MicroStrategy Doubles Down as Bitcoin Cheerleader



Image Credit: Bloomberg TV (August 4, 2022)


MicroStrategy’s Huge Bitcoin Portfolio is Now Expected to Expand

There is possibly no greater bitcoin (BTC.X) supporter than Michael Saylor. So when he stepped down last week from his position as CEO of MicroStrategy (MSTR), the firm he founded, there was concern among bitcoin investors, speculators, and enthusiasts, that they were losing an advocate and a loud, supportive voice. It turns out their fears may have been premature. Saylor, who now fills a role as the Executive Chairman of the company he ran for over three decades, has more time to extol the benefits of adopting bitcoin in business and individually. It is beginning to look like he will become an even greater voice cheerleading for bitcoin. The new position will actually allow him to double his focus on cryptocurrency at Microstrategy.

MicroStrategy had put more than $4 billion into bitcoin since its first purchase during the second half of 2020. To do this, the data analytics firm stepped outside of its normal business and raised capital by issuing stock, convertible bonds, and corporate debt. It then borrowed against the bitcoin position and increased its exposure.

As bitcoin’s price rose, the company stock price rose in tandem; when bitcoin fell, the stock fell. As a result, when investors were looking for an equity investment with exposure to bitcoin, some bought MSTR. Similarly, when crypto was selling off, they shorted the company. This year has been a rollercoaster ride for stocks and cryptocurrency. This is why there was speculation Microstrategy was preparing to lessen its aggressive posture toward bitcoin. Saylor’s transition out of the CEO role caused speculation that the company would be less positive toward bitcoin.

It has been eight days since Saylor stepped down, and bitcoin supporters, particularly those that would like to see broader adoption by businesses as an accepted currency, have been surprised on the positive side.


Image: Saylor tweet to demonstrate stock outperformance since adopting bitcoin policy.

One of the more obvious signs of Mr. Saylor’s continued support is his Twitter account, with its endless stream of pro-bitcoin messages. Last Wednesday, the former CEO tweeted, “In my next job, I intend to focus more on #Bitcoin.”

The move is now considered more bullish for bitcoin and perhaps helps to further acceptance of all digital assets. Although Saylor himself may not agree with the word “all,” the only asset that he believes will stand the test of time is bitcoin.

MicroStrategy issued word that the company has not sold any bitcoin holdings and doesn’t have any plans to do so. It is making it clear that this change in leadership roles does not indicate a change in the company’s strategy to acquire and hold bitcoin long-term.

According to MicroStrategy’s Q2 earnings report, it held approximately 129,699 bitcoins, for which it paid a total of $3.977 billion. The market value n June 30 was about $2.451 billion.  $2.4 billion is also the total of loans and debt that MicroStrategy has taken on to acquire bitcoin.

Bitcoin was trading for $23,500.30 per coin on Wednesday; the cryptocurrency fell to $17,593 in June, its lowest point since December 2020. Bitcoin reached an all-time high of more than $68,000 per coin in November 2021. Amid discussion of a margin call on a bitcoin-backed loan from Silvergate, Saylor said in June that the company had enough collateral to cover the loan.

MicroStrategy share prices were up 11.82% Wednesday, trading at $311.15. The company’s shares traded as high as $860 in November 2021, when its bitcoin holdings were worth as much as $7 billion.

To be sure, the MicroStrategy bitcoin story is not ending. The reward has been great for those that held MSTR since mid-2020, but the volatility during that time was also substantial.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Content



When the History of Bitcoin is Written, This Story Will be in the Book



Cowboys and Cryptocurrency




Dogecoin Group Works to Give Currency Greater Purpose



What Might be in a Portfolio Allocated for a Republican Majority in the House?


Sources

https://theartofthebubble.com/2022/08/michael-saylor-microstrategys-ceo-the-largest-bitcoin-holder-steps-down-after-918-1-m-loss-saylor-will-take-a-new-post-as-executive-chairman/

https://www.microstrategy.com/en/investor-relations

https://twitter.com/saylor?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

https://fortune.com/2022/08/03/michael-saylor-microstrategy-stock-bitcoin-bet-debt-outlook/

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/michael-saylor-drops-microstrategy-ceo-role-heres-what-it-means-for-bitcoin-11659556705?mod=search_headline

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Three Reasons Michael Burry May be Holding This One Stock



Image Credit: Kempton (Flickr)


Michael Burry’s Portfolio is Creating More Speculation than Usual

Four times a year, the quarter-end holdings of famous hedge fund manager Dr. Michael J. Burry become public from his firm’s 13-F filing with the SEC. It’s newsworthy because people are interested in this extremely successful investor’s thinking. Of course, the list of public market positions is just a snapshot in time. One day in time, to be exact, so it is possible to read too much into it. The latest 13-F filing, which became public on Monday (August 15) is especially interesting; his entire stock portfolio is one stock. Channelchek featured this company in an article last month; referring back to the article and also a recent Noble Capital Market’s research report, we offer our own three potential reasons why, out of all the securities available on the planet, he may favor this one.


About Scion Asset Management’s One Position

According to the June 30, 2022, SEC filing, Michael Burry’s fund held one position, Geo Group (GEO). These shares represent 0.404% of GEO’s outstanding stock or 501,360 shares. The average price was listed as $6.42 per share.

The quarter-end market value of Scion’s GEO position was $3,309,000. According to Scion’s Form ADV, filed on April 18, 2022, Scion had assets under management of $291,659,289. The GEO position is not likely a significant portion of his entire portfolio, but it represents 100% of the firm’s 13F reportable securities.

Michael Burry first reported owning GEO Group during the fourth quarter of 2020.

The GEO Group, based out of Boca Raton, FL, specializes in owning’ leasing, and managing secure confinement facilities, processing centers, and reentry facilities in the United States and globally. As of December 31, 2021, the company’s worldwide operations included the management and/or ownership of approximately 86,000 beds at 106 secure and community-based facilities, including idle facilities and projects under development.

In addition to owning and operating secure and community facilities, GEO provides compliance technologies, monitoring services, and supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants.

For the year ended December 31, 2021, The GEO Group generated approximately 66% of its revenues from the U.S. Secure Services business, 24% from its GEO Care segment, and 10% of revenue from its International Services segment.

 

Company Trajectory

On August 3, in a research note titled, Continuing
to Outperform Expectations
, Noble Capital Markets, Senior Research Analyst Joe
Gomes
set a price target of $15.00 and reported on above-expected operating results during Q2 2022.

Mr. Gomes’ report discussed the drivers of GEO’s growth, “Many parts of GEO’s business continue to show operating strength, driving the better than expected performance.” The analyst also discussed the exceptional growth in revenue of the company’s electronic monitoring division.

The report describes management guidance as “upbeat” for the remainder of 2022. The company could get an extra benefit in the coming months if COVID-related restrictions on occupancy are lifted, thus allowing higher capacity within the same facilities.

Michael Burry’s position is not huge compared to his firm’s AUM. However, what is drawing attention is that out of the universe of stocks, GEO Group is a company he finds interesting enough to have as his only position. It would seem appealing to an investor that the clarity of the company’s direction seems to be improving and positive.

 

Political Winds

Will the mid-term elections in November usher in leadership more friendly to GEO’s business? Six days after President Biden was inaugurated, he signed an executive order to eliminate the use of privately operated criminal detention facilities. Section 2 of this order specifically prohibits renewing any contracts with criminal detention facilities. It looked bleak for the two largest private prison (GEO, CXV) operators in the country.

After the order, the private prison industry shifted gears and focused on the $3 billion market of detaining immigrants. This shift has been positive, and things don’t look as dark for the two largest for-profit prison companies in the U.S., CoreCivic (CXW) and Geo Group (GEO). Each is now making 30% or more of its revenue from U.S. Customs and Immigration (ICE) contracts.

If the Democrats lose the significant power they now have in the legislative branch, it would seem that the party that takes power would almost have a mandate from the public to make changes to many of the less popular moves made over the past year and a half. The southern border situation may be one of the reasons Democrats are likely to have fewer seats.

An argument can be made that new doors may open for private prison companies, and there is not a lot of public competition. Perhaps this is the appeal that keeps Michael Burry involved in GEO Group and why his fund has in the past owned CXW.

 

Portfolio Management

As of the end of Q1 2022, the value of Burry’s position in GEO Group was almost twice as large as shown in the current filing. So the hedge fund manager has liquidated a portion of his GEO position along with all other holdings. This unwinding may not be driven by anything more than what he sees as better opportunities elsewhere. He has also complained in tweets about how much attention his activities generate. It may very well be that with all the shifting in economies, in the U.S. and worldwide, that Burry has taken positions in non-reportable investments.

Earlier this year, after the first quarter, when Michael Burry released his holding information, the headlines all read that he hated Apple (AAPL). This was because he held puts on the company. There can be many
reasons
 a hedge fund would own puts on a company without hating the stock. This latest release brought alarmist headlines about Michael Burry “slashing stocks” in his portfolio and “dumping” everything he owns. He may very well be bearish on every U.S. stock except for one, but this isn’t likely.  As a reminder,  June 30 is just one day on the calendar; his U.S. stock positions could have been quite different by the fourth of July.


Take Away

Michael Burry’s 13F filing for the second quarter showed one holding, an under-the-radar company that has a significant upward trajectory in earnings and growth. The company’s industry had also become challenged when the Biden administration took office since it has successfully found a way to build in a slightly different direction. All indications are that, at minimum, the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate will be more heavily weighted with Republican lawmakers after the upcoming election, the private prison industry could benefit from contracts they may receive with a change in legislative priorities.

If you have not already signed up to receive email from Channelchek with up-to-the-minute research reports on companies like GEO Group and insightful articles, sign-up here.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Content



Republicans Likely to Have the Majority in the House – Investors May Want to Pivot Early



Michael Burry’s Stock Market Holdings (Filed May 16, 2022)




Michael Burry vs Cathie Wood is Not an Even Competition



Michael Burry Sees Positive in Elon Musk’s Twitter Stake


Sources

https://www.channelchek.com/company/GEO/research-report/3910

https://whalewisdom.com/filer/scion-asset-management-llc#tabholdings_tab_link

https://channelchek.com/news-channel/What_Might_be_in_a_Portfolio_Allocated_for_a_Republican_Majority_in_the_House_

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Genprex (GNPX) – REQORSA Approved For Dose Escalation In Phase 1/2 Trial

Tuesday, August 16, 2022

Genprex (GNPX)
REQORSA Approved For Dose Escalation In Phase 1/2 Trial

Robert LeBoyer, Vice President, Research Analyst, Life Sciences , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Sufficient Safety Shown In First Cohort.  Genprex announced that the first cohort from its Phase 1/2 Acclaim-1 trial in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has shown sufficient safety to allow treatment of a second cohort at a higher dose. This approval from the Safety Review Committee (SRC) after it analyzed patient data in the first cohort. Genprex expects all three cohorts in the Phase 1 portion to be completed by YE22.

Mechanism Of Action Could Improve Patient Survival.  The Acclaim-1 study is Phase 1/2 trial testing the combination of REQORSA with Tagrisso (osimertinib) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).  This combines Tagrisso’s action as an EGF inhibitor with Requorsa’s delivery of the TUSC2 cancer suppressor gene.  REQORSA adds the inhibition of several pathways leading to tumor growth and proliferation, and restores pathways that defend against cancer.  The REQORSA combination has received Fast-Track designation for NSCLC from the FDA….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Cocrystal Pharma Reports Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results and Provides Updates on its Antiviral Development Programs



Cocrystal Pharma Reports Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results and Provides Updates on its Antiviral Development Programs

Research, News, and Market Data on Cocrystal Pharma

  • Planned Phase 2a study design with orally administered CC-42344 for the treatment of pandemic and seasonal influenza A
  • Reported pharmacokinetic (PK) data from the single ascending dose portion of its Phase 1 study with CC-42344 supporting once-daily dosing
  • Collaborated with the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) to evaluate the potential of the Company’s COVID-19 protease inhibitors and subsequently expanded the collaboration to support a scale-up synthesis of these inhibitors
  • Initiated API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient) synthesis and process chemistry development with the goal in 2022 of initiating two Phase 1 healthy volunteer studies evaluating intranasal and oral protease inhibitors for COVID-19

BOTHELL, Wash., Aug.
15, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — 
Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. (Nasdaq: COCP) reports financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2022, and provides updates on its antiviral pipeline, upcoming milestones and business activities.

“This quarter we advanced our compounds in the clinic and announced a significant research collaboration. We were excited to announce the design of our Phase 2a human challenge study with our oral PB2 inhibitor CC-42344, enabling us to quickly evaluate antiviral efficacy and tolerability of influenza-infected healthy volunteers. Human influenza challenge studies have proven important in advancing the development of approved influenza antivirals. Additionally, due to the small sample size, a human challenge study can be completed quickly,” said Sam Lee, Ph.D., President and co-interim CEO of Cocrystal. “Later this year we expect to report results from our Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers that is underway in Australia. Our plan is to then file with the UK regulatory agency in early 2023 to proceed with the Phase 2a study.

“We have initiated API synthesis and process chemistry development with our novel, broad-spectrum COVID-19 intranasal/pulmonary and oral protease inhibitors, as we prepare data to support Investigational New Drug (IND) applications with the goal of initiating two Phase 1 healthy volunteer studies evaluating these inhibitors for COVID-19 this year,” he added.

“We continue to be well positioned to execute on our clinical and regulatory goals given our clean capital structure, cost-efficient business model and a cash balance we believe is sufficient to fund planned operations into 2024,” said James Martin, CFO and co-interim CEO. “We chose to conduct the Phase 2a influenza A trial with PB2 inhibitor CC-42344 in the UK due to the efficiency and data we expect from a human challenge model, as opposed to a traditional clinical trial model. Under the human challenge model healthy adults will be deliberately infected with influenza virus under carefully controlled conditions, which we believe will hasten trial enrollment and ensure subjects are infected with influenza A. Our niche contract research partner, Open Orphan, is one of the premier specialists in providing this unique clinical model.”

Antiviral Pipeline Overview

Many antiviral drugs are effective only against certain strains of a virus and are less effective or not effective at all against other strains or variants. Cocrystal is developing drug candidates that specifically target proteins involved in viral replication. Despite the numerous strains that may exist or emerge, these enzymes are required for viral replication and are essentially similar (highly conserved) across all strains. By targeting these highly conserved regions of the replication enzymes, our antiviral compounds are designed and tested to be effective against major virus strains.

COVID-19 and Other Coronavirus Programs
By targeting viral replication enzymes and protease, we believe it is possible to develop an effective treatment for all coronavirus diseases including COVID-19, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS). Our main SARS-CoV-2 protease inhibitors showed potent in
vitro 
pan-viral activity against common human coronaviruses, rhinoviruses and respiratory enteroviruses that cause the common cold, as well as against noroviruses that can cause symptoms of acute gastroenteritis.

In April 2022 we announced a collaboration with the NIAID to evaluate the potential of our COVID-19 3CL protease inhibitors for the treatment of COVID-19, with the NIAID responsible for in vitro and in
vivo
 studies evaluating the antiviral activity of the compounds. In June 2022 we expanded this collaboration by providing our proprietary process chemistry information for oral 3CL protease inhibitors to the NIAID to support scale-up synthesis of a key intermediate of these compounds.

  • Intranasal/Pulmonary Protease
    Inhibitor CDI-45205
    • CDI-45205 is our novel SARS-CoV-2 3CL (main) protease inhibitor being developed as a potential treatment for COVID-19 and its variants.
    • We have initiated scale-up synthesis and process chemistry development with CDI-45205 as we generate data to support an IND application with the goal of progressing to a first-in-human clinical trial in 2022.
    • We received guidance from the FDA regarding further preclinical and clinical development of CDI-45205 that provides a clearer pathway for the Phase 1 study we plan to initiate in 2022, as well as directives for designing a subsequent Phase 2 study.
    • CDI-45205 and several analogs showed potent in vitro activity against the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron (Botswana and South Africa/BA.1), Delta (India/B.1.617.2), Gamma (Brazil/P.1), Alpha (United Kingdom/B.1.1.7) and Beta (South Africa/B.1.351) variants, surpassing the activity observed with the original wild-type (Wuhan) strain.
    • CDI-45205 demonstrated good bioavailability in mouse and rat PK studies via intraperitoneal injection, and no cytotoxicity against a variety of human cell lines. CDI-45205 also demonstrated a strong synergistic effect with the FDA-approved COVID-19 medicine remdesivir.
    • CDI-45205 was among the broad-spectrum viral protease inhibitors obtained from Kansas State University Research Foundation (KSURF) under an exclusive license agreement announced in April 2020. We believe the protease inhibitors obtained from KSURF have the ability to inhibit the inactive SARS-CoV-2 polymerase replication enzymes into an active form.
  • Oral Protease Inhibitors

    • We are investigating novel antiviral drug candidates CDI-988 and CDI-873 for development as potential oral treatments for SARS-CoV-2. Both candidates were designed and developed using our proprietary structure-based drug discovery platform technology. These agents are chemically differentiated and exhibit superior in vitro potency against SARS-CoV-2, with activity maintained against current variants of concern. Both candidates demonstrated a favorable safety profile and PK properties that are supportive of daily dosing.
    • Our goal is to initiate a Phase 1 study in 2022 with one of these candidates. We believe the FDA’s guidance for further development of CDI-45205 provides us with a clearer pathway for the clinical development of our oral COVID-19 program.
  • Replication Inhibitors

    • We are using our proprietary structure-based drug discovery platform technology to discover replication inhibitors as orally administered therapeutic and prophylactic treatments for SARS-CoV-2. Replication inhibitors hold potential to work with protease inhibitors in a combination therapy regimen.

Influenza Programs
Influenza is a severe respiratory illness caused by either the influenza A or B virus that results in outbreaks of disease mainly during the winter months. According to a report published by Precision Reports in June 2022, the global influenza therapeutics market is projected to reach $9.5 billion by 2027, from $6.6 billion in 2020, growing at a 4.8% CAGR between 2021 and 2027. 

  • Pandemic and Seasonal Influenza
    A
    • A novel PB2 inhibitor, CC-42344 has shown excellent antiviral activity against influenza A strains including pandemic and seasonal strains, as well as strains resistant to Tamiflu® and Xofluza
      ®CC-42344 also has favorable PK and drug-resistance profiles.
    • In March 2022 we initiated enrollment in our Phase 1 study with orally administered 
      CC-42344 in healthy adults. This randomized, double-controlled, dose-escalating study is designed to assess the safety, tolerability and pharmacokinetics of CC-42344.
    • In April 2022 we announced preliminary data from our Phase 1 study with CC-42344, demonstrating a favorable safety and PK profile in the first two cohorts administered single ascending doses of 100 mg and 200 mg.
    • In July 2022 we announced completion of the single ascending dose portion of the Phase 1 study and reported that PK results from this portion of the study support once-daily dosing.
    • We expect to report full results from the Phase 1 clinical study in 2022.
    • We entered into an agreement with a clinical research organization to conduct a human challenge Phase 2a study evaluating safety, viral and clinical measures in influenza A-infected subjects. The study is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2023.
  • Pandemic and Seasonal Influenza
    A/B program

    • In January 2019 we entered into an Exclusive License and Research Collaboration Agreement with Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. (“Merck”) to discover and develop certain proprietary influenza antiviral agents that are effective against both influenza A and B strains. This agreement includes milestone payments of up to $156 million plus royalties on sales of products discovered under the agreement.
    • In January 2021 we announced completion of all research obligations under the agreement. Merck is now solely responsible for further preclinical and clinical development of compounds discovered under this agreement. Merck continues development activities with the compounds discovered under this agreement.

Norovirus Program

  • We continue to develop certain proprietary broad-spectrum non-nucleoside polymerases for the treatment of human norovirus infections using our proprietary structure-based drug design technology platform and plan to conduct proof-of-concept animal studies.
  • We also hold exclusive rights to norovirus protease inhibitors for use in humans under the KSURF license.
  • Our goal is to select preclinical leads in the 2022-2023 timeframe.
  • Norovirus is a global public health problem responsible for nearly 90% of epidemic, non-bacterial outbreaks of gastroenteritis around the world.

Hepatitis C Program

  • We are seeking a partner to advance the development of CC-31244 following successful completion of a Phase 2a study. This compound has shown favorable safety and preliminary efficacy in a triple-regimen Phase 2a study in combination with Epclusa (sofosbuvir/velpatasvir) for the ultra-short duration treatment of individuals infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV).
  • HCV is a viral infection of the liver that causes both acute and chronic infection. In June 2022, the World Health Organization estimates that 58 million people worldwide have chronic HCV infections. 

Second Quarter 2022 Financial
Results

Research and development (R&D) expenses for the second quarter of 2022 were $2.4 million compared with $2.6 million for the second quarter of 2021, with the decrease primarily due to the influenza A program transitioning from the preclinical discovery stage into a clinical trial. The Company is anticipating increased R&D expenses during the second half of 2022 as it prepares for additional clinical trials.

General and administrative (G&A) expenses for the second quarter of 2022 were $1.4 million compared with $1.3 million for the second quarter of 2021, with the increase primarily due to legal expenses and higher insurance costs.

The Company’s litigation with an insurer resulted in the insurance company obtaining a summary judgment during the second quarter of 2022 and accounted for a potential $1.6 million adverse award by expensing this amount in the second quarter of 2022. The Company filed an appeal in July 2022. Pending the outcome of the appeal, the Company paid $1.6 million into the registry of the court which stayed execution of the Judgment.

During the six months ended June 30, 2022, the Company saw a significant decrease in the price of its common stock resulting in an overall reduction in market capitalization and our recorded net book value exceeded its market capitalization as of June 30, 2022. The Company concluded that goodwill was impaired in its entirety and recorded a $19.1 million non-cash impairment during the second quarter of 2022.

The net loss for the second quarter of 2022 was $24.4 million, or $0.25 per share, and included a non-cash impairment charge of $19.1 million resulting from the significant decrease in the price of the Company’s common stock price and market capitalization. The net loss for the second quarter of 2021 of $3.8 million, or $0.04 per share.

Six Month Financial
Results

R&D expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2022 were $5.2 million compared with $4.0 million for the first six months of 2021. G&A expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2022 were $2.7 million compared with $2.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2021.

As stated above, the Company accounted for a potential $1.6 million legal settlement by expensing this amount during the six months ended June 30, 2022 and the Company concluded that goodwill was impaired in its entirety and recorded a $19.1 million non-cash impairment during six months ended June 30, 2022.

The net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2022 was $28.6 million, or $0.29 per share, and reflected the non-cash impairment charge described above. The net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2021 was $6.6 million, or $0.08 per share.

The Company reported unrestricted cash of $51.0 million as of June 30, 2022 compared with $58.7 million as of December 31, 2021. Net cash used in operating activities for the first half of 2022 was $7.6 million. The Company reported working capital of $48.8 million as of June 30, 2022.

About Cocrystal
Pharma, Inc.

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Cautionary Note
Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding our goals of initiating two Phase 1 studies for our COVID-19 programs in 2022, our expectations of reporting data from the Phase 1 clinical study of our Influenza A product candidate later in 2022 and timeline for filing with the UK regulatory agency for a Phase 2a study in 2023, the viability and efficacy of potential treatments for coronavirus and other diseases, expectations for the global market for therapeutics, our attempts to discover replication inhibitors, our ability to execute our clinical and regulatory goals, our development of antiviral treatments for norovirus including our plan to conduct a proof-of-concept animal study and select a preclinical lead in 2022 or 2023, our expectations concerning R&D expenses, the expected sufficiency of our cash balance to fund our planned operations and our liquidity. The words “believe,” “may,” “estimate,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “plan,” “could,” “target,” “potential,” “is likely,” “will,” “expect” and similar expressions, as they relate to us, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations and projections about future events. Some or all of the events anticipated by these forward-looking statements may not occur. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the risks arising from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine war on our Company, our collaboration partners, and on the national and global economy, including manufacturing and research delays arising from raw materials and labor shortages, supply chain disruptions and other business interruptions including and adverse impacts on our ability to obtain raw materials and test animals as well as similar problems with our vendors and our current Contract Research Organization (CRO) and any future CROs and Contract Manufacturing Organizations, the impact of inflation and Federal Reserve interest rate increases in response thereto on the economy, the ability of our current CRO to recruit volunteers for, and to proceed with, clinical studies, the results of our collaboration with NIAID relating to our 3CL protease inhibitors for the treatment of COVID-19, our reliance on Merck for further development in the influenza A/B program under the license and collaboration agreement, our and our collaboration partners’ technology and software performing as expected, financial difficulties experienced by certain partners, the results of future preclinical and clinical trials, general risks arising from clinical trials, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory changes, development of effective treatments and/or vaccines by competitors, including as part of the programs financed by the U.S. government, potential mutations in a virus we are targeting which may result in variants that are resistant to a product candidate we develop, and the outcome of our appeal of the summary judgment. Further information on our risk factors is contained in our filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021. Any forward-looking statement made by us herein speaks only as of the date on which it is made. Factors or events that could cause our actual results to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all of them. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as may be required by law.

Investor Contact:
LHA Investor Relations
Jody Cain
310-691-7100

jcain@lhai.com

Media Contact:
JQA Partners
Jules Abraham
917-885-7378

Jabraham@jqapartners.com

 


Sierra Metals (SMTS) – Unexpected 2Q Loss; Anticipate a Stronger Second Half

Monday, August 15, 2022

Sierra Metals (SMTS)
Unexpected 2Q Loss; Anticipate a Stronger Second Half

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company with Green Metal exposure including increasing copper production and base metal production with precious metals byproduct credits, focused on the production and development of its Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Second quarter financial results. Sierra Metals reported an adjusted net loss of $11.6 million, or $(0.07) per share, compared with net income of $5.9 million, or $0.04 per share, during the prior quarter. We had forecast net income of $5.2 million, or $0.03 per share. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to $1.4 million compared to $16.0 million during the prior quarter. Second quarter financial results reflected lower metal prices and margin, along with an $11.0 million mark-to-market adjustment to unsettled open sales positions at the end of the second quarter due to the decline in metal prices toward the end of the second quarter. Revenue from metals payable decreased to $49.9 million compared to $57.2 million during the first quarter of 2022.

Adjusting estimates. Sierra lowered its 2022 production guidance and now expects to produce between 70.0 million and 78.0 million copper equivalent pounds compared with prior guidance of 79.5 million to 89.7 million pounds. The revised forecast reflects a slower operational turn-around at the Bolivar mine and the impact of underground flooding at the Cusi mine during the second quarter. EBITDA is now expected to be in the range of $61.0 million to $67.0 million compared to prior guidance of $90.0 million to $105.0 million. We have lowered our full year 2022 EPS and EBITDA estimates to $0.06 and $63.9 million from $0.18 and $89.1 million, respectively. …

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Comstock Announces The Sale Of The Daney Ranch



Comstock Announces The Sale Of The Daney Ranch

Research, News, and Market Data on Comstock Mining

VIRGINIA
CITY, NEVADA, AUGUST 15, 2022
 – Comstock Inc. (NYSE: LODE) (“Comstock” and the “Company”) today announced that it has executed all of the closing documents on one of its three major non-mining assets, the Daney Ranch property, located near Dayton, Nevada, for a sales price of $2.7 million.

“We are pleased to close this deal and advance our monetization program. The buyer is a mining industry veteran and an outstanding neighbor. This is just one in a series of closings expected over the next 3 to 4 months, as we complete the rest of our non-mining asset sales,” said Mr. Corrado De Gasperis, Executive Chairman and CEO.

In 2020, the Company entered into an agreement with the owner of an established exploration and mine development drilling services company, to lease the properties for $9,000 per month, for up to 24 months, including the assumption of all maintenance, upgrades, and repairs. As the transaction closed within two years, about $200,000 of those lease payments were creditable to the purchase price, resulting in a net price at closing of $2.5 million. The transaction funds this week, resulting in an additional $1.5 million in cash and a $1 million secured, interest bearing note that is required to be paid off upon the sale of specific assets owned by the buyer.

About
Comstock

Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complementary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.


Forward-Looking Statements 

This press release and any related calls or discussions may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, are forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” “plan,” “should,” “intend,” “may,” “will,” “would,” “potential” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of doing so. Forward-looking statements include statements about matters such as: future industry market conditions; future explorations or acquisitions; future changes in our exploration activities; future changes in our research and development; and future prices and sales of, and demand for, our products and services. Except as may be required by securities or other law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Neither this press release nor any related call or discussion constitutes an offer to sell, the solicitation of an offer to buy or a recommendation with respect to any securities of the Company, the fund or any other issuer.

Contact information:

 

 

Comstock Mining Inc.
P.O. Box 1118
Virginia City, NV 89440
www.comstock.inc

Corrado De Gasperis
Executive Chairman & CEO
Tel (775) 847-4755
degasperis@comstockmining.com

Zach Spencer
Director of External Relations
Tel (775) 847-5272 Ext.151
questions@comstockmining.com


Axcella Therapeutics (AXLA) – 2Q Included The First of Two Phase 2 Data Announcments

Monday, August 15, 2022

Axcella Therapeutics (AXLA)
2Q Included The First of Two Phase 2 Data Announcements

Axcella is a clinical-stage biotechnology company pioneering a new approach to treat complex diseases using compositions of endogenous metabolic modulators (EMMs). The company’s product candidates are comprised of EMMs and derivatives that are engineered in distinct combinations and ratios to restore cellular homeostasis in multiple key biological pathways and improve cellular energetic efficiency. Axcella’s pipeline includes lead therapeutic candidates in Phase 2 development for the treatment of Long COVID and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and the reduction in risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) recurrence. The company’s unique model allows for the evaluation of its EMM compositions through non-IND clinical studies or IND clinical trials. For more information, please visit www.axcellatx.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Vice President, Research Analyst, Life Sciences , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

2Q Included Long COVID-19 Data Announcement and An Increase In Cash.  Axeclla reported a loss of $21.3 million or $(0.40) per share, compared with our estimate of $19.4 million or $(0.47) per share.  During the quarter, the company raised about $25 million through a direct stock offering, bringing cash and marketable securities to $44.4 million as of June 30.  The highlight of the quarter, in our opinion, was the announcement of Phase 2a data in Long COVID-19.

Phase 2a Data Was Encouraging.  The company recently announced positive data from its Phase 2a trial testing AXA1125 in Long COVID-19.  These data showed statistically significant improvements in several measures of physical and mental fatigue.  The company reiterated plans to meet with the FDA to discuss the design of the next clinical test during the coming months….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The More Impactful Fed Moves May Not Make Headline News



Image Credit: Stuart Richards (Flickr)


Is Quantitative Tightening Impacting the Economy on the QT?

The Fed has begun to reduce the trillions it has added to its balance
sheet
. With each dollar it added to the economy over the past two years, there was a new dollar available to provide capital for growth and investment. Or a new dollar to help hold borrowing costs down. Quantitative
tightening
(QT) is out of the spotlight relative to overnight bank lending rates. Yet, QT could have a much greater economic impact on all markets, from real estate to stocks, and more directly fixed income.

There is less understanding of QT. The Federal Reserve’s effort to shrink its balance sheet after buying trillions in bonds is somewhat complicated and less visible. But, although QT is on the quieter side of what is shaping tomorrow’s economy, investors need to know how shrinking the balance sheet, the other tightening, impacts investments.

The Fed stopped its bond purchases in May. That is to say, they stopped buying bonds that injected money into the system. This is referred to as quantitative easing (QE).

In June, after a period of tapering its purchases, the central bank began QT> Then it announced it would partially unwind roughly $4.5 trillion that had previously been purchased. The Fed officially said that it would start by letting up to $30 billion in US treasuries and $17.5 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) mature out of its holdings (balance sheet). During the previous months, it would have reinvested the maturing amount and even added to the purchases.  The announcement was, beginning in September, it’s shrinking the balance sheet could increase to $60 billion maturing bonds not rolled in treasuries and 35 billion not reinvested in MBS securities. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell shared a plan lasting 2½ years, which implies the Fed’s $9 trillion balance sheet could shrink by as much as $2.5 trillion. Roughly half of what was added to support the economy during the pandemic.


Lack of Awareness

The financial news likes to keep it simple. And quantitative tightening isn’t simple, so its impact isn’t reported to the extent that an overnight increase, which is easier to understand, is presented. With QT, there is no prior hype asking “what is the Fed going to do?” and there is little certainty to what they have done. It just happens, no fanfare, no commentary.

Historically, this kind of tightening has been attempted only once before, and it was derailed. The transparent Fed is ridiculed and criticized when it removes economic stimulus. So there may not be a strong overall belief that the Fed will actually remove the trillions of extra money now floating around and creating economic opportunity by inflating asset prices.   Also, overnight rate increases are much easier for economists to model and news for mass public consumption to report on.

So, the news of QT is underreported and ignored. What is being reported is a strong doubt that the Fed is following through on its balance-sheet tightening plan, particularly with MBS. For those that have looked at the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, the doubt is not without cause.

Barron’s spoke with a senior trader on the Fed’s open markets desk. This is what the well-respected investment publication was told. The Fed is conducting QT as it has said it would. The trader said people are confused because it looks like the Fed’s MBS holdings aren’t decreasing and even may be increasing.

The trader told Barrons that the saw-toothed pattern in the Fed’s MBS holdings is the result of accounting issues. First, there is a gap between when MBS purchases settle and when holders of MBS receive payments. Second, the Fed has a three-month window for settling MBS purchases. The Fed is the largest single investor in the MBS market, the Fed has the option of delaying settlements if it thinks that will create a better functioning market.

In effect, this means MBS purchased by the Fed, as it does when it reinvests pay downs, could just be showing up. QE ended, but if there are pay downs in excess of the Feds goal of runoff, the excess is reinvested. The settlement dates differ and cause the appearance of a balance sheet that may have grown. This isn’t the case, and investors need to know that longer-term interest rates are being tightened.

The Fed senior trader warned something is apt to break, not unlike what happened the last time the Fed tried QT, and chaos in the repo market prompted an early end to the return to “normalcy.” But he was more optimistic as he said the Treasury may be more supportive in smoothing the process of reducing liquidity while not disrupting markets.


Take Away

If quantitative easing (QE) mattered, then quantitative tightening should too. It isn’t reported on as prominently as direct interest rate hikes, but the impact is the direct inverse to what allowed so much economic growth. So, the savvy investor will pay attention, which may give them an edge. For the Fed to bring inflation back to 2%, the Federal Reserve would need to shrink its balance sheet by the almost $4 to $5 trillion it increased it a short time ago. This could increase longer-term interest rates by far more than the announced increases in short-term rates.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Content



Powell’s Economic Soft Landing Requires More Room to Change his Mind



Bond Market Understanding is Again Critical for Stock Investors




What is the Fed’s Balance Sheet



What is Quantitative Tightening


Sources

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm

https://www.barrons.com/articles/intel-chip-stocks-to-buy-now-51660333062

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_tightening

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF) – No surprises in quarterly results, time to shift focus to the future

Monday, August 15, 2022

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF)
No surprises in quarterly results, time to shift focus to the future

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Alvopetro Energy reported 2022-2Q results significantly higher than last year and in line with expectations. Production of 2,359 boe/d (versus 2,361 last year and 2,501 last quarter) reflects a 5-day suspension of production in preparation for a processing plant expansion. The average gas price was $11.90/mcf. versus $6.06/mcf last year. With higher pricing, sales rose 93%, fund flow from operations rose 127%, and net income rose 74%. Results were in line with our expectations.

Positive pricing will continue for the immediate future and beyond. Contracted gas prices were set at $11.28/mcf. effective August 1, 2022. We believe the price Alvopetro will receive over the six months of this period’s pricing to be above $11.28/mcf and closer to $11.50/mcf. based on current exchange rates. Prices would have been set at a higher level had the increase not been constrained by a ceiling. In fact, Alvopetro management showed a chart with current prices indicating prices might have been as high $20 had there not been a ceiling. The indicated price is so far above the ceiling price that pricing will most likely be at the ceiling for the foreseeable future even if energy prices or the Real pull back from current levels….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) – OpRegen Collaboration Advances As Pipeline Products Move Toward INDs

Monday, August 15, 2022

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX)
OpRegen Collaboration Advances As Pipeline Products Move Toward INDs

Lineage Cell Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel cell therapies for unmet medical needs. Lineage’s programs are based on its robust proprietary cell-based therapy platform and associated in-house development and manufacturing capabilities. With this platform Lineage develops and manufactures specialized, terminally differentiated human cells from its pluripotent and progenitor cell starting materials. These differentiated cells are developed to either replace or support cells that are dysfunctional or absent due to degenerative disease or traumatic injury or administered as a means of helping the body mount an effective immune response to cancer. Lineage’s clinical programs are in markets with billion dollar opportunities and include five allogeneic (“off-the-shelf”) product candidates: (i) OpRegen, a retinal pigment epithelial cell therapy in Phase 1/2a development for the treatment of geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration; (ii) OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy in Phase 1/2a development for the treatment of acute spinal cord injuries; (iii) VAC2, a dendritic cell therapy produced from Lineage’s VAC technology platform for immuno-oncology and infectious disease, currently in Phase 1 clinical development for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (iv) ANP1, an auditory neuronal progenitor cell therapy for the potential treatment of auditory neuropathy, and (v) PNC1, a photoreceptor neural cell therapy for the treatment of vision loss due to photoreceptor dysfunction or damage. For more information, please visit www.lineagecell.com or follow the company on Twitter @LineageCell.

Robert LeBoyer, Vice President, Research Analyst, Life Sciences , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Quarterly Revenues Include Revenue Recognition.  Lineage Cell Reported a loss of $6.8 million or $(0.04) per share, in-line with our estimate of $4.6 million or $(0.03) per share.  Progress on the OpRegen collaboration with Roche/Genentech accounted for revenue of $4.1 million out of $4.6 million total revenues.  The company ended the quarter with $72.0 million in cash.

OpRegen Progress Allowed Revenue Recognition.  The OpRegen collaboration with Roche/Genentech brought in net fees of about $29 million, after allocation of amounts due to its licensors.  The amount is being amortized over the course of the agreement, with revenue recognized as obligations under the agreement are met.  Lineage recognized $4.1 million under the agreement in 2Q22 and a total of $9.0 million for the year to date.  This reflects progress on Chemistry and Manufacturing Controls (CMC), technology transfers, and manufacturing milestones….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Lineage to Present at H.C. Wainwright & Co. 2nd Annual Virtual Ophthalmology Conference

 



Lineage to Present at H.C. Wainwright & Co. 2nd Annual Virtual Ophthalmology Conference

Research, News, and Market Data on Lineage Cell Therapeutics

CARLSBAD, Calif.–(
)–Lineage Cell
Therapeutics, Inc.
 (NYSE American and TASE: LCTX), a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing allogeneic cell therapies for unmet medical needs, announced today Brian M. Culley, Lineage’s Chief Executive Officer, will present at the H.C. Wainwright
2nd Annual Ophthalmology Virtual Conference
, in a fireside chat hosted by Joseph Pantginis, Ph.D., Director of Research; Managing Director, Equity Research, H. C. Wainwright & Co. LLC. The fireside chat will be available to investors on demand, starting on August 17th, 2022 at 7am ET.

Interested parties can register to view on-demand replay on the Events and
Presentations
 section of Lineage’s website. Additional videos are available on the Media page of the Lineage website.

About Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel cell therapies for unmet medical needs. Lineage’s programs are based on its robust proprietary cell-based therapy platform and associated in-house development and manufacturing capabilities. With this platform Lineage develops and manufactures specialized, terminally differentiated human cells from its pluripotent and progenitor cell starting materials. These differentiated cells are developed to either replace or support cells that are dysfunctional or absent due to degenerative disease or traumatic injury or administered as a means of helping the body mount an effective immune response to cancer. Lineage’s clinical programs are in markets with billion dollar opportunities and include five allogeneic (“off-the-shelf”) product candidates: (i) OpRegen, a retinal pigment epithelial cell therapy in development for the treatment of geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration, is being developed under a worldwide collaboration with Roche and Genentech, a member of the Roche Group; (ii) OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy in Phase 1/2a development for the treatment of acute spinal cord injuries; (iii) VAC2, a dendritic cell therapy produced from Lineage’s VAC technology platform for immuno-oncology and infectious disease, currently in Phase 1 clinical development for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer; (iv) ANP1, an auditory neuronal progenitor cell therapy for the potential treatment of auditory neuropathy; and (v) PNC1, a photoreceptor neural cell therapy for the treatment of vision loss due to photoreceptor dysfunction or damage. For more information, please visit www.lineagecell.com or follow the company on Twitter @LineageCell.

Contacts

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. IR
Ioana C. Hone
(
ir@lineagecell.com)
(442) 287-8963

Russo Partners – Media Relations
Nic Johnson or David Schull
Nic.johnson@russopartnersllc.com
David.schull@russopartnersllc.com
(212) 845-4242

 


Release – Ayala Pharmaceuticals Reports Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results and Provides Corporate Update



Ayala Pharmaceuticals Reports Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results and Provides Corporate Update

Research, News, and Market Data on Ayala Pharmaceuticals

August 15, 2022

Interim data from Part A of the RINGSIDE study
demonstrated substantial initial anti-tumor activity for AL102 as a single
agent and supports continued development

More advanced and comprehensive data set from RINGSIDE to be
presented at ESMO

REHOVOT, Israel and WILMINGTON, Del., Aug. 15, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Ayala Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: AYLA), a clinical-stage oncology company focused on developing and commercializing small molecule therapeutics for patients suffering from rare and aggressive cancers, primarily in genetically defined patient populations, today announced second-quarter 2022 financial results and provided a corporate update.

“We continue to make considerable progress across our pipeline, and we were particularly excited to announce interim results from the ongoing Phase 2/3 RINGSIDE trial evaluating AL102 in desmoid tumors. Although early, the results showed substantial initial anti-tumor activity and a favorable side effect profile,” said Roni Mamluk, Ph.D., Chief Executive Officer of Ayala. “Based on these positive results, our efforts are focused on finalizing the Part A of the study shortly followed by immediate initiation of Part B. For AL101, we were pleased with the latest interim results from the ACCURACY trial presented at ASCO, which demonstrated anti-tumor monotherapy activity and evidence of improved progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with recurrent/metastatic ACC.”

Second-quarter 2022
and Recent Business Highlights

  • In July, announced positive interim data
    from Part A of the Phase 2/3 RINGSIDE study of AL102 in desmoid
    tumors: 
    Data showed tumor shrinkage in substantially all patients who were evaluable at 16 weeks. AL102 was well tolerated at all three dosing regimens with no dose-limiting toxicities and no Grade 4/5 adverse events. The results from Part A will be used to determine the dose of AL102 to be evaluated in Part B of RINGSIDE, the randomized portion of the study, which Ayala is on track to initiate in 3Q 2022. More advanced and comprehensive data from RINGSIDE is expected to be presented at ESMO.
  • Data on AL101 in adenoid cystic carcinoma
    (ACC) presented at ASCO 2022 Annual Meeting: 
    In a poster at ASCO, the company provided an update from the 4mg and 6 mg AL101 cohorts in the ACCURACY study of AL101, a selective gamma-secretase inhibitor, in subjects with recurrent/metastatic (R/M) adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) harboring Notch activating mutations. An overall disease control rate of 66.7% was observed. The median PFS in each of the 4mg and 6mg dose cohorts was 3.7 months and 6.7 months among the patients who had a partial response.

Upcoming Milestones

  • More
    advanced data from the RINGSIDE trial in desmoid tumors:
     Ayala expects to present a more comprehensive data set from Part A of the RINGSIDE trial of AL102 at ESMO.
  • Initiation
    of Part B of the RINGSIDE trial
    : Part B will be a double-blind placebo-controlled study enrolling up to 156 patients with progressive disease, randomized between AL102 or placebo. The primary endpoint will be PFS with secondary endpoints including objective response rates, duration of response, and patient-reported quality of life measures.
  • Initiate
    Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating AL102 in T-cell acute lymphoblastic
    leukemia (T-ALL): 
    Ayala plans to begin an investigator-initiated Phase 2 clinical trial evaluating AL102 in R/R T-ALL around year-end.

Second-Quarter 2022 Financial Results

Cash Position: Cash and cash equivalents were $20.1 million as of June 30, 2022.

Collaboration Revenue: Collaboration revenue was $38 thousand for the second quarter of 2022, as compared to $761 thousand for the corresponding quarter in 2021.

R&D Expenses: Research and development expenses were $5.6 million for the second quarter of 2022, compared to $8.1 million for the corresponding quarter in 2021. The decrease is mainly due to the winding down of the ACCURACY study.

G&A Expenses: General and administrative expenses were $2.3 million for the second quarter of 2022, compared to $2.5 million for the second quarter of 2021.

Net Loss: Net loss was $8.2 million for the second quarter of 2022, resulting in basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.54. This compares with a net loss of $10.8 million for the second quarter of 2021 or basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.75 for that quarter.

For further details on the company’s financial results, refer to form Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended June 30, 2022, filed with the SEC on August 15, 2022.

About Ayala Pharmaceuticals

Ayala Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage oncology company focused on developing and commercializing small molecule therapeutics for patients suffering from rare tumors and aggressive cancers. Ayala’s approach is focused on predicating, identifying and addressing tumorigenic drivers of cancer through a combination of its bioinformatics platform and next-generation sequencing to deliver targeted therapies to underserved patient populations. The company has two product candidates under development, AL101 and AL102, targeting the aberrant activation of the Notch pathway with gamma secretase inhibitors to treat a variety of tumors including desmoid tumors, adenoid cystic carcinoma and T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (T-ALL). AL101, has received Fast Track Designation and Orphan Drug Designation from the U.S. FDA and is currently in a Phase 2 clinical trial for patients with ACC (ACCURACY) bearing Notch activating mutations. AL102 is currently in a Pivotal Phase 2/3 clinical trials for patients with desmoid tumors (RINGSIDE). For more information, visit www.ayalapharma.com.

Contacts:

Investors:
Joyce Allaire
LifeSci Advisors LLC
+1-617-435-6602

jallaire@lifesciadvisors.com 

Ayala Pharmaceuticals:
+1-857-444-0553

info@ayalapharma.com 

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements contained in this press release that do not relate to matters of historical fact should be considered forward-looking statements, including statements relating to our development of AL101 and AL102, the promise and potential impact of our preclinical or clinical trial data, the timing of and plans to initiate additional clinical trials of AL101 and AL102, the timing and results of any clinical trials or readouts, our participation at scientific or medical conferences, the sufficiency of cash to fund operations, and the anticipated impact of COVID-19, on our business. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations. The words ”may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “could,” “intend,” “target,” “project,” “estimate,” “believe,” “predict,” “potential” or “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words.

These statements are neither promises nor guarantees, but involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, the following: we have incurred significant losses since inception and anticipate that we will continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future. We are not currently profitable, and we may never achieve or sustain profitability; we will require additional capital to fund our operations, and if we fail to obtain necessary financing, we may not be able to complete the development and commercialization of AL101 and AL102; we have identified conditions and events that raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern; we have a limited operating history and no history of commercializing pharmaceutical products, which may make it difficult to evaluate the prospects for our future viability; we are heavily dependent on the success of AL101 and AL102, our most advanced product candidates, which are still under clinical development, and if either AL101 or AL102 does not receive regulatory approval or is not successfully commercialized, our business may be harmed; due to our limited resources and access to capital, we must prioritize development of certain programs and product candidates; these decisions may prove to be wrong and may adversely affect our business; the outbreak of COVID-19, may adversely affect our business, including our clinical trials; our ability to use our net operating loss carry forwards to offset future taxable income may be subject to certain limitations; our product candidates are designed for patients with genetically defined cancers, which is a rapidly evolving area of science, and the approach we are taking to discover and develop product candidates is novel and may never lead to marketable products; we were not involved in the early development of our lead product candidates; therefore, we are dependent on third parties having accurately generated, collected and interpreted data from certain preclinical studies and clinical trials for our product candidates; enrollment and retention of patients in clinical trials is an expensive and time-consuming process and could be made more difficult or rendered impossible by multiple factors outside our control; if we do not achieve our projected development and commercialization goals in the timeframes we announce and expect, the commercialization of our product candidates may be delayed and our business will be harmed; our product candidates may cause serious adverse events or undesirable side effects, which may delay or prevent marketing approval, or, if approved, require them to be taken off the market, require them to include safety warnings or otherwise limit their sales; the market opportunities for AL101 and AL102, if approved, may be smaller than we anticipate; we may not be successful in developing, or collaborating with others to develop, diagnostic tests to identify patients with Notch-activating mutations; we have never obtained marketing approval for a product candidate and we may be unable to obtain, or may be delayed in obtaining, marketing approval for any of our product candidates; even if we obtain FDA approval for our product candidates in the United States, we may never obtain approval for or commercialize them in any other jurisdiction, which would limit our ability to realize their full market potential; we have been granted Orphan Drug Designation for AL101 for the treatment of ACC and may seek Orphan Drug Designation for other indications or product candidates, and we may be unable to maintain the benefits associated with Orphan Drug Designation, including the potential for market exclusivity, and may not receive Orphan Drug Designation for other indications or for our other product candidates; although we have received Fast Track designation for AL101, and may seek Fast Track designation for our other product candidates, such designations may not actually lead to a faster development timeline, regulatory review or approval process; we face significant competition from other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies and our operating results will suffer if we fail to compete effectively; we are dependent on a small number of suppliers for some of the materials used to manufacture our product candidates, and on one company for the manufacture of the active pharmaceutical ingredient for each of our product candidates; any future collaborations will be, important to our business. If we are unable to maintain our existing collaboration or enter into new collaborations, or if these collaborations are not successful, our business could be adversely affected; enacted and future healthcare legislation may increase the difficulty and cost for us to obtain marketing approval of and commercialize our product candidates, if approved, and may affect the prices we may set; if we are unable to obtain, maintain, protect and enforce patent and other intellectual property protection for our technology and products or if the scope of the patent or other intellectual property protection obtained is not sufficiently broad, our competitors could develop and commercialize products and technology similar or identical to ours, and we may not be able to compete effectively in our markets; we may engage in acquisitions or in-licensing transactions that could disrupt our business, cause dilution to our stockholders or reduce our financial resources; and risks related to our operations in Israel could materially adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.

These and other important factors discussed under the caption “Risk Factors” in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended June 30, 2022 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on August 15, 2022 and our other filings with the SEC, could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements made in this press release. Any such forward-looking statements represent management’s estimates as of the date of this press release. New risk factors and uncertainties may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all risk factors and uncertainties. While we may elect to update such forward-looking statements at some point in the future, except as required by law, we disclaim any obligation to do so, even if subsequent events cause our views to change. Although we believe the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any date subsequent to the date of this press release.

 

AYALA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In thousands, except share and per share amounts)

 

 

 

June 30,

 

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2022

 

 

2021

 

 

 

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

 

CURRENT ASSETS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

$

20,059

 

 

$

36,982

 

Short-term Restricted Bank Deposits

 

 

111

 

 

 

122

 

Trade Receivables

 

 

262

 

 

 

 

Prepaid Expenses and other Current Assets

 

 

2,322

 

 

 

2,636

 

Total Current Assets

 

 

22,754

 

 

 

39,740

 

LONG-TERM ASSETS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other Assets

 

$

231

 

 

$

267

 

Property and Equipment, Net

 

 

1,039

 

 

 

1,120

 

Total Long-Term Assets

 

 

1,270

 

 

 

1,387

 

Total Assets

 

$

24,024

 

 

$

41,127

 

LIABILITIES
AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CURRENT LIABILITIES:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trade Payables

 

$

3,254

 

 

$

3,214

 

Other Accounts Payables

 

 

2,993

 

 

 

3,258

 

Total Current Liabilities

 

 

6,247

 

 

 

6,472

 

LONG TERM LIABILITIES:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long-term Rent Liability

 

 

414

 

 

 

497

 

Total Long-Term Liabilities

 

$

414

 

 

$

497

 

STOCKHOLDERS’
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common Stock of $0.01 par value per share; 200,000,000 shares authorized at 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2021 and June 30, 2022; 14,503,743 and 14,080,383 shares issued
at June 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively; 13,984,662 and
13,956,035 shares outstanding at June 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021,
respectively

 

$

139

 

 

$

139

 

Additional Paid-in Capital

 

 

146,602

 

 

 

145,160

 

Accumulated Deficit

 

 

(129,378

)

 

 

(111,141

)

Total Stockholders’ Equity

 

 

17,363

 

 

 

34,158

 

Total Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity

 

$

24,024

 

 

$

41,127

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AYALA
PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF
OPERATIONS

(Unaudited)
(In thousands, except share & per share
amounts)

 

 

 

For
the Three Months Ended

June 30,

 

 

For
the Six Months Ended

June 30,

 

 

 

2022

 

 

2021

 

 

2022

 

 

2021

 

Revenues from licensing agreement and others

 

$

38

 

 

$

761

 

 

$

496

 

 

$

1,735

 

Cost of services

 

 

(38

)

 

 

(761

)

 

 

(406

)

 

 

(1,735

)

Gross profit

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

90

 

 

 

 

Operating expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Research and development

 

 

5,580

 

 

 

8,121

 

 

 

13,083

 

 

 

15,046

 

General and administrative

 

 

2,260

 

 

 

2,536

 

 

 

4,701

 

 

 

4,839

 

Operating loss

 

 

(7,840

)

 

 

(10,657

)

 

 

(17,694

)

 

 

(19,885

)

Financial Income (Loss), net

 

 

(156

)

 

 

(22

)

 

 

(140

)

 

 

(114

)

Loss before income tax

 

 

(7,996

)

 

 

(10,679

)

 

 

(17,834

)

 

 

(19,999

)

Taxes on income

 

 

(214

)

 

 

(162

)

 

 

(403

)

 

 

(410

)

Net loss

 

 

(8,210

)

 

 

(10,841

)

 

 

(18,237

)

 

 

(20,409

)

Net Loss per share attributable to common stockholders, basic and diluted

 

$

(0.54

)

 

$

(0.75

)

 

$

(1.19

)

 

$

(1.46

)

Weighted average common shares outstanding, basic and diluted

 

 

15,312,766

 

 

 

14,417,423

 

 

 

15,306,823

 

 

 

13,954,676

 

 


Why Wind Energy Optimization Requires Sub-Optimal Windmill Positioning



Image Credit: Victor Leshyk (MIT News)


A New Method Boosts Wind Farms’ Energy Output, Without New Equipment

David L. Chandler | MIT
News Office

 

Virtually all wind turbines, which produce more than 5 percent of the world’s electricity, are controlled as if they were individual, free-standing units. In fact, the vast majority are part of larger wind farm installations involving dozens or even hundreds of turbines, whose wakes can affect each other.

Now, engineers at MIT and elsewhere have found that, with no need for any new investment in equipment, the energy output of such wind farm installations can be increased by modeling the wind flow of the entire collection of turbines and optimizing the control of individual units accordingly.

The increase in energy output from a given installation may seem modest — it’s about 1.2 percent overall, and 3 percent for optimal wind speeds. But the algorithm can be deployed at any wind farm, and the number of wind farms is rapidly growing to meet accelerated climate goals. If that 1.2 percent energy increase were applied to all the world’s existing wind farms, it would be the equivalent of adding more than 3,600 new wind turbines, or enough to power about 3 million homes, and a total gain to power producers of almost a billion dollars per year, the researchers say. And all of this for essentially no cost.

The research is published today in the journal Nature Energy, in a study led by MIT Esther and Harold E. Edgerton Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering Michael F. Howland.

“Essentially all existing utility-scale turbines are controlled ‘greedily’ and independently,” says Howland. The term “greedily,” he explains, refers to the fact that they are controlled to maximize only their own power production, as if they were isolated units with no detrimental impact on neighboring turbines.

But in the real world, turbines are deliberately spaced close together in wind farms to achieve economic benefits related to land use (on- or offshore) and to infrastructure such as access roads and transmission lines. This proximity means that turbines are often strongly affected by the turbulent wakes produced by others that are upwind from them — a factor that individual turbine-control systems do not currently take into account.

“From a flow-physics standpoint, putting wind turbines close together in wind farms is often the worst thing you could do,” Howland says. “The ideal approach to maximize total energy production would be to put them as far apart as possible,” but that would increase the associated costs.

That’s where the work of Howland and his collaborators comes in. They developed a new flow model which predicts the power production of each turbine in the farm depending on the incident winds in the atmosphere and the control strategy of each turbine. While based on flow-physics, the model learns from operational wind farm data to reduce predictive error and uncertainty. Without changing anything about the physical turbine locations and hardware systems of existing wind farms, they have used the physics-based, data-assisted modeling of the flow within the wind farm and the resulting power production of each turbine, given different wind conditions, to find the optimal orientation for each turbine at a given moment. This allows them to maximize the output from the whole farm, not just the individual turbines.

Today, each turbine constantly senses the incoming wind direction and speed and uses its internal control software to adjust its yaw (vertical axis) angle position to align as closely as possible to the wind. But in the new system, for example, the team has found that by turning one turbine just slightly away from its own maximum output position — perhaps 20 degrees away from its individual peak output angle — the resulting increase in power output from one or more downwind units will more than make up for the slight reduction in output from the first unit. By using a centralized control system that takes all of these interactions into account, the collection of turbines was operated at power output levels that were as much as 32 percent higher under some conditions.

In a months-long experiment in a real utility-scale wind farm in India, the predictive model was first validated by testing a wide range of yaw orientation strategies, most of which were intentionally suboptimal. By testing many control strategies, including suboptimal ones, in both the real farm and the model, the researchers could identify the true optimal strategy. Importantly, the model was able to predict the farm power production and the optimal control strategy for most wind conditions tested, giving confidence that the predictions of the model would track the true optimal operational strategy for the farm. This enables the use of the model to design the optimal control strategies for new wind conditions and new wind farms without needing to perform fresh calculations from scratch.

Then, a second months-long experiment at the same farm, which implemented only the optimal control predictions from the model, proved that the algorithm’s real-world effects could match the overall energy improvements seen in simulations. Averaged over the entire test period, the system achieved a 1.2 percent increase in energy output at all wind speeds, and a 3 percent increase at speeds between 6 and 8 meters per second (about 13 to 18 miles per hour).

While the test was run at one wind farm, the researchers say the model and cooperative control strategy can be implemented at any existing or future wind farm. Howland estimates that, translated to the world’s existing fleet of wind turbines, a 1.2 percent overall energy improvement would produce  more than 31 terawatt-hours of additional electricity per year, approximately equivalent to installing an extra 3,600 wind turbines at no cost. This would translate into some $950 million in extra revenue for the wind farm operators per year, he says.

The amount of energy to be gained will vary widely from one wind farm to another, depending on an array of factors including the spacing of the units, the geometry of their arrangement, and the variations in wind patterns at that location over the course of a year. But in all cases, the model developed by this team can provide a clear prediction of exactly what the potential gains are for a given site, Howland says. “The optimal control strategy and the potential gain in energy will be different at every wind farm, which motivated us to develop a predictive wind farm model which can be used widely, for optimization across the wind energy fleet,” he adds.

But the new system can potentially be adopted quickly and easily, he says. “We don’t require any additional hardware installation. We’re really just making a software change, and there’s a significant potential energy increase associated with it.” Even a 1 percent improvement, he points out, means that in a typical wind farm of about 100 units, operators could get the same output with one fewer turbine, thus saving the costs, usually millions of dollars, associated with purchasing, building, and installing that unit.

Further, he notes, by reducing wake losses the algorithm could make it possible to place turbines more closely together within future wind farms, therefore increasing the power density of wind energy, saving on land (or sea) footprints. This power density increase and footprint reduction could help to achieve pressing greenhouse gas emission reduction goals, which call for a substantial expansion of wind energy deployment, both on and offshore.

What’s more, he says, the biggest new area of wind farm development is offshore, and “the impact of wake losses is often much higher in offshore wind farms.” That means the impact of this new approach to controlling those wind farms could be significantly greater.

The Howland Lab and the international team is continuing to refine the models further and working to improve the operational instructions they derive from the model, moving toward autonomous, cooperative control and striving for the greatest possible power output from a given set of conditions, Howland says.

“This paper describes a significant step forward for wind power,” says Charles Meneveau, a professor of mechanical engineering at Johns Hopkins University, who was not involved in this work. “It includes new ideas and methodologies to effectively control wind turbines collectively under the highly variable wind energy resource. It shows that smartly implemented yaw control strategies using state-of-the-art physics-based wake models, supplemented with data-driven approaches, can increase power output in wind farms.” The fact that this was demonstrated in an operating wind farm, he says, “is of particular importance to facilitate subsequent implementation and scale-up of the proposed approach.”

 

Reprinted with the permission  MIT News http://news.mit.edu/

Suggested Content



Is the Move Toward ESG Funds and Sustainability Fading?



Are There Enough ESG Stocks to Go Around?




ESG Ratings Could Miss Problematic Supply Chain Issues



Have Wind and Solar made Hydro Irrelevant?


Stay up to date. Follow us: