Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO) – Estimates and PO raised on sharper-than-expected oil price rebound

Tuesday, June 23, 2020


Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO)

Estimates and PO raised on sharper-than-expected oil price rebound



Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Indonesia. It holds two oil and gas assets through its subsidiaries in Indonesia: one producing block (the Kruh Block) and one exploration block (the Citarum Block). The Kruh Block is located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra. The Citarum Block is located to the south of Jakarta.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Oil prices have rebounded sharply from the level assumed when we launched coverage in April. Brent oil prices, which were down near $20 at the time of our initiation, have rebounded to a level in the mid forties. We had modeled a rebound of $5 per quarter, a much slower rebound than we are witnessing. We are maintaining our long-term oil price assumption of $50 but now believe pricing will reach that level several years earlier than previously modeled.

    Higher oil prices mean higher earnings and cash flow. We are significantly raising our earnings and cash flow projections for the upcoming quarters to reflect higher prices. In addition, we have increased confidence that the company will meet our estimates. Importantly, higher cash flow will mean less external financing will be…


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Virtual Power Plants and Tesla Car Batteries

Tesla “Battery Day” Announcements Could Include Virtual Power Plants

A virtual power plant (VPP) is a cloud-based power plant that aggregates the capacities of independent energy resources at different locations into a power network.  The concept of a VPP is different from the traditional utility model that has a centralized generator, transmission lines, and a distribution network.  Under the traditional model, power flows in one direction.  The growth of renewable energy has changed the dynamics of power generation.  Once thought of as government-subsidized experiments, wind and solar power are now competitive with other energy sources.  The growth of renewable power has increased the need for a system that can efficiently store energy.  It has also spurred the growth of a market with dynamic pricing to reflect inconsistent supply and demand levels.

As renewable energy has grown, so too has distributed energy – small generation units that provide electricity on location, at times selling power back into the grid.  Owners value on-site generation now only for economic reasons but also reliability reasons as power outages have increased.  The result is an evolving system of hundreds of thousands of generation units in various locations and different cost structures.  In theory, computer models could coordinate all these generations units, dispatching units through a coordinated, dynamic, real-time pricing market.  In reality, VPP development is in the initial stages, although small experimental networks have been established in parts of Australia, Europe, California, and New York.

Where Does Tesla Come In?

In 2018, Tesla began installing Powerwalls in homes.  Powerwalls are large lithium-ion batteries that can provide up to seven days of continuous power in the event of an outage.  They often work in tandem with residential solar panels.  Powerwalls can be installed in parallel to increase capacity. Powerwalls can be controlled remotely by a mobile app to optimize the cost of energy for customers with electric rates that vary depending on the time of day or the season.  Typically, users will generate energy from solar panels during the day and store any excess power in the Powerwall.  At night, when power prices are typically lower, the user will take electricity from the grid or draw down on the Powerwall battery.  One use of the Powerwall would be to charge electric car batteries overnight.

Why are Electric Cars Important?

Tesla, as with other electric cars, requires enormous battery capacity, the company has hinted that it is making advances that could increase the capacity and storage life of the batteries.  Elon Musk has indicated that it will hold a “Battery Day” perhaps in July, which has ignited speculation regarding their latest battery developments.   Some believe Tesla will reveal a cheaper battery that will make electric cars as inexpensive as gas cars.  Others expect Tesla to announce that it can make a battery that lasts a million miles or one that doubles the mileage range of cars.  Others speculate that the next generation of car batteries will be powerful enough and last long enough that they can frequently cycle charges.  The car batteries, then, would act in tandem or perhaps even as a substitute for Powerwalls, perhaps taking the next step of selling excess capacity back into the grid.

So How Would this Work?

Tesla car batteries would be charged overnight using solar power stored in a homeowner’s Powerwall.  The owner then drives the car to work and plugs into an outlet that can either take electricity from the grid or give it back.  With power prices typically higher during the day during times of peak demand and the car sitting idle, charging and uncharging the car each day would be economical.  The owner can program base power requirements into a mobile app to make sure he has adequate power to drive home, run errands, etc.  Car batteries could also take the place of backup generators.  If there is a power outage, one could use the stored current in the battery to power up the Powerwall.  And, since car batteries are mobile, they can charge up in areas with power and then relocate to areas without power.  Imagine a rolling blackout that is accompanied by a rotating fleet of vehicles that power up at night and then transport to the next area where blackouts are planned.  Add the mobility of cars to the mix and the utility system as we know it will have completely changed.

What Does This Mean for Utilities?

Utilities have undergone a process of deregulation that separates power generation from power distribution.  Distribution will remain regulated as there will remain cost advantages to having one entity own and coordinate a distribution grid.  Generation is more open to competition, including the use of battery power as a source of power “generation.”  Electric utilities have long sought ways to reduce growing demand to forego building new, expensive power plants.  Most utilities promote conservation even though it means less demand for their product.  Existing power plants are typically low-cost producers that will continue to provide baseload demand.  The idea of VPPs should not be viewed as competition for electric utilities but rather partners to them.

 

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Sources:

https://cleantechnica.com/2020/02/09/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-powerwall-2-2019-edition/, Kyle Field, CleanTechnica, February 9th, 2020

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pP971PYzQJs, Battery Day is Coming, In Depth, May 15, 2020

https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063234625, David Ferris, E&E News, May 26, 2020

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/what-will-it-take-to-build-the-market-for-virtual-power-plants, Justin Gerdes, gtm, June 25, 2020

https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/oeprod/DocumentsandMedia/ABB_Attachment.pdf, Aaron Zurborg, worldpower 2010

https://www.infoq.com/presentations/tesla-vpp/

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA) – Reinforcing its Role in the U.S. Critical Minerals Supply Chain

Monday, June 1, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)

Reinforcing its Role in the U.S. Critical Minerals Supply Chain

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Department of Energy update on nuclear leadership strategy. The U.S. Department of Energy hosted a webinar on Friday, May 29 to discuss the Trump Administration’s strategy to restore American nuclear leadership. While the discussion did not provide much in the way of new information, it served to reaffirm the strategic importance of the front end of the nuclear fuel cycle and a desire to revive and strengthen the domestic uranium mining industry.

    Energy Fuels evaluates feasibility of processing rare earth elements (REE). While Energy Fuels’ primary business is uranium production and mining, the company is evaluating the expansion of its mission to include processing rare earth elements to enhance the domestic supply chain for critical minerals and…



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Reinforcing its Role in the U.S. Critical Minerals Supply Chain

Monday, June 1, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)

Reinforcing its Role in the U.S. Critical Minerals Supply Chain

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Department of Energy update on nuclear leadership strategy. The U.S. Department of Energy hosted a webinar on Friday, May 29 to discuss the Trump Administration’s strategy to restore American nuclear leadership. While the discussion did not provide much in the way of new information, it served to reaffirm the strategic importance of the front end of the nuclear fuel cycle and a desire to revive and strengthen the domestic uranium mining industry.

    Energy Fuels evaluates feasibility of processing rare earth elements (REE). While Energy Fuels’ primary business is uranium production and mining, the company is evaluating the expansion of its mission to include processing rare earth elements to enhance the domestic supply chain for critical minerals and…



    Click to get the full report.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Lower Multiples are a Good Case for Utility Investing

Virus Impact on Utilities is Low, Should Utility Stocks be Down Sharply?

Utility stocks, as measured by the Philadelphia Utility Index (UTY), have fallen 12% year to date.  This compares to a 16% decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a 10% decline in the S&P 500 Index, and a 22% decline in the Russell 2000 Index.  Utility stocks are conservative investments befitting their low Beta numbers.  When broader markets rise, they go up, but by a smaller amount.  When broader markets fall, they decline, but by a smaller amount. With the drop in utility stock prices, valuation multiples have declined as earnings, and cash flow projections have largely held steady in recent months.  Do lower multiples make a strong case for utility investing? Leading utility analysts such as Andrew Weisel of Scotia Capital argue as much. Or, are there other factors related to COVID-19 to consider before diving into the stocks?

The Case
for Utility Stocks

  • High yields protect returns.  Stocks of Utilities generate steady cash flow because rates are regulated, and sales are predictable.  This allows utility management to return a portion of its cash flow back to investors through a high dividend.  Investors find this comforting because a portion of their expected return is stable even if a utility’s stock price is not.   With an average utility yield around 3%, the spread between utility yields and government bonds has risen fivefold in the last two years.
  • Demand for utility services is
    stable.
      The economic downturn will undoubtedly force consumers to cut back on discretionary spending.  Electric, gas, and water services are not discretionary, especially when people are spending more time in their homes.  Industrial and commercial demand will undoubtedly fall.  However, margins on larger-user rates are small, and the impact of lost sales will be muted.
  • Utility stocks should perform well in
    today’s low-interest-rate environment
    . Utility stocks perform well when interest rates are low or falling.  This is because their high yield makes them investment surrogates to bonds.  It is also because most utilities are highly leveraged, and lower interest rates mean lower financing costs. 
  • Regulated returns protect utilities
    against any negative effects of COVID-19.
      Utility pricing is set by individual state regulators and designed to provide utilities the opportunity to earn a fair return on their shareholders’ investments.  This limits a utility’s upside but also protects it against competitive pressures, decreases in demand, rising costs, etc.  If there is a negative impact from COVID-19, a utility would have the option to file for higher rates to offset the impact.
  • Lower fuel costs could help demand.  Oil, natural gas, and coal prices have fallen in response to expectations for decreased demand due to the economic downturn.  As the cost to produce utility services fall, it is typically passed on to customers through fuel adjustment clauses.  Thus electric and gas costs to customers will be lower.  To the extent that demand is price-sensitive, utility sales could increase.

The Case Against
Utility Stocks

  • Uncollectable expenses will rise.  A 2018 report by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) found that a third of all Americans have trouble paying off their energy bills.  A 2016 McKinsey report found that utilities wrote off approximately two percent of their non-collectible revenues as bad debt.  That percent will undoubtedly increase in response to a sharp rise in unemployment.
  • Demand is falling.  The U.S. Energy Information Administration expects electric demand to fall by 3% overall this year because of business closures.  If you think that lost electric, gas, and water sales to business will be offset by increased use at home, think again.  Most homeowners do not adjust their thermostats when they leave their homes and will not consume more services when they are at home more.
  • Rate relief will be tougher to obtain.  As regulated entities, utilities can petition for a rate increase if they feel it does not have an adequate chance to earn a fair return on equity.  However, a fair return is typically defined as a level above risk-free rates designed to compensate investors for additional risks taken.  With government bond yields at historical lows, the allowed returns granted utilities are also declining.  In addition, regulators are facing increased political pressure to lessen the burden on constituents given economic hardships.  Therefore, it’s possible that regulators may recognize that utilities are earning less due to decreased demand or higher costs but still not grant rate relief.

Take-Away

Utility stocks have been largely ignored over the last fifteen with the economy and the broader market soaring.  They are receiving increased attention in response to COVID-19 and a decline in the stock market.  Like all industries, utilities will be negatively affected by an economic slowdown.  However, the impact is likely to be less than in other industries.  Meanwhile, utility stock prices have fallen sharply, almost as much as the overall market, making now a good time to review your portfolio and consider investing in utilities.

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 Sources:

https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/04/19/utility-stocks-arent-immune-to-covid-19s-impact.aspx, Matthew DiLallo, The Motley Fool, April 19, 2020

https://energycentral.com/c/um/making-sense-utility-stocks-performance-during-pandemic-market-rout, Rakesh Sharma, Energy Central, March 31, 2020

https://www.barrons.com/articles/utilities-stocks-haven-recession-debt-leverage-risky-51585151697, Lawrence C. Strauss, Barrons, March 25, 2020

https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/coronavirus-could-benefit-us-utility-stocks-analyst-says-57295096, Ellen Meyers, S&P Global, February 27, 2020

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-markets-havens-analysis/utilities-stocks-trump-other-havens-as-virus-fears-spread-idUSKBN1ZX0HR, Saqub Iqbal Ahmed, Reuters, February 3, 2020

https://www.ft.com/content/38ba602c-5e27-11ea-b0ab-339c2307bcd4, Anna Gross, Financial Times, March 5, 2020

Energy Services of America (ESOA) – Another Tough Quarter But Higher Backlog and PPP Loan are Positives

Friday, May 15, 2020

Energy Services of America (ESOA)

Another Tough Quarter But Higher Backlog and PPP Loan are Positives

Energy Services of America Corporation is engaged in providing contracting services for energy-related companies. The company is primarily engaged in the construction, replacement, and repair of natural gas pipelines and storage facilities for utility companies and private natural gas companies. It services the gas, petroleum, power, chemical and automotive industries, and does incidental work such as water and sewer projects. Energy Service’s other services include liquid pipeline construction, pump station construction, production facility construction, water and sewer pipeline installations, various maintenance and repair services and other services related to pipeline construction.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Another soft quarter and challenging start to fiscal year 2020 continues. 2Q2020 (March) EBITDA of negative $1.2 million was below our estimate of $1.2 million. Revenue was lower than expected, as were margins, both gross and EBITDA. Total revenue was $25.8 million, down from $38.3 million in 1Q2020. We expected some seasonality over the first two fiscal quarters, but we clearly miscalculated the impact of the measures taken to curb the spread of COVID-19 and the slow down in the energy market triggered by sharply lower crude oil prices.

    Lowering FY2020 EBITDA to $3.5 million from $7.1 million to reflect lower 2Q2020 operating results and more moderate revenue and gross margin assumptions due to project cancellations/delays. No details were offered, but management stated that certain projects were cancelled and and others were delayed. At the same time, projects with revenue potential of more than $25 million are expected to start this quarter. Forecasted revenue moves down to $94.4 million from $110.1 million, with EBITDA margin of…




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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Another Tough Quarter But Higher Backlog and PPP Loan are Positives

Friday, May 15, 2020

Energy Services of America (ESOA)

Another Tough Quarter But Higher Backlog and PPP Loan are Positives

Energy Services of America Corporation is engaged in providing contracting services for energy-related companies. The company is primarily engaged in the construction, replacement, and repair of natural gas pipelines and storage facilities for utility companies and private natural gas companies. It services the gas, petroleum, power, chemical and automotive industries, and does incidental work such as water and sewer projects. Energy Service’s other services include liquid pipeline construction, pump station construction, production facility construction, water and sewer pipeline installations, various maintenance and repair services and other services related to pipeline construction.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Another soft quarter and challenging start to fiscal year 2020 continues. 2Q2020 (March) EBITDA of negative $1.2 million was below our estimate of $1.2 million. Revenue was lower than expected, as were margins, both gross and EBITDA. Total revenue was $25.8 million, down from $38.3 million in 1Q2020. We expected some seasonality over the first two fiscal quarters, but we clearly miscalculated the impact of the measures taken to curb the spread of COVID-19 and the slow down in the energy market triggered by sharply lower crude oil prices.

    Lowering FY2020 EBITDA to $3.5 million from $7.1 million to reflect lower 2Q2020 operating results and more moderate revenue and gross margin assumptions due to project cancellations/delays. No details were offered, but management stated that certain projects were cancelled and and others were delayed. At the same time, projects with revenue potential of more than $25 million are expected to start this quarter. Forecasted revenue moves down to $94.4 million from $110.1 million, with EBITDA margin of…




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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Torchlight Energy Resouces Inc. (TRCH) – Coverage Dropped

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Torchlight Energy Resouces Inc. (TRCH)

Coverage Dropped

Torchlight Energy Resources Inc acquires, explores, exploits, and develops oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company has an interest in four oil and gas projects: the Orogrande Project in Hudspeth County, Texas; the Hazel Project in Sterling, Tom Green, and Irion Counties, Texas; the Winkler Project in Winkler County, Texas; and the Hunton wells in partnership with Husky Ventures in central Oklahoma.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    We are dropping coverage of Torchlight Energy to devote resources to other areas. Past recommendations or estimates should not be viewed as reliable.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

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NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Coverage Dropped

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Torchlight Energy Resouces Inc. (TRCH)

Coverage Dropped

Torchlight Energy Resources Inc acquires, explores, exploits, and develops oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company has an interest in four oil and gas projects: the Orogrande Project in Hudspeth County, Texas; the Hazel Project in Sterling, Tom Green, and Irion Counties, Texas; the Winkler Project in Winkler County, Texas; and the Hunton wells in partnership with Husky Ventures in central Oklahoma.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    We are dropping coverage of Torchlight Energy to devote resources to other areas. Past recommendations or estimates should not be viewed as reliable.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE) – First Quarter Preview

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)

First Quarter Preview

Genie Energy Ltd, through its subsidiaries, operates as a retail energy provider; and an oil and gas exploration company. Its segments are Genie Retail Energy (GRE) which is the key revenue generator, Genie Energy Services (GES), and Genie Oil and Gas (GOGAS). GRE owns and operates retail energy providers (REPs), including IDT Energy, Residents Energy, Town Square Energy, and Mirabito. Its REP businesses resell electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States. GES designs, manufactures and distributes solar panels and also offers energy brokerage and advisory services. GOGAS is an oil and gas exploration company that owns an interest in a contracted drilling services operation and interest in Afek Oil and Gas (Afek).

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Genie is facing tough 1Q comparisons. In 2019, GNE reported a strong first quarter due to customer and new business acquisitions. The favorable results reversed in the second quarter when mild weather resulted in decreased customer usage, fewer customer conversions, and excess supply held at falling prices. We believe Thursday’s upcoming results could be a repeat of last year’s second quarter. We would remind investors that the shares of GNE fell approximately 30% in response to the announcement of 2Q results before recovering in the fall when the company repurchased shares.

    Weather was warm in the first quarter. The EIA reports heating degree days for the first quarter were 14% warmer than normal and 16% warmer than last year. Temperatures were even warmer in the east portion of the United States where GNE’s Retail Energy markets are generally located. This will most likely mean decreased customer usage and lower customer growth. We also believe it is probable the company will need to take a charge to…



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

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NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

First Quarter Preview

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)

First Quarter Preview

Genie Energy Ltd, through its subsidiaries, operates as a retail energy provider; and an oil and gas exploration company. Its segments are Genie Retail Energy (GRE) which is the key revenue generator, Genie Energy Services (GES), and Genie Oil and Gas (GOGAS). GRE owns and operates retail energy providers (REPs), including IDT Energy, Residents Energy, Town Square Energy, and Mirabito. Its REP businesses resell electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States. GES designs, manufactures and distributes solar panels and also offers energy brokerage and advisory services. GOGAS is an oil and gas exploration company that owns an interest in a contracted drilling services operation and interest in Afek Oil and Gas (Afek).

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Genie is facing tough 1Q comparisons. In 2019, GNE reported a strong first quarter due to customer and new business acquisitions. The favorable results reversed in the second quarter when mild weather resulted in decreased customer usage, fewer customer conversions, and excess supply held at falling prices. We believe Thursday’s upcoming results could be a repeat of last year’s second quarter. We would remind investors that the shares of GNE fell approximately 30% in response to the announcement of 2Q results before recovering in the fall when the company repurchased shares.

    Weather was warm in the first quarter. The EIA reports heating degree days for the first quarter were 14% warmer than normal and 16% warmer than last year. Temperatures were even warmer in the east portion of the United States where GNE’s Retail Energy markets are generally located. This will most likely mean decreased customer usage and lower customer growth. We also believe it is probable the company will need to take a charge to…



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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
certification and important disclosures included in the full report. 
NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA) – Slow but Steady Progress

Monday, May 4, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)

Slow but Steady Progress

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    No big surprises. Energy Fuels reported a first quarter loss of $5.7 million, or ($0.05) per share, compared to a loss of $12.1 million, or ($0.13) per share during the prior year period. We had forecast a loss of $6.2 million, or ($0.06) per share. While revenue was below our estimate, the variance was largely due to higher-than-expected other income in the amount of $2.5 million.

    Reasons for optimism. President Trump’s 2021 budget proposal includes $150 million to fund a strategic uranium reserve to provide assurance of uranium supplies and to support U.S. nuclear fuel cycle capabilities through the domestic production and conversion of uranium. Assuming no changes by the time an appropriations bill is signed into law by September 30, purchases could begin in fiscal year 2021 which begins October 1. Additionally, the U.S. Nuclear Fuel Working Group (NFWG) released recommendations supportive of uranium producers and…


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This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst
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NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of
this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before
making any investment decision.
 

Slow but Steady Progress

Monday, May 4, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)

Slow but Steady Progress

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.
Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

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    No big surprises. Energy Fuels reported a first quarter loss of $5.7 million, or ($0.05) per share, compared to a loss of $12.1 million, or ($0.13) per share during the prior year period. We had forecast a loss of $6.2 million, or ($0.06) per share. While revenue was below our estimate, the variance was largely due to higher-than-expected other income in the amount of $2.5 million.

    Reasons for optimism. President Trump’s 2021 budget proposal includes $150 million to fund a strategic uranium reserve to provide assurance of uranium supplies and to support U.S. nuclear fuel cycle capabilities through the domestic production and conversion of uranium. Assuming no changes by the time an appropriations bill is signed into law by September 30, purchases could begin in fiscal year 2021 which begins October 1. Additionally, the U.S. Nuclear Fuel Working Group (NFWG) released recommendations supportive of uranium producers and…


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