QuickChek – October 4, 2021



Great Bear Drills Deep LP Fault: 157.00 g/t Gold Over 1.20 m Within 11.01 g/t Gold Over 22.85 m from 678.75 m Downhole

Great Bear Resources announced results from its ongoing fully funded $45 million 2021 exploration program at its 100% owned flagship Dixie Project in the Red Lake district of Ontario

Research, News & Market Data on Great Bear

Watch recent presentation from Great Bear



Engine Media Announces Intention To File A Notice Of Intention To Make A Normal Course Issuer Bid

Engine Media Holdings announced that it intends to file with the TSX Venture Exchange (the “TSXV”) a Notice of Intention to Make a Normal Course Issuer Bid, which will allow the Company to purchase outstanding Company common shares

Research, News & Market Data on Engine Media

Watch recent presentation from Engine Media



Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. Announces Dividend Policy, Share Repurchase Program and a USD 400 million Refinancing

Eagle Bulk Shipping announced that the Company has instituted a dividend policy and a USD 50 million share repurchase program in conjunction with the closing of a USD 400 million comprehensive refinancing

Research, News & Market Data on Eagle Bulk Shipping

Watch recent presentation from Eagle Bulk Shipping



Esports Entertainment Group’s EEG Labs Announces Partnership with Alpha Esports Tech Inc. to Design Computer Vision for Automated Scoring

Esports Entertainment Group announced a partnership with Alpha Esports Tech Inc.

Research, News & Market Data on Esports

Watch recent presentation from Esports



PDS Biotech Enrolls First Stage of Checkpoint Inhibitor Naïve Patient Arm of Phase 2 Clinical Trial in Advanced HPV-16 Positive Head and Neck Cancer

PDS Biotechnology announced the completion of enrollment for the first stage of the checkpoint inhibitor naïve arm of its VERSATILE-002 Phase 2 study for the treatment of recurrent and/or metastatic human papillomavirus (HPV16)-associated head and neck cancer

Research, News & Market Data on PDS Biotech

Watch recent presentation from PDS Biotech



Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Awarded $125 Million Contract for Cyber Training

Comtech Telecommunications announced that during its first quarter of fiscal 2022, it was awarded a five-year single award contract renewal valued at approximately $125 million from the Federal Government

Research, News & Market Data on Comtech

Watch recent presentation from Comtech



Avivagen to Hold Webcast to Discuss Landmark Deal with AB Vista

Avivagen announced it will be holding a webcast on Wednesday, October 6th at 10:30 A.M. EST to discuss its recent sales agreement with AB Vista

Research, News & Market Data on Avivagen

Watch recent presentation from Avivagen

 

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Deflation Not Inflation is Risk Says Cathie Wood


The Sources of Deflationary Pressure According to Cathie Wood

 

Cathie Wood, the founder and Chief Investment Officer of ARK Invest, says she leans more toward the thinking that the risk is deflation, not inflation which she believes “investors prematurely baked into the cake.”  Along this same line of thinking, she said, “anyone planning for it [inflation] is probably going to be making some mistakes.

In a televised interview with Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak on Thursday, Wood expressed that her biggest concern for the markets is a “deflationary boom.” She outlined her firm’s less mainstream position with the factors she believes are feeding deflation.

Deflation Pressures

High on her list of inputs that would cause downward pressure on prices are innovation and technology “We are in a period like we have never, never been. You’d have to go back to telephone, electricity, and automobile to see three major technologically enabled sources of innovation evolving at the same time. Today we have five.”  She said with conviction. She explained these are DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology.  All of which, she explains, are extremely deflationary. As far as an additional deflationary input, she believes that there are many old-economy companies that have tried to satisfy shareholders short term wants by adding an extra few cents each quarter. By being short-sighted, not forward-looking, they have made miss-steps like taking on large amounts of debt. She believes that in order to service their debt, they’ll have to cut prices to move goods and services that will have fallen out of favor with consumers. Wood expects there to be a lot of confusion as this plays out. Many, she suspects, don’t keep their eye on the “innovation ball.” In her firm’s analysis, they conclude it’s innovation that will balance out the inflationary pressures not brought about by the supply chain issues we see now.

Stocks Not in Any Index

Her expectations also lead to the conclusion that we will begin to feel scarce growth and see very low GDP numbers at first. She further expressed that tomorrow’s companies aren’t in any index right now so a lot of public market investors aren’t exposed to them – and there will be many more opportunities to discover tomorrow’s leaders that are now excluded by many from consideration.

Job Displacement

She went on to describe the job displacement she believes the current state of technology sets up. Automation replacing workers has been a talked about fear since she began her firm in 2014. Some of that fear was brought on by an Oxford University piece that suggested that 47% of all jobs would be lost to automation by 2035. She said the University piece did not follow with what would happen next. In the interview, she “finishes the story” by explaining “automation and artificial intelligence productivity is going to go up dramatically. We think more than it ever has, certainly in modern times. And, with productivity increases comes more wealth creation.” Wood writes the chapter following where Oxford left off by saying that according to her firm’s estimates, in the year 2035, AI and automation would push GDP in the U.S. to $40 trillion. This contrasts with a $28 trillion forecast if you just calculated linear growth. Investors like herself are in the position where they need to figure out where the extra $12 trillion will come from.

Outside of investing, she believes it’s important to help parents decide how to educate their children, so they know what they should be prepared for.

Take-Away

The highly recognized, highly successful fund manager finished by saying, if you are on the “right side of change, there will be many exciting opportunities.” Markets are made by differing opinions. Cathie Wood is an outlier in her belief that any upward inflationary pressures will be more than offset by the supply side of the price equation. The supply, in her mind, will come from efficiencies created through technological innovation and as old industries firesale their products or services as they become less desirable. She also believes that there are many companies leading these changes; most are not currently in any index.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



Michael Burry’s Tweet and Delete



Why Michael Burry has Better Opportunity Than Cathie Wood





Index Funds Still May Fall Apart over Time



Canadian Bitcoin ETFs May Be Cathie Wood’s Solution

 

Sources:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7MVxrtg28Eo

 

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QuickChek – October 1, 2021



Voyager Digital Partners with Fundstrat to Provide Market-leading Crypto Research to Users

Voyager Digital announced a strategic investment and partnership with Fundstrat, a leading research boutique led by Wall Street strategist Thomas Lee and veteran Wall Street sales executive John Bai

Research, News & Market Data on Voyager Digital

Watch recent presentation from Voyager Digital



Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation Appoints Scott Kornblau as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock announced it has appointed Scott Kornblau as its Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective immediately

Research, News & Market Data on Great Lakes

Watch recent presentation from Great Lakes



FAT Brands Inc. Completes $300 Million Acquisition of Twin Peaks Restaurant Chain

FAT Brands announced the completion of its pending acquisition of the Twin Peaks restaurant chain from Garnett Station Partners for $300 million

Research, News & Market Data on FAT Brands

Watch recent presentation from FAT Brands



AB Vista and Avivagen Strike OxC-beta™ Supply Agreement in the United States, Brazil and Thailand

AB Vista and Avivagen announced they have entered into a transformative supply agreement that is expected to expand the adoption and use of OxC-beta™ in a number of high-value feed production markets worldwide

Research, News & Market Data on Avivagen

Watch recent presentation from Avivagen



Capstone Green Energy To Provide 600 kW Trigeneration Power System for Luxury Hotel in Colombia

Capstone Green Energy announced it has secured a contract with its distributor for Colombia and Venezuela, Supernova Energy Services, for three 200-kilowatt (kW) microturbines

Research, News & Market Data on Capstone

Watch recent presentation from Capstone

 

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QuickChek – September 30, 2021



Promising New Opregen® Clinical Data Featured At 54th Annual Retina Society Meeting In Podium Presentation By Christopher D. Riemann, M.D.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics announced that updated interim results from a Phase 1/2a clinical study of its lead product candidate, OpRegen®, were featured in a podium presentation at the 54th Annual Scientific Meeting of the Retina Society.

Research, News & Market Data on Lineage Cell Therapeutics

Watch recent presentation from Lineage Cell Therapeutics



EEG’s iGaming Division Hits New Revenue Record, SportNation Nominated for Award

Esports Entertainment Group announced the company and their SportNation.bet business has been nominated for eGaming Review’s Marketing Campaign of the Year Award

Research, News & Market Data on EEG

Watch recent presentation from EEG



Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Announces Contract Awards of Nearly $200 Million

Orion Group Holdings announced two contract awards for its Marine segment totaling nearly $200 million

See today’s research report from Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst at Noble Capital Markets

Research, News & Market Data on Orion Group Holdings

Watch recent presentation from Orion Group Holdings



Great Lakes Announces Partnership with Project Vesta

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock announced a first-of-its-kind partnership with Project Vesta, a clean technology pioneer developing a new way to use sand to remove excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere

See today’s research report from Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst at Noble Capital Markets

Research, News & Market Data on Great Lakes

Watch recent presentation from Great Lakes



Sierra Metals Announces Filing of Updated NI 43-101 Technical Report

Sierra Metals announced it has filed an updated independent technical report prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 on the Bolivar Mine in Mexico

Research, News & Market Data on Sierra Metals

Watch recent presentation from Sierra Metals



CanAlaska Identifies New Targets at Kingston Uranium Project

CanAlaska Uranium announced that compilation work on the Company’s newly acquired Kingston Project has identified several new uranium targets

Research, News & Market Data on CanAlaska

Watch recent presentation from CanAlaska

 

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QuickChek – September 29, 2021



Voyager Digital Appoints Chief Technology Officer

Voyager Digital announced the appointment of Rakesh Gidwani as the Company’s Chief Technology Officer

Research, News & Market Data on Voyager Digital

Watch recent presentation from Voyager Digital



Capstone Green Energy Supports Mexican Commercial and Industrial Sector’s Self-Generation Demand with a C800S Microturbine System

Capstone Green Energy announced that it has secured an order from DTC Ecoenergía (www.dtc.mx), Capstone’s exclusive distributor for Mexico, for a 5-bay C800 Signature Series microturbine system

Research, News & Market Data on Capstone Green Energy

Watch recent presentation from Capstone Green Energy



Russ Hauth Retires from Salem and Nic Anderson Takes on Director, Government Relations Responsibilities

Salem Media Group announced that following a 34-year relationship with Salem, Russ Hauth will retire October 22, 2021

Research, News & Market Data on Salem Media

Watch recent presentation from Salem Media



Avivagen Inc. Announces Results for the Third Quarter Ending July 31, 2021

Avivagen announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2021

Research, News & Market Data on Avivagen

Watch recent presentation from Avivagen



Kratos Receives Approximate $50 Million, Single Award, Sole Source High Performance Jet Drone System Related IDIQ Contract

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions announced it has recently received an approximate $50 million, single award, sole source, high performance jet drone system related Indefinite Delivery, Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) contract

Research, News & Market Data on Kratos

 

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Small Investors Relentless Short Squeezes


Short Squeeze Mania Continues as Camber Stock Increases 733.33% in a Month

 

The first three quarters of 2021 have been full of unexpected trends, changes, and surprises. At this point, some “oddities” have occurred so frequently that they now could be the new “stock market normal.” One of these trends that investors and traders come across most days is short squeezed stocks. GameStop (GME), AMC (AMC), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), and even silver stocks have had their day. Social
media platforms
have been serving as meeting places for investors who share ideas armed with their online trading apps. Often these ideas are in the form of memes. The actions that follow have at times been rough coordinated action to purchase stocks with high short market interest. When the purchasers have enough wherewithal and conviction, they can cause the short sellers to give in. Some hedge funds have taken substantial losses, while some ailing companies have had new life breathed into them with their escalated market cap. The stakes are high.

One new candidate in this “chess game” that takes place between large and small players is Camber Energy (CEI). Over the past month, Camber is up 733%.

 

About Camber Energy

Camber is an energy company that, like many is transitioning itself to meet the worlds changing energy needs.  According to Finviz, $CEI has a short float of nearly 25%. Investors have been betting against the industry and this company through last year. In the case of Camber, many retail investors are now piling into this heavily shorted company.  The buying has moved the price from $0.48 a month ago to $4.08 today (September 29).

 

 

The question at this point with this meme short squeeze is can Camber Energy succeed to cause short sellers to fold? Many meme stock runups rapidly gained then later faded.

 

Take-Away

The new stock market normal is that ever since social media forums like r/WallStreetBets discovered they can meet online and crush large short interest stocks, any high short interest could become a target.

As an investor, it’s important to be aware of all the influential groups in the companies on your watch list. In this way you can either navigate around the activity that can disrupt your portfolio, or even follow should your personal evaluation cause you to decide the risk-reward profile fits your tolerance.

Channelchek houses a wealth of information, including detailed research reports on companies that have uncommon upside potential because of their size or stage of growth. Searching a ticker within our database is a practice that could help reinforce your decisions.

Suggested Reading:



The Polarized Opinions Surrounding the GameStop Short Squeeze



Blockchain, Beverages, and Baloney





Seeking Alpha Paywall Causes Frustration



Are Meme Stocks Improving Flawed Markets?

 

Sources:

https://ir.camber.energy/quote

https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=CEI

https://investmentu.com/camber-energy-stock/

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/5-short-squeeze-candidates-to-watch-vinco-ventures-camber-energy-katapult-and-more-1030825931

 

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Small Investor’s Relentless Short Squeezes


Short Squeeze Mania Continues as Camber Stock Increases 733.33% in a Month

 

The first three quarters of 2021 have been full of unexpected trends, changes, and surprises. At this point, some “oddities” have occurred so frequently that they now could be the new “stock market normal.” One of these trends that investors and traders come across most days is short squeezed stocks. GameStop (GME), AMC (AMC), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), and even silver stocks have had their day. Social
media platforms
have been serving as meeting places for investors who share ideas armed with their online trading apps. Often these ideas are in the form of memes. The actions that follow have at times been rough coordinated action to purchase stocks with high short market interest. When the purchasers have enough wherewithal and conviction, they can cause the short sellers to give in. Some hedge funds have taken substantial losses, while some ailing companies have had new life breathed into them with their escalated market cap. The stakes are high.

One new candidate in this “chess game” that takes place between large and small players is Camber Energy (CEI). Over the past month, Camber is up 733%.

 

About Camber Energy

Camber is an energy company that, like many is transitioning itself to meet the worlds changing energy needs.  According to Finviz, $CEI has a short float of nearly 25%. Investors have been betting against the industry and this company through last year. In the case of Camber, many retail investors are now piling into this heavily shorted company.  The buying has moved the price from $0.48 a month ago to $4.08 today (September 29).

 

 

The question at this point with this meme short squeeze is can Camber Energy succeed to cause short sellers to fold? Many meme stock runups rapidly gained then later faded.

 

Take-Away

The new stock market normal is that ever since social media forums like r/WallStreetBets discovered they can meet online and crush large short interest stocks, any high short interest could become a target.

As an investor, it’s important to be aware of all the influential groups in the companies on your watch list. In this way you can either navigate around the activity that can disrupt your portfolio, or even follow should your personal evaluation cause you to decide the risk-reward profile fits your tolerance.

Channelchek houses a wealth of information, including detailed research reports on companies that have uncommon upside potential because of their size or stage of growth. Searching a ticker within our database is a practice that could help reinforce your decisions.

Suggested Reading:



The Polarized Opinions Surrounding the GameStop Short Squeeze



Blockchain, Beverages, and Baloney





Seeking Alpha Paywall Causes Frustration



Are Meme Stocks Improving Flawed Markets?

 

Sources:

https://ir.camber.energy/quote

https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=CEI

https://investmentu.com/camber-energy-stock/

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/5-short-squeeze-candidates-to-watch-vinco-ventures-camber-energy-katapult-and-more-1030825931

 

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QuickChek – September 28, 2021



Neovasc REDUCER-I Study Published in EuroIntervention Journal

Neovasc announced the publication of an article entitled, Coronary sinus narrowing for the treatment of refractory angina: a multi-centre prospective open-label clinical study (the REDUCER-I study) in the September 2021 issue of the journal EuroIntervention

Research, News & Market Data on Neovasc



Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Announces Contract Awards of Approximately $22 Million; Value Could Increase

Orion Group Holdings announced three contract awards totaling approximately $22 million

Research, News & Market Data on Orion Group Holdings

Watch recent presentation from Orion Group Holdings



Allegiant Receives Final BLM Approval At Flagship Eastside Project, Increasing Permitted Area By 600%

Allegiant Gold announced the receipt of two permits allowing for a significant expansion of drilling and operations at its Flagship Eastside Project

Research, News & Market Data on Allegiant Gold

Watch recent presentation from Allegiant Gold



FenixOro Drills 23.2 g/t Gold in Newly Discovered Cascada Vein, Significantly Increases Resource Potential on Northwest Corridor at Abriaqui Gold Deposit

FenixOro Gold announced that final assays have been received for the first three holes

Research, News & Market Data on FenixOro



Kratos Receives $3.2 Million Contract Award for Next Generation Small Engine Development for National Security Program

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions announced that its Kratos Turbine Technologies (KTT) Business has recently received an approximate $3.2 million contract award for the development of a Next Generation small engine for a National Security Program

Research, News & Market Data on Kratos



Genprex Strengthens Management Team with Appointments of Industry Leaders Mark S. Berger, M.D. as Chief Medical Officer and Hemant Kumar, Ph.D. as Chief Manufacturing and Technology Officer

Genprex announced that the Company has strengthened its leadership team with the appointments of Mark S. Berger, M.D. to the newly-created position of Chief Medical Officer and Hemant Kumar, Ph.D., CPM, EMBA to the newly-created position of Chief Manufacturing and Technology Officer

Research, News & Market Data on Genprex

Watch recent presentation from Genprex

 

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Will SPACs Get Recharged on Polestar EV Merger?


Will SPACs Get Recharged on Polestar EV Merger?

 

Investment success always attracts increased interest to the investment type. It isn’t unusual for the type to then begin to attract more interest than practical given a finite world. If there is over-speculation, investors may then pull back their interest – over time the market and investors find a smart balance. At times the regulators interject their own leverage as well.

Last Year’s SPAC successes created a surge of new blank check SPAC IPOs into the first quarter of 2021. They were all seeking that “one-of-a-kind” must own target. Investors were at first caught up in the buzz, then the so-called blank check companies had digestion problems.  Electric car companies may have also become bloated around that time. It seemed that every week we learned of another EV start-up somewhere in the world. These companies are all vying to be the next great car company in a greener world. It isn’t likely the world is big enough for all of them to amass that kind of success.

 

20 Billion Reasons to Still Pay Attention to SPACs

SPAC managers Gores Guggenheim, Inc. may have demonstrated that there are still incredible companies to be found and merge with. Yesterday, shareholders of one of their SPACs woke up to learn they will have the option of owning a pro-rata share of a 6% stake in a car company that post-merger will be worth $20 billion. The proposed business combination was unanimously approved by both the Board of Directors of Gores Guggenheim and the Board of Directors of Polestar. It’s expected to close in the first half of 2022, subject to approval by Gores Guggenheim’s stockholders and other standard closing conditions.

 

Summarizing the Deal

The Nasdaq listed SPAC managed by Gores will be acquiring a portion of Polestar which is owned by Volvo Car Group and the chairman of Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Co. Actor Leonardo DiCaprio will also own a stake in the final deal (Volvo is currently a subsidiary of Geely). A combination with Gores Guggenheim Inc. first attempted in July, has now been set in motion. The SPAC’s shareholders, managers, and new external investors together will own an initial 6% stake, their contribution is $1.1 billion of cash. This is how the Gores website defined the transaction.

 

  • Polestar is a global pure-play, premium electric vehicle (“EV”) company based in Sweden, with a mission to produce progressive, electric performance cars designed and engineered without compromise
  • The transaction implies an enterprise value of approximately USD 20 billion
  • Polestar currently has two award-winning cars in production and rapidly growing sales in 14 active markets across three continents
  • Proceeds from the business combination are expected to be used to help fund significant investment in products and the expansion of operations and markets to create a leading company in the rapidly growing global premium EV market
  • The transaction includes approximately USD 800 million of cash from Gores Guggenheim, Inc.’s trust account (subject to applicable stockholder redemption rights) and USD 250 million in cash from PIPE financing anchored by top-tier institutional investors
  • Existing Polestar investors include Volvo Car Group and affiliates of Geely Chairman Eric Li, and actor and activist Leonardo DiCaprio, amongst others
  • Polestar EVs are expected to be built in the Volvo South Carolina plant

 

Other SPAC News

SEC Chair Gensler spoke today (September 28) and worried aloud about the lack of definition, in some cases, around what SPACs can do with investors’ money. He noted how the structure incentivizes SPACs to find a merger deal “even if it’s not a particularly great merger”—potentially at the expense of the investors they are raising money from. The SEC has also recommended changes to accounting rules related to how SPAC investors are viewed relative to others involved.

 

Take-Away

The Polestar + Gores Guggenheim SPAC + Volvo + Leonardo DiCaprio business combination appears to have the potential to launch an EV manufacturer upward financially where they have the resources to design, build, and compete at a high level. This seems as though it meets or exceeds the objectives of all involved in this SPAC IPO through the expected merger.  The car company has the resources to grow much faster, and the investors are involved in a situation they may not have been offered otherwise.

Investors have been shying away from SPACs. Perhaps this will become the success that causes those that retrenched to regain interest and the SPAC market will attain a sustainable balance.

 

Suggested Reading:



Irrational Pessimism – Why Value Investors Should Research Individual SPACs



One Great Protection Inherent in SPACs for Investors





Regulation of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company



Analysis of a Special Purpose Acquisition Company

 

Sources:

https://www.gores.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Press-Release-Polestar-Signs-Agreement-to-be-Publicly-Listed-Through-Combination-with-Gores-Guggenheim-Inc.pdf

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-13/china-has-too-many-electric-carmakers-m-a-to-be-encouraged

https://www.polestar.com/us/

https://www.barrons.com/articles/electric-vehicle-maker-polestar-in-talks-20-billion-spac-deal-51632735270?refsec=news

 

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Michael Burrys Tweet and Delete


Michael Burry is Tweeting About the Markets and His Subpoena

 

About three times a year, I click to re-follow Dr. Michael Burry’s Twitter account. This is because he deletes his account about three times a year after tweeting something that I suspect he regrets. Recently the hedge fund manager that shorted the mortgage market before the financial crisis of 2008 has been tweeting and deleting up a storm. The topics are GameStop (GME), and general market and economic perceptions.

Market Tweets

In a recent flurry of tweets, he wrote the current market boom reminds him of the dot-com bubble. He compared the options-trading frenzy to the rampant speculation that helped cause the Great Depression. These tweets have since been deleted, presumably by Burry.

Burry also repeated his expectations related to index investing that he first presented openly two years ago. That is, index funds are in a bubble of sorts as demand for weak companies is increased by the larger and stronger components, meanwhile, there is little fundamental analysis to investing in indexes as opposed to individual stocks.

Burry tweeted a link to a research paper dated June of 2021 about inelastic markets. The research demonstrated that the US stock market’s value rose by $5 for every $1 invested in it. The famous hedge fund manager that runs Scion Asset Management noted the majority of millennials use passive vehicles such as index funds to buy stocks. This could further stretch prices without proper evaluation. Burry wrote, “That 5:1 ratio will get much, much sillier in time,” adding that the imbalance is a “product of a paradigm.”

Again, related to the overall market, the hedge fund manager compared the bull market during the 15 years that lead to 2000 to the growth in valuations in stocks over the past 15 years. He highlighted a 94% correlation between the Nasdaq 100’s performance in each of those periods and a 95% correlation for the S&P 500 index.

Michael Burry warned that the US stock market is risky and accused the Federal Reserve of misleading investors.  He said he was not investing in America’s largest technology companies.

The Scion founder and investment officer drew a parallel between the surge in people trading options on meme stocks and the widespread speculation that preceded the Wall Street Crash of 1929. He showed parallels to an article about the options mania with a quote by a statistician named Leroy Peavey in November 1929. Peavey blamed the market crash that year on a wave of leveraged speculation that pulled in “elevator boys, typewriter girls, and even schoolchildren.”

 

GameStop Tweet

While best known for his market shorts and portrayal in the book/movie The Big
Short,
 he also was instrumental in bringing to light the potential of the GameStop short squeeze, which set off trading activity that caught many professionals off-guard. Related to recent events related to his investigations surrounding meme stock trading, Burry wrote, “So, who got an SEC subpoena over $GME? Actually, I know who, they’re on my subpoena. With all that’s going on in the world…” Burry tweeted in a now-deleted post on Friday. He attached a copy of the SEC letter dated Sept. 21. 

The hedge fund manager had been trading GameStop shares and publicly commenting on the meme stock for the past few years. At the end of 2018, Burry first revealed a $6.8 million position in the video game retailer. In 2019 he told Barron’s that new consoles from Microsoft and Sony would “extend GameStop’s life significantly,” which fueled a rally in the shares. However, when the massive GameStop short squeeze shocked Wall Street in January, Burry turned into a vocal critic of the stock, saying the trading in GameStop is “unnatural, insane, and dangerous” and there should be “legal and regulatory repercussions.”

 

Take-Away

Burry has been sounding alarm bells over Twitter and in interviews with Bloomberg for a couple of years. He’s warned of overvalued stocks dragged up by investors investing in market indexes rather than individually selecting stocks, he’s highlighted unsustainable levels of speculation in meme stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other assets and suggested it could lead to the “mother of all crashes.”

 

Paul
Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



Michael Burry vs Cathie Wood is Not an Even Competition



Is the Index Bubble Michael Burry Warned About Still Looming?





Should Investors Listen to Influencers?



You Can Own a Piece of r/wallstreetbets

 

 

Sources:

https://twitter.com/MichaelJBurryMD

https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-short-investor-michal-burry-is-now-long-gamestop-51566424832

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/big-short-michael-burry-warns-stocks-options-dotcom-bubble-crash-2021-9#:~:text=Michael%20Burry%20said%20the%20current,Invest%20as%20of%20June%2030.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w28967

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/27/hedge-fund-targeted-by-reddit-board-melvin-capital-closed-out-of-gamestop-short-position-tuesday.html

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Michael Burry’s Tweet and Delete


Michael Burry is Tweeting About the Markets and His Subpoena

 

About three times a year, I click to re-follow Dr. Michael Burry’s Twitter account. This is because he deletes his account about three times a year after tweeting something that I suspect he regrets. Recently the hedge fund manager that shorted the mortgage market before the financial crisis of 2008 has been tweeting and deleting up a storm. The topics are GameStop (GME), and general market and economic perceptions.

Market Tweets

In a recent flurry of tweets, he wrote the current market boom reminds him of the dot-com bubble. He compared the options-trading frenzy to the rampant speculation that helped cause the Great Depression. These tweets have since been deleted, presumably by Burry.

Burry also repeated his expectations related to index investing that he first presented openly two years ago. That is, index funds are in a bubble of sorts as demand for weak companies is increased by the larger and stronger components, meanwhile, there is little fundamental analysis to investing in indexes as opposed to individual stocks.

Burry tweeted a link to a research paper dated June of 2021 about inelastic markets. The research demonstrated that the US stock market’s value rose by $5 for every $1 invested in it. The famous hedge fund manager that runs Scion Asset Management noted the majority of millennials use passive vehicles such as index funds to buy stocks. This could further stretch prices without proper evaluation. Burry wrote, “That 5:1 ratio will get much, much sillier in time,” adding that the imbalance is a “product of a paradigm.”

Again, related to the overall market, the hedge fund manager compared the bull market during the 15 years that lead to 2000 to the growth in valuations in stocks over the past 15 years. He highlighted a 94% correlation between the Nasdaq 100’s performance in each of those periods and a 95% correlation for the S&P 500 index.

Michael Burry warned that the US stock market is risky and accused the Federal Reserve of misleading investors.  He said he was not investing in America’s largest technology companies.

The Scion founder and investment officer drew a parallel between the surge in people trading options on meme stocks and the widespread speculation that preceded the Wall Street Crash of 1929. He showed parallels to an article about the options mania with a quote by a statistician named Leroy Peavey in November 1929. Peavey blamed the market crash that year on a wave of leveraged speculation that pulled in “elevator boys, typewriter girls, and even schoolchildren.”

 

GameStop Tweet

While best known for his market shorts and portrayal in the book/movie The Big
Short,
 he also was instrumental in bringing to light the potential of the GameStop short squeeze, which set off trading activity that caught many professionals off-guard. Related to recent events related to his investigations surrounding meme stock trading, Burry wrote, “So, who got an SEC subpoena over $GME? Actually, I know who, they’re on my subpoena. With all that’s going on in the world…” Burry tweeted in a now-deleted post on Friday. He attached a copy of the SEC letter dated Sept. 21. 

The hedge fund manager had been trading GameStop shares and publicly commenting on the meme stock for the past few years. At the end of 2018, Burry first revealed a $6.8 million position in the video game retailer. In 2019 he told Barron’s that new consoles from Microsoft and Sony would “extend GameStop’s life significantly,” which fueled a rally in the shares. However, when the massive GameStop short squeeze shocked Wall Street in January, Burry turned into a vocal critic of the stock, saying the trading in GameStop is “unnatural, insane, and dangerous” and there should be “legal and regulatory repercussions.”

 

Take-Away

Burry has been sounding alarm bells over Twitter and in interviews with Bloomberg for a couple of years. He’s warned of overvalued stocks dragged up by investors investing in market indexes rather than individually selecting stocks, he’s highlighted unsustainable levels of speculation in meme stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other assets and suggested it could lead to the “mother of all crashes.”

 

Paul
Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:



Michael Burry vs Cathie Wood is Not an Even Competition



Is the Index Bubble Michael Burry Warned About Still Looming?





Should Investors Listen to Influencers?



You Can Own a Piece of r/wallstreetbets

 

 

Sources:

https://twitter.com/MichaelJBurryMD

https://www.barrons.com/articles/big-short-investor-michal-burry-is-now-long-gamestop-51566424832

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/big-short-michael-burry-warns-stocks-options-dotcom-bubble-crash-2021-9#:~:text=Michael%20Burry%20said%20the%20current,Invest%20as%20of%20June%2030.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w28967

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/27/hedge-fund-targeted-by-reddit-board-melvin-capital-closed-out-of-gamestop-short-position-tuesday.html

 

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Crypto for Marijuana Transactions


Image Credit: Jurrasic Blueberries (Flickr)

The Synergistic Effects of Crypto on Cannabis Businesses

 

The rapid changes in both cryptocurrency acceptance and marijuana acceptance have been mind-numbingly quick over the past two years. Both still have legal and regulatory hurdles preventing adoption and usage without pitfalls and landmines for the businesses or users. Interestingly, some of these trouble spots can be more easily overcome by transacting in cryptocurrency.

A Pitfall for Marijuana Businesses

The business of selling psychoactive cannabis products, whether for medical use or recreational, is against federal law. Banks are federally regulated, which is why they resist providing services in a way that would be a key component to a federal offense. This prevents many traditional financial arrangements between suppliers and customers of these businesses. Imagine being a thriving business not able to go to the bank for a loan to finance inventory or expand. Perhaps more serious is the safety of employees as all-cash businesses are targets for crime – at times a deadly crime.

A Pitfall of Cryptocurrencies

Price volatility, tied to a lack of inherent value, is a problem for digital currencies not tied to the value of anything specific. It’s an important concern, but one that can be overcome by linking currency to a more standard measure. Gold, silver, and oil have been used in the past to back paper currency. Standard units with more stable values can help support and stabilize cryptos.

Synergies and Interactions

The problem of safety and non-cash transactions for marijuana, and the beneficial impact of coupling a measurable and largely standardized product to a digital coin has lead to the development of marijuana-specific virtual currencies. Cryptocurrencies can provide an easier path than $USD for people in the marijuana industry. A digital currency can also make it easier for consumer transactions. As far as a budtender leaving the dispensary to make a cash deposit, this can be done electronically with a cryptocurrency, eliminating that safety concern.

There are a few coins specific to the cannabis business, each with different traits. Outlined below are four with readily available information available related to their usage.  

CannabisCoin (CANN.x) has been active since 2014. The architecture is a proof-of-work, peer-to-peer open-source currency aimed at easing transactions for medical marijuana dispensaries.

Functionally, CANN.x pledges to convert cryptocurrency directly into marijuana. Under the name CANNdy, there is a line of medicines and marijuana strains grown for the specific purpose of exchange at the rate of 1 CannabisCoin to 1 gram of medication.

 The total supply of CannabisCoin is set at 91.8 million, with over 77 million in circulation. The currency’s value in circulation was $1.30m as of September 24, 2021, according to Coinbase.

DopeCoin (DOPE.x) founded by a man whose nickname is Dopey, has been active since 2014. This currency is more private, so far less is known about the specific markets the currency serves except that its “mission is to provide marijuana enthusiasts with a modern and secure way of doing business for the 21st century.”

According to its website, DOPE.x users can transact pseudo-anonymously in under a minute and don’t pay any fees or transaction costs.

DopeCoin supply is limited, with about 117 million units in circulation. It is also a proof-of-stake currency, giving investors a chance to earn 5% in annual interest. The currency has a value in circulation of $299.5k as of September 24, according to Coinbase.

HempCoin (THC.x) also came into existence in 2014, although its focus is less on individuals using it to buy product. Instead, this cryptocurrency is intended for use by the farming industry and medical and recreational dispensaries. The THC.x website says its goal is to “help facilitate secure transactional relationships between farmers, distributors, and consumers.”

HempCoin has been used in all areas of agriculture, not just those involving marijuana. As of September 24, the price for one HempCoin was $0.0102, and its value in circulation was $2.7m.

PotCoin (POT.x) launched in January 2014 and was one of the earliest cryptocurrencies for the marijuana industry. It was designed to solve banking problems for people looking to transact in legal marijuana. Trading of PotCoin is direct between people; there is no exchange or clearinghouse. The creators wanted to capitalize on Colorado’s legalization of marijuana and went as far as installing a PotCoin automated teller machine (ATM) at a dispensary in Colorado.

The currency got off to a very sluggish start but became known and more popular when in June 12, 2017. A press release and a video of former NBA star Dennis Rodman wearing a PotCoin.com T-shirt in North Korea provided PotCoin popularity and recognition. They funded Rodman’s trip, which may have paid off as the MJ-based crypto value approximately doubled in just one day.

As of September 24, its value in circulation was about $3.8 million—a big jump from $81,547 at the start of February 2014. One PotCoin was worth $0.0167 on September 24. The coin is up about 70% year-to-date.

The supply of PotCoin is limited to 420 million coins. More than 226 million are in circulation. It trades on three markets and is proof-of-stake, which allows people to mine or validate block transactions according to the number of coins they hold. An important differentiator, PotCoin claims transaction speeds of 40 seconds.

Take-Away

The challenges for blockchain-derived cryptocurrencies and those inherent in marijuana transactions have brought the two industries together to find solutions. Some of these have been in practice for seven years with mixed results.

Until a softening of federal regulations around marijuana occur, crypto is one solution to one of the pitfalls of the business. For digital currencies that derive value from the units of cannabis they can purchase, there is a set range of volatility when tied to a product that is becoming more and more standardized. This is why for the past seven years, MJ-based businesses and consumers can use marijuana-specific cryptocurrencies to transact and get around some banking issues.

 

Suggested Reading:



Severe Punishment for All Things Crypto in China -Who’s Impacted?



Will Federal Law Surrounding Cannabis be Changed?





Apple’s Marijuana Decision Will Lead to Many Critical Decisions for Investors



Cannabis Customers Served by the Ice Cream Truck Delivery Model

 

 

Sources:

https://www.prescouter.com/2019/11/disadvantages-of-cryptocurrencies/

https://thecancoin.com/

https://www.prescouter.com/2017/11/next-generation-cryptocurrencies/

https://www.potcoin.com/

https://dopecoin.com/

https://hempcoin.org/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOo2S7zM2rM

www.Potcoin.com

 

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QuickChek – September 24, 2021



Onconova Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Pricing Of $21 Million Public Offering Of Common Stock

Onconova Therapeutics announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 5,000,000 shares of its common stock at a public offering price of $4.20 per share

Research, News & Market Data on Onconova

Watch recent presentation from Onconova



Item 9 Labs Corp.’s Dispensary Franchise Expands NE Footprint into 2 New States

Item 9 Labs announced continued development of its cannabis dispensary franchise brand, Unity Rd., across the Northeastern United States

Research, News & Market Data on Item 9 Labs

 

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