enCore Energy Corp. (ENCUF)(EU:CA) – Coverage Initiated As Outperform to Ride Uranium Price Wave

Friday, December 18, 2020

enCore Energy Corp. (ENCUF)(EU:CA)
Coverage Initiated As Outperform to Ride Uranium Price Wave

enCore Energy Corp together with its subsidiary, is engaged in the acquisition and exploration of resource properties. The company holds the Marquez project in New Mexico as well as the dominant land position in Arizona with additional other properties in Utah and Wyoming. The firm also owns or has access to North American and global uranium data including the Union Carbide, US Smelting and Refining, UV Industries, and Rancher’s Exploration databases in addition to a collection of geophysical data for the high-grade Northern Arizona Breccia Pipe District.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    The success of enCore Energy and its stock price is tied to the success of the domestic uranium industry. A glut of uranium on the global market caused uranium spot prices to fall below profitable levels in recent years. Most domestic production of uranium has shut down. If uranium prices return to historical levels, all domestic uranium companies including enCore Energy will do well. We believe such a move will occur in the next few years in response to rising demand and a decreasing international supply of uranium.

    enCore is in a good position to take advantage of a rise in uranium prices.  We believe enCore’s Rosita processing plant can be started quickly and relatively inexpensively should uranium prices rise. enCore’s strong balance sheet and low-cost structure give it a competitive advantage over other domestic uranium producers. As it waits for uranium prices to return, enCore has been putting together a …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Energy Services of America (ESOA) – Acquisition Adds Confidence to FY2021 Outlook

Thursday, December 17, 2020

Energy Services of America (ESOA)
Acquisition Adds Confidence to FY2021 Outlook

Energy Services of America Corporation is engaged in providing contracting services for energy-related companies. The company is primarily engaged in the construction, replacement, and repair of natural gas pipelines and storage facilities for utility companies and private natural gas companies. It services the gas, petroleum, power, chemical and automotive industries, and does incidental work such as water and sewer projects. Energy Service’s other services include liquid pipeline construction, pump station construction, production facility construction, water and sewer pipeline installations, various maintenance and repair services and other services related to pipeline construction.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Attractive acquisition announced. WV Pipeline, Inc., located in Princeton, West Virginia, will be acquired for $6.5 million, including cash of $3.5 million and a note of $3.0 million. The expected closing is December 31st, and WV Pipeline will become a new sub, with management remaining in place (David Bolton as President and Daniel Bolton as VP). The company, which has a long operating history in WV, meets a strategy goal of extending and bolstering services to gas and water distribution utilities. While financials for WV Pipeline were not disclosed, we believe that the multiple was attractive, or not much higher than the current EV/EBITDA multiple in the ~3-4x range), and the impact on FY2021 margins should be positive.

    Acquisition adds confidence to FY2021 EBITDA estimate of $10.8 million.  EBITDA growth in the 30% range reflects the strong finish to FY2020 and sustained higher profitability due to the shift in the business model. Forecasted revenue of $122.5 million is a slight 3% improvement from FY2020 revenue of $119.2 million and EBITDA of $10.8 million is about $2.7 million higher than $8.1 million in …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA) – Line of Sight Toward Commercial Mixed REE Production Investor Webcast on December 15

Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Energy Fuels (UUUU)(EFR:CA)
Line of Sight Toward Commercial Mixed REE Production; Investor Webcast on December 15

As of April 24, 2020, Noble Capital Markets research on Energy Fuels is published under ticker symbols (UUUU and EFR:CA). The price target is in USD and based on ticker symbol UUUU. Research reports dated prior to April 24, 2020 may not follow these guidelines and could account for a variance in the price target.

Energy Fuels is the largest uranium producer in the U.S. and holds more production capacity and uranium resources than any other U.S. producer. The Company also produces vanadium. Headquartered in Colorado, Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch ISR Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Facility in Texas. The producing White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill in the U.S. and has a licensed capacity of 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Nichols Ranch is in production and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. Alta Mesa is currently on standby. Energy Fuels also owns several licensed and developed uranium and vanadium mines on standby and other projects in development.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Commercial production of mixed rare earth element (REE) carbonate. Energy Fuels executed a three-year agreement with The Chemours Company (NYSE, CC, Not rated) to purchase 2,500 tons of monazite sands per year. Beginning in the first quarter 2021, Energy Fuels will begin processing the monazite at its White Mesa Mill to recover uranium and produce a marketable mixed rare earth carbonate containing ~71% total rare earth oxides (TREO) ready for sale to third-party REE separation facilities. The goal is to process at least 15,000 tons of monazite per year for the recovery of REEs and uranium which would represent about 2% of White Mesa’s throughput capacity.

    Moving downstream?  While the company could execute sales agreements with third party separation facilities shortly, Energy Fuels is also evaluating the potential to perform REE separation at White Mesa, along with other downstream REE activities …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Rising Oil Prices and Small-Cap Energy Stocks

 


Small-Cap Energy Underperformance During the Drop in Oil is Unwinding

 

It is no surprise that energy stocks are highly correlated to energy prices, mainly oil prices. The chart below shows the correlation between oil prices and the relative performance of energy stocks (XLE Index) as compared to the S&P 500 Index. This relationship has been true through up markets and down markets. That is, until recent quarters. Note how energy stocks continued to fall relative to the overall market in 2018-2019 even as oil prices stabilized.

 

Price per barrel vs. S&P 500 energy sector

A similar story can be told by looking at the performance of energy stocks over the last six months. Energy stocks were flat even as the WTI oil prices (using near month future contract as a proxy) began to stabilize and rise.

 

 

There are many reasons for this. Energy stocks are a function of investors’ viewpoints about the long-term performance of a company, while oil future contracts reflect a shorter time span. Or perhaps the high yield of energy stocks help to smooth out stock price performance during energy price cycles. The energy stock underperformance may reflect a growing understanding that renewable energy and electric vehicles may mean less demand for oil in the long term. Or it may reflect concerns that the pandemic-induced global slowdown has negatively impacted demand. Such a theory would explain why energy stocks have rebounded in recent weeks with the development of vaccines.

Either way, it would appear that energy stocks are gaining favor after several years of being in the doghouse. So, if you are an investor and ready to get your feet wet by adding to energy stock positions, what is the best way to do it? We believe a strong argument can be made for focusing on small-cap energy companies. As the chart below shows, small-cap energy stocks (PSCE index) have underperformed the broader energy stocks market (XLE) through the down cycle. This is not surprising as larger cap stocks are more likely to be the first to react to changes in industry fundamentals given their liquidity.

 

 

Of course, this trend works the opposite way as well. When energy prices rise, we would expect larger energy stocks to react first, but smaller energy stocks to eventually follow. We may have hit that inflection point in early November when oil price started rising. WTI and Brent oil prices have both risen about $10/bbls since the beginning of November and energy stocks are starting to rebound.

 

 

Note the strength in the PSCE small cap energy index since stocks have started to rise. Small cap energy stocks still have a long way to go to recover several years of underperformance, but the performance of the last few weeks may be a sign that the gap is starting to close.

 

Suggested Reading:

Are
we headed to Another Oil Collapse?

Contango
and the Known Risk to ETFs

Will
Oil Prices Rise in 2021?

 

Do You Know a Student  Who Could Use $7,500 for College?

Tell them about the College Challenge!

 

Release – Energy Fuels (UUUU) – Set to Enter Commercial Rare Earth Business in Q1 2021

 

 


Energy Fuels Set to Enter Commercial Rare Earth Business in Q1-2021, Producing Materials That Make Many Clean Energy and Advanced Technologies Possible; Webcast on Dec. 15

 

New Monazite Supply Agreement with The Chemours Company
Supports Energy Fuels’ Efforts to Help Reestablish Key U.S. Supply Chain

 

LAKEWOOD, Colo., Dec. 14, 2020 /CNW/ – Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) (TSX: EFR) (“Energy Fuels” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has entered into a three-year supply agreement with The Chemours Company (NYSE: CC) (“Chemours”) to acquire a minimum of 2,500 tons per year of natural monazite sands, one of the highest-grade rare earth element (“REE”) minerals in the world. Energy Fuels expects to process this monazite at its 100%-owned White Mesa Mill starting in Q1-2021, recover the contained uranium, and produce a marketable mixed REE carbonate, representing an extremely important step toward re-establishing a fully-integrated U.S. REE supply chain.

Upon a successful ramp-up of this program, Energy Fuels will be the first U.S. company in several years to produce a marketable mixed REE concentrate ready for separation on a commercial scale. We estimate that the amount of REEs contained in the monazite sands to be supplied by Chemours will equal close to 10% of total current U.S. REE demand, as contained in end-use products.

REEs are the building-blocks of a wide array of clean energy and advanced technologies, including wind turbines, electric vehicles, cell phones, computers, flat panel displays, advanced optics, catalysts, medicine, and national defense applications. Monazite also contains significant recoverable quantities of uranium, which fuels the production of carbon-free electricity using nuclear technology.

“With our announcement today, southeast Utah is fast becoming America’s clean energy and critical minerals hub,” stated Mark S. Chalmers, President and CEO of Energy Fuels. “Our goal is to domestically produce the raw materials needed for clean energy and advanced technologies, while creating green jobs in an economically challenged part of the country. Currently, the U.S. imports nearly all of our rare earth, uranium and vanadium requirements, despite having ample supplies here in the U.S. Importantly, in the United States we are highly regulated and operate to the highest standards, which means we produce these minerals more responsibly than many of the countries from which we currently import. Our agreement with Chemours may be the beginning of a real success story, not only for Energy Fuels, but also for local communities, Native Americans, conservation groups, the State of Utah, and the U.S. as a whole.”

“Our partnership with Energy Fuels to help support the rare earth supply chain in the U.S. came from a deliberate process of customer engagement and developing sustainable solutions for our critical minerals. This is consistent with Chemours’ goals of supporting advanced technologies and clean energy, and we will continue efforts to grow and diversify the domestic supply chain,” stated Bryan Snell, President of Titanium Technologies at Chemours.

Typical monazite sand ores from the southeast U.S. average about 55% total rare earth oxides (“TREO”) and 0.20% uranium, which is the typical grade of uranium found in uranium mines that have historically fed the White Mesa Mill. Of the 55% TREO typically found in the monazite sands, the neodymium and praseodymium oxides (“NdPr”) comprise approximately 22% of the TREO. Nd and Pr are among the most valuable of the REEs, as they are the key ingredient in the manufacture of high-strength permanent magnets which are essential to the lightweight and powerful motors required in electric vehicles (“EVs”) and permanent magnet wind turbines used for renewable energy generation, as well as to an array of other modern technologies, including, mobile devices and defense applications.

The monazite sands will be from Chemours’ Offerman Mineral Sand Plant in Georgia. Shipments of monazite sands from Georgia to the White Mesa Mill in Utah are expected to commence in the first quarter of 2021. The Company expects to recover uranium from the monazite and produce a commercially salable mixed REE carbonate containing ~71% TREO (dry basis). This REE product will be ready for REE separation, which is the next step in producing usable REE products.

The Company is also in discussions with other entities to acquire additional supplies of monazite and is working with the U.S. Department of Energy (“DOE”) to evaluate the potential to process other types of REE and uranium bearing ores at the White Mesa Mill produced from coal-based resources. The Company has a goal to process 15,000+ tons of monazite and other sources of ore per year for the recovery of REEs and uranium.

The Company also believes this project may, in time, result in among the lowest-cost REE production in the western world, since the Company is obtaining monazite from existing mining facilities in Georgia (and potentially elsewhere) and utilizing its existing White Mesa Mill processing facility in Utah. Utilizing existing facilities avoids the significant time and cost required to license and develop new facilities. In addition, since monazite sands are currently being separated from other mineral sands in Georgia and elsewhere, the Company will only incur the cost to acquire the monazite, thereby avoiding mining costs and associated risks.

The Company expects to sell some or all of its mixed REE carbonate to buyers in Europe and/or Asia until a REE separation facility is established in the United States. The Company is also evaluating the potential to perform REE separation, and potentially other downstream REE activities, including metal-making and alloying, in the future at the White Mesa Mill or elsewhere in the United States.

Further, Energy Fuels’ mixed REE carbonate production from monazite sand ores is expected to utilize only a very small amount of the White Mesa Mill’s ore production capacity and very little waste. The Company expects to acquire a minimum 2,500 tons of monazite sands in 2021 from Chemours alone and is looking to increase production in the future to up to approximately 15,000 tons of monazite sands per year. For comparison, the White Mesa Mill is licensed and designed to process 2,000 tons of ore per day on average, or 720,000 tons of ore per year. Therefore, 2,500 tons of monazite per year represents less than 0.4% of the Mill’s ore throughput capacity, and 15,000 tons would represent only about 2% of its throughput capacity. If the Company is successful in securing 15,000 tons of ore similar to the Chemours monazite, the Company believes it would produce approximately 50% of U.S. REE demand in a mixed REE carbonate. Furthermore, since monazite is typically comprised of approximately 55% recoverable uranium and REEs, the total volume of resulting waste is significantly lower than for most other mill feeds. The Company currently has 1.5 million tons of existing capacity in its fully-constructed, state-of-the-art, 1,000-year design tailings impoundments. Therefore, the annual waste streams from monazite ore processing will represent less than 1% of existing tailings capacity. Even at higher levels of monazite processing, very little waste will be generated.

Mr. Chalmers continued: “We are extremely excited about working with Chemours to help reestablish U.S. rare earth production. Chemours is a leader in the U.S. heavy mineral sands industry, and, together we are now taking an important first step in returning the REE supply chain back to the United States. We look forward to working with Chemours in the future to expand our mutual contributions to this important initiative.

“This is a proud moment for Energy Fuels, as we deploy our unique capabilities to benefit both the environment and our shareholders. Energy Fuels already produces uranium, which is the fuel for clean, carbon-free nuclear energy. And we periodically produce vanadium, which is used in the production of steel, aerospace alloys, and advanced grid-scale batteries used to store renewable energy. The responsible production of rare earths and uranium from natural monazite sand ores is an important clean-technology addition to those programs. We are also seeking to help the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Navajo Nation address historic, government-sponsored uranium mines, a project to which I am personally deeply committed.”

Webcast on Tuesday, December 15, 2020 at 11:00 am ET (9:00 am MT)

Energy Fuels will be hosting a video webcast on Tuesday, December 15, 2020 at 11:00 am ET (9:00 am MT) to discuss the Company’s entry into the commercial rare earth space. To join the webcast, please click on the link below to access the presentation and the viewer-controlled webcast slides:

Energy Fuels Set to Enter Commercial Rare Earth Production in Q1-2021

If you would like to participate in the webcast and ask questions, please dial (888) 664-6392 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada).

A link to a recorded version of the proceedings will be available on the Company’s website shortly after the webcast by calling (888) 390-0541 (toll free in the U.S. and Canada) and entering the code 875131#. The recording will be available until December 29, 2020.

About Energy Fuels: Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. The Company also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and anticipates commencing commercial production of rare earth element (“REE”) carbonate in 2021. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado, near Denver, and all of its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR”) Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant, and is completing final test-work for the production of REE carbonate from various uranium-bearing ores. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also on standby and has a licensed capacity of 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 per year. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

This news release contains certain “Forward Looking Information” and “Forward Looking Statements” within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, which may include, but is not limited to, statements with respect to: the Company being a leading producer of uranium in the U.S.; any expectation that the Company is able to produce REE carbonate from uranium-bearing ores or that the Company will commence commercial production of REE carbonate in 2021 or at all; any expectation that the Company’s REE project may, in time, result in among the lowest cost REE production in the western world; any expectation that the Company will be successful in acquiring additional supplies of monazite, or will be successful in processing other types of REE- and uranium bearing ores at the White Mesa Mill; any expectation that the Company will be successful in achieving its goal of processing 15,000+ tons of monazite and other sources of ore per year; any expectation that the Company will be able to sell some or all of its REE carbonate to buyers in Europe and/or Asia until a REE separation facility is established in the United States; any expectation that the Company may potentially perform separation, and other downstream REE activities including metal-making and alloying, in the future at the White Mesa Mill or elsewhere in the United States; any expectation that the Company will be successful in helping the EPA and Navajo Nation address historic abandoned uranium mines; any expectation that the Company will significantly increase the number of green jobs it is providing at the White Mesa Mill; and any other statements regarding Energy Fuels’ future expectations, beliefs, goals or prospects; constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities legislation (collectively, “forward-looking statements”). All statements in this news release that are not statements of historical fact (including statements containing the words “expects,” “does not expect,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “does not anticipate,” “believes,” “intends,” “estimates,” “projects,” “potential,” “scheduled,” “forecast,” “budget” and similar expressions) should be considered forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements are subject to important risk factors and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Energy Fuels’ ability to control or predict. A number of important factors could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such forward-looking statements, including without limitation factors relating to: the Company being a leading producer of uranium in the U.S.; any expectation that the Company is able to produce REE carbonate from uranium-bearing ores or that the Company will commence commercial production of REE carbonate in 2021 or at all; any expectation that the Company’s REE project may, in time, result in among the lowest cost REE production in the western world; any expectation that the Company will be successful in acquiring additional supplies of monazite, or will be successful in processing other types of REE- and uranium bearing ores at the White Mesa Mill; any expectation that the Company will be successful in achieving its goal of processing 15,000+ tons of monazite and other sources of ore per year; any expectation that the Company will be able to sell some or all of its REE carbonate to buyers in Europe and/or Asia until a REE separation facility is established in the United States; any expectation that the Company may potentially perform separation, and other downstream REE activities including metal-making and alloying, in the future at the White Mesa Mill or elsewhere in the United States; any expectation that the Company will be successful in helping the EPA and Navajo Nation address historic abandoned uranium mines; any expectation that the Company will significantly increase the number of green jobs it is providing at the White Mesa Mill; and the other risk factors as described in Energy Fuels’ most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly financial reports. Energy Fuels assumes no obligation to update the information in this communication, except as otherwise required by law. Additional information identifying risks and uncertainties is contained in Energy Fuels’ filings with the various securities commissions, which are available online at www.sec.gov and www.sedar.com. Forward-looking statements are provided for the purpose of providing information about the current expectations, beliefs and plans of the management of Energy Fuels relating to the future. Readers are cautioned that such statements may not be appropriate for other purposes. Readers are also cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, that speak only as of the date hereof.

SOURCE Energy Fuels Inc.

Energy Services of America (ESOA) – PPP tax payment masks strong quarter and profitable year

Monday, December 14, 2020

Energy Services of America (ESOA)
PPP Tax Payment Masks Strong Quarter and Profitable Year

Energy Services of America Corporation is engaged in providing contracting services for energy-related companies. The company is primarily engaged in the construction, replacement, and repair of natural gas pipelines and storage facilities for utility companies and private natural gas companies. It services the gas, petroleum, power, chemical and automotive industries, and does incidental work such as water and sewer projects. Energy Service’s other services include liquid pipeline construction, pump station construction, production facility construction, water and sewer pipeline installations, various maintenance and repair services and other services related to pipeline construction.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Fiscal 4Q2020 (September) operating results above expectations. 4Q2020 revenues increased $6.2 million (16%) to $44.5 million from $38.3 million in 4Q2019, and EBITDA increased by $4.0 million (114%) to $7.0 million from $3.0 million in 4Q2019. While we don’t have the segment details yet, quarterly revenue was the highest in the past six quarters. A net loss of $0.039/share was reported in FY2020 due to a tax payment related to the PPP loan, adjusted net income of $0.126/diluted share was 31% higher than FY2019.

    Introducing FY2021 EBITDA estimate of $10.8 million to reflect the strong end to FY2020 and sustained higher profitability due to the shift in the business model.  Forecasted revenue of $122.5 million is a slight 3% improvement from $119.2 million and EBITDA of $10.8 million is about $2.7 million higher than $8.1 million in FY2020. Profitability should continue to improve and we forecast higher …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO) – Delay to Drilling Start May Be a Good Thing With Rising Oil Prices

Friday, December 11, 2020

Indonesia Energy Corp (INDO)
Delay to Drilling Start May Be a Good Thing With Rising Oil Prices

Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd is an oil and gas exploration and production company focused on Indonesia. It holds two oil and gas assets through its subsidiaries in Indonesia: one producing block (the Kruh Block) and one exploration block (the Citarum Block). The Kruh Block is located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra. The Citarum Block is located to the south of Jakarta.

Michael Heim, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    INDO management held a conference call to update investors on its drilling program. The President, CIO and Chief Development Officer were on the call. The call was largely a rehash of the company’s underlying story, but did have a few tidbits of new information. Chief among these was that management now expects the company to begin drilling its first well in the Kruh Block next month. As recently as October, it had been saying drilling would start at the end of 2020. Earlier in the year, it had been targeting an end of summer date but COVID-19 issues delayed drilling. Management continues to target 4 wells in 2021, 6 in 2022 and 7 in 2023.

    Management indicates it has completed most of the steps to start drilling.  The company has identified the locations for the first three wells it will drill. It has held a bidding process and awarded a contract to a driller. It is currently waiting on forestry permitting, the last hurdle. Each Kruh well costs around $1.5 million and will generate $1.3 million in cash flow at current oil prices. Cash …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) – Dr. Patrick Gruber to Participate in Water Tower Research Fireside Chat Series


Dr. Patrick Gruber to Participate in Water Tower Research Fireside Chat Series on Tuesday, December 15, 2020, at 3:00 pm EST

 

ENGLEWOOD, Colorado – December 10, 2020 – Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO), announced today that Dr. Patrick Gruber, Chief Executive Officer, will participate in Water Tower Research Fireside Chat Series to discuss Storing Renewable Energy Through the Creation of Liquid Hydrocarbons on Tuesday, December 15, 2020 at 3:00 pm EST.

Investors and other persons interested in participating in the event must register using the link below. Please note that registration for the live event is limited but may be accessed at any time for replay after the presentation ends on December 15, 2020, utilizing the same registration link.

Registration Link:

https://globalmeet.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1412691&tp_key=5b7e03f74e

 

About Gevo

Gevo is commercializing the next generation of jet fuel, gasoline and diesel fuel with the potential to achieve zero carbon emissions and address the market need of reducing greenhouse gas emissions with sustainable alternatives. Gevo uses low-carbon renewable resource-based carbohydrates as raw materials, and is in an advanced state of developing renewable electricity and renewable natural gas for use in production processes. As a result, Gevo is able to produce low-carbon fuels with substantially reduced carbon intensity (as measured by the level of greenhouse gas emissions compared to standard petroleum fossil-based fuels across their lifecycle). Gevo’s products perform as well or better than traditional fossil-based fuels in infrastructure and engines, but with substantially reduced greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to addressing the environmental problems of fossil-based carbon fuels, Gevo’s technology also enables certain plastics, such as polyester, to be made with more sustainable ingredients. Gevo’s ability to penetrate the growing low-carbon fuels market depends on the price of oil and the value of abating carbon emissions that would otherwise increase greenhouse gas emissions. Gevo believes that its proven, patented, technology that enables the use of a variety of low-carbon sustainable feedstocks to produce price-competitive, low carbon products, such as jet fuel, gasoline components like isooctane and isobutanol and diesel fuel, yields the potential to generate project and corporate returns that justify the build-out of a multi-billion dollar business. Learn more at our website: www.gevo.com

Investor & Media Contact
IR@gevo.com
+1 720-647-9605

SOURCE: Gevo

Release – Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) – Supplies Avfuel with Sustainable Aviation Fuel for Pacific Northwest Region


Gevo Supplies Avfuel with Sustainable Aviation Fuel for Pacific Northwest Region

 

ENGLEWOOD, Colorado – December 10, 2020 – Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO), announced today it has supplied SAF to further support carbon neutrality goals in the aviation industry.

Gevo’s customer and global fuel supplier, Avfuel Corporation, delivered SAF to Leading Edge Jet Center, a provider of business aviation services throughout the Pacific Northwest, to deliver a demonstrative load of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to the fixed-base operator’s (FBO) Seattle facility.

The delivery marks the first load of sustainable aviation fuel for an FBO at the King County International Airport – Boeing Field (BFI) for resale to its customers, as well as Avfuel’s entry to SAF deliveries in Washington state.

“I want to congratulate Avfuel and Leading Edge Jet Center for making progress towards a cleaner future,” stated Patrick Gruber, Chief Executive Officer of Gevo. “We look forward to growing our business relationship and helping to educate aircraft operators and owners that products exist that burn cleaner and reduce carbon emission.”

To learn more about Gevo’s SAF please visit: https://gevo.com/products/sustainable-aviation-fuel/

About Gevo

Gevo is commercializing the next generation of jet fuel, gasoline and diesel fuel with the potential to achieve zero carbon emissions and address the market need of reducing greenhouse gas emissions with sustainable alternatives. Gevo uses low-carbon renewable resource-based carbohydrates as raw materials, and is in an advanced state of developing renewable electricity and renewable natural gas for use in production processes. As a result, Gevo is able to produce low-carbon fuels with substantially reduced carbon intensity (as measured by the level of greenhouse gas emissions compared to standard petroleum fossil-based fuels across their lifecycle). Gevo’s products perform as well or better than traditional fossil-based fuels in infrastructure and engines, but with substantially reduced greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to addressing the environmental problems of fossil-based carbon fuels, Gevo’s technology also enables certain plastics, such as polyester, to be made with more sustainable ingredients. Gevo’s ability to penetrate the growing low-carbon fuels market depends on the price of oil and the value of abating carbon emissions that would otherwise increase greenhouse gas emissions. Gevo believes that its proven, patented, technology that enables the use of a variety of low-carbon sustainable feedstocks to produce price-competitive, low carbon products, such as jet fuel, gasoline components like isooctane and isobutanol and diesel fuel, yields the potential to generate project and corporate returns that justify the build-out of a multi-billion dollar business. Learn more at our website: www.gevo.com

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements relate to a variety of matters, including, without limitation, statements related to Gevo’s supply of sustainable aviation fuel to Avfuel and their customer and other statements that are not purely statements of historical fact. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of the current beliefs, expectations and assumptions of the management of Gevo and are subject to significant risks and uncertainty. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. All such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and Gevo undertakes no obligation to update or revise these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Although Gevo believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve many risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from what may be expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. For a further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed in these forward-looking statements, as well as risks relating to the business of Gevo in general, see the risk disclosures in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of Gevo for the year ended December 31, 2019 and in subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K and other filings made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by Gevo.

Investor & Media Contact
IR@gevo.com
+1 720-647-9605

SOURCE: Gevo

How Will the RCEP Impact U.S. Oil and Natural Gas?

 


The RCEP Agreement Aligns Large Consumers and Producers of Energy While Excluding the U.S.

 

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement (RCEP) includes the world’s largest crude oil importer (China) and the largest liquified natural gas importers (Japan, China and South Korea). It also includes some of the largest oil and LNG exporters (Australia, Indonesia, and Malaysia). Increased energy trade activity among members leaves out the largest energy exporters; the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Russia.

On November 15, 2020, representatives of Australia, China, Japan, the Republic of Korea, New Zealand, and other countries signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Agreement. RCEP will eliminate tariffs and quotas on over 65% of goods traded among the signing countries. It’s viewed as a significant step in stimulating the world’s economy which will counter a slowdown from the steps each country has taken related to COVID-19. The RCEP agreement covers a market of 2.2 billion people and 30% of the world’s GDP. India, an original participant in the deal negotiations, withdrew from the pact but is considering rejoining. The United States, representing the world’s largest economy, was not a participant in the agreement.

The agreement is viewed as negative news for U.S. oil producers. The U.S. has become the largest exporter of oil within the last few years. Most of U.S. domestic oil goes to Canada, with South Korea a close second. China was poised to become the largest importer of U.S. oil, that changed when tariff wars decreased trading activity with them. If Indonesia and Malaysia increase exports to China, South Korea, and Japan in response to the minimal tariffs, then U.S. oil exports may suffer.

 

Source: EIA

The U.S. natural gas market could be hurt even more than the oil market. In the last few years, companies have been building terminals to export domestic liquid natural gas (LNG). These terminals cost billions of dollars to construct and require decades of trade to reach breakeven.  Much of the LNG exported from the United States is routed to Asian countries. As the graph below shows, the country’s ability to export LNG has increased 1000% over the last five years but is running below full capacity because of the pandemic. If Australian LNG exports to China, South Korea, and Japan increase in response to lower tariffs, U.S. LNG exporters could be hurt by even more idle capacity.

 

 

Domestic energy producers are already feeling a strain due to decreased demand resulting from the pandemic and the resulting economic slowdown. Companies are working hard to reduce costs to remain competitive. Several have merged to reduce overhead. Others have cut drilling budgets. A further reduction in demand for oil and LNG from Asian countries would further exacerbate the problem.

 

Suggested Reading:

Are we headed to Another Oil Collapse?

Contango and the Known Risk to ETFs

Will Oil Prices Rise in 2021?

 

Do You Know a Student  Who Could Use $7,500 for College?

Tell them about the College Challenge!

 

Source:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-largest-trade-pact-could-150000944.html, OilPrice, November 30, 2020

https://asean.org/asean-hits-historic-milestone-signing-rcep/, ASEASN.org, November 15, 2020

https://compressortech2.com/u-s-lng-exports-down-by-half-in-2020/, CompressorTech, June 23, 2020

 

 

Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) – Upcoming Milestones – Increasing Price Target

Monday, November 30, 2020

Gevo, Inc. (GEVO)
Upcoming Milestones – Increasing Price Target

Gevo Inc is a renewable chemicals and biofuels company engaged in the development and commercialization of alternatives to petroleum-based products based on isobutanol produced from renewable feedstocks. Its operating segments are the Gevo segment and the Gevo Development/Agri-Energy segment. By its segments, it is involved in research and development activities related to the future production of isobutanol, including the development of its biocatalysts, the production and sale of biojet fuel, its Retrofit process and the next generation of chemicals and biofuels that will be based on its isobutanol technology. Gevo Development/Agri-Energy is the key revenue generating segment which involves the operation of the Luverne Facility and production of ethanol, isobutanol and related products.

Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

    Strong stock price performance is likely driven by hopes that some of the upcoming potential milestones will be announced shortly. While the stock price dropped sharply in 3Q2020 after capital raises to fund ongoing operations and the project financing process, stock price performance since 3Q2020 results were announced has been very strong and the stock is up 122% so far in November.

    Potential milestones over the next year:  Full or partial retirement of convert debt of ~$13 million due in December 2020; Finalizing and acquiring rights to additional plant locations; Identifying engineering firm performing FEED work; Expanding supply contract portfolio with new industry/financial partners; Identifying project financing partners, including equity investors and debt financing; Timing of process to …



This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Are We Headed to Another Oil Collapse?

 


Oil Storage Numbers are Worth Watching

 

Cushing, Oklahoma is a major trading hub for crude oil and a price settlement point for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices. It is located at the intersection of many pipelines and has 91 million barrels (MMbbls) of oil storage capacity. As such, most of the oil that is produced in the Permian Basin flows through Cushing, with 6.5 MMbbls of oil flowing in and out of Cushing each day. An estimated ten MMbbls of new storage and 1.6 MMbbls of exit capacity is being considered to address current bottlenecks.  Those bottlenecks became clear at the end of April when traders were caught with long oil positions at Cushing and no place to store or transport the positions. WTI oil prices turned negative briefly as traders scrambled out of positions. In hindsight, the issues seen in April seem obvious if one was tracking the rise in storage levels that occurred in March and April as the pandemic sapped demand, but producers kept on producing. With COVID-19 cases growing again, we see a similar story unfold as Cushing oil inventories approach levels seen last April. Are we headed to another oil price meltdown? Or, has the market learned its lesson?

 

 

The Reasons Why Oil Prices May Be Headed for A Crash

The current situation is looking eerily like last spring. COVID-19 cases are rising, and government officials are putting new restrictions in place. People are driving less as they work out of their homes and stop going out to restaurants and theaters. Gasoline represents 44% of the output of a crude oil barrel. Distillate fuel oil (28% of crude oil) is turned into diesel fuel and heating oil, which are also affected by pandemic mitigation. Jet fuel (10%) has also been negatively affected as recreation and business travel has decreased. The result is that refineries are running at low capacity with decreased demand for its products, which means it has less demand for crude oil.

 

 

With the number of COVID-19 cases growing, there is little indication that crude oil demand will return in the foreseeable future. On the demand side, producers have not shown signs of reducing production. With wells taking several months to drill, a supply response generally does not come in response to one month’s rise in storage. Shutting in existing production is a possibility, but shutting in and restarting production is expensive, and companies are unlikely to take such drastic steps if the drop in price is viewed as a temporary event.

 

The reason why oil prices are not headed to a crash

The crash of last spring was due to traders being caught in long oil contracts with no place to store the product. As recently as January, money managers had large open oil positions. They began exiting these positions in February and March, but it wasn’t until April that they were forced to exit positions at a loss. Turning to the current situation, we do not see the same involvement in the market by money managers. Long positions have held steady. There is less speculation in the oil market today than there was last spring, and speculation leads to price volatility.  It is reasonable to assume, then, that the traders currently taking long positions in the market are doing so to meet demand and not because they are betting on oil prices.

 

 

It is also important to remember that WTI prices do not represent the entire oil market. When WTI prices crashed last spring, it’s worth noting that Brent oil price did not. That may come as little comfort for energy companies operating in the Permian Basin, but it should provide some comfort for energy companies in other operating areas.

 

 

It is too early to say whether we are headed to a repeat of last spring. Higher storage levels are a concern but not a condemnation of current price levels. With the expiration of the December future’s contract less than two weeks away, the number bears watching.

 

Suggested Reading:

Contango and the Known Risk to ETFs

Will Oil Prices Rise in 2021?

Tesla Car Batteries and Virtual Power Plants

 

Do You Know a College Student?

Tell them about the College Challenge!

 

Source:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/america-biggest-oil-storage-hub-005607002.html, Lucia Kassai and Andrew Guerra Luz, Bloomberg, November 20, 2020

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cushing,_Oklahoma, Wikipedia

http://www.okenergytoday.com/2020/10/cushing-oil-hub-isnt-following-national-trend-of-crude-oil-storage/, OK Energy Today, October 3, 2020

https://www.cmegroup.com/education/lessons/the-importance-of-cushing-oklahoma.html#:~:text=Cushing’s%20inbound%20and%20outbound%20pipeline,of%20barrels%20of%20oil%20daily., CME Group

https://rbnenergy.com/that-was-then-this-is-now-part-2-new-crude-pipeline-capacity-out-of-the-cushing-hub, Housley Carr, RBN Energy LLC

 

Release – Energy Fuels (UUUU) – To Present at the H.C. Wainwright Virtual Mining Conference on Monday, November 30 at 3:00 pm ET

Energy Fuels to Present at the H.C. Wainwright Virtual Mining Conference on Monday, November 30 at 3:00 pm ET

 

LAKEWOOD, Colo., Nov. 24, 2020 /CNW/ – Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU) (TSX: EFR) (“Energy Fuels” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that the Company’s President and CEO, Mark S. Chalmers, will present at the H.C. Wainwright Mining Conference on Monday, November 30, 2020 at 3:00 pm ET. The conference will be held on November 30 and December 1, 2020.

During his live webcast, Mr. Chalmers will provide an update on the Company, including progress on its uranium and rare earth element (REE) initiatives.

To join the webcast, please click on the following link:

Energy Fuels’ H.C. Wainwright Presentation

Mr. Chalmers will also be available to participate in one-on-one meetings with investors who are registered to attend the conference via Zoom. If you are an institutional investor, and would like to schedule a meeting with Mr. Chalmers, please click on this link to register for the conference and request a meeting.

About Energy Fuels: Energy Fuels is a leading U.S.-based uranium mining company, supplying U3O8 to major nuclear utilities. The Company also produces vanadium from certain of its projects, as market conditions warrant, and is evaluating the potential to recover rare earth elements at its White Mesa Mill. Its corporate offices are in Lakewood, Colorado near Denver, and all of its assets and employees are in the United States. Energy Fuels holds three of America’s key uranium production centers: the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch in-situ recovery (“ISR”) Project in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa ISR Project in Texas. The White Mesa Mill is the only conventional uranium mill operating in the U.S. today, has a licensed capacity of over 8 million pounds of U3O8 per year, and has the ability to produce vanadium when market conditions warrant. The Nichols Ranch ISR Project is on standby and has a licensed capacity of 2 million pounds of U3O8 per year. The Alta Mesa ISR Project is also on standby and has a licensed capacity of 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 per year. In addition to the above production facilities, Energy Fuels also has one of the largest NI 43-101 compliant uranium resource portfolios in the U.S. and several uranium and uranium/vanadium mining projects on standby and in various stages of permitting and development. The primary trading market for Energy Fuels’ common shares is the NYSE American under the trading symbol “UUUU,” and the Company’s common shares are also listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “EFR.” Energy Fuels’ website is www.energyfuels.com.

SOURCE Energy Fuels Inc.

For further information: Investor Inquiries: Energy Fuels Inc., Curtis Moore, VP – Marketing and Corporate Development, (303) 974-2140 or Toll free: (888) 864-2125, investorinfo@energyfuels.com; www.energyfuels.com