominated is Davidson College dean Philip Jefferson. Jefferson is a former Fed economist who now serves as dean of faculty and academic-affairs vice president at Davidson College in North Carolina. Born and raised in Washington DC, Jefferson received an MA and PhD. From the University of Virginia.

Senate Approval

The three nominees could face opposition during their Senate confirmation hearings. Some lawmakers have already come out against Raskin’s long-expected nomination. The opposition is based in part on her long-held position that financial regulators should use their rule-making powers to fight climate change. An example of Raskin’s views can be found in an op-ed piece from late 2021 that reads, “while none of [America’s] regulatory agencies was specifically designed to mitigate the risks of climate-related events, each has a mandate broad enough to encompass these risks within the scope of the instruments already given to it by Congress. Accordingly, all U.S. regulators can – and should – be looking at their existing powers and considering how they might be brought to bear on efforts to mitigate climate risk.”

Such positions have drawn criticism from lawmakers. Senator Pat Toomey said in a statement that Raskin “has specifically called for the Fed to pressure banks to choke off credit to traditional energy companies and to exclude those employers from any Fed emergency lending facilities. I have serious concerns that she would abuse the Fed’s narrow statutory mandates on monetary policy and banking supervision to have the central bank actively engaged in capital allocation.”

There also seems to be concern over the experience of the two nominees that are professors. One senator said, “I will closely examine whether Ms. Cook and Mr. Jefferson have the necessary experience, judgment and policy views to serve as Fed governors.”

Take-Away

The banking system and those that preside over and guide it are important to the overall state of the economy. The coming year is expected to be particularly challenging as moves to lessen inflation inputs will undoubtedly dampen economic growth. Fed governors and FOMC members best serve their mandates if their focus is on the mandates. There is some concern that if any of the three are nominated, the Senate hearings may be fraught with drama related to determining if there is enough experience from some of the candidates, and if there is an agenda above and beyond that explicitly provided for in the Federal Reserve Act.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



The Detrimental Impact of Fed Policy on Savers



Money Supply is Like Caffeine for Stocks





Powell’s Apparent Shift on Digital Currency



Bond Market Understanding is Again Critical for Stock Investors

Sources:

https://law.duke.edu/news/op-ed-raskin-urges-us-financial-regulators-use-their-tools-mitigate-climate-risk/

https://lisadcook.net/bio-cv/
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/people/philip-jefferson

https://blog.earn2trade.com/what-is-the-fomc/#ixzz7HwdoAjME

https://www.barrons.com/news/us-to-appoint-climate-conscious-bloom-raskin-as-fed-s-top-banking-regulator-01642144806?tesla=y

https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/fract.htm

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Are Fed Governor Appointments Important?


Image Credit: New America (Flickr)

About the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Appointments

 

There are three names consistently mentioned as US President Biden’s picks for Federal Reserve Board nominees.  These are Sarah Bloom Raskin for the important regulatory role of Vice Chair for Supervision, also expected to be nominated are academic economists Philip Jefferson and Lisa D. Cook to fill the remaining two vacancies on the Fed’s seven-member governing board. Is it important who is chosen? What would these three bring to the table?

The Importance of Fed Governors

The Board of Governors is the governing body of the entire Federal Reserve System, with offices located in Washington DC. The board consists of seven members, or “governors,” who are nominated by the President and confirmed in their positions by the Senate. Governors guide the operation of the Federal Reserve System to promote the goals and fulfill the responsibilities given by the Federal Reserve Act.

The seven members of the Board are automatically voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) which consists of 12 voting members, and four non-voting regional Reserve Bank presidents. The FOMC is tasked with creating an environment where the banking system is safe, and inflation, economic growth, and full employment are well balanced. It’s expected that 2022 will be a particularly challenging year to successfully manage these priorities.

 

About the Nominees

President Biden is said to be nominating climate-change activist Sarah Bloom Raskin as the central bank’s vice chair for supervision. Raskin would be filling the seat vacated by Randal Quarles who recently left this role. She has served as a Fed governor previously (2010 to 2014) before becoming President Obama’s deputy treasury secretary. The 60-year-old is married to US Representative Jamie Raskin.

The president is also expected to name Lisa DeNell Cook whose career has predominantly been in academia. Cook earned a Ph.D. in economics from the University of California, Berkeley with concentrations in macroeconomics and international economics. She is currently a Professor of Economics and International Relations, Michigan State University. The Milledgeville, GA native formerly worked as a senior economist on Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors

The third expected Fed governor to be nominated is Davidson College dean Philip Jefferson. Jefferson is a former Fed economist who now serves as dean of faculty and academic-affairs vice president at Davidson College in North Carolina. Born and raised in Washington DC, Jefferson received an MA and PhD. From the University of Virginia.

Senate Approval

The three nominees could face opposition during their Senate confirmation hearings. Some lawmakers have already come out against Raskin’s long-expected nomination. The opposition is based in part on her long-held position that financial regulators should use their rule-making powers to fight climate change. An example of Raskin’s views can be found in an op-ed piece from late 2021 that reads, “while none of [America’s] regulatory agencies was specifically designed to mitigate the risks of climate-related events, each has a mandate broad enough to encompass these risks within the scope of the instruments already given to it by Congress. Accordingly, all U.S. regulators can – and should – be looking at their existing powers and considering how they might be brought to bear on efforts to mitigate climate risk.”

Such positions have drawn criticism from lawmakers. Senator Pat Toomey said in a statement that Raskin “has specifically called for the Fed to pressure banks to choke off credit to traditional energy companies and to exclude those employers from any Fed emergency lending facilities. I have serious concerns that she would abuse the Fed’s narrow statutory mandates on monetary policy and banking supervision to have the central bank actively engaged in capital allocation.”

There also seems to be concern over the experience of the two nominees that are professors. One senator said, “I will closely examine whether Ms. Cook and Mr. Jefferson have the necessary experience, judgment and policy views to serve as Fed governors.”

Take-Away

The banking system and those that preside over and guide it are important to the overall state of the economy. The coming year is expected to be particularly challenging as moves to lessen inflation inputs will undoubtedly dampen economic growth. Fed governors and FOMC members best serve their mandates if their focus is on the mandates. There is some concern that if any of the three are nominated, the Senate hearings may be fraught with drama related to determining if there is enough experience from some of the candidates, and if there is an agenda above and beyond that explicitly provided for in the Federal Reserve Act.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



The Detrimental Impact of Fed Policy on Savers



Money Supply is Like Caffeine for Stocks





Powell’s Apparent Shift on Digital Currency



Bond Market Understanding is Again Critical for Stock Investors

Sources:

https://law.duke.edu/news/op-ed-raskin-urges-us-financial-regulators-use-their-tools-mitigate-climate-risk/

https://lisadcook.net/bio-cv/
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/people/philip-jefferson

https://blog.earn2trade.com/what-is-the-fomc/#ixzz7HwdoAjME

https://www.barrons.com/news/us-to-appoint-climate-conscious-bloom-raskin-as-fed-s-top-banking-regulator-01642144806?tesla=y

https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/fract.htm

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

New Measures to Limit Government Officials Trading


Image Credit: Federal Reserve (Flickr)

Do Lawmakers and Policymakers Profit From Non-Public Insight?

 

Should government officials with “insider knowledge” or direct impact on corporate profits be restricted in their investing? Alan Greenspan who is still the only Federal Reserve Chairman appointed five times had his savings and investments in a blind trust account which held nothing but treasury bills maturing in a year or less. He was very open about his investing practices; he didn’t make any decisions on his account.

Fed Officials
Trading

On Monday (January 10) the second-highest ranking Fed official, Richard Clarida, resigned effective immediately. This occurred after a New York Times article the prior week discussed his active trading and remarkable timing within his investment account. The effectiveness of any central bank is undermined if trust and confidence are lost. But this is not the first time in recent years. Last fall Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren stepped down from their positions of trust after the details of their own trading activity during 2020 surfaced. The period in question was marked by large market moves, which often occurred as a result of Fed policy changes that could provide substantial opportunity for anyone with advanced knowledge or policy-setting influence.

Congress Members Trading

An investigation by news publication Business Insider concluded that 52 members of Congress violated the Federal STOCK Act. The intention of this law is to prevent conflicts of interest and prohibit insider trading by government officials.

In an announcement yesterday (January 12), Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff indicated he plans to introduce a bill completely barring members of Congress and their immediate families from trading individual stocks. The bill will be introduced after he and his staff work to build bipartisan support for the bill.

On the House side of the Capitol, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is on record as standing against barring individual stock trades by members of Congress. “We are a free-market economy. They should be able to participate in that,” Pelosi said in a Dec. 15 press conference. Pelosi is often under fire as her husband’s transactions include many stocks of companies that are very active spending millions lobbying Congress for laws to be passed in their favor.

Politicians that would appear onboard with a ban are Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren.  “There is no reason members of Congress should hold and trade individual stock when we write major policy and have access to sensitive information. There are many ways members can invest w/o creating actual or appeared conflict of interest, like thrift savings plans or index funds,” Rep. Ocasio-Cortez tweeted on Dec. 17.

Senator Ossoff has himself placed his stock portfolio in a blind trust as of June, according to a press release by Ossoff’s office.

Politicians like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., have expressed support for the ban.

Not The
First Effort

Legislators have introduced bills in the past to ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks.

Before the novel coronavirus market turmoil early in 2020, Rep. Abigail Spanberger, Rep. Chip Roy, reintroduced legislation in the House to require all members of Congress, as well as their spouses and children, to put investment assets into a qualified blind trust. The goal is to prevent insider trading.

The Ban Conflicted Trading Act, a bill introduced in the House last March was limited in that it only prevented trades for members of Congress and senior staffers, not their family members.

Investor
Response

There are investors that see the potential for themselves if there is trading on non-public information by government officials. The website, congresstrading.com says they look to level the playing field. They offer a service (monthly cost tied 1:1 to the monthly cost of Netflix) that allows the public to track and sort securities transactions as they are reported by law.

WallStreetBets founder Jaime Rogozinski has always been a maverick. He’s pondering the idea of creating a “copycat” or “coat tail” investor
fund
.  Rogozinski believes there is real potential for an investment product that tracks the bets of Nancy’s husband Paul Pelosi. It is uncertain how the fund would fair if the House Speaker were to retire.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



Founder of WallStreetBets has a New Idea for CopyCat Investors



Paying for Infrastructure Spending





Who Benefits from the America Jobs Plan?



Managing Investment Portfolio Risk

 

 

Sources:

https://www.ossoff.senate.gov/press-releases/sens-ossoff-kelly-introduce-bill-banning-stock-trading-by-members-of-congress/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB903395355927059500

https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-seeks-testimony-from-sen-richard-burrs-brother-in-law-in-insider-trading-probe-11635470619

https://www.businessinsider.com/conflicted-congress-key-findings-stock-act-finances-investing-2021-12

https://www.forbes.com/sites/teakvetenadze/2021/09/27/dallas-fed-president-robert-kaplan-resigns-amid-scrutiny-over-trading—hours-after-boston-colleague-steps-down/?sh=39425e39796a

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STOCK_Act

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Update on DWAC the Trump Media SPAC


Image Credit: Gage Skidmore (Flickr)

The Latest on Digital World Acquisition Corp’s Progress (Trump Media SPAC Deal)

 

On October 20, 2021, the Trump Media and Technology Group entered into a definitive merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). The company’s main product, still in development, is a Twitter-like platform with a promise to encourage, “an open, free, and honest global conversation without discriminating against political ideology.”

At the time the former President said, “I created TRUTH Social and video-on-demand service (TMTG+) to stand up to the tyranny of Big Tech.”

DWAC is now up over 500% from its $10 IPO price, but well off its 845% moonshot after the merger announcement in October. DWAC also filed for a $1B PIPE deal for the social media company in December.

 

 

SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. skyrocketed an additional 20% yesterday (January 6). The move followed a report that the TRUTH Social app is set to be launched in February.

Truth Social’s listing on Apple’s app store has an expected start date of Feb. 21.

In December, Trump Media & Technology announced that Representative Devin Nunes (R-CA) will take the role of chief executive officer of Trump’s social media platform. The former dairy farmer has since resigned from Congress to fulfill this new role.

 

Suggested Reading:



Optionality of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company





Analysis of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Lifecycle of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company

 

Sources:

https://truthsocial.com/

https://clerk.house.gov/members/CA22/vacancy

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/12/04/2346139/0/en/Trump-Media-Technology-Group-Corp-and-Digital-World-Acquisition-Corp-Announce-1-Billion-PIPE-Investment-in-Committed-Capital-to-Fund-Business.html

https://www.dwacspac.com/

www.koyfin.com

https://seekingalpha.com/pr/18589421-congressman-devin-g-nunes-ranking-member-of-house-intelligence-committee-to-join-trump-media

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Update on DWAC, the Trump Media SPAC


Image Credit: Gage Skidmore (Flickr)

The Latest on Digital World Acquisition Corp’s Progress (Trump Media SPAC Deal)

 

On October 20, 2021, the Trump Media and Technology Group entered into a definitive merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). The company’s main product, still in development, is a Twitter-like platform with a promise to encourage, “an open, free, and honest global conversation without discriminating against political ideology.”

At the time the former President said, “I created TRUTH Social and video-on-demand service (TMTG+) to stand up to the tyranny of Big Tech.”

DWAC is now up over 500% from its $10 IPO price, but well off its 845% moonshot after the merger announcement in October. DWAC also filed for a $1B PIPE deal for the social media company in December.

 

 

SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. skyrocketed an additional 20% yesterday (January 6). The move followed a report that the TRUTH Social app is set to be launched in February.

Truth Social’s listing on Apple’s app store has an expected start date of Feb. 21.

In December, Trump Media & Technology announced that Representative Devin Nunes (R-CA) will take the role of chief executive officer of Trump’s social media platform. The former dairy farmer has since resigned from Congress to fulfill this new role.

 

Suggested Reading:



Optionality of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company





Analysis of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Lifecycle of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company

 

Sources:

https://truthsocial.com/

https://clerk.house.gov/members/CA22/vacancy

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/12/04/2346139/0/en/Trump-Media-Technology-Group-Corp-and-Digital-World-Acquisition-Corp-Announce-1-Billion-PIPE-Investment-in-Committed-Capital-to-Fund-Business.html

https://www.dwacspac.com/

www.koyfin.com

https://seekingalpha.com/pr/18589421-congressman-devin-g-nunes-ranking-member-of-house-intelligence-committee-to-join-trump-media

 

Stay up to date. Follow us: