Tuesday, January 11, 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO)
What Do The Debt Negotiations Reveal?

With over 94,000 beds owned, leased or managed across its business lines and serving over 260,000 people daily, GEO is a leading provider of mission critical real estate to its governmental partners. The Company is the first fully integrated equity REIT specializing in the design, financing, development, and operation of secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the U.S., Australia, South Africa, and the U.K.

Joe Gomes, Senior Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Debt Negotiations. Late last week, GEO filed an 8-K with the SEC highlighting confidential discussions that the Company has engaged in with certain holders of its secured debt concerning a potential refinancing, exchange, recapitalization, or other transaction. While no agreement has been reached yet, negotiations are expected to continue.


Business Model Highlights.  We believe the presentation highlights the strength of GEO’s operating model. For example, management’s long-term financial forecast anticipates relatively flat revenues, adjusted EBITDA, and unlevered free cash flow through the 2024 forecast period, even factoring in the negative impact of the President’s executive order …

This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary.  Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.