From Robinhood to Rocket $HOOD



One Week After Robinhood’s Debut, the Stock Takes Flight

 

When Robinhood’s IPO failed to impress last week, news stories poked fun at the company that is known for having disrupted the brokerage business. The initial public offering was called “a flop” and the biggest “IPO disappointment” of the year. But, as with most stocks, the story continues. Following today’s trading session, the same media outlets that were critical of the initial lackluster IPO enthusiasm may have to write rosier headlines.

Background

Robinhood Markets, Inc. ($HOOD) leaped by 65% just after the market opened Wednesday. This increase should make today the fourth straight session of gains for $HOOD. After it rose by 24% yesterday (Aug. 3) it managed to climb past its initial $38 offering price. Support by Cathie Wood of Ark Invest, which was then followed up on by retail traders, many of whom congregate on the Reddit WallStreetBets page, have created a situation where the price skyrocketed in the first minutes of trading.  A half-hour later the stock stood at up 38% on the day. Trading was temporarily halted amid the volatile price swings.

 

Source: Bloomberg Terminal

The impetus for much of the enthusiasm is being attributed to Wood who was very vocal about her initial interest last week. After the post IPO, sell-off Wood’s Ark Fintech Innovation ETF waved in another 89,622 shares of $HOOD. The stock now represents 0.9% of the portfolio. Overall, the flagship ARK Innovation ETF has accumulated nearly 5 million Robinhood shares, worth about $230 million.

The clamor around Robinhood shares Tuesday attracted today’s aggressive retail investors. This group has over the past year, demonstrated itself to be a significant market mover. The communication through online social media such as Stocktwits and Reddit allows an almost coordinated move by individuals that have been known to overwhelm even the large institutional managers.

 

Source: reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/

 

According to the stock market sentiment tracking website, Swaggy Stocks, Robinhood was the most mentioned stock on Reddit over the past day. The stock now officially has both “meme stock” status and large Fintech funds investing in it.      

$HOOD which had an IPO price of $38 a week ago is now trading between $60 and $65. For now, investors seem to have hit a bullseye with Robinhood.

 

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Sources:

https://ark-funds.com/wp-content/fundsiteliterature/holdings/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.pdf

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/robinhood-opens-at-38-per-share-giving-the-company-a-32-billion-valuation-162829771.html

Swaggy Stocks

https://www.barrons.com/articles/robinhood-stock-rockets-19-higher-51628006922?mod=article_inline

 

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QuickChek – August 4, 2021



Voyager Digital Partners with Usio to Enable Merchants and ISVs to Accept Cryptocurrency as a Form of Payment

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Kratos Reports Second Quarter Financial Results

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Allegiant Announces Filing Of Preliminary Short Form Prospectus And Updated Technical Report For Previously Announced Bought Deal Offering And Updated Inferred Resource Estimate Of 1.4m Gold And 8.7m Silver Ounces At Flagship Eastside Project In Nevada

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Esports Entertainment Group Co-Producing 24th Annual East Coast Gaming Congress in Atlantic City on October 25-26

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Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Awarded $1.5 Million Contract for SATCOM Antenna Feeds for a Major U.S. Satellite Communications Manufacturer

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Comstock Mining Announces Notice of Second Quarter 2021 Results, Business Update Webcast Via Zoom

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enCore Energy Corp. Announces Uranium Sales Agreement

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Gevo’s Luverne Facility Re-Starts Production Operations

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Should the Market Continue To be Concerned with Covid Cases?



The Combined Wisdom of the Stock Market Seems to Say “Covid is so 2020”

 

Stock performance seems to be in contradiction to the uproar in mainstream media and some social media as they report stats on rising Covid-19 cases. It seems like once a week, markets break record highs, and it has been over a year since the S&P 500 has dropped by 5% or more. This indicates that investors are feeling positive as they look forward to corporate earnings and U.S. economic growth during the remainder of 2021.

Headlines Ignored

After a year and a half of what is presumably the worst of everything that comes with this virus, individual investors that weigh probabilities of whether a stock will go up or down may be relying on recent history that suggests the worst didn’t turn out bad for their portfolios. For professionals that are expected to maximize risk/return performance, they are better able to defend performance numbers because they were “fully” invested rather than keeping cash on the sidelines.

Fear-inducing reports that last year could have led to selling are taken in stride mid-year 2021 So much so that even when broadcast and print news are highlighting that a more contagious variation of Covid-19 is making its way around, the market reaches all-time highs. There is widespread reporting that those inoculated to make them immune to Covid may not be able to avoid being infected with mutations from the original. Examples include the nine Olympians that were inoculated but could not compete because they tested positive for Covid. Making headlines in the U.S.,  of the 469 new cases in the county containing Cape Cod, Massachusetts, 74% were in people who’d been given a Covid shot. As states and localities determine if they should clamp down on citizens and businesses, market participants seem to be saying, “it can’t be as bad as last year” and “…Last year the market ended terrific.” So Covid may be viewed as a positive by some investors, many new traders that are helping move the market may not know how to trade without the news volatility and added liquidity of a prolonged pandemic.

Statistics

Coming into Monday (August 2), the seven-day average of new Covid cases in the U.S. was approximately 80,000, up 129% since the seven-day period ending July 19. S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures, however, were up about 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. The “Covid trade” may be losing its power.

 

Take-Away

We live in a global economy. The worldwide seven-day average of new Covid cases is about 596,000, up only 15% from the seven-day period ending July 19. That is from a number that is well off its peak and certainly better than the reported U.S. 129% figure.  Excluding the U.S. figures, the worldwide seven-day average is about 517,000, up 6% from the level on July 19. Every day 3700 people around the globe are killed in traffic accidents, many more are seriously hurt. The market has become accustomed to those figures; perhaps they are growing accustomed to living with this additional threat.

Register for Channelchek, no uproar, simply level reporting.

 

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Sources

https://www.medpagetoday.com/infectiousdisease/covid19vaccine/93830

https://www.medpagetoday.com/infectiousdisease/covid19vaccine/93830

 

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QuickChek – August 3, 2021



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Sierra Metals Subsidiary in Peru, Sociedad Minera Corona Reports Q2-2021 Financial Results

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Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Awarded $2.1 Million Order for Full-Motion Tracking Systems from Commercial Space Entity

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Charity Holman Promoted to General Manager of WVVA in Bluefield, WV

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The Worst Trading Months of the Year (Statistically)


Image Credit: Pixabay (Pexel)


Looking Back on July and Forward to What are Historically Turbulent Months

 

For almost 100 years of stock market performance, the only three-month period that averages in the red has been August, September, and October. Specifically, the S&P 500 has had a negative average return of 0.03% from 1928 through 2020 during these months. July has had the best record statistically, with an average return of 1.58%. September is the worst – this last month of summer has only been green 45% of the time. The average decline in the large-cap S&P 500 index for September has been 1.03%.

 

Looking Back

July 2021 incrementally added to the average gains as it did even better than its historical performance. The S&P 500 gained 2.27% last month. This was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018. The market also racked up 12 consecutive months without a 5% performance dip. The Nasdaq and Dow added 1.2% and 1.3% respectively in July. Utilities, health care, real estate, and technology stocks have been the market leaders.

Volatility increased during the month as concerns the economic recovery may become challenged as some regions in the U.S. and globally may again request or even mandate Covid related business restrictions. This situation continues to be watched closely by market participants.

Looking Forward

The historic numbers for August are not as bad as the combined three-month period (Aug.-Oct.). Statistics show, August has had an average positive return of 0.70% and was up 58.1% of the years. July outperformed its average; if August does the same, it should be worthwhile for equity portfolios. 

Volatility is expected to remain in place through August. Traditionally the summer months are more thinly traded, this exacerbates movement. The moves can be expected to continue from persistent inflation concerns. This is tricky at this point in an economic cycle as positive economic numbers that would ordinarily cause a stock market rally will at times cause a selloff as concerns of tighter money weigh more on the market. Concerns of the Fed tapering well ahead of schedule have been ebbing and flowing. The renewed concerns about the effectiveness of the vaccines to create immunity and the challenge of the recovery to stay on track will create news items and statistical releases that will surely gyrate markets. This could be felt, not as up and down in the market, but instead a running back and forth between so-called “Covid stocks” and the counter trade which are “recovery stocks.”

 

Take-Away

If you’ve stayed in the market, it is hard not to have done well from a historic average standard. July was above average from past Julys and the average for the year-over-year has rewarded those investors with confidence. What we have not experienced and remains to be seen is a downturn in the market. According to the Wall Street Journal, there were 10 million trading accounts opened last year. Presumably, many of these are held by those new to trading. Their experience has only been in an extreme upmarket. Should the market go through several months of negative returns, how will these new investors react. It is clear they have had an impact on the upside throughout last year; the actions of this group must be paid attention to.

 

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Sources:

https://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktreturns.pdf

https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-army-of-individual-investors-flexes-its-muscle-11609329600#:~:text=More%20than%2010%20million%20new,in%20to%20bet%20on%20stocks

 

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QuickChek – August 2, 2021



Voyager Digital Acquires Leading Global Cryptocurrency Payment Processing Company, Coinify

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QuickChek – July 30, 2021



Namaste Technologies Reports Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results

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QuickChek – July 29, 2021



Cocrystal Pharma’s SARS-CoV-2 3CL Protease Lead CDI-45205 Demonstrates Broad-Spectrum Activity Against the SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Gamma Variants

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Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2021 Results

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Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. Reports Financial Results for the Second Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2021

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QuickChek – July 28, 2021



Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Awarded $4.0 Million Contract Renewal with Channel Partner

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Capstone Green Energy Wins Multiple Contracts, To Announce First Quarter Fiscal Year 2022 Financial Results

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CanAlaska Appoints Two New Board Members and Advisor

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Are ADRs Riskier than Stocks?


Image Credit: DavidGSteadman (Flickr)


Understanding the Differences Between American Depository Receipts (ADR) and U.S. Stocks

 

If you own Anheuser Busch (BUD), AstraZeneca (AZN), NIO, SONY, or even Toyota (TM) and purchased them on a U.S. exchange, it is likely you possess an American Depository Receipt, commonly referred to as an ADR.  ADRs have been in the news in recent days as those that stem from China are receiving more attention from the SEC and lawmakers in Washington. Some of the best companies in the world trade in the U.S. as ADRs, but there is a real distinction between a U.S. company stock and a foreign private issuer trading on a U.S. exchange – the number one rule of investing is, know what you’re buying.

 

An ADR is not a Stock?

ADRs allow U.S. investors to invest in non-U.S. companies while providing these companies easier access to the U.S. capital markets. Over 2000  non-U.S. issuers from over 70 countries use ADRs as a means of raising capital or establishing a trading presence in the states.

An ADR is a negotiable certificate that evidences an ownership interest in American Depositary Shares (ADS), which in turn, represents an interest in the shares of the non-U.S. company that have been deposited with a U.S. bank. It does represent shares of stock and ownership interest but is not considered a stock certificate. The terms ADR and ADS are often used interchangeably by market participants. ADRs help the investor in a foreign-based company to avoid foreign exchange transactions and non-$USD currency risk – they clear through the U.S. settlement system.

An ADR may represent the underlying shares on a one-for-one basis or may represent a fraction of a share or multiple shares. Ratios allow ADRs to be priced at an amount more typical of U.S. market share prices. They’re created by a depositary bank when the foreign company, or an investor who already holds the underlying non-U.S. securities, delivers them to the bank or its custodian in the non-U.S. company’s home country. The bank will issue ADRs to the investor in the U.S., and the investor will be able to re-sell the ADRs on a U.S. exchange or OTC.  

As ADRs give holders the rights to underlying shares, holders may surrender ADRs in exchange for the shares of the non-U.S. company, often in the native currency. These transactions are generally performed by brokers and others who are active in foreign securities markets.

 

An ADR may not be established unless the non-U.S. company is either subject to the reporting requirements under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or is exempt under the Act. ADRs are always registered with the SEC on a Form F-6 registration statement.

 

They may be considered “sponsored” or “unsponsored.” Sponsored ADRs are those in which the non-U.S. company enters into an agreement directly with the U.S. depositary bank to arrange for recordkeeping, forwarding of shareholder communications, payment of dividends, and other services. An unsponsored ADR is set up without the cooperation of the non-U.S. company and may be created by a broker-dealer wishing to establish a U.S. trading market. An ADR, however, may not be shown unless the non-U.S. company is either subject to the reporting requirements under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or is exempt under the Act. ADRs are always registered with the SEC.

How the Market View ADRs?

Market participants have generally categorized ADRs into three “levels,” depending on the extent to which the foreign company has accessed the U.S. markets:

Level 1 ADR programs establish a trading presence but may not be used to raise capital. It is the only type of facility that may be unsponsored and, as a result, may be traded only on the over-the-counter market. No information about the issuer would be available on the SEC’s EDGAR system; information should be available on the issuer’s website.

Level 2 ADR programs establish a trading presence on a national securities exchange but may not be used to raise capital.

Level 3 ADR programs may be used to both establish a trading presence and also to raise capital for the foreign issuer. The non-U.S. company would be required to file annual reports.

 

 

What Fees are Charged?

ADR depositary banks charge holders of ADRs custody fees, sometimes referred to as Depositary Services Fees, to compensate the depositary banks for inventorying the non-U.S. shares and performing registration, compliance, dividend payment, communication, and recordkeeping services. A common practice for the collection of the custody fee is for the ADR depositary bank to subtract the amount of the fee from the gross dividends paid by the bank to ADR holders. Typically, the Depository Trust Company (DTC) will announce both the gross dividend rate and the net dividend rate after deducting the ADR custody fee. However, a number of ADR issues do not pay periodic dividends, which prevents the fees from being collected through this process. In this case, DTC charges the fee to its users (i.e., banks and broker-dealers) who pass them on to their customers. Depositary banks may charge other fees, such as relating to the distribution of dividends, foreign currency exchange, voting of shares, and other matters.

What Should Investors Do Before Investing in ADRs?

Like any other investment, you should learn as much as you can about a company before you invest. Research the political, economic, and social conditions in the company’s home country so you will understand better the factors that affect the company’s financial results and stock price. You should understand that non-U.S. companies are subject to financial and other disclosure requirements that differ from those required of U.S. public companies. Except for the annual report, companies are generally only required to disclose what is required in their native country.  Disclosures may also not be as extensive or comparable to that of U.S. public companies.

Prior to investing in an ADR, investors should learn from their broker-dealer what fees are charged to them as ADR investors. Typically, fees are assessed per ADR. For example, 1000 ADRs could be assessed a fee ranging from $20 to $50. Fees can be viewed in the section of the registration statement often titled “Description of American Depository Shares” or “Description
of American Depository Receipts.”
The websites of depositary banks that are active in the U.S. also contain information about investing in ADRs and serve as a source of information for investors.

Take-Away

The means by which most ADRs transact each day is not unlike that of a U.S. stock certificate. Investors should be aware of small nuances of fee differences, reporting requirements, and sovereign or political risk.  Reviewing equity research and analysis from highly ranked analysts is another recommended step investors could take to make sure they are getting information from experienced professionals able to spot things that they may overlook.

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Sources:

https://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/adr-bulletin.pdf

QuickChek – July 27, 2021



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QuickChek – July 26, 2021



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Robinhood’s IPO and its Place in Stock Market History



Robinhood’s IPO Success or Failure Could Define the Rest of 2021

 

Robinhood is one of the most recognized names among Fintech disruptors, especially among investors.  The company is scheduled to go public via Initial Public Offering (IPO) Monday (July 26). Then it will begin trading under the ticker symbol HOOD. This allows its customers, and the world, to bid up or bid down Robinhood’s value.  The market buzz Monday is going to be mostly about Robinhood. Here is some “stay up to speed” background and details about the transaction. It covers basics to advanced numbers. So you can now be, the more informed co-worker at your watercooler chat (pronounced Zoom meeting), inject the most insight in talks with your investor friends, or just have an easier time deciphering Reddit and Stocktwit posts.

 

What’s an IPO?

An initial public offering is the most common transition process for a privately owned company to offer corporate shares that trade on open and public markets. It serves to allow private owners to sell all or part of their company and provides management with an enhanced ability to raise capital from public investors. It also allows public investors to own a stake in businesses they deem worthwhile.

Since an IPO is a step that usually provides the company with access to capital that may never exist by other means. This gives the company more options to invest and grow.

 

About the Robinhood Markets, Inc. IPO

Robinhood is one of the fastest-growing retail securities brokers in the U.S.

In an amended S-1 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Robinhood provided details about its IPO. The company plans to list its shares on the Nasdaq Exchange using the ticker symbol $HOOD. They will offer 52,375,000 shares of stock, and expect an additional 2,625,000 to be sold by insiders.

Management expects shares to price in a range of $38 to $42. Investor appetite could alter these expectations. At the high end of this range, Robinhood would raise about $2.2 billion, equating to a rough valuation of $35 billion. 

 

Trading Disruptor

Taken straight from its regulatory filing, Robinhood is on a mission “…to democratize finance for all.” The company made trading easier for the smaller transactions of retail investors by pioneering commission-free trades. Other brokers were forced to do the same. This not only dramatically changed the experience for investors, but it also changed the markets in that a huge barrier to entry was lifted. A round trip (buy and later sell) of a stock can be made without needing to factor in commission costs that often made small trades not worth trying. Over the past year, as people had free time on their hands and a stimulus check (or three) in their pocket, many turned to investing for the first time. Robinhood through smart marketing and perceived value became their broker of choice.

Robinhood’s fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2020, reported revenue of $958.8 million, up 245% compared to 2019. This revenue growth led the company to become profitable — net income grew to $7.4 million, up from a loss of $106.6 million. Other performance indicators improved as well. As of March 31, 2021, the company reported monthly active users of 17.7 million, up 105%, relative to the prior year period. With this, the number of funded accounts rose to 18 million, up from 7.2 million. Robinhood’s assets held in custody grew to $80.9 billion, up more than 400%. For the three months ended March 31, 2021, revenue soared to $522.1 million, or 200% year over year. At the same time, its net loss was reported at $1.4 billion after a special situation. After a round of private equity fundraising in February, the company took a write-down in the fair value of its convertible notes and warrants, resulting in the large loss.  

Preliminary second-quarter results suggest its pace of growth has continued. Robinhood is expecting revenue in a range of $546 million to $574 million, which would represent an increase of roughly 130% at the midpoint of its estimate, this would equate to a net loss of roughly $512 million. 

For the three months ended June 30, 2021, Robinhood is estimating that its users have grown to 21.3 million, more than double the 10.2 million from the prior-year period. At the same time, the company estimates that its assets held in custody have tripled to $102 billion.

 

Who Wants to Get Involved in the IPO?

Robinhood is planning to set aside up to 35% of its shares to allow customers to participate in its IPO. Clients can request to buy shares at the IPO price through the app using Robinhood’s IPO Access feature. There are no guarantees as to whether all clients will be able to get filled on their interest.

If it follows the pattern of other IPOs, Robinhood’s stock price will be volatile when it begins trading. There will be a great deal of attention paid to this particular offering. Robinhood has a huge fanbase and almost all of them have trading accounts available in an app on their phone.

Take-Away

The tone of the market this week is likely to be set by the company that helped set the tone of the markets last year, Robinhood. HOOD is likely to become a well followed, closely tracked, perhaps volatile stock. Over time the performance of HOOD could become a harbinger for the health of the retail brokerage market. The activities on Monday, specifically the availability of access to an IPO by small trading accounts, will be paid attention to by everyone from Wall Street giants to first-time account owners.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

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Sources:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1783879/000162828021013318/robinhoods-1.htm