Monday, April 4, 2022

Metals & Mining Industry Report

Metals & Mining First Quarter 2022 Review and Outlook

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to end of report for Analyst Certification & Disclosures

• Mining companies outperform broader market. During the first quarter, mining companies (as measured by the XME) appreciated 36.9% compared to a loss of 4.9% for the S&P 500 index. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) ETFs were up 19.7% and 11.8%, respectively. Gold, silver, copper, and zinc futures prices rose 6.5%, 7.5%, 6.7%, and 20.9%, respectively, while lead was down 0.3%. The war in Ukraine has constrained supplies of commodities, everything from fertilizer, grain, oil, natural gas, and metals, and magnified inflationary trends. How long this will continue is uncertain.

• Outlook for precious metals. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 2.4% during the first quarter, while the yield on a 10-year treasury note rose to 2.33% from 1.51% at year-end 2020. With the U.S. Federal Reserve signaling more aggressive action to combat inflation, further gains for gold may be challenged for the remainder of the year in the face of higher rates and a stronger dollar. However, with consumer and core inflation at 7.9% and 6.4% through February, respectively, real interest rates remain negative and enhance gold’s appeal as a store of value. Moreover, precious metals may be viewed as insurance against expected market volatility and economic uncertainty.

• Risk of slowing economic growth may impact industrial metals. With the Federal Reserve behind the curve on inflation and an unanticipated war stressing commodity markets, choking back demand and growth may be an obvious choice to combat inflation and supply shortages. A key worry is the risk of recession in the U.S. and abroad versus a softer landing. However, improving supply chains, inventory re-stocking, and greater capital spending could be supportive of pricing, and we believe the long-term investment case for owning industrial metals mining companies remains favorable. However, industrial metals may also be challenged to post further gains into the latter part of the year.

• Putting it all together. While much uncertainty remains, including the trajectory of the war in Ukraine, the U.S. Federal Reserve will likely achieve its goal of tamping down inflation. Despite a cautious near-term outlook, precious and industrial metals prices could hold up relatively well despite near-term headwinds. As a means of portfolio diversification, exposure to the mining sector is beneficial and investors may want to consider junior mining companies due to more attractive valuations relative to larger cap peers and the potential for increased M&A and industry consolidation.

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All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words “we”, “us”, or “our” are solely the responsibility of Noble Capital Markets, Inc.(“Noble”) and do not necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of such decision.

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ANALYST CREDENTIALS, PROFESSIONAL DESIGNATIONS, AND EXPERIENCE

Senior Equity Analyst focusing on Basic Materials & Mining. 20 years of experience in equity research. BA in Business Administration from Westminster College. MBA with a Finance concentration from the University of Missouri. MA in International Affairs from Washington University in St. Louis.
Named WSJ ‘Best on the Street’ Analyst and Forbes/StarMine’s “Best Brokerage Analyst.”
FINRA licenses 7, 24, 63, 87

WARNING

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transactions effected on the recipients behalf, details of which will be available on request in regard to a transaction that involves a personalized securities recommendation. Additional risks associated with the security mentioned in this report that might impede achievement of the target can be found in its initial report issued by Noble Capital Markets, Inc. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose unless authorized by Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATION

Independence Of View
All views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers.

Receipt of Compensation
No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendations or views expressed in the public appearance and/or research report.

Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Neither I nor anybody in my household has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company or any other company mentioned in this report.

NOTE: On August 20, 2018, Noble Capital Markets, Inc. changed the terminology of its ratings (as shown above) from “Buy” to “Outperform”, from “Hold” to “Market Perform” and from “Sell” to “Underperform.” The percentage relationships, as compared to current price (definitions), have remained the same. Additional information is available upon request. Any recipient of this report that wishes further information regarding the subject company or the disclosure information mentioned herein, should contact Noble Capital Markets, Inc. by mail or phone.

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Friday, April 01, 2022

Garibaldi Resources (GGIFF)(GGI:CA)
Geophysical Survey Results Underscore Nickel Mountain’s Growing Resource Potential

Garibaldi Resources Corp is a Canadian-based junior exploration company. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral properties located in Canada and Mexico. The company’s projects in Mexico include the La Patilla, the Rodadero, the Tonichi and the Iris project. Its projects in Canada include the PSP and King projects, The Cariboo Copper and Gold project, the Red Lion project, the Grizzly project, the Tora Tora project and the Black Gold project.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst of Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Significant geophysical survey results. Garibaldi released results from a 2021 Z-Axis Tipper Electromagnetic (ZTEM) survey completed over the company’s 180-square kilometer Nickel Mountain – Palm Springs Project claim groups. Recall that E&L Nickel Mountain represents the first magmatic nickel-copper-cobalt-PGE-rich massive sulphide system identified in the Eskay Camp. The survey identified a large anomalous zone directly below and along trend with mineralized E&L Nickel Mountain gabbro previously confirmed by drilling. The anomaly exceeds 3 kilometers in width and plunges 2 kilometers directly below the nickel-copper-cobalt PGE bearing intrusion which hosts high grade massive sulphides. The finding potentially extends the mineralized zone which could have positive implications for resource size and project economics.

Growing property-wide exploration potential.  The presence of ZTEM-identified geophysical anomalies coincident with surface mineralization and conductive targets from Versatile Time Domain Electromagnetic (VTEM) surveys provide property-wide targets for magmatic and hydrothermal base and precious metal mineralization with high discovery potential …

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.