Will New Social Media Platform Truth Social Fulfill its Promise?



Investors Watch Media SPAC Stay in the Green as Markets Falter

 

The SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC), which is likely to soon to become Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), is up 750% since the end of the third quarter 2021. This compares quite favorably to the S&P 500, which is up just 1.54% for the same period. Once merged, the media company founded by former President Trump will be a rare publicly owned entity with the former President’s name attached. 

The new social media app offered as a product of the company, Truth Social, became available on Monday in Apple’s App Store. During his White House term, the former President had credited himself with driving traffic and users to social media sites like Twitter. It is unclear how high of a profile Trump will take on this upstart, but it has been a very successful SPAC for investors. The IPO price was $10 and has had a 52-week range of $9.84 to $175. The pre-merger SPAC is currently trading in the upper $80 range. 

While there have been beta users of the app for months, Apple and TMTG made it available for all to download at midnight on Presidents Day. Users that had pre-ordered the app saw it automatically download to their devices. The first day was not without its glitches for Truth Social though. It was reported that many who sought to register their account were unable to and instead received the message, “Due to massive demand, we have placed you on our waitlist.”

Former U.S. Representative Devin Nunes left his Congressional seat to run Trump Media.  Nunes said in an interview with Maria Bartiromo this past Sunday that by mid-March he expects the app to be fully operational within the U.S.

 

De-SPAC Details

In December, TMTG raised $1 billion committed financing from private investors; the funds won’t be made available until the merger with DWAC has been completed. Also, upon merging, the company will have access to capital now being held in trust from the original investors, this is approximately $293 million. The merger is expected to occur during the first quarter of 2022.

Take-Away

One of the most successful SPACs initially offered in 2021 is Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). At one point the shares were up 1,650%. Today holders of the, as yet unmerged, SPAC are watching the product Truth Social made launched and are responding more positively than the overall market.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading



Update on DWAC, the Trump Media SPAC



Trump Media SPAC Merger Details





FOMC Approves Tighter Rules on Trading Activity for Officials



Have You Positioned Your Account to Not Fall Victim to a Crypto-Exchange Hack?

 

Sources

https://www.maxpixel.net/Trump-Truth-Social-Social-Media-App-6739660

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312521348598/d242442d425.htm

https://apps.apple.com/us/app/truth-social/id1586018825

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-trump-spac-might-have-just-given-gensler-and-warren-an-accidental-invitation-to-start-probing-it-11637267697


 

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Federal Reserve Bans Officials from Active Trading



FOMC Approves Tighter Rules on Trading Activity for Officials

 

Over the past six months, three top Fed officials, including a Vice-Chairman, have resigned after the disclosure of their pandemic-era personal trading. The controversy has accelerated since the disclosures and resulted in Friday’s (February 18) unanimous adoption of sweeping changes to Federal Reserve ethics rules. The rules prohibit some officials from even the most basic securities transactions.

The Federal Reserve has now banned senior officials from engaging in various forms of active trading. The new rules “aim to support public confidence in the impartiality and integrity of the Committee’s work by guarding against even the appearance of any conflict of interest,” the central bank said in a statement.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced the guidelines, along with the effective date, which is May 1. The rules specifically prohibit senior officials from purchasing or shorting individual stocks. They also cannot buy or sell short sector funds, enter into derivatives contracts, or purchase securities on margins. The strict guidelines also prevent foreign currency transactions, commodities trading, cryptocurrencies, agency securities, or individual bonds.

The affected officials will be required to provide 45 days notice before selling or buying securities and may only do so after they obtain approval. They will also be required to hold any investments for at least one year. This portion of the rule becomes effective July 1. The FOMC is also extending its blackout trading period running up to regularly scheduled meetings by a day after each meeting.

People impacted by the rules range from Fed Board members and Reserve Bank presidents to Reserve Bank first vice presidents, research directors, staff officers, and any other person designated by the Chair—and their spouses and minor children.

 

Suggested Reading



Have You Positioned Your Account to Not Fall Victim to a Crypto-Exchange Hack?



About the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Appointments





The Detrimental Impact of Fed Policy on Savers



Lessons from How the Back of Inflation Finally Broke in 1982

 

Sources

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC_InvestmentPolicy.pdf

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20220218a.htm


 

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Lawmakers and Insider Trading Laws



What’s Insider Trading? – Is it a Problem for Investors?

 

There’s a growing bipartisan push to prohibit members of Congress from buying or selling stocks. The shift follows news reports that several senators sold stocks shortly after receiving coronavirus briefings in early 2020 and that at least 57 lawmakers have failed to disclose financial transactions since 2012 as required by law.

Congress passed that law – the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act, also known as the STOCK Act – in 2012 to fight insider trading among lawmakers with increased transparency. But a chorus of legislators and governance watchdogs argue that it didn’t go far enough and isn’t working.

All this raises two important questions: What exactly is insider trading and what’s the big deal?

 

This article was republished with permission from   The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of  Alexander Kurov Professor of Finance and Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance, West Virginia University and Marketa Wolfe Associate Professor of Economics, Skidmore College.

 

We are a finance professor and an economics professor who have been studying financial markets and how investors try to take advantage of access to information for their personal gain. Our research shows it’s very common but difficult to stop.

 

What is Insider Trading?

Insider trading is whenever someone uses market-moving nonpublic information in the act of buying or selling a financial asset.

For example, say you work as an executive at a company that plans to make an acquisition. If it’s not public, that would count as inside information. It becomes a crime if you either tell a friend about it – and that person then buys or sells a financial asset using that information – or if you make a trade yourself.

Punishment, if you’re convicted for insider trading, can range from a few months to over a decade behind bars.

Insider trading became illegal in the U.S. in 1934 after Congress passed the Securities Exchange Act in the wake of the worst sustained decline in stocks in history. From Black Monday 1929 through the summer of 1932, the stock market lost 89% of its value. The act was meant to prevent a whole litany of abuses from recurring, including insider trading.

The issue was dramatized in Oliver Stone’s 1987 classic movie “Wall Street,” in which ruthless financier Gordon Gekko makes millions of dollars by trading on inside information on several companies obtained from his protege, Bud Fox.

“The most valuable commodity I know of is information,” declares Gekko, who by the end of the film is convicted of insider trading and sent to jail.

 

‘Informed Trading’

While insider trading typically involves trading stocks of individual companies based on information about them, it can involve any kind of information about the economy, a commodity or anything else that moves markets.

For instance, the monthly consumer price index figures have a huge impact on financial markets at the moment because of concerns about inflation and how it will affect the pace of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. That data is collected and then closely guarded, but a small number of people have access to it before it’s officially released, making the information extremely valuable if any of them wanted to profit off it.

Our own research on financial trading ahead of the release of U.S. economic data shows that financial markets tend to move in the “correct” direction in the minutes before it’s released. That is, if the new data would be a positive for stocks, we saw patterns of stocks rising before that information becomes publicly available – something known as “informed trading.” We also found this to be the case on data released in China and the U.K.. This suggests that some traders may have advance knowledge of information in economic announcements.

Of course, alternative explanations could be that some traders are simply more skilled at collecting and analyzing available data that correctly predicts the economic announcements. For example, online prices collected in real time can be used to predict inflation levels. Also, satellite imagery and analyst forecasts can be used to predict crude oil and natural gas inventory levels.

Common, Profitable and Hard to Prove

Research shows that insider trading is common and profitable, yet notoriously hard to prove and prevent. A 2020 study estimated that only about 15% of insider trading in the U.S. is detected and prosecuted.

One of the more famous – and few – examples of insider trading being prosecuted was the 2004 conviction of businesswoman and media personality Martha Stewart for selling shares based on an illegal tip from a broker. Another came in 2016, when billionaire Steven Cohen and his now-defunct SAC Capital Advisors hedge fund entered into a US$135 million settlement over insider-trading allegations. The hedge fund also paid a fine of $1.8 billion in 2014 over similar charges.

And in 2020, former U.S. Rep. Chris Collins was sentenced to 26 months in prison for passing on a confidential tip to his son and then lying about it to the FBI.

More recently, two Fed officials stepped down in September 2021 after disclosures showed they were trading extensively in 2020 at the same time the U.S. central bank was spending trillions saving the economy from the effects of the pandemic. And Sen. Richard Burr and his brother remain under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission over stock trades they made in February 2020 shortly after the North Carolina Republican received closed-door briefings on the pandemic.

 

Why it Matters

Insider trading is not a victimless crime. By throwing sand in the gears of financial markets, people trading on inside information benefit at the expense of others.

A key characteristic of well-functioning financial markets is high liquidity, which means it is easy to make large trades at low transaction costs. Insider trading adversely affects market liquidity and makes transaction costs higher, reducing investor returns. And since a lot of people have a stake in financial markets – about half of U.S. families own stocks either directly or indirectly – this behavior hurts most Americans.

Insider trading also makes it more expensive for companies to issue stocks and bonds. If investors think that insiders might be trading bonds of a company, they will demand a higher return on the bonds to compensate for their disadvantage – increasing the cost to the company. As a result, the company has less money to hire more workers or invest in a new factory.

There are also broader impacts of insider trading. It undermines public confidence in financial markets and feeds the common view that they odds are stacked in favor of the elite and against everyone else.

Furthermore, since inside traders profit from privileged access to information rather than work, this makes people believe that the system is rigged.

Chris Collins arrives at a federal court as cameras record him

Former U.S. Rep. Chris Collins pleaded guilty to insider trading and lying to the FBI. He was sentenced to 26 months in jail in 2020.

Curbing Insider Trading

The odds of Congress prohibiting lawmakers from trading stocks got a boost when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently said she may support the idea – though she’d like to see a ban also apply to the Supreme Court, which currently has no rules governing the practice. At least some Republicans, such as U.S. Rep. Kevin McCarthy and Sen. Ben Sasse, also say they support a ban.

For its part, the Fed reacted to trading by its two former officials by banning bank policymakers and senior staff from buying individual stocks or bonds.

There are also less heavy-handed ways to curb insider trading. In recent years, policymakers in the U.S. and the U.K. have tightened procedures governing the release of economic data. In the U.K., for example, dozens of public officials used to get market-moving economic data 24 hours before the public release. After the practice stopped in 2017, we found evidence of significantly less informed trading ahead of the release – suggesting it effectively prevented a lot of insider trading.

Surveys show widespread bipartisan public support for Congress to ban lawmakers from trading financial securities, with a recent poll showing 75% in favor. While that doesn’t mean a law will get passed, it does put pressure on lawmakers of both parties to do something about the problem.

 

Suggested Reading



New Measures to Limit Government Officials Trading




WallStreetBets Founder May Create Controversial ETP






Trading Accounts for Children



What Hydrogen Investors are Excited About


 

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New House Bill Would Further Legitimize Virtual Currency



Bipartisan Legislation to Expand Use of Virtual Currency

 

Two lawmakers introduced a bill on Thursday (February 3) to create legislation that allows a functional structure for taxing purchases made with cryptocurrency. The bill is dubbed “The Virtual Currency Tax Fairness Act”. The proposed law was introduced during tax season as many are now faced with the FORM 1040 asking them if over the past year they received, sold, sent, exchanged, or acquired any financial interest in any virtual currency.

The bill was introduced by Rep. DelBene, D-Washington, and Rep Schweikert, R-Arizona, and is co-sponsored by Rep. Soto, D-Florida, and Rep. Emmer, R-Minnesota. The legislation would exempt personal transactions made with virtual currency when the gains are $200 or less. The IRS has in recent years made it more of a priority to pursue those that transact in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC.X) or Ether (ETH.X) and avoid taxes on gains. They have even issued summonses to cryptocurrency exchanges like Coinbase (COIN) and Kraken, asking for the identities of their users. Under current law, this makes sense as any gain from the sale of cryptocurrency must be reported as taxable income regardless of the size or purpose of the transaction.

The problem the proposed new law would solve is that currently using crypto as a payment method entails a sale for IRS purposes. For example, if a moviegoer buys
a ticket
to see a movie using Dogecoin ($DOGE.X), and the crypto spent had been acquired at a lower U.S. dollar price, the difference would be viewed as a capital gain, requiring reporting and a tax situation for the moviegoer.

The legislation seeks to amend the IRS Code of 1986 to remove these tax requirements when the capital gain doesn’t exceed $200, specifically to not discourage small transactions and allow the digital economy to grow.

A co-sponsor of the bill, Rep. Delbene said “Antiquated regulations around virtual currency do not take into account its potential for use in our daily lives, instead treating it more like a stock or ETF,” she adds, “However, virtual currency has evolved rapidly in the past few years with more opportunities to use it in our everyday lives. The U.S. must stay on top of these changes and ensure that our tax code evolves with our use of virtual currency. This commonsense bill cuts the red tape and opens the door to further innovations, ultimately growing our digital economy.”

Take-Away

“The Virtual Currency Tax Fairness Act” aims to remove a major hurdle to the everyday use of cryptocurrencies. If enacted it should benefit individuals, businesses accepting virtual currency, crypto exchanges, blockchain companies, and even the IRS.

 

Suggested Reading



The Fed and MIT are Experimenting with Digital Money



New Measures to Limit Government Officials Trading





Tax Treatment for Crypto Miners Could Cause U.S. Exodus



Why Zuckerberg Won’t be Adding a Cryptocurrency to Meta’s Features

Sources

https://delbene.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=3035

https://mikerogers.house.gov/legislation/cosponsoredbills.htm

https://delbene.house.gov/uploadedfiles/virtual_currency_bill_text.pdf

https://airbnbase.com/kraken-ipo/

 

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Are Fed Governor Appointments Important


Image Credit: New America (Flickr)

About the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Appointments

 

There are three names consistently mentioned as US President Biden’s picks for Federal Reserve Board nominees.  These are Sarah Bloom Raskin for the important regulatory role of Vice Chair for Supervision, also expected to be nominated are academic economists Philip Jefferson and Lisa D. Cook to fill the remaining two vacancies on the Fed’s seven-member governing board. Is it important who is chosen? What would these three bring to the table?

The Importance of Fed Governors

The Board of Governors is the governing body of the entire Federal Reserve System, with offices located in Washington DC. The board consists of seven members, or “governors,” who are nominated by the President and confirmed in their positions by the Senate. Governors guide the operation of the Federal Reserve System to promote the goals and fulfill the responsibilities given by the Federal Reserve Act.

The seven members of the Board are automatically voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) which consists of 12 voting members, and four non-voting regional Reserve Bank presidents. The FOMC is tasked with creating an environment where the banking system is safe, and inflation, economic growth, and full employment are well balanced. It’s expected that 2022 will be a particularly challenging year to successfully manage these priorities.

 

About the Nominees

President Biden is said to be nominating climate-change activist Sarah Bloom Raskin as the central bank’s vice chair for supervision. Raskin would be filling the seat vacated by Randal Quarles who recently left this role. She has served as a Fed governor previously (2010 to 2014) before becoming President Obama’s deputy treasury secretary. The 60-year-old is married to US Representative Jamie Raskin.

The president is also expected to name Lisa DeNell Cook whose career has predominantly been in academia. Cook earned a Ph.D. in economics from the University of California, Berkeley with concentrations in macroeconomics and international economics. She is currently a Professor of Economics and International Relations, Michigan State University. The Milledgeville, GA native formerly worked as a senior economist on Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors

The third expected Fed governor to be nominated is Davidson College dean Philip Jefferson. Jefferson is a former Fed economist who now serves as dean of faculty and academic-affairs vice president at Davidson College in North Carolina. Born and raised in Washington DC, Jefferson received an MA and PhD. From the University of Virginia.

Senate Approval

The three nominees could face opposition during their Senate confirmation hearings. Some lawmakers have already come out against Raskin’s long-expected nomination. The opposition is based in part on her long-held position that financial regulators should use their rule-making powers to fight climate change. An example of Raskin’s views can be found in an op-ed piece from late 2021 that reads, “while none of [America’s] regulatory agencies was specifically designed to mitigate the risks of climate-related events, each has a mandate broad enough to encompass these risks within the scope of the instruments already given to it by Congress. Accordingly, all U.S. regulators can – and should – be looking at their existing powers and considering how they might be brought to bear on efforts to mitigate climate risk.”

Such positions have drawn criticism from lawmakers. Senator Pat Toomey said in a statement that Raskin “has specifically called for the Fed to pressure banks to choke off credit to traditional energy companies and to exclude those employers from any Fed emergency lending facilities. I have serious concerns that she would abuse the Fed’s narrow statutory mandates on monetary policy and banking supervision to have the central bank actively engaged in capital allocation.”

There also seems to be concern over the experience of the two nominees that are professors. One senator said, “I will closely examine whether Ms. Cook and Mr. Jefferson have the necessary experience, judgment and policy views to serve as Fed governors.”

Take-Away

The banking system and those that preside over and guide it are important to the overall state of the economy. The coming year is expected to be particularly challenging as moves to lessen inflation inputs will undoubtedly dampen economic growth. Fed governors and FOMC members best serve their mandates if their focus is on the mandates. There is some concern that if any of the three are nominated, the Senate hearings may be fraught with drama related to determining if there is enough experience from some of the candidates, and if there is an agenda above and beyond that explicitly provided for in the Federal Reserve Act.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



The Detrimental Impact of Fed Policy on Savers



Money Supply is Like Caffeine for Stocks





Powell’s Apparent Shift on Digital Currency



Bond Market Understanding is Again Critical for Stock Investors

Sources:

https://law.duke.edu/news/op-ed-raskin-urges-us-financial-regulators-use-their-tools-mitigate-climate-risk/

https://lisadcook.net/bio-cv/
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/people/philip-jefferson

https://blog.earn2trade.com/what-is-the-fomc/#ixzz7HwdoAjME

https://www.barrons.com/news/us-to-appoint-climate-conscious-bloom-raskin-as-fed-s-top-banking-regulator-01642144806?tesla=y

https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/fract.htm

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Are Fed Governor Appointments Important?


Image Credit: New America (Flickr)

About the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Appointments

 

There are three names consistently mentioned as US President Biden’s picks for Federal Reserve Board nominees.  These are Sarah Bloom Raskin for the important regulatory role of Vice Chair for Supervision, also expected to be nominated are academic economists Philip Jefferson and Lisa D. Cook to fill the remaining two vacancies on the Fed’s seven-member governing board. Is it important who is chosen? What would these three bring to the table?

The Importance of Fed Governors

The Board of Governors is the governing body of the entire Federal Reserve System, with offices located in Washington DC. The board consists of seven members, or “governors,” who are nominated by the President and confirmed in their positions by the Senate. Governors guide the operation of the Federal Reserve System to promote the goals and fulfill the responsibilities given by the Federal Reserve Act.

The seven members of the Board are automatically voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) which consists of 12 voting members, and four non-voting regional Reserve Bank presidents. The FOMC is tasked with creating an environment where the banking system is safe, and inflation, economic growth, and full employment are well balanced. It’s expected that 2022 will be a particularly challenging year to successfully manage these priorities.

 

About the Nominees

President Biden is said to be nominating climate-change activist Sarah Bloom Raskin as the central bank’s vice chair for supervision. Raskin would be filling the seat vacated by Randal Quarles who recently left this role. She has served as a Fed governor previously (2010 to 2014) before becoming President Obama’s deputy treasury secretary. The 60-year-old is married to US Representative Jamie Raskin.

The president is also expected to name Lisa DeNell Cook whose career has predominantly been in academia. Cook earned a Ph.D. in economics from the University of California, Berkeley with concentrations in macroeconomics and international economics. She is currently a Professor of Economics and International Relations, Michigan State University. The Milledgeville, GA native formerly worked as a senior economist on Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors

The third expected Fed governor to be nominated is Davidson College dean Philip Jefferson. Jefferson is a former Fed economist who now serves as dean of faculty and academic-affairs vice president at Davidson College in North Carolina. Born and raised in Washington DC, Jefferson received an MA and PhD. From the University of Virginia.

Senate Approval

The three nominees could face opposition during their Senate confirmation hearings. Some lawmakers have already come out against Raskin’s long-expected nomination. The opposition is based in part on her long-held position that financial regulators should use their rule-making powers to fight climate change. An example of Raskin’s views can be found in an op-ed piece from late 2021 that reads, “while none of [America’s] regulatory agencies was specifically designed to mitigate the risks of climate-related events, each has a mandate broad enough to encompass these risks within the scope of the instruments already given to it by Congress. Accordingly, all U.S. regulators can – and should – be looking at their existing powers and considering how they might be brought to bear on efforts to mitigate climate risk.”

Such positions have drawn criticism from lawmakers. Senator Pat Toomey said in a statement that Raskin “has specifically called for the Fed to pressure banks to choke off credit to traditional energy companies and to exclude those employers from any Fed emergency lending facilities. I have serious concerns that she would abuse the Fed’s narrow statutory mandates on monetary policy and banking supervision to have the central bank actively engaged in capital allocation.”

There also seems to be concern over the experience of the two nominees that are professors. One senator said, “I will closely examine whether Ms. Cook and Mr. Jefferson have the necessary experience, judgment and policy views to serve as Fed governors.”

Take-Away

The banking system and those that preside over and guide it are important to the overall state of the economy. The coming year is expected to be particularly challenging as moves to lessen inflation inputs will undoubtedly dampen economic growth. Fed governors and FOMC members best serve their mandates if their focus is on the mandates. There is some concern that if any of the three are nominated, the Senate hearings may be fraught with drama related to determining if there is enough experience from some of the candidates, and if there is an agenda above and beyond that explicitly provided for in the Federal Reserve Act.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



The Detrimental Impact of Fed Policy on Savers



Money Supply is Like Caffeine for Stocks





Powell’s Apparent Shift on Digital Currency



Bond Market Understanding is Again Critical for Stock Investors

Sources:

https://law.duke.edu/news/op-ed-raskin-urges-us-financial-regulators-use-their-tools-mitigate-climate-risk/

https://lisadcook.net/bio-cv/
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/people/philip-jefferson

https://blog.earn2trade.com/what-is-the-fomc/#ixzz7HwdoAjME

https://www.barrons.com/news/us-to-appoint-climate-conscious-bloom-raskin-as-fed-s-top-banking-regulator-01642144806?tesla=y

https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/fract.htm

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

New Measures to Limit Government Officials Trading


Image Credit: Federal Reserve (Flickr)

Do Lawmakers and Policymakers Profit From Non-Public Insight?

 

Should government officials with “insider knowledge” or direct impact on corporate profits be restricted in their investing? Alan Greenspan who is still the only Federal Reserve Chairman appointed five times had his savings and investments in a blind trust account which held nothing but treasury bills maturing in a year or less. He was very open about his investing practices; he didn’t make any decisions on his account.

Fed Officials
Trading

On Monday (January 10) the second-highest ranking Fed official, Richard Clarida, resigned effective immediately. This occurred after a New York Times article the prior week discussed his active trading and remarkable timing within his investment account. The effectiveness of any central bank is undermined if trust and confidence are lost. But this is not the first time in recent years. Last fall Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren stepped down from their positions of trust after the details of their own trading activity during 2020 surfaced. The period in question was marked by large market moves, which often occurred as a result of Fed policy changes that could provide substantial opportunity for anyone with advanced knowledge or policy-setting influence.

Congress Members Trading

An investigation by news publication Business Insider concluded that 52 members of Congress violated the Federal STOCK Act. The intention of this law is to prevent conflicts of interest and prohibit insider trading by government officials.

In an announcement yesterday (January 12), Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff indicated he plans to introduce a bill completely barring members of Congress and their immediate families from trading individual stocks. The bill will be introduced after he and his staff work to build bipartisan support for the bill.

On the House side of the Capitol, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is on record as standing against barring individual stock trades by members of Congress. “We are a free-market economy. They should be able to participate in that,” Pelosi said in a Dec. 15 press conference. Pelosi is often under fire as her husband’s transactions include many stocks of companies that are very active spending millions lobbying Congress for laws to be passed in their favor.

Politicians that would appear onboard with a ban are Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren.  “There is no reason members of Congress should hold and trade individual stock when we write major policy and have access to sensitive information. There are many ways members can invest w/o creating actual or appeared conflict of interest, like thrift savings plans or index funds,” Rep. Ocasio-Cortez tweeted on Dec. 17.

Senator Ossoff has himself placed his stock portfolio in a blind trust as of June, according to a press release by Ossoff’s office.

Politicians like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., have expressed support for the ban.

Not The
First Effort

Legislators have introduced bills in the past to ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks.

Before the novel coronavirus market turmoil early in 2020, Rep. Abigail Spanberger, Rep. Chip Roy, reintroduced legislation in the House to require all members of Congress, as well as their spouses and children, to put investment assets into a qualified blind trust. The goal is to prevent insider trading.

The Ban Conflicted Trading Act, a bill introduced in the House last March was limited in that it only prevented trades for members of Congress and senior staffers, not their family members.

Investor
Response

There are investors that see the potential for themselves if there is trading on non-public information by government officials. The website, congresstrading.com says they look to level the playing field. They offer a service (monthly cost tied 1:1 to the monthly cost of Netflix) that allows the public to track and sort securities transactions as they are reported by law.

WallStreetBets founder Jaime Rogozinski has always been a maverick. He’s pondering the idea of creating a “copycat” or “coat tail” investor
fund
.  Rogozinski believes there is real potential for an investment product that tracks the bets of Nancy’s husband Paul Pelosi. It is uncertain how the fund would fair if the House Speaker were to retire.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



Founder of WallStreetBets has a New Idea for CopyCat Investors



Paying for Infrastructure Spending





Who Benefits from the America Jobs Plan?



Managing Investment Portfolio Risk

 

 

Sources:

https://www.ossoff.senate.gov/press-releases/sens-ossoff-kelly-introduce-bill-banning-stock-trading-by-members-of-congress/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB903395355927059500

https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-seeks-testimony-from-sen-richard-burrs-brother-in-law-in-insider-trading-probe-11635470619

https://www.businessinsider.com/conflicted-congress-key-findings-stock-act-finances-investing-2021-12

https://www.forbes.com/sites/teakvetenadze/2021/09/27/dallas-fed-president-robert-kaplan-resigns-amid-scrutiny-over-trading—hours-after-boston-colleague-steps-down/?sh=39425e39796a

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STOCK_Act

 

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Update on DWAC the Trump Media SPAC


Image Credit: Gage Skidmore (Flickr)

The Latest on Digital World Acquisition Corp’s Progress (Trump Media SPAC Deal)

 

On October 20, 2021, the Trump Media and Technology Group entered into a definitive merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). The company’s main product, still in development, is a Twitter-like platform with a promise to encourage, “an open, free, and honest global conversation without discriminating against political ideology.”

At the time the former President said, “I created TRUTH Social and video-on-demand service (TMTG+) to stand up to the tyranny of Big Tech.”

DWAC is now up over 500% from its $10 IPO price, but well off its 845% moonshot after the merger announcement in October. DWAC also filed for a $1B PIPE deal for the social media company in December.

 

 

SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. skyrocketed an additional 20% yesterday (January 6). The move followed a report that the TRUTH Social app is set to be launched in February.

Truth Social’s listing on Apple’s app store has an expected start date of Feb. 21.

In December, Trump Media & Technology announced that Representative Devin Nunes (R-CA) will take the role of chief executive officer of Trump’s social media platform. The former dairy farmer has since resigned from Congress to fulfill this new role.

 

Suggested Reading:



Optionality of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company





Analysis of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Lifecycle of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company

 

Sources:

https://truthsocial.com/

https://clerk.house.gov/members/CA22/vacancy

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/12/04/2346139/0/en/Trump-Media-Technology-Group-Corp-and-Digital-World-Acquisition-Corp-Announce-1-Billion-PIPE-Investment-in-Committed-Capital-to-Fund-Business.html

https://www.dwacspac.com/

www.koyfin.com

https://seekingalpha.com/pr/18589421-congressman-devin-g-nunes-ranking-member-of-house-intelligence-committee-to-join-trump-media

 

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Update on DWAC, the Trump Media SPAC


Image Credit: Gage Skidmore (Flickr)

The Latest on Digital World Acquisition Corp’s Progress (Trump Media SPAC Deal)

 

On October 20, 2021, the Trump Media and Technology Group entered into a definitive merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC). The company’s main product, still in development, is a Twitter-like platform with a promise to encourage, “an open, free, and honest global conversation without discriminating against political ideology.”

At the time the former President said, “I created TRUTH Social and video-on-demand service (TMTG+) to stand up to the tyranny of Big Tech.”

DWAC is now up over 500% from its $10 IPO price, but well off its 845% moonshot after the merger announcement in October. DWAC also filed for a $1B PIPE deal for the social media company in December.

 

 

SPAC, Digital World Acquisition Corp. skyrocketed an additional 20% yesterday (January 6). The move followed a report that the TRUTH Social app is set to be launched in February.

Truth Social’s listing on Apple’s app store has an expected start date of Feb. 21.

In December, Trump Media & Technology announced that Representative Devin Nunes (R-CA) will take the role of chief executive officer of Trump’s social media platform. The former dairy farmer has since resigned from Congress to fulfill this new role.

 

Suggested Reading:



Optionality of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company





Analysis of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Lifecycle of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company

 

Sources:

https://truthsocial.com/

https://clerk.house.gov/members/CA22/vacancy

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/12/04/2346139/0/en/Trump-Media-Technology-Group-Corp-and-Digital-World-Acquisition-Corp-Announce-1-Billion-PIPE-Investment-in-Committed-Capital-to-Fund-Business.html

https://www.dwacspac.com/

www.koyfin.com

https://seekingalpha.com/pr/18589421-congressman-devin-g-nunes-ranking-member-of-house-intelligence-committee-to-join-trump-media

 

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Joint Statement on CRYPTO-ASSET Policy


Joint Statement on CRYPTO-ASSET Policy

 

The long-awaited policy statement on Crypto policy was just released by the three agencies that would be collectively engaged in supervision. The stated purpose of their working on the collaborative effort is to bring clarity to promote safety, soundness, consumer protection, and compliance with current finance statutes and rules.

Staff from the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC, first worked to understand crypto-assets and then determine their organization’s potential involvement. Involvement included:

  • Custody of crypto-assets
  • Sales and purchase facilitation
  • Collateralized loans by crypto
  • Payment activities including stablecoins
  • Bank balance sheet crypto-assets

Based on their review, they created a list to provide greater clarity on whether banking organizations are legally permitted to engage in specific activities related to crypto-assets. During 2022 the agencies plan to provide guidance on:

  • Crypto-asset safekeeping and traditional custody services
  • Ancillary custody services
  • Facilitation of customer purchases and sales of crypto-assets
  • Issuance and distribution of stablecoins
  • Activities involving the holding of crypto-assets on balance sheets

The agencies will also evaluate bank capital and liquidity standards to crypto-assets for activities involving U.S. banking organizations and will continue to engage with the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision on its consultative process as it relates to these areas.

The full Joint Statement on Crypto-Asset Policy can be found
here.

What Infrastructure Law Does for Investors


The Far-Reaching Impact of the Signed $1.2 Trillion Infrastructure Law

 

EV charging stations, electric school buses, dredging to ease shipping, roads, bridges, and water pipes, the just-signed $1 trillion-plus Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act is now law. While it is much smaller than originally planned, investors can be clear about the content and should familiarize themselves with the overall plan and its expected impact.

The act is the largest federal investment in infrastructure since the financial crisis more than a decade ago and is considered to be one-half of The White House’s “two-pronged” economic agenda. The second prong is the $1.85 trillion social spending and climate change package. The House plans to vote on that this week. It isn’t expected to need any backing beyond the supportive Democrats in Congress to pass.

State transportation departments will likely see the first allowance of highway funds by the beginning of December.

The Acts Goals

“The world has changed, and we have to be ready,” Biden said in remarks at the White House on Monday, he promised listeners, “your life is changing for the better.”

The President said the act will expand high-speed broadband access, replace all of the nation’s lead water pipes and service lines, repair crumbling bridges and dangerous intersections, invest in electric school buses and transit buses, ease supply chain bottlenecks and increase the nation’s resilience against wildfires, superstorms, hurricanes, and other severe weather. The act also will create the first national network of electric vehicle charging stations and encourage the domestic manufacture of solar panels, windmills, and other clean energy technology. Biden said the $1 trillion in infrastructure spending, along with the Build Back Better Act, will make the U.S. more competitive against China without raising taxes on households earning less than $400,000 annually.

Specifically, it includes $550 billion above current planned federal spending on roads, bridges, and expanded broadband access. It plans for financing from several sources of revenue, including taking more than $200 billion in Covid19 relief funds, about $50 billion from delaying a rule on Medicare rebates, and $50 billion from states that had unused unemployment insurance funds.

 

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Implementation:

The President is also signing an executive order that creates a task force to help enact the law and avoid waste. The members will include: Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Michael Regan, Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo. In a news release, the White House said, “This Task Force will be committed to break down barriers and drive implementation of infrastructure investments across all levels of government to realize the President’s vision of rebuilding our nation’s infrastructure and positioning the U.S. to compete and win in the 21st century.”

The law requires brokers, including cryptocurrency exchanges, to issue a 1099-B. This requirement forces crypto exchanges that may not have otherwise been notifying the IRS of gains to directly inform of cryptocurrency transactions.

 

 Take-Away

The new law will require brokers of crypto to issue a 1099-B and notify the IRS. It should provide a boost for EV manufacturers as it is using infrastructure funds to encourage this technology. At the same time, it does not encourage some directly competing technologies such as hydrogen. The plan is expected to lower the cost of internet service to households if their provider receives federal funds. The law will add $350 billion in new debt during a time when treasury yields are rising. Additional money comes from repurposing pandemic-related funds, and immediately halting a Medicare practice of providing rebates to pharmacies that lessened consumer drug costs. Federal infrastructure contractors are presumed to be the big winners, companies that build roads and bridges, lay power lines, dredge harbors, and enhance rail transportation systems.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek.com

 

Suggested Reading:



Knowing How the Government Buys Infrastructure is Useful to Investors



Is Ethereum More Useful Than Bitcoin?





How Much is a Trillion?



Small Caps Could Benefit from Tax Changes, M&A, and Simple Reversion to Mean in 2022

 

Sources:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/11/15/fact-sheet-president-bidens-executive-order-establishing-priorities-and-task-force-for-implementation-of-the-bipartisan-infrastructure-law/

https://www.c-span.org/video/?516100-1/president-biden-signs-bipartisan-infrastructure-bill

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/11/15/remarks-by-president-biden-at-signing-of-h-r-3684-the-infrastructure-investment-and-jobs-act/

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/11/14/president-biden-announces-former-new-orleans-mayor-mitch-landrieu-as-senior-advisor-and-infrastructure-coordinator/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-infrastructure-bill-signing-11636997814?mod=latest_headlines

https://time.com/nextadvisor/investing/cryptocurrency/infrastructure-bill-crypto-taxes/

https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/28/politics/infrastructure-bill-explained/index.html

 

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Will Washington Policy Doom Tesla?


Image Credit: Steve Jurvetson (Flickr)

Elon Musk’s Critical Tweets and Comments of White House Actions are Escalating

 

Elon Musk’s frustration with White House actions has continued into the Fall as recent tweets by Musk, and a Twitter account named Tesla Facts show dissatisfaction with perceived slights against Musk, Tesla, and SpaceX. He questions what he views as financial favoritism toward his company’s competitors. Tesla Stock rose 40% during October, which can be seen as resilience against what Musk has called “odd” behavior toward the world’s number-one electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer.

 

Background:

The most recent name-calling tweet occurred this weekend as Musk responded to the President’s proposal to give an extra tax credit to EV purchasers if their car was manufactured using unionized labor. Elon Musk’s tweet was short and direct, he wrote: “Biden is a UAW puppet” referring to the United Autoworkers Union and the 46th President.

 

 

Tesla’s U.S. plant in California doesn’t have union labor, so the proposal could give EVs from other U.S. automakers a pricing advantage depending on where their vehicles are assembled.

The first public signs of confrontation between Tesla and the current administration were evident when the President didn’t invite Tesla, the largest U.S. and global EV producer, to the White House in August when an important EV goals announcement was made. The ceremony included representatives of the UAW, Ford, GM, and Chrysler’s parent company.  Their goals were announced to have 50% of the cars sold in the U.S. all-electric by 2030.  It was because of this event that Musk spoke of being excluded, calling it odd in a tweet. In late September Musk tweeted that the President was “still sleeping” after the founder of SpaceX didn’t get a congratulatory call from the White House after its civilian astronaut mission ended successfully while also raising $210 million for children’s cancer research at St. Jude’s Children’s Research Hospital.

In September, at The Code Conference (digital technology) in California, Musk suggested that the administration was biased against Tesla, adding the administration “seems to be controlled by unions.”

More recently, Musk tweeted accusations of favoritism, mentioning actions by the National Highway Transport Safety Administration. A newly appointed safety advisor to the NHTSA, Missy Cummings, a Duke University professor, has questioned Tesla’s autonomous driving software on more than one occasion. Professor Cummings is concerned that Drivers could misuse Tesla’s self-driving features. Musk called Cummings “extremely biased” in his tweet.

 

 

From an Investment Standpoint

Investors in EV’s future that are looking toward the expected ramped up demand for minerals and metals to meet the aggressive goals, not just in the U.S., but also around the globe, should find that the miners, recyclers, and other producers of these materials should still experience an increase in their demand if another car manufacturer receives more orders than it may have otherwise. In fact, if the tax credit is passed, it can be considered more bullish for these stocks. 

Tesla investors have to ask whether it changes their projections for the company’s bottom line. It could, Tesla plants are known for their advanced robotics which helps produce lighter cars more efficiently, but a $4,500 tax credit could incentivize buyers toward the big three that qualify as they are unionized.

The proposal hasn’t seemed to hurt Tesla stock yet. Tesla shares rose more than 40% in October, while the S&P 500 rose 7%. Growing deliveries and earnings and expanded fleet business helped push Tesla’s market capitalization above $1 trillion for the first time.

There is one last “problem” in the proposal that could be viewed as aimed at Tesla. Most new Tesla employees receive between $20,000 and $40,000 worth of stock warrants when hired; the White House’s tax credit proposal would exclude companies, even if they are fully unionized when over 50% of the employees can be considered owners. If enacted, a company change from one with high employee ownership to a union shop with less than 50% of employees with a stake in the company would significantly alter the culture of the automaker that has succeeded in attaining the world’s highest market capitalization for a car company. A policy change like that is unlikely, Tesla management will just need to compete with any uneven playing field they’re asked to compete on.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



Will U.S. Car Companies be Handed Different EV Advantages?



With Ford’s Electric F-150 Pickup, the EV Transition Shifts into High Gear





Tesla’s Strange Influence on the Markets



What History Says About November Investing

 

Sources:

https://twitter.com/truth_tesla

https://www.chicagotribune.com/opinion/commentary/ct-perspec-ford-sexual-harassment-uaw-union-0111-20180109-story.html

https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/elon-musk-donates-50m-inspiration4-st-judes-fundraiser
https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/5376/text

 

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Advisors ESG Recommendations Could Get Them in Hot Water


ESG Programs Under the SEC Spotlight

 

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) singled out ESG investing in its annual examination priorities letter in both  2021 and in 2020. Back in April, they went as far as issuing a  risk alert citing firms for making misleading statements about their ESG programs, inadequate controls around ESG marketing efforts, and lack of oversight and compliance deficiencies.

An official at the SEC warned this week, examiners at the Securities and Exchange Commission have been watching advisory firms that advertise investment strategies focused on environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG). According to Kristin Snyder, who is the deputy director of the SEC.’s Division of Examinations, where examiners monitor how advisors tell clients that an investment strategy is aligned with certain values or risk factors, said at an annual SEC conference, “We’ve been significantly focused on examining advisors who are advertising and marketing environmental, social, and governance investments, and I know those investments can often be marketed in a number of different ways, whether it’s impact, or socially responsible, or ESG-conscious.”

Snyder recommended that advisors study the recommendations the commission published in their The
Division of Examinations’ Review of ESG Investing
and cautioned that examiners would continue to probe how advisors are backing up their ESG promises when examiners visit firms that promote purpose-driven investing strategies.

“In a nutshell, I think across all advisor types as well as looking at registered investment company investments, we’ll be looking at compliance programs, portfolio management, and marketing and advertising,” Snyder said.

“We’re not making merit-based judgments about any of these investments,” she said. “We’re simply ensuring that what advisors are marketing and representing to their investors is actually happening in practice and that with compliance, there are policies and procedures and controls to ensure that the portfolio management practices that the advisor markets and advertises actually are operating as they should.”

Take-Away

Bandwagon marketing by investment advisors will only be tolerated by the SEC if the ideas and underlying securities match an investment professional’s proposal. The rush to all things ESG by the investment community in 2021 has led to abuses. The SEC is aware of the overzealous marketing campaigns and is on the lookout at their regular examinations.

Suggested Reading:



Brokerage App Coercion? The SEC Wants You to Share Your Experiences



ESG Indicators and How Investors Use Them





Five Reasons Investors Increasingly Use ESG Standards



Are Small-Cap Stocks Smart Investments?

 

 

Sources:

https://www.c-span.org/video/?515168-1/securities-exchange-commission-oversight-hearing

https://www.sec.gov/files/esg-risk-alert.pdf

https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2020-334

https://www.sec.gov/investment/investment-adviser-marketing

 

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