FreightCar America (RAIL) – Thoughts on RAIL’s Recent Shelf Registration


Monday, March 17, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Shelf registration. FreightCar recently filed a universal shelf registration statement pertaining to the offer and sale from time to time of up to $200 million in aggregate of the company’s common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, new warrants, rights or units, and the resale by a selling stockholder, affiliates of PIMCO, of up to 17,038,583 shares of common stock. PIMCO has now registered the shares associated with its warrants which enables them to sell shares over time following the exercise of the warrants. The warrants are already reflected in RAIL’s fully diluted share count and in our financial model.

Cleaner financial reporting. The change in the fair market value of the warrant liability fluctuates each quarter in line with the change in RAIL’s stock price during the period. The valuation adjustment reflects accounting for the warrant holder’s investment. For the full year 2024, the company recognized a $99.5 million non-cash adjustment due to the change in the fair market value of the warrant liability. All shares underlying the warrants have been reflected as part of the weighted shares outstanding since their issuance in prior years. Eliminating the warrant liability and need to report on the change in its fair market value could narrow the difference between GAAP and adjusted earnings.


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Zomedica Corp. (ZOM) – Sales Growth Continued In FY2024; Stock Price Discussed


Friday, March 14, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Product Sales Drove Revenue Growth. Zomedica reported 4Q24 revenues of $7.9 million and FY2024 revenues $27.3 million, in line with our estimates of $8.0 million and $27.5 million. Gross Margins were 70.0% as expected, with a loss for FY2024 of $46.9 million or $(0.05) per share. Cash and equivalents on December 31 was $71.4 million.

CEO Addressed Recent Stock Delisting. At the beginning of the quarterly conference call, CEO Larry Heaton spoke about the events leading to the delisting from the New York American Exchange earlier this month. As discussed in our Research Note on March 11, the recent market weakness brought the stock below the threshold for continued listing. This weakness led to a move to the OTCQB Venture Market, causing further weakness.


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Cadrenal Therapeutics (CVKD) – FY2024 Report Reviews A Pivotal Year For Tecarfarin


Friday, March 14, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

FY2024 Was A Productive Year. Cadrenal reported a 4Q24 loss of $4.2 million or $(2.55) per share and FY2024 loss of $10.7 million or $(8.73) per share. An important development discussed in our Research Note on March 5 was Cadrenal’s announcement of a collaborative agreement with Abbott (ABT, Not Rated) for support of its pivotal trial testing tecarfarin in patients with left ventricular assist (LVAD) devices. Cash and equivalents on December 31 were $10.0 million.

Tecarfarin Is In Development For Several Patient Populations With Coagulation Needs. Many patients that are at risk for cardiovascular events (stroke, embolism, deep vein thrombosis) take anticoagulants in the direct oral anticoagulant class (DOACs, such as Eliquis or Xarelto). However, there are several patient populations that must take warfarin, an older drug, due to lack of efficacy or high bleeding risk. Tecarfarin is being developed to replace warfarin in these populations. Cadrenal has Orphan Drug designation from the FDA for implanted mechanical devices (LVADs) and prevention of systemic thromboembolism in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and atrial fibrillation (AFib).


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FreightCar America (RAIL) – Solid 2024 Financial and Operating Performance; Updating Estimates


Friday, March 14, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Full year 2024 financial results. FreightCar America generated 2024 adjusted net income to common stockholders of $4.4 million or $0.15 per share compared to a loss of $11.0 million or $(0.39) per share in 2023 and our estimate of $5.5 million or $0.17 per share. Gross margin as a percentage of revenue increased to 12.0% compared to 11.7% in FY 2023. Revenue and rail car deliveries increased to $559.4 million and 4,362 compared to $358.1 million and 3,022 in 2023. We had forecast revenue of $577.4 million and deliveries of 4,550. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $43.0 million compared to $20.1 million in 2023 and our estimate of $38.3 million. Full year adjusted free cash flow amounted to $21.7 million versus $(17.6) million in 2023.

Full Year 2025 corporate guidance. Management issued full year 2025 guidance. Railcar deliveries are expected to be in the range of 4,500 to 4,900, revenue is expected to be in the range of $530 million to $595 million, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $43 to $49 million. Compared to 2024, railcar deliveries, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA are expected to increase 7.7%, 0.6%, and 7.0%, respectively, at the midpoints of guidance.


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Comtech Telecommunications (CMTL) – Making Progress


Friday, March 14, 2025

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of products, systems, and services for advanced communications solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Telecommunications Transmission, Mobile Data Communications, and RF Microwave Amplifiers. The Telecommunications Transmission segment provides satellite earth station equipment and systems, over-the-horizon microwave systems, and forward error correction technology, which are used in various commercial and government applications, including backhaul of wireless and cellular traffic, broadcasting (including HDTV), IP-based communications traffic, long distance telephony, and secure defense applications. The Mobile Data Communications segment provides mobile satellite transceivers, and computers and satellite earth station network gateways and associated installation, training, and maintenance services; supplies and operates satellite packet data networks, including arranging and providing satellite capacity; and offers microsatellites and related components. The RF Microwave Amplifiers segment designs, develops, manufactures, and markets satellite earth station traveling wave tube amplifiers (TWTA) and broadband amplifiers. Its amplifiers are used in broadcast and broadband satellite communication; defense applications, such as telecommunications systems and electronic warfare systems; and commercial applications comprising oncology treatment systems, as well as to amplify signals carrying voice, video, or data for air-to-satellite-to-ground communications. The company serves satellite systems integrators, wireless and other communication service providers, broadcasters, defense contractors, military, governments, and oil companies. Comtech markets its products through independent representatives and value-added resellers. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Making Progress. Comtech made some progress in its business transformation during the fiscal second quarter, although business conditions remain challenging. The most significant change came post quarter-end with the amendment to its senior secured credit agreement that cures the covenant breaches as of January 31, 2025.

2Q25 Results. Revenue totaled $126.6 million, down 5.7% from the year ago period, but up 9.3% sequentially. Gross margin of 26.7% fell y-o-y, but improved sequentially from 12.5% in 1Q25. Comtech reported a net loss of $48.7 million, before preferred stock adjustments, compared to a net loss of $10.6 million in 2Q24. Adjusted net loss was $0.35/sh compared to a net loss of $0.15/sh last year.


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Saga Communications (SGA) – Digital Growth Strategy Appears To Be Gaining Traction


Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Saga Communications, Inc. is a broadcast company whose business is primarily devoted to acquiring, developing and operating radio stations. Saga currently owns or operates broadcast properties in 27 markets, including 79 FM and 33 AM radio stations. Saga’s strategy is to operate top billing radio stations in mid sized markets, defined as markets ranked (by market revenues) from 20 to 200. Saga’s radio stations employ a myriad of programming formats, including Active Rock, Adult Album Alternative, Adult Contemporary, Country, Classic Country, Classic Hits, Classic Rock, Contemporary Hits Radio, News/Talk, Oldies and Urban Contemporary. In operating its stations, Saga concentrates on the development of strong decentralized local management, which is responsible for the day-to-day operations of the stations in their market area and is compensated based on their financial performance as well as other performance factors that are deemed to effect the long-term ability of the stations to achieve financial objectives. Saga began operations in 1986 and became a publicly traded company in December 1992. The stock trades on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol “SGA”.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

An in-line quarter. The company reported Q4 revenue of $28.8 million and adj. EBITDA of $3.1 million, both of which declined over the prior year period, but were modestly better than our estimates of $27.7 million and $2.3 million, respectively. Notably, the company is focused on its blended digital growth strategy and reducing costs and improving profitability. We believe the company’s strategic actions are a step in the right direction for returning toward revenue and adj. EBITDA growth.

Cost-effective digital growth strategy. A key focus of the company is reducing costs that have no impact on revenue and continuing to emphasize the roll out of its blended digital advertising strategy. Notably, the blended strategy combines radio and digital advertising to provide a consistent message to customers on both mediums and to drive radio listeners to digital platforms. We view the company’s emphasis on the unique strategy favorably.


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E.W. Scripps (SSP) – Takes Steps To Assuage Debt Concerns


Wednesday, March 12, 2025

The E.W. Scripps Company (NASDAQ: SSP) is a diversified media company focused on creating a better-informed world. As one of the nation’s largest local TV broadcasters, Scripps serves communities with quality, objective local journalism and operates a portfolio of 61 stations in 41 markets. The Scripps Networks reach nearly every American through the national news outlets Court TV and Newsy and popular entertainment brands ION, Bounce, Defy TV, Grit, ION Mystery, Laff and TrueReal. Scripps is the nation’s largest holder of broadcast spectrum. Scripps runs an award-winning investigative reporting newsroom in Washington, D.C., and is the longtime steward of the Scripps National Spelling Bee. Founded in 1878, Scripps has held for decades to the motto, “Give light and the people will find their own way.”

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Q4 results exceed expectations. Revenues increased a strong 18.3% to $728.4 million, beating our $716.1 million estimate. The results benefited from better core advertising ($147.4 million vs our $143.0 million est.) and higher Political revenue ($174.4 million vs our $172.0 million est.). Adj. EBITDA was $229.6 million, better than our $226.1 million estimate. Figure #1 Q4 Results highlight our estimates versus reported results. 

Sluggish start. Management provided lackluster Q1 revenue guidance, expecting Local Media revenue to be down high single- digits with Scripps Networks revenue to be down mid single-digits. The sluggish Q1 reflects the absence of Political revenue, but likely weak core spot and National spot advertising. Notably, management guided interest expense to be $175 million to $185 million, less than our estimate of roughly $200 million. 


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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) – Tough End to a Challenging Year


Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

4Q Results. CVG reported 4Q24 revenue of $163.3 million, down 15.7% y-o-y due to ongoing weakness in the Construction and Ag markets, as well as a drop in Class 8 truck builds. Adjusted EBITDA was $0.9 million, down from $8.3 million. CVG reported an adjusted loss from continuing operations of $5.1 million, or a loss of $0.15/sh, compared to adjusted net income of $2.1 million, or EPS of $0.06, in 4Q23.

Strategic Initiatives. The Company implemented a number of strategic initiatives during 2024, including portfolio rationalization and the elimination of some 1,300 positions. These should result in some $15 million of gross savings in 2025, which should help improve margins.


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Zomedica Corp. (ZOM) – Fundamentals Have Been Improving, But Price Weakness Leads To Delisting


Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Recent Price Weakness Forces Move To The OTC Bulletin Board. As the recent decline in the overall markets was affecting companies in many sectors, the closing price of Zomedica stock fell below $0.10 per share on March 3. This crossed a threshold set by the New York American exchange, forcing the delisting of ZOM shares. Zomedica shares began trading on the OTCQB Venture Market under the symbol ZOMDF. There were no other events or crisis that caused the delisting.

During 2024, Zomedica Has Met All Of The Product Goals We Expected. Over the past year, Zomedica has introduced several new assays for use with its TRUFORMA diagnostics platform. These assays are sold to veterinary practices for use with TRUFORMA diagnostic instruments, allowing the veterinarian to run tests without sending samples to an outside lab. This allows the diagnosis in a few minutes and allows the practice to capture the profit from the tests. The TRUFORMA assays, reported as diagnostic consumables, have been one of the sources of sales growth over the past year.


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Gyre Therapeutics, Inc (GYRE) – Initiation of Coverage: Focused On Fibrosis


Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Robert LeBoyer, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Biotechnology, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

We Are Initiating Coverage Of Gyre Therapeutics With An Outperform Rating. Gyre Therapeutics is a pharmaceutical company developing drugs for inflammatory diseases that lead to fibrosis. It currently markets Etuary (pirfenidone) in China for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. The lead drug in the pipeline is Hydronidone, a new molecule derived from pirfenidone, that is in a Phase 3 clinical trial in China. The data announcement is expected to report Phase 3 clinical trial results in March 2025.

Hydronidone Was Developed To Improve Efficacy and Side Effects. Hydronidone is a structural analogue of pirfenidone that was developed to improve efficacy with a more tolerable side effect profile. It is in Phase 3 trial in China for fibrosis of the liver after hepatitis B (HBV) infections. Hydronidone targets steps in the Transforming Growth Factor (TGF)-ß1 pathway as well as the downstream genes and liver cells it activates to produce fibrotic tissue. Data from the Phase 3 in China will be used to design a Phase 2a trial in the US, expected to begin in late FY2025.


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AZZ Inc. (AZZ) – Updating Estimates to Reflect AVAIL Transaction


Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

AVAIL joint venture. Through a joint venture, AZZ owns a non-controlling 40% interest in Avail Infrastructure Solutions with the remaining 60% owned by the Fernweh Group LLC. Avail recently executed a definitive agreement to sell its Electrical Products Group to nVent Electric plc (NYSE: NVT) for $975 million, subject to adjustments. The transaction is expected to close during the first half of the 2025 calendar year. AZZ will continue to own a 40% interest in Avail which will consist of its Industrial Lighting and Welding Solutions businesses.

Use of proceeds. AZZ will use its share of the transaction proceeds to further reduce debt or fund potential M&A activity. The gain on the transaction will be treated as a one-time adjustment to net income and EPS. A reduction in the $16 million to $18 million of joint venture equity income included in AZZ’s fiscal year 2026 guidance is expected to be offset by interest savings. While AZZ is not adjusting its fiscal year 2026 earnings guidance, debt reduction will be higher than the range of $140 million to $160 million provided in their guidance.


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The ODP Corporation (ODP) – New Partnership


Monday, March 10, 2025

Office Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, supplies a range of office products and services. It offers merchandise, such as general office supplies, computer supplies, business machines and related supplies, and office furniture through its chain of office supply stores under the Office Depot, Foray, Ativa, Break Escapes, Worklife, and Christopher Lowell brand names. The company also provides graphic design, printing, reproduction, mailing, shipping, and other services through design, print, and ship centers. It has operations throughout North America, Europe, Asia, and Central America. The company also sells its products and services through direct mail catalogs, contract sales force, Internet sites, and retail stores, through a mix of company-owned operations, joint ventures, licensing and franchise agreements, alliances, and other arrangements. As of December 31, 2008, Office Depot operated 1,267 North American retail division office supply stores and 162 international division retail stores, as well as participated under licensing and merchandise arrangements in 98 stores. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

New Partnership. The ODP Corporation continued its B2B push with the signing of a new partnership agreement with CoreTrust. The agreement marks the latest in a series of new contracts for ODP Business Solutions, moving the segment into new, growing industries. Through this partnership, ODP Business Solutions will offer products and services to CoreTrust’s 3,500+ business member purchasing collective, which serves major industries including retail, manufacturing, hospitality, and finance.

Details. Under the contract, ODP Business Solutions will supply CoreTrust members with high-quality solutions, including interiors/furniture, technology, breakroom supplies, and paint, promotion, and apparel services at an exceptional value. These categories are expected to expand industry wide by a 4-6% compound annual growth rate over the next five years.


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Information Services Group (III) – Noticing Positive Trends in 2025


Monday, March 10, 2025

ISG (Information Services Group) (Nasdaq: III) is a leading global technology research and advisory firm. A trusted business partner to more than 700 clients, including more than 75 of the world’s top 100 enterprises, ISG is committed to helping corporations, public sector organizations, and service and technology providers achieve operational excellence and faster growth. The firm specializes in digital transformation services, including automation, cloud and data analytics; sourcing advisory; managed governance and risk services; network carrier services; strategy and operations design; change management; market intelligence and technology research and analysis. Founded in 2006, and based in Stamford, Conn., ISG employs more than 1,300 digital-ready professionals operating in more than 20 countries—a global team known for its innovative thinking, market influence, deep industry and technology expertise, and world-class research and analytical capabilities based on the industry’s most comprehensive marketplace data. For additional information, visit www.ISG-One.com

Joe Gomes, CFA, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Improved Metrics. While fourth quarter revenue was down on a reported basis, it was in-line with our expectations and at the upper-end of management’s $57-$58 million guidance. Importantly, ISG delivered an improved gross margin of 41.5% from 38.3% last year due to higher utilization and the sale of its automation unit. Flowing through to the bottom line, adjusted EBITDA had an improved margin of 11.3% from 8.9% last year.

A Year of Headwinds. Fiscal year 2024 was highlighted by headwinds for the Company, as its clients delayed decision making throughout the year. Uncertainty regarding the macroenvironment, geopolitical conflict in Europe, and political uncertainty impacted spending in 2024.


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