Category: Consumer

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – First Quarter Post Call Commentary

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 09, 2023

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q23 Results. FAT Brands reported 1Q23 revenue of $105.7 million, up 8.5% y-o-y from $97.4 million in the year ago quarter. System-wide sales growth was 9.9%. Same Store Sales were up 4.3%. FAT reported adjusted EBITDA of $19.2 million in the quarter, up from $15.1 million in 1Q22. Adjusted net loss for the quarter was $23.5 million, or a loss of $1.43 per share, compared to a net loss of $18.5 million, or a loss of $1.13 per share, last year. We had projected revenue of $105 million and a net loss of $17.3 million, or a loss of $1.04 per share.

Organic Growth. Organic growth at FAT Brands remains strong. A total of 41 new units were opened during 1Q and plans are to open 45 additional units in 2Q. For the full year, a total of 175 new units are expected to open, representing over 25% growth from last year. The pipeline remains robust with development agreements for more than 1,000 new locations.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

ACCO Brands (ACCO) – First Quarter Post Call Commentary

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 09, 2023

ACCO Brands Corporation is one of the world’s largest designers, marketers and manufacturers of branded academic, consumer and business products. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Esselte®, Five Star®, GBC®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Quartet®, Rapid®, Rexel®, Swingline®, Tilibra®, and many others. Our products are sold in more than 100 countries around the world. More information about ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Return to Normalcy? We are hopeful 2023 will transition back to a normal operating environment after nearly three years of COVID impacted results. We are already seeing positive signs of normalcy in the back-to-school business and chip availability should help return PowerA back to its pre-COVID growth trajectory.

Cash Flows. Operating cash flow for the first three months was a use of cash of $23.2 million, compared to cash used of $104.2 million in the prior year due to improved working capital. Management continues to expect free cash flow for 2023 to exceed $100 million.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

ACCO Brands (ACCO) – A Look into the First Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, May 05, 2023

ACCO Brands Corporation is one of the world’s largest designers, marketers and manufacturers of branded academic, consumer and business products. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Esselte®, Five Star®, GBC®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Quartet®, Rapid®, Rexel®, Swingline®, Tilibra®, and many others. Our products are sold in more than 100 countries around the world. More information about ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First Quarter Results. ACCO exceeded top and bottom-line expectations for 1Q23. Revenue was $402.6 million, an 8.8% decrease over last year’s $441.6 million but above our estimate at $390 million. Adverse foreign exchange reduced sales by $10.6 million, or 2.4%. Comparable sales fell 6.4%. Operating income was at $10.1 million compared to $6.8 million the prior year, and the Company reported a net loss of $3.7 million, or a loss of $0.04/sh, compared to a loss of $2.7 million, or $0.03/sh, last year. We estimated operating income of $4 million and net loss of $7.3 million, or $0.08/sh.

Revenue Segments. North America had sales of $176.7 million down from $208.5 million last year, with operating income of $5.2 million compared to $13.9 million. EMEA had sales of $135.8 million compared to $156.1 million and operating income of $7.8 million versus $5.6 million. International had sales of $90.1 million versus $77.0 million last year, with operating income of $9.0 million up from $4.2 million last year.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI) – An Inflection Point? Raising PT to $12

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, May 04, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

The Strategy is Working. Posting record quarterly revenue and improved margins for the quarter indicates management’s growth strategy is working. We believe CVG is at an inflection point for improved growth and margins. The Company is well on its way to achieving its 2027 goal of $1.5 billion in revenue and 9% adjusted EBITDA margin, in our view.

Volume, Price Driving Top Line. Record first quarter revenue was driven by a combination of volume and price, with volume contributing about 60% of top line growth in the quarter and price the other 40%. CVG spent considerable energy in 2022 seeking out more favorable pricing to reflect current operating realities. The final major contract was redone in the first quarter of 2023 and began contributing at the beginning of April. 


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI) – First Look into the First Quarter of 2023

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Wednesday, May 03, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Results. CVGI had a strong quarter with record revenues of $262.7 million versus $244.4 million the prior year, an increase of 7.5%. We had revenue of $245 million. The higher revenue was driven by increased pricing to offset material cost increases and increased sales volume, offset by sales volume decreases in the Industrial Automation segment. Foreign currency translation also unfavorably impacted first quarter of 2023 revenues by $3.6 million, or 1.5%.

Continued Strong Results. Operating income for the Company totaled $14.6 million compared to $8.4 million the previous year. Net income for the Company was at $8.7 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, versus $4.0 million, or $0.12, last year. Adjusted net income was $9.2 million, or $0.28 adjusted diluted EPS compared to $5.3 million in the previous year, or $0.16. Adjusted EBITDA was $19.8 million compared to $13.5 million.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Newegg Commerce, Inc. (NEGG) – Compelling Valuation For An Early Cycle Stock

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 02, 2023

Newegg Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ: NEGG), founded in 2001 and based in the City of Industry, Calif., near Los Angeles, is a leading global online retailer for PC hardware, consumer electronics, gaming peripherals, home appliances, automotive and lifestyle technology. Newegg also serves businesses’ e-commerce needs with marketing, supply chain and technical solutions in a single platform. For more information, please visit Newegg.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q4 results. The company reported better-than-expected Q4 results. Total revenue of $480.6 million beat our estimate of $439.2 million by 9%, and adj. EBITDA of $5.1 million was significantly better than our forecast of $0.1 million.

Still a challenging sales environment. Following a difficult 2022, persistent macroeconomic concerns appear to be putting pressure on the consumer electronics market. As such, management noted that 2023 could face similar challenges to 2022. The company initiated cost-cutting measures with the aim of offsetting some of the adverse revenue impacts on cash flow.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

FAT Brands Inc. (FAT) – Staying In-House

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, May 02, 2023

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Co-CEOs. FAT Brands announced Ken Kuick and Rob Rosen as Co-CEOs, effective May 5, 2023. As previously announced, Andy Wiederhorn will step down as CEO and continue in his role as Chairman of the Board, where he will focus on the strategic direction of the company, the allocation of capital, and ensuring the management team executes the Company’s business plan while maintaining quality restaurant operations.

Staying In-House. Currently, Mr. Kuick is Chief Financial Officer of the Company and Mr. Rosen holds the position of Executive Vice President of Capital Markets. Both played an integral role alongside Mr. Wiederhorn in driving the growth of FAT Brands. Both will continue in their current roles as well as assuming the Co-CEO role. With their in-depth knowledge and contribution to the growth of FAT Brands, we believe the choice of Mr. Kuick and Mr. Rosen to be a win for the Company.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – FAT Brands Announces Ken Kuick and Rob Rosen as Co-CEOs

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on FAT

MAY 01, 2023

Senior FAT Brands Executives A ppointed to Lead Global Restaurant Franchising Company

LOS ANGELES, May 01, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc. announces Ken Kuick and Rob Rosen as Co-CEOs, effective May 5, 2023. As previously announced, Andy Wiederhorn will step down as CEO and continue in his role as Chairman of the Board, where he will focus on the strategic direction of the company, the allocation of capital, and ensuring the management team executes the Company’s business plan while maintaining quality restaurant operations.

Joining FAT Brands in 2021, Mr. Kuick, Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Rosen, Executive Vice President of Capital Markets, have both played an integral role in the growth of the Company with a focus on strategic growth initiatives, including acquisitions and driving company profitability. Mr. Kuick and Mr. Rosen will also continue in their respective roles as Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of Capital Markets while assuming the Co-CEO role. Together, they will focus on driving forward the Company’s overarching goals of increasing organic growth through new store openings, growing the utilization of its manufacturing facility, and bolstering the success of high-growth brands, including Twin Peaks.

Mr. Kuick’s past roles include Chief Financial Officer, Noodles & Company, Chief Accounting Officer, VICI Properties, and Chief Accounting Officer, Caesars Entertainment Operating Company, a subsidiary of Caesars Entertainment. Mr. Rosen is a Wall Street veteran with over 30 years of experience in structured finance, banking, lending, and portfolio management. Mr. Rosen has held positions at Fleet Bank, Kidder Peabody, and Bank of Tokyo, and has 20 years of experience with Black Diamond Capital Management in a variety of management, board-level, and advisory capacities.

“Over the last few years, Ken and Rob have played a tremendous role in the unprecedented growth of FAT Brands,” said Andy Wiederhorn, CEO of FAT Brands. “Their financial acumen and track record for hitting key company benchmarks make them well-positioned to take on the CEO role together. I look forward to continuing to work with Ken and Rob in the Chairman of the Board position to aid in the continued success of FAT Brands.”

“Andy is a great leader and I’m extremely humbled to take on this new responsibility and drive forward the key goals of the company,” said Ken Kuick, Chief Financial Officer of FAT Brands. “We are fortunate to have such a talented team at FAT Brands and I see great opportunity ahead in building upon our positioning as one of the largest restaurant companies in the U.S.”

“I’m honored to take on the Co-CEO position of a company that continues to surpass growth expectations,” said Rob Rosen, Executive Vice President of Capital Markets at FAT Brands. “In the near term, Ken and I will look to build on the strong foundation FAT Brands has already laid, which includes our robust growth pipeline, exciting innovations, and a commitment to our franchisees and customers.”

For more information on FAT Brands, visit www.fatbrands.com.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands

FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements reflect expectations of FAT Brands Inc. (“we”, “our” or the “Company”) concerning future events and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, including but not limited to uncertainties surrounding the severity, duration and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. These factors are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other factors. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release.

MEDIA CONTACT:
Erin Mandzik, FAT Brands
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Release – ACCO Brands Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ACCO

04/28/2023

LAKE ZURICH, Ill.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) today announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.075 per share. The dividend will be paid on June 9, 2023, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on May 19, 2023.

“This is the Company’s 22nd quarterly cash dividend since it began paying dividends in 2018. The Company’s dividend has become an important part of our capital allocation strategy and we remain committed to supporting our quarterly dividend with our robust free cash flow. At the current stock price, on an annualized basis, our shareholders are receiving an almost 7% yield on their investment,” said Boris Elisman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of ACCO Brands.

About ACCO Brands Corporation

ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, designs, manufactures and markets consumer and end-user products that help people work, learn, play and thrive. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Five Star®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Swingline®, Tilibra® and many others. More information about ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Chris McGinnis
Investor Relations
(847) 796-4320

Julie McEwan
Media Relations
(937) 495-5717

Source: ACCO Brands Corporation

Release – Johnny Rockets Lands in United Arab Emirates with Abu Dhabi Opening

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on FAT

APRIL 27, 2023

All-American Chain’s Famous Burgers and Shakes Now Available in United Arab Emirates’ Capital City

LOS ANGELES, April 27, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands Inc. announces the opening of Johnny Rockets in the United Arab Emirates. Situated in the country’s bustling capital city, Abu Dhabi, the new restaurant marks the first brick-and-mortar opening for franchise partner, Kitopi, who has a master franchise agreement with the global restaurant franchising company to open 136 brick-and-mortar locations in addition to 70 ghost kitchens throughout the Middle East.

To date, FAT Brands’ concepts Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, Elevation Burger and Buffalo’s Express have opened in 15 of Kitopi’s existing ghost kitchens in the region. In the coming weeks, the franchise partner will also be opening another brick-and-mortar Johnny Rockets location in Dubai.

“Since announcing our partnership with Kitopi in 2021, we have been impressed with their ability to successfully open and operate our brands,” said Jake Berchtold, COO of FAT Brands’ Fast Casual Division. “Now, as they begin to open brick-and-mortar locations, we are thrilled to continue this growth journey with them. The Middle East is ripe with expansion opportunities, and we look forward to bringing burgers, shakes, fries, and fun to Abu Dhabi with Johnny Rockets.”

The first Johnny Rockets restaurant opened June 6, 1986, on the iconic Melrose Avenue in Los Angeles. Since that time, the chain’s timeless all-American brand has connected with customers across the U.S. and in 25 other countries around the globe. Guests visiting the all-new location can enjoy a classic Johnny Rockets’ meal, a juicy, cooked-to-order burger paired with crispy fries and a decadent, hand-spun shake.

The Abu Dhabi Johnny Rockets is located at 108 Al Murihiban Street, Khalifa City, Abu Dhabi, UAE and is open Monday through Friday, 11 a.m. to 11 p.m., and Saturday and Sunday, 11 a.m. to 12 a.m.

For more information or to find a Johnny Rockets near you, please visit www.johnnyrockets.com.

About FAT (Fresh. Authentic. Tasty.) Brands
FAT Brands (NASDAQ: FAT) is a leading global franchising company that strategically acquires, markets, and develops fast casual, quick-service, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts around the world. The Company currently owns 17 restaurant brands: Round Table Pizza, Fatburger, Marble Slab Creamery, Johnny Rockets, Fazoli’s, Twin Peaks, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Buffalo’s Cafe & Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Pretzelmaker, Elevation Burger, Native Grill & Wings, Yalla Mediterranean and Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouses, and franchises and owns over 2,300 units worldwide. For more information on FAT Brands, please visit www.fatbrands.com.

About Johnny Rockets
Founded in 1986 on Melrose Avenue in Los Angeles, Johnny Rockets is an iconic, world-renowned, hamburger restaurant franchise that offers high-quality, innovative menu items including Certified Angus Beef® cooked-to-order hamburgers, veggie burgers, chicken sandwiches, crispy fries, and rich, delicious hand-spun shakes and malts. With over 325 locations in over 25 countries around the globe, this dynamic, lifestyle, the brand offers friendly service in an upbeat atmosphere of relaxed, casual fun. For more information, visit www.johnnyrockets.com.

Forward Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to the timing and performance of new store openings. Forward-looking statements reflect expectations of FAT Brands Inc. (“we”, “our” or the “Company”) concerning the future and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive risks, uncertainties and contingencies, including but not limited to uncertainties surrounding the severity, duration and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. These factors are difficult to predict and beyond our control, and could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We refer you to the documents that we file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as our reports on Form 10-K, Form 10-Q and Form 8-K, for a discussion of these and other factors. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release. 

MEDIA CONTACT:
Erin Mandzik, FAT Brands
emandzik@fatbrands.com
860-212-6509

Vera Bradley (VRA) – Additional Corporate Reorganization and Cost Reduction Plans

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, April 27, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Placing Her Stamp. Vera Bradley CEO Jackie Ardrey announced additional corporate organizational changes as well as targeting $12 million of incremental cost reductions, the majority of which should fall to the bottom line. We view the announcement as Ms. Ardrey putting her stamp on the Company from a management perspective, while right-sizing the expense structure of the Company.

New CFO. Michael Schwindle will join Vera Bradley as CFO on May 8th. Mr. Schwindle has previously worked with CEO Ardrey. Mr. Schwindle is a 30-year retail industry veteran, including 15 years as a CFO in such firms as accessory and jewelry retailer Claire’s, Fleet Farm, Payless ShoeSource, Harry & David, and Musician’s Friend. Mr. Schwindle began his career at Deloitte & Touche LLP.


Get the Full Report

Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

If Bad Expectations are Fully Priced Into Stocks, Which Ones Could Outperform This Year 

Posted on by phoffman@channelchek.com
Image Credit:Maarten Takens (Flickr)

Highly Regarded Analyst Tells Investors How to Position for the Upturn   

Are recession worries fully baked into stock prices? At least one Wall Street analyst has publicly made her case this may be accurate. And she offers tips on what sectors may have more upside and on those that have factors working against them. While a recession still may occur before year-end, forward-looking stock investors may have fully priced that risk in – forward-looking investors may also be the reason the overall market is up on the year despite greater expectations of a recession. They are looking past any slowdown.

Stock market participants, many still down on last year’s price moves, have been extremely cautious in front of a Fed that is playing catch up in a fight against inflation. The rapid Fed Funds rate increases that began in March 2022, coupled with quantitative tightening, sank stocks, bonds, and even cryptocurrency holdings. While the economy did shrink for two consecutive quarters last year, there are many that expect a mild recession will begin at some point this year.

Those that do expect a bumpy economic ride and a rough landing point to high-interest rates, a weakening dollar, tech industry layoffs, and a Federal Reserve that is resolved to get inflation down as soon as possible.

Savita Subramanian, equity and quant strategist at Bank of America Securities, proposed to investors in a research note published on April 24, that these fears and recession worries have been in place for a while and may be largely baked into the market. She says, barring a sudden shock to the economy, it makes sense for investors to reintroduce riskier assets into their portfolios.

Her guidance on finding value is well thought out. Subramanian, proposes investors own stocks over bonds and cyclical stocks over defensive names. The reason given is that hedge funds and long-only funds are near maximum exposure in defensive industries such as health care, utilities, and consumer staples. The suggestion here is that the probabilities would lean toward a better risk-reward payoff for cyclical names.

Ms. Subramanian does not say an economic slowdown won’t occur; instead, her thinking seems to be that after raising the Federal Funds rate from near-zero to a range of 4.75% to 5%, there is more control should a downturn need to be dealt with by easing. When rates are at or near zero percent, there is less the Fed can do to stimulate growth. So far, we’ve made it through the first quarter, and now April with only a few disruptions in the banking sector.

“Even if a recession is imminent, the Fed has latitude to soften the impact after pushing rates up by 5%. And after the fastest hiking cycle ever, the only thing to ‘break’ so far is SVB,” Subramanian wrote.

In an article published in Barron’s this week the investment news publication wrote, “Some corners of Wall Street are feeling confident that there will be no recession and that the very things that make a recession appear likely–the inverted yield curve, inflation, and the recent banking crisis–actually guarantee that one won’t happen.”

This could be good news for investors that have been nervous about having money in a market that has been given much to be concerned about, and ver little to be jubilant about.

On Thursday, GDP (Gross Domestic Product) for the first quarter will be released. No one expects this to indicate a recession began then. Forecasters expect that the economy will show 2% growth, following growth of 3.2% and 2.6% in the third and fourth quarters of 2022. This is one of the cases where if the number surprises much higher, the market may expect the Fed to make bigger rate moves. If it surprises on the low side, markets may see it as a sign of an approaching recession.

Take Away

A highly regarded analyst joins others with thoughts that the market could be priced for a recession; this could be good for stocks. If true, investors may want to start looking past a recession. Those she is most positive on are riskier names. While funds and other investors are near maxed out in lower-risk holdings, there is far less upside for them. The bigger upswings can occur in the industries, market-cap sectors, and companies that have been given less attention due to recession fears.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Release – ACCO Brands Corporation Announces First Quarter 2023 Earnings Webcast

Posted on by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ACCO

04/21/2023

LAKE ZURICH, Ill.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) today announced that it will release its first quarter 2023 earnings after the market close on May 4, 2023. The Company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the results on May 5 at 8:30 a.m. EST. The webcast can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of www.accobrands.com and will be available for replay.

About ACCO Brands Corporation

ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, designs, manufactures and markets consumer and end-user products that help people work, learn, play and thrive. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Five Star®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Swingline®, Tilibra® and many others. More information about ACCO Brands Corporation (NYSE: ACCO) can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Christopher McGinnis
Investor Relations
(847) 796-4320

Julie McEwan
Media Relations
(937) 974-8162

Source: ACCO Brands Corporation