Friday, November 06, 2020
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)
Turning More Favorable – Introducing 2021 EBITDA Estimate
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, incorporated on September 27, 2004, transports iron ore, coal, grain, steel products and other drybulk cargoes along shipping routes through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. The Company is engaged in the ocean transportation of drybulk cargoes around the world through the ownership and operation of drybulk carrier vessels. As of December 31, 2016, its fleet consisted of 61 drybulk carriers, including 13 Capesize, six Panamax, four Ultramax, 21 Supramax, two Handymax and 15 Handysize drybulk carriers, with an aggregate carrying capacity of approximately 4,735,000 deadweight tons (dwt). Of the vessels in its fleet, 15 are on spot market-related time charters, and 27 are on fixed-rate time charter contracts. As of December 31, 2016, additionally, 19 of the vessels in its fleet were operating in vessel pools.
Poe Fratt, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Adjusted 3Q2020 EBITDA of $23.3 million was up sharply versus 2Q2020. Slightly below our estimate of $24.4 million due to TCE rates of $11.5k/day, or ~$280 below our estimate. In contrast to 2Q2020, 3Q2020 operating results benefitted from the recovery in the dry bulk market that started in June. TCE rates almost doubled from $6.7k/day and more than offset higher costs.
Maintaining 2020 EBITDA estimate of $73.7 million and introducing 2021 EBITDA estimate of $129.5 million as higher TCE rate assumptions offset a smaller fleet. Forward cover is lighter but TCE rates are higher with 57% of available 4Q2020 days booked at $13.0k/day, up from 3Q2020 cover of 62% of days booked at $11.6k/day. Firmer market fundamentals kicked in late 2Q2020, and 4Q2020 EBITDA should be …
This research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).
*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.