Thursday, May 04, 2023
ARLP is a diversified natural resource company that generates operating and royalty income from coal produced by its mining complexes and royalty income from mineral interests it owns in strategic oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins. ARLP currently produces coal from seven mining complexes its subsidiaries operate in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. ARLP also operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mount Vernon, Indiana. ARLP markets its coal production to major domestic and international utilities and industrial users and is currently the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States. In addition, ARLP is positioning itself as an energy provider for the future by leveraging its core technology and operating competencies to make strategic investments in the fast growing energy and infrastructure transition.
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
First quarter financial results. Alliance reported first quarter EBITDA and earnings per unit (EPU) of $270.9 million and $1.45, respectively, compared to $154.6 million and $0.28 during the prior year period and $293.9 million and $1.63 during the fourth quarter of 2022. We had forecast EBITDA and EPU of $251.0 million and $1.25. While revenue of $662.9 million was modestly above our estimate of $661.1 million, operating expenses of $338.7 million were well below our estimate of $367.1 million.
Updated guidance. Alliance provided updated 2023 guidance which we have incorporated into our estimates as detailed in the body of this note. While total coal sales volume is still expected to be 36.0 million to 38.0 million tons, coal sales price per ton was reduced to a range of $65 to $67 from $67 to $69 driven by lower pricing expectations for ARLP’s uncontracted coal tonnage position. As a partial offset, segment adjusted EBITDA expense per ton sold was also lowered to $39 to $42 from $40.25 to $42.25. Importantly, Alliance increased the midpoint of its full year guidance for oil and gas volumes on a barrel of oil equivalent basis by approximately 9% due to strong performance on all of its acreage exceeding initial expectations.
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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.