Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Tsenken or Copper King?

Friday, July 31, 2020

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)(ARU:CA)

Tsenken or Copper King?

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Aurania Resources is published under ticker symbols (AUIAF and ARU:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol AUIAF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Tsenken is yielding an abundance of copper targets. Aurania has had much success at the Tsenken area of its Lost Cities project. During the last several weeks the company has confirmed copper and silver in breccia, sediment-hosted deposits as well as the potential for copper porphyry style deposits. While Aurania is a gold-focused explorer, the success of its copper exploration program may be an element of the story that investors under appreciate and could be an important source of value for shareholders.

    Readying targets for scout drilling. Drilling is expected to commence at the Tsenken N2 and N3 targets prior to the end of the third quarter and the N1 target will be drilled immediately thereafter. Following field mapping and soil sampling, scout drilling could also …




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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Golden Predator Mining (NTGSF) – Research Initiation – Advancing The Yukon’s Next Big Gold Mine

Wednesday, July 29, 2020


Golden Predator Mining (NTGSF)

Research Initiation – Advancing The Yukon’s Next Big Gold Mine


Golden Predator Mining Corp is a Canada based exploration stage company engaged in the business of acquiring and exploring mineral properties. It owns properties primarily in Yukon, Canada. Some of the company’s projects located in Yukon are the 3 Aces, Sprogge, Reef, Brewery Creek, Marg, Sonora Gulch, Grew Creek, Upper Hyland and others.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initiating coverage. We are initiating coverage of Golden Predator Mining. The company is advancing the Brewery Creek Mine in Canada’s Yukon territory with full year production expected in 2022. In our view, the equity offers significant appreciation potential as the company achieves critical milestones. Near-term catalysts include: 1) an updated mineral resource estimate expected in August 2020, 2) third quarter 2020 completion of a study to evaluate the feasibility of reprocessing heap leach pad material, and 3) completion of a full feasibility study of the Brewery Creek project, including reprocessing material on the heap leach pad and ore mined from permitted areas, by year-end 2020.

    Significant exploration potential. While our estimates are based on an initial mine plan that sources ore from currently permitted areas, there are significant opportunities to permit new areas with known resources and also develop new resources through exploration. Brewery Creek’s large land package offers significant …


Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Release – Sierra Metals Announces Restart Of Production At Its Cusi Silver Mine, Mexico

Sierra Metals Announces Restart Of Production At Its Cusi Silver Mine, Mexico

 

  • Production plans include recently announced high-grade silver discovery,

  • Silver expected to become a significant contributor to Company’s Revenue Mix


Toronto, ON – July 27, 2020 – Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) (NYSE American: SMTS) (BVL: SMT) (“Sierra Metals” or the “Company”) announces that it has restarted operations and production at its Cusi Silver Mine in Mexico.  The Company has implemented a process at the mine to mitigate COVID-19 risk to employees at the site, and the surrounding communities, through a testing and quarantine methodology similar to the Company’s other operations. 

Luis Marchese, CEO of Sierra Metals, commented: “I am very pleased that we are restarting operations and production at Cusi.  The improved silver metal price provides for greater cash flow potential from Cusi, contributing to revenue for the Company. The management team expects to continue ramping ore throughput up to the targeted rate of 1,200 tonnes per day by the end of the year, and we have plans to update studies in the second half of the year for the next phase of Cusi.”

He added, “Mine development work in the past month has prepared zones for production, including part of the high-grade Northeast-Southwest silver discovery, announced recently in our press release of June 18, 2020.  The higher grades and wider zones of these structures are a source of further value creation for the company”.

The Cusi Mine had remained in care and maintenance since April 1, 2020, due to the government-mandated shutdown to contain the advancement of COVID-19. This care and maintenance period allowed the management team to complete an optimized review of the entire mine operation. These changes have included an updated interpretation of the geological system at the Santa Rosa de Lima structure from a stockwork tonnage system to a vein model system.  This change is expected to better control and improve head grades and reduce dilution. Mine development to bypass the previously announced area of subsidence and provide access to economic ore to provide feed for the mill has been advanced during this period. 

The Company is currently drilling from the surface targeting its recently announced discovery of a new high-grade silver zone in an area called Northeast – Southwest System of Epithermal Veins adjacent to the Santa Rosa de Lima zone, as mentioned in the press release dated June 18, 2020. Plans to drill an additional 1,000 meters to understand better the mineralization of the new zone are underway.

As of its last National Instrument 43-101 published report in Dec 2017, Cusi has over four million tonnes of mineral resources in the Measured and Indicated category, with an average silver grade of 224 grams per tonne providing for contained metal of 59 million silver ounces. Management expects to update the mineral resource estimates which will include the latest available drilling information. 

 

Silver production at Sierra Metals

Management expects that silver will become a significant contributor to the Company’s revenue mix with the restart of the Cusi Silver Mine when combined with the silver by-product credits from the Company’s Yauricocha and Bolivar Mines and the recent marked improvement in the silver metal price.

In 2019, Sierra Metals produced a total consolidated output of 3.4 million ounces of silver derived from its three mines.  The Yauricocha mine in Peru was the largest contributor to the silver production with 1.8 million ounces, followed by Cusi with a production of 936,000 ounces, and Bolivar in Mexico with 640,000 ounces. 

Copper is the most significant contributor to the Company’s consolidated sales revenues, followed by precious metals then zinc and lead. 

 

Quality Control

All technical data contained in this news release has been reviewed and approved by Americo Zuzunaga, FAusIMM CP (Mining Engineer) and Vice President of Corporate Planning is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person under the Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves.

Augusto Chung, FAusIMM CP (Metallurgist) and Consultant to Sierra Metals, is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person on metallurgical processes.

 

About Sierra Metals

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company focused on the production and development of precious and base metals from its polymetallic Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

The Company’s Common Shares trade on the Bolsa de Valores de Lima and on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “SMT” and on the NYSE American Exchange under the symbol “SMTS”.

For further information regarding Sierra Metals, please visit www.sierrametals.com or contact:

 

Mike McAllister
V.P., Investor Relations
Sierra Metals Inc.
+1 (416) 366-7777
Email:
info@sierrametals.com

 

Luis Marchese
CEO

Sierra Metals Inc.

 

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Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Canadian and U.S. securities laws (collectively, “forward-looking information“). Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the date of the 2020 Shareholders’ Meeting and the anticipated filing of the Compensation Disclosure. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential” or variations thereof, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, including, without limitation, the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s annual information form dated March 30, 2020 for its fiscal year ended December 31, 2019 and other risks identified in the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulators and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, which filings are available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.

The risk factors referred to above are not an exhaustive list of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking information. Forward-looking information includes statements about the future and is inherently uncertain, and the Company’s actual achievements or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking information due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. The Company’s statements containing forward-looking information are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of management on the date the statements are made, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update such forward-looking information if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change, other than as required by applicable law. For the reasons set forth above, one should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.

Is $40 the sweet spot for sweet crude?

OPEC Output Reductions Expire Soon – Members are Anxious to Open the Taps

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices have traded in a range of $40 to $80 per barrel (bbl) for the last several years.  Prices dropped below that range in April when the combination of pandemic fears and a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia caused prices to drop sharply.  Since April, WTI oil prices have improved to a level near $40/bbl as economies have begun to reopen, and OPEC plus members reached an agreement to cut supply by 10%.  The oil future’s curve is flat, implying that investors believe the price of oil will stay near $40 per barrel.  Has $40/bbl, once considered the bottom end of the trading range, become the new normal?

The case against $40/bbl oil being the new norm and prices returning to higher levels

  • OPEC has regained its market dominance. After demonstrating its willingness to corral production cheaters by threatening to open the spigots, Saudi Arabia successfully negotiated a 10% output reduction among the OPEC plus members. By showing its dominant position, it has once again taken a leadership position that will help reduce the temptation for members to cheat and overproduce. 
  • Economies are improving due to governments’ stimuli and the hopes of a vaccine.  Governments have been aggressively pumping money into their economies to offset economic weakness caused by the pandemic.  The EU recently announced an $859 billion fund to prop up their economies while the United States is working on a $1 trillion, stage two stimulus package.  Several vaccines have entered the testing stage, giving hope to investors that the world economies could return to a more normal state shortly.
  • North America needs prices above $40/bbl to justify new drilling.  To obtain double-digit returns, most production areas need oil prices above $40/bbl.  When prices rose above $50/bbl, domestic producers responded by increasing drilling and made the United States the largest producer of oil.  However, when oil prices dropped below $40, drilling came to a virtual standstill.  U.S. producers are the producers on the margin who will determine the price of oil, and $40/bbl is not enough to satisfy U.S. producers.

 

The case for $40/bbl (or lower) being the new normal

  • The OPEC reduction expires soon.  Production cuts for May and June were extended through July.  OPEC members, however, are anxious to turn the spigots back on now that prices are above $40/bbl.  Importantly, not all members signed on to the extension citing economic difficulties as a reason they could not participate.  A further extension is far from being certain, meaning a drop in oil prices below $40/bbl is a possibility.
  • The effects of the pandemic could last years.  Government stimulus has propped up economies giving hope that things will return to normal when a vaccine is available.  However, that may not be the case.  The secondary effects of the pandemic could last for years.  Governments that are saddled with debt may need to cut back future spending.  Unemployment is unlikely to return to pre-pandemic levels as economies shift to a new way of life.  Consumers that have run through savings will be reluctant to spend.
  • Shale production continues to improve.  Domestic producers may be the producers on margin and need oil price north of $40/bbl.  However, that is changing.  Technological improvements continue.  Producers continue to refine the drilling process experimenting with differing fracking laterals and fracking components.  The result is a continuing declining cost of production that makes drilling at lower prices feasible.  Today, few wells earn adequate returns at $40/bbl.  But soon, wells may earn attractive returns at prices in the thirties.

There are many unknowns facing the energy industry.  When will demand come back?  Will OPEC be able to remain united in its efforts to curb production? Will production cost reductions continue?  The fact that the oil future’s curve is flat at $40/bbl may be a sign that there is uncertainty in the market more than a belief that prices will hold constant.  There are good arguments for oil prices, both going up and going down.  But then again, that usually is the case.

 

Suggested Reading:

Exploration and Production Second Quarter Review and Outlook

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Ruling Out Nuclear Energy Now Could Be a Mistake

 

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Sources

https://qz.com/1880939/why-oil-prices-have-stalled/?utm_source=YPL&yptr=yahoo, Tim McDonnell, Quartz, July 15, 2020

 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-steady-vaccine-news-counters-020853525.html, Laila Kearney, Reuters, July 20, 2020

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/19/the-permian-basin-has-a-new-problem-40-crude-oil-price.html, Tom DiChristopher, CNBC, December 19, 2018

https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/06/investing/opec-oil-opec-production-cuts/index.html, Shannon Lee, CNN Business, June 6, 2020

Comstock Mining (LODE) – Sharpening its Focus to Enhance Shareholder Value

Wednesday, July 22, 2020


Comstock Mining (LODE)

Sharpening its Focus to Enhance Shareholder Value


Comstock Mining Inc is a mining company with a focus on gold and silver deposits in the Comstock and Silver City mining districts in Nevada. Its operations are divided into two segments, namely mining and real estate. Its mining projects include The Lucerne Resource area, the Dayton Resource area, the Spring Valley exploration target, the Northern Extension, Northern Targets and Occidental areas. The Real Estate segment involves land, real estate rental properties and a hotel, restaurant & bar provided by the Gold Hill Hotel located in Gold Hill, Nevada just south of Virginia City and the Daney Ranch, located just south of Silver City. The majority revenues are generated from the real estate segment.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Initiating coverage with an Outperform rating. We are initiating coverage of Comstock Mining Inc. with an Outperform rating and a price target of $4.50 per share. In our view, Comstock Mining offers investors significant upside potential as the company executes on its plan to unlock the value of its assets through a recent corporate realignment to focus on mining related activities in the Nevada Comstock and Silver City mining districts. Additionally, the company owns an interest in a growing clean mining technology business with a focus on mercury remediation.

    Realignment enhances corporate focus on core assets. We expect Comstock to complete the sale of non-core real estate assets to an opportunity zone fund during the third quarter which is expected to provide roughly $10.1 million in proceeds to extinguish debt and fund exploration of the company’s Dayton mining properties and other growth initiatives. The company also expects to receive ~$400 thousand in October 2020 and …


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Ely Gold Royalties (ELYGF) – Adds Another Royalty to Its Portfolio

Wednesday, July 22, 2020

Ely Gold Royalties (ELYGF)(ELY:CA)

Adds Another Royalty to Its Portfolio

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Ely Gold Royalties is published under ticker symbols (ELYGF and ELY:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol ELYGF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target. Ely Gold Royalties Inc is an emerging royalty company with producing and development assets focused in Nevada and the Western US. It offers shareholders a low-risk leverage to the current price of gold and low-cost access to long-term gold royalties.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Increasing exposure to Lincoln Hill. Ely Gold Royalties agreed to acquire an additional one percent net smelter returns (NSR) royalty on Coeur Mining’s (CDE, $7.35, Outperform) Lincoln Hill property. The transaction, executed with a private individual, is expected to close around September 1 and doubles Ely’s NSR royalty on Lincoln Hill to 2%. Ely will pay the seller $500 thousand upon closing and $500 thousand on January 10, 2021. Additionally, the seller will receive one million Ely stock purchase warrants.

    Lincoln Hill offers expansion potential. Coeur is advancing the Lincoln Hill deposit adjacent to their Rochester Mine in conjunction with their expanded plan of operations for the Rochester mine. Permitting is complete for a new 300-million-ton leach pad that will …



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

U.S. Rare Earth Mining gets Boost from Government

U.S. Capitalism and Public Funds to Reduce Reliance on China Rare Earth Production

What are Rare Earth Minerals?

Rare earth minerals are getting more attention these days. Rare earth elements are a group of 17 chemical elements that have a variety of industrial and defense uses. They include yttrium and scandium and 15 elements in the lanthanum series. Lanthanum is used to prevent corrosion in EV batteries and is used in optical lens treatments. While the actual elements may not be rare, it is often difficult to find them in sufficient concentrations for economical extraction, and they require extensive processing. Beyond rare earths, minerals that are becoming of increasing importance include cobalt, natural graphite, and lithium, many of which are critical elements in battery technologies and needed in the transition away from fossil fuels.   

China is a Leading Producer

 According to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2020, China accounted for 63.0% of rare earth mineral production in 2019 and 35.4% of rare earth mineral reserves.  Conversely, the United States accounted for 12.4% of rare earth mineral production in 2019 and 1.1% of rare earth mineral reserves. With respect to natural graphite, cobalt, and lithium, China, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Australia accounted for 60.2%, 64%, and 52.9% of production in 2019, respectively. 

Reducing Reliance on Imports

 The United States is increasingly dependent on imports. China now dominates the production of many critical minerals, including graphite and magnesium. China is the third-largest supplier of natural resources to the United States behind Canada and Mexico. While Australia is the largest producer of lithium, China has been increasing its influence in the global lithium market by making deals to secure future supplies. As part of its strategy to ensure secure and reliable supplies of critical minerals, the U.S. Department of the Interior identified 35 critical minerals, including cobalt, graphite, lithium, and the rare earth elements group. The U.S. Government is planning to fund rare earths projects to reduce reliance on China.

The Invisible Hand

 On July 15, 2020, rare-earth minerals producer MP Materials announced an agreement to merge with Fortress Value Acquisition Corp., a special purpose acquisition corporation (SPAC). Along with a New York Stock Exchange listing, the new company to be named MP Materials, will have a post-transaction equity value of $1.5 billion. Ironically, MP Materials owns and operates the Mountain Pass mine and processing facility, which opened in 1952 as a uranium producer, pivoted to become one of the largest suppliers of rare earth minerals, but closed in 2002 as environmental restrictions and foreign imports made it difficult to compete. The facility underwent various ownership changes and reopened in 2017 under MP Materials’ ownership. One can see some parallels to domestic uranium producers today. However, there appears to be an awakening among policymakers of the dangers of dependence on foreign sources for critical minerals, especially those that are adversarial to the United States. We anticipate more activity in the rare earths and critical minerals space as capital flows to attractive opportunities, including growing demand for rare earth and critical minerals, scarce domestic supply sources, and increasingly supportive government policies.

 

Suggested Reading:

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and Rare Earth Metals from the Sea Floor Eyed

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Economic Activity and Trickle Down

Virtual
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Each event in our popular Virtual Road Shows Series has maximum capacity of 100 investors online. To take part, listen to and perhaps get your questions answered, see which virtual investor meeting intrigues you 
here.

 

Sources:

MP
Materials, a Leading Producer of Rare Earth Materials, to Be Listed on NYSE Through Merger with Fortress Value Acquisition Corp.
, News Release, MP Materials, July 15, 2020.

Rare Earth Materials Producer MP Materials to be Listed Via Merger with Blank-Check
Company Fortress Value Acquisition
, MarketWatch, Ciara Linnane, July 15, 2020.

Metals
Needed for Carbon Neutrality in Short Supply
, Institute for Energy Research, IER, July 2, 2019.

Statistical Review of World Energy 2020, 69th Edition, BP, 2020

The
Collapse of American Rare Earth Mining – and Lessons Learned
, DefenseNews, Reagan Defense Forum, Jeffery A. Green, November 12, 2019.

Factbox: Rare Earths Projects Under Development in U.S., Reuters, Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Pravin Char, April 22, 2020.

A
Federal Strategy to Ensure Secure and Reliable Supplies of Critical Minerals
, Executive Office of the President, Executive Order 13817, December 20, 2017.

Final
List of Critical Minerals 2018
, Office of the Secretary, Interior, May 18, 2018.

The
New Energy Era: The Impact of Critical Minerals on National Security
, Markets Insider, Nicholas Lepan, April 28, 2020.

Aurania Resources (AUIAF) – Interesting High-Grade Discovery at Tsenken Target

Friday, July 17, 2020

Aurania Resources (AUIAF)(ARU:CA)

Interesting High-Grade Discovery at Tsenken Target

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Aurania Resources is published under ticker symbols (AUIAF and ARU:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol AUIAF. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Aurania Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based junior mining exploration company engaged in the identification, evaluation, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests, with a focus on precious metals and copper. Its flagship asset, The Lost Cities-Cutucu Project, is in southeastern Ecuador in the Province of Morona-Santiago. The company also has several minor projects in Switzerland.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Field work is progressing. Aurania’s exploration teams resumed field work in mid-June to commence mapping and soil sampling on priority targets for gold-silver, copper-gold, and copper. For the sediment-hosted copper and silver targets, the focus is on determining the mineral continuity within sedimentary layers through mapping and soil sampling in the Tsenken target area. The Tsenken N2 and N3 targets are being soil sampled and mapped in preparation for scout drilling with an ultra-light rig. A heliborne mobile geophysical survey is also being considered which could be done relatively quickly.

    Work restrictions remain. To comply with a government-mandated 50% cap on employees operating in the field or in the office at any one time, Aurania field teams operate on a two-week rotational schedule. Exploration teams are …




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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Covid-19 May be Killing the U.S. LNG Market

For How Long Will the World’s LNG projects Remain Frozen?

“…U.S. Energy firms alone are developing over 50 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) of
new export capacity – more than all the worldwide consumption of LNG in 2019…”

In recent months nearly half of the world’s Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) exporting projects have been delayed.  “Out of 45 major LNG export projects in pre-construction development globally, at least 20 – representing a capital outlay of some $292 billion – are now facing delays to their financing,” according to the Global Energy Monitor.  It is not unusual for multiple projects to be proposed to meet and compete for an identified need.  In fact, U.S. Energy firms alone are developing over 50 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) of new export capacity – more than all the worldwide consumption of LNG in 2019, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.  As is often the case, not all projects will be completed.  Still, the pace of delays in LNG constructions is unprecedented.  So why are so many LNG terminals being delayed?  As is usually the case, the answer is multifaceted.

 

 

Global Economic Slowdown due to COVID is Sapping Demand. A global economic slowdown has decreased the demand for all fuels, including natural gas. 
Approximately 130 cargoes scheduled to be loaded between April and August at US LNG export terminals have been canceled by customers, according to Platts’ latest tally based on information from market sources. Power generation is down due to individuals working from home and avoiding out-of-home recreation.  This means less need for natural gas to power generators.  It also means less need for natural gas to heat businesses and commercial sites.  And less demand for natural gas means less demand for LNG cargoes.

Drop-in Oil and Gas Prices.  Oil and natural gas prices declined dramatically this spring.  A price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia cut oil prices in half, while a mild winter caused natural gas prices to decline.  Shipping LNG overseas only makes sense if the price differential between the two points is enough to cover the costs of liquifying, storing, shipping, and unliquifying the gas.  If energy prices drop, the differential often declines as well.  Costs, however, tend to be fixed, often above $2 per mcf.  In fact, when U.S. natural gas prices dropped below $2 per mcf, it cost more to ship the gas than it did to purchase the initial gas supply.  This has made the attractiveness of LNG less favorable than purchasing the gas domestically.

Too Many Projects.  As mentioned earlier, it is not unusual for multiple projects to be proposed to meet a single need.  These projects play a game of chicken until one project investor backs down and cancels.  That seems to be the situation in the case of proposed LNG projects. Soorya Tejomoortula, Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “The global LNG sector was already witnessing an LNG supply glut and weak demand before the outbreak of COVID-19. The fall in gas prices and further weakening of LNG demand after the COVID-19 outbreak has accelerated this trend.

Growth of Renewable.  The growth of renewable energy sources for power generation has also sapped the demand for LNG and the willingness of purchasers to make long-term commitments.  LNG terminals cost billions of dollars and have long payback periods.  Developers seek out partners who will take on long-term outtake capacity to assure project profitability.  It is becoming increasingly difficult to find such partners, given an uncertain environment for natural gas.  “Investing in new fossil fuel infrastructure like liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals is increasingly an economically unsound decision,” Andrew McDowell told Reuters in an email. The bank had announced in November that it would stop financing fossil fuel projects at the end of 2021.  Natural gas is commonly viewed as the premier fossil fuel to bridge the gas from coal to renewables.  Lately, that bridge is looking shorter.

Conclusion: The world energy market is dynamic.  Decades ago, LNG terminals were built to import gas into the United States.  In recent years, after the shale gas boom, exporting LNG terminals were built to ship gas overseas.  Lately, the pendulum has swung back to a point where the profitability of long-term U.S. gas exports is in question.  However, it would only take a resurgence in the global economy or a breakthrough in domestic gas production to make exporting natural gas profitable again.  

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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climate-change-gas/global-lng-projects-jeopardized-by-climate-concerns-pandemic-delays-report-idUSKBN247303, Matthew Green, Reuters, July 6, 2020

https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/natural-gas/062320-freeport-lng-delays-target-for-sanctioning-fourth-liquefaction-train-until-at-least-2021, S&P Global Platts, June 23, 2020

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/did-covid-kill-lng-natural-092358695.html

https://oilmanmagazine.com/covid-19-triggers-delays-in-projects-and-investment-decisions-in-global-lng-liquefaction-sector/, Oilman Editor, Oilman Magazine, May 13, 2020

https://www.gasworld.com/covid-19-triggers-delays-in-lng-projects/2019106.article, Joanna Sampson, Gas World, May 15, 2020

https://theenergymix.com/2020/07/07/global-gas-bubble-has-nearly-half-of-new-lng-projects-facing-pandemic-delays-nervous-investors/, The Energy Mix, July 7, 2020

https://www.csis.org/blogs/energy-headlines-versus-trendlines/how-much-does-us-lng-cost-europe, Niko Tsafos, CSIS, July 5, 2019

Sierra Metals (SMTS) – Better than Expected 2Q Production; Raising Estimates

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Sierra Metals (SMTS)(SMT:CA)

Better than Expected 2Q Production; Raising Estimates

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Sierra Metals is published under ticker symbols (SMTS and SMT:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol SMTS. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Sierra Metals Inc is a precious and base metals producer in Latin America. The company acquires, explores, extracts, and produces mineral concentrates consisting of silver, copper, lead, zinc and gold in Mexico and Peru. Its activity includes the operation of the Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and the Bolivar and Cusi mines in Mexico. Yauricocha is an underground polymetallic mine using the sublevel block caving and cut-and-fill mining methods. Bolivar is a copper-silver-zinc-gold underground mine using room-and-pillar mining method. The majority of the revenue is earned by selling of the mineral concentrates to its customers in Peru.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    SMTS reports second quarter production results. Compared with the prior year period, second quarter production of copper was flat at 9.7 million pounds, while silver, lead and zinc decreased 31.6%, 20.6% and 17.2% to 572 thousand ounces, 6.4 million pounds and 13.7 million pounds, respectively. Gold production increased 8.7% to 2,762 ounces relative to the prior year period. Second quarter production was negatively impacted by government-mandated work constraints in Mexico and Peru. The decline in silver production was due to the Cusi mine being under care and maintenance. Despite the negative impact of COVID-related work restrictions, production levels were above our expectations due to a strong performance by the Bolivar mine.

    Updating estimates. We are increasing our 2020 and 2021 EPS estimates to $0.07 and $0.24 from $0.05 and $0.19, respectively. Our estimates reflect Cusi’s return to service in the third quarter and higher commodity prices. Recent strength in …



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

SIERRA METALS REPORTS SOLID SECOND QUARTER 2020 PRODUCTION RESULTS

SIERRA METALS REPORTS SOLID SECOND QUARTER 2020 PRODUCTION RESULTS INCLUDING STRONG PRODUCTION FROM BOLIVAR, DESPITE THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

 

Toronto, ON – July 15, 2020Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) (BVL: SMT) (NYSE AMERICAN: SMTS) (“Sierra Metals” or “the Company”) is pleased to report second-quarter 2020 production results featuring the strong operational performance at its Bolivar Mine.

Results are from Sierra Metals’ three underground mines in Latin America: The Yauricocha polymetallic mine in Peru, and the Bolivar copper and Cusi silver Mines in Mexico.

Second Quarter 2020 Production Highlights

  • Copper production of 9.7 million pounds; in-line with Q2 2019
  • Silver production of 0.6 million ounces; a 32% decrease from Q2 2019
  • Gold production of 2,762 ounces; a 9% increase from Q2 2019
  • Zinc production of 13.7 million pounds; a 17% decrease from Q2 2019
  • Lead production of 6.4 million pounds; a 21% decrease from Q2 2019
  • Copper equivalent production of 22.7 million pounds; a 10% decrease from Q2 2019
  • Production at Yauricocha and Bolivar impacted in April and May due to the government-imposed shutdowns to contain the advancement of COVID-19.
  • Cusi remained under care and maintenance throughout the quarter

Quarterly throughput from the Yauricocha and Bolivar Mines was negatively impacted by the shutdowns announced by the Peruvian and the Mexican Governments to contain the advancement of the COVID-19 pandemic. Both the mines, while maintaining essential activities, operated at reduced capacities for the April and May months. These restrictions were relaxed for mining companies in June (as announced in our Press Release dated June 5, 2020), and the Company began to recall its furloughed employees and started ramping up the operations to full capacity. The Cusi mine remained under care and maintenance throughout the quarter, due to its proximity to urban communities.

Consolidated production of copper remained in-line at 9.7 million pounds, silver decreased 32% to 0.6 million ounces, lead decreased 21% to 6.4 million pounds, zinc declined 17% to 13.7 million pounds, and gold increased 9% to 2,762 ounces compared to Q2 2019. Consolidated silver production dropped since there was no production at Cusi during the quarter, while gold production increased largely due to higher gold grades from the Bolivar Mine.

The Yauricocha Mine experienced a 20% reduction in throughput during Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019, due to the afore-mentioned government-imposed state of emergency. The reduction in throughput was partially offset by higher head grades and higher silver and gold recoveries at Yauricocha, which resulted in a 15% decrease in copper equivalent pounds produced during Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019.

At Bolivar, higher grades and recoveries were partially offset by the 5% decrease in throughput, resulting in a 24% increase in copper equivalent pounds produced during Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019. A mere 5% decrease in throughput, despite the COVID-19 related shutdown, resulted from the increased plant capacity attributable to the expansion completed at the end of 2019.

Luis Marchese, President, and CEO of Sierra Metals, commented: “The Company had solid production results in the second quarter despite the negative implications of the shutdowns that occurred due to the COVID-19 pandemic.  At Yauricocha and Bolivar, the Company was able to maintain essential activities while fully complying with the government protocols during the state of emergency. I want to thank our workers at the mines for their dedication and efforts during these difficult times, which lead the Company to have remarkably high productivity levels. While Cusi remained in care and maintenance due to its proximity to urban centers, we are working through a process that will allow us to safely return workers to the mine and ramp up production.  Through the period of downtime, we reviewed our processes at each mine site, targeting improving efficiencies and identifying optimized exploration sequencing to add to our reserves and resources. As we ramp-up towards full capacity, we continue to adhere to strict health protocols protecting our operations, our employees, and the communities in which we operate.”

 

Consolidated Production Results

(1) Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc
equivalent pounds for Q2 2020 were calculated using the following realized
prices: $16.59/oz Ag, $2.40/lb Cu, $0.89/lb Zn, $0.76/lb Pb, $1,722/oz Au.
Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q1 2019 were
calculated using the following realized prices: $14.88/oz Ag, $2.75/lb Cu,
$1.20/lb Zn, $0.85/lb Pb, $1,323/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and
zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2020 were calculated using the following realized
prices: $16.58/oz Ag, $2.46/lb Cu, $0.91/lb Zn, $0.78/lb Pb, $1,654/oz Au.
Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2019 were
calculated using the following realized prices: $15.23/oz Ag, $2.80/lb Cu,
$/1.22lb Zn, $0.90/lb Pb, $1,314/oz Au.

 

Yauricocha Mine, Peru

The Yauricocha Mine processed 202,534 tonnes during Q2 2020, which is a 20% decrease from Q2 2019. The decline resulted from the government-imposed state of emergency, which remained in force until June 4, 2020, when the Peruvian government announced the resumption of mining activities as part of phase two of its economic recovery plan. Gradually ramping up its operation, the mine achieved an average throughput of approximately 2,600 tpd in June. The average production for Q2 2020 was 2,315 tpd.  The Yauricocha mine has the operational flexibility to recover part of the lost production.

Higher head grades and higher silver and gold recoveries partially offset the impact of lower throughput resulting in a 15% decrease in copper equivalent metal production compared to Q2 2019. Copper and lead recoveries were slightly below the Q2 2019 recoveries, while zinc recoveries were in-line with Q2 2019. Head grades for all metals were higher due to the mining in the cuerpos chicos. Copper grades were particularly higher as a greater proportion of copper sulphides were processed versus polymetallic ore as compared to Q2 2019. Installation of the SK-240 cells and grade analyzers helped achieve higher silver and gold recoveries.

A summary of production from the Yauricocha Mine for Q2 2020 is provided below:

(1) Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc
equivalent pounds for Q2 2020 were calculated using the following realized
prices: $16.59/oz Ag, $2.40/lb Cu, $0.89/lb Zn, $0.76/lb Pb, $1,722/oz Au.
Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q1 2019 were
calculated using the following realized prices: $14.88/oz Ag, $2.75/lb Cu,
$1.20/lb Zn, $0.85/lb Pb, $1,323/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and
zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2020 were calculated using the following realized
prices: $16.58/oz Ag, $2.46/lb Cu, $0.91/lb Zn, $0.78/lb Pb, $1,654/oz Au.
Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2019 were
calculated using the following realized prices: $15.23/oz Ag, $2.80/lb Cu, $/1.22lb
Zn, $0.90/lb Pb, $1,314/oz Au.

 

Bolivar Mine, Mexico

The Bolivar Mine processed 308,951 tonnes in Q2 2020, which is a mere 5% decrease from the Q2 2019 throughput, despite the impact of COVID-19. The average daily throughput realized during the quarter was 3,531 tpd. Head grades for copper, silver, and gold were 8%, 44%, and 28% higher, respectively, as compared to Q2 2019. Higher head grades and higher copper and silver recoveries, partially offset by lower throughput, resulted in a 24% increase in copper equivalent pounds produced during Q2 2020 compared to Q2 2019. In Q2 2020, copper production increased by 7% to 5,544,000 pounds, silver production increased 41% to 214,000 ounces, and gold production increased 21% to 1,912 ounces compared to Q2 2019.

Development and infrastructure improvements, which were on hold during Q2 2020, are planned to resume in the second half of the year in the effort to push throughput at Bolivar to 5,000 tpd by the end of 2020. Copper grades are expected to increase during the second half of the year, as mining is planned in the Mina de Fierro and Bolivar West zones.

A summary of production for the Bolivar Mine for Q2 2020 is provided below:

(1) Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc
equivalent pounds for Q2 2020 were calculated using the following realized prices:
$16.59/oz Ag, $2.40/lb Cu, $0.89/lb Zn, $0.76/lb Pb, $1,722/oz Au. Silver
equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q1 2019 were
calculated using the following realized prices: $14.88/oz Ag, $2.75/lb Cu,
$1.20/lb Zn, $0.85/lb Pb, $1,323/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and
zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2020 were calculated using the following realized
prices: $16.58/oz Ag, $2.46/lb Cu, $0.91/lb Zn, $0.78/lb Pb, $1,654/oz Au.
Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2019 were
calculated using the following realized prices: $15.23/oz Ag, $2.80/lb Cu,
$/1.22lb Zn, $0.90/lb Pb, $1,314/oz Au.

 

Cusi Mine, Mexico

The Cusi Mine remained in care and maintenance throughout the second quarter of 2020, due to the government-mandated shutdown to contain the advancement of COVID-19. As a result, there was no production from Cusi during the quarter. As announced in the press release dated June 18, 2020, this care and maintenance period has allowed the management team to complete an optimized view of the entire mine operation. Changes in the interpretation of the geological system have been made based on updated information from a stockwork tonnage system to a vein model system, which is expected to help better control and improve head grades, dilution and make better use of Cusi’s silver mineral resources.

Mine development is currently on-going at Cusi in a zone that will bypass the previously announced area of subsidence and provide access to higher-grade economic ore to provide feed for the mill. Production is expected to recommence after the mine development work is completed and once a process can be implemented at the mine to mitigate risk to employees at the site through a testing and quarantine methodology similar to the Company’s other operations.

The Company plans to drill an additional 1,000 meters to better understand the mineralization of the new high-grade silver zone in an area called Northeast – Southwest System of Epithermal Veins, as mentioned in the press release dated June 18, 2020.

The management team will continue to ramp throughput up to the targeted 1,200 tpd by the end of the year and will commence studies in the second half of the year for the potential expansion of Cusi.

A summary of production for the Cusi Mine for Q2 2020 is provided below:

(1) Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q2 2020 were calculated using the following realized prices: $16.59/oz Ag, $2.40/lb Cu, $0.89/lb Zn, $0.76/lb Pb, $1,722/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for Q1 2019 were calculated using the following realized prices: $14.88/oz Ag, $2.75/lb Cu, $1.20/lb Zn, $0.85/lb Pb, $1,323/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2020 were calculated using the following realized prices: $16.58/oz Ag, $2.46/lb Cu, $0.91/lb Zn, $0.78/lb Pb, $1,654/oz Au. Silver equivalent ounces and copper and zinc equivalent pounds for 6M 2019 were calculated using the following realized prices: $15.23/oz Ag, $2.80/lb Cu, $/1.22lb Zn, $0.90/lb Pb, $1,314/oz Au.

 

Quality Control

All technical data contained in this news release has been reviewed and approved by Americo Zuzunaga, FAusIMM CP (Mining Engineer) and Vice President of Corporate Planning is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person under the Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves.

Augusto Chung, FAusIMM CP (Metallurgist) and Consultant to Sierra Metals, is a Qualified Person and chartered professional qualifying as a Competent Person on metallurgical processes.

 

About Sierra Metals

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company focused on the production and development of precious and base metals from its polymetallic Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

The Company’s Common Shares trade on the Bolsa de Valores de Lima and on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “SMT” and on the NYSE American Exchange under the symbol “SMTS”.

For further information regarding Sierra Metals, please visit www.sierrametals.com or contact:

 

Mike McAllister

V.P., Investor Relations
Sierra Metals Inc.
+1 (416) 366-7777

Email:
info@sierrametals.com  

 

Luis Marchese

CEO

Sierra Metals Inc.

+1(416) 366-7777

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Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Canadian and U.S. securities laws (collectively, “forward-looking
information
“). Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the date of the 2020 Shareholders’ Meeting and the anticipated filing of the Compensation Disclosure. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential” or variations thereof, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, including, without limitation, the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s annual information form dated March 30, 2020 for its fiscal year ended December 31, 2019 and other risks identified in the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulators and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, which filings are available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.

The risk factors referred to above are not an exhaustive list of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking information. Forward-looking information includes statements about the future and is inherently uncertain, and the Company’s actual achievements or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking information due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. The Company’s statements containing forward-looking information are based on the beliefs, expectations and opinions of management on the date the statements are made, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update such forward-looking information if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change, other than as required by applicable law. For the reasons set forth above, one should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO) – First Investor Conference Call Highlights Growth Opportunities

Wednesday, July 15, 2020


Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO)

First Investor Conference Call Highlights Growth Opportunities



Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Indonesia. It holds two oil and gas assets through its subsidiaries in Indonesia: one producing block (the Kruh Block) and one exploration block (the Citarum Block). The Kruh Block is located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra. The Citarum Block is located to the south of Jakarta.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    INDO management held their first ever conference call with the investment community. The company brought the full slate of its management team located both in Jakarta and California, including the Founder & CEO, President, Chief Investment Officer, COO and Chief Development Officer. The call mainly outlined its previously-announced drilling plans, but there were a few new items of interest.

    Drilling plans on track. The company is moving “full steam ahead” with its drilling plans despite lower oil prices. The company is finalizing bidding the drilling process and expects to drill the first of six oil wells in the Kruh Block in September. Each well will take …


Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.