Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – Solid First Quarter; Outlook Remains Bullish

Tuesday, May 03, 2022

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP)
Solid First Quarter; Outlook Remains Bullish

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Senior Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid first quarter performance. Alliance reported first quarter net income of $36.7 million, or $0.28 per unit compared to $24.7 million, or $0.19 per unit, during the prior year period. The company generated EBITDA of $152.3 million compared to $94.3 million during the prior year period. Results would have been stronger had it not been for transportation constraints that hindered the company’s ability to ship approximately 1.1 million tons of contracted tonnage during the first quarter. These shipments are expected to be delivered throughout the balance of the year. Additionally, financial results were negatively impacted by a $37.3 million one-time non-cash deferred income tax expense and liability to convert the holding company for ARLP’s oil & gas royalty activities, to a corporate taxable entity. Excluding the one-time tax item, adjusted EPU were $0.58.

Updating estimates. We have increased our full year GAAP and adjusted EPU estimates to $3.10 and $3.40, respectively, from $2.85 and $3.15. Our estimates reflect continued strength in commodity prices. We forecast 2022 adjusted EBITDA of $744.6 million and distributable cash flow of $515.1 million….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Sierra Metals Subsidiary in Peru, Sociedad Minera Corona Reports Q1-2022 Financial Results



Sierra Metals Subsidiary in Peru, Sociedad Minera Corona Reports Q1-2022 Financial Results

Research, News, and Market Data on Sierra Metals

TORONTO–()–Sierra Metals Inc. (TSX: SMT) (BVL: SMT) (NYSE AMERICAN: SMTS) (“Sierra Metals” or “the Company”) announces the filing of Sociedad Minera Corona S.A.’s (“Corona”) unaudited Financial Statements and the Management Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) for the first quarter of 2022 (“Q1 2022”).

 

The Company holds an 81.8% interest in Corona. All amounts are presented in US dollars unless otherwise stated and have not been adjusted for the 18.2% non-controlling interest.

Corona’s Q1-2022 financial statements have not been reviewed by the Sierra Metals Board. The Company will be releasing its Q1-2022 consolidated financial statements on May 11th, 2022 with an investor conference call taking place on May 12th, 2022.

Corona’s Highlights for the
Three Months Ended March 31, 2022

  • Revenues of US$35.8 million, a 15%
    decrease from Q1 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of US$14.8 million, an
    8% decrease from Q1 2021.
  • Total tonnes processed of 315,250, a
    3% decrease from Q1 2021.
  • Net production revenue per tonne of
    ore milled decreased by 5% to US$121.34.
  • Cash Cost per copper equivalent
    payable pound higher by 48% to US$2.19.
  • All-in sustaining cost
    (“AISC”) per copper equivalent payable pound higher by 40% to
    US$3.70.
  • Copper equivalent pounds production
    decreased 32% to 10.9 million pounds.
  • $17.0 million of cash and cash
    equivalents as at March 31, 2022.
  • $70.3 million of working capital as at
    March 31, 2022.

The Yauricocha mine processed 315,250 tons during the Q1 2022, which represents a decrease of 3% compared Q1 2021. Labor shortages were experienced in development and mining areas due to the impact of COVID-19 in January and February.

The delays in preparation of the polymetallic mining zones forced the mine to focus on copper sulfides during the quarter, which resulted in higher copper head grades, but negatively impacted grades for all other metals, except gold. Q1 2022 copper and gold production was 60% and 19% higher, while silver, lead and zinc production were 43%, 56% and 57% lower respectively as compared to Q1 2021. Copper equivalent production for Q1 2022 from Yauricocha was 10,876 pounds or 32% lower than the same quarter of 2021. This reflects the decrease in average ore grade on current permitted mining areas.

Luis Marchese, CEO of Sierra Metals, commented, “During Q1 2022, 
Yauricocha metal production was negatively impacted due to
decreasing ore grades in the currently permitted mining areas, and Covid
related labour shortages in the early part of the year.”

He continued, “Looking ahead, our priority is to
treat ore at full plant capacity and incorporate the newly discovered
high-grade areas in order to maximize metal production at current prices.”

He concluded, “We expect that we will be able to
make up for the delay in production at Yauricocha, and with improved grades, we
are optimistic about our progress in the Mine’s performance going forward.”

The following table displays selected unaudited financial information for the three months ended March 31, 2022:

Press Release
Selected Financial Results

 

 

 

(In thousands
of US dollars, except cash cost and revenue

Three Months Ended

per tonne
metrics)

March 31, 2022

March 31, 2021

Var %

 

Revenue

$

35,794

41,925

-15%

Adjusted EBITDA (1)

14,803

16,173

-8%

Cash Flow from operations

11,080

16,496

-33%

Gross profit

13,268

16,149

-18%

Income Tax Expense

1,268

(6,842)

-119%

Net Income

10,497

5,175

103%

 

Net production revenue per tonne of ore milled 
(2)

121.34

128.10

-5%

Cash cost per tonne of ore milled (2)

59.19

60.43

-2%

 

Cash cost per copper equivalent payable pound 
(2)

2.19

1.48

48%

All-In Sustaining Cost per copper equivalent payable pound (2)

3.70

2.65

40%

 

(In thousands of US dollars, unless
otherwise stated)

March 31, 2022

December 31,
2021

 

Cash and cash equivalents

$

17,041

32,870

Assets

235,267

232,868

Liabilities

58,013

66,111

Equity

177,254

166,757

 

(1)

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDA
includes adjustments for depletion and depreciation, interest expense and
other financing costs, interest income, share-based compensation, Foreign
Exchange (gain) loss and income taxes; see non-IFRS Performance Measures
section of the Company’s MD&A.

(2)

 

 

 

Net production
revenue per tonne, cash cost per tonne, cash cost per copper equivalent
payable pound and All-In Sustaining Cost per copper (‘AISC’) equivalent pound
are non-IFRS performance measures. AISC includes the cost of sales, treatment
and refining charges, sustaining capital expenditures, general and
administrative expense, and selling expense, and exclude workers’ profit
sharing, depreciation, and other non-cash provisions; see non-IFRS
Performance Measures section of the Company’s MD&A.

The following table displays average realized metal prices information for the quarter ended March 31, 2022 vs March 31, 2021:

Average realized prices

Quarter ended March 31

Increase

In US$

2022

2021

(%)

Silver ($/oz)

23.95

26.44

-9%

Copper ($/lb)

4.53

3.88

17%

Zinc ($/lb)

1.69

1.24

36%

Lead ($/lb)

1.06

0.92

15%

Gold ($/oz)

1,875

1,778

5%

Corona’s Financial Highlights
for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2022

  • Revenue from metals payable at the Yauricocha Mine in Peru of $35.8 million for Q1 2022 decreased by 15% compared to $41.9 million of revenues in Q1 2021. Despite higher metal prices, revenues decreased during Q1 2022 mainly due to lower metal production attributable to lower grades except copper. Copper equivalent payable pounds dropped 51% due to lower quantities of metals sold as compared to Q1 2021.
  • Yauricocha’s cash cost per copper equivalent payable pound was $2.19 (Q1 2021 – $1.48), and AISC per copper equivalent payable pound of $3.70 (Q1 2021 – $2.65). Higher unit costs resulted from a 36% decrease in copper equivalent payable pounds.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of US$14.8 million for the first quarter of 2022 compared to US$16.2 million for the same period of 2021. The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2022 compared to the same period of the year 2021 was due to lower revenues from the Company, explained above.
  • Operating cash flow before movements in working capital of US$11.1 million for the first quarter of 2022 compared to US$16.5 million in the same period of 2021.
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $17.0 million as at March 31, 2022, compared to $32.9 million as at December 31, 2021. Cash and cash equivalents decreased as cash used in investing activities ($6.2 million) and financing activities ($10.5 million) exceeded cash flow of $0.8 million generated from operating activities.
  • Net income of $10.5 million, or $0.292 per share for Q1 2022 compared to net income of $5.2 million, or $0.144 per share for Q1 2021. The increase in net income during Q1 2022 resulted from the recovery of deferred taxes and no current taxes as there was no taxable income during the quarter.

Corona’s Operational
Highlights for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2022:

The following table displays the production results for the three months ended March 31, 2022:

Yauricocha
Production

Three Months Ended March 31,

2022

2021

% Var.

 

Tonnes processed

315,250

326,211

-3%

Daily throughput

3,603

3,728

-3%

 

 

Silver grade (g/t)

39.40

54.35

-28%

Copper grade

0.79%

0.56%

41%

Lead grade

0.66%

1.34%

-51%

Zinc grade

1.83%

3.71%

-51%

Gold Grade (g/t)

0.52

0.43

21%

 

Silver recovery

63.99%

79.05%

-19%

Copper recovery

77.22%

66.26%

17%

Lead recovery

82.50%

90.16%

-8%

Zinc recovery

82.09%

90.34%

-9%

Gold Recovery

20.06%

19.77%

1%

 

 

Silver production (000 oz)

256

451

-43%

Copper production (000 lb)

4,279

2,682

60%

Lead production (000 lb)

3,828

8,706

-56%

Zinc production (000 lb)

10,492

24,123

-57%

Gold Production (oz)

1,057

890

19%

 

 

Copper equivalent pounds (000’s)(1)

10,876

15,937

-32%

 

(1)

 

 

 

Copper
equivalent pounds for Q1 2022 were calculated using the following realized
prices: $23.95/oz Ag, $4.53/lb Cu, $1.69/lb Zn, $1.06/lb Pb, $1,875/oz Au.
Copper equivalent pounds for Q1 2021 were calculated using the following
realized prices: $26.44/oz Ag, $3.88/lb Cu, $1.24/lb Zn, $0.92/lb Pb,
$1,778/oz Au.

Quality Control

Américo Zuzunaga, FAusIMM CP (Mining Engineer) and Vice President of Corporate Planning, is a Qualified Person under National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.

About Sierra Metals

Sierra Metals Inc. is a diversified Canadian mining company with Green Metal exposure including increasing copper production and base metal production with precious metals byproduct credits, focused on the production and development of its Yauricocha Mine in Peru, and Bolivar and Cusi Mines in Mexico. The Company is focused on increasing production volume and growing mineral resources. Sierra Metals has recently had several new key discoveries and still has many more exciting brownfield exploration opportunities at all three Mines in Peru and Mexico that are within close proximity to the existing mines. Additionally, the Company also has large land packages at all three mines with several prospective regional targets providing longer-term exploration upside and mineral resource growth potential.

The Company’s Common Shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the Bolsa de Valores de Lima under the symbol “SMT” and on the NYSE American Exchange under the symbol “SMTS”.

Continue to Follow, Like and Watch our progress:

Webwww.sierrametals.com | Twittersierrametals | FacebookSierraMetalsInc |
LinkedInSierra Metals Inc | Instagramsierrametals

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking information” and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Canadian and U.S. securities laws (collectively, “forward-looking information”). Forward-looking information includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the date of the 2020 Shareholders’ Meeting and the anticipated filing of the Compensation Disclosure. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “projects”, “estimates”, “assumes”, “intends”, “strategy”, “goals”, “objectives”, “potential” or variations thereof, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved, or the negative of any of these terms and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking information, including, without limitation, the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s annual information form dated March 16, 2022 for its fiscal year ended December 31, 2021 and other risks identified in the Company’s filings with Canadian securities regulators and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, which filings are available at www.sedar.com and www.sec.gov, respectively.

The risk factors referred to above are not an exhaustive list of the factors that may affect any of the Company’s forward-looking information. Forward-looking information includes statements about the future and is inherently uncertain, and the Company’s actual achievements or other future events or conditions may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking information due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. The Company’s statements containing forward-looking information are based on the beliefs, expectations, and opinions of management on the date the statements are made, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update such forward-looking information if circumstances or management’s beliefs, expectations or opinions should change, other than as required by applicable law. For the reasons set forth above, one should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.

Contacts

For further information regarding Sierra Metals, please visit www.sierrametals.com

Investor Relations
CEO

Sierra Metals Inc.
Tel: +1 (416) 366-7777
Email: 
info@sierrametals.com

Luis Marchese
Sierra Metals Inc.
Tel: +1 (416) 366-7777

The World Is HOT Right Now! – Panel Presentation from NobleCon18


The World Is HOT Right Now!

Making sense of the hot-button issues facing investors including: Supply chain constraints, ESG regulation, political unrest, inflation and War.

  • Moderator: Mike Gallagher, Radio Personality, Host of the Mike Gallagher Show
  • Brigadier General Blaine Holt, Deputy US Military Representative to NATO
  • Rani Selwanes, Noble’s Head of Investment Banking
  • Chuck Rubin, Chairman & CEO, Michaels; CEO Ulta Beauty (former)
  • Mark Chalmers, CEO, Energy Fuels

NobleCon 18 Complete Rebroadcast

Did the Stock Market Already Overshoot to the Downside in 2022?


Image Credit: Kirt Edblom (Flickr)


Any Surprise After the FOMC Meeting and Announcement Could Be Rally-Worthy

The markets are again in an awkward position where bad economic news tends to cause a market rally. Strong economic news, of course, strengthens the Fed’s case for aggressively tightening. Equity markets have not been reacting well to the prospect of tightening. During April, almost all news was taken as bad. For example, after low unemployment numbers, the market traded off as this could heighten wage inflation. The negative GDP report also prompted market weakness as it may mean we are already in a recession.

Room to Significantly Bounce

May trading will start off with what most look at as getting “bad news” out of the way. The bad news is the FOMC decision on Rates which we should know by 2 pm Wednesday (May 4). Recently the Fed has been guiding the markets to expect 50bp of tightening in May. Another 50bp has been foreshadowed for June.

Anything more than 50bp in May or a statement suggesting that June could be higher than 50bp will bring in the sellers. But, there is a possibility the Fed may actually tone down its hawkish stance, and very little possibility they will amplify it.

 


Source: Koyfin

All major indices increased their losses during the month of April. Investors in the Nasdaq 100, which is heavily weighted toward large tech stocks, took the brunt of the fall. The indices all reached their high for the year during the first week in January. Shortly after this, the Fed began discussing inflation in terms that suggested rising prices would be more persistent than originally thought when they were labeled “transitory.”

The markets were then told to expect higher overnight bank lending rates (Fed Funds) and a smaller balance sheet (let bond purchases roll-off). The Fed approved a 0.25 percentage point rate hike on March 16, the first increase since December 2018.

 


Source: Koyfin

FOMC Meetings and Volatility

The VIX index, which is a measure of implied volatility, is currently trading around 33. This suggests the options market is pricing in a nearly 2.1% daily move in the S&P 500. If this number falls, it suggests volatility is decreasing.

Using the VIX as a guide, since the start of 2022, stock market investors have been more fearful before Fed meetings than after the meeting. In fact, the FOMC meetings have been followed by market rallies in the S&P 500. Unless the Fed does something more aggressive than previously indicated, the activity prior to the May meeting has given stocks plenty of room to bounce. The first look at the first-quarter GDP, which was negative, could cause the Fed to tone down their rhetoric.  A market hanging on every word would breathe a sigh of relief if a “softening” in the first quarter is mentioned.

 


Source: Koyfin

The definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters or more of negative growth. We are now in the second quarter; shrinking the economy would put us in a recession. Recessions accompanied by high inflation are the worst economic scenario (stagflation). No Fed wants to be viewed as being partially responsible for a period of stagflation.

Take-Away

Markets are not predictable, but they do establish patterns. The pattern for 2022 has been panic leading up to Fed meetings, then a relief rally after. The GDP number just released is likely to keep the Fed from becoming more aggressive in its stance. This has the potential to cause a bear market rally for investors that would prefer the market to repeat its dismal April performance.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Suggested Reading



Has the Fed Run Out of Good Options?



Russell Reconstitution 2022, What Investors Should Know





Consumer Price Index Report was a Contrarian Dream



Rumors of Fossil Fuels Death are Quite Premature

 

Stay up to date. Follow us:

 

Metaverse: Is The Future Real? – Panel Presentation from NobleCon18


Metaverse: Is The Future Real?

The Metaverse has the potential to disrupt a large number of industries. What’s in store for the next gen of the Internet? How should businesses prepare?

  • Moderator: Eric Bolling, TV Personality and Host of Eric Bolling The Balance
  • Rob Goldman, Head of Growth & Monetization, Facebook (former)
  • Mike Federle, CEO, Forbes Media Group
  • Christopher Ruddy, CEO, Newsmax
  • Dimitry Kozko, CEO, Motorsport Games

NobleCon 18 Complete Rebroadcast

NobleCon18 Recap – 2 Days in Less Than 20 Minutes


NobleCon18 Recap – 2 Days in Less Than 20 Minutes

If you didn’t make it to the LIVE event, or even if you did and want to revisit this memorable conference, here’s your opportunity exclusively on Channelchek. Our on-demand catalog captured close to 50 hours of content. Individual corporate presentations and compelling panels. Get a taste for it with our “2 Days in Less Than 20 Minutes” video. It’s all here on Channelchek. And as always, it’s free for subscribers (and there’ no cost to subscribe). Take your time or binge. If you’re looking for the next apple, this is the orchard.

NobleCon 18 Complete Rebroadcast

Mental Wellness: A Mind Blowing Remedy May Be In Sight – Panel Presentation from NobleCon18


Mental Wellness: A Mind Blowing Remedy May Be In Sight

Science has taken a closer look at the use of psychedelics to treat mental illness; investors should too. Are there comparable pathways to Cannabis?

  • Moderator: Eric Bolling, TV Personality and Host of Eric Bolling The Balance
  • Daniel Corcillo, CEO, Wesana Health
  • Evan Levine, CEO, Psybio Therapeutics
  • Ben Lightburn, CEO, Filament Health
  • Justin Dye, CEO, Schwazze

NobleCon 18 Complete Rebroadcast