Author: cpereira@noblefcm.com

Bitcoin Depot (BTM) – Favorable Deployment

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Solid Q3 Results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $179.5 million, up 2.7% from the prior year period, and adj. EBITDA of $13.9 million, up an impressive 21.1% year-over-year. While Q3 revenue was 5.7% below our estimate of $190.3 million and Adj. EBITDA was 4.9% lower than our estimate of $14.7 million, we view the results and company outlook favorably.

2024 Outlook. The company is focused on striking additional partnerships to deploy its approximately 1000 kiosks that are currently warehoused. We anticipate the number of kiosks will gradually increase over Q4 and 2024, a development we believe will have a favorable impact on operating results.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) – 3Q23 Reported As Three Trials Make Progress

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company discovering and developing novel antiviral therapeutics that target the replication process of influenza viruses, coronaviruses (including SARS-CoV-2), hepatitis C viruses and noroviruses. Cocrystal employs unique structure-based technologies and Nobel Prize-winning expertise to create first- and best-in-class antiviral drugs. For further information about Cocrystal, please visit www.cocrystalpharma.com.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Reported. Cocrystal reported a 3Q23 loss of $4.2 million or $(0.41) per share. The loss included a reversal of a 2Q22 legal charge of $1.6 million after a verdict was overturned by an Appeals Court and money returned to the company. During 3Q23, clinical progress included the start of the Phase 1 trial testing CDI-988 in pan-coronavirus and pan-norovirus trials, and authorization to begin a Phase 2a human challenge study in influenza A. 

CC-42344 To Start Clinical Trials Shortly. Cocrystal has received authorization from the UK’s MHRA (Medicines and Healthcare Regulatory Agency) to begin Phase 2a testing CC-42344, its orally administered protease inhibitor for influenza A. This placebo-controlled trial will administer a pharmaceutically prepared dose of influenza virus to infect healthy volunteers with, then test the safety and immunologic measurements of CC-42344 against the virus. Separately, Dr. Sam Lee, President and Co-CEO is scheduled to make a presentation at the World Vaccine Congress West Coast on the development of CC-42344 on November 28.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Salem Media Group (SALM) – Waiting on a Big Deal

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Salem Media Group is America’s leading multimedia company specializing in Christian and conservative content, with media properties comprising radio, digital media and book and newsletter publishing. Each day Salem serves a loyal and dedicated audience of listeners and readers numbering in the millions nationally. With its unique programming focus, Salem provides compelling content, fresh commentary and relevant information from some of the most respected figures across the Christian and conservative media landscape.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q3 results below expectations. The company reported Q3 revenue of $63.5 million, slightly below our forecast of $64.7 million. Adj. EBITDA was $2.5 million, 42% below our forecast of $4.3 million, primarily due to elevated expenses.

Key asset sale agreements. In the last month, the company sold 3 stations in Greenville, SC, for $6.8 million. Moreover, the sale of the Salem Church Products business ($30 million) is expected to close in Q4, as well as several other asset sales. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Lifeway Foods (LWAY) – Another Record Quarter; Moving to Outperform

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Revenue. Revenue increased 7.2% y-oy to $40.9 million and represents the 16th consecutive quarter of y-o-y revenue growth. We had forecasted $39.5 million. Revenue growth was driven by volume growth in drinkable kefir, up 9% y-o-y, and the impact of price increases taken last December. Significantly, there does not appear to be any significant trading down, even with the uncertain economy.

GM and EPS. Gross margin in the third quarter improved 730 basis points to 27.3% and was better than our 25.6% estimate. Net income totaled $3.4 million, or EPS of $0.23, up from $983,000, or $0.06/sh, last year. We were at $2.4 million, or $0.14/sh. Higher volumes and more favorable milk prices y-o-y drove the results.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

YS Biopharma Co., Ltd. (YS) – Tapping Into The Power Of The Immune System

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 13, 2023

https://www.ysbiopharm.comSector(s): Healthcare Industry: Biotechnology Full Time Employees: 865 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Dr. Hui Shao Pres, CEO & Exec. Director N/A N/A 1969 Ms. Chunyuan Wu Chief Financial Officer

Gregory Aurand, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Healthcare Services & Medical Devices, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

PIKA Immunomodulating Platform.  The novel PIKA technology has the capability to target and accelerate the immune response in a wide variety of vaccines and immuno-oncology therapeutics. PIKA activates and enhances the body’s immune response, increasing the effectiveness of vaccines. In immuno-oncology, with its multiple modes of action able to induce the production of multiple tumor-inhibitory cytokines and tumor cell apoptosis, PIKA could be applied to broad-spectrum anti-tumor activity in cancers.  

Significant Opportunities in Anti-Viral and Immuno-Oncology Markets. There are large unmet needs in Africa, Southeast Asia and China, among other parts of the world, in rabies, hepatitis B and cancers. The Asia-Pacific region is expected to have the highest growth rate in the world with higher levels of utilization of immunotherapies, driven by low vaccine penetration, increasing cancer prevalence, and improving patient awareness and disposable income.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

One Stop Systems (OSS) – Reports Third Quarter 2023 Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 13, 2023

One Stop Systems, Inc. (OSS) designs and manufactures innovative AI Transportable edge computing modules and systems, including ruggedized servers, compute accelerators, expansion systems, flash storage arrays, and Ion Accelerator™ SAN, NAS, and data recording software for AI workflows. These products are used for AI data set capture, training, and large-scale inference in the defense, oil and gas, mining, autonomous vehicles, and rugged entertainment applications. OSS utilizes the power of PCI Express, the latest GPU accelerators and NVMe storage to build award-winning systems, including many industry firsts, for industrial OEMs and government customers. The company enables AI on the Fly® by bringing AI datacenter performance to ‘the edge,’ especially on mobile platforms, and by addressing the entire AI workflow, from high-speed data acquisition to deep learning, training, and inference. OSS products are available directly or through global distributors. For more information, go to www.onestopsystems.com.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue came in at $13.7 million, slightly above our $13.5 million estimate, but down 27% y-o-y, reflecting the continued runoff of the Disguise business, which contributed $4.3 million of revenue in the year ago quarter. Higher operating expenses, including some one-time items, drove a net loss of $3.6 million, or a loss of $0.18/sh in the quarter, compared to net income of $132,533, or EPS of $0.01 last year. Adjusted loss was $0.03/sh compared to EPS of $0.03 last year. We had forecasted a loss of $0.10/sh.

Unique Position. We continue to believe OSS has carved out a unique position in the robust growth markets driven by artificial intelligence and sensor fusion, particularly in rugged high-performance compute demand at the Edge. Management remains committed to expanding efforts to secure new prime contractors, vehicle platforms, and multiyear contracts, both domestically and internationally.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Kelly Services (KELYA) – Moving Forward with Transformation in Challenging Environment

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 13, 2023

Kelly (Nasdaq: KELYA, KELYB) connects talented people to companies in need of their skills in areas including Science, Engineering, Education, Office, Contact Center, Light Industrial, and more. We’re always thinking about what’s next in the evolving world of work, and we help people ditch the script on old ways of thinking and embrace the value of all workstyles in the workplace. We directly employ nearly 350,000 people around the world and connect thousands more with work through our global network of talent suppliers and partners in our outsourcing and consulting practice. Revenue in 2021 was $4.9 billion. Visit kellyservices.com and let us help with what’s next for you.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue of $1,118 million was down 4.3% y-o-y and down 5.8% on a constant currency basis. We had estimated $1,180 million. The Company incurred $15.4 million of transformation expenses in the quarter. Adjusted net income was $18.1 million or EPS of $0.50. We had estimated EPS of $0.28. Adjusted EBITDA was $25.5 million, or a 2.3% margin.

Transformation. Kelly continues to move ahead with the transformation plan, already eliminating a significant amount of expenses. We expect the transformation to position Kelly to accelerate profitable growth over the long-term with improved adjusted EBITDA margins.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – New Contract; Completed Sale

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Monday, November 13, 2023

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Order. Comtech announced a $20.0 million order from the Company’s UK-based partner, Spectra Group. The order will allow Spectra Group, the appointed regional distributor of Comtech’s Compact Over-the-Horizon Transportable Terminal (COMET), to service multiple orders already received, and several expected follow-on orders from undisclosed customers in the NATO and European regions. In September 2023, Spectra Group announced the receipt of a $8.0 million order from UK MoD to equip 3 (UK) Division with Comtech’s COMET systems.

COMET. The COMET system is designed to be easily integrated with other Department of Defense (DoD) and coalition tactical, mobile, and fixed communications systems to provide resilient, secure beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS) capabilities in some of the world’s most challenging environments.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) – Demostrates Scaleable Growth

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Impressive results. The company posted revenue of $59.5 million and adj. EBITDA of $5.4 million, both well above our expectations. Revenues accelerated sequentially, up 125.5% in the latest quarter, up from 66.5% in Q2. Notably, Sell-side revenue grew a whopping 174% over the prior year period.

Investments paying off. In our view, the especially strong quarter indicates that the company’s growth investments and tech platform are paying off sooner than expected. Importantly, the Sell-side segment processed 400 billion monthly impressions, due to increased capacity.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Townsquare Media (TSQ) – Sum Of The Parts Support Significant Upside Potential

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

In line quarter.  The company reported Q3 revenue of $115.1 million and adj. EBITDA of $27.2 million, both of which were in line with our estimates. Notably, digital advertising revenue grew a solid 5.5% from the prior year period, in spite of net revenue decreasing 3.8% over the same period. Digital revenues accounted for 52% of total revenue in Q3, a development we view favorably.

Q4 outlook on target. We are modestly lowering our Q4 revenue forecast in light of softer than expected Q4 pacings. Q4 total revenue is lowered from $116.3 million to $111.3 million. Notably, our Q4 and full year 2023 adj. EBITDA forecasts of approximately $24.9 million and $100.1 million, respectively, are largely unchanged due to direct operating expense reductions.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

The ODP Corporation (ODP) – Third Quarter 2023 – Solid Operating Results

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

3Q23 Results. Revenue came in at $2.009 billion, down from $2.172 billion in 3Q22, driven by store closures, lower comparable sales, and a challenging economic environment. Adjusted net income was flat at $73 million, while adjusted EPS rose to $1.88 from $1.48 as a result of the reduction in outstanding shares. Adjusted EBITDA was $125 million, compared to $131 million last year.

Strategy Is Working. ODP delivered solid operating results in spite of the challenging economic environment, with strong adjusted EPS and adjusted free cash flow. Adjusted FCF in the quarter was $89 million. The Company’s low cost operating model continues to deliver.


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

PDS Biotechnology Corp. (PDSB) – Triple Therapy Data Shows Benefits That Far Exceed Published Studies

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

PDS Biotech is a clinical-stage immunotherapy company developing a growing pipeline of molecularly targeted cancer and infectious disease immunotherapies based on the Company’s proprietary Versamune® and Infectimune™ T-cell activating technology platforms. Our Versamune®-based products have demonstrated the potential to overcome the limitations of current immunotherapy by inducing in vivo, large quantities of high-quality, highly potent polyfunctional tumor specific CD4+ helper and CD8+ killer T-cells. PDS Biotech has developed multiple therapies, based on combinations of Versamune® and disease-specific antigens, designed to train the immune system to better recognize diseased cells and effectively attack and destroy them. The Company’s pipeline products address various cancers including HPV16-associated cancers (anal, cervical, head and neck, penile, vaginal, vulvar) and breast, colon, lung, prostate and ovarian cancers.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Triple Therapy Trial Results Show Much Longer Survival In HPV-Positive Cancer. PDS announced data from the Triple Therapy Combination conducted by the NCI (National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health). This trial tested the combination of PDS0101, the tumor-targeted IL-12 derivative PDS0301, and a checkpoint inhibitor to give three mechanisms of action against HPV-positive cancers. While the patient sample is small, these results far exceed survival seen in published studies.

Results Shows Significant Improvements Over Expectations. Final survival data from the patients that had no previous therapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI naïve patients) showed 6 out of 8 (75%) of the patients alive at 36 months, compared with published studies with about 30% to 50% alive at 12 months and less than 30% alive at 24 months. Median overall survival for the ICI naïve patients has not been reached. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

Ocugen (OCGN) – 3Q23 Reported With Several Products On Schedule To Reach Clinical Milestones In 2024

Posted on by cpereira@noblefcm.com


Friday, November 10, 2023

Ocugen, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel gene therapies, biologicals, and vaccines. The lead product in its gene therapy program, OCU400, is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for retinitis pigmentosa.

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Pipeline Is Set For 2024. Ocugen reported 3Q23 loss of $14.2 million or $(0.06) per share, compared with our estimated loss of $18.2 million or $(0.07) per share. Cash balance at the end of the quarter was $53.5 million. During 3Q23, data was presented for OCU400, INDs were approved for OCU410 and OCU410ST, and OCU500 was selected by the NIAID-NIH (National Allergy and Infectious Disease Institute of the National Institutes of Health) to begin clinical testing. NeoCart is also expected to begin a Phase 3 trial in 2H24. We see these pipeline events as important milestones for the company. 

OCU400 is on schedule to finalize the Phase 3 trial design. The Phase 1/2 trial has completed dosing of the RP patients and three LCA patients. The treatment protocols for the Phase 3 trial are expected to be finalized by year-end. Following FDA acceptance, the Phase 3 trial is expected to begin in early 2024 as expected. The final LCA patient data could allow FDA approval to include LCA patients in 2H24.


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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.