Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Seanergy Maritime (SHIP) – Third Quarter Preview

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. is the only pure-play Capesize ship-owner publicly listed in the US. Seanergy provides marine dry bulk transportation services through a modern fleet of Capesize vessels. The Company’s operating fleet consists of 17 Capesize vessels with an average age of approximately 12 years and aggregate cargo carrying capacity of approximately 3,011,083 dwt. The Company is incorporated in the Marshall Islands and has executive offices in Glyfada, Greece. The Company’s common shares trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “SHIP” and its Class B warrants under “SHIPZ”.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Lower shipping rates will push revenues down modestly. We have lowered our 2023-3Q revenue projections modestly to reflect a drop in shipping rates in the later half of the quarter. After a sharp decline in pricing in 2022, the dry bulk shipping market has shown signs of improving several times only to have pricing slip back down. Such was the case in the third quarter which began the period on a high note only to see pricing fall. Issues in China, the war in Ukraine, and general economic malaise are the causes cited most often for pricing weakness.

Lowering non-contracted shipping rates reduces our revenue projections, earnings projections largely unchanged. We have lowered our assumed shipping rate for non-contracted shipping days in the quarter to $16,500 from $17,000. In response, we have lowered our revenue estimate to $24.4 million from $24.8 million. Lower revenues, combined with an increase in stock-based compensation due to a higher SHIP stock price, were offset by the elimination of losses on the extinguishment of debt. The result is only a modest change to our EPS estimate which now calls for an adjusted EPS loss of $0.15 versus our previous estimate of $0.16 per share. We expect the company to report results on November 14th.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Saga Communications, Inc. (SGA) – Delivering On Its Growth Strategy Initiatives

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q3 results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $29 million, and adj. EBITDA of $5 million, both of which were in-line with our estimates of $28.9 million and $5 million, respectively. Notably, the company’s national advertising revenue was up 1% in the quarter, which is virtually unheard of among its peers. We believe that the company will have among the best Q3 results in the industry. 

Best in class. Management indicated that its Digital businesses grew a strong 34% in the quarter, likely to exceed the industry. Notably, the company’s national advertising revenue is up an impressive 6.9% year-to-date. In addition to the company’s industry leading digital revenue growth and resilient national advertising revenues, the company has a pristine balance sheet with no long term debt. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Newrange Gold (NRGOF) – Timetable to Close Slips due to Rescheduled Court Hearing

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Newrange is focused on district-scale exploration for precious metals in the prolific Red Lake District of northwestern Ontario. The past-producing high-grade Argosy Gold Mine is open to depth, while the adjacent North Birch Project offers additional blue-sky potential. Focused on developing shareholder value through exploration and development of key projects, the Company is committed to building sustainable value for all stakeholders. Further information can be found on our website at www.newrangegold.com .

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Transaction to form Pinnacle Silver & Gold Corp. In May,Newrange executed a binding Scheme Implementation Deed (SID) to acquire 100% of Mithril Resources Limited (ASX: MTH) in a reverse takeover (RTO). Pending approval by the TSX Venture Exchange, the resulting company will be named Pinnacle Silver & Gold Corp. and will be listed on the TSX Venture exchange under the symbol “PINN.” During their respective special meetings, Newrange and Mithril shareholders approved the merger between Newrange and Mithril to form Pinnacle Silver & Gold Corporation. Assuming that all requirements are satisfied, the transaction could close in late November or early December.

Key conditions remain. Although both sets of shareholders have approved the transaction, several requirements remain outstanding. These include: 1) the Federal Court of Australia must approve the transaction, 2) an Independent Expert must affirm that in the absence of a superior offer, the share and option schemes are in the best interests of Mithril shareholders and option holders, 3) completion of Newrange Gold’s concurrent financing, 4) Newrange Gold receiving unconditional approval to re-list on the TSX Venture Exchange, and 5) satisfaction or waiver of any remaining conditions prior to the Court hearing.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Selling International Staffing Business

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Selling A Piece. Kelly Services is selling its European Staffing Business to Gi Group Holdings S.P.A. The sale is for cash consideration of €100 million (about $106 million at current exchange rates) with a €30 million earnout based on a multiple of adjusted 2023 EBITDA and payable in 2Q24. The transaction is expected to close in 1Q24.

But Not All. The deal includes Kelly’s European Staffing business across 14 European countries. Notably, Kelly will maintain its global footprint and continue to provide higher margin, higher growth potential MSP, RPO, and FSP solutions to customers in the EMEA region through KellyOCG. As a leading global vendor-neutral provider of talent supply chain strategies and workforce solutions, KellyOCG leverages a network of 3,000 suppliers – including Gi – spanning 140 countries to connect customers across North America, Asia Pacific, and EMEA with top talent.


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Equity Research is available at no cost to Registered users of Channelchek. Not a Member? Click ‘Join’ to join the Channelchek Community. There is no cost to register, and we never collect credit card information.

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Information Services Group (III) – Reports Results and an Acquisition

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q Results. ISG reported third quarter revenue of $71.8 million, a record for the quarter, although lower than management’s $73-75 million guidance and our estimate of $75 million. Revenue was up 4.3% from last year’s $68.8 with currency translation positively impacting reported revenues by $1.4 million versus the prior year. Revenues from Americas were up 1% to $42.5 million from the prior year, Europe up 14% to $22.1 million, and Asia Pacific down 2% to $7.2 million. Recurring revenue was up 19% in the quarter.

Bottom Line. Net income for the quarter was $3.2 million, or diluted EPS of $0.06, down 42% from $5.6 million last year, or $0.11. We estimated net income of $3.8 million, or EPS of $0.08. Non-GAAP net income was $5.7 million, or diluted EPS of $0.11, compared to $7.2 million, or $0.14, last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $10.6 million, flat with last year, near the low-end of management’s $10.5-$11.5 million guidance.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eskay Mining Corp. (ESKYF) – Observations from the 2023 Diamond Drill Program

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Productive drill season. Eskay Mining had a productive 2023 diamond drill and exploration season at its 100% controlled Consolidated Eskay Gold Project. The roughly 6,000 meter drill program centered on seven targets: 1) Cumberland, 2) Scarlet Knob-Bruce Glacier, 3) Tarn Lake, 4) Hexagon-Mercury, 5) Maroon Cliffs, 6) Storie Creek, and 7) TV South. While the company confirmed new precious metal rich volcanogenic massive sulfide (VMS) discoveries, the most significant outcome, in our view, is that the program highlighted the significant exploration potential in the areas between the Cumberland target and the TV-Jeff complex. Tied for second are results from Scarlet Knob and Tarn Lake.

Encouraging results at Cumberland. Cumberland is ~6 kilometers south of the TV deposit and is similarly situated along the east side of the Eskay anticline. Nine holes were completed at the Cumberland target. Several returned promising assays, including Hole CBL23-28 which returned 3.02 grams of gold per tonne, 68.66 grams of silver per tonne, 0.24% copper, 0.74% lead, and 4.86% zinc, or 6.28 grams of gold equivalent, over 15 meters.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Entravision Communications (EVC) – A Tempered, But Still Favorable View

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Entravision Communications Corporation is a diversified Spanish-language media company utilizing a combination of television and radio operations to reach Hispanic consumers across the United States, as well as the border markets of Mexico. Entravision owns and/or operates 53 primary television stations and is the largest affiliate group of both the top-ranked Univision television network and Univision’s TeleFutura network, with television stations in 20 of the nation’s top 50 Hispanic markets. The Company also operates one of the nation’s largest groups of primarily Spanish-language radio stations, consisting of 48 owned and operated radio stations.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A mixed quarter. Q3 revenues of $274.4 million, a record revenue quarter for the company, was largely in line with our $277.0 million estimate. But, the absence of high margin Political advertising and lower margin revenue mix caused an adj. EBITDA shortfall, $14.2 million versus our $17.0 million estimate. Lower Digital adj. EBITDA accounted for the largest portion of the EBITDA variance. 

Lower Q4 outlook. We are lowering our Q4 total company revenue from $318.0 million to $309.7 million to reflect the company’s current pacings. Based on lower margin assumptions, we are lowering our adj. EBITDA from $25.0 million to $19.0 million. For the year, we are lowering our adj. EBITDA estimate from $69.2 million to $60.4 million. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Eledon Pharmaceuticals (ELDN) – Phase 1b Data Shows Safety With An Important Improvement In Kidney Function

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Update From Phase 1b Trial Presented. Eledon presented updated data from its Phase 1b open-label trial testing tegoprubart for prevention of kidney transplant rejection. The data showed tegoprubart was comparable or better than tacrolimus in safety and tolerability, its primary endpoint. One of the secondary endpoints measuring kidney function showed a substantial improvement over tacrolimus. We see this data as a strong positive for tegoprubart.

Tegoprubart Is In Development To Replace Tacrolimus. The calcineurin inhibitor tacrolimus is the current standard of care for preventing transplant rejection. It has a success rate of over 90% first year graft survival, but its side effects include toxicity to the kidney and pancreas. These toxicities cause new onset diabetes and graft failure. The open-label trial tested a regimen with tegoprubart instead of tacrolimus along with the other standard-of-care drugs. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

ACCO Brands (ACCO) – First Look into a Mixed Third Quarter

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

ACCO Brands Corporation is one of the world’s largest designers, marketers and manufacturers of branded academic, consumer and business products. Our widely recognized brands include AT-A-GLANCE®, Esselte®, Five Star®, GBC®, Kensington®, Leitz®, Mead®, PowerA®, Quartet®, Rapid®, Rexel®, Swingline®, Tilibra®, and many others. Our products are sold in more than 100 countries around the world. More information about ACCO Brands, the Home of Great Brands Built by Great People, can be found at www.accobrands.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A Mixed Bag. ACCO’s 3Q23 results were a mixed bag. Global macroeconomic weakness, softer technology accessories product demand, and a stronger U.S. dollar negatively impacted 3Q23 top line. But gross margin improved by 400 basis points, reflecting the continued recovery of margin from pricing actions, as well as cost savings from the Company’s restructuring and footprint rationalization efforts.

3Q23 Results. Net sales for the quarter declined 7.7% to $448.0 million from $485.6 million last year. We had estimated sales of $475 million. Comparable sales fell 9.9%. Net income was $14.9 million, or $0.15 per share, compared to a net loss of $68.7 million, or $0.73, last year. Last year was impacted by a goodwill impairment charge, partially offset by higher restructuring and income tax expense in the current year. Adjusted net income was $23.1 million, or $0.24, compared to $24.1 million, or $0.25, last year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

1·800·Flowers.com, Inc. (FLWS) – Off To A Good Start

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 03, 2023

For more than 45 years, 1-800-Flowers.com has offered truly original floral arrangements, plants and unique gifts to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, everyday occasions, and seasonal holidays, and to deliver comfort during times of grief. Backed by a caring team obsessed with service, 1-800-Flowers.com provides customers thoughtful ways to express themselves and connect with the most important people in their lives. 1-800-Flowers.com is part of the 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. family of brands. Shares in 1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. are traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, ticker symbol: FLWS.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Fiscal Q1 results better than expected. Total company revenues of $269.1 million, which declined 11.4% from a year earlier, beat our estimate of $249.9 million, driven by better results in each of its operating segments. The revenue decrease represented a significant moderation from the 17.9% decline in its fiscal Q4. The seasonal adj. EBITDA loss of $22.0 million was better than our loss estimate of $27.8 million. 

Improving margin outlook still favorable. Gross margins in the latest quarter improved 450 basis points from 33.4% to 37.9% due to lower ocean freight costs, moderating commodity prices, and lower inventory write-offs. While ocean freight prices have returned to near pre-Covid levels, there is still significant margin expansion opportunities as commodity prices moderate. We anticipate that full fiscal year 2024 gross margins should improve from 37.5% in 2023 to 39.3% in 2024.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. (CVGI) – 3Q23 First Look

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 02, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue of $246.7 million was down 1.9% y-o-y, and slightly below our $255 million estimate, mostly due to a COVID related backlog in Asia-Pacific last year that was not repeated this year. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $16.6 million, up 16.1% y-o-y, and in-line with our $17 million estimate. GAAP and adjusted net income was $7.3 million, or $0.22/sh, compared to GAAP $3.6 million, or $0.11/sh, and adjusted $5.1 million, or $0.15/sh, last year. We had forecast net income of $7.2 million, or $0.21/sh.

Segments. Vehicle Solutions revenue was $145.4 million compared to $154 million last year, while operating income was $10.9 million versus $9.6 million. Electrical Systems revenue was $53.9 million versus $46.1 million and operating income grew to $5.9 million from $5.2 million. Aftermarket revenue was $34.4 million, down from $37.1 million and operating income was $4.5 million compared to $5.0 million. Industrial Automation revenue was $13.0 million compared to $14.1 million and segment operating income was $0.7 million compared to an operating loss of $1.0 million last year.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Beasley Broadcast Group (BBGI) – Constructive On A Strong Rebound In 2024

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Thursday, November 02, 2023

Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. owns and operates 61 stations (47 FM and 14 AM) in 15 large- and mid-size markets in the United States. Approximately 20 million consumers listen to the Company’s radio stations weekly over-the-air, online and on smartphones and tablets, and millions regularly engage with the Company’s brands and personalities through digital platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, text messaging, digital and web applications and email. The Overwatch League’s Houston Outlaws esports team is a wholly owned subsidiary. The Company also owns BeasleyXP, a national esports content hub, and AXLR-R8, a Rocket League Championship Series team, in its esports portfolio. For more information, please visit www.bbgi.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

A noisy quarter. Q3 total revenues were $60.1 million, slightly less than our $61.3 million estimate. Adj. EBITDA was $5.5 million, 13% below our $6.3 million estimate. The company had non cash charges in the quarter which created a lot of noise in its earnings.

Some green shoots. The company indicated that September revenue increased 2.1% excluding Political revenues. In addition, national advertising appears to be moderating, down 8%, ex Political, versus down 20% in the first half 2023. Furthermore, the company generated a significant $8 million in new direct business in the quarter.  


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Comstock Inc. (LODE) – Development Plans Move into Clearer View

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complimentary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Comstock Fuels strategy becomes more apparent. During Comstock’s third quarter update, Mr. William McCarthy, COO, discussed Comstock Fuels’ recent achievements and plans to build and own the first Bioleum hub with a goal to develop and license future hubs to third parties. The goal is to ultimately be involved with developing and licensing 99 additional Bioleum hubs to collectively produce 2.5 billion gallons of advanced biofuel with low carbon intensity using 25 million tonnes of biomass.

Comstock Metals photovoltaics recycling facility. Comstock Metals is deploying a demonstration system to commercialize technologies for use in efficiently crushing, conditioning, extracting, and recycling metal concentrates from photovoltaics and other electronic devices. Comstock Metals has submitted all permits for operating its manufacturing facility in Silver Springs, Nevada, and expects the receipt of permits and full deployment of its entire production system by the end of 2023. Operations are anticipated to commence in early 2024. Comstock Metals expects initial supply-revenue agreements in advance of production.


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