Release – Sierra Metals Reports Solid Consolidated Financial Results For The Second Quarter Of 2020, Despite Covid-19 Interruptions

Sierra Metals Reports Solid Consolidated Financial Results For The Second Quarter Of 2020, Despite Covid-19 Interruptions

Issuing Revised Production Guidance

Conference Call August 14, 2020 At 10:30 AM (EDT) Registration Link Below


(All $ figures reported in USD)

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $12.6 million in Q2 2020 in-line with Q2 2019, as lower revenues due to COVID government mandated curtailments were partially offset by reduced operating costs
  • Operating cash flows before movements in working capital of $13.2 million in Q2 2020 increased from $12.8 million in Q2 2019
  • Revenue from metals payable of $41.9 million in Q2 2020 decreased from $50.7 million in Q2 2019 as the COVID-19 pandemic impacted quarterly production and metal prices
  • Q2 2020 consolidated copper production of 9.7 million pounds was consistent with Q2 2019; consolidated silver production of 0.6 million ounces, consolidated zinc production of 13.7 million pounds and consolidated lead production of 6.4 million pounds declined by 32%, 17% and 21% respectively; consolidated gold production of 2,762 ounces increased 9% as compared to Q2 2019
  • Quarterly silver production declined as Cusi remained under care and maintenance throughout the quarter. The Company announced restarting of Cusi operations on July 28, 2020
  • Revised production guidance issued which anticipates that 2020 copper equivalent production will now range between 110.1 to 122.3 million pounds; or silver equivalent production will range between 17.4 to 19.4 million ounces; or zinc equivalent production will range between 286.8 to 318.7 million pounds.
  • The Board of Directors has approved studies to be completed for potential expansions of all mines, as per ongoing Company strategy
  • $40.7 million of cash and cash equivalents as at June 30, 2020
  • $49.4 million of working capital as at June 30, 2020
  • Net Debt of $58.7 million as at June 30, 2020
  • Shareholder conference call to be held Friday, August 14, 2020, at 10:30 AM (EDT) – Preregistration required please see link below

(1) Silver equivalent ounces
and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q2 2020 were calculated using the following realized prices: $16.59/oz Ag, $2.40/lb Cu, $0.89/lb Zn, $0.76/lb Pb, $1,722/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q2 2019 were calculated using the following realized prices: $14.88/oz Ag, $2.75/lb Cu, $1.20/lb Zn, $0.85/lb Pb, $1,323/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2020 were calculated using the following realized prices: $16.58/oz Ag, $2.46/lb Cu, $0.91/lb Zn, $0.78/lb Pb, $1,654/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2019 were calculated using the following realized prices: $15.23/oz Ag, $2.80/lb Cu, $/1.22lb Zn, $0.90/lb Pb, $1,314/oz Au.

 

Toronto, ON – August 13, 2020Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) (BVL: SMT) (NYSE AMERICAN: SMTS) (“Sierra Metals” or “the Company”) today reported solid consolidated financial results despite the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including a strong performance from the Bolivar Mine.  Results included revenue of $41.9 million and adjusted EBITDA of $12.6 million on throughput of 511,485 tonnes and metal production of 22.7 million copper equivalent pounds, or 3.3 million silver equivalent ounces, or 61.4 million zinc equivalent pounds for the three month period ended June 30, 2020.

 

Revenues were negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic on production and metal prices during the quarter. Average realized prices in Q2 2020 for copper, zinc and lead were 13%, 26% and 11% lower, respectively as compared to realized prices in Q2 2019. Silver and gold prices were 11% and 30% higher than their respective average realized prices in Q2 2019. Adjusted EBITDA generated during Q2 2020 was in-line with Q2 2019 however, as lower operating costs offset lower revenues.

 

Yauricocha’s cash costs declined 22% quarter over quarter due to lower operating costs per tonne.  AISC per copper equivalent pound decreased 9% as lower cash costs were partially offset by higher treatment and refining charges and lower copper equivalent pounds sold as compared to Q2 2019. The Yauricocha Mine generated positive EBITDA during the quarter, despite the 20% lower throughput as compared to the same quarter of 2019. The mine resumed normal operations on June 5, 2020, as the Peruvian Government included mining and related activities in phase two of its economic recovery plan. The management team believes that the mine has operational flexibility to recover part of the production lost during the quarter.

 

Cash costs at Bolivar for Q2 2020 dropped 32% as compared to the same quarter of 2019, as the mine operated at lower operating costs and achieved mill throughput that was just 5% lower than Q2 2019, despite the impact of the COVID-19 related shutdowns in Mexico. The increase in revenues from the Bolivar Mine more than compensated for the loss of revenues from the Cusi Mine that remained closed throughout the quarter.  Bolivar generated $6.6 million in EBITDA during the quarter. The mine resumed normal operations on June 1, 2020, as the Mexican Government deemed mining an essential activity effective that date.

 

Cusi remained in care and maintenance throughout Q2 2020 due to its proximity to urban communities and hence there was no production during the quarter. Cusi generated EBITDA of $0.2 million on revenue of $1.7 million during the quarter resulting from the sale of silver concentrate remaining at the end of Q1 2020. Cusi production recommenced on July 28, 2020 and a process has been implemented at the mine to mitigate the risk of COVID-19 to employees at the site through a testing and quarantine methodology. During the period of care and maintenance, the management team has had the time to complete an optimised view of the entire mine operation. Mine development is ongoing at Cusi to provide access to higher-grade economic ore and feed ore to the mill at the targeted rate of 1,200 tpd. Production will include ore from Santa Rosa de Lima zone, the Promontorio zone, as well as from a series of east-west vein systems including the new high-grade zone, Northeast-Southwest system of Epithermal Veins (“NSEV”) announced on June 18, 2020 that cross the Cusi fault near the Santa Rosa de Lima zone.

 

The Company expects to continue development and infrastructure improvements at Bolivar with the aim to push throughput close to 5,000 tonnes per day (“tpd”) before end of the year. At Cusi, mine development will continue to provide access to the higher-grade economic ore and feed ore to the mill at the targeted rate of 1,200 tpd. Additional drilling is also planned to better understand the extension of the NSEV zone at depth and to the Northeast. Further, the Company intends to commence studies on the potential expansion of Cusi and begin work on a new tailing dam near the Mal Paso mill, providing for deposition capacity for the foreseeable future.

 

“The Company was able to maintain essential activities while fully complying with the government protocols during the state of emergency,” stated Luis Marchese, CEO of Sierra Metals. “We achieved remarkable results and reported solid revenue, cashflow and positive EBITDA in the second quarter despite the negative implications of the COVID-19 related shutdowns. We also achieved lower costs at the Bolivar and Cusi mines which are attributable to higher operating efficiency and the prudent management of capital expenditures to protect the balance sheet, while also realizing improved head grades and more favorable foreign exchange rates. A good portion of the credit for these results is owed to the employees at Yauricocha and Bolivar who were able to maintain a high level of productivity with a reduced workforce. Also, to the management team, who led the Company through what we consider its biggest challenge in its history, while all operations were curtailed or placed into care and maintenance during the quarter as metal prices dropped sharply during the crisis. We are currently running our three operations at high operating rates.  However, we remain cognizant that COVID-19 cases remain high in Peru and Mexico. As such, we continue proceeding cautiously, adhering to strict health protocols to protect our employees and the communities in which we operate, as well as to mitigate the potential for further work stoppages.”

 

He continued, “looking ahead to the second half of the year, due to our operating flexibility, we have the potential to recover some of the lost production experienced during the shutdowns at Yauricocha. We are also excited to see Bolivar continue in its strides towards the 5,000 tpd throughput level.  Cusi having restarted earlier than anticipated is on track and performing well on its way to the 1,200 tpd throughput level. Metals prices have strengthened at the start of the third quarter especially for copper and precious metals. We are optimistic that with improved operating efficiencies and potential higher metal prices we will see a stronger second half for 2020.  Furthermore, we will continue seeking the required permits to increase Yauricocha’s throughput to 3,600 tonnes per day for next year.”

 

He concluded, “Sierra Metals’ balance sheet, working capital and cash position remain strong. Considering that we remain in a vulnerable environment due to the COVID-19 pandemic, we are optimistic that further cash flow and liquidity improvements should be realized in the second half of 2020, due to higher production rates and improved metal prices.  This would allow the Company to complete more of the deferred required capital expenditures and potential returns of capital which had been originally planned for this year. Management remains committed to the prudent and sustainable growth plan for the Company and more importantly to improving the per share value benefiting all shareholders now and, in the years to come.”

 

The following table displays selected financial and operational information for the three and six months ended June 30, 2020:

 

Q2 2020 Financial Highlights

  • Revenue from metals payable of $41.9 million in Q2 2020 decreased by 17% from $50.7 million in Q2 2019. Revenues declined due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which impacted mine production and metal prices during the quarter. Average realized prices in Q2 2020 for copper, zinc and lead were 13%, 26% and 11% lower respectively as compared to realized prices in Q2 2019. Silver and gold prices were 11% and 30% higher than their respective average realized prices in Q2 2019;
  • Yauricocha’s cost of sales per copper equivalent payable pound was $0.94 (Q2 2019 – $1.27), cash cost per copper equivalent payable pound was $0.91 (Q2 2019 – $1.16), and AISC per copper equivalent payable pound of $1.80 (Q2 2019 – $1.98). The decrease in the AISC per copper equivalent payable pound for Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019 was due to lower cash costs and lower sustaining costs, which were partially offset by increase in treatment and refining charges and lower number of equivalent copper pounds sold;
  • Bolivar’s cost of sales per copper equivalent payable pound was $1.01 (Q2 2019 – $1.77), cash cost per copper equivalent payable pound was $1.02 (Q2 2019 – $1.51), and AISC per copper equivalent payable pound was $1.60 (Q2 2019 – $2.55) for Q2 2020. The decrease in the AISC per copper equivalent payable pound was largely due to lower cash costs, lower sustaining costs and higher copper equivalent pounds sold as compared to Q2 2019;
  • Cusi’s cost of sales per silver equivalent payable ounce was $16.33 (Q2 2019 – $10.99), cash cost per silver equivalent payable ounce was $18.66 (Q2 2019 – $16.49), and AISC per silver equivalent payable ounce was $26.25 (Q2 2019 – $25.67) for Q2 2020. AISC per silver equivalent payable ounce increased largely due to lower amount of equivalent silver sold as compared to Q2 2019, as concentrate inventory at the end of Q1 2020 was sold during Q2 2020. There was no production at Cusi throughout the quarter;
  • Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $12.6 million for Q2 2020 was in-line with Q2 2019;
  • Net income (loss) attributable to shareholders for Q2 2020 was $0.2 million (Q2 2019: $(0.2) million) or $0.00 per share (basic and diluted) (Q2 2019: $(0.00));
  • Adjusted net income attributable to shareholders (1) of $1.3 million, or $0.01 per share, for Q2 2020 compared to the adjusted net income of $1.6 million, or $0.01 per share for Q2 2019;
  • A large component of the net income for every period is the non-cash depletion charge in Peru, which was $1.6 million for Q2 2020 (Q2 2019: $2.4 million). The non-cash depletion charge is based on the aggregate fair value of the Yauricocha mineral property at the date of acquisition of Corona of $371.0 million amortized over the total proven and probable reserves of the mine;
  • Cash flow generated from operations before movements in working capital of $13.2 million for Q2 2020 increased compared to $12.8 million in Q2 2019. The increase in operating cash flow is mainly the result of COVID-19 related reductions in general and administrative costs (“G&A”), as gross margins remained in-line with Q2 2019; and
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $40.7 million and working capital of $49.4 million as at June 30, 2020 compared to $43.0 million and $49.9 million, respectively, at the end of 2019. Cash and cash equivalents decreased due to $14.5 million of capital expenditures and interest payment of $2.3 million were partially offset by $14.7 million of operating cash flows.

 (1) This is a non-IFRS performance measure, see non-IFRS Performance Measures section of this MD&A.

Project Development

  • Mine development at Bolívar during Q2 2020 totaled 1,296 meters. To offset impact of lower capacities, affected by COVID-19, major portion of this development (1,282 meters) was to prepare stopes for mine production. The balance of 14 meters were developed at the deepening of ramps and service ramps to be used for ventilation and pumping in El Gallo Inferior and Bolivar West orebody; and
  • During Q2 2020, at the Cusi property, mine development totaled 146.0 meters to stope preparation in various zones within the mine;

Exploration Update

Peru:

In the Q2 2020, there was no surface exploration as a result of the Covid-19 emergency declaration. Underground exploration is planned to resume in September and surface exploration in October.

Mexico:

Bolivar

  • Total 1,344 meters were drilled in Q2 2020. 558 meters of surface exploration included 9 meters at Bolivar West and 549 meters at Porphyry System. Additionally, 786 meters were drilled inside the mine as infill drilling.

Cusi

  • During Q2 2020 the Company drilled 639.80 meters of surface diamond drilling to verify the settlement of the subsidence zone at the Promontorio area and to explore the extension of the NE veins system to the Northeast.

Guidance

The Company has issued revised 2020 production guidance and anticipates that 2020 copper equivalent production will range between 110.1 to 122.3 million pounds; or silver equivalent production will range between 17.4 to 19.4 million ounces; or zinc equivalent production will range between 286.8 to 318.7 million pounds. The decrease from the original 2020 guidance issued (see press release dated January 23, 2020) is related to work stoppages during the government mandated shutdowns due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Q2 2020. Please note that revised guidance assumes no further shutdowns or work stoppages as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and is based solely on what management expects the Company’s operations can produce this year. 

A table summarizing 2020 production guidance has been provided below:

Approval to proceed with Expansion Studies

As per the ongoing strategy of the Company, the Board of Directors has approved a proposal by management for expenditure to study further expansions at all three mines beyond the current capacity ramp-up levels. These studies will incorporate the latest NI 43-101 mineral resource updates, including the significant mineral resource increases at Bolivar reported in December 2019 and in March 2020. We believe the Company has excellent land packages with tremendous resource growth potential to support further organic growth at all mines.

Conference Call and Webcast

Sierra Metals’ senior management will host a conference call on Friday, August 14, 2020, at 10:30 AM (EDT) to discuss the Company’s financial and operating results for the three months ended June 30, 2020.

Via Webcast:

A live audio webcast of the meeting will be available on the Company’s website:

https://event.on24.com/wcc/r/2393587/AB458B2015EA9FEC98705CC780F49912

The webcast, along with presentation slides, will be archived for 180 days at www.sierrametals.com.

Via phone:

To pre-register for this conference call, please use the registration link provided below. After registering, a confirmation will be sent through email, including dial in details and unique conference call codes for entry. As well, reminders will be sent to registered participants in advance of the call.

If you have trouble registering, and need extra assistance please dial: +1 (888) 869-1189 or +1 (706) 643-5902.

Registration is open throughout the live call, however, to ensure you are connected for the full call we suggest registering a day in advance or at minimum 10 minutes before the start of the call.

 

Conference Call Registration Link:

http://www.directeventreg.com/registration/event/3580728

 

Qualified Persons

All technical production data contained in this news release has been reviewed and approved by:

Americo Zuzunaga, FAusIMM (CP Mining Engineer) and Vice President of Corporate Planning is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person under the Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves.

 

Augusto Chung, FAusIMM (CP Metallurgist) and Vice President Special Projects and Metallurgy and a chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person on metallurgical processes.

 

About Sierra Metals

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company focused on the production and development of precious and base metals from its polymetallic Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

 

The Company’s Common Shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the Bolsa de Valores de Lima under the symbol “SMT” and on the NYSE American Exchange under the symbol “SMTS”.

 

For further information regarding Sierra Metals, please visit www.sierrametals.com or contact any of the following at +1 416 366 7777 or by email at info@sierrametals.com:

 

Mike McAllister, CPIR

V.P., Investor Relations

Ed Guimaraes

CFO

Luis Marchese

CEO

 

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Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Canadian and U.S. securities laws related to the Company (collectively, “forward-looking information”). Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s operations, including anticipated developments in the Company’s operations in future periods, the Company’s planned exploration activities, the adequacy of the Company’s financial resources, and other events or conditions that may occur in the future. Statements concerning mineral reserve and resource estimates may also be considered to constitute forward-looking statements to the extent that they involve estimates of the mineralization that will be encountered if and when the properties are developed or further developed. These statements relate to analyses and other information that are based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential” or variations thereof, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information.

 

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, including, without limitation, the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in our Annual Information Form dated March 30, 2020 in respect of the year ended December 31, 2019 and other risks identified in the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulators and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which filings are available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.

 

The risk factors referred to above is not exhaustive of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking information. Forward looking information includes statements about the future and are inherently uncertain, and the Company’s actual achievements or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking information due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. The Company’s statements containing forward-looking information are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of management on the date the statements are made, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update forward-looking information if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change, other than as required by applicable law. For the reasons set forth above, one should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.

 

Release – Comstock Mining Extinguishes Senior Secured Debenture Via Favorable Refinancing

 

Comstock Mining Extinguishes Senior Secured Debenture Via Favorable Refinancing

 

Virginia City, NV (August 12, 2020) Comstock Mining Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE American: LODE) announced today it completely paid off, yesterday, its remaining $4 million Senior Secured Debenture from a combination of recent cash proceeds from Tonogold and new, unsecured promissory notes, with favorable terms.

 

The Company entered into three promissory notes (the “Promissory Notes”) that refinanced its existing, secured indebtedness, on more favorable terms, through a known group of existing LODE investors. The Promissory Notes are unsecured and have an aggregate principal amount of $4,475,000 (net of an original discount of $255,000), and a maturity date of September 20, 2021, with no prepayment penalties, and a portion of which that can be extended for an additional two years.  The Promissory Notes were designed to mirror the amount still receivable from Tonogold, including the maturity date of September 20, 2021, and the 12% interest rate payable monthly.

 

The Promissory Notes also permit other indebtedness but contain covenants that prohibit the Company from incurring debt that matures prior to  September 20, 2021, or that is senior in right of their payment.  The Company must also prepay the Promissory Notes, without penalty, with at least 80% of the net cash proceeds received by the Company with respect to the sale of the Company’s non-mining assets in Silver Springs, NV.

 

The Company recently received $0.9 million in two payments from Tonogold, one in late June and one in early August, that was otherwise maturing on October 15, 2020.  These payments reduced the remaining amounts due to Comstock from Tonogold to $4,475,000, and when coupled with the $4,220,000 of net proceeds from the Promissory Notes, enabled the full, early extinguishment of the Senior Secured Debenture due  later this year.

 

Mr. Corrado DeGasperis, Executive Chairman and CEO stated, “This represents a major milestone by eliminating the overhang created by the Senior Secured Debenture, releasing all of our assets from restrictive security encumbrances and covenants and positions us to fully consummate the 100% sale of Lucerne, by allowing the perfecting of the security interest on that now unsecured asset. We are also focused on closing the sale of our $10 million plus non-mining assets in Silver Springs, NV, and funding our growth with more flexibility and speed.”

 

Mr. George Melas, Concorde and Bean Trustee said,  “We are pleased to provide flexible financing to Comstock Mining Inc. that enables and facilitates the company’s meaningful, precious-metal based growth initiatives and accelerates the creation and delivery of sustained value for all of its stakeholders.”

 

The Company is also permitted to defer payment of up to 34% of the principal payment due on the maturity date for an additional two years (i.e., until September 20, 2023), solely at its option, in exchange for two year warrants to purchase the Company’s stock based on a 10% discount to a then VWAP of the Company’s common stock.

 

Mr. DeGasperis concluded, “The debt reductions, maturity extensions and releases of restrictive security and covenants, coupled with the ability to accelerate and consummate the Lucerne sale, positions us to focus on exploration, development, mercury remediation and the sale of the remaining non-mining assets, all of which unlock and/or create sustained value for our shareholders.  We are pleased to conclude these transactions and advancing growth.”

 

About Comstock Mining Inc.

Comstock Mining Inc. is a Nevada-based, gold and silver mining company with extensive, contiguous property in the Comstock District and is an emerging leader in sustainable, responsible mining that is currently commercializing environment-enhancing, precious-metal-based technologies, products and processes for precious metal recovery. The Company began acquiring properties in the Comstock District in 2003. Since then, the Company has consolidated a significant portion of the Comstock District, amassed the single largest known repository of historical and current geological data on the Comstock region, secured permits, built an infrastructure and completed its first phase of production. The Company continues evaluating and acquiring properties inside and outside the district expanding its footprint and exploring all of our existing and prospective opportunities for further exploration, development and mining. The Company’s goal is to grow per-share value by commercializing environment-enhancing, precious-metal-based products and processes that generate predictable cash flow (throughput) and increase the long-term enterprise value of our northern Nevada based platform.

 

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release and any related calls or discussions may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, are forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” “plan,” “should,” “intend,” “may,” “will,” “would,” “potential” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of doing so. Forward-looking statements include statements about matters such as: consummation of all pending transactions; project, asset or Company valuations; future industry market conditions; future explorations, acquisitions, investments and asset sales; future performance of and closings under various agreements; future changes in our exploration activities; future estimated mineral resources; future prices and sales of, and demand for, our products; future impacts of land entitlements and uses; future permitting activities and needs therefor; future production capacity and operations; future operating and overhead costs; future capital expenditures and their impact on us; future impacts of operational and management changes (including changes in the board of directors); future changes in business strategies, planning and tactics and impacts of recent or future changes; future employment and contributions of personnel, including consultants; future land sales, investments, acquisitions, joint ventures, strategic alliances, business combinations, operational, tax, financial and restructuring initiatives; the nature and timing of and accounting for restructuring charges and derivative liabilities and the impact thereof; contingencies; future environmental compliance and changes in the regulatory environment; future offerings of equity or debt securities; the possible redemption of debentures and associated costs; future working capital, costs, revenues, business opportunities, debt levels, cash flows, margins, earnings and growth.

 

These statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by our management in light of their experience and their perception of historical and current trends, current conditions, possible future developments and other factors they believe to be appropriate. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees, representations or warranties and are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are unforeseeable and beyond our control and could cause actual results, developments and business decisions to differ materially from those contemplated by such forward-looking statements. Some of those risks and uncertainties include the risk factors set forth in our filings with the SEC and the following: counterparty risks; capital markets’ valuation and pricing risks; adverse effects of climate changes or natural disasters; global economic and capital market uncertainties; the speculative nature of gold or mineral exploration, including risks of diminishing quantities or grades of qualified resources; operational or technical difficulties in connection with exploration or mining activities; contests over title to properties; potential dilution to our stockholders from our stock issuances and recapitalization and balance sheet restructuring activities; potential inability to comply with applicable government regulations or law; adoption of or changes in legislation or regulations adversely affecting businesses; permitting constraints or delays; decisions regarding business opportunities that may be presented to, or pursued by, us or others; the impact of, or the non-performance by parties under agreements relating to, acquisitions, joint ventures, strategic alliances, business combinations, asset sales, leases, options and investments to which we may be party; changes in the United States or other monetary or fiscal policies or regulations; interruptions in production capabilities due to capital constraints; equipment failures; fluctuation of prices for gold or certain other commodities (such as silver, zinc, cyanide, water, diesel fuel and electricity); changes in generally accepted accounting principles; adverse effects of terrorism and geopolitical events; potential inability to implement business strategies; potential inability to grow revenues; potential inability to attract and retain key personnel; interruptions in delivery of critical supplies, equipment and raw materials due to credit or other limitations imposed by vendors or others; assertion of claims, lawsuits and proceedings; potential inability to satisfy debt and lease obligations; potential inability to maintain an effective system of internal controls over financial reporting; potential inability or failure to timely file periodic reports with the SEC; potential inability to list our securities on any securities exchange or market; inability to maintain the listing of our securities; and work stoppages or other labor difficulties. Occurrence of such events or circumstances could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations or cash flows or the market price of our securities. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements by or attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these factors. Except as may be required by securities or other law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

 

Neither this press release nor any related calls or discussions constitutes an offer to sell, the solicitation of an offer to buy or a recommendation with respect to any securities of the Company, the fund or any other issuer.

 

Corrado De Gasperis
Executive Chairman & CEO
Tel (775) 847-4755
degasperis@comstockmining.com

Contact information for Comstock Mining Inc.:
1200 American Flat Rd
PO Box 1118
Virginia City, NV  89440
http://www.comstockmining.com

Zach Spencer
Director of External Relations
Tel (775) 847-5272 ext.151
questions@comstockmining.com

Ely Gold Royalties (ELYGF)(ELY:CA) – Expands Nevada Portfolio with Acquisition of Three Royalties

Wednesday, August 12, 2020

Ely Gold Royalties (ELYGF)(ELY:CA)

Expands Nevada Portfolio with Acquisition of Three Royalties

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Ely Gold Royalties is published under ticker symbols (ELYGF and ELY:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol ELYGF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target. Ely Gold Royalties Inc is an emerging royalty company with producing and development assets focused in Nevada and the Western US. It offers shareholders a low-risk leverage to the current price of gold and low-cost access to long-term gold royalties.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Ely adds three Nevada royalties. Ely Gold Royalties executed a purchase agreement for a package of three net smelter returns (NSR) royalties on properties in Nevada from a third party for US$350 thousand. The royalties include a 0.33% NSR on the Sleeper Gold Mine Project owned by Paramount Gold Nevada Corp., a 1.0% NSR on 38 mining claims associated with Coeur Mining’s Lincoln Hill and Gold Ridge properties and a 1.0% NSR on 40 acres of ground associated with Waterton Global’s Mt. Hamilton project. The transaction is expected to close on or around September 15, 2020.

    Outlook for precious metals prices remains favorable. On August 11, gold and silver futures fell 5.5% and 14.6%, respectively, following gains of 12.8% and 57.0% since the end of the second quarter through August 10. A stronger U.S. dollar, higher Treasury yields and factors, such as potential remedies associated with COVID-19, favoring risk assets were all cited as causes for …



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Kirus is Starting to Look a Lot Like Tsenken

Friday, August 7, 2020

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)(ARU:CA)

Kirus is Starting to Look a Lot Like Tsenken

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Aurania Resources is published under ticker symbols (AUIAF and ARU:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol AUIAF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Encouraging discoveries at Kirus. While Aurania has encountered much success at the Tsenken area of its Lost Cities project which has been reported on during the last several weeks, additional sampling of boulders and outcrop at the Kirus target, located roughly 6 kilometers south of Tsenken, revealed sediment-hosted copper and silver in an area measuring 8 kilometers by 3 kilometers with grades of up to 6.1% copper and 51 grams per tonne of silver. This more than doubles the area over which high-grade copper and silver has been found and, akin to Tsenken, may result in the identification of multiple sedimentary-hosted copper and silver and porphyry copper targets for future drill testing.

    Evidence is pointing to a cluster of copper porphyries. Both Tsenken and Kirus exhibit evidence of porphyry bodies that represent deeper targets that could be drill-tested later in the exploration program. The area yielding recent samples at Kirus is adjacent to a magnetic feature that initially …




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Endeavour Silver (EXK) – Better Than Expected 2Q Results; Increasing 2021 Estimates

Wednesday, August 5, 2020

Endeavour Silver (EXK)(EDR:CA)

Better Than Expected 2Q Results; Increasing 2021 Estimates

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Endeavour Silver is published under ticker symbols (EXK and EDR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol EXK. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Endeavour Silver Corp is a precious metal mining company. The company is primarily engaged in silver mining and owns three high-grade, underground, silver-gold mines in Mexico. Its other business activities include acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining and reclamation. The company is organized into four operating mining segments, Guanacevi, Bolanitos, El Cubo, and El Compas, which are located in Mexico as well as Exploration and Corporate segments. Its Exploration segment consists of projects in the exploration and evaluation phases in Mexico and Chile.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Better than expected results. EXK reported a second quarter loss of $3.3 million, or $(0.02) per share compared to a loss of $10.1 million, or $(0.08) per share, during the prior year period and our loss estimate of $9.0 million, or $(0.06) per share. The variance to our estimate was due, in part, to lower operating costs. Second quarter results were negatively impacted by the temporary suspension of mining operations in Mexico due government-mandated work restrictions. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $2.1 million compared with $(1.9) million during the prior year period.

    Updating estimates. We have narrowed our 2020 loss estimate to $(0.08) from $(0.11) per share and increased our 2021 EPS estimate to $0.16 from $0.11 per share. The revisions to our estimates reflect higher silver and gold prices and improved …



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Energy Fuels (UUUU) – No Big Surprises; Management to Host Webcast on August 5

Monday, August 3, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)

No Big Surprises; Management to Host Webcast on August 5

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Second quarter 2020 results. UUUU reported a 2Q loss of $8.2 million, or $(0.08) per share, compared to a loss of $9.3 million, or $(0.10) during the prior year period and our estimate of a loss of $7.1 million, or $(0.06) per share. The variance to our estimate was largely due to lower revenue and higher standby costs. Energy Fuels will host a webcast on Wednesday, August 5 at 11:00 am ET to discuss quarterly results and give an update on the company’s plans and outlook.

    Updating estimates. We have revised our 2020 estimate to a loss of $(0.25) per share from $(0.23) to reflect 2Q results and lower revenue. It is difficult to forecast forward earnings given a range of outcomes based on potential actions arising from the U.S. Nuclear Fuel Working Group …



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Newrange Gold (NRGOF) – No Good Deed Goes Unpunished

Friday, July 31, 2020

Newrange Gold (NRGOF)(NRG:CA)

No Good Deed Goes Unpunished

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Newrange Gold is published under ticker symbols (NRGOF and NRG:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol NRGOF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Newrange Gold Corp is an exploration stage company focused on acquiring and exploring exploration and evaluation assets in Colombia and the United States. The Company operates in a single reportable operating segment-the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. Some of the projects acquired by the company are Pamlico gold project in Nevada and Rocky mountain project in Colorado. The company also holds an interest in the Yarumalito property, El Dovio property and Anori property in Colombia.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Drilling program is off to a good start. Newrange Gold released initial results from its reverse circulation drilling program underway at the Pamlico Gold Project in Nevada. To date, 25 holes have been drilled representing 2,505 meters with results available for 14 holes representing only 450 meters of strike length along the central portion of Pamlico Ridge between the historic Pamlico and Gold Bar mines. The assay results included some high grade but greater numbers of lower grade gold intercepts with a consistent level of positive readings for both gold and silver.

    Not far off from our expectations. The initial assay results were not out of line with our expectations and will help define the continuity of mineral zones and higher-grade areas. While most of the gold was oxide within 100 meters of the surface, drilling at several …



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Coeur Mining (CDE) – Looking for a More Attractive Entry Point

Friday, July 31, 2020

Coeur Mining (CDE)

Looking for a More Attractive Entry Point

Coeur Mining Inc is a metals producer focused on mining precious minerals in the Americas. It is involved in the discovery and mining of gold and silver and generates the vast majority of revenue from the sale of these precious metals. The operating mines of the company are palmarejo, rochester, wharf, and kensington. Its projects are located in the United States, Canada and Mexico, and North America.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    CDE reports second quarter 2020 earnings. On an adjusted basis, the company reported second quarter earnings of $2.6 million, or $0.01 per share compared to a loss of $23.0 million, or $(0.11) per share, during the prior year period and our estimate of $(0.04). The variance to our estimate was due to lower costs applicable to sales and amortization. Second quarter adjusted EBITDA amounted to $42.2 million. On an unadjusted basis, the company reported a loss of $1.2 million, or $(0.01) per share.

    Updating estimates. Coeur forecasts 2020 gold production to be in the range of 327 thousand to 363 thousand ounces and silver production in the range of 9.5 million to 11.5 million ounces. In 2019, gold and silver production amounted to 359.4 thousand ounces and 11.7 million ounces, respectively. We are increasing our 2020 and 2021 EPS estimates to …



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Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Tsenken or Copper King?

Friday, July 31, 2020

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)(ARU:CA)

Tsenken or Copper King?

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Aurania Resources is published under ticker symbols (AUIAF and ARU:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol AUIAF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Tsenken is yielding an abundance of copper targets. Aurania has had much success at the Tsenken area of its Lost Cities project. During the last several weeks the company has confirmed copper and silver in breccia, sediment-hosted deposits as well as the potential for copper porphyry style deposits. While Aurania is a gold-focused explorer, the success of its copper exploration program may be an element of the story that investors under appreciate and could be an important source of value for shareholders.

    Readying targets for scout drilling. Drilling is expected to commence at the Tsenken N2 and N3 targets prior to the end of the third quarter and the N1 target will be drilled immediately thereafter. Following field mapping and soil sampling, scout drilling could also …




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Golden Predator Mining (NTGSF) – Research Initiation – Advancing The Yukon’s Next Big Gold Mine

Wednesday, July 29, 2020


Golden Predator Mining (NTGSF)

Research Initiation – Advancing The Yukon’s Next Big Gold Mine


Golden Predator Mining Corp is a Canada based exploration stage company engaged in the business of acquiring and exploring mineral properties. It owns properties primarily in Yukon, Canada. Some of the company’s projects located in Yukon are the 3 Aces, Sprogge, Reef, Brewery Creek, Marg, Sonora Gulch, Grew Creek, Upper Hyland and others.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initiating coverage. We are initiating coverage of Golden Predator Mining. The company is advancing the Brewery Creek Mine in Canada’s Yukon territory with full year production expected in 2022. In our view, the equity offers significant appreciation potential as the company achieves critical milestones. Near-term catalysts include: 1) an updated mineral resource estimate expected in August 2020, 2) third quarter 2020 completion of a study to evaluate the feasibility of reprocessing heap leach pad material, and 3) completion of a full feasibility study of the Brewery Creek project, including reprocessing material on the heap leach pad and ore mined from permitted areas, by year-end 2020.

    Significant exploration potential. While our estimates are based on an initial mine plan that sources ore from currently permitted areas, there are significant opportunities to permit new areas with known resources and also develop new resources through exploration. Brewery Creek’s large land package offers significant …


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Release – Sierra Metals Announces Restart Of Production At Its Cusi Silver Mine, Mexico

Sierra Metals Announces Restart Of Production At Its Cusi Silver Mine, Mexico

 

  • Production plans include recently announced high-grade silver discovery,

  • Silver expected to become a significant contributor to Company’s Revenue Mix


Toronto, ON – July 27, 2020 – Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) (NYSE American: SMTS) (BVL: SMT) (“Sierra Metals” or the “Company”) announces that it has restarted operations and production at its Cusi Silver Mine in Mexico.  The Company has implemented a process at the mine to mitigate COVID-19 risk to employees at the site, and the surrounding communities, through a testing and quarantine methodology similar to the Company’s other operations. 

Luis Marchese, CEO of Sierra Metals, commented: “I am very pleased that we are restarting operations and production at Cusi.  The improved silver metal price provides for greater cash flow potential from Cusi, contributing to revenue for the Company. The management team expects to continue ramping ore throughput up to the targeted rate of 1,200 tonnes per day by the end of the year, and we have plans to update studies in the second half of the year for the next phase of Cusi.”

He added, “Mine development work in the past month has prepared zones for production, including part of the high-grade Northeast-Southwest silver discovery, announced recently in our press release of June 18, 2020.  The higher grades and wider zones of these structures are a source of further value creation for the company”.

The Cusi Mine had remained in care and maintenance since April 1, 2020, due to the government-mandated shutdown to contain the advancement of COVID-19. This care and maintenance period allowed the management team to complete an optimized review of the entire mine operation. These changes have included an updated interpretation of the geological system at the Santa Rosa de Lima structure from a stockwork tonnage system to a vein model system.  This change is expected to better control and improve head grades and reduce dilution. Mine development to bypass the previously announced area of subsidence and provide access to economic ore to provide feed for the mill has been advanced during this period. 

The Company is currently drilling from the surface targeting its recently announced discovery of a new high-grade silver zone in an area called Northeast – Southwest System of Epithermal Veins adjacent to the Santa Rosa de Lima zone, as mentioned in the press release dated June 18, 2020. Plans to drill an additional 1,000 meters to understand better the mineralization of the new zone are underway.

As of its last National Instrument 43-101 published report in Dec 2017, Cusi has over four million tonnes of mineral resources in the Measured and Indicated category, with an average silver grade of 224 grams per tonne providing for contained metal of 59 million silver ounces. Management expects to update the mineral resource estimates which will include the latest available drilling information. 

 

Silver production at Sierra Metals

Management expects that silver will become a significant contributor to the Company’s revenue mix with the restart of the Cusi Silver Mine when combined with the silver by-product credits from the Company’s Yauricocha and Bolivar Mines and the recent marked improvement in the silver metal price.

In 2019, Sierra Metals produced a total consolidated output of 3.4 million ounces of silver derived from its three mines.  The Yauricocha mine in Peru was the largest contributor to the silver production with 1.8 million ounces, followed by Cusi with a production of 936,000 ounces, and Bolivar in Mexico with 640,000 ounces. 

Copper is the most significant contributor to the Company’s consolidated sales revenues, followed by precious metals then zinc and lead. 

 

Quality Control

All technical data contained in this news release has been reviewed and approved by Americo Zuzunaga, FAusIMM CP (Mining Engineer) and Vice President of Corporate Planning is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person under the Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves.

Augusto Chung, FAusIMM CP (Metallurgist) and Consultant to Sierra Metals, is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person on metallurgical processes.

 

About Sierra Metals

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company focused on the production and development of precious and base metals from its polymetallic Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

The Company’s Common Shares trade on the Bolsa de Valores de Lima and on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “SMT” and on the NYSE American Exchange under the symbol “SMTS”.

For further information regarding Sierra Metals, please visit www.sierrametals.com or contact:

 

Mike McAllister
V.P., Investor Relations
Sierra Metals Inc.
+1 (416) 366-7777
Email:
info@sierrametals.com

 

Luis Marchese
CEO

Sierra Metals Inc.

 

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Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Canadian and U.S. securities laws (collectively, “forward-looking information“). Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the date of the 2020 Shareholders’ Meeting and the anticipated filing of the Compensation Disclosure. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential” or variations thereof, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, including, without limitation, the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s annual information form dated March 30, 2020 for its fiscal year ended December 31, 2019 and other risks identified in the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulators and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, which filings are available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.

The risk factors referred to above are not an exhaustive list of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking information. Forward-looking information includes statements about the future and is inherently uncertain, and the Company’s actual achievements or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking information due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. The Company’s statements containing forward-looking information are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of management on the date the statements are made, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update such forward-looking information if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change, other than as required by applicable law. For the reasons set forth above, one should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.

Is $40 the sweet spot for sweet crude?

OPEC Output Reductions Expire Soon – Members are Anxious to Open the Taps

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices have traded in a range of $40 to $80 per barrel (bbl) for the last several years.  Prices dropped below that range in April when the combination of pandemic fears and a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia caused prices to drop sharply.  Since April, WTI oil prices have improved to a level near $40/bbl as economies have begun to reopen, and OPEC plus members reached an agreement to cut supply by 10%.  The oil future’s curve is flat, implying that investors believe the price of oil will stay near $40 per barrel.  Has $40/bbl, once considered the bottom end of the trading range, become the new normal?

The case against $40/bbl oil being the new norm and prices returning to higher levels

  • OPEC has regained its market dominance. After demonstrating its willingness to corral production cheaters by threatening to open the spigots, Saudi Arabia successfully negotiated a 10% output reduction among the OPEC plus members. By showing its dominant position, it has once again taken a leadership position that will help reduce the temptation for members to cheat and overproduce. 
  • Economies are improving due to governments’ stimuli and the hopes of a vaccine.  Governments have been aggressively pumping money into their economies to offset economic weakness caused by the pandemic.  The EU recently announced an $859 billion fund to prop up their economies while the United States is working on a $1 trillion, stage two stimulus package.  Several vaccines have entered the testing stage, giving hope to investors that the world economies could return to a more normal state shortly.
  • North America needs prices above $40/bbl to justify new drilling.  To obtain double-digit returns, most production areas need oil prices above $40/bbl.  When prices rose above $50/bbl, domestic producers responded by increasing drilling and made the United States the largest producer of oil.  However, when oil prices dropped below $40, drilling came to a virtual standstill.  U.S. producers are the producers on the margin who will determine the price of oil, and $40/bbl is not enough to satisfy U.S. producers.

 

The case for $40/bbl (or lower) being the new normal

  • The OPEC reduction expires soon.  Production cuts for May and June were extended through July.  OPEC members, however, are anxious to turn the spigots back on now that prices are above $40/bbl.  Importantly, not all members signed on to the extension citing economic difficulties as a reason they could not participate.  A further extension is far from being certain, meaning a drop in oil prices below $40/bbl is a possibility.
  • The effects of the pandemic could last years.  Government stimulus has propped up economies giving hope that things will return to normal when a vaccine is available.  However, that may not be the case.  The secondary effects of the pandemic could last for years.  Governments that are saddled with debt may need to cut back future spending.  Unemployment is unlikely to return to pre-pandemic levels as economies shift to a new way of life.  Consumers that have run through savings will be reluctant to spend.
  • Shale production continues to improve.  Domestic producers may be the producers on margin and need oil price north of $40/bbl.  However, that is changing.  Technological improvements continue.  Producers continue to refine the drilling process experimenting with differing fracking laterals and fracking components.  The result is a continuing declining cost of production that makes drilling at lower prices feasible.  Today, few wells earn adequate returns at $40/bbl.  But soon, wells may earn attractive returns at prices in the thirties.

There are many unknowns facing the energy industry.  When will demand come back?  Will OPEC be able to remain united in its efforts to curb production? Will production cost reductions continue?  The fact that the oil future’s curve is flat at $40/bbl may be a sign that there is uncertainty in the market more than a belief that prices will hold constant.  There are good arguments for oil prices, both going up and going down.  But then again, that usually is the case.

 

Suggested Reading:

Exploration and Production Second Quarter Review and Outlook

Is M & A Picking up in the Energy Sector?

Ruling Out Nuclear Energy Now Could Be a Mistake

 

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Sources

https://qz.com/1880939/why-oil-prices-have-stalled/?utm_source=YPL&yptr=yahoo, Tim McDonnell, Quartz, July 15, 2020

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steady-vaccine-news-counters-020853525.html, Laila Kearney, Reuters, July 20, 2020

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/19/the-permian-basin-has-a-new-problem-40-crude-oil-price.html, Tom DiChristopher, CNBC, December 19, 2018

https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/06/investing/opec-oil-opec-production-cuts/index.html, Shannon Lee, CNN Business, June 6, 2020

Comstock Mining (LODE) – Sharpening its Focus to Enhance Shareholder Value

Wednesday, July 22, 2020


Comstock Mining (LODE)

Sharpening its Focus to Enhance Shareholder Value


Comstock Mining Inc is a mining company with a focus on gold and silver deposits in the Comstock and Silver City mining districts in Nevada. Its operations are divided into two segments, namely mining and real estate. Its mining projects include The Lucerne Resource area, the Dayton Resource area, the Spring Valley exploration target, the Northern Extension, Northern Targets and Occidental areas. The Real Estate segment involves land, real estate rental properties and a hotel, restaurant & bar provided by the Gold Hill Hotel located in Gold Hill, Nevada just south of Virginia City and the Daney Ranch, located just south of Silver City. The majority revenues are generated from the real estate segment.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating. We are initiating coverage of Comstock Mining Inc. with an Outperform rating and a price target of $4.50 per share. In our view, Comstock Mining offers investors significant upside potential as the company executes on its plan to unlock the value of its assets through a recent corporate realignment to focus on mining related activities in the Nevada Comstock and Silver City mining districts. Additionally, the company owns an interest in a growing clean mining technology business with a focus on mercury remediation.

    Realignment enhances corporate focus on core assets. We expect Comstock to complete the sale of non-core real estate assets to an opportunity zone fund during the third quarter which is expected to provide roughly $10.1 million in proceeds to extinguish debt and fund exploration of the company’s Dayton mining properties and other growth initiatives. The company also expects to receive ~$400 thousand in October 2020 and …


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