Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
3Q25 Results. Revenue was $794.9 million, up 2.1% y-o-y, with higher revenue from government, large corporate, healthcare, and education customers as the drivers. Organic revenue was up 3%, with Americas up 7% and International off 8%. Gross margin came in at 33.4%, up 100 bp y-o-y. GAAP EPS totaled $0.16 versus $0.26, while adjusted EPS was $0.30 versus $0.29.
Green Shoots. Orders in the first three weeks of 4Q25 grew 15% y-o-y. Internationally, Steelcase is seeing higher project activity levels, with recent wins related to large opportunities with national accounts in France, Germany, and the Middle East. Continuation of such trends would bode well for future performance.
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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation is the largest provider of dredging services in the United States. In addition, Great Lakes is fully engaged in expanding its core business into the rapidly developing offshore wind energy industry. The Company has a long history of performing significant international projects. The Company employs experienced civil, ocean and mechanical engineering staff in its estimating, production and project management functions. In its over 131-year history, the Company has never failed to complete a marine project. Great Lakes owns and operates the largest and most diverse fleet in the U.S. dredging industry, comprised of approximately 200 specialized vessels. Great Lakes has a disciplined training program for engineers that ensures experienced-based performance as they advance through Company operations. The Company’s Incident-and Injury-Free® (IIF®) safety management program is integrated into all aspects of the Company’s culture. The Company’s commitment to the IIF® culture promotes a work environment where employee safety is paramount.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Awarded Work. Great Lakes announced an additional $182 million of awarded work across four projects. The new projects were part of the $465 million of low bids and options pending as of the end of the third quarter. The new awards will add to a record backlog of work for 2025 and are likely to keep Great Lakes’ fleet fully engaged during the year. The projects are all for coastal protection.
Projects. Ocean City Beach Renourishment in New Jersey is valued at $73.6 million. This project also includes an additional $41.4 million in open options pending award. This project will start in 1Q25 and is expected to be completed in 3Q25. Myrtle Beach Renourishment in South Carolina is valued at $72.3 million. Work is expected to start in 4Q25 and be completed in 1Q26. Both projects were awarded by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
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Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of immunology, rare disease, infectious disease, and central nervous system (CNS) product candidates. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-15001 which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2022. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-29002 for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan-Drug Designation by the FDA. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and monkeypox called TNX-8013, next-generation vaccines to prevent COVID-19, and an antiviral to treat COVID-19. Tonix’s lead vaccine candidates for COVID-19 are TNX-1840 and TNX-18504, which are live virus vaccines based on Tonix’s recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform. TNX-35005 (sangivamycin, i.v. solution) is a small molecule antiviral drug to treat acute COVID-19 and is in the pre-IND stage of development. TNX-102 SL6, (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets), is a small molecule drug being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Tonix expects to initiate a Phase 2 study in Long COVID in the second quarter of 2022. The Company’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL, is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with a new Phase 3 study launched in the second quarter of 2022. Finally, TNX-13007 is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication that is expected to start a Phase 2 trial in the second quarter of 2022. TNX-1300 has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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New Drug Application For Tonmya Accepted For Review. Tonix announced that the FDA has accepted the filing of the Tonmya NDA, showing that the application met the requirements for a full review. Tonmya received Fast Track designation, and an application for Priority Review was filed. Next, notification of the assigned PDUFA date (the statutory date for completing a review under the Prescription Drug User Fee Act) and Priority Review status are expected in about 14 days.
We Believe Tonmya Can Have A Significant Impact On Fibromyalgia Treatment. Symptoms of fibromyalgia include chronic pain, insomnia, depression, brain fog, fatigue, and abdominal cramps with varying severity. This variety of physical and cognitive symptoms has been treated with a combination of pain medications, anti-depressants, insomnia drugs, and neurological drugs. Tonmya is the first drug that was developed for fibromyalgia. Its clinical trials showed strong statistical significance in its primary endpoint (pain reduction) and all six secondary endpoints. No other single drug has shown this broad effect on multiple fibromyalgia symptoms.
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MAIA is a targeted therapy, immuno-oncology company focused on the development and commercialization of potential first-in-class drugs with novel mechanisms of action that are intended to meaningfully improve and extend the lives of people with cancer. Our lead program is THIO, a potential first-in-class cancer telomere targeting agent in clinical development for the treatment of NSCLC patients with telomerase-positive cancer cells. For more information, please visit www.maiabiotech.com.
Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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Successful Development Could Qualify For A Valuable Asset. Maia announced that THIO has received FDA designation as a drug for a rare pediatric disease (RPD) when used to treat pediatric-type diffuse high-grade gliomas (PDHGG). This designation makes MAIA eligible to receive a Priority Review Voucher (PRV) upon approval. The PRV can be redeemed for priority review for a different new drug application or sold to another company. During 2024, PRVs have been sold for between $100 million and $158 million.
Data In Pediatric Brain Cancer Was Presented In April 2024. MAIA presented clinical data testing THIO in the PDHGG indication at the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) Annual Meeting in April 2024. Patients with a highly aggressive subtype of PDHGG known as diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG) were treated with ionizing radiation and THIO. The results showed significant decreases in cell proliferation and anti-cancer effects.
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Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) is an audio-first media company delivering premium content to over a quarter billion people every month — wherever and whenever they want it. Cumulus Media engages listeners with high-quality local programming through 406 owned-and-operated radio stations across 86 markets; delivers nationally-syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from iconic brands including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and many other world-class partners across more than 9,500 affiliated stations through Westwood One, the largest audio network in America; and inspires listeners through the Cumulus Podcast Network, its rapidly growing network of original podcasts that are smart, entertaining and thought-provoking. Cumulus Media provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, powerful influencers, full-service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences. Cumulus Media is the only audio media company to provide marketers with local and national advertising performance guarantees. For more information visit www.cumulusmedia.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
NobleCon20. On December 4, Frank Lopez-Balboa, CFO, presented at NobleCon20 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. A replay of the presentation can be viewed here. Notably, the presentation highlighted the prospect of digital revenue growth, a national advertising recovery, which accounts for roughly 50% of revenue, and its sizeable cost reduction efforts.
Digital Outlook. Notably, digital revenue has been a bright spot for the company throughout 2024, given that revenue growth has been positive every quarter. Mr. Frank Lopez-Balboa highlighted his optimism about the company’s digital growth prospects, stating it could generate north of $200 million in revenue a few years from now. Moreever, digital offers healthy contribution margins.
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Comstock (NYSE: LODE) innovates technologies that contribute to global decarbonization and circularity by efficiently converting under-utilized natural resources into renewable fuels and electrification products that contribute to balancing global uses and emissions of carbon. The Company intends to achieve exponential growth and extraordinary financial, natural, and social gains by building, owning, and operating a fleet of advanced carbon neutral extraction and refining facilities, by selling an array of complimentary process solutions and related services, and by licensing selected technologies to qualified strategic partners. To learn more, please visit www.comstock.inc.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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Reassessing the path to commercialization. We are lowering our investment rating to a Market Perform from Outperform. While Comstock has made significant progress advancing its business unit plans, we think the path toward commercializing its Fuels and Metals businesses could take longer than we previously expected and is subject to a number of risk factors, including execution and financing. Based on the company’s liquidity, anticipated capital requirements, risk and reward profile, and lead time associated with commercializing its businesses, we think a Market Perform is appropriate.
SBC Commerce transaction. In August, Comstock announced a significant and promising transaction with SBC Commerce LLC (SBCC), a U.S. based private equity group, to directly invest in each of Comstock’s businesses and acquire Comstock’s properties in Silver Springs, Nevada. Our previous valuation and price target were based in part on the implied value of the transaction. To date, no definitive agreement has been announced with SBC Commerce, and it is unclear to us whether the transaction will close as contemplated. We look forward to an update and will wait to assess any final agreement(s).
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Townsquare is a community-focused digital media and digital marketing solutions company with market leading local radio stations, principally focused outside the top 50 markets in the U.S. Our assets include a subscription digital marketing services business, Townsquare Interactive, providing website design, creation and hosting, search engine optimization, social media and online reputation management as well as other digital monthly services for approximately 26,800 SMBs; a robust digital advertising division, Townsquare IGNITE, a powerful combination of a) an owned and operated portfolio of more than 330 local news and entertainment websites and mobile apps along with a network of leading national music and entertainment brands, collecting valuable first party data, and b) a proprietary digital programmatic advertising technology stack with an in-house demand and data management platform; and a portfolio of 321 local terrestrial radio stations in 67 U.S. markets strategically situated outside the Top 50 markets in the United States. Our portfolio includes local media brands such as WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com and premier national music brands such as XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com and Loudwire.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Digital revenue trends are improving. On December 4, Stu Rosenstein, CFO, presented at NobleCon20 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida, to the investment community. A replay of the presentation can be viewed here. Notably, we believe the company’s digital businesses are gaining momentum, and we anticipate an acceleration of revenue growth for Ignite and a swing towards positive growth for Interactive.
Townsquare Interactive posed to turn the corner toward revenue growth. Notably, the company’s Interactive business has been experiencing improving revenue trends and net subscriber growth throughout 2024. Furthermore, we believe the interactive business has turned the corner in Q3 and will swing towards positive revenue growth in Q4.
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The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO’s diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO’s worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 103 facilities totaling approximately 83,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Ramping Up. The GEO Group announced a $70 million investment to expand the Company’s detention capacity, secure transportation, and electronic monitoring services to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (“ICE”). Already the largest services provider to ICE, GEO is currently providing approximately 21,000 detention beds (with a present census of 14,000) at 16 ICE Processing Centers with the ability to expand to a minimum of 32,000 beds at 23 facilities.
Financing. To help offset the $70 million investment in capital expenditures and further reduce debt, GEO intends to pursue the possible sale of several underperforming company-owned state correctional facilities. Any potential sale of facilities will depend, at least partially, on valuation, but we view this positively.
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Lucky Strike Entertainment is one of the world’s premier location-based entertainment platforms. With over 360 locations across North America, Lucky Strike Entertainment provides experiential offerings in bowling, amusements, water parks, and family entertainment centers. The company also owns the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling and a growing media property that boasts millions of fans around the globe. For more information on Lucky Strike Entertainment, please visit ir.luckystrikeent.com.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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Complete rebrand to Lucky Strike. On December 12, the company announced that it had completed its recently announced rebranding to Lucky Strike Entertainment, which was effective on December 16th. The newly branded company will trade on the NYSE under the symbol “LUCK” as of today.
An acquired brand. The company acquired Lucky Strike Entertainment in September of last year. At that time, management noted that the company would test the brand strength of Lucky Strike in comparison with the Bowlero brand. We believe that Lucky Strike has a strong brand presence and is a compelling change for the company.
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Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
A NT10-Q. Comtech missed the deadline for filing its 10-Q for the period ended October 31, 2024, the first quarter of the Company’s fiscal 2025. Unfortunately, this is another late filing, following an NT10-K for the 2024 fiscal year and an NT10-Q for the fiscal third quarter of 2024. We are hopeful the Company will be able to file the required documents shortly.
Reasons. According to the 12b-25 filing, Comtech is unable to file on a timely basis due to “the Company’s ongoing efforts to finalize its condensed consolidated financial statements, which include: (i) its recoverability assessments of (x) receivables and contract assets related to a certain international reseller of our troposcatter technologies, and (y) goodwill and certain long-lived assets due to the Company’s ongoing evaluation of its strategic transformation plans; and (ii) the accounting for and presentation of certain debt instruments and exchanges of convertible preferred shares.”
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500 5th Avenue 20th Floor New York, NY 10110 United States Sector(s): Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Manufacturing Full Time Employees: 599 Key Executives Name Title Pay Exercised Year Born Mr. Jonathan CEO & Director 825.62k N/A 1958 Ms. Marie Fogel Senior VP and Chief Merchandising & Manufacturing Officer 633.19k N/A 1961 Mr. John Chief Financial Officer
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Solid Q3 Results. The company reported favorable Q3 revenue of $80.2 million and adj. EBITDA of $7.1 million, both of which were in line with our estimates of $81.5 million and $7.0 million, respectively. Furthermore, gross margin improved by 580 basis points from the prior year period. In our view, the solid results demonstrate the efficacy of the company’s initiatives to enhance its expense structure and improve gross margins.
Improved gross margin. The company’s strong gross margin improvement was largely driven by a 480bp improvement in product costs and reduced freight costs, with an 80bp contribution from lower promotional activity and discounting in its Direct To Consumer (DTC) segment.
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Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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Private placement financing. Aurania announced the closing of the first tranche of its recently announced private placement of up to 8,888,888 units at a price of C$0.45 per unit to raise gross proceeds of up to C$4,000,000. In the first tranche, a total of 2,726,499 units were sold for gross proceeds of C$1,226,924.55. Each unit is comprised of one common share and one common share purchase warrant. Each warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share at an exercise price of C$0.75 for a period of 24 months following the closing of the first tranche. The net proceeds will be used to fund exploration in France including impact studies, exploration programs at key targets in Ecuador, and working capital.
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Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
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NobleCon20. On December 3, management presented at NobleCon20 at Florida Atlantic University (FAU) in Boca Raton, Florida. Giles Goodburn, Global Head of FP&A and Investor Relations, highlighted the company’s ongoing transformation to a leaner, more focused organization. A replay of the presentation can be found here.
Business transformation underway. Since the start of 2024, the company has completed several divestitures totaling roughly $780 million in net proceeds. This has allowed the company to make significant balance sheet improvements. The company is also in the process of cutting corporate overhead and various stranded costs following the recent divestitures. Moreover, with an infusion of new business leaders across its three segments we believe the company is positioning itself for future revenue growth as a more focused and efficient organization.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
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