Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) – Revenues Trending Better Than Expected

Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)

Revenues Trending Better Than Expected

Townsquare Media Inc is an entertainment and media company offering digital marketing solutions in the United States and Canada. It owns and operates radio stations, social media properties focusing the small and mid-cap companies. Services offered to the clients include live events, local advertising, digital advertising, e-commerce offerings, few others. The segments through which the company operates its businesses are classified into Local marketing solutions and Entertainment segments. Revenues are generated from commercials through broadcasts and sale of internet based advertisements.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Q3 Update. Management filed an 8K yesterday that highlighted July and August total company revenues are trending better than our expectations. July and August revenues were down 21% and 16%, respectively. We believe that September is sequentially better than August, and, as such, Q3 revenues are trending better than our down 21% estimate.

    Strong Political.  We believe that a portion of the upside is due to stronger-than-expected Political advertising, which we estimated to be $2.1 million for the quarter. This is high-margin advertising, and higher Political revenue should lead to a positive upside Q3 cash flow surprise …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Travelzoo (TZOO) – Initiating Coverage; A Compelling Play On The Travel Industry Recovery

Monday, September 14, 2020

Travelzoo (TZOO)

Initiating Coverage; A Compelling Play On The Travel Industry Recovery

Travelzoo is a US-based company which acts as a publisher of travel and entertainment offers. The company informs a varied number of members in Asia Pacific, Europe, and North America, as well as millions of website users, about the best travel, entertainment and local deals available from various companies. It provides travel, entertainment, and local businesses in a flexible manner to the various customer. The company operates in three geographic segments namely Asia Pacific, Europe, and North America. Travelzoo derives its revenue through advertising fees including listing fees paid by travel, entertainment, and local businesses to advertise their offers on company’s media properties. Most of the company’s revenue is derived from the North America.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    A different kind of travel company. Travelzoo is a media company wedded to the travel industry. We anticipate a long tail travel advertising recovery, which should take shape later this year. Unlike business travel, which may be forever changed by Covid, Travelzoo is a compelling advertising recovery play on leisure travel. We believe that there is pent up demand for leisure travel given a strong favorable responses to travel vouchers with price promotions and no change fees.

    Financially capable of weathering the crisis.  As of June 30, the company had $25.5 million in cash and virtually no debt. The company benefited from an influx of cash from the sale of travel vouchers. We believe that the company will swing toward free cash flow in the fourth quarter and build upon its strong financial position in 2021 and 2022 …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

E.W. Scripps Company (SSP) – Why We Are Raising Cash Flow Estimates & Price Target

Wednesday, September 9, 2020

E.W. Scripps Company (SSP)

Why We Are Raising Cash Flow Estimates & Price Target

The E.W. Scripps Co. (www.scripps.com) serves audiences and businesses through a growing portfolio of television, print and digital media brands. After approval of its acquisition of two Granite Broadcasting stations later this year, Scripps will own 21 local television stations as well as daily newspapers in 13 markets across the United States. It also runs an expanding collection of local and national digital journalism and information businesses including digital video news service Newsy. Scripps also produces television programming, runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and serves as the longtime steward of one of the nation’s largest, most successful and longest-running educational programs, Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1879, Scripps is focused on the stories of tomorrow.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Back on the air. The company announced that its 27 TV stations are back on the air on The Dish Network, which completed Retransmission contracts on 42% of the Scripps pay TV households.

    Favorable revenue impact, true-up payment as early as Q3.  We estimate that the true-up payment from March 1st to July 25th when the SSP stations were aired without contract on Dish will be roughly $10 million in revenues, ($1.25 per sub variance from the old contract to the new contract on an estimated 18 million subscribers). As such, we are raising our full year 2020 Retransmission revenue from …



This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The Biggest COVID Winners are in the Business of Making Winners

 

Esports Betting is on a 4,000% Winning Streak

 

There’s a habit I picked up working on a Wall Street trading desk years ago. I don’t admit this to my friends that are not active in the markets; they wouldn’t understand. But, I think Channelchek users will be able to relate to it. Perhaps you do this yourself: When global news unfolds, my initial reaction is not, “oh my god, that’s horrible,” or even “hey, that’s fantastic.” My first mental response, usually unspoken, asks, “Is this bullish or bearish? Who wins, who loses? How will it impact different business sectors?”  I haven’t worked on a large trading desk for a number of years, but this habit is still ingrained in me — Hurricane. “Who sells lumber?” War in the Mideast. “Will there be an oil disruption?” Lehman goes bust? …well, you get the point.

When the initial talk of the novel coronavirus, social distancing, lockdowns, and working remotely started to become a reality, this instinct was in high alert. Back in March, when Disney decided to close their theme parks, I was speaking with the Noble Capital Markets trading desk and others in the market whom I trust. We were sure who this would be the worst for. Any company related to travel and hospitality was expected to see severe weakness. After this weakness, we saw an eventual opportunity. The conversations then led to discussions determining what public companies this would quickly benefit. We were spot-on thinking credit card companies, tech and communication services, and of course, some pharmacy and biotech names. However, what was never on my radar, yet in hindsight, makes so much sense, is esports and, more precisely, betting on esports (electronic sports).

Sports Betting

In 2018 the Supreme Court ruled that a federal ban on sports betting was unconstitutional. Since then, the market in the United States for sports betting has grown dramatically.  Seventeen states, in addition to Nevada, have now legalized sports betting in various forms. With the growth in this offshoot of two industries (professional sports and gambling) investments in esports and have taken a steep upward trajectory.

Esports Meets Pandemic

As entertainment from more traditional professional sports became unavailable with the suspension and cancellation of regular season play earlier this year, some athletes and spectators pivoted and joined the ranks of the already growing population of esports athletes and audience members. As esports became a higher percentage of the few professional sports competitions being broadcasted with any consistency, esports competitions filled the void for those that enjoy the thrill of human competition. Making it even more inviting is that many casinos closed with concerns over COVID-19.  The potential for many sportsbook operators to grab an increased share of esports gambling from these online sports grew and is still growing.

How Much Growth

Forecasts for the industry suggest that even as traditional sports return (both in-person and on our flat screens), the growth in esports and wagering on it will remain on a strong path upward. According to one report that reviewed betting data across ten bookmakers in the months of March and April of this year, esports betting was shown to have grown by 4,000%. Much of this explosion was captured by two major esports titles, FIFA and NBA2K, but others experienced even higher growth from their lower base.  The study also brought to light those involved.  Half of the core betting audience of esports is represented by high income, full-time professionals between ages 26 and 35. This demographic grew up playing computer and console games. Their interest isn’t unlike someone thirty-years older naturally betting on a boxing match or a bowl game.

The opportunity for long-term growth in the industry is high as gamblers become more aware of esports and its offerings. Additionally, betting opportunities are more plentiful in esports because, for example, a single FIFA match takes 8 to 15 minutes while a football game lasts hours. Additionally, esports is not seasonal — competitions occur year-round with no off-peak periods.

Who Wins in the End

Had I known in March when travel came to a screeching halt, professional sports were halted, and the Las Vegas strip hung “Closed” signs on their doors, what I know now, would I have included esports in my conversations as presumed winners in a pandemic world? That’s hindsight. The best investors look forward. I have been discussing this now with people involved in the markets. It is now on my list of growth industries. The reason is simple, despite its explosive growth from obscurity, the potential for an even greater number of people involved as both players and those wagering is a large multiple from its current state. I certainly wouldn’t bet against it.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:

Will the COVID Crisis Permanently Change the
Way We Work?

Virtual Power Plants

Advertising Budgets are Going Where the Eyes Are

 

Enjoy the Benefits of Premium Channelchek Content at No Cost

Each event in our popular Virtual Road Shows Series has maximum capacity of 100 investors online. To take part, listen to and perhaps get your questions answered, see which virtual investor meeting intrigues you here.

 

Sources:

Rise in Esports Betting

Esports Taking Over Traditional Sports in COVID 19

Research Shows a Growing Interest in Esports Gambling

E-sports betting guide – Best bookmakers to bet on e-sports

 

Release – A Marketing Services Company that Investors May be Overlooking

Senior Media Analyst at Noble Capital Markets Discusses the Pandemic’s Impact on Ad Revenue – He Details a Company Investors May be Overlooking

 

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research and Senior Media and Entertainment Analyst at Noble Capital Markets, discusses with Proactive Investors how the media industry is faring during the pandemic. He breaks down the pandemic’s impact on various mediums and looks forward to the political advertising season.

Kupinski then looks past the pandemic and details a particular marketing services company that investors may be overlooking.

Click on the video below to see the interview.

 


 

Harte-Hanks Inc. (HRTH) – Recovering Better Than Expected

Friday, August 14, 2020

Harte-Hanks Inc. (HRTH)

Recovering Better Than Expected

Harte-Hanks is a marketing services company that provides multichannel marketing solutions as well as consulting, data analytics, and strategic assessment. The company’s offerings focus on business-to-business, retail, finance, and automotive segments through digital, social, mobile, and print media offerings. Harte-Hanks strives to develop better customer relationships through its marketing and analytical services for clients. The majority of its revenue is derived from its marketing services in the retail, technology, and consumer brand segments.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Overachieves Q2 results. Revenues of $41.6 million was better than our $38.5 million estimate and reflected a 23.9% year-over-year quarterly revenue decline, better than many traditional media companies in Q2. Cash flow, as measured by Adj. EBITDA, was a better than expected $480,000 versus our estimate of $150,000. We believe that the results reflect that the company’s transition toward revenue growth is on track.

    Stabilizing revenues? We believe that Q2 revenues may reflect a stabilization in the company’s revenues, possibly the first time since 2016. Q2 revenues showed a sequential quarterly improvement from $40.5 million in Q1 and we estimate that Q3 revenues will …



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Advertising Budgets are Going Where the Eyes Are

 

Ten years ago 15% of Ad Money was Spent on Internet Ads, Guess what that Percentage is Today?

 

Soap operas, magazines, TV sports, local radio; they all allow niche target-advertising.  But, their slice of the advertising-dollar pie is shrinking precipitously. This trend has been in place for a while and still accelerating. Traditional ways to reach motivated buyers are losing out to the newer competitors for ad-dollars. In 2020, this has become even more complicated.

 

The days of scanning through newspapers for sales or dentist office magazines to learn more about a product are almost nostalgic. Ad-Targeting is much more refined in the new digital world. With a more accurate dataset of consumer likes and dislikes, online advertising has leaped to the forefront of marketing strategies. Marketers have recognized the consumer trends and have adapted to meet them; targeted digital advertisements allows them to be significantly more strategic.

 

Advertising Spending Trends

A bit over a decade (2009), the internet represented only 15% of all U.S. ad spending.

               Total dollars spent: $117 Billion

               TV: 39% of ad spending

               Print Media: 34% of ad spending

               Internet: 15%

 

Today (2020), more is spent on internet advertising alone than all U.S. ad spending of ten years earlier.

               Total dollars spent: $263 Billion (est.)

               TV: 28%

               Print Media: 11%

               Internet: 53%

 

Share of U.S. Ad Spending by Medium, 2009 (left) vs. 2019 (right)

Internet ad spending captured nearly half of ad dollars in 2019, up from about 15 percent a decade ago.

 

2020 and Beyond

The average social media user spends 2-plus hours a day browsing their feeds. The larger social media providers are monitoring people’s usage, likes, and dislikes. This creates a massive smart-platform for target-marketing products. The platforms continue to update and improve their methods, including increasingly higher levels of sophisticated algorithms—essentially artificial intelligence to connect a to users in their niche. The relevance of ads that users encounter is now superior to that they would see or hear from more traditional outlets. The big providers, Facebook, Snapchat, Twitter, and Instagram, all offer promoted advertisements that pop up on users’ pages while they scroll their feed. On average, users connect with three or more of their social media accounts a day.

 

Social Media ad spending is forecast to increase by 20% to $43 billion in 2020. Television advertising has been hard hit, not by social media competition, but by the lack of aired sports competitions. With the postponement of 2020 Summer Olympics $1.2 billion, the cancellation of March Madness and sports in general, the NBA and NHL playoff cancellation could cost $2 billion, and the seasons could cost around $700 million.    New estimates forecast that U.S. TV advertising spending will decline between 22.3% and 29.3%, mostly due to the curtailment of sports programs.

 

Google ad revenue is projected to be $39.5 Billion in 2020; this is down by 5.3% from 2019. The decrease is a direct result of the steps to curtail the coronavirus, which shut many businesses down and caused others to go into “safety mode” by cutting their spending. However, spending is expected to rebound at unprecedented rates, up 20% in 2021 as businesses begin to restart.

 

Ad spending on podcasts is forecast to grow 15% from 2019 to around $3.4 B by year-end. Around 40% of Americans now listen to podcasts on a monthly basis. Companies are adapting to new sectors to reach new markets.

 

Take-Away

Although 2020 has provided some one-time reshuffling of ad-dollar resources, the trend toward social media platforms is firmly in place. This is worth noting if you manage a media company, adapting and changing business models may put you in a position to take advantage of these changes. Investors may find undervalued traditional media companies that have been tossed out with others– those that a bit of research indicate are making smart moves. As for social media outlets, it looks like advanced data-driven technology is giving them their day in the sun.

 

Suggested Reading:

Will Broadcast Mergers and Acquisitions Surge?

More Accurate than Polls to Gauge Election Outcomes

Cashing In

 

Enjoy the Benefits of Premium Channelchek Content at No Cost

Each event in our popular Virtual Road Shows Series has maximum capacity of 100 investors online. To take part, listen to and perhaps get your questions answered, see which virtual investor meeting intrigues you here.

 

Sources:

https://adage.com/article/year-end-lists-2019/internet-medias-share-us-ad-spending-has-more-tripled-over-past-decade/2221701

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Television_consumption

https://www.mediapost.com/publications/article/350281/us-tv-average-ad-spending-to-sink-25-in-the-fir.html

Picture: Etrade advertisement from the day after Superbowl February 2009.

QuoteMedia (QMCI) – Keeping The Foot On The Pedal

Thursday, August 13, 2020

QuoteMedia (QMCI)

Keeping The Foot On The Pedal

QuoteMedia, based in Fountain Hills, Arizona, provides cloud-based financial data, market news feeds, and financial software solutions.  Its customers include financial service companies, online brokerages, clearing firms, banks, media portals, public corporations and individual investors.  The company provides a single source solution providing products such as streaming quotes, charting, historical data, technical analysis, news and research.  Information can customized and provided to multiple platforms including terminals and mobile devices.

Michael Kupinski, DOR, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Q2 results softer than expected. Q2 revenues were relatively stable in a very difficult operating environment and against tough year earlier comparisons. Revenues were $3.029 million, a new quarterly record for the company, in line with our $3.050 million estimate. Operating cash flow, as measured by adjusted EBITDA, was $214,000, below our $486,000 estimate, reflecting investments in new products to be launched later in the year.

    Keeping the foot on the pedal. Management indicated that it plans to maintain its investment spending on new products and and features to be launched late in the current quarter. It may back off investment spend if the operating environment deteriorates. But, in our view, the company has enough liquidity and runway for the heightened spending. We believe that the new products and features should …



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Cumulus Media Inc. (CMLS) – Planned Asset Sales Enhance Investment Appeal

Wednesday, August 12, 2020

Cumulus Media Inc. (CMLS)

Planned Asset Sales Enhance Investment Appeal

CUMULUS MEDIA, Inc. (NASDAQ: CMLS) is a leading audio-first media and entertainment company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. CUMULUS MEDIA engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 428 owned-and-operated stations across 87 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, the Olympics, the GRAMMYS, the American Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across nearly 8,000 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. CUMULUS MEDIA provides advertisers with local impact and national reach through on-air, digital, mobile, and voice-activated media solutions, as well as access to integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, and live event experiences. CUMULUS MEDIA is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Overachieves cash flow on softer revenue. Q2 total company revenues of $146.0 million, down 46.6% yoy, was lighter than our $151.5 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA loss of $6.3 million was better than our loss estimate of $12.6 million. The better than expected loss estimate reflected the company’s earlier $85 million annualized cost reductions.

    Not flowing through the upside to full year. Radio advertising trends are improving, but not at the pace we originally expected. We are tweaking lower our Q3 revenue and cash flow estimate in an abundance of caution. We are tweaking lower our Q3 revenue from $196.0 million to $193.0 million and our Q3 cash flow estimate from …



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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report.  NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) – Reaffirms Its Favorable Digital Revenue Outlook

Tuesday, August 11, 2020

Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)

Reaffirms Its Favorable Digital Revenue Outlook

Townsquare Media Inc is an entertainment and media company offering digital marketing solutions in the United States and Canada. It owns and operates radio stations, social media properties focusing the small and mid-cap companies. Services offered to the clients include live events, local advertising, digital advertising, e-commerce offerings, few others. The segments through which the company operates its businesses are classified into Local marketing solutions and Entertainment segments. Revenues are generated from commercials through broadcasts and sale of internet based advertisements.

Michael Kupinski, DOR, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Solid Digital performance. Both revenues and cash flow were above expectations for what was one of the its most difficult quarters in its history given the Covid pandemic. Revenues declined 34.5% to $74.05 million, which was better than our $69.95 million estimate, and better than its peers, with many reporting revenue declines of as much as 60%. Q2 operating cash flow, as measured by adjusted EBITDA, was better than expected as well, $2.08 million versus our $1.10 million estimate.

    Why we view the filing favorably.  Its subscription, digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, increased revenues a strong 10.5% in Q2, demonstrating its recession resistant qualities. Both its Townsquare Interactive and its programmatic business, Ignite, are expected to …



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Dish, The Dirt On The Quarter

Monday, August 10, 2020

E.W. Scripps Company (SSP)

Dish, The Dirt On The Quarter

The E.W. Scripps Co. (www.scripps.com) serves audiences and businesses through a growing portfolio of television, print and digital media brands. After approval of its acquisition of two Granite Broadcasting stations later this year, Scripps will own 21 local television stations as well as daily newspapers in 13 markets across the United States. It also runs an expanding collection of local and national digital journalism and information businesses including digital video news service Newsy. Scripps also produces television programming, runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and serves as the longtime steward of one of the nation�s largest, most successful and longest-running educational programs, Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1879, Scripps is focused on the stories of tomorrow.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Q2 revenue misses, but cash flow much better than expected.  Q2 revenues of $358.9 million were below our expectations of $372.0 million. The revenue variance was virtually all related to Retrans negotiations with Dish TV, which carried the Scripps stations at the old rate until it took them off its service as of July 25th. Cash flow, as measured by adj. EBITDA, was above expectations, $33.7 million versus our estimate of $22.5 million.

    Revenue and cash flow trends better than expected for Q3. Management indicates significantly improving advertising revenue trends in Q3, with strong Political advertising, moderating core advertising trends, and favorable Retrans revenue growth, despite the Dish dispute. The favorable revenue trends combined with …



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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Gray Television Inc. (GTN) – Outshining Many Of Its Peers

Monday, August 10, 2020

Gray Television Inc. (GTN)

Outshining Many Of Its Peers

Gray Television, Inc. operates as a television broadcast company in the United States. As of April 6, 2010, it operated 36 television stations in 30 markets, including 17 affiliated with CBS Inc.; 10 affiliated with the National Broadcasting Company, Inc.; 8 affiliated with the American Broadcasting Company (ABC); and 1 affiliated with FOX Entertainment Group, Inc. (FOX). The company also operated 39 digital second channels comprising 1 affiliated with ABC, 4 affiliated with FOX, 7 affiliated with CW Network, LLC, 18 affiliated with Twentieth Television, Inc., 2 affiliated with Universal Sports Network, and 7 local news/weather channels. Gray Television, Inc. was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Michael kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Q2 results overachieve our expectations.  Total company revenues of $451.0 million were better than our $432.0 million estimate, with core advertising the largest upside variance to our estimate. Operating cash flow, as measured by adj. EBITDA, was better than expected, $108.0 million versus our $86.0 million estimate.

    Q3 appears to be pacing better than we thought. Management indicated that core advertising is pacing down a moderate 10% to 15%, much better than our original expectations. With strong Political advertising moderating core advertising trends and moderate expense growth, cash flow is expected to be …



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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Salem Media (SALM) – Overachieves Cash Flow Expectations; Raising Estimates

Friday, August 7, 2020

Salem Media (SALM)

Overachieves Cash Flow Expectations; Raising Estimates

Salem Media Group is America’s leading radio broadcaster, Internet content provider, and magazine and book publisher targeting audiences interested in Christian and family-themed content and conservative values. In addition to its radio properties, Salem owns Salem Radio Network, which syndicates talk, news and music programming to approximately 2700 affiliates; Salem Radio Representatives, a national radio advertising sales force; Salem Web Network, a leading Internet provider of Christian content and online streaming; and Salem Publishing, a leading publisher of Christian themed magazines. Salem owns and operates 115 radio stations, with 73 stations in the nation’s top 25 top markets – and 25 in the top 10. Each of our radio properties has a full portfolio of broadcast and digital marketing opportunities.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Over delivers on expectations. Second quarter revenues of $52.9 million were better than our $50.6 million estimate. Notably, the 18.3% revenue decline is among the better performances among multi media companies. More importantly, the company significantly exceeds cash flow expectations on aggressive cost cutting, $6.2 million versus our loss estimate of $2.9 million. Each of the company’s operating segments performed better than expected.

    Significant sequential improvement. Management highlighted that July revenues reflected significant sequential monthly improvement with total company revenues modestly down. We are reticent to revise our Q3 revenue estimate, which reflects a 10% yoy decline, due to …



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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.