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Founder of WallStreetBets has a New Idea for CopyCat Investors

 

Copycat investors or coattail investors have sought to invest like Warren Buffett, Michael Burry, Carl Icahn, and even Cathie Wood. It’s a legitimate method of picking stocks and building a portfolio. Just copy what someone successful is investing in. But what about others in the public arena? WallStreetBets founder Jaime Rogozinski may create an ETP based on one of the most successful investors in recent years.

Jaime Rogozinski founded WallStreetBets, and authored the popular book, WallStreetBets, How Boomers Made the Worlds’s Biggest Casino
for Millennials. Both were an attempt to expose “shocking trends” in the current financial system.  In some ways, Rogozinski’s creations have backfired on his original intent as they have been adopted by some of the very folks he was trying to expose. He’s no longer active in the immensely popular subreddit group he started and has intentionally distanced himself from it. Still, there is no question about the huge impact his creation has on investors in this new age of app and meme investing. As a successful businessman and investor, Rogozinskie has a knack for spotting trends early and sniffing out the next big thing. At the same time, Rogozinski has expressed chagrin over being right on movements he has been critical of. With this in mind, he may launch a controversial investment product based on the investments of one of today’s most insightful speculators, Nancy Pelosi’s husband.

The New Idea

Rogozinski believes there is real potential for an investment product that tracks the bets of Paul F. Pelosi. In an interview, he suggested a Pelosi-themed exchange-traded portfolio (ETP) could be incarnated on a platform that is part of his latest push to empower retail investors. “I got this idea, somewhat of a joke, but I can’t shake it so I’m probably going to start pushing for it, which is this ‘Nancy ETP,'” Rogozinski told the online magazine Market
Insider.

The portfolio would be on the new WallStreetBets DApp. This DApp is a blockchain-based shop for stocks and other assets, the products and offerings extend beyond one particularly curious ETP. The new DApp is an expression of what Rogozinski sees as the next big thing in the financial world, he’s a strategic partner in its creation. “This is very much a way for me to say crypto and Wall Street are definitely going to merge and they’re starting to spill into each other already,” he was recently quoted as saying. “For far too long, I made the mistake of assuming blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies were one in the same thing – and they’re not,” Rogozinski said. “This whole DeFi (decentralized finance) infrastructure that’s able to create a parallel ecosystem in finances is astoundingly powerful, more than I could have imagined.”

Nancy ETP

Rogozinski’s idea for an automated Nancy Pelosi ETP would highlight a key feature on the WSB DApp. The platform allows members of the community to suggest the creation and the makeup of ETPs. The WSB DApp platform has a native token, the $WSB governance token that people can buy and then use to vote on the type of assets and weightings that should go into one of the ETPs. So if you are a member, and you believe a particular ETP should be made up of stocks that say carry an outperform rating by Noble Capital Markets equity analysts, token holders can signal transactions on an idea like this during voting cycles within the DApp

A Paul Pelosi-centered ETP would apply the “if you can’t beat them, join them” approach while drawing attention to the newest business interest of Rogozinski, attention fueled by outrage and debate over current headlines. In the case of Paul Pelosi, one trade, in particular made headlines. It involved shares of Google parent Alphabet that made $5.3 million for him prior to a House Judiciary Committee vote on tech antitrust regulation. Spokespersons for Speaker Pelosi told media outlets she owns no stock herself and had no knowledge of her husband’s equity purchases. Rogozinski said, “people are able to make money,” with a product like the “Nancy ETP”,  “nothing’s sure but past performance is definitely impressive,” he said speaking about Paul Pelosi’s stock picks.

 

Take-Away

The Pelosi theme has a strong mix of ingredients to prompt discussions on WallStreetBets and other forums that should serve to promote the WallStreetBets DApp. As we have all seen with other social media-based trafficking in ideas, a large enough herd does move markets. Whether the DApp and the ideas and information expressed on it is impactful remains to be seen.

The WallStreetBets DApp is an ongoing entity that states its intention as trying to
undermine any manipulation or, at a minimum place self-directed investors on the same side as any perceived market manipulation. It’s probably worth paying attention to.  As for those mimicking Warren Buffett who is 91, or Paul Pelosi who is 82, websites like Channelchek and the WallStreetBets DApp may help these investors progression into a plan B in case these two stop investing at some point.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Reading:

You Can Own a Piece of r/wallstreetbets

Decentralized Apps (“Dapps”) Using Blockchain to Change the Internet

Decentralized Finance, Is It The Future?

Facebook’s Practice of Whitelisting Accounts is Being Reviewed

 

Sources:

https://www.wsbdapp.com/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Pelosi#:~:text=San%20Francisco%2C%20California%2C%20U.S.&text=Paul%20Francis%20Pelosi%20Sr.,capital%20investment%20and%20consulting%20firm.

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/011414/how-be-perfect-copycat-investor.asp

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/jaime-rogozinski-interview-wallstreetbets-founder-wsb-dapp-nancy-pelosi-commentary-2021-10

 

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Sierra Metals Reports Third-Quarter 2021 Production Results, Expecting To Meet Low End Of Revised Annual Production Guidance As The Production Ramps Up To Full Capacity At All Three Mines Sierra Metals announced third-quarter 2021 production results Research, News & Market Data on Sierra Metals Watch recent presentation from Sierra Metals

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Comtech Announces $100 Million Strategic Growth Investment Comtech Telecommunications announced a $100.0 million investment by current shareholder White Hat Capital Partners LP and Magnetar Capital Research, News & Market Data on Comtech Watch recent presentation from Comtech

 

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Inflation Seems Persistent, What Now?

One of the primary goals of investors is to out-earn inflation. At a minimum, keeping up with inflation helps our stored wealth from losing purchasing power. As CPI measurements have shown a higher inflation rate this year than we have seen over the past decade, investor concerns naturally have turned to consumer prices — investor conversations are often centered around finding the best reflation investments. The definition of “reflation trade” is finding assets that will outperform in a long-lived inflationary environment.  

Background:

The year-over-year rate of inflation ran below 2.5% throughout the 2010s.  This past summer, increased prices brought CPI and other measures well above 5%, indications are that upward pressure on prices will continue. The cost of basic inputs such as labor, raw materials, shipping, and energy are all pushing costs of final goods and services higher. If corporate tax rates are also increased, this burden will also be passed through to the consumer. In addition to increased costs pushing prices higher, scarcity has provided businesses an opportunity to require higher price tags on the goods already on their shelves. It’s the perfect setup for inflation to continue at the levels we’ve seen in recent months or move even higher.

Inflation
Friendly Investments

Every market cycle and inflation cycle has its own set of winners and losers. The winners this time around (assuming inflation is not transitory) may be different than last. However, there is a long history of inflation from which to look back on, and even recent history can put probabilities more in an investor’s favor.

The more popular reflation trade suggestions from some investment professionals I’ve spoken to on the subject suggest everything from Treasury Inflation-Indexed Notes (TIPS), to farm land and related basics of food production. Other thoughts included commodities,  producers of basic materials,  commodities, and technology.

 

TIPS

Back in 1997, I participated in the first Treasury auction of inflation-protected securities.  Prior to that I was involved in discussions on behalf of my employer, with Secretary Robert Rubin’s U.S. Treasury team in 1996 meeting to resolve what my employer would support and perhaps build a fund around. From this experience, I have a strong understanding of and opinions of U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Notes.

Sticking to just facts and data, TIPS carry a fixed interest rate, well below similar maturity treasuries. As inflation (non-seasonally adjusted CPI-U) rises or falls, this amount is accreted to the principal of the bond. The semi-annual interest rates are calculated using the coupon (initial interest rate set at auction) multiplied by the new inflation-adjusted principal (divided by two for half a year). At maturity, the investor receives the final interest payment along with the principal adjusted for inflation’s impact.

 

The above chart represents a TIP with an original maturity of ten years
and a coupon of 7/8%. As interest rates traded lower after 2004, TIPS spread themselves
off traditional treasuries and traded at a premium, providing a negative
return yield to investors while accreting the inflation rate to principal to be paid
at maturity.

 

While the first chart demonstrates yield, the above shows year-over-year total return over the past 12 months. CPI increased 285% during this time while the value of a TIPS portfolio increased 4.2%.

Farming

Chris Rawley is the CEO of the investment company Harvest Returns. His company provides capital to farmers or ranchers while creating income-oriented investment opportunities for qualified investors. Channelchek reached out to Chris who made a case for the industry he specializes in, “Farmland and agriculture make good inflation-proof investments. In addition to arable farmland shrinking around the globe, historically, land has appreciated in concert with the money supply. Food production is also generally a recession-proof industry, as growing populations continue to eat regardless of the economy,” said Rawley.

While people can put off the purchase of a new car, home furnishings, vacations, etc., existence relies on buying goods from farms. It’s unavoidable. Unlike TIPS and other public market securities, many of the investments in this category are for long-term-minded investors.

Healthcare/Technology

Companies that can successfully pass their increased costs on to the consumer without losing some along the way are by definition inflation resistant. Many examples of this exist in healthcare. Not unlike food, people will continue to find a way to provide for their most basic needs. Maintaining one’s health is basic.

Many consumers view keeping up with technology as basic. Within technology, the FAANG stocks, including Apple and Netflix as well as many smaller technology companies, don’t seem to lose demand as they increase their prices. People are still lining up to buy new iPhones, watching movies, and buying through Amazon Prime.

Basic
Materials

There are raw materials that are required for production by manufacturing businesses if they plan to stay in business. This includes timber, metals, and chemicals. Investing could, in some cases, be direct in the commodity or commodity futures. Investing in the producers, including mining companies, energy, chemical manufacturers, and lumber, could put the investor at the broadest end of the manufacturing process. 

 Consumer
Staples

There are products that most modern-day people won’t live without. The most basic foods are in this category, but if you recall the run on toilet paper as the pandemic set in, you know that people will risk their lives for basic amenities, including hygiene products. The theme is the same as some of the others above. If pricing is not going to be an issue for one reason or another, and the company is not overly diversified into more discretionary items, they may be worth looking at.

Government
Spending

The government’s appetite doesn’t take a break because of inflated prices. In fact, should a bout of high inflation be coupled with weaker growth, the government typically steps up fiscal spending to prime the pump and get money moving. Current spending themes are infrastructure, including transportation such as dredging harbors to make room for larger ships, improving the rail system, airport renovations, and highway projects. Part of this is subsidizing green initiatives to change the countries main production of electricity. The government also contributes a lot to support the healthcare system.

Take-Away

If inflation continues at the current pace, consumer behavior will change. Some of the better investment opportunities will be in companies where demand is maintained despite higher prices. Stocks of companies that produce discretionary items may not fare as well. In addition to consumers’ must-have list of food, consumer staples, and some technology, manufacturers also keep a must-have list. This list includes all the inputs to manufacturing, whether it be metals, textiles, timber, or even energy. The companies that produce these for businesses that have customers, will have pricing power as their customers need the basic building blocks to survive. The U.S. government is the largest consumer of all. Following where Washington is spending can lead you to companies with a customer that doesn’t balk at the price and seems to be resistant to economic downturns.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Reading:

If Oil and Other Commodity Prices Feed Inflation, Where Might Investors Look?

The Sources of Deflationary Pressure According to Cathie Wood

Some Color on Prices and the Market’s Fixation on Inflation

U.S. Government Spending provides Investment Opportunities on Infrastructure

 

 

 

Sources:

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/tips/res_tips_rates.htm

https://www.bts.dot.gov/sites/bts.dot.gov/files/docs/browse-statistical-products-and-data/transportation-economic-trends/215951/transportation-economic-trends-2017-chapter-7.pdf

www.Koyfin.com

 

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What the Approved Bitcoin ETFs do for the Markets

The questions “when will we see a Bitcoin ETF?” and “how will a Bitcoin ETF be structured?” have finally been answered. The answer to the first is “next week,” the second answer is more complicated. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has agreed to allow the first two U.S. Bitcoin futures-based ETFs.  However, the ETFs won’t own Bitcoin. According to Bloomberg News, the accepted proposals by Invesco and  ProShares are devised based on futures contracts. The derivative structure, rather than crypto asset ownership, differentiate them from previous Bitcoin ETF proposals the SEC had given the thumbs down.

Why is a Bitcoin ETF
Important?

A Bitcoin ETF that attempts to mirror the crypto’s price movement seems on the surface to be inferior to just buying the currency. Why include so many inefficient middlemen? Why not just invest in Bitcoin directly? First, in the form of a security, investors are allowed to hold these tradeable assets in their stock market brokerage account without going through any additional storage process.

A more important benefit is that a Bitcoin ETF is an investment vehicle; this allows qualified money (retirement assets) such as IRA deposits to take part in this investment class. Investors will be able to simply purchase the ETF as they would any other stock. Their brokerage account is as likely to be able to accommodate the transaction as any other listed and active stock.

Investors will also be capable of shorting the ETF if they believe the price of Bitcoin will decline. This is not something that can be done using the current cryptocurrency exchanges.

Familiarity may be the greatest benefit. Stocks, including ETFs, are much better understood throughout the investment and regulatory world than cryptocurrencies. Even as the coins and tokens develop a longer history, an investor looking to get involved in the digital currency could focus on trading a vehicle they already have experience with, one that follows the same rules. And rules are important to the various authorities regulating the markets to protect investors and oversee the sale of investments. While there is debate as to whether cryptocurrencies are securities or not, there is certainty as to whether an SEC-registered ETF is a security under securities law.

 

Bitcoin ETF
History

The first SEC application for a Bitcoin ETF was by the Winklevoss twins back in 2013. This and all others that followed had been rejected by the commission, citing concerns over regulation and volatility. Gary Gensler is in his first year as SEC Chair. He has a deep understanding of the asset as he had taught blockchain and cryptocurrency courses at MIT. After creating boundaries, he opened the door by saying crypto ETFs that comply with its strict laws could provide investors significant protections.

Changes in regulation and high scrutiny will continue to exist over cryptos. Just last Wednesday (October 13), The Bank of England’s deputy governor Jon Cunliffe called for urgent regulation and warned a crypto crash could cause a 2008-level financial meltdown.

The price of Bitcoin spiked above $59,800 this morning, hitting its highest level since April as speculators have more evidence the road toward broad acceptance and integration into the investment world has accelerated with the new ETFs.

Take-Away

ETF offerings come in many different flavors and risk levels. Bitcoin is still a volatile asset, and an ETF that tries to mimic that volatility is fraught with challenges. Also, most ETFs are far more diversified than one with a single underlying asset benchmark.

Expect much more attention paid to Bitcoin next week as the two new products launch. The approval of a Bitcoin ETF will certainly provide the leading cryptocurrency more legitimacy over the thousands of other digital assets. The SEC has approvals are a big step, and ProShares and Invesco have created a template for others to follow. As the futures markets mature for other digital assets, a broader range of crypto ETFs could be brought to market as well.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Reading:

Imagine a Bitcoin ETF With No Underlying Bitcoin Assets

Severe Punishment for All Things Crypto in China – Who’s Impacted?

Is Coinbase Planning to “School” the SEC on Cryptocurrencies?

The “Volt Crypto Industry Revolution and Tech ETF” Stops Short of Crypto Investing

 

Sources:

https://www.invesco.com/us/en/insights/digital-assets-blockchain-cryptocurrency-etfs.html

https://www.fool.com/the-ascent/buying-stocks/articles/how-the-winklevoss-twins-amassed-a-6-billion-bitcoin-fortune/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-15/bitcoin-futures-etf-said-not-to-face-sec-opposition-at-deadline

https://cardinalguide.com/posts/what-is-qualified-money-and-non-qualified-money/

https://www.investopedia.com/investing/bitcoin-etfs-explained/

 

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Chakana Reports 268M of 1.17 g/t Gold, 0.55% Copper and 19.2 g/t Silver (1.48% Cu-EQ) in Breccia Pipe 5 from Surface at Soledad, Peru Chakana Copper announced results from fourteen resource definition holes drilled in Bx 5 totaling 2,052.75m at the Soledad project, Ancash, Peru Research, News & Market Data on Chakana Copper Watch recent presentation from Chakana Copper

electroCore Announces Regulatory Approval in Canada to Treat Adolescent Migraine electroCore announced that the company received an amended Medical Device License from Health Canada to expand the label of gammaCore nVNS to include the acute and preventive treatment of migraine in adolescents between 12 and 17 years of age Research, News & Market Data on electroCore

Gevo to Report Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results on November 10, 2021 Gevo announced that it will host a conference call on Wednesday, November 10, 2021 Research, News & Market Data on Gevo Watch recent presentation from Gevo

Cocrystal Pharma to Present at the Dawson James 2021 Small Cap Growth Conference on October 21, 2021 Cocrystal Pharma announced that management will present at the Dawson James 2021 Small Cap Growth Conference on Thursday, October 21, 2021 Research, News & Market Data on Cocrystal Pharma Watch recent presentation from Cocrystal Pharma

 

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Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. to Issue Third Quarter 2021 Results and Hold Investor Conference Call Eagle Bulk Shipping announced it will report its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021, after the close of stock market trading on Thursday, November 4, 2021 Research, News & Market Data on Eagle Bulk Shipping Watch recent presentation from Eagle Bulk Shipping

Esports Entertainment Group Reaches $1 Million Milestone in Crypto Mining Since Launch in May Esports Entertainment Group announced that ggCircuit’s crypto mining application for LAN centers has crossed the $1 million mark Research, News & Market Data on EEG Watch recent presentation from EEG

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Awarded $4.6 Million in Orders from the U.S. Army for Mobile Satellite Equipment Comtech Telecommunications announced that during its first quarter of fiscal 2022, it was awarded $4.6 million of funding from the U.S. Army to provide ongoing system refurbishments, sustainment services and baseband equipment Research, News & Market Data on Comtech Watch recent presentation from Comtech

Garibaldi Drilling Shifts To Casper Garibaldi Resources announced that the 2021 exploration program will shift drilling for safety reason to the lower elevation Casper quartz gold vein target north of Nickel Mountain within the Company’s 180 sq.km Eskay Claim Group in Northwest British Columbia Research, News & Market Data on Garibaldi Resources Watch recent presentation from Garibaldi Resources

 

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How Coinbase’s NFT Platform Will be Different than the Others

 

A new NFT exchange that takes this online market a step further than competitors was announced yesterday (October 12). Coinbase NFT, a service of Coinbase, the crypto marketplace that went
public this past Spring, will compete with existing NFT outlets. There is now a user waitlist for the online product that Coinbase expects to launch by year-end.

Coinbase Since the IPO

Although Coinbase is the leading crypto trading platform, according to an analyst at Raymond James, it is prone to the same struggles as traditional brokerage firms. In September, Raymond James assigned the equivalent of a “Sell” rating to the company’s stock. The additional service will provide revenue and a new layer of users and traffic to the overall business.

 

 

The new NFT marketplace will be peer-to-peer, and according to the company, “will make minting, purchasing, and discovering NFTs easier than ever.” Coinbase says they are striving to make the interface more user-friendly than the current competitors, the largest of which is OpenSea. One way they intend to differentiate is by serving as a social platform where creators and buyers can interact and discuss NFTs. The company said it wants creating an NFT to be as simple as tapping a few buttons and “…anything more complicated is a barrier to creativity.”

 

 

In their announcement, Coinbase expressed its belief that people are inherently creative, “We create art, express our individuality, build community, and seek meaning. But there’s never been a universal way for creators to own, control, and benefit from their creations, particularly in the digital world,” they wrote. Coinbase NFT allows an opportunity for everyone to benefit from their creative spark; to contribute to a future where the “creator economy” isn’t a small subset of the “real” economy, but a central driver.

 

Take-Away

A Coinbase NFT exchange could become a major revenue source to the now-public company. Blockchain companies involved in NFT creation should benefit from the additional mainstreaming of this art medium and increased transactions and demand. It’s unclear at this point what currencies will be accepted or if this is left to the seller’s discretion.

While Coinbase is running afoul of regulators in its categorizing interest payments on cryptocurrencies, an easy-to-use NFT marketplace should be a trouble-free addition to the business.

 

Suggested Reading:

NFT Sports Collectibles Marketplace for Company Co-Founded by Tom Brady

Is Coinbase Planning to “School” the SEC on Cryptocurrencies?

The Wells Notice to Coinbase May be the Tip of the Iceberg

What’s in the Surprise Cryptocurrency Bill

 

Sources:

https://insider-voice.com/raymond-james-gives-coinbase-its-first-sell-rating-on-wall-street-citing-concern-about-competition/

https://techcrunch.com/2021/10/12/coinbase-is-launching-its-own-nft-platform-to-take-on-opensea/

https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-nft-is-coming-soon-join-the-waitlist-today-for-early-access-cc7bac29fd72

https://opensea.io/

 

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Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Change Orion Group Holdings announced Robert L. Tabb will step down as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective October 29, 2021, to pursue a new opportunity with a private company that is not a competitor See today’s research report from Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst at Noble Capital Markets Research, News & Market Data on Orion Group Holdings Watch recent presentation from Orion Group Holdings

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Salem Media Group Announces Participation in Noble Capital Markets C-Suite Interview Series Salem Media Group announced that CEO Edward Atsinger, President – Broadcast Media Dave Santrella, President – Interactive and Publishing David Evans, and EVP & CFO Evan Masyr sat down with Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Michael Kupinski for this exclusive interview Research, News & Market Data on Salem Media Watch recent presentation from Salem Media

 

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Capstone Green Energy (NASDAQ:CGRN) Announces Four New Long-Term Clean Energy Microturbine Rental Agreements and Intends to Expand its Rental Fleet From 13.1 MW to 17.1 MW by December 31, 2021 Capstone Green Energy announced that it has entered into four new long-term rental contracts with four new end-use customers in the hospitality and industrial grow house markets Research, News & Market Data on Capstone Green Energy Watch recent presentation from Capstone Green Energy

 

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Recreation that Investors May Find Worth Watching

 

The unexpected turmoil within different industries during 2020 will forever be discussed in economic and stock market history discussions. It’s still fresh in all of our minds, and to an extent, we’re all still very mindful of it with our investing and day-to-day lives. Investments that received much of the attention in late 2020 included vaccine stocks, stay-at-home technology, and even SPACs which did well with the increase in money entering a stock market that has a shrinking number of offerings.

As 2020 gave way to 2021 and much of the demand that characterized late 2020 shifted to the updated “post-covid” set of expectations, the so-called recovery stocks gained attention. These stocks ticked up each time a pharmaceutical company was given an emergency use approval for their Covid-19 shot; not only would the pharmaceutical sector itself rise, but so would hospitality, travel, sports, recreation, and everything else that would benefit from less risk of an enduring pandemic. Investors in a post-covid world started looking past the pandemic and began hunting for value before the beaten-down sectors caught too much attention. At times there have been pre-mature rallies in various industries, and realistically, anything can still happen from here, but most recovery stocks are well off their lows, some still have far to go to regain where they were in early 2020.

Recovery Business

A research report crossed my desk last week on a SPAC in the DeSPAC phase which means it is now preparing to merge with a company. The company seems to pass many of the filters I hear people have for a recovery stock to make it to their watch or buy list.  I don’t often comment on the constantly updated research on the Channelchek platform, and nothing here should be construed as a recommendation, but I learned so much from the report about the business, and even the direction of the business, that I wanted to make sure you didn’t miss it.

The business includes hospitality, recreation, sports, and perhaps even travel. It also involves tournament play at the highest level, the media sector, and possibly even sports betting.

Bowling or the business of bowling was never on my radar before, but I look forward to watching how this company uses its added potential after the SPAC merger.

Bowling, Here and Abroad 

The research report, prepared by Michael
Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc. discusses all the pertinent current data, earnings, and projections. That’s all available in the report. The broader offerings at bowling centers themselves have changed. Just as movie theaters are offering experiences above what was available before in terms of food and comfort, bowling centers since 2010 have upgraded facilities to attract a younger demographic (predominately 20- to 35-year-olds). Many now have bright high-def video walls, specialized lighting, and lounge seating. In addition, many bowling centers have expanded and upgraded the quality of their menu items, offer specialty drinks, include high-end arcades, and may even have an in-house sports bar — far from the pretzel and beer of yesteryear.

The report indicates that bowling is the top recreational sport in the U.S. It’s estimated that roughly 67 million have bowled in the past year. This is more than twice as high as basketball participation, which is ranked as number two with 30.3 million, with baseball/softball, then golf not far behind.

Leagues in many bowling alleys are a thing of the past. While they had once provided consistent revenue, in some markets providing a night out to family or friends, or a means to celebrate a special occasion benefits the centers’ business more than the old league model.

There are approximately 11,000 bowling alleys in the U.S. and 3400 bowling centers. The international market is even larger than the US, with high growth in Asia as decreased cultural differences, increased disposable income, and an expanding young population experiment with new forms of entertainment.

Take-Away

Identifiable market changes, particularly those that create trends, can create lucrative opportunities. The trends and follow-through over the past couple of years are testaments to that. Paying attention to various information sources including, traditional media, message boards, analyst reports, and what you experience in your day-to-day life help to identify investible trends.

We’ve had many different cross-currents in trends so far in 2021. Many are the result of a new administration in Washington with different priorities. The other prominent trends have arisen from the waning of the pandemic around the globe. Inflation, shortages, housing issues, and other “hangovers” from the pandemic reaction also seem to be longer-lived trends.  Noticing a shift impacting the operational climate of an industry, then recognizing all the impacted sectors within the industry, can get you in before increased valuations, or out before declines.  Altering investment behavior before the herd is part luck, part preparation. Preparation is known to increase luck.

Channelchek helps investors in small and microcap stocks prepare. SPAC-trac reporting is a unique feature we make where insight in the form of full research, analysis, and coverage is presented on still private companies planning to merge with a SPAC. 

Visit the research and data portion of Channelchek regularly to stay up on industries and the unique companies covered by top-tier equity analysts.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:

ISOS Acquisition Corp: Why This SPAC May Be Different

Irrational Pessimism – Why Value Investors Should Research Individual SPACs

 

 

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Recreation that Investors May Find Worth Watching

 

The unexpected turmoil within different industries during 2020 will forever be discussed in economic and stock market history discussions. It’s still fresh in all of our minds, and to an extent, we’re all still very mindful of it with our investing and day-to-day lives. Investments that received much of the attention in late 2020 included vaccine stocks, stay-at-home technology, and even SPACs which did well with the increase in money entering a stock market that has a shrinking number of offerings.

As 2020 gave way to 2021 and much of the demand that characterized late 2020 shifted to the updated “post-covid” set of expectations, the so-called recovery stocks gained attention. These stocks ticked up each time a pharmaceutical company was given an emergency use approval for their Covid-19 shot; not only would the pharmaceutical sector itself rise, but so would hospitality, travel, sports, recreation, and everything else that would benefit from less risk of an enduring pandemic. Investors in a post-covid world started looking past the pandemic and began hunting for value before the beaten-down sectors caught too much attention. At times there have been pre-mature rallies in various industries, and realistically, anything can still happen from here, but most recovery stocks are well off their lows, some still have far to go to regain where they were in early 2020.

Recovery Business

A research report crossed my desk last week on a SPAC in the DeSPAC phase which means it is now preparing to merge with a company. The company seems to pass many of the filters I hear people have for a recovery stock to make it to their watch or buy list.  I don’t often comment on the constantly updated research on the Channelchek platform, and nothing here should be construed as a recommendation, but I learned so much from the report about the business, and even the direction of the business, that I wanted to make sure you didn’t miss it.

The business includes hospitality, recreation, sports, and perhaps even travel. It also involves tournament play at the highest level, the media sector, and possibly even sports betting.

Bowling or the business of bowling was never on my radar before, but I look forward to watching how this company uses its added potential after the SPAC merger.

Bowling, Here and Abroad 

The research report, prepared by Michael
Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc. discusses all the pertinent current data, earnings, and projections. That’s all available in the report. The broader offerings at bowling centers themselves have changed. Just as movie theaters are offering experiences above what was available before in terms of food and comfort, bowling centers since 2010 have upgraded facilities to attract a younger demographic (predominately 20- to 35-year-olds). Many now have bright high-def video walls, specialized lighting, and lounge seating. In addition, many bowling centers have expanded and upgraded the quality of their menu items, offer specialty drinks, include high-end arcades, and may even have an in-house sports bar — far from the pretzel and beer of yesteryear.

The report indicates that bowling is the top recreational sport in the U.S. It’s estimated that roughly 67 million have bowled in the past year. This is more than twice as high as basketball participation, which is ranked as number two with 30.3 million, with baseball/softball, then golf not far behind.

Leagues in many bowling alleys are a thing of the past. While they had once provided consistent revenue, in some markets providing a night out to family or friends, or a means to celebrate a special occasion benefits the centers’ business more than the old league model.

There are approximately 11,000 bowling alleys in the U.S. and 3400 bowling centers. The international market is even larger than the US, with high growth in Asia as decreased cultural differences, increased disposable income, and an expanding young population experiment with new forms of entertainment.

Take-Away

Identifiable market changes, particularly those that create trends, can create lucrative opportunities. The trends and follow-through over the past couple of years are testaments to that. Paying attention to various information sources including, traditional media, message boards, analyst reports, and what you experience in your day-to-day life help to identify investible trends.

We’ve had many different cross-currents in trends so far in 2021. Many are the result of a new administration in Washington with different priorities. The other prominent trends have arisen from the waning of the pandemic around the globe. Inflation, shortages, housing issues, and other “hangovers” from the pandemic reaction also seem to be longer-lived trends.  Noticing a shift impacting the operational climate of an industry, then recognizing all the impacted sectors within the industry, can get you in before increased valuations, or out before declines.  Altering investment behavior before the herd is part luck, part preparation. Preparation is known to increase luck.

Channelchek helps investors in small and microcap stocks prepare. SPAC-trac reporting is a unique feature we make where insight in the form of full research, analysis, and coverage is presented on still private companies planning to merge with a SPAC. 

Visit the research and data portion of Channelchek regularly to stay up on industries and the unique companies covered by top-tier equity analysts.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

 

Suggested Reading:

ISOS Acquisition Corp: Why This SPAC May Be Different

Irrational Pessimism – Why Value Investors Should Research Individual SPACs

 

 

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	Image Credit: Tima Miroshnichenko (Pexels)

The “Volt Crypto Industry Revolution and Tech ETF” Stops Short of Crypto Investing

 

This week’s SEC approved “Bitcoin ETF” stops short of being a tick-for-tick alternative to owning bitcoin via the securities markets. Although the exchange-traded fund’s purpose is to provide exposure to “Bitcoin Revolution Industry Companies,” defined as entities that hold a majority of their net assets in BTC or derive a majority of their earnings from Bitcoin mining, lending, or transacting, actual investment in the crypto or derivatives are not permitted by prospectus.

The fund will trade under ticker symbol, $BTCR.

 

New Bitcoin ETF Details

This week the Securities and Exchange Commission approved an exchange-traded fund named Volt Crypto Industry Revolution and Tech (BTCR).
 The funds intention is to track what the prospectus refers to as “Bitcoin Industry Revolution Companies.” These are defined as the supporting infrastructure and ancillary businesses to the operation and ecosystem of the crypto and companies holding a majority of their assets in $BTC.X.

Consistent with the objective of providing capital appreciation by actively managing investments in U.S. and foreign companies, the fund expects to invest at least 80%  of its assets in Bitcoin-
related companies. They specifically exclude Canadian ETFs, private funds, and Grayscale (GBTC).

Principal Investment Strategies

The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing a majority of its net assets in U.S. and foreign companies with exposure to bitcoin and the supporting infrastructure. The advisor applies an option overlay strategy to the Fund’s equity investments. The focus of the fund is bitcoin, and under normal circumstances the ETF managers will invest most of its assets within their definition of “bitcoin industry,” stocks and options as well as ETFs not otherwise excluded

Under normal circumstances, it will hold at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in bitcoin industry companies, options on those companies, and ETFs with exposure to those companies. Of the remainder of the Fund’s assets, 15% will be allocated to tech companies, defined as companies that derive at least 50% of their revenue from software, technology hardware, and/or products or services that rely on self-developed processing chips or artificial intelligence chips.

The Fund may also invest up to 20% of the portfolio to gain broad equity market exposure, including through ETFs, to diversify the risk of the focused portfolio.

 

Why it’s Important

Bitcoin is still a speculative asset that poses more uncertainty than those that have a longer history. However, its growth in value has captured the attention of all classes of investors. If the “Bitcoin Revolution” continues, it’s important that participation was available to the largest number of investors and speculators.

Since the ETF invests in the industries surrounding cryptocurrency that create the infrastructure for these fintech variants to exist,  the technology will still have applications should there eventually be a central bank digital currencies (CBDC) that may undermine Bitcoin’s purpose.  

The success of the managed ETF and others that may follow would cause more money to be invested in the companies operating in this space. Investors that hold individual stocks of companies that are selected for this ETF and others could benefit as the manager(s) create more demand for shares.

Take-Away

The Volt ETF ($BTCR) will not invest directly in bitcoin. The SEC said recently that it is determining the best course of action on Crypto-linked ETFs. The fund will invest in companies that support bitcoin and the blockchain industry. Unlike a direct purchase of Bitcoin, investing either directly in blockchain infrastructure companies supporting the currency, or accepting the fees for a Volt managed fund could presumably allow related investors to participate in the growth of the “revolution.”

 

Suggested Reading:

Blockchain Smart Contracts Aim to Cut Out Intermediaries, Create High Efficiency

What Do Banks and Financial Executives Think of Blockchain and Digital Assets?

Imagine a Bitcoin ETF With No Underlying Bitcoin Assets

Crypto’s Ancillary Businesses as an Opportunity for Investors

 

Sources:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1508033/000150803321000003/n1a0621.htm

https://cointelegraph.com/news/sec-approves-volt-equity-etf-providing-exposure-to-bitcoin-centric-companies

 

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