Monday, February 26, 2024
Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Upgrade to Outperform. We are upgrading our rating on Lifeway shares to Outperform from Market Perform with a $14 price target. Since peaking on November 14th at an intra-day high of $17.33, LWAY shares have drifted lower, closing Friday at $10.51, modestly above the lowest closing price since mid-November of $9.38.
A Look Back. LWAY shares have been on a roller coaster ride since mid-August 2023, driven by a combination of improving operational performance, including a number of record quarters, and takeover speculation, in our view. The shares ran up from $6.50 in mid-August to $12.40 by mid-September, back below $10 by the end of September, back above $12 by mid-November, plunging to $9.38 on November 13th before hitting a 52-week high of $17.33 ten days later. Since the 52-week high, the shares have drifted lower. Notably, during the run up, ADV often exceeded 100,000 shares per day, compared to less than 20,000 prior to the run up. More recently, ADV has settled in the 20,000-40,000 range.
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