Thursday, November 09, 2023
Gray Television is a multimedia company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. We are the nation’s largest owner of top-rated local television stations and digital assets in the United States. Our television stations serve 113 television markets that collectively reach approximately 36 percent of US television households. This portfolio includes 80 markets with the top-rated television station and 100 markets with the first and/or second highest rated television station. We also own video program companies Raycom Sports, Tupelo Honey, PowerNation Studios and Third Rail Studios.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Solid Q3 results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $803 million, edging our estimate of $786 million by 2.2%. Notably, Adj. EBITDA in the quarter was a strong $210 million, handily surpassing our estimate of $179 million by 17.3%. Illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. The quarter was driven by better than expected, high margin, political revenue and lower than expected corporate expenses. Importantly, political revenue in Q3 was $26 million, which beat our estimate of $15 million by 73%.
2024 outlook. In our view, the company stands to benefit from several favorable factors in the coming year. Notably, management increased political revenue guidance from $60 million to $80 million for full year 2023, which may indicate a strong election cycle in 2024. Additionally, the company has a history of surpassing expectations. Thus, we believe there could be positive upside in our 2024 estimates.
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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.