Category:

Government Solutions Industry Report: Additional Funding for ICE

Posted on by cpatches

Thursday, March 28, 2022

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the bottom of the report for important disclosures

2024 Budget. The 2024 budget signed by President Biden significantly increases ICE funding, which could have positive implications for both CoreCivic and The GEO Group. The ICE budget increased $798 million to $9.6 billion, including $5.1 billion for ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations, a $900 million increase, according to the Homeland Security Fiscal 2024 bill summary. ATD funding increased $27.5 million to $470.2 million.

Additional Beds. Detention beds increased to 41,500 from 34,000 in fiscal 2023. We would note, the number of people detained by ICE has exceeded the 34,000 funding amount since mid-August and was 39,111 as of March 10th. At a minimum, the new budget enables ICE to increase detainees by approximately 3,000 and if the recent past is any indication, the actual number of beds in use could easily top the 41,500 level.

Encounters Still High. The most recent data for Southwest Border Encounters indicated 189,922 people were encountered in February, the second highest level for that month in history. Looking at the first five months of the fiscal year, there were some 1.15 million encounters, an annualized rate of 2.76 million, compared to 2.47 million for all of 2023.

Capacity. Even with the current 39,000 detainee level, there appears to be sufficient bed capacity at existing facilities to absorb the incremental 3,000, if it occurs. However, currently idle CoreCivic and GEO facilities may be in play, based on ICE’s geographic and other needs. We view CoreCivic’s Leavenworth and California City facilities and GEO’s North Lake and D. Ray James facilities as logical options if ICE determines a need for additional facilities.

Implications. While the budget was just signed, we view the increases as an incremental net positive for both CoreCivic and The GEO Group. The increased funding and beds are both positives and if we see another Continuing Resolution in the fall, these elevated numbers will stand until a new budget is passed.

Research reports on companies mentioned in this report are available by clicking below:

CoreCivic (CXW)

The GEO Group (GEO)

GENERAL DISCLAIMERS

All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This publication is confidential for the information of the addressee only and may not be reproduced in whole or in part, copies circulated, or discussed to another party, without the written consent of Noble Capital Markets, Inc. (“Noble”). Noble seeks to update its research as appropriate, but may be unable to do so based upon various regulatory constraints. Research reports are not published at regular intervals; publication times and dates are based upon the analyst’s judgement. Noble professionals including traders, salespeople and investment bankers may provide written or oral market commentary, or discuss trading strategies to Noble clients and the Noble proprietary trading desk that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report.
The majority of companies that Noble follows are emerging growth companies. Securities in these companies involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies. The securities discussed in Noble research reports may not be suitable for some investors and as such, investors must take extra care and make their own determination of the appropriateness of an investment based upon risk tolerance, investment objectives and financial status.

Company Specific Disclosures

The following disclosures relate to relationships between Noble and the company (the “Company”) covered by the Noble Research Division and referred to in this research report.
Noble is not a market maker in any of the companies mentioned in this report. Noble intends to seek compensation for investment banking services and non-investment banking services (securities and non-securities related) with any or all of the companies mentioned in this report within the next 3 months

ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

This report is intended to provide general securities advice, and does not purport to make any recommendation that any securities transaction is appropriate for any recipient particular investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Prior to making any investment decision, recipients should assess, or seek advice from their advisors, on whether any relevant part of this report is appropriate to their individual circumstances. If a recipient was referred to Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by an investment advisor, that advisor may receive a benefit in respect of
transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc..

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public
appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

Boundless Bio $100M IPO to Advance Novel Cancer Therapies

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Boundless Bio, a biotech company pioneering a new approach to treating cancer, made its public debut on the Nasdaq stock exchange today in a $100 million initial public offering. The Cambridge, Massachusetts company is the latest biotech firm to go public in 2024 after last year’s IPO drought, pricing its shares at $16 each under the ticker symbol “BOLD.”

The $100 million capital raise will provide a major boost to Boundless Bio’s pipeline of experimental cancer therapies that target extrachromosomal DNA (ecDNA), double-stranded DNA molecules that exist outside of chromosomes and can contain amplified oncogenes driving tumor growth.

“EcDNA represents an exciting new frontier in cancer biology and a promising opportunity for therapeutic intervention,” said Zachary Hartman, CEO of Boundless Bio. “With this successful IPO, we are now well-capitalized to advance our novel ecDNA-targeted candidates through clinical trials and hopefully translate this cutting-edge science into meaningful treatments for patients.”

Leading the way for Boundless is BBI-355, the company’s most advanced program that inhibits checkpoint kinase 1, an enzyme involved in ecDNA replication and transcription. BBI-355 is currently being evaluated in the Phase 1/2 POTENTIATE study, with initial data from up to 90 patients expected in the second half of this year.

Not far behind is BBI-825, an oral ribonucleotide reductase inhibitor that targets a different mechanism related to ecDNA biology. This second clinical candidate entered Phase 1/2 testing just last month in the STARMAP trial, with early results anticipated in late 2025.

In addition to developing therapeutics, a portion of the $100 million IPO proceeds will fund Boundless Bio’s efforts to create a diagnostic test called ECHO to detect ecDNA levels in cancer patients’ tumors. The company believes this could enable more precise treatment by identifying patients most likely to respond to ecDNA-targeted therapies.

The successful Nasdaq listing bucks the trend of a biotech IPO market that was essentially frozen in 2023 amid volatile market conditions. But investor sentiment appears to have rebounded in 2024, with Boundless Bio becoming the seventh biotech to go public so far this year.

“This is an incredibly promising time for Boundless Bio and for companies working on novel modalities that could reshape cancer treatment,” said Tricia Lorida, a biotech analyst at SVB Securities. “While ecDNA therapies are still at an early stage, there is certainly excitement around targeting these unique DNA drivers of tumor growth and genomic instability.”

Boundless Bio’s IPO was led by Goldman Sachs, Guggenheim Securities, Piper Sandler, and Leerink Partners as joint book-running managers. The company granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 937,500 shares at the IPO price, which could raise the total deal proceeds to $115 million if exercised in full.

With the $100 million-plus capital infusion, Boundless Bio is well-positioned to advance its pioneering work in the emerging field of ecDNA biology as the company aims to unlock new therapeutic options for cancer patients. The successful IPO marks an ambitious first step, but much will ride on the clinical data readouts expected over the next couple of years.

The successful $100 million IPO by Boundless Bio could pave the way for more biotech companies to tap the public markets in 2024 as investor appetite appears to be returning. After a dismal 2023 that saw very few biotechs go public, the new year has brought a flurry of IPO activity, with Boundless Bio becoming the seventh biotech to debut on the Nasdaq. Other drug developers waiting in the wings may seize the opportunity to join the IPO queue if market conditions remain favorable. An opening of the IPO window would provide a crucial capital infusion for biotech firms to continue advancing their R&D programs amid a challenging funding environment. While clinical data will ultimately determine the fates of these newly public companies, a reinvigorated IPO market bodes well for biotech innovation lingering in the pipeline.

Release – Schwazze Announces Fourth Quarter And Full Year 2023 Financial Results

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on SHWZ

March 27, 2024

PDF Version

 FY 2023 Revenue of $172.4 Million; Income from Operations of $3.3 Million; Adjusted EBITDA of $53.4 Million or 31% of Revenue

 Generated $12.2 Million of Operating Cash Flow in FY 2023

DENVER, March 27, 2024 /CNW/ – Medicine Man Technologies, Inc., operating as Schwazze, (OTCQX: SHWZ) (Cboe: SHWZ) (“Schwazze” or the “Company”), today announced financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023.

“This past year, the Schwazze team delivered solid top-line growth in two highly competitive markets with 31% adjusted EBITDA margins and improved operating cash flow,” said Forrest Hoffmaster, Interim CEO of Schwazze. “We continued to sharpen our retail strategy while expanding our store footprint by more than 50% to 63 dispensaries across our two markets. Although the Colorado and New Mexico markets were pressured in 2023, we have built a solid foundation with best-in-class service for our patients and customers. Internally, we are also relentlessly focused on maximizing the operating efficiencies of our manufacturing and cultivation facilities to drive higher yields, improved flower quality, and greater output.”

“With strong demand and over 680 recreational retail stores at year-end, the competitive landscape in Colorado is fierce, underscoring the importance of our investments in and attention to elevating the customer experience. We significantly outpaced the market in Q4 on a sequential and year-over-year basis and expect to bolster our growth through improvements in customer acquisition, retention, and loyalty, as well as in the overall retail experience. Additionally, we are beginning to see wholesale pricing stabilize, which we anticipate will continue based on plant counts and ongoing retail pricing pressure.”

“In New Mexico, the proliferation of new licenses has led to increased competition and aggressive pricing strategies from certain players. Cannabis sales in the state were up 18% across a store base that was over 50% higher year-over-year in Q4, leading to lower average revenue per store. While we are beginning to see a slow-down in net new store openings, we anticipate a challenging market ahead. We remain focused on cost optimization and asset utilization while implementing a balanced pricing and promotional strategy to drive traffic into our stores, where we believe we excel in delivering an elevated retail experience. We are committed to fulfilling our promise of being the retailer of choice in New Mexico.”

“Looking ahead, we are optimistic about the regulatory momentum in the industry at large. In the meantime, we will continue to elevate the customer experience, improve our loyalty program, increase our cost efficiencies, and enhance our retail assets. Our team has a demonstrated track record of executing in competitive markets like Colorado and New Mexico where we remain one of the largest operators. We look forward to driving growth and profitability across each of our markets in 2024.”

Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Summary

$ in Thousands USDQ4 2023Q3 2023Q4 2022
Total Revenue$43,325$46,747$40,147
Gross Profit$7,034$21,438$21,719
Adjusted Gross Profit[1]$20,180$21,438$21,719
Operating Expenses$23,276$12,514$24,224
Income (Loss) from Operations$(16,242)$8,924$(2,505)
Adjusted EBITDA[2]$10,953$14,119$13,285
Operating Cash Flow$3,452$6,946$6,260

Full Year 2023 Financial Summary

$ in Thousands USDFY 2023FY 2022
Total Revenue$172,448$159,379
Gross Profit$76,024$80,289
Adjusted Gross Profit1$89,170$86,830
Operating Expenses$72,735$67,434
Income from Operations$3,289$12,855
Adjusted EBITDA2$53,412$52,010
Operating Cash Flow$12,201$6,694
___________________________
1  Adjusted Gross Profit is a non-GAAP measure as defined by the SEC and represents gross profit excluding non-cash inventory adjustments. The Company uses Adjusted Gross Profit as it believes it better explains the results of its core business. See “ADJUSTED GROSS PROFIT RECONCILIATION (NON-GAAP)” section herein for an explanation and reconciliations of non-GAAP measure used throughout this release.
2  Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure as defined by the SEC, and represents earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, adjusted for other income, non-cash share-based compensation, one-time transaction related expenses, or other non-operating costs. The Company uses Adjusted EBITDA as it believes it better explains the results of its core business. See “ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION (NON-GAAP)” section herein for an explanation and reconciliations of non-GAAP measure used throughout this release.

Full Year 2023 Operational Highlights

  • Expanded the Company’s retail footprint by more than 50% in New Mexico and Colorado to 63 dispensaries.
  • Completed the acquisition of Everest Apothecary, adding 14 dispensaries, one cultivation facility, and one manufacturing plant to the Company’s New Mexico operations.
  • Acquired Standing Akimbo, the largest medical cannabis dispensary in Colorado, and opened the Company’s first medical dispensary in Colorado Springs under the Standing Akimbo banner.
  • Acquired two Colorado retail dispensaries in Fort Collins and Garden City from Smokey’s.
  • Unveiled an enhanced, custom ecommerce platform in New Mexico under the R. Greenleaf banner.
  • Increased wholesale penetration in Colorado and New Mexico by over 3x year-over-year to more than 27% total door penetration in both states.
  • Grew Lowell Farms pre-roll sales by over 250% in Colorado where it is now the #1 pre-roll in the state. In addition, Lowell is in six of the largest Colorado accounts and will be available for wholesale in New Mexico starting April 1st, 2024.
  • Grew sales with Wana, our fan-favorite gummies brand, by 48% in New Mexico where it is now in 130 doors with eight of the top ten accounts in the state.

Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Results

Total revenue in the fourth quarter of 2023 increased 8% to $43.3 million compared to $40.1 million for the same quarter last year. The increase was primarily due to growth from new stores compared to the prior year period and increased wholesale revenue, partially offset by pricing pressure from the proliferation of new licenses in New Mexico.

Gross profit for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $7.0 million or 16.2% of total revenue, compared to $21.7 million or 54.1% of total revenue for the same quarter last year. The decrease in gross margin was primarily driven by one-time, non-cash inventory adjustments of approximately $13.1 million comprised of $3.1 million of product consolidation, obsolescence, and shrinkage expenses, $4.3 million of net realizable value adjustments, and $5.8 million of fair value adjustments on acquired inventory in New Mexico in 2023. Adjusted gross profit, which excludes non-cash inventory adjustments, for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $20.2 million or 46.6% of revenue.

Operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2023 were $23.3 million compared to $24.2 million for the same quarter last year. The decrease was primarily due to a lower impairment charge in the fourth quarter of 2023. This was partially offset by an increase in four-wall SG&A expenses associated with the 22 additional stores in Colorado and New Mexico that are still ramping, as well as greater salaries and stock-based compensation.

Loss from operations for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $16.2 million compared to $2.5 million in the same quarter last year. The decrease was driven by the aforementioned lower gross profit, primarily related to the non-cash inventory adjustment. Net loss was $33.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to $27.3 million for the same quarter last year.

Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $11.0 million or 25.3% of revenue, compared to $13.3 million or 33.1% of revenue for the same quarter last year. The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA margin was primarily driven by higher operating expenses associated with the 22 additional stores that are still ramping.

As of December 31, 2023, cash and cash equivalents were $19.2 million compared to $38.9 million on December 31, 2022. Total debt as of December 31, 2023, was $156.8 million compared to $127.8 million on December 31, 2022.

Conference Call

The Company will conduct a conference call today, March 27, 2024, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time to discuss its results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2023.

Schwazze management will host the conference call, followed by a question-and-answer period. Interested parties may submit questions to the Company prior to the call by emailing ir@schwazze.com.

Date: Wednesday, March 27, 2024
Time: 5:00 p.m. Eastern time
Toll-free dial-in: (888) 664-6383
International dial-in: (416) 764-8650
Conference ID: 38840334
Webcast: SHWZ Q4 & FY 2023 Earnings Call

The conference call will also be broadcast live and available for replay on the investor relations section of the Company’s website at https://ir.schwazze.com.

Toll-free replay number: (888) 390-0541
International replay number: (416) 764-8677
Replay ID: 840334

If you have any difficulty registering or connecting with the conference call, please contact Elevate IR at (720) 330-2829.

About Schwazze

Schwazze (OTCQX: SHWZ) (Cboe: SHWZ) is building a premier vertically integrated regional cannabis company with assets in Colorado and New Mexico and will continue to explore taking its operating system to other states where it can develop a differentiated regional leadership position. Schwazze is the parent company of a portfolio of leading cannabis businesses and brands spanning seed to sale.

Schwazze is anchored by a high-performance culture that combines customer-centric thinking and data science to test, measure, and drive decisions and outcomes. The Company’s leadership team has deep expertise in retailing, wholesaling, and building consumer brands at Fortune 500 companies as well as in the cannabis sector.

Medicine Man Technologies, Inc. was Schwazze’s former operating trade name. The corporate entity continues to be named Medicine Man Technologies, Inc. Schwazze derives its name from the pruning technique of a cannabis plant to enhance plant structure and promote healthy growth. To learn more about Schwazze, visit https://schwazze.com/.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements include financial outlooks; any projections of net sales, earnings, or other financial items; any statements of the strategies, plans and objectives of our management team for future operations; expectations in connection with the Company’s previously announced business plans; any statements regarding future economic conditions or performance; and statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of our management team. Such statements may be preceded by the words “may,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “expect,” “intends,” “plans,” “strategy,” “prospects,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “approximately,” “estimate,” “predict,” “project,” “potential,” “continue,” “ongoing,” or the negative of these terms or other words of similar meaning in connection with a discussion of future events or future operating or financial performance, although the absence of these words does not necessarily mean that a statement is not forward-looking. We have based our forward-looking statements on management’s current expectations and assumptions about future events and trends affecting our business and industry. Although we do not make forward-looking statements unless we believe we have a reasonable basis for doing so, we cannot guarantee their accuracy. Therefore, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future events or performance, are based on certain assumptions, and are subject to various known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company’s control and cannot be predicted or quantified. Consequently, actual events and results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, risks and uncertainties associated with (i) regulatory limitations on our products and services and the uncertainty in the application of federal, state, and local laws to our business, and any changes in such laws; (ii) our ability to manufacture our products and product candidates on a commercial scale on our own or in collaboration with third parties; (iii) our ability to identify, consummate, and integrate anticipated acquisitions; (iv) general industry and economic conditions; (v) our ability to access adequate capital upon terms and conditions that are acceptable to us; (vi) our ability to pay interest and principal on outstanding debt when due; (vii) volatility in credit and market conditions; (viii) the loss of one or more key executives or other key employees; and (ix) other risks and uncertainties related to the cannabis market and our business strategy. More detailed information about the Company and the risk factors that may affect the realization of forward-looking statements is set forth in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. Investors and security holders are urged to read these documents free of charge on the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise its forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise except as required by law.

Investor Relations Contact
Sean Mansouri, CFA or Aaron D’Souza
Elevate IR
(720) 330-2829
ir@schwazze.com

MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME AND (LOSS)
For the Periods Ended December 31, 2023 and 2022
Expressed in U.S. Dollars

For the Three Months EndedFor the Twelve Months Ended
December 31,December 31,
2023202220232022
(Unaudited)(Unaudited)(Audited)(Audited)
Operating Revenues
Retail$39,592,779$36,868,429$155,463,816$141,254,893
Wholesale3,730,7493,158,67016,765,42517,819,938
Other1,287120,188218,545304,388
Total Revenue43,324,81540,147,287172,447,786159,379,219
Total Cost of Goods & Services36,291,05918,428,52896,424,15079,090,461
Gross Profit7,033,75621,718,75976,023,63680,288,758
Operating Expenses
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses10,848,0298,922,62739,916,51829,036,962
Professional Services1,115,4571,112,9753,558,5016,722,554
Loss on Impairment1,810,8908,011,4051,801,7408,011,405
Salaries6,561,8005,292,99623,883,35420,990,290
Stock Based Compensation2,952,669883,8903,574,8312,672,713
Total Operating Expenses23,288,84524,223,89372,734,94467,433,924
Income from Operations(16,255,089)(2,505,134)3,288,69212,854,834
Other Income (Expense)
Interest Expense, net(8,112,391)(6,827,557)(32,069,082)(30,139,645)
Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Derivative Liabilities1,384,228(9,690,200)15,870,23318,414,760
Other Loss68,4003,73668,40024,136
Loss on Business Disposition(1,968,807)(4,684,366)(1,968,807)(4,684,366)
Unrealized Gain (Loss) on Investments–3,0831,816(39,270)
Total Other Income (Expense)(8,628,570)(21,195,304)(18,097,441)(16,424,385)
Pre-Tax Net Income (Loss)(24,883,659)(23,700,438)(14,808,749)(3,569,551)
Provision for Income Taxes4,494,0493,638,69519,740,59514,898,064
Net Income (Loss)$(29,377,708)$(27,339,133)$(34,549,344)$(18,467,615)
Less: Accumulated Preferred Stock Dividends for the Period(1,541,341)(2,508,677)(8,154,993)(7,802,809)
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Stockholders$(30,919,049)$(29,847,810)$(42,704,337)$(26,270,424)
Earnings (Loss) per Share Attributable to Common Stockholders
Basic Earnings (Loss) per Share$(0.43)$(0.57)$(0.66)$(0.49)
Diluted Earnings (Loss) per Share$(0.43)$(0.57)$(0.66)$(0.49)
Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding – Basic71,680,20053,637,00364,535,24553,637,003
Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding – Diluted71,680,20053,637,00364,535,24553,637,003
Comprehensive Income (Loss)$(29,377,708)$(27,339,133)$(34,549,344)$(18,467,615)

MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
For the Periods Ended December 31, 2023 and 2022
Expressed in U.S. Dollars

For the Twelve Months Ended
December 31,
20232022
(Audited)(Audited)
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
Net Income (Loss) for the Period$(34,549,344)$(18,467,615)
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income (Loss) to Cash for Operating Activities
Depreciation & Amortization20,933,54110,660,172
Non-Cash Interest Expense4,024,6044,118,391
Impairment of Goodwill1,801,7408,011,405
Non-Cash Lease Expense7,648,5313,910,679
Deferred Taxes(2,090,967)502,070
Loss on Disposition of Business Units1,968,8074,684,369
Change in Derivative Liabilities(15,870,233)(18,414,760)
Amortization of Debt Issuance Costs1,686,0491,686,048
Amortization of Debt Discount8,523,4937,484,613
(Gain) Loss on Investments, net(1,816)39,270
Stock Based Compensation3,590,473812,073
Changes in Operating Assets & Liabilities (net of Acquired Amounts):
Accounts Receivable927,259(105,185)
Inventory4,571,069789,399
Prepaid Expenses & Other Current Assets1,579,349(2,770,179)
Other Assets263,419(248,682)
Change in Operating Lease Liabilities(7,498,128)(13,113,041)
Accounts Payable & Other Liabilities(3,241,850)11,845,245
Income Taxes Payable17,934,9675,270,074
Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Operating Activities12,200,9636,694,346
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
Collection of Notes Receivable11,944–
Cash Consideration for Acquisition of Business, net of Cash Acquired(15,834,378)(58,981,226)
Purchase of Fixed Assets(7,865,654)(14,007,892)
Purchase of Intangible Assets(2,750,000)–
Investment in Private Entity–(2,000,000)
Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Investing Activities(26,438,088)(74,989,118)
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
Payment on Notes Payable(5,354,218)(134,498)
Proceeds from Issuance of Common Stock–978,308
Payment for Statutory Withholdings on RSU(108,978)–
Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Financing Activities(5,463,196)843,810
Net (Decrease) in Cash & Cash Equivalents(19,700,321)(67,450,962)
Cash & Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Period38,949,253106,400,216
Cash & Cash Equivalents at End of Period$19,248,932$38,949,253
Supplemental Disclosure of Cash Flow Information:
Cash Paid for Interest$17,896,954$15,243,990
Cash Paid for Income Taxes5,000,00012,340,000

MEDICINE MAN TECHNOLOGIES, INC.
ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION (NON-GAAP)
For the Periods Ended December 31, 2023 and 2022
Expressed in U.S. Dollars

For the Three Months EndedFor the Twelve Months Ended
December 31,December 31,
2023202220232022
Net Income (Loss)$(29,364,680)$(27,339,133)$(34,549,344)$(18,467,615)
Interest Expense, net8,112,3916,827,55732,069,08230,139,645
Provision for Income Taxes4,494,0493,638,69519,740,59514,898,064
Other (Income) Expense, net of Interest Expense516,18014,367,747(13,971,641)(13,715,260)
Depreciation & Amortization3,162,4253,701,12818,970,96012,524,677
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and
Amortization (EBITDA) (non-GAAP)$(13,079,635)$1,195,994$22,259,652$25,379,511
Non-Cash Stock Compensation1,597,157883,8902,219,3192,672,713
Deal Related Expenses2,196,7331,914,8205,528,0486,822,111
Capital Raise Related Expenses1,779(257,271)38,559533,958
Inventory Adjustment to Fair Market Value for
Purchase Accounting5,792,488–5,792,4886,541,651
One-Time Inventory Impairment7,353,972–7,353,972–
One-Time Goodwill Impairment1,801,7408,011,4051,801,7408,011,405
Severance111,752263,374537,584334,910
Retention Program Expenses––505,655–
Employee Relocation Expenses5,065(3,750)70,10715,360
Pre-Operating & Dark Carry Expenses2,663,8241,027,7382,663,8241,027,738
One-Time Legal Settlements1,204,058440,0001,204,058440,000
Other Non-Recurring Items1,304,501(191,674)3,436,773230,858
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$10,953,434$13,284,526$53,411,779$52,010,215
Revenue43,324,81540,147,287172,447,786159,379,219
Adjusted EBITDA Percent25.3 %33.1 %31.0 %32.6 %

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/schwazze-announces-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2023-financial-results-302101632.html

SOURCE Schwazze

Release – PDS Biotech Announces Clinical Strategy Update and Reports Full Year 2023 Financial Results

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on PDSB

Unique mechanism of action of the combination of PDS01ADC and Versamune® results in 3-year survival of 75% and 75% overall response rate in advanced head and neck cancer trial

As a result, Company to focus late-stage clinical strategy on triple combination of PDS01ADC, PDS0101 (Versamune® HPV) and KEYTRUDA® in advanced head and neck cancer

Strong safety profile of IL-12 fused antibody drug conjugate (PDS01ADC) demonstrated to date with data generated in >300 cancer patients; Versamune® HPV tested in >110 HNSCC patients

Successful recent meeting with FDA provided clear guidance on trial design and regulatory pathway for pivotal randomized trial of triple combination in recurrent metastatic HPV-positive HNSCC

Company to host conference call and webcast today at 8:00 AM ET

PRINCETON, N.J., March 27, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — PDS Biotechnology Corporation (Nasdaq: PDSB) (PDS Biotech or the Company), a late-stage immunotherapy company focused on transforming how the immune system targets and kills cancers and the development of infectious disease vaccines, today announced an update to its clinical development strategy and reported its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2023.

“We have obtained compelling data from several Phase 2 trials in the fourth quarter of 2023, including long-term survival data from the National Cancer Institute (NCI)-led triple combination trial of PDS01ADC in combination with Versamune® HPV (PDS0101) and an investigational immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI), as well as our VERSATILE-002 study,” said Frank Bedu-Addo, PhD, President and Chief Executive Officer of PDS Biotech. “We now have a better understanding of how our drug platform technology works in advanced cancer, and we have therefore made the strategic, data-driven decision to add our novel, investigational IL-12 fused antibody drug conjugate, PDS01ADC, to the promising combination of Versamune® HPV and KEYTRUDA® to advance the triple combination as our top clinical development priority.”

“By initially addressing the rapidly growing unmet medical need in recurrent metastatic HPV+ head and neck squamous cell cancer (HNSCC), we strongly believe this approach may rapidly establish our proprietary combination of PDS01ADC and Versamune® HPV as a transformative oncology treatment. The data suggest that the triple combination may result in a significant improvement in overall survival rates for patients who currently lack an effective treatment option. It may also significantly increase the rates of durable tumor shrinkage or overall responses,” said Dr. Bedu-Addo. “We are grateful to the patients and physicians who participated in the clinical trials which have helped inform our understanding of how the drug therapies may be used most effectively to safely address advanced cancer, and our decision to prioritize the triple combination.”

With the recent long-term survival Phase 2 data from the NCI-led triple combination trial, together with favorable safety and extended survival results seen in both ICI naïve and resistant patients in our VERSATILE-002 trial, PDS Biotech has decided to prioritize the triple combination in place of the VERSATILE-003 trial. This decision enables PDS Biotech to focus its resources on the drug regimen it believes has the highest potential to benefit patients with HNSCC and to drive shareholder value.

“We have had several discussions with key opinion leaders in HNSCC regarding the use of the triple combination in HNSCC. A clear unmet need is seen in HPV+ HNSCC with few agents being studied in this population due to the difficulty in treating advanced HNSCC,” said Kirk V. Shepard, M.D., Chief Medical Officer of PDS Biotech. “These discussions with expert HNSCC oncologists have guided our decision to prioritize the triple combination in our efforts to address the growing incidence of advanced HPV+ HNSCC.”

“Despite good outcomes in many patients with HPV-related HNSCC, approximately 20% of patients will develop recurrent, incurable disease, often in young individuals in the prime of their lives. HPV-related HNSCC that progresses after standard first-line chemotherapy is a devastating, hard-to-treat cancer with no HPV-related treatment currently approved. The NCI clinical trial data show significant promise in the use of PDS01ADC in combination with Versamune® HPV,” said Katharine A. Price, M.D., Associate Professor of Oncology, Head and Neck Disease Group, Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center and Principal Investigator of PDS Biotech’s upcoming triple combination trial. “A controlled randomized clinical trial that builds upon the current data is warranted, and I am intrigued by the potential of this unique combination to treat HNSCC.”

Clinical Strategy Update

Triple Combination Clinical Trial (PDS01ADC, Versamune® HPV and KEYTRUDA®)

  • Company in discussions with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) on the design of potentially pivotal clinical trial to treat HPV+ HNSCC, with the trial expected to start in 2024.
  • Previously announced data from Phase 2 NCI-led triple combination clinical trial for the treatment of recurrent/metastatic ICI naïve and ICI resistant HPV16-positive cancers including head and neck, anal, cervical, vaginal and vulvar cancers support rationale:
    • ICI naïve group: 75% of patients remain alive at 36 months. The median overall survival (OS) was not reached. Published results show a 36-month survival rate of approximately 20% with ICIs. An overall response rate (ORR) of 75% and complete response of 38% were seen in patients treated with the triple combination. Published ORR of <40% seen with immunotherapeutic agents.
    • ICI resistant group: 12-month OS rate of 72%, and 63% ORR in patients with optimal dose of PDS01ADC. Median OS approximately 20 months; published 12-month OS rate in HPV-positive ICI-resistant cancer is ~30%; published median OS in HPV-positive ICI-resistant cancer is 3.4 months.
    • Responses were seen in all HPV-positive tumor types.

Leadership Appointments

  • In January 2024, announced the appointment of Dr. Shepard as Chief Medical Officer.
  • In November 2023, announced the appointment of Lars Boesgaard as Chief Financial Officer.

Full Year 2023 Financial Results

Net loss for the year ended December 31, 2023, was approximately $42.9 million, or $1.39 per basic and diluted share, compared to a net loss of $40.9 million, or $1.43 per basic share and diluted share, for the year ended December 31, 2022. The higher net loss was primarily the result of increased operating loss and increased net interest expense.

Research and development expenses for the year ended December 31, 2023, decreased to $27.8 million, compared to $29.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. The decrease of $1.7 million was primarily attributable to the $10 million purchase of the rights to PDS01ADC in 2022, partially offset by an increase in clinical costs of $6.1 million and an increase in personnel costs of $2.1 million.

General and administrative expenses for the year ended December 31, 2023, increased to $15.3 million compared to $12.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. The $3.1 million increase was primarily attributable to an increase in personnel costs of $1.5 million and an increase in professional fees of $1.6 million.

Total operating expenses for the year ended December 31, 2023, were $43.0 million, an increase of approximately 3.3% compared to $41.7 million total operating expenses for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Net interest expense increased to $1.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $0.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. The change was due to higher interest expense related to the Company’s notes payable, partially offset by higher interest income on bank deposits.

During the fourth quarter of 2023, the Company raised approximately $10.5 million in net proceeds from its “at-the-market” sales agreement.

The Company’s cash balance as of December 31, 2023, was $56.6 million.

Conference Call and Webcast
The conference call is scheduled to begin at 8:00 AM ET today, March 27, 2024. Participants should dial 877-704-4453 (United States) or 201-389-0920 (International) and reference conference ID 13745320. To access the webcast, please use the following link. The event will be archived on the Investor Relations section of PDS Biotech’s website for six months.

About PDS Biotechnology
PDS Biotechnology is a late-stage immunotherapy company focused on transforming how the immune system targets and kills cancers and the development of infectious disease vaccines. The Company plans to initiate a pivotal clinical trial in 2024 to advance its lead program in advanced head and neck squamous cell cancers (HNSCC). PDS Biotech’s lead program is a proprietary dual-acting combination of antibody drug conjugate (ADC) PDS01ADC and T-cell activator Versamune® HPV in regimen with a standard-of-care immune checkpoint inhibitor. Proof-of-concept long-term data have shown positive survival results and tumor shrinkage with this combination and indicate favorable tolerability.

With a novel investigational “inside-out” mechanism, the dual immunotherapy has shown compelling results with potential to successfully disrupt a tumor’s inside defenses, while also generating potent, targeted killer T-cells to attack the tumor from the outside. Robust data from more than 350 patients, as well as ongoing clinical trials across multiple tumor types and standard treatment regimens, have validated the platforms and point to potential broad utility.

Our Infectimune® based vaccines have demonstrated the potential to induce not only robust and durable neutralizing antibody responses, but also powerful T-cell responses, including long-lasting memory T-cell responses in pre-clinical studies to date. For more information, please visit www.pdsbiotech.com.

Forward Looking Statements
This communication contains forward-looking statements (including within the meaning of Section 21E of the United States Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Section 27A of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended) concerning PDS Biotechnology Corporation (the “Company”) and other matters. These statements may discuss goals, intentions and expectations as to future plans, trends, events, results of operations or financial condition, or otherwise, based on current beliefs of the Company’s management, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, management. Forward-looking statements generally include statements that are predictive in nature and depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, and include words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “likely,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “intend,” “forecast,” “guidance”, “outlook” and other similar expressions among others. Forward-looking statements are based on current beliefs and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results could differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement as a result of various factors, including, without limitation: the Company’s ability to protect its intellectual property rights; the Company’s anticipated capital requirements, including the Company’s anticipated cash runway and the Company’s current expectations regarding its plans for future equity financings; the Company’s dependence on additional financing to fund its operations and complete the development and commercialization of its product candidates, and the risks that raising such additional capital may restrict the Company’s operations or require the Company to relinquish rights to the Company’s technologies or product candidates; the Company’s limited operating history in the Company’s current line of business, which makes it difficult to evaluate the Company’s prospects, the Company’s business plan or the likelihood of the Company’s successful implementation of such business plan; the timing for the Company or its partners to initiate the planned clinical trials for PDS01ADC, PDS0101, PDS0203 and other Versamune® and Infectimune® based product candidates; the future success of such trials; the successful implementation of the Company’s research and development programs and collaborations, including any collaboration studies concerning PDS01ADC, PDS0101, PDS0203 and other Versamune® and Infectimune® based product candidates and the Company’s interpretation of the results and findings of such programs and collaborations and whether such results are sufficient to support the future success of the Company’s product candidates; the success, timing and cost of the Company’s ongoing clinical trials and anticipated clinical trials for the Company’s current product candidates, including statements regarding the timing of initiation, pace of enrollment and completion of the trials (including the Company’s ability to fully fund its disclosed clinical trials, which assumes no material changes to the Company’s currently projected expenses), futility analyses, presentations at conferences and data reported in an abstract, and receipt of interim or preliminary results (including, without limitation, any preclinical results or data), which are not necessarily indicative of the final results of the Company’s ongoing clinical trials; any Company statements about its understanding of product candidates mechanisms of action and interpretation of preclinical and early clinical results from its clinical development programs and any collaboration studies; the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern; and other factors, including legislative, regulatory, political and economic developments not within the Company’s control. The foregoing review of important factors that could cause actual events to differ from expectations should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with statements that are included herein and elsewhere, including the other risks, uncertainties, and other factors described under “Risk Factors,” “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and elsewhere in the documents we file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this press release and, except as required by applicable law, the Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statement, or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.  

Versamune® and Infectimune® are registered trademarks of PDS Biotechnology Corporation.

KEYTRUDA® is a registered trademark of Merck Sharp and Dohme LLC, a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, N.J., USA.

Investor Contact:
Mike Moyer
LifeSci Advisors
Phone +1 (617) 308-4306
Email: mmoyer@lifesciadvisors.com

Media Contact:
Gina Mangiaracina
6 Degrees
Phone +1 (917) 797-7904
Email: gmangiaracina@6degreespr.com

View full release here.

Big Pharma Goes Bio-Prospecting: Why Major Drug Makers Are Buying Innovative Biotech Startups

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The biotech sector has seen a flurry of acquisition activity in recent months, with large pharmaceutical companies opening their checkbooks to snap up promising small and micro-cap players. This deal-making frenzy underscores the value that nimble startups can bring to big pharma through their cutting-edge research and drug development pipelines.

For the pharmaceutical giants, acquiring innovative biotechs provides a vital influx of new drug candidates and therapies to revitalize stagnant pipelines and drive future revenue growth. Many large drug makers have struggled to internally develop enough new blockbuster treatments to replace aging cash cows going off-patent. Rather than go it alone in risky early-stage R&D, they are turning to biotech upstarts working at the frontiers of medicine.

These small biotech firms are proving to be fertile ground for novel drug discoveries. Despite their tiny team and budget, biotech startups can move nimbly to translate university research into therapeutic candidates. Their laser focus on narrow areas like orphan diseases, gene therapies, or targeted oncology treatments allows them to rapidly innovate in ways that large pharma bureaucracies cannot.

By acquiring these startups, big pharma gains a fast-track to promising new drugs and therapies that would take years and billions to develop internally. They can get first-mover advantage on groundbreaking new treatment modalities. Just as importantly, they acquire the entrepreneurial scientific talent behind the discoveries.

This acquisition appetite from pharma giants shows no signs of slowing. Just this month, AbbieVie acquired small biotech Landos Biopharma for $212 million to gain its promising autoimmune pipeline. AstraZeneca paid $2.4 billion for Fusion Pharmaceuticals and its next-gen oncology radioconjugates. The list goes on.

The drivers behind this deal surge were presciently spotted by Channelchek back in December 2023. Channelchek’s biotech research analysis predicted that the beaten-down biotech sector was poised for a major rebound, writing:

“The fresh upswing in biotech M&A follows a wave of dip buying from some the world’s largest asset managers in shares of industry leaders like Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has been particularly aggressive stepping in to purchase stakes in key biopharma bluechips.”

Channelchek’s forecast proved accurate, as biotech stocks have rallied and M&A activity has heated up in recent months. Big pharma’s shopping spree for innovative biotechs continues to gain momentum.

As Nico Pronk, Chief Executive Officer at Noble Capital Markets, stated: “Our platform aims to help amplify the stories of these cutting-edge biotech innovators to the investors and strategic partners seeking out emerging growth opportunities.” There is a funding gulf that still exists for startups looking to take their discoveries to the next level.

For investors and emerging biotechs seeking to capitalize on this next wave of consolidation, Noble Capital Markets is hosting its Emerging Growth Virtual Healthcare Equity Conference on April 17-18, 2024. This online investor forum will allow public healthcare, biotech and medical devices firms to present their company stories directly to institutional funds, family offices, and retail investor audiences. To register for this event showcasing the future disruptors of healthcare, visit the conference registration page here.

The big pharma acquisition binge shines a light on the value that small, innovative biotech players can bring to the healthcare ecosystem through their scientific discoveries. With deep-pocketed buyers on the prowl, the stage is set for the next generation of medical breakthroughs to be commercialized at scale.

Xcel Brands (XELB) – Opportunistically Fills Its Coffers

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Xcel Brands, Inc. 1333 Broadway 10th Floor New York, NY 10018 United States https:/Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 84 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Robert W. D’Loren Chairman, Pres & CEO 1.27M N/A 1958 Mr. James F. Haran CFO, Principal Financial & Accou

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Additional capital secured. On March 15, 2024, the company announced the completion of a secondary offering, which raised expected net proceeds of $2.2 million. In our view, there were several reasons for the offering, including funding start up costs for potential strategic partnerships in the pipeline, and gaining institutional interest. We view the capital raise favorably and believe it could enhance both revenue and cash flow growth.

Strategic partnerships. In December 2023, the company announced an exciting strategic partnership with Christie Brinkley to develop a lifestyle and apparel brand, TWRHLL, for distribution in retail and livestream commerce. Notably, Christie Brinkley will serve as the face of the brand and will make media appearances to promote TWRHLL’s product release, which is scheduled for spring 2024. Notably, Ms. Brinkley’s star power could illuminate the company’s new platform, ORME.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Momentum Increasing Stock Price, Moving to Market Perform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Moving to Market Perform. With the shares shooting past our recently raised $16 price target, we are lowering our rating to Market Perform from Outperform. LWAY shares over the last month have increased from $12.31 to $19.16 as of yesterday’s close.

Momentum in 2024. Year-to-date, LWAY shares have increased 42.9%. Over the last five trading days, average daily volume (ADV) has been just over 221,565 shares. The last three months have had an ADV of 59,642. We believe the increased volume is a reflection on the Company’s operational performance, with the Company recently capping a record year in revenue. The takeover speculation still looms around the Company, which also could be a driver of the price.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Labrador Gold Corp. (NKOSF) – Take-Aways from a Recent Management Presentation

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Focus on Newfoundland. Labrador Gold’s President and Director, Dr. Roger Moss, recently delivered a presentation to the Toronto Geological Discussion Group entitled “The Kingsway Gold Project: Acquisition and Exploration in the Newfoundland Gold Rush.” Labrador Gold is advancing its flagship Kingsway gold project in the Central Newfoundland Gold Belt. The company is nearing completion of a 100,000-meter drilling program targeting high-grade gold mineralization along a 12-kilometer section of the Appleton Fault Zone with assays still pending. 

A retrospective. Dr. Moss discussed Labrador Gold’s history from its founding in 2017, when it was focused on gold in the Florence Lake Greenstone Belt at its Hopedale project in Labrador, to its March 2020 acquisition of its flagship Kingsway project in Newfoundland. While Labrador has funded exploration at both projects, drilling has centered on Kingsway in recent years. During the Q&A, Dr. Moss indicated that following several years of drilling at Kingsway, the company may take some time to evaluate and analyze results to date before embarking on the next phase of drilling at Kingsway.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Hits The Reset Button

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q4 miss. The company reported disappointing Q4 results with revenue of $41.0 million and adj. EBITDA of $2.3 million. Both figures were well below our estimates of $67.9 million and $6.4 million, respectively. The underperformance was largely driven by system changes that the company made to its Sell-side segment during the quarter.

Re-positioning for the future. During the quarter, the SSP underwent technological changes to enable it to process ad impressions using alternative IDs. This transformation was necessary for the company to prepare for the impending cookie deprecation, which Google is expected to implement later this year.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Bit Digital (BTBT) – Potential Expansion of AI Contract

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

More GPUs. Yesterday, Bit Digital received a proposal from the Company’s existing customer in Bit Digital AI to expand the scope of its agreement. The proposal calls for an additional 2,048 GPUs, amounting to a total of 4,096 GPUs under the amended agreement. Management intends to accept the proposal, subject to agreement on certain terms and conditions.

Revenue Potential. The current contract before the potential upsize has an annualized revenue run-rate of $50 million. If the proposal is fully realized, the Company would be close to, or meet, its goal of $100 million of annualized revenue by the end of 2024, in our view. Recall, management noted an additional $60 million of capital would be needed to get to the $100 million target through acquiring the necessary GPUs, based on current market conditions.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Alamos Gold’s Acquisition of Argonaut Gold Points to Renewed Anticipation Mining Sector

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

The gold mining industry saw an intriguing deal announced this week, with mid-tier producer Alamos Gold Inc. unveiling plans to acquire smaller rival Argonaut Gold Inc. for US$325 million. The transaction highlights an ongoing trend of consolidation in the metals mining space, as bigger players look to grow through acquisitions of promising assets and companies.

For Alamos, the main prize in this deal is the Magino development project in Ontario, Canada owned by Argonaut. Located right next door to Alamos’ Island Gold mine, Magino provides the company an opportunity to combine the two operations into one large, low-cost complex. Alamos expects to realize over US$500 million in synergies by integrating the two adjacent mines.

The acquisition of Magino significantly increases Alamos’ production profile. The combined company is expected to produce over 600,000 ounces of gold annually in the near-term, with longer-term potential exceeding 900,000 ounces per year at declining costs. This expanded scale bolsters Alamos’ position as one of Canada’s largest and lowest cost gold producers.

While Alamos gains Magino through this transaction, Argonaut’s other assets in the U.S. and Mexico will be spun out into a newly created company called SpinCo that will be owned by Argonaut’s current shareholders. This includes the operating Florida Canyon mine in Nevada as well as several development and exploration projects in Mexico.

The Alamos-Argonaut deal follows a number of similar acquisitions of smaller gold companies by more established miners over the past year. In 2023, Agnico Eagle Mines acquired Teck Resources’ minority stake in the Minas de San Nicolas mine in Mexico, while Kinross Gold acquired Great Bear Resources and its promising Dixie project in Ontario. Going back to 2022, there were several billion-dollar M&A transactions, including Newmont’s acquisition of Newcrest’s stake in the Cadia mine and Yamana Gold’s takeover by the Pan American Silver and Agnico Eagle joint venture.

According to analysts, this renewed appetite for M&A activity reflects a growing consensus that a new bull cycle may be emerging for precious metals like gold and silver. Record high inflation rates, continued economic uncertainty, and a lack of major new production sources coming online have contributed to this increasingly bullish outlook.

The major gold producers are acquiring to restock their project pipelines and take advantage of prevailing low valuations for many junior developers and explorers. With higher metals prices anticipated, the big miners want to get positioned now ahead of the curve.

In addition to building out their growth profiles through M&A, the large miners are also investing heavily in exploration and advancing their existing development projects. This dual strategy of acquisitions and organic growth initiatives should help drive a new phase of production growth across the sector in the coming years as a potential bull market unfolds.

For smaller mining companies like Argonaut, deals like this provide an attractive exit opportunity and way to unlock value for shareholders. But they also highlight the continual restructuring happening in the mining space, as promising assets and companies get consolidated into the hands of more well-capitalized mid-tier and senior producers.

With metals prices expected to keep rising on the back of supply/demand imbalances, this wave of consolidation could be just the beginning. Analysts anticipate an acceleration of M&A activity as the big miners look to position themselves for the next bullish upswing in the commodity cycle.

Take a moment to take a look at Noble Capital Markets’ Senior Research Analyst Mark Reichman’s coverage list in the metals & mining sector.

Trump’s Truth Social Debut: A High-Stakes Gamble for Bullish Investors

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

Donald Trump’s social media platform Truth Social hit the public markets with a bang, surging over 30% on its first day of trading and ballooning the former president’s stake in the company to over $5 billion. However, the staggering valuation and volatility highlight both the risks and potential rewards for investors looking to capitalize on Truth Social’s polarizing popularity.

Trading under the appropriate ticker DJT, Truth Social’s parent company managed to achieve a peak market capitalization around $9 billion despite the fledgling business having under $5 million in sales over the prior year. The massive $6.8 billion opening valuation put Truth Social on par with well-established companies like U.S. Steel and Skechers.

This eye-popping disconnect from financial fundamentals echoes the frenzied trading in meme stocks like GameStop that has gripped markets in recent years. In Truth Social’s case, the dramatic stock rise seems fueled largely by Trump’s devoted base of supporters, who have banded together to push up the shares.

For investors who bought in early, those efforts have paid off handsomely – at least on paper. However, cashing in those gains won’t be easy for Trump himself or others with a major stake. Stocks that go public through deals like Truth Social’s typically prohibit insider sales for 6 months.

Trump and the seven-member Truth Social board, stacked with allies like his son Don Jr., certainly have incentive to allow some profits to be taken off the table soon. Any signal of insider selling could severely dent the company’s lofty stock price if shareholders perceive waning confidence.

Therein lies one of the biggest risks surrounding an investment in Truth Social – the potential for exceedingly high volatility driven by speculation rather than business performance. If Trump’s devoted base sours on the company’s prospects, a spiral could ensue.

On the other hand, the frenzied first day demonstrated how Trump’s mere involvement and ability to marshal his base can supercharge an investment thesis, at least in the short term.

Additionally, Trump may receive tens of millions of extra shares if the sky-high valuation holds up in the coming weeks. This would further concentrate his influence over the company’s future.

For risk-tolerant investors, there’s also the potential that Truth Social could eventually disrupt incumbent social media platforms and transform into a financially viable business at scale. Though it has struggled against larger rivals thus far, Trump’s massive following of over 90 million combined on X and Facebook could provide a springboard.

From a trading perspective, Truth Social’s arrival has already juiced options volumes to potentially record levels. Traders loaded up on bullish call options betting on shares surging to $80 or $90 in a sign of the speculative frenzy around the stock.

Ultimately, while Truth Social’s jaw-dropping debut minted a new billionaire out of Trump, it has set the stage for a gladiator battle between bullish and bearish investors. With both immense risks and rewards, Truth Social is shaping up as the ultimate “investor Rorschach test” based on one’s convictions around Trump and his ability to create a viable media business.

Major Bridge Collapse in Baltimore Disrupts Shipping, Highlights Infrastructure Risks

Posted on by slightbourne@noblecapitalmarkets.com

In a shocking incident early Tuesday morning, the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore collapsed after being struck by a large container ship. The bridge carried Interstate 695 over the Patapsco River, a critical transportation artery southeast of the Baltimore metropolitan area. Up to seven people may have fallen into the water after vehicles on the bridge were impacted, with two rescued so far.

This catastrophic event has wide-ranging implications, not just for the tragic loss of life and regional transportation, but also for the shipping and logistics industry. The container ship involved has been identified as the Singapore-flagged DALI, a 948-foot vessel chartered by shipping giant Maersk and operated by Synergy Marine Group.

While the cause is still under investigation, the incident starkly highlights the risks and vulnerabilities faced by the shipping industry and supply chains. A single accident can bring a vital port and transportation hub to a standstill. The U.S. Coast Guard has already suspended all vessel traffic in and out of the Port of Baltimore until further notice.

This is likely to cause significant disruptions and delays, not just for Baltimore but rippling across global shipping routes and supply chains that rely on the port. The Port of Baltimore handled over 15 million tons of foreign cargo in 2021 and is a critical gateway for international trade on the U.S. East Coast.

Investors in the shipping and logistics sectors will be watching developments closely. Major players like Maersk could face legal liabilities, higher insurance costs, reputational damage, and loss of business from prolonged port closures. Smaller shipping companies that rely on the Baltimore port may be even more heavily impacted operationally and financially.

The incident also casts a harsh spotlight on the state of U.S. infrastructure. Despite the Biden administration’s efforts through the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, incidents like this underscore the costs and risks of deficient transportation infrastructure. According to the American Road & Transportation Builders Association, over 43,000 bridges across the U.S. are classified as structurally deficient.

This could spur renewed focus on infrastructure spending and improvements, creating potential opportunities for companies involved in construction, engineering, and building materials. However, it also highlights risks for industries like trucking and logistics that depend heavily on safe and reliable transportation networks.

In the small cap space, companies with localized operations around the Baltimore area could face disruptions to business activity and supply chains. This may create trading opportunities for investors watching the impacts closely. Conversely, small caps that provide solutions for infrastructure monitoring, maintenance and security may see increased interest.

Overall, while the human toll is the primary tragedy, this incident is likely to have significant ripple effects across the economy, policy landscape and investment markets in the weeks and months ahead. Investors would be wise to closely monitor developments and reassess potential risks and opportunities across sectors like shipping, infrastructure, and industrial small caps.