Artificial Intelligence and Your Smart Phone Help Early Identification of Some Conditions Easier



Image Credit: Piction health (MIT News)


Startup Lets Doctors Classify Skin Conditions with the Snap of a Picture

Zach Winn | MIT News Office

At the age of 22, when Susan Conover wanted to get a strange-looking mole checked out, she was told it would take three months to see a dermatologist. When the mole was finally removed and biopsied, doctors determined it was cancerous. At the time, no one could be sure the cancer hadn’t spread to other parts of her body — the difference between stage 2 and stage 3 or 4 melanoma.

Thankfully, the mole ended up being confined to one spot. But the experience launched Conover into the world of skin diseases and dermatology. After exploring those topics and possible technological solutions in MIT’s System Design and Management graduate program, Conover founded Piction Health.

Piction Health began as a mobile app that used artificial intelligence to recognize melanoma from images. Over time, however, Conover realized that other skin conditions make up the vast majority of cases physicians and dermatologists see. Today, Conover and her co-founder Pranav Kuber focus on helping physicians identify and manage the most common skin conditions — including rashes like eczema, acne, and shingles — and plan to partner with a company to help diagnose skin cancers down the line.

“All these other conditions are the ones that are often referred to dermatology, and dermatologists become frustrated because they’d prefer to be spending time on skin cancer cases or other conditions that need their help,” Conover says. “We realized we needed to pivot away from skin cancer in order to help skin cancer patients see the dermatologist faster.”

After primary care physicians take a photo of a patient’s skin condition, Piction’s app shows images of similar skin presentations. Piction also helps physicians differentiate between the conditions they most suspect to make better care decisions for the patient.

Conover says Piction can reduce the time it takes physicians to evaluate a case by around 30 percent. It can also help physicians refer a patient to a dermatologist more quickly for special cases they’re not confident in managing. More broadly, Conover is focused on helping health organizations reduce costs related to unnecessary revisits, ineffective prescriptions, and unnecessary referrals.

So far, more than 50 physicians have used Piction’s product, and the company has established partnerships with several organizations, including a well-known defense organization that had two employees diagnosed with late-stage melanoma recently after they couldn’t see a dermatologist right away.

“A lot of people don’t realize that it’s really hard to see a dermatologist — it can take three to six months — and with the pandemic it’s never been a worse time to try to see a dermatologist,” Conover says.

 

Shocked into Action

At the time of Conover’s melanoma diagnosis, she had recently earned a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Texas at Austin. But she didn’t do a deep dive into dermatology until she needed a thesis topic for her master’s at MIT.

“It was just a really scary experience,” Conover says of her melanoma. “I consider myself very lucky because I learned at MIT that there’s a huge number of people with skin problems every year, two-thirds of those people go into primary care to get help, and about half of those cases are misdiagnosed because these providers don’t have as much training in dermatology.”

Conover first began exploring the idea of starting a company to diagnose melanoma during the Nuts and Bolts of Founding New Ventures course offered over MIT’s Independent Activities Period in 2015. She also went through the IDEAS Social Innovation Challenge and the MIT $100K Entrepreneurship Competition while building her system. After graduation, she spent a year at MIT as a Catalyst Fellow in the MIT linQ program, where she worked in the lab of Martha Gray, the J.W. Kieckhefer Professor of Health Sciences and Technology and a member of MIT’s Institute for Medical Engineering and Science (IMES).

Through MIT’s Venture Mentoring Service, Conover also went through the I-Corps program, where she continued to speak with stakeholders. Through those conversations, she learned that skin rashes like psoriasis, eczema, and rosacea account for the vast majority of skin problems seen by primary care physicians.

Meanwhile, while public health campaigns have focused on the importance of protection from the sun, public knowledge around conditions like shingles, which effects up to 1 percent of Americans each year, is severely lacking.

Although training a machine-learning model to recognize a myriad of diverse conditions would be more difficult than training a model to recognize melanoma, Conover’s small team decided that was the best path forward.

“We decided it’s better to just jump to making the full product, even though it sounded scary and huge: a product that identifies all different rashes across multiple body parts and skin tones and age groups,” Conover says.

The leap required Piction to establish data partnerships with hundreds of dermatologists in countries around the world during the pandemic. Conover says Piction now has the world’s largest dataset of rashes, containing over 1 million photos taken by dermatologists in 18 countries.

“We focused on getting photos of different skin tones, as many skin tones are underrepresented even in medical literature and teaching,” Conover says. “Providers don’t always learn how all the different skin tones can present conditions, so our representative database is a substantial statement about our commitment to health equity.”

Conover says Piction’s image database helps doctors evaluate conditions more accurately in primary care. After a provider has determined the most likely condition, Piction presents physicians with information on treatment options for each condition.

“This front-line primary care environment is the ideal place for our innovation because they care for patients with skin conditions every day,” Conover says.

 

Helping Doctors at Scale

Conover is constantly reminded of the need for her system from family and friends, who have taken to sending her pictures of their skin condition for advice. Recently, Conover’s friend developed shingles, a disease that can advance quickly and can cause blindness if it spreads to certain locations on the body. A doctor misdiagnosed the shingles on her forehead as a spider bite and prescribed the wrong medication. The shingles got worse and caused ear and scalp pain before the friend went to the emergency room and received the proper treatment.

 

“It was one of those moments where we thought, ‘If only physicians had the right tools,’” Conover says. “The PCP jumped to what she thought the problem was but didn’t build the full list of potential conditions and narrow from there.”

Piction will be launching several additional pilots this year. Down the line, Conover wants to add capabilities to identify and evaluate wounds and infectious diseases that are more common in other parts of the world, like leprosy. By partnering with nonprofit groups, the company also hopes to bring its solution to doctors in low-resource settings.

“This has potential to become a full diagnostic tool in the future,” Conover says. “I just don’t want anyone to feel the way I felt when I had my first diagnosis, and I want other people like me to be able to get the care they need at the right time and move on with their lives.”

Reprinted with permission of MIT News” and a link to the MIT News homepage ( http://news.mit.edu/)

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Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Finding A Gem In The Ad Tech Rubble

Tuesday, July 12, 2022

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT)
Finding A Gem In The Ad Tech Rubble

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Initiating coverage with Outperform rating. We believe that Digital Direct has dynamic growth opportunities in a large and fast growing market for programmatic advertising. Its target advertisers include small to medium size businesses interested in multicultural and under served target audiences, as well as a broad reach, which differentiates the company from many of its peers. 

Compelling growth industry. Direct Digital’s sell-side, programmatic advertising platform, called Colossus, is the key growth driver for the company and plays in a large, dynamic growth market. The global programmatic advertising market is expected to grow at 12% CAGR from 2021 through 2026, from $418 billion to $725 billion. Based on our estimates, the company is expected to generate $28.2 million in revenue in 2022 in this segment, illustrating the significant headroom for growth. …

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Strong Dollar Upheaval Impacts Investor Strategies



Image Credit: T.Y. (Flickr)


Strong Dollar Investments and the Unique Variables in the Second Half 2022

The U.S. dollar has reached parity with the Euro for the first time in 20 years. The 1:1 exchange rate is the result of substantial strengthening of the U.S. currency against much of the world’s mediums of exchange. Year-to date the dollar is up 12.8% against a basket of currencies. This includes the Japanese Yen, which lost 15.8% against the dollar, and the Chinese Yuan, down 5.5%.

Much of the dollar strength can be attributed to the U.S. being more determined to raise interest rates in an effort to stave off inflation. Assets tend to move toward higher interest rates which then tend to fuel a currency’s strength. The Fed has been raising interest rates and has indicated it is resolved to do what it takes to break the inflation trend before it becomes embedded longer term. This is at least the abbreviated explanation I tell friends booking trips overseas this summer. The longer-winded answer is probably more complicated. These complications impact whether investments that normally do well in an upward rate environment should be embraced by investors in today’s rising rate, stronger dollar scenario.


Source: Koyfin

What Else is Behind Worldwide Asset Flows?

There is a lot of uncertainty around the globe. Historically the dollar and dollar-denominated U.S. markets have been considered the relative safest. This safe-haven status brings in money during uncertain periods. 

Europe has been slower to tighten policy than the U.S. despite inflation rates. This has been one of the chief causes of Euro weakness. The region has more factors pushing it toward a recession as economic activity is being stunted by the Russia-Ukraine war. This has caused the European Central Bank to delay monetary tightening, thus producing imbalances between holding Euros vs. holding dollars.

Japan, has been using YCC or yield-curve
control
as a way to actively manage its borrowing costs across different maturities. At the same time, they are expanding currency in circulation in order to engineer higher inflation to counter their nearly 40 years of deflation. As one of the consequences,  the yen recently hit a 20-year low against the dollar.

China, Recurring implementation of a zero-Covid policy continues to dampen any economic gains and weaken expectations of economic growth in the future for the manufacturing powerhouse. This has caused its central bank to further ease policy which has had a depreciative effect on the yuan.

Investors Looking at Unique Variables

What stocks do best with a strong dollar? Well, it may
be different
this time. For instance, commodities such as oil most often move in the opposite direction of the dollar. But since late February, the beginning of the European war, the dollar and oil have both been on an uptrend. Commodities-based inflation remains in large part to the impact of the war coupled with commodity supply problems caused by steps taken to reduce Covid19 spread.

A strong U.S. dollar also tends to negatively impact international emerging markets that rely on dollar-denominated debt. These borrowers then have to service this debt in dollar-denominated payments – while the dollar becomes more expensive. The unique set of circumstances today has many emerging market regions in comfortable shape, with ample non-native currency reserves. For example, much of Latin America which supplies fuel, food fertilizer, and metals actually stand to benefit from the global supply shortages.

The uncertain economy and leariness of a recession in the U.S. has caused many U.S. market investors to gravitate toward defensive stocks, retailers, particularly those that are big importers, are seeing more activity.

The Fed Faces with New Challenges

The soaring dollar creates additional confusion for the Fed which is charged with guiding monetary policy. Money flowing into U.S. markets and being parked in U.S. treasuries serves to bring rates down at a time when higher rates are deemed needed.

From an inflation standpoint, imported goods will have reduced price pressure after the currency translation for Americans. The increased purchasing power of consumers and businesses when it comes to imports serves to ease inflationary pressures. But the dollar’s strength will slow U.S. exports and the translation of overseas profits by U.S companies.

Take Away

The old standbys for investors when the dollar is strengthening may not be the best moves this time around. The factors creating the strength are different than most cycles. There appear to be opportunities in companies with operations in Latin America that supply goods being thwarted from other regions.

Cycles always give way to a new phase and the current U.S. dollar strength will eventually give way to a new set of circumstances. Stay in touch with the markets with insight and research you find no place else. Sign-up for daily Channelchek updates in your email.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

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Sources

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/investing/euro-dollar-parity/index.html

https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/thoughts-on-the-market-sheets

https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/strong-dollar-investing-risks-mount

https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/october-2015/aging-and-the-economy-the-japanese-experience

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TAAL Distributed Information Technologies (TAALF) – More Power Means More Mining

Tuesday, July 12, 2022

TAAL Distributed Information Technologies (TAALF)
More Power Means More Mining

TAAL Distributed Information Technologies Inc. delivers value-added blockchain services, providing professional-grade, highly scalable blockchain infrastructure and transactional platforms to support businesses building solutions and applications upon the BitcoinSV platform, and developing, operating, and managing distributed computing systems for enterprise users.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Going Nuclear. TAAL’s management announced yesterday that the Company has entered into a hosting agreement with Lake Parime USA Inc. to provide data center infrastructure and site origination for transforming low-value energy into computing power. The nuclear energy facility, located in Ohio, will host 3,000 S19J Pro bitcoin mining units by the end of September 2022. We view this agreement as a positive development due to higher top-line revenue through adding power for increased mining, along with taking steps in the Company’s risk management, as TAAL is continuing to operate 340 petahash in Siberia, Russia.

Moving Towards the Goal. The facility will have a capacity of 300 petahash/second, and adding TAAL’s current processing power of 550 petahash, gives the Company a total processing power of 850 petahash once all 3,000 units are online (this is not including the machines ordered in the third quarter of 2022). TAAL’s agreement also progresses the Company towards the goal of 2 exahash/second (or equivalent to 2000 petahash) at full deployment. We expect the Company to be near 1 exahash by year-end….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Another Case for Natural Gas Investing



Image Courtesy of Alvopetro Energy


Why Natural Gas Opportunities Should Not Always be Lumped in With the Oil Sector

Oil and gas companies were the all-stars in 2021, and so far, in 2022, it is the only group in the green. The category’s performance during June was met with some deflated exuberance and has dipped, but is showing a return of 30.5% YTD. The reason for this is the rising demand for oil and the rising demand for natural gas that began long before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. What is more compelling is if you look at the prices of oil and natural gas separately, you find natural gas prices are up an additional 18% over the price of oil. These are North American prices, but the trend is the same or more dramatic in other parts of the globe.


Source: Koyfin

The demand for natural gas began before the European war and is expected to outlast it. In fact, the rise in gas prices began in October 2020. So the upward trajectory is 20 months old and has included large dips and spikes as part of its climb. For investors on the fence about committing more to the energy sector, looking at the prices of the underlying commodity is critical to judge entry points. For those considering the only sector that is green this year, they may wish to further refine their selection and look at pure-play producers of natural gas. 

Natural gas is now viewed as a bridge source of energy. It has become clear that if more of our energy is to come from wind and solar, there will be a very long period where we will still require reliable, high-output energy from traditional sources. One of the reasons there are rising prices among all fossil fuels is because of the abrupt way many countries changed their energy policies. Most oil companies still don’t know where the country they operate in stands from quarter to quarter on oil acceptance. This is a problem, especially for the larger less nimble companies that are torn between using resources to build out biofuels or to lease and develop a production facility.

A clearer understanding of the benefits of natural gas allows it to be listed in the European sustainability classification as “Transitional
Activities
” beginning in 2023. The category includes those not considered fully sustainable but have emissions below the industry average, and do not lock in polluting assets or crowd out greener alternatives.

Natural gas has quickly become the “must-have” ingredient for countries transitioning to alternative fuels.

There are many companies involved in the production of natural gas, most are part of a larger oil producer. If you wish to benefit from the increased demand of the “greener ” natural gas, a Google search of “pure play natural gas producers” will provide you with many companies to review. At the top of the list, assuming it’s alphabetized, is a unique company with a situation you may find quite compelling, Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF, ALV:CA) .

 

Alvopetro

Two years ago, Canadian independent Alvopetro managed to get approved to become Brazil’s first, and still only, non-government-owned producer of natural gas. Location sometimes is everything, and Brazil is the ninth-largest economy in the world.

Aside from current earnings that exceed expectations and a unique sharing policy with investors, Alvopetro has tremendous profitability per unit of production. In accounting, it’s called “netback,” it is the cash left after subtracting from revenues all costs associated with bringing the gas from the ground to market, including transportation, royalties, and production expenses. In this category, ALVOF is at the top of the industry.

The reasons Alvopetro has such a high netback are many, involving both costs and pricing. They have a low cost structure, including enviable operating costs, a low 15% tax rate, and transportation costs are minimal because an industrial area located fewer than 10 miles away has a demand for natural gas that exceeds supply. The pricing structure would also seem ideal for the company and shareholders as it assures prices move with what is happening internationally, yet it doesn’t subject the company to the daily ups and downs of the natural gas market. Alvopetro has negotiated a price formula that resets every six months on a price basket of the most common oil and gas benchmarks. This creates a natural hedge for the company and its customers.

Unique to ALVOF is its policy of reinvesting and distributing earnings. The company last paid a dividend that equates to a yield of 6.42% at today’s share price of $4.99. I spoke with CEO Corey Ruttan and he explained to me that “they follow a balanced approach taking roughly half of cashflows to reinvest in organic growth and return the other half to stakeholders.” On the organic growth front, Alvopetro has already announced discoveries at both their 2022 exploration prospects. On the return part of the model, they have paid down nearly all debt. The stakeholders include debt providers and shareholders and with the former being nearly repaid it paves the way for potential increases in returns to shareholders. 

Channelchek just did a C-Suite interview with Corey Ruttan the President and CEO of Alvopetro. In the discussion, you’ll learn in much greater detail the nuances that make this natural gas provider extremely unique for investors. Additional research reports on the company can be found here.

 

Take Away

Oil and gas producers have been the outperformers for over a year. They track the prices of the commodities they produce fairly closely. When one looks at the price of natural gas compared to oil, it has been pulling more than its share of the price increases. Because it is a very clean-burning fossil fuel it is now being viewed as “green energy” and more importantly recognized as critical to any global energy transformation.

There are many pure-play natural gas producers, Channelchek outlined the one above with a higher than average netback margin and a generous policy toward shareholders. Sign-up here for Channelchek and gain access to all equity research and receive news and ideas in your inbox each day. 

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

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Sources

https://www.ft.com/content/3488236e-ff3b-47ad-9482-296c2f64a1f1

https://news.alphastreet.com/alvopetro-energy-ltd-alv-q1-2022-earnings-call-transcript/

https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2119344-alvopetro-breaks-petrobras-gas-monopoly-in-bahia

Corey Ruttan
President and CEO Alvopetro Energy

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Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF) – Drilling success paves the way for future growth

Monday, July 11, 2022

Alvopetro Energy (ALVOF)
Drilling success paves the way for future growth

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil. Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Michael Heim, CFA, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Alvopetro announced multizone discovery at exploratory well. Management announced that it has discovered 34.3 meters of potential net hydrocarbon pay on well 183-B1. The discovery follows similar results at sister well 182-C1 as announced in April. Both wells will begin production testing shortly, which will help determine well economics. The discovery of hydrocarbons in the wells is not unexpected but an important step in the company’s growth plans.

The wells are more exploratory in nature and represent a step out of current production. Alvopetro’s drilling program can be described as a two-pronged approach that includes both developmental drilling in the Murucututu/Gomo Project and exploratory drilling  in the block west of Gomo. Developmental drilling is needed to maintain production and fill out this summer’s gas plant expansion to 18 MMcf/day. Exploratory drilling success is needed to justify future gas plant expansions in order to meet management’s long-term goal of reaching 35 MMcf/day….

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Tonix Pharmaceuticals Announces Development of TNX-601 ER, a Potential Abuse Deterrent, Extended-Release Formulation of Tianeptine Oxalate for the Treatment of Major Depressive Disorder



Tonix Pharmaceuticals Announces Development of TNX-601 ER, a Potential Abuse Deterrent, Extended-Release Formulation of Tianeptine Oxalate for the Treatment of Major Depressive Disorder

Research, News, and Market Data on Tonix Pharmaceuticals


Naloxone-Free
Formulation of Tianeptine is an Extended-Release Tablet that Includes Inactive
Ingredients and Compression Properties Designed to Confer Abuse Deterrence

Once-Daily Tablet Formulation
of Tianeptine is Bioequivalent to the Three Times a Day Antidepressant Marketed
in Europe for Over 30 years

Tianeptine’s Enhancement of
Neuroplasticity in Animal Models of Stress Implies a Distinct Indirect
Glutamatergic Mechanism of Action Relative to Antidepressants Marketed in the
U.S.

Planning to Initiate Enrollment
in U.S. Phase 2 Study in First Quarter 2023, Pending FDA Clearance of IND

CHATHAM, N.J., July 11, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: TNXP) (Tonix or the Company), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, today announced development of TNX-601 ER (tianeptine oxalate extended-release tablets), a naloxone-free formulation of TNX-601 designed to confer abuse-deterrence, for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD)1. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study of TNX-601 ER for the treatment of MDD in the first quarter of 2023, pending U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) clearance of its Investigational New Drug (IND) application.

Tonix’s TNX-601 ER is being developed as a treatment for MDD, posttraumatic stress disorder, and neurocognitive dysfunction associated with corticosteroid use. Tianeptine sodium (amorphous) immediate release (IR) tablets have been available in Europe and many countries in Asia and Latin America for the treatment of MDD over the more than three decades since it was first marketed in France in 1989. No tianeptine-containing product has been approved by the FDA. The proposed mechanism of action of TNX-601 ER is distinct from traditional monoaminergic antidepressants in the U.S. In addition to its glutamatergic properties central to its antidepressant effect, tianeptine has weak µ-opioid receptor agonist properties and has been linked to illicit misuse at much higher doses than those reported to be effective in the treatment of MDD2. Previously, Tonix was developing a naloxone-containing tablet, TNX-601 CR (tianeptine oxalate and naloxone controlled-release) for MDD, that was designed to mitigate the risk of parenteral abuse.

“TNX-601 ER is a naloxone-free tablet formulated with inactive ingredients that we believe will make the tablet more difficult to adulterate for misuse and abuse, while maintaining extended-release characteristics, even if the tablet is subjected to physical manipulation, and/or chemical extraction,” said Seth Lederman, M.D., President and Chief Executive Officer of Tonix Pharmaceuticals. “The potentially abuse deterrent ingredients include gel forming polymers which impede extraction, and excipients which cause nasal irritation. In addition, the tablet’s hardness makes it difficult to crush, cut or grind to fine particle size, which hinders efforts to misuse by insufflation or intravenous routes.”

“The efficacy of tianeptine sodium IR is comparable to both selective serotonin inhibitor (SSRI) and tricyclic antidepressants
3,4 while being associated with a low incidence of sexual dysfunction than either of those classes5,6, and no associated derangement of sleep architecture, sedation effects, weight gain, or cognitive impairment,7” said Gregory Sullivan, M.D., Chief Medical Officer of Tonix Pharmaceuticals. “Given tianeptine’s unique metabolic pathway, which is independent of the hepatic P450 system, we believe that TNX-601 ER has a reduced risk of drug-drug interactions compared to most antidepressants7. Tianeptine’s antidepressant activity is believed to relate to indirect modulation of the glutamatergic system. While it does not have measurable interactions with the NMDA, AMPA or kainate receptors, tianeptine is known to modulate AMPA receptor trafficking and to promote synaptic plasticity in hippocampus under conditions of stress or corticosteroid use. In animal models, tianeptine restores neuroplasticity and reverses stress-induced impairments in synaptic glutamate neurotransmission, which are perturbed in depression.8 Additionally, TNX-601 ER is designed for once daily dosing, which is believed to provide an adherence advantage relative to the three times per day dosing of the immediate-release sodium salt products available in Europe and other jurisdictions around the world.”

1TNX-601 ER is in the pre-IND (Investigational New Drug) stage of development and is not approved for any indication

2Lauhan, R., et al. Psychosomatics 201859 (6), 547–553.

3Jeon, H. J., et al. .J. Clin. Psychopharmacol. 201434 (2), 218–225.

4Emsley, R., et al. J. Clin. Psychiatry 201879 (4)
5Bonierbale M, et al. Curr Med Res Opin 200319(2):114-124.
6Costa e Silva, J. A., et al. Neuropsychobiology 199735 (1), 24–29.

7Wagstaff, A. J. et al. CNS
Drugs
 200115 (3), 231–259.

8McEwen, B. S., et al. Mol.
Psychiatry
 201015 (3), 237–249.

About Depression
According to the National Institute of Mental Health, an estimated 21 million adults in the U.S. in 2020 experienced at least one major depressive episode1, with highest prevalence among individuals aged 18-25 at a rate of 17.0%. For approximately 2.5 million adults in the U.S., adjunctive therapies are necessary for depression treatment.2,3 Depression is a condition characterized by symptoms such as a depressed mood or loss of interest or pleasure in daily activities most of the time for two weeks or more, accompanied by appetite changes, sleep disturbances, motor restlessness or retardation, loss of energy, feelings of worthlessness or excessive guilt, poor concentration, and suicidal thoughts and behaviors. These symptoms cause clinically significant distress or impairment in social, occupational, or other important areas of functioning. The majority of people who suffer from depression do not respond adequately to initial antidepressant therapy.4

1Data Courtesy of SAMHSA on Past Year Prevalence of Major Depressive Episode Among U.S. Adults (2020). Retrieved from 
http://www.nimh.nih.gov/health/statistics/major-depression.shtml
2IMS NSP, NPA, NDTI MAT-24-month data through Aug 2017.
3Kubitz N, et al. (2013)  PLOS One,. 8(10):e76882. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0076882. PMID: 24204694;
4Rush AJ, et al. (2007) Am J.
Psychiatry
 163:11, pp. 1905-1917 (STAR*D Study).

About TNX-601 ER
TNX-601 ER is a novel oral formulation of tianeptine oxalate designed for once-daily daytime dosing that is in the pre-IND (Investigational New Drug) stage of development for the treatment of MDD. Tonix reported the official minutes of an FDA Pre-IND meeting on March 22, 2021. Tianeptine sodium (amorphous) immediate release (3 times daily) was first marketed for depression in France in 1989 and has been available for decades in Europe, Russia, Asia, and Latin America for the treatment of depression. Tianeptine sodium has an established safety profile from decades of use in these jurisdictions. Currently there is no tianeptine-containing product approved in the U.S. and no extended-release tianeptine product approved in any jurisdiction. Tonix discovered a novel oxalate salt of tianeptine that may provide improved stability, consistency, and manufacturability compared to known salt forms of tianeptine. Tianeptine is believed to work in depression as an indirect modulator of the glutamatergic system, without direct binding NMDA, AMPA or kainate receptors. Tianeptine reverses stress induced increases in AMPA receptor trafficking, restoring hippocampal long-term potentiation and reversing the neuroplastic changes from stress and corticosteroid exposure. Tianeptine and its MC5 metabolite are also weak mu-opioid receptor (MOR) agonists, that present a potential abuse liability if illicitly misused in large quantities (8-80 times the therapeutic dose). In patients who were prescribed tianeptine for depression, the French Transparency Committee found an incidence of misuse of approximately 1 case per 1,000 patients treatedsuggesting low abuse liability when used at the antidepressant dose in patients prescribed tianeptine for depression. Clinical trials have shown that cessation of a therapeutic course of tianeptine does not appear to result in dependence or withdrawal symptoms following 6-weeks2,3,4–6, 3-months7, or 12-months8 of treatment. Tianeptine’s reported pro-cognitive and anxiolytic effects as well as its ability to attenuate the neuropathological effects of excessive stress responses suggest that it may also be used to treat posttraumatic stress disorder. TNX-601 ER is expected to have patent protection through 2037.   

1Haute Authorite de Sante; Transparency Committee Opinion. Stablon 12.5 Mg, Coated Tablet, Re- Assessment of Actual Benefit at the Request of the Transparency Committee. December 5, 2012.

2Emsley, R., et al. J. Clin.
Psychiatry
 201879 (4)
3Bonierbale M, et al. Curr Med
Res Opin
 200319(2):114-124.4Guelfi, J. D., et al. Neuropsychobiology 198922 (1), 41–48.

5Invernizzi, G. et al., Neuropsychobiology 199430 (2–3), 85–93.

6Lepine, J. P., et al. Hum. Psychopharmacol. 200116 (3), 219–227.

7Guelfi, J. D. et al., Neuropsychobiology 199225 (3), 140–148.

8Lôo, H. et al., Br. J. Psychiatry. Suppl. 1992, No. 15, 61–65.

Tonix
Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. 
*

Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of central nervous system (CNS), rare disease, immunology and infectious disease product candidates. Tonix’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet), is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022 and interim data expected in the first quarter of 2023. TNX-102 SL is also being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the third quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 (cocaine esterase) is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication that is Phase 2 ready and has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA. TNX-1900 (intranasal potentiated oxytocin), a small molecule in development for chronic migraine, is expected to enter the clinic with a Phase 2 study in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-2900 (intranasal potentiated oxytocin) for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan-Drug Designation by the FDA. TNX-601 ER (tianeptine oxalate extended-release tablet) is being developed as an antidepressant in the U.S., with a Phase 2 study expected to be initiated in first quarter of 2023 pending IND clearance. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-1500, which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline consists of a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox called TNX-801, next-generation vaccines to prevent COVID-19, and a platform to make fully human monoclonal antibodies to treat COVID-19. Tonix’s lead vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are TNX-1840 and TNX-1850, which are live virus vaccines based on Tonix’s recombinant pox live virus vector vaccine platform.

*All of
Tonix’s product candidates are investigational new drugs or biologics and have
not been approved for any indication.

This press release and further information about Tonix can be found at www.tonixpharma.com.

Forward
Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements may be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “expect,” and “intend,” among others. These forward-looking statements are based on Tonix’s current expectations and actual results could differ materially. There are a number of factors that could cause actual events to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, risks related to the failure to obtain FDA clearances or approvals and noncompliance with FDA regulations; delays and uncertainties caused by the global COVID-19 pandemic; risks related to the timing and progress of clinical development of our product candidates; our need for additional financing; uncertainties of patent protection and litigation; uncertainties of government or third party payor reimbursement; limited research and development efforts and dependence upon third parties; and substantial competition. As with any pharmaceutical under development, there are significant risks in the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of new products. Tonix does not undertake an obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. Investors should read the risk factors set forth in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 14, 2022, and periodic reports filed with the SEC on or after the date thereof. All of Tonix’s forward-looking statements are expressly qualified by all such risk factors and other cautionary statements. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date thereof.

Contacts

Jessica Morris (corporate)
Tonix Pharmaceuticals
investor.relations@tonixpharma.com

(862) 904-8182

Olipriya Das, Ph.D. (media)
Russo Partners
Olipriya.Das@russopartnersllc.com

(646) 942-5588

Peter Vozzo (investors)
Westwicke/ICR

peter.vozzo@westwicke.com

(443) 213-0505

 

Source: Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.


The Interplay Between the Values of Twitter, Tesla, and Trump Media



Image Credit: Thomas Hawk (Flickr)


Investors Look for the Effects of Seemingly Unrelated Investment News

The story about Twitter (TWTR), Elon Musk’s Tesla (TSLA), and Trump Media & Technology (DWAC, *TMTR), can be viewed as a story of relationships. That is the relationship between the stocks of a social media start-up with aspirations to be unrestricted, a firmly entrenched social media giant, and a rich entrepreneur with aspirations to buy the entrenched social media giant to make it less restrictive.

The stock price relationship between all of the above tells a story that investors can pull ideas from, especially if this is not the story’s end. In this case the best way to understand the not-so-complicated relationship is by looking at the chart below of the companie’s three tickers and the S&P 500.

Flashback to early April when Musk put out a few tweets suggesting he may be interested in buying Twitter. The SPAC waiting to close on Trump
Media
fell in an equal amount to the rise in Twitter’s value. Beginning on April 14th when a final deal was struck between Elon Musk and Twitter’s Board, they again ran in equal and opposite directions, again with Twitter rising. For Tesla’s part, while the founder was borrowing against shares, the stock seemed to get an early bounce on the Twitter purchase news and then followed and performed similar to the overall market.


Source: Koyfin

Over the months that followed TWTR and DWAC seemed to trade disconnected. That is until last week when there was updated news to trade from. The news started as a rumor, and became official on Friday, Elon Musk withdrew his tender offer. One can see on the below chart that while Twitter traded off on the rumor and then the news, the SPAC in the de-SPAC
phase
rose significantly.

While the financialnews had focused on the drama unfolding between the richest man in the world, and a company people love to hate, the start-up with ties to ex-President Donald Trump had been impacted in ways that investors could have benefitted from. In short when Elon Musk was going to buy Twitter, Trump Media’s value was negatively impacted, when Musk later took steps to rescind his tender offer Trump Media’s value was positively impacted.

If the saga is not over, expect more negative correlation between TWTR and the current ticker DWAC. Twitter’s board announced it decided to fight Musk’s decision to renege on his offer in court. This is an interesting turnaround from when the board first sought to decline and fight Musk’s offer. The saga is not likely to fade from the headlines quickly. And for Elon’s part, anyone that personally owns a company that launches rockets into space can tell you, that deciding to scrub a launch does not mean that it can’t be rescheduled.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

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Sources

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/11/twitter-shares-sink-after-elon-musk-terminates-44-billion-deal.html

https://fortune.com/2022/07/02/trump-social-media-firm-that-runs-truth-social-subpoenaed-by-feds-stock-regulators/

Proposed acquisition of Twitter by Elon Musk – Wikipedia

https://investorplace.com/2022/07/why-is-digital-world-dwac-stock-roaring-higher-today/

https://app.koyfin.com/share/5629e1d417

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Ortho Regenerative Technologies Inc. (ORTIF) – Heal Better; Initiating Coverage with an Outperform Rating

Monday, July 11, 2022

Ortho Regenerative Technologies Inc. (ORTIF)
Heal Better; Initiating Coverage with an Outperform Rating

Gregory Aurand, Senior Research Analyst, Healthcare Services & Medical Devices, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Unmet large market needs. Ortho Regenerative Technologies Inc. (Ortho RTI) is advancing its RESTORE regenerative medicine platform in rotator cuff tears and meniscus tears to improve healing. Rotator cuff and meniscus tears have high failure rates due to insufficient healing and tissue degeneration. For these two indications, Ortho RTI has a $1.8 billion US market opportunity. Globally, the market opportunity more than doubles. Additional future applications expand the opportunity further.

Safe and easy to produce. The proprietary RESTORE platform is a biopolymer matrix technology combining readily available chitosan, derived principally in shellfish, with autologous platelet-rich plasma (PRP). Using the patient’s own plasma substantially improves the safety profile while the chitosan provides site “stickiness”.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Release – Direct Digital Holdings to Report Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results



Direct Digital Holdings to Report Second Quarter 2022 Financial Results

Research, News, and Market Data on Direct Digital Holdings

HOUSTON, July 11, 2022 /PRNewswire/ — Direct Digital Holdings (Nasdaq: DRCT) (“Direct Digital”), a leading advertising and marketing technology platform, will report financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2022, on Thursday, August 11, 2022 after the U.S. stock market closes. Management will host a conference call and webcast on the same day at 5:00 P.M. ET to discuss the results.

The live webcast and replay can be accessed at https://ir.directdigitalholdings.com/.

About Direct
Digital Holdings
Direct Digital Holdings (Nasdaq: DRCT) brings state-of-the-art supply- and demand-side advertising platforms together under one umbrella company. The holding group’s supply-side platform Colossus SSP offers advertisers of all sizes extensive reach within general market and multicultural media properties. Its operating companies Huddled Masses LLC and Orange142, LLC deliver significant ROI for middle market advertisers by providing data-optimized programmatic solutions at scale for businesses in sectors that range from energy to healthcare and travel to financial services. Direct Digital Holdings’ buy-side solution manages over 200 clients daily, and the sell-side solution serves over 80,000 advertisers generating over 70+ billion impressions per month across display, CTV, in-app, and other media channels.

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/direct-digital-holdings-to-report-second-quarter-2022-financial-results-301583274.html

SOURCE Direct Digital Holdings

Released July 11, 2022

Release – ISG to Announce Second-Quarter Financial Results



ISG to Announce Second-Quarter Financial Results

Research, News, and Market Data on Information Services Group

7/11/2022

STAMFORD, Conn.–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Information Services Group (ISG) (Nasdaq: 
III), a leading global technology research and advisory firm, said today it will release its second-quarter financial results on Monday, August 8, 2022, at approximately 6:30 a.m., U.S. Eastern Time.

The firm will host a conference call with investors and industry analysts at 9 a.m., U.S. Eastern Time, the same day. Dial-in details are as follows:

  • The dial-in number for U.S. participants is 1-800-304-0389;
  • International participants should call +1 313-209-5140;
  • The security code to access the call is 7515883.

Participants are requested to dial in at least five minutes before the scheduled start time.

A recording of the conference call will be accessible on ISG’s website (www.isg-one.com) for approximately four weeks following the call.

About
ISG

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 800 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For more information, visit www.isg-one.com.

Source: Information Services Group, Inc.

Release – Alvopetro Announces Multizone Discovery at 183-B1 Exploration Well and June 2022 Sales Volumes



Alvopetro Announces Multizone Discovery at 183-B1 Exploration Well and June 2022 Sales Volumes

Research, News, and Market Data on Alvopetro Energy

CALGARY, AB, July 7, 2022 /CNW/ – Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) We are pleased to announce a multizone discovery on our 183-B1 exploration location.  We completed drilling the 183-B1 exploration well on our 100% owned and operated Block 183 in the Recôncavo basin and, based on open-hole wireline logs and fluid samples confirming hydrocarbons, the well has discoveries in multiple formations with a total of 34.3 metres of potential net hydrocarbon pay, with an average porosity of 10.6% and average water saturation of 29.0%.

 President and CEO, Corey Ruttan commented:

“Preliminary drilling results from both of our 2022
conventional exploration wells represent significant steps forward in our
organic growth strategy. Our gas processing facility expansion is nearly complete,
and we look forward to production testing our latest discovery at 183-B1 as
well as our earlier success at the 182-C1 location.  These tests will help
define the full development and production growth potential of these exciting
new discoveries.”

The 183-B1 well was spud on June 5, 2022 and drilled to a total measured depth (“MD”) of 2,917 metres. Based on open-hole logs and collected fluid samples, the 183-B1 well encountered multiple zones of interest with an aggregate 34.3 metres of potential net hydrocarbon pay, using a 6% porosity cut-off, 50% Vshale cut-off and 50% water saturation cut-off:

Candeias Formation

A 5.3-metre-thick sand in the Gomo member of the Candeias Formation was encountered at 2,578 to 2,583 metres total vertical depth, with 5.3 metres of potential net light oil pay, at an average 35.0% water saturation and average porosity of 15.7%.  A fluid sample was also collected with a dual packer wireline tool recovering 37.1-degree API oil with no water to surface from 2,580 metres depth at a formation pressure of 4,317 psi.

Agua Grande Formation

A 19.8 metre-thick Agua Grande Formation sand was encountered at 2,677 to 2,697 metres total vertical depth with 11.4 metres of potential net natural gas pay, at an average 25.5% water saturation and average porosity of 11.9%. Of the 11.4 metres of potential net natural gas pay, 2.6 metres were encountered within the upper Agua Grande section the Agua Grande Formation, at an average 18.5% water saturation and an average porosity of 17.2%.  A fluid sample was collected from this upper section at 2,679 metres with a dual packer wireline tool recovering dry natural gas and no water to surface at a formation pressure of 3,984 psi.

Sergi Formation

In the Sergi Formation, a 78.4 metre thick sand-dominated interval was encountered at 2,809 to 2,887 metres total vertical depth. Hydrocarbon shows were present throughout drilling the entire section. Open-hole logs indicate 17.5 metres of potential light oil pay at an average 29.4% water saturation and average porosity of 8.3%. A fluid sample was collected from this section during modular formation dynamic testing (“MDT”), confirmed by lab analysis, recovered 40.7-degree API oil and no water to surface from 2,822 metres depth with a formation pressure of 4,740 psi. Within the 78.4 metre Sergi interval there is an additional 29.9 metres of Sergi sand that experienced significant wellbore washouts with possible net pay that is expected to be validated through testing. As such, this 29.9-metre interval is currently being excluded from calculated potential net hydrocarbon pay. 

Based on these drilling results, we plan to undertake a multi-zone testing program of the 183-B1 well, subject to customary regulatory approvals and equipment availability. This additional testing will assess the extent, if any, of commercial hydrocarbons associated with the well, the productive capability of the well and will help define the field development plan. 

Operational Update

Our Caburé gas plant expansion is scheduled to be completed later in July. Following the expansion, our available processing capacity is expected to increase by 25% to at least 500,000 cubic metres per day (18 MMcfpd).

On our Murucututu project, we expect to commence commissioning of our field production facility at our 183(1) location later in July.  We have also commenced field installation of the pipeline extension to tie-in our 197(1) well and expect construction to be completed in approximately three months.

June Sales Volumes

June sales volumes averaged 2,480 boepd, including natural gas sales of 14.2 MMcfpd, associated natural gas liquids sales from condensate of 102 bopd and oil sales of 5 bopd, based on field estimates.  Our sales volumes averaged 2,359 boepd in the second quarter of 2022, consistent with sales volumes in the second quarter of 2021 and a decrease of 6% from the first quarter of 2022 due to our planned five-day shutdown in May scheduled to complete advance work for our gas plant expansion. 

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:

http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation

Social Media

Follow Alvopetro on our social media channels at the following links:

Twitter – https://twitter.com/AlvopetroEnergyInstagram – 
https://www.instagram.com/alvopetro/LinkedIn – 
https://www.linkedin.com/company/alvopetro-energy-ltdYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgDn_igrQgdlj-maR6fWB0w

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a
leading independent upstream and midstream operator in 
Brazil. Our
strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia
in 
Brazil,
building off the development of our Caburé natural gas field and our strategic
midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services
Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange)
accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in this new release are in United States dollars,
unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of 
United States dollars,
except as otherwise noted.

Abbreviations:

boepd

             =             

barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) per day

bopd

             =

barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per day

MBOE

             =

thousands of barrels of oil equivalent

MMcf

             =

million cubic feet

MMcfpd

             =

million cubic feet per day

BOE Disclosure. The term barrels of oil
equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel
(6Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this
news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six
thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.

Testing and Well Results.  Data obtained
from the 183-B1 well identified in this press release, including hydrocarbon
shows, open-hole logging, net pay and porosities, should be considered to be
preliminary until testing, detailed analysis and interpretation has been completed.
Hydrocarbon shows can be seen during the drilling of a well in numerous
circumstances and do not necessarily indicate a commercial discovery or the
presence of commercial hydrocarbons in a well. There is no representation by
Alvopetro that the data relating to the 183-B1 well nor the 182-C1 well
contained in this press release is necessarily indicative of long-term
performance or ultimate recovery. The reader is cautioned not to unduly rely on
such data as such data may not be indicative of future performance of the well
or of expected production or operational results for Alvopetro in the future.

Cautionary statements regarding the filing of a Notice of
Discovery.
 We have submitted a Notice of Discovery of Hydrocarbons to
the Agência Nacional do Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis (the
“ANP”) with respect to the 183-B1 well. All operators in 
Brazil are
required to inform the ANP, through the filing of a Notice of Discovery, of
potential hydrocarbon discoveries. A Notice of Discovery is required to be filed
with the ANP based on hydrocarbon indications in cuttings, mud logging or by
gas detector, in combination with wire-line logging. Based on the results of
open-hole logs, we have filed a Notice of Discovery relating to our 183-B1
well. These routine notifications to the ANP are not necessarily indicative of
commercial hydrocarbons, potential production, recovery or reserves.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This
news release contains “forward-looking information” within the
meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words
“will”, “expect”, “intend” and other similar
words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information.
Forward
?looking
statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as
guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be
accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number
of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the
expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking
statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future
events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make
decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these
statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and
uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release
contains forward-looking information concerning potential hydrocarbon pay in
the 183-B1 well, exploration and development prospects of Alvopetro and the
expected timing of certain of Alvopetro’s testing and operational activities.
The forward
?looking
statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by
Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning
testing results of the 183-B1 well and the 182-C1 well, equipment availability,
the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, the success of future
drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities, the
outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact
of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs,
well development and operating performance, foreign exchange rates, general
economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the
availability and cost of labour and services, environmental regulation,
including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the
ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, the regulatory and legal
environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader
is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information,
although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be
incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from
the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks
and uncertainties and other factors.  Although Alvopetro believes that the
expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based
are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be
correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not
exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations
or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form
which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR profile at 
www.sedar.com.
The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of
the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or
revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.


Will Small-Cap Stocks Remain the Frontrunners?



Image Credit: Mark Bonica (Flickr)


The Case for Small-Cap Stocks Leading Out of the Dip Got Stronger

Was June 16 the market bottom? Some investors are cautiously optimistic. But, just like the question, “are we in a recession?” We will only know by looking in the rear view mirror miles down the road. Let’s presume for a moment that markets have bottomed. The Wall Street Journal wrote, “Shares of many small, U.S.-focused companies have raced ahead of the broader stock market in July. Some investors think that signals more room to run for small-capitalization companies, which can often be more agile and react more quickly to economic changes, including a recession. Below we look at the case the Journal makes, and add some other insight as to expected price action.

The broader markets gave up a lot of ground from the very first opening bell in 2022. As of the June 30 halfway point, the S&P 500 fell 21%, its worst first-half performance since 1970. The Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies fell 24%, its worst first half since launching in 1984. So far this month, the Russell 2000 is up 4.3%, while the S&P 500 is up 3.6%.

As with all broad indexes, the return is a deep mix of the overperformers and underperformers. Just yesterday the index was up 2.38% which included Clovis Oncology (CLVS) which traded higher by double digits, while another company in the index, WD-40 (
WDFC), was down double digits.

The move could be the beginning of a return to the more common pecking order for stock indexes ranked by large, and small-capitalization values. The small caps have been trailing, whereas historically the small stocks outperform.

The Journal indicated, “Small caps tend to be sensitive to fears of an economic slowdown, since they often generate the majority of their sales in the U.S., compared with large multinationals. Even though many investors and analysts remain nervous about the potential of a recession, some say that after a brutal first half, the group looks due for a rebound.”

Below are two measures of small-cap stock performance (VIOO and IWM) plotted against the Nasdaq and S&P 500 since the low for all of them this year (June 16).


Source: Koyfin

One reason some market analysts believe small caps could be staging a rebound is valuations. The S&P 600 index of small-capitalization companies is trading at around 11.3 times its next 12 months of expected earnings, while the S&P 500 is trading at around 16.2 times expected earnings. Investors searching for value will find a wider variety of cheaper stocks among smaller caps. The Journal quoted Jurrien Timmer, the director of global macro at Fidelity as saying, “I would argue that a lot of the bad news is probably already in small caps.” Timmer said that small caps, which peaked earlier than the broader market, might be poised to hit their bottom earlier too. He was alluding to The Russell 2000 having hit its peak in November, while the S&P 500 hit its record two months later, in January.

Jill Carey Hall, US equity strategist at Bank of America, told the Journal, “The only other time small caps were this cheap relative to large caps was during the height of the tech-bubble period.”

In a recent interview of Chuck Royce, Chairman and Portfolio Manager at  Royce Investment Partners, by Co-CIO Francis Gannon, Mr. Royce was asked: “What’s your current view on small-cap’s relative attractiveness versus large-cap?” In his response, he cautioned investors to avoid the temptation of being too comfortable with large caps. The reason given is that despite the dramatic decline in stocks in general, there hasn’t been a change in the undervaluation in small-caps relative to large. “Small-caps have averaged a 3% premium to large-caps over the past 20 years. At the end of June, however, small-caps were at a 20% discount, at their lowest relative valuation versus large-caps in more than 20 years,” explained Royce.

Take Away

There is no telling what markets will do tomorrow or the day after. We can only look back to gauge probabilities and expectations for the future – despite hearing over and over that “past performance is no indication of future results.” But by looking back, we can take the most basic statistical analysis, which is averages, and make projections. More specifically, the mean average or unweighted average. If we expect the various indexes to move toward or return to their mean average, we can make a better case than we have been able to in 20 years for the small-cap sector.

If you have an interest in small-cap stocks, arguably the best place to begin gathering data on small and microcap companies is Channelchek. Sign-up for free access to data for over 6,000 companies. Discover even more from current research on many of the companies written by analysts at Noble Capital Markets. By signing up you’ll receive the research and timely articles in your inbox each day. Sign-up
here.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

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Sources

https://www.royceinvest.com/insights/small-cap-interview?utm_source=royce-mktg&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=insights-interview&utm_content=button-2

https://www.wsj.com/articles/small-cap-stocks-are-starting-to-stage-their-comeback-11657272781?mod=hp_lista_pos2

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