Coeur Mining (CDE) – First Quarter Miss; Upside Remains Despite Lowered Price Target

Friday, May 06, 2022

Coeur Mining (CDE)
First Quarter Miss; Upside Remains Despite Lowered Price Target

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First quarter 2022 results. Coeur reported a first quarter adjusted net loss of $13.8 million or $(0.05) per share, compared to net income of $13.9 million, or $0.06 per share during the prior year period, and our loss estimate of $7.9 million, or $(0.03) per share. Coeur reported full year adjusted EBITDA of $41.5 million compared to our estimate of $40.5 million. First quarter sales included 1.8 million ounces of silver and 28,242 million ounces of gold. Coeur’s gold hedging program now covers 70% of its 2022 expected gold production at an average forward price of $1,955 per ounce and 38% of its 2023 expected gold production at an average forward price of $1,982 per ounce.

Updating estimates. While we have lowered our full year 2022 EPS estimate to $0.02 from $0.05 to reflect first quarter results and higher interest expense, our EBITDA estimate has been increased to $182.1 from $180.9 to reflect adjustments, including to amortization. During the quarter, Coeur bolstered its balance sheet by increasing available borrowing capacity under its revolving credit facility to $390 million from $300 million and completed a $100 million at-the-market equity offering with the sale of roughly 22 million shares. As of May 2, there were 280,806,345 shares issued and outstanding. For the balance of the year, we expect Coeur to lean on its borrowing capacity if needed. …

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cumulus Media (CMLS) – A Timely, Smart Move To Buyback Stock

Friday, May 06, 2022

Cumulus Media (CMLS)
A Timely, Smart Move To Buyback Stock

Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) is an audio-first media company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. Cumulus Media engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 406 owned-and-operated radio stations across 86 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across more than 9,500 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through the Cumulus Podcast Network, its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. Cumulus Media provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, full-service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences. Cumulus Media is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees. For more information visit www.cumulusmedia.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Launches Dutch Auction. The company announced that it will be commencing a Dutch Auction tender offer for up to $25 million of class A common stock, at a share price of no greater than $16.50 and no less than $14.50. The offer is set to run from May 6th to June 3rd of 2022, unless extended or terminated earlier by the company. 

Attractive valuation. We view the move favorably given the compelling valuation of the CMLS shares. Moreover, the announcement signals that management is taking an aggressive approach to return capital to shareholders.    …

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

DLH Holdings (DLHC) – Solid Core Operating Results

Friday, May 06, 2022

DLH Holdings (DLHC)
Solid Core Operating Results

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2QFY22 Results. Revenue totaled $108.7 million, up from $61.5 million in 2Q21. The short-term FEMA awards accounted for $39.8 million of the increase. Earnings were $7.2 million, or $0.50 per diluted share, compared to $2.6 million, or $0.19 per diluted share last year. Ex FEMA, DLH would have reported net income of $3.1 million, or $0.22 per share. We had projected revenue of $95.2 million and EPS of $0.33.

Nice Underlying Growth. Ex FEMA, the underlying business grew 12.1%, in excess of the overall market growth rate. DLH experienced continued growth in its VA-related contracts, as well as HHS programs, with Head Start revenue jumping $2 million sequentially and $1.5 million y-o-y. Demand for DLH’s services continues to increase across the board….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Entravision Communications (EVC) – In A Strong Growth Mode

Friday, May 06, 2022

Entravision Communications (EVC)
In A Strong Growth Mode

Entravision Communications Corporation is a diversified Spanish-language media company utilizing a combination of television and radio operations to reach Hispanic consumers across the United States, as well as the border markets of Mexico. Entravision owns and/or operates 53 primary television stations and is the largest affiliate group of both the top-ranked Univision television network and Univision’s TeleFutura network, with television stations in 20 of the nation’s top 50 Hispanic markets. The Company also operates one of the nation’s largest groups of primarily Spanish-language radio stations, consisting of 48 owned and operated radio stations.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Exceeds expectations. While revenues were largely in line with expectations, the company overachieved our adj. EBITDA estimate. Total company revenues increased a very strong 32% to $197.2 million (vs our $198.3 million estimate) and adj. EBITDA increased an impressive 28% to $18.1 million (vs our $16.1 million estimate). 

Digital on fire. The company’s digital businesses, which contributed 78% of total company revenue, increased a strong 51%. The company is executing on an attractive Digital growth strategy of expanding reach into new countries and territories and expanding commercial partnerships. In addition, the company is expanding its programmatic ad tech platform into new territories as well.  …

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – All Together Now – 1Q22 Results

Friday, May 06, 2022

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT)
All Together Now – 1Q22 Results

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q22 Results. For the first time, all of FAT Brands’ acquisitions were together for a quarter. The Company reported 1Q22 revenue of $97.4 million up from $74.2 million in the fourth quarter, and compared to $6.6 million in 1Q21. The increased revenue reflects the 2022 acquisitions. FAT reported adjusted EBITDA of $15.1 million in 1Q22. Net loss for the quarter was $23.8 million, or $1.45 per share. We had projected revenue of $83 million and a net loss of $12.3 million, or $0.85 per share.

Solid Performance. The restaurant operations continue to post solid performance. Systemwide sales hit $504.9 million from $114.5 million a year ago, driven by the acquisitions. Notably SSS for concepts owned for a year were up 16.8%, and including all locations, were up 11.8%….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Genco Shipping (GNK) – Reaping the benefits of a favorable environment

Friday, May 06, 2022

Genco Shipping (GNK)
Reaping the benefits of a favorable environment

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Revenues benefit from a favorable shipping environment. Revenues rose 55% to $136.2 million, slightly above our forecast of $133.8 million. EBITDA of $58.0 million, up 181%, was slightly below our $60.4 million estimate due to higher operating costs. Net income for the quarter was $41.9 million ($0.97 per share) versus $2.0 million ($0.05) last year, slightly below our estimate of $44.0 million ($1.03). 

Management is making good use of higher cash flow. The company took delivery of two vessels in the quarter, reduced debt by $48.75 million and raised the quarterly dividend 18% to $0.79 per share (14% yield). …

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lee Enterprises (LEE) – Results Validate Its Digital Growth Strategy

Friday, May 06, 2022

Lee Enterprises (LEE)
Results Validate Its Digital Growth Strategy

Lee Enterprises, Incorporated provides local news, information, and advertising primarily in midsize markets in the United States. It publishes 49 daily newspapers, as well as offers 300 weekly newspapers and specialty publications in 23 states. The company also provides online advertising and services; and online infrastructure and online publishing services for approximately 1,500 daily and weekly newspapers and shoppers. In addition, it offers commercial printing services. The company has a strategic alliance with Yahoo!, Inc. to provide its classified employment advertising customer base the opportunity to post job listings and other employment products on Yahoo!s HotJobs national platform. Lee Enterprises, Incorporated was founded in 1890 and is based in Davenport, Iowa.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A little light, but not worrisome. Fiscal Q2 revenues of $190.0 million was slightly less than our $191.2 million estimate. The results reflected better-than-expected growth in its Digital businesses and weaker results in its print advertising business. Adj. EBITDA was $16.9 million versus our $17.8 million estimate. 

Digital excels. Total Digital revenues were $58.1 million, 7% better than our expectation, and represented 31% of total company revenues, up from 27% in fiscal Q1. The strong results were driven by Digital Only Subscription revenue, up 44.7% to $32.9 million, an impressive 26% above expectations. Amplified, its digital agency business, increased revenues 108%. We believe that the strong Digital growth validates the company’s Digital investments and its growth strategy. …

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK) – Sweet Home Alabama

Friday, May 06, 2022

RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK)
Sweet Home Alabama

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adding more Restaurants. RCI Hospitality announced the signing of a franchise agreement for Bombshells Restaurant & Bar that brings three franchise locations of the restaurant to the state of Alabama. The franchisee of the locations will be a newly established entity by Jerry Westland, a hospitality entrepreneur who owns nightclubs, bars, and restaurants. These locations will be opening over the next five years, with the first one being placed in Huntsville.

Continuing to Grow Bombshells. This announcement is a testament to RCI’s strategy of expanding Bombshells into various states as well as expanding on the franchising model for the restaurant. Recall, management’s goal is to have 80-100 locations over the next five years, and the Company is actively looking at different areas of Texas and Florida in which to expand the brand….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – PsyBio Therapeutics Initiates Blood-Brain Barrier Permeability Testing


PsyBio Therapeutics Initiates Blood-Brain Barrier Permeability Testing

Research, News, and Market Data on PsyBio

OXFORD, Ohio and COCONUT CREEK, Fla., May 6, 2022  /CNW/ – PsyBio Therapeutics Corp. (TSXV: PSYB) (OTCQB: PSYBF) (”
PsyBio” or the “Company“), a fully integrated and intellectual property driven biotechnology company developing novel, bespoke psychoactive medicinal candidates targeting the potential treatment of mental health challenges, neurological disorders and other human health conditions, today reported that it has expanded its pre-clinical pipeline activities by initiating blood-brain barrier permeability testing. This additional testing procedure is expected to provide a comprehensive, state of the art research methodology with which PsyBio’s ever expanding portfolio of compounds can be more readily and rapidly developed. Favorable results from this type of testing are anticipated to expediate compound selection and progress toward the filing of Investigational New Drug (“IND”) applications with the US Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”).

“Establishing this type of testing is critically important for PsyBio to allow candidate selection to proceed more rapidly,” stated Michael Spigarelli, MD, PhD, MBA, PsyBio’s Chief Medical Officer. “We expect that this will allow us to effectively screen and select compounds that are active both in vitro and in
vivo
 to more efficiently produce psycho-targeted therapeutics intended to potentially improve mental and neurological health.”

PsyBio retains the global, exclusive, and perpetual right to license platform technology enabling rapid generation of tryptamines and related compounds through a biosynthetic process using genetically modified bacteria and has demonstrated the ability to manufacture one of its first promising therapeutic candidates at commercial scale.  This type of permeability testing is expected to improve the selection ability for compounds able to cross the blood-brain barrier and ultimately produce a brain-based effect.

“We continue to apply and utilize state-of-the-art research methodology to further our ability to produce a variety of psycho-targeted therapeutic candidates as one of the only biotechnology companies in the psychoactive therapeutic industry developing their own compounds,” stated Evan Levine, PsyBio’s Chief Executive Officer. “The initiation of this type of pre-clinical laboratory testing is expected to improve PsyBio’s ability to develop novel therapeutic agents.”

The Company is not proceeding with its previously announced proposed acquisition of Everest Pharma (Pty) Ltd., a Lesotho Company in Southern Africa, as described in the Company’s press release dated March 15, 2022.

About PsyBio Therapeutics Corp.

PsyBio is an intellectual property driven biotechnology company developing new, bespoke, fully approved, psycho-targeted therapeutics to potentially improve mental and neurological health. The team has extensive experience in drug discovery based on synthetic biology and metabolic engineering as well as clinical and regulatory expertise progressing drugs through human studies and regulatory protocols. Research and development is currently ongoing for naturally occurring psychoactive tryptamines originally discovered in different varieties of hallucinogenic mushrooms, other tryptamines and phenethylamines and combinations thereof. The Company utilizes a bio-medicinal chemistry approach to therapeutic development, in which psychoactive compounds can be utilized as a template upon which to develop precursors and analogs, both naturally and non-naturally occurring, specifically because they are already known to have an effect within the brain.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements

This press release contains statements that constitute “forward-looking information” (“forward-looking
information
“) within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking information and are based on expectations, estimates and projections as at the date of this news release. Any statement that discusses predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions, future events or performance (often but not always using phrases such as “expects”, or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, “plans”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “forecasts”, “estimates”, “believes” or “intends” or variations of such words and phrases or stating that certain actions, events or results “may” or “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken to occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information. Forward looking-statements in this press release include statements regarding: PsyBio’s plans and ability to conduct successful blood-brain barrier permeability testing; the impact of favorable results from blood-brain barrier permeability testing on compound selection and progress toward the filing of IND applications with the FDA; PsyBio’s plans for filing IND applications with the FDA; PsyBio’s ability to develop novel therapeutic agents; PsyBio’s ability to develop novel formulations to potentially treat neurologic and psychologic conditions and other disorders; PsyBio’s ability to launch clinical trials; PsyBio’s ability to build its intellectual property portfolio of novel drug candidates; PsyBio’s ability to achieve cost competitive synthesis with reduced environmental impact over current production methods; and PsyBio’s ability to move target candidates into scaled commercial manufacturing and regulatory application.

In disclosing the forward-looking information contained in this press release, the Company has made certain assumptions, including that: blood-brain barrier permeability testing will yield favorable results; favorable results from blood-brain barrier permeability testing will have a positive impact on compound selection and progress toward the filing of IND applications with the FDA; PsyBio will be successful in protecting its intellectual property; PsyBio will be successful in discovering new valuable target molecules; PsyBio will be successful in obtaining IND applications and will be able to obtain all necessary approvals for clinical trials; PsyBio will be successful in launching clinical trials; the results of preclinical safety and efficacy testing will be favorable; PsyBio’s technology will be safe and effective; a confirmed signal will be identified in PsyBio’s selected indications; and that drug development involves long lead times, is very expensive and involves many variables of uncertainty. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking information are reasonable, it can give no assurance that the expectations of any forward-looking information will prove to be correct. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors which may cause the actual results and future events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Such factors include, but are not limited to: compliance with extensive government regulations; domestic and foreign laws and regulations adversely affecting PsyBio’s business and results of operations; decreases in the prevailing process for psilocybin and nutraceutical products in the markets in which PsyBio operates; the impact of COVID-19; and general business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on the forward-looking information contained in this press release. Except as required by law, the Company disclaims any intention and assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information to reflect actual results, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions, changes in factors affecting such forward-looking information or otherwise.

PsyBio makes no medical, treatment or health benefit claims about PsyBio’s proposed products. The FDA or other similar regulatory authorities have not evaluated claims regarding psilocybin and other next generation psychoactive compounds. The efficacy of such products has not been confirmed by FDA-approved research. There is no assurance that the use of psilocybin and other psychoactive compounds can diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease or condition. Vigorous scientific research and clinical trials are needed. PsyBio has not conducted clinical trials for the use of its intellectual property. Any references to quality, consistency, efficacy and safety of potential products do not imply that PsyBio verified such in clinical trials or that PsyBio will complete such trials. If PsyBio cannot obtain the approvals or research necessary to commercialize its business, it may have a material adverse effect on the PsyBio’s performance and operations.

The TSX Venture Exchange (the “TSXV“)
has neither approved nor disapproved the contents of this news release. Neither
the TSXV nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the
policies of the TSXV) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of
this release.

Leveraged and Inverse ETF Do’s and Mostly Don’ts


Image Credit: Ross Edwin Thompson (Flickr)


Leveraged and Inverse ETFs Contain Extra Costs for Buy-and-Hold Investors

Exchange traded funds are a popular way to invest to gain exposure to an index or an industry sector. If you’re bullish on a sector, they take the work out of selecting individual stocks within that sector. Instead, an ETF allows you to be exposed to many stocks and earn the mixed return of its holdings (less mgmt. fee). This is a valid, and for some, prudent way to invest. It would seem to stand to reason then, with the market’s recent performance, that if you think the equitiies may be weak for a long period that you could invest in an inverse ETF, or even a 2x or 3x inverse. However, it isn’t that easy. There is great danger in these so-called “geared ETFs.” Traders should fully understand this danger so they don’t get caught.

Leveraged or geared ETFs are not invested the same way an index mimicking 1x ETF is. This difference limits their usefulness; they can serve effectively as a hedging tool short term but are likely to fail as a long-term investment play.

Background

The underlying financial tools in a leveraged or inverse ETF are reworked each day to deliver a set positive or negative multiple of the performance of an index. Individually their objective may be to attain the goal over a given time period, such as one day or one month. The most common of the currently listed geared ETFs, leverage factors are 1.5x, 2x, and 3x and inverse factors are -0.5x, -1x, -2x and -3x.

The vast majority of geared ETFs reset their exposure factors each day. This means that the stated leverage or inverse objective they aim for is within a single trading day, generally measured from the close of trading on one day to the close of trading on the next day.

The objective of a geared ETF with a daily reset is to provide that degree of leveraged or inverse exposure for that single period – not over longer (or even shorter) periods. (Similarly, a geared ETP with a monthly objective is designed to provide that leveraged or inverse exposure for a specified monthly period.)

Holding a geared ETF for a period that is shorter or longer than its objective can lead to performance that may deviate significantly from the daily objective. In other words, if you are invested in a 2x inverse S&P 500 ETF, and the benchmark falls 1% in 24 hours, the security should provide you with 2% in return. However if you hold the inverse leveraged ETF for two months and the S&P 500 average decline is 1%, you may have several percentage points eroded from your account assets. I’ll explain below. The investment product is not designed to provide twice the positive or inverse return of the index over longer periods.

Another example is an inverse ETF that seeks to deliver negative 1x the performance of the Nasdaq 100 Index. This ETF aims to deliver a return that is exactly the opposite of what the index returns (whether positive or negative) on a given day. If the Nasdaq 100 closes up 1.5 percent, the inverse ETF would aim to return a loss of 1.5 percent. If the index closes down 2 percent, the ETF should return a gain of 2 percent.

Why Don’t they Function Longer Term?

To achieve their expected returns, leveraged and inverse ETFs employ a range of investment strategies, including swaps, futures, and other derivatives in addition to possible long or short positions in securities.

Since geared ETFs are only designed to accomplish the stated leveraged or inverse objective on a daily basis, they don’t orchestrate their underlying financial instruments to accomplish anything different than that objective. It simply isn’t their goal. In fact, returns often differ significantly from the performance (or inverse of the performance) of their pegged benchmark over an extension beyond the stated period of time. This makes these products risky if they are held medium or long term, especially in volatile markets. While these ETFs can be held for periods that don’t align with their stated objective, generally, the position should be monitored closely and used by investors who understand what the products are designed for and how they incur costs to the longer-term holder – that performance is warped over extended periods.

The fund manager incurs a large daily cost by resetting the underlying instruments, far greater than a straight 1x ETF. Also, most of the underlying instruments incur futures decay as they move closer to their expiration date. Over one day this decay is accounted for in the daily mix, over a longer time period it is felt by the investor.

Things to Consider

Before committing money to any of these ETFs, clearly understand the specific leveraged or inverse ETF before investing in it. Be sure about your own purpose in committing money. Could the ETF accomplish or undermine your goal? Read the prospectus, and understand the objectives, risks, and costs.

When Might You Use a Geared ETF

Most of these ETFs are created to be used to hedge a portfolio or trading position overnight. Trading desks, institutional managers, and savvy retail investors with overnight positions may wish to protect against a large change in portfolio value while they are sleeping or through  weekend.

For example: If a trading desk is long $600,000 in stocks that would be expected to roughly track the Russell 2000, before the close they may protect the position from any big moves overnight by committing $200,000 to a 3x ETF of the index.  

Take-Away

Leveraged and inverse ETFs are designed as very short-term hedging and risk management tools. Investors that are considering a strategy to implement either short ETFs or leveraged should read the prospectus and understand the particular ETF thoroughly. Review the performance over a year versus the expected index.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Content



Will the SEC Double Down on Triple Leveraged ETFs?



Index Funds Still May Fall Apart over Time




Is the Index Bubble Michael Burry Warned About Still Looming?



Did the Stock Market Already Overshoot to the Downside in 2022?

Sources

https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/leveragedetfs-alert.htm#:~:text=As%20discussed%20above%2C%20because%20leveraged,the%20index%20showed%20a%20gain.

https://www.finra.org/investors/insights/lowdown-leveraged-and-inverse-exchange-traded-products

 

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Cumulus Media (CMLS) – A Sanguine Outlook

Thursday, May 05, 2022

Cumulus Media (CMLS)
A Sanguine Outlook

Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) is an audio-first media company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. Cumulus Media engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 406 owned-and-operated radio stations across 86 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across more than 9,500 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through the Cumulus Podcast Network, its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. Cumulus Media provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, full-service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences. Cumulus Media is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees. For more information visit www.cumulusmedia.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A solid quarter. Q1 revenues increased a strong 15% to $232.0 million, above our $227.2 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA was $31.2 million, above our $22.2 million estimate.  The Revenues and Adj. EBITDA results benefited from a $5 million in pull forward revenues and adj. EBITDA as a results of the cancelled Wynbet contract. Notably, the company would have beat our Adj. EBITDA estimate, without the adjustment.

Tweaking 2022 estimates upward. We are flowing through a portion of the Q1 upside to our full year 2022 estimates. We are raising our full year 2022 adj. EBIDA estimate from $173.7 million to $175.1 million. At this time, we are maintaining our full year 2023 estimates. …

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) – Solid 1Q22 Sets the Table for 2022

Thursday, May 05, 2022

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD)
Solid 1Q22 Sets the Table for 2022

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q22 Operating Results. Revenue of $194.4 million exceed our $176 million estimate and consensus $170 million, partly due to the pull forward of certain business. Margin was a little lighter than projections due to dry dockings and weather issues that restricted work. Nonetheless, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $29.7 million versus our $32.7 million estimate. EPS for the quarter was $0.17 compared to our estimate of $0.18.

Favorable Environment. The operating environment remains favorable. The Omnibus Appropriations Bill for fiscal year 2022 included funding for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers totaling $8.3 billion for fiscal year 2022, an increase of $548 million above the fiscal year 2021 level and an increase of $1.6 billion above the President’s original budget request….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Tokens.com Corp. (SMURF) – Beefing Up the P2E Segment

Thursday, May 05, 2022

Tokens.com Corp. (SMURF)
Beefing Up the P2E Segment

Tokens.com Corp is a publicly traded company that invests in Web3 assets and businesses focused on the Metaverse, NFTs, DeFi, and gaming based digital assets. Tokens.com is the majority owner of Metaverse Group, one of the world’s first virtual real estate companies. Hulk Labs, a wholly-owned Tokens.com subsidiary, focuses on investing in play-to-earn revenue generating gaming tokens and NFTs. Additionally, Tokens.com owns and stakes crypto assets to earn additional tokens. Through its growing digital assets and NFTs, Tokens.com provides public market investors with a simple and secure way to gain exposure to Web3.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Adding More Assets. Tokens.com announced that the Company subsidiary, Hulk Labs, has acquired play-to-earn gaming assets in two platforms, Arcade Land and BitBrawl. Hulk Labs acquired land parcels in Arcade Land and avatar NFTs. The amounts invested in each platform were not disclosed.

Arcade Land Overview. Arcade Land is a Metaverse land-based world that focuses on gaming and play-to-earn. The world holds 10,000 unique plots where NFT holders can build out their parcel and allow other holders to visit, hangout, and play games. These holders can also build stores, place advertising, and sell items, in additional to the land holding yield earning potential, depending on the size, similar to Decentraland….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.