Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) – Third Quarter Results Exceed Our Expectations


Wednesday, October 29, 2025

ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.

Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Hans Baldau, Associate Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Third quarter financial results. Alliance reported third quarter adjusted EBITDA and earnings per unit (EPU) of $185.8 million and $0.73, respectively, compared to $170.4 million and $0.66 during the prior year period. We had projected EBITDA and EPU of $176.2 million and $0.68. Total revenue amounted to $571.4 million compared to $613.6 million during the prior year period and our $577.9 million estimate. While revenue from coal sales exceeded our estimate, oil and gas royalties, transportation, and other revenues were below. Third quarter results benefited from expenses that were lower than our estimates and contributions from equity method investments and the change in value of ARLP’s digital assets.

Outlook for the remainder of 2025 and 2026. Management updated its 2025 guidance. Within ARLP’s coal operation, guidance ranges were narrowed. Total sales are expected to be between 32.50 million tons and 33.25 million tons compared to prior guidance of between 32.75 million tons and 34.0 million tons. Within the oil and gas royalty segment, volumes were lowered to reflect the timing of a multi-well pad in the Delaware Basin of the Permian, which is expected to come online in early 2026.


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