Microcap Stocks Outperforming in 2021


The Hottest Stock Sectors and Segments

 

May’s stock market performance will hinge on a number of questions investors may get answers to during the month.  What they’re waiting to learn is:  Will we see a tick up in inflation? If the 2% inflation target set by the Fed is exceeded, will they act and begin to throw cold water on the strong stock market rally? Will there be a reduction in lockdowns throughout the world? How will the pandemic linger through 2021?  Will tax increases, including a capital gains tax, impact stocks? Will inflation take root and begin to force the Fed to choose between subdued growth or higher prices (both negative)?

The fear-of-missing-out (FOMO) investors were rewarded in April. There has been a bit of shift in which sectors are showing strength year-to-date as larger companies have not performed at the levels they had relative to smaller capitalized companies that took the stage. The shift in emphasis on smaller companies and recovery industries makes sense coming off a year where mega-cap stocks and covid-19 related companies reigned

 

 

Looking Back

April had investors eyeballing two competing market movers; the first was the sign of a substantial economic rebound in the U.S. and elsewhere, the second was worsening Covid-19 cases outside of the U.S. that lessen the chance of global recovery. Strong corporate earnings helped improve major indexes propelling them higher during the first full month of Q2.

So far in 2021, the Nasdaq 100  has increased by 7.55%, which is nothing to sneeze at, but it has been outdone by the S&P 500, which grew by 11.32%, the small-cap Russell 2000, which has returned 14.92%, and the microcap Russell 1000 which has returned 23.96% beating the indexes of larger stocks. 

 

 Within 2021’s strongest sector by market cap, microcap growth stocks in April returned 6.87%, outperforming the overall microcap sector as measured against the Russell 1000 which returned 3.96%, and microcap value experienced a decline of .03%.

 

 

Take-Away

The market is nervous. The large and mega-cap sectors, although in or near record territory are not seeing the same momentum. Interest rates are on everyone’s mind despite the Fed being adamant about their resolve to keep levels low. There is some fear that holding rates below where they may naturally want to trade is setting us up for a bubble situation where all assets become less in favor as money becomes more expensive. There is no clear sign of a complete global economic reopening, India has backtracked and even the Biden administration has extended rules on masks into the Summer.

The world is now fully into the second year of managing a pandemic, we experience new situations every week and are beginning to find ourselves in a period where yesterday’s stocks to avoid are today’s stocks to buy and visa versa. There is a long list of stocks that were beaten up during the pandemic and those businesses that flourished during the height. Looking at further reversals in this list may be a good place to start to project the next winners and losers as we steer out of the state of emergency we placed ourselves into. 

 

Suggested Reading

Why Elevated Employment Isn’t Hurting Stocks

What Stocks do You Buy When the Dollar Goes Down?



Managing Investment Portfolio Risk

The Asset Allocation Role of Microcap Stocks

 

Photo Credit: Marco Verch

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QuickChek – May 3, 2021



Golden Predator Mining Corp. Announces Termination of Arrangement Agreement with Viva Gold Corp

Golden Predator Mining and Viva Gold Corp have mutually agreed to terminate the arrangement agreement dated March 2, 2021 for the proposed acquisition of all of the issued and outstanding shares of Viva Gold by Golden Predator

Research, News & Market Data on Golden Predator Mining

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Total Cray Valley and Gevo to further Scale Up Development of Renewable Isoamylene from Fusel Oil

Gevo and Total Cray Valley announced the successful completion of phase 1 of their Joint Development Agreement to upgrade fusel oils into renewable isoamylene

Research, News & Market Data on Gevo

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Ocugen announces studies showing COVAXIN potentially effective against three key variants of SARS-CoV-2. Up 17% in early trading.

Ocugen, Inc. announced that in a new study, scientists at Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR)-National Institute of Virology have found that COVAXIN demonstrated potential effectiveness against the Brazil variant of SARS-CoV-2, B.1.128.2

Research, News & Market Data on Ocugen

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Dyadic to Present at Upcoming Events

Dyadic announced that the Company will participate in several upcoming events

Research, News & Market Data on Dyadic



Comtech Awarded $6.2 Million of Additional Funding to Support the U.S. Army’s Blue Force Tracking System

Comtech Telecommunications announced that during its third quarter of fiscal 2021, its Government Solutions segment was awarded $6.2 million of additional funding for Option Period Four of contract GS03Q17DSC0002

Research, News & Market Data on Comtech

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Avivagen Announces Recurring Order for OxC-betaTM Livestock

Avivagen announced that Avivagen’s consultant in Mexico has secured their largest purchase amount and longest duration purchase to date

Research, News & Market Data on Avivagen

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TAAL Files 2020 Fiscal Year-End Financial Results And Provides Operational Guidance For 2021

TAAL announced its financial results and Management Discussion and Analysis for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020

Research, News & Market Data on TAAL Distributed Information Technologies

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OpRegen® Clinical Data Continues To Demonstrate Improvements In Patients With Dry Amd With Geographic Atrophy

Lineage Cell Therapeutics announced that updated interim results from its ongoing, 24-patient Phase 1/2a clinical study of its lead product candidate, OpRegen, were reported at the 2021 Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology Annual Meeting

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Regulation of a SPAC

 


Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company
(Part of a Channelchek Series on SPACs)

 

The primary U.S. regulator of publicly traded securities is the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Their role is threefold; they’re responsible for protecting investors, maintaining the fair and orderly function of securities markets, and facilitate capital formation. SPACS are certainly part of capital formation, they are an investment vehicle, and they are traded on securities markets. So SPACs hit squarely on all three main responsibilities. If that isn’t enough to place the regulator as first in line for oversight (state laws, accounting rules, OCC regs could also apply), the SEC also promotes full public disclosure, protects investors against fraudulent and manipulative practices, and monitors corporate takeover actions. It also approves registration statements for bookrunning at underwriting firms. Combined, this places them solidly as the regulator overseeing special purpose acquisition corporations.

Although SPACs are not new offering types, the increased enthusiasm among both sponsors and investors over the past year has caused the SEC to increase their attention on all aspects of the SPAC lifecycle including sales and post-merger or acquisition trading. Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Corporation is the third of a Channelchek series on SPACs. From this installment, you should better understand some of the heightened or unique considerations the SEC has regarding SPACs, including:

  • The unprecedented surge, celebrity-sponsored SPACs, and innovative non-standard SPAC structures
  • Disclosure and information made publicly available so holders and investors are best prepared to make informed investment and voting decisions
  • How SPACs differ from traditional IPOs and whether or not they should
  • Accounting treatment of warrants 

As unique as many aspects of everyone’s work lives have been over the past 13 months, the SEC has had its own unprecedented, out-of-the-blue situations to quickly analyze, understand and determine if actions should be taken to protect investors. This could include “meme-investors” and the market gyrations they promote, broker-dealers halting trading on issues; the SEC halted trading activity in 15 firms themselves, and also an unprecedented surge in SPAC IPOs coming to market.

As it relates to the SPAC IPOs, for the whole process, including after the de-SPAC stage, the SEC has indicated it has some concerns. They have made it clear they are paying attention and they have issued some changes that may reduce the boiling pace of SPAC creation, to a more manageable and sustainable simmer. 

 

SEC Concerns

The SEC in its role of overseeing trading, has issued guidance, voiced some concerns, and changed the way accounting is handled of an important part of the sponsors’ compensation.  Applying existing regulation and making sure safeguards are in place is designed to be good for everyone involved, here we’ll look at concerns that seem to have moderated the SPAC IPO pace for now.

Concerns they have communicated include risks from fees, conflicts of interest, sponsor compensation, celebrity sponsorship and the potential for retail participation drawn by hype, and the sheer amount of capital pouring into SPACs, each of which is designed to hunt for a private target to take public. There is a finite number of targets and presumably a slow level of potential new targets being “born.”

The Securities and Exchange Commission staff are looking at the filing process and disclosures by SPACs and their private targets. According to the SEC, staff professionals are reviewing these filings and may seek clearer disclosure when guidance is provided to registrants and the public. They are focusing their “places for improvement” efforts on SPAC and private target disclosure to allow for the public to make informed investment and voting decisions about SPAC transactions.

An issue they have expressed is that they believe evaluation has been a little different with some SPACs. They have said that forward-looking statements and future expected cash flows are generally considered more important when evaluating a deal rather than what celebrity may be touting the future prospect or other possible hype.  Forward-looking information needs a solid basis to have utility, they suspect putting a celebrity out front as the face of a SPAC may give undo credibility for success. The SEC is concerned that the nature of the transactions relative to a more standard IPO of a private company lends itself to increased levels of speculation and could open the door to fraud. This is especially true if “stars” are brought in to garner attention and also because there is an urgency and time factor that could rush judgment. The issue is heightened not because of cases of misuse of information and projections but because with the sheer amount and size of the transactions may invite potential misuse.  

The SEC is also looking at the trading that goes on at the time of the business combination. Many shares are sold at that time and then wind up in the hands of others.  In other words, many investors in the SPAC’s own initial offering are not the investors in the ultimate public company’s new financial structure and business operations. The SEC has decided that if a major shift in ownership is occurring in most SPACs, just before and after de-SPAC, they should view it as a new speculative entity. Almost as though it is a whole new process.  They’re looking at this with the question in mind, “are additional safeguards needed?”

 

 

Accounting

On April 12, 2021, the SEC released a statement titled Staff
Statement on Accounting
and Reporting Considerations for Warrants
Issued by SPACs
. The statement clarified that SPAC warrants with certain common features must be booked as liabilities rather than equity. The SEC suggested the warrants, typically considered compensation to sponsors for the risks they’ve taken and costs they’ve endured, are not equity. They recommend these be restated as debt in most of the common configurations. This is important as it changes the balance sheet of the operating company and it alters the nature of the warrants, which often trade as equities in addition to SPAC shares.

 

Other Information

It’s important to understand that the SEC is neutral. They want to understand what disclosures investors need so they may make informed investment and voting decisions. It is one of their critical functions to make sure investor information is reliable and not materially misleading (in every securities transaction). They want investors to have unfettered access to information – and then be free to make their own decisions about how to invest or vote. In the case of SPACs, although the SECs high-profile review may have slowed the process, their intent is to make sure all the proper protections are in place.

 

Suggested Reading

Lifecycle of a SPAC

Analysis of a SPAC



Do Microcap Stocks Provide Better Diversification?

SPAC Activity Accelerating in 2020

 

Sources

https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/munter-spac-20200331
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/30/what-is-a-spac.html

https://www.sec.gov/oiea/investor-alerts-and-bulletins/celebrity-involvement-spacs-investor-alert

https://news.crunchbase.com/news/athletes-and-celebrities-join-the-spac-boom-sec-takes-notice/

https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/accounting-reporting-warrants-issued-spacs

https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/division-cf-spac-2021-03-31

https://www.sec.gov/corpfin/disclosure-special-purpose-acquisition-companies

https://www.thestreet.com/investing/sec-halts-trading-in-15-firms-due-to-questionable-market-moves

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QuickChek – April 30, 2021



Milestone Reached as Gevo Breaks Ground on Renewable Natural Gas Project in Northwest Iowa

Gevo announced that is has officially broken ground on the Renewable Natural Gas Project, located in Northwest Iowa, which will generate RNG captured from dairy cow manure

Research, News & Market Data on Gevo

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Online Media is Within an Hour of Becoming Main-Stream Media

Have you guessed which outlet has grown by 460% ?



Bert Alfonso Named Executive Vice President and CFO

Information Services Group announced that David Berger, Executive VP and CFO, will retire after nearly 12 years of service with the firm and that Humberto “Bert” Alfonso has been named to succeed him, effective June 7

Research, News & Market Data on Information Services Group

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Aurania Confirms New Discovery That Extends Tiria-Shimpia to 22km

Aurania Resources Ltd. reports on the discovery of Shimpia North, an area in which elevated metal values have been found in streams draining a ridge that is seven kilometres long. Shimpia North is an extension to the high-grade silver-zinc-lead mineralization at Tiria-Shimpia in the Company’s Lost Cities – Cutucu Project in southeastern Ecuador.

Research, News & Market Data on Aurania Resources

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QuickChek – April 29, 2021



Gray Sells Divestiture Stations From Quincy Media Transaction to Allen Media for $380 Million

Gray Television reached an agreement to divest certain television stations currently owned by Quincy Media, Inc. to Byron Allen’s Allen Media Broadcasting, LLC for $380 million dollars in cash

Research, News & Market Data on Gray Television



Allegiant Gold Completes 9 Hole, 3800 Metre Drill Program Near Original Pit Zone At Eastside

Allegiant Gold announced the completion of a 9-hole drill program (approximately 3,800 metres) near the Original Pit Zone at Eastside, their flagship project, 30 km northwest of Tonopah, NV

Research, News & Market Data on Allegiant Gold

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Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Awarded $1.6 Million Toronto Paramedic Services Next Generation 911 Contract

Comtech Telecommunications announced that during its third quarter of fiscal 2021, Comtech Solacom Technologies, Inc. was awarded a Next Generation 911 services contract to provide its Guardian call management solution to the Toronto Paramedic Services

Research, News & Market Data on Comtech

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1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. Reports Record Revenue and Earnings Results for its Fiscal 2021 Third Quarter

1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. announced results for its Fiscal 2021 third quarter ended March 28, 2021

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QuickChek – April 28, 2021



Namaste Technologies Reports First Quarter 2021 Financial Results

Namaste Technologies reported its financial results for the first quarter ended February 28, 2021

Research, News & Market Data on Namaste Technologies

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Driven By Stem is Expanding into Michigan, the Fourth-Largest U.S. Cannabis Market

Driven By Stem announced that it has teamed up with Organic Guyz, a Michigan Cannabis company, for the opening of its newest dispensary in the heart of Kalamazoo, Michigan this June

Noble Capital Markets initiates coverage on Driven by Stem

Research, News & Market Data on Driven By Stem



Chakana Reports High-Grade Intersects

Chakana Copper recently received drill results from eight exploration holes from Huancarama totaling 1,522.1m and five resource drill holes from Paloma East totaling 1,455.15m

Research, News & Market Data on Chakana Copper

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Ely Gold Royalties Reports Year End Financials

Ely Gold Royalties reported year-end financial results for the fourth quarter (“Q4 2020”) and year (“FY 2020”) ended December 31, 2020

Research, News & Market Data on Ely Gold

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Ocugen Inc. Announces Closing of $100 Million Registered Direct Offering of Common Stock Priced at a Premium to Market

Ocugen, Inc. announced that it has closed the previously announced registered direct offering with healthcare-focused institutional investors for the sale of an aggregate of 10 million shares of its common stock at a purchase price of $10 per share

Research, News & Market Data on Ocugen

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Palladium One Intersects Massive Sulphides in Multiple Holes at Tyko Nickel-Copper Project, in Ontario

Palladium One Mining announced that multiple massive sulphide intersections have been intersected in the Phase II Tyko drill program+A1

Research, News & Market Data on Palladium One

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QuickChek – April 27, 2021



How Mining Has Impacted Lives – 7 Fascinating Facts

The power of the elements, minerals, and even organic matter that lie within the earth



Energy Fuels Engages Leading Consultant to Support Development of Rare Earth Separation at White Mesa Mill in Utah

Energy Fuels announced that it has engaged Carester SAS to prepare a scoping study for the development of a solvent extraction rare earth element separation circuit at the Company’s White Mesa Mill in Utah

Research, News & Market Data on Energy Fuels

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Bunker Hill Mining Engages Cutfield Freeman &; Co. As Re-Start Financing Advisor

Bunker Hill Mining announced that it has engaged Cutfield Freeman & Co. to provide independent advice on all aspects of restart mining finance related to the Bunker Hill Mine in Idaho

News & Market Data on Bunker Hill Mining



Aurania Provides Quarterly Update And Hosts Conference Call

Aurania Resources will host a Conference Call & Webcast today at 12:30pm EDT, providing highlights from the Financial Statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2020

Research, News & Market Data on Aurania Resources

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Is ESG and B Corp. Investing Smart?

 


ESG, B Corps, and Investors

 

ESG investing and its accelerated rise show that people see purpose in putting their money where their values are or by following a growing investment trend – in many cases both. Companies are certainly aware of the movement and are working to establish themselves as fitting ESG investment criteria. Increasingly companies are altering the impact of their daily operations, and investors are noticing and reacting. According to the most recent biennial report from the United States Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment (US SIF), total US-domiciled assets under management employing ESG investing strategies increased 42 percent over the past two years, to $17 trillion in 2020, up from $12 trillion at the start of 2018.

The increased levels of adoption of ESG standards reporting have taken their cue from consumer demand, as customers and investors direct their dollars towards organizations that support this popular trend and away from others. Social governance and environmental standards are becoming the new norm as new companies develop in the mold and older companies innovate to capitalize on the movement of business towards these standards.

 Environmental, Social, Governance

MSCI has the tag line “Powering better investment for a better world,” their framework has currently taken the lead to shape understanding of the specific aspects of the operations that fall under “ESG”. The environmental (E) factors include measurements like carbon emissions in a company’s transport and logistics, the efficiency of their energy sources, and, particularly in the case of F&B companies, water usage. Social (S) factors relate to how the company treats its employees and diversity in leadership. Governance (G) indicators take a look at issues like share class structure, data security, and government structure.

 

 

In the past, it may have seemed that standards of accountability inhibited performance. However, as consumers and businesses alike adopt such standards, ESG rankings may actually point to the long-term viability of a company. According to research from MSCI, companies in the bottom ESG quintile have been twice as likely to suffer a catastrophic loss (over 95% cumulative loss) within three years.

 

B Corps

Many companies have also gone beyond the ESG standards and have now established themselves as B Corps. This certifies them as “benefit corporations” compliant with the standards of B Lab, a Pennsylvania-based business research organization that has set standards around corporate impact. According to B Lab, B Corp members in the U.K. have experienced an average YoY 14% growth rate, about 28x higher than the national average. For example, Leading B Corps rise are fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG or CPG) brands that grew 21% on average in 2017 compared to a national average of 3% across their respective sectors.

In 2016, MSCI downgraded Equifax’s ESG rating due to concerns about data privacy and cybersecurity. Almost exactly a year later, Equifax announced the data breach that compromised the personal information of 147 million people.

 

Take-Away

Beyond “greenwashing” and hollow corporate social responsibility, ESG frameworks have become increasingly integrated into business operations. Undoubtedly, a high ESG ranking also gives way to higher brand equity today and marketing campaigns can be designed around to appeal to the trend.  

In 2021, carrying a high ESG rating benefits a company in more ways than one. For investors, the trend is an added category worth reviewing; from an investment standpoint, this is where the attention is currently.

 

About the Author:

Laila Jiwani is a freelance writer specializing in topics related to social finance and international economic trends. Currently based in Dallas, Texas, she is an Erasmus Mundus Joint Master’s Graduate and has worked for economic development organizations in the U.S., Morocco, Kenya, Pakistan and Kyrgyzstan.

 

Suggested Reading:

Five Reasons Investors Increasingly Use ESG Standards

Expect 500,000 Fewer U.S. Births in 2021



Can Mining be Green and Sustainable?

Can Small Investors Compete With Wall Street?

 

Sources:

https://www.msci.com/who-we-are/about-us

https://bcorporation.net/

https://hbr.org/2016/06/why-companies-are-becoming-b-corporations

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jasonbisnoff/2020/12/14/esg-investing-a-sizzling-sector-that-will-get-even–hotter-under-president-biden/?sh=69ad80c23302

https://netimpactboston.wordpress.com/2015/03/12/b-corp-interview-anne-sherman-staach

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QuickChek – April 26, 2021



Ocugen up over 20% in midday trading

Ocugen shares rise on Friday’s announcement of a $100M Direct Offering

Research, News & Market Data on Ocugen

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Kratos Demonstrates SATCOM Situational Awareness to an Operationally Secure Environment Using Commercial Resources

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions announced that they were the first to successfully exhibit an integrated SATCOM capability providing real-time Situational Awareness to an operationally secure environment

Research, News & Market Data on Kratos



Noble Capital Markets initiates coverage on Stem Holdings

Noble initiates research coverage on Stem Holdings, cannabis cultivator and technology omnichannel retailer with e-commerce ordering and express and next-day delivery

Research, News & Market Data on Driven By Stem



electroCore, Inc. Announces Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine Study of Non-Invasive Vagus Nerve Stimulation

electroCore, Inc. announced that Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine is starting an investigator-initiated trial of non-invasive vagus nerve stimulation (nVNS) using the Company’s proprietary gammaCore device to treat symptomatic exacerbation of nausea in patients with gastroparesis and related disorders

Research, News & Market Data on electroCore



Avivagen Announces First Purchase Order from Large Integrated Producer in Asia

Avivagen Inc. announced that it has received its first purchase order from a large, integrated livestock producer in Thailand

Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Joe Gomes’ report

Research, News & Market Data on Avivagen

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Do Microcap Stocks Provide Better Diversification?

 


The Asset Allocation Role of Microcap Stocks

Investments in microcaps and even the smaller end of small-cap stocks have historically received less attention than mid-cap and large-cap companies. Noteworthy reasons for this include less scalability for large fund managers; also, microcaps often have less coverage on the research side. Another impactful oddity is that many worthwhile small companies lack a position in the “investment style box.”

Scalability, research and analysis, and not fitting neatly into the recognized style box all depress interest, awareness, and understanding of companies. Astute, individual investors can take advantage of the less talked about microcap sector and at the same time add diversification that could help key measures of performance.

 

Scalability

Imagine you’re an equity portfolio manager and have found the “secret sauce” to stock picking. You’ve backtested to 5 years with a $100,000 portfolio and the results have averaged 60% winners with a 42% average gain, and the losers and breakeven trades average just a 6% loss. With these results, your firm seeds an account with $10,000. and you now begin to test your methodology with live “ammo.” The methods driving your results include a mix of using trusted third-party fundamental analysis on small company stocks, then a common chart setup to find an entry point. After six months, your results aren’t quite as favorable relative to benchmarks as they had been, but still well ahead of the major market indexes.

The money management firm you work for has been reviewing your results and has now decided to create a fund around your investment style. They market the microcap fund heavily and over time, with very good performance, it attracts a few hundred million in assets.

With each large inflow to the fund, you find fewer opportunities because your original tested methods had a smaller universe, basically being nimble with large dollar amounts is more difficult. Even worse, whereas scaling into a position over the course of a few days with $2,000-$5,000 allowed decent price execution, doing the same with $75,000 – $250,000 or more tends to lift the stock price to the point where the trade may no longer be feasible if the size is available at all.

Unlike markets where having more to spend gives you price preference or negotiation power, with smaller, less liquid companies, small investors have an advantage. Your $10,000 “test” account with a 5% limit per name was able to outperform consistently. The exact same methods but with 100x the assets or more have watered down the success rate dramatically.

This is why there aren’t hundreds of funds run by large companies in this sector. The supply and demand issue would be too challenging. And since the big firms are the ones that push to get on TV to discuss their performance while they bombard you with paid ads, it is their products and stock picks that get far more coverage. This doesn’t mean there aren’t very successful small and microcap money managers, they don’t often get invited on to a major financial TV show as they aren’t big advertisers or even in need of adding hundreds of millions to any one of their portfolios.

 

 

Available Equity Research

The firms that do manage funds and portfolios that specialize in smaller companies rely on their understanding of the company fundamentals. This is another reason individuals may not be taking full advantage of smaller companies – the average investor simply doesn’t find much information written on them, and most investors aren’t capable of digging into the firm’s business model, their financials, or inviting themselves to meetings with management.

So, an asset management firm with in-house analysis can find stocks that are necessarily overlooked by large funds because of scalability, yet the stocks that represent great value can achieve outsized performance.  They are the players with “better” information and opportunity.

Fortunately for those transacting for smaller pools of money or even themselves, if they understand the value of investing in less correlated (vs. S&P 500) assets, they can now find well-presented research from veteran analysts with bulge-bracket firm pedigree. This top-tier analysis, coupled with low or no-cost brokerage trades, makes small company stocks well worth considering for a prudent portion of an overall asset mix.

 

Style Box

Since 1992 Morningstar and others that adopted the style box grid have taught investors to think of nine different categories of stock market investing. At the time Morningstar served those evaluating mutual funds, so the simplicity of boiling it down to a few columns made investor choices easy. However, the reduced complexity is oversimplified and ignores important sectors that can’t easily be scaled up into large mutual funds. There is a reason people are always encouraged to “think outside the box,” for many, it isn’t natural to look beyond what is put in front of them. If we round the style box up to a dozen options we could allow investors to visually see how they could improve diversification.

Fortunately, much of this is changing as self-directed investors become more sophisticated and begin to recognize that unless they’re allocating tens of millions of their own money, the case for microcap investments, both as a standalone asset class and for the role it can play as a less correlated allocation is compelling and worth considering as research becomes more widely available.

 

Take-Away

Individuals and small money managers aren’t being exposed to an option that may well suit them. The reasons are that media coverage is far less, the effort to uncover opportunities may be a bit higher, and they may be mentally stuck inside of a style box that was designed to serve the mutual fund industry. Resources available for people to manage their own portfolios have grown alongside technological advances.  Not all resources are of the same quality, but top-tier equity research and execution of trades now can be found without a cost to individuals.

Channelchek is a resource for exploring opportunities in the small and microcap space. With a growing list of companies covered by top-tier analysts, it is worth regular visits to the website to help find ideas to enhance and diversify your portfolio outside of the very dated box.

 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:

Money Supply is Like Caffeine for Stocks

IRA Investments and Small-Small Cap Stocks



Small-Cap Names in a Big Crypto Market

Managing Investment Portfolio Risk

 

Source:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morningstar_Style_Box

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Analysis of a SPAC

 


Analysis of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company
(Part of a Channelchek Series on SPACs)

 

Special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) are an increasingly popular vehicle for various transactions, including transitioning a business from a private company to a publicly traded corporation.  Some market participants believe that, through a SPAC transaction, a private company can become a publicly-traded company with a higher level of certainty as to pricing and control over deal terms when compared to a traditional initial public offerings (IPOs).

Analysis of a SPAC is part of a series of ongoing educational pieces published by Channelchek on the subject. From this edition, you should expect to gain a better understanding of:

  • Investor rights when a SPAC is in its shell company stage
  • Financial interests and motivations of SPAC sponsors
  • Evaluating investor options as it begins to de-SPAC
  • Warrants and possible impact on stockholders

Common Acquisition/Merger

Typically, a SPAC acquires or merges with a private company after a period of fewer than two years after the SPACs own introduction to the market as an IPO. Unlike a fully functioning business going public, a SPAC is non-operating and yet to be further defined aside from objective. Its primary asset is the cash which was proceeds from the IPO and perhaps contributions of founding members and sponsors.

Investing in a SPAC offering should involve a review of the potential success of the management team that formed the SPAC and the expectation that they will be able to acquire or combine with an operating business.  That acquisition or combination is known as the initial business combination; it is when the SPAC de-SPACs and is trading as other functioning public corporations do.  One consideration that must be understood is a SPAC may identify in its IPO prospectus a specific industry or business that it will target. However, it is not obligated to pursue a target in that suggested industry.

The Initial Business Combination

As the SPAC identifies the opportunity of an initial business combination, its founders and sponsors negotiate with the target before presenting for approval to SPAC shareholders. If approved by a majority vote, they execute on the takeover.  The transaction is commonly structured as a reverse merger where the operating company merges with and into the publicly traded SPAC.  The initial business may be structured in various ways; however, the combined company, once the transaction is executed, is a publicly-traded company and carries on the business it had been engaged in, while the SPAC designation ceases to exist (de-SPAC).

Evaluating an Investment in a SPAC  

Before the initial business combination, retain a copy of the prospectus and other reports (periodic and current field).  If there is third-party research available (quality research by credentialed providers), read and develop an understanding of the analyst’s evaluation. It’s important to comprehend the terms of any investment and the expectations of management.  While SPACs are generally uniform in structure and may be subject to certain minimum exchange listing requirements, it’s important to understand the specific features of any SPAC that you may commit money to. Part of this understanding includes the equity interests held by the sponsor and how they were derived (purchased versus nominal consideration).  Since the SPAC doesn’t have an operating history to evaluate, it’s important to evaluate the background of SPAC management, you should read and understand a SPAC’s IPO prospectus and periodic and current reports in the SEC’s EDGAR database.
 

SPACs generally invest the proceeds from the IPO in relatively safe, interest-bearing instruments. You’ll find the acceptable deposits or investments listed in the IPO prospectus, there are no regulatory guidelines for cash investments, so this section is important to visit.  Also, understand what anyb investment earnings are to be used for. SPACs often use the interest on the trust or escrow account assets to pay taxes.

 

 

Investor Redemption Option

A SPAC provides its investors with the option to redeem their shares rather than become a shareholder of the combined company.  Should the SPAC not be able to move forward and complete a business combination, shareholders are beneficiaries of the trust and are entitled to their pro-rata share of the amount left on deposit in the trust account. This is another area to focus on when reviewing the SPAC prospectus before committing to an investment. Review the IPO prospectus to understand the terms of the trust account, including your redemption rights and the circumstances in which cash may be released from the account.

If you purchased your shares on the open market at a cost different from the SPAC price (usually $10), your shares are redeemed at the same valuation as those that invested at the IPO price. If you own shares at a discount to the IPO price, you may profit (and have a tax situation). If you paid a premium, you will have your shares redeemed at a loss.

Consummation Period

Most
SPACs provide a two-year period for the management to identify and complete an initial business combination transaction.  The time frame is spelled out in the prospectus and should be verified. Some SPACs have opted for shorter periods.  The SPAC’s governing instruments may permit it to extend that time period – understand what you’re investing in.  In some governing documents, if a SPAC wants to extend the search period, it may be required to get shareholder approval.  There is a regulatory maximum if a SPAC lists its securities on an exchange; then it is required to complete an initial business combination within three years of its IPO. 

The current use of SPACs to acquire companies has the effect of increasing competition among SPACs and reducing the potential ideal targets. This should be weighed into your decision when tying up investment capital.

Secondary Trading

Be certain of the class of security that you’re putting in your portfolio. The initial public offering of a SPAC is often structured with securities that include common shares and warrants.  The warrants are contractual arrangements that provide registered holders the right to purchase from the company a specified number of additional shares of common stock in the future at a certain price, often a premium (out of the money) to the stock price when issued.

The initial SPAC unit will trade for some time after the IPO.  Over time, the SPAC common stock and warrants may begin trading on exchanges separately under unique trading symbols.  The SPAC generally files an 8K (Form 8-K ) and issues a press release to make interested parties aware when separate trading is to begin.  Investors who purchase SPAC securities after the IPO on the open market should be aware of whether they are purchasing units, common stock, or warrants.

The terms and stipulations of warrants are unique arrangements individual to each SPAC. It’s important to understand the contractual agreements as either an investor in common stock or in secondary warrants. The Terms will include how many shares warrant holders have the right to purchase (possible dilution of common shareholders) and as an investor how many shares a warrant would allow, the price at and period during which shares may be purchased, any circumstances under which the SPAC may be permitted to redeem the warrants, and the warrant expiration date. These terms and quantity can be found in the IPO prospectus for the SPAC.

 

 

Initial Business Combination Action Items

As the SPAC is successful in identifying a target for an initial business combination, shareholders of the SPAC can expect to receive a proxy statement to solicit shareholder approval. Shareholders will have the opportunity to vote on the transaction and as is standard in most SPAC documents, either remain a shareholder after the initial business combination or redeem their shares at its pro-rata amount as outlined earlier. In some cases, SPAC sponsors and affiliates may have enough votes to approve the transaction without a full shareholder vote.

This is a critical step, the successful (in terms of finding a target and transacting) SPAC now transitions from having assets that are a trust account to owning an operating company.  Depending on how you as an investor view the business being transacted on and whether it represents value to you, you have a window to be in or out at a pro-rata amount.

If the SPAC seeks shareholder approval of an initial business combination, it will provide shareholders with a proxy in advance of the shareholder vote.  In cases where the SPAC does not solicit the approval of public shareholders, because certain shareholders, such as the sponsor and its affiliates, hold enough votes to approve the transaction, it will provide shareholders with an Information Statement in advance of the completion of the initial business combination. 

The Proxy or Information Statement will contain information about the business of the company to be acquired, their financial statements, parties to the transaction, and the terms of the initial business combination transaction, including the capital structure of the combined entity. 

What Else?

In addition, the SPAC may require additional financings to fund the initial business combination, and those financings often involve the sponsors.  As a result, the interests of the sponsors may further diverge from your interests.  For example, additional funding from the sponsors may dilute your interest in the combined company or may be provided in the form of a loan or security that has different rights from your investments.

To learn more about a sponsor’s interests in a SPAC, review the Principal Stockholders and Certain
Relationships
and Related Party Transactions sections of a SPAC’s IPO prospectus.  You can learn more about an initial business combination and the sponsor’s interest from the Proxy Statement, Information Statement, or Tender Offer Statement.

 

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