May 2023 - Page 7 of 19

Release – Tonix Pharmaceuticals to Participate in the A.G.P. Virtual Healthcare Conference

Posted on May 18, 2023May 18, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

May 18, 2023 7:00am EDTDownload as PDF

CHATHAM, N.J., May 18, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: TNXP), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, announced today that management will participate in the A.G.P. Virtual Healthcare Conference and host investor meetings. The conference is being held May 23-24, 2023.

In addition, Seth Lederman, M.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tonix, will participate in a panel discussion titled, “New Approaches to Depression,” scheduled from 12:00 p.m. – 1:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, May 23, 2023.

Investors interested in arranging a meeting with the Company’s management during the conference should contact the conference coordinator or Ian Frost at ian.frost@westwicke.com.

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.^*

Tonix is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, licensing, acquiring and developing therapeutics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Tonix’s portfolio is composed of central nervous system (CNS), rare disease, immunology and infectious disease product candidates. Tonix’s CNS portfolio includes both small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric and addiction conditions. Tonix’s lead CNS candidate, TNX-102 SL (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet), is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia with topline data expected in the fourth quarter of 2023. TNX-102 SL is also being developed to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Enrollment in a Phase 2 study has been completed, and topline results are expected in the third quarter of 2023. TNX-1900 (intranasal potentiated oxytocin), in development for chronic migraine, is currently enrolling with topline data expected in the fourth quarter of 2023. TNX-601 ER (tianeptine hemioxalate extended-release tablets), a once-daily formulation being developed as a treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD), is also currently enrolling with interim data expected in the fourth quarter of 2023. TNX-1300 (cocaine esterase) is a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication and has been granted Breakthrough Therapy designation by the FDA. A Phase 2 study of TNX-1300 is expected to be initiated in the third quarter of 2023. Tonix’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-2900 (intranasal potentiated oxytocin) for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. TNX-2900 has been granted Orphan Drug designation by the FDA. Tonix’s immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity and cancer, including TNX-1500, which is a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand (CD40L or CD154) being developed for the prevention of allograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. A Phase 1 study of TNX-1500 is expected to be initiated in the third quarter of 2023. Tonix’s infectious disease pipeline includes TNX-801, a vaccine in development to prevent smallpox and mpox, for which a Phase 1 study is expected to be initiated in the second half of 2023. TNX-801 also serves as the live virus vaccine platform or recombinant pox vaccine platform for other infectious diseases. The infectious disease portfolio also includes TNX-3900 and TNX-4000, classes of broad-spectrum small molecule oral antivirals.

^*All of Tonix’s product candidates are investigational new drugs or biologics and have not been approved for any indication.

This press release and further information about Tonix can be found at www.tonixpharma.com.

Forward Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements may be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “expect,” and “intend,” among others. These forward-looking statements are based on Tonix’s current expectations and actual results could differ materially. There are a number of factors that could cause actual events to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, risks related to the failure to obtain FDA clearances or approvals and noncompliance with FDA regulations; delays and uncertainties caused by the global COVID-19 pandemic; risks related to the timing and progress of clinical development of our product candidates; our need for additional financing; uncertainties of patent protection and litigation; uncertainties of government or third party payor reimbursement; limited research and development efforts and dependence upon third parties; and substantial competition. As with any pharmaceutical under development, there are significant risks in the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of new products. Tonix does not undertake an obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. Investors should read the risk factors set forth in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 13, 2023, and periodic reports filed with the SEC on or after the date thereof. All of Tonix’s forward-looking statements are expressly qualified by all such risk factors and other cautionary statements. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date thereof.

Contacts

Jessica Morris (corporate)
Tonix Pharmaceuticals
investor.relations@tonixpharma.com
(862) 904-8182

Maddie Stabinski (media)
Russo Partners
madeline.stabinski@russopartnersllc.com
(212) 845-4273

Peter Vozzo (investors)
ICR Westwicke
peter.vozzo@westwicke.com
(443) 213-0505

Source: Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.

Released May 18, 2023

Bowlero (BOWL) – Feeling Some Impact Of Economic Headwinds

Posted on May 18, 2023May 18, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Thursday, May 18, 2023

Bowlero Corp. is the worldwide leader in bowling entertainment, media, and events. With more than 300 bowling centers across North America, Bowlero Corp. serves more than 26 million guests each year through a family of brands that includes Bowlero, Bowlmor Lanes, and AMF. In 2019, Bowlero Corp. acquired the Professional Bowlers Association, the major league of bowling, which boasts thousands of members and millions of fans across the globe. For more information on Bowlero Corp., please visit BowleroCorp.com.

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Strong Q3 results. The company reported solid Q3 revenue of $315.7 million, up 22.5% from the prior year period, beating our estimate of $298 million by 5.9%. Adj. EBITDA in the quarter increased 17.7% to $127.6 million, beating our estimate of $116.3 million by 9.7%. Our estimates are illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results.

Favorable margins. Bowling center adj. gross profit margins were a strong 68% and adj. Center EBITDA margins were 48%, a record high. The company posted impressive total company Adj. EBITDA margins of 40.4% for Q3. The total company adj. EBITDA margins were 60 basis points better than our estimate.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision.

Trading With Artificial Intelligence – Benefits and Pitfalls

Posted on May 18, 2023May 19, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

ChatGPT-Powered Wall Street: The Benefits and Perils of Using Artificial Intelligence to Trade Stocks and Other Financial Instruments

Artificial Intelligence-powered tools, such as ChatGPT, have the potential to revolutionize the efficiency, effectiveness and speed of the work humans do.

And this is true in financial markets as much as in sectors like health care, manufacturing and pretty much every other aspect of our lives.

I’ve been researching financial markets and algorithmic trading for 14 years. While AI offers lots of benefits, the growing use of these technologies in financial markets also points to potential perils. A look at Wall Street’s past efforts to speed up trading by embracing computers and AI offers important lessons on the implications of using them for decision-making.

This article was republished with permission from The Conversation, a news site dedicated to sharing ideas from academic experts. It represents the research-based findings and thoughts of, Pawan Jain, Assistant Professor of Finance, West Virginia University.

Program Trading Fuels Black Monday

In the early 1980s, fueled by advancements in technology and financial innovations such as derivatives, institutional investors began using computer programs to execute trades based on predefined rules and algorithms. This helped them complete large trades quickly and efficiently.

Back then, these algorithms were relatively simple and were primarily used for so-called index arbitrage, which involves trying to profit from discrepancies between the price of a stock index – like the S&P 500 – and that of the stocks it’s composed of.

As technology advanced and more data became available, this kind of program trading became increasingly sophisticated, with algorithms able to analyze complex market data and execute trades based on a wide range of factors. These program traders continued to grow in number on the largely unregulated trading freeways – on which over a trillion dollars worth of assets change hands every day – causing market volatility to increase dramatically.

Eventually this resulted in the massive stock market crash in 1987 known as Black Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered what was at the time the biggest percentage drop in its history, and the pain spread throughout the globe.

In response, regulatory authorities implemented a number of measures to restrict the use of program trading, including circuit breakers that halt trading when there are significant market swings and other limits. But despite these measures, program trading continued to grow in popularity in the years following the crash.

HFT: Program Trading on Steroids

Fast forward 15 years, to 2002, when the New York Stock Exchange introduced a fully automated trading system. As a result, program traders gave way to more sophisticated automations with much more advanced technology: High-frequency trading.

HFT uses computer programs to analyze market data and execute trades at extremely high speeds. Unlike program traders that bought and sold baskets of securities over time to take advantage of an arbitrage opportunity – a difference in price of similar securities that can be exploited for profit – high-frequency traders use powerful computers and high-speed networks to analyze market data and execute trades at lightning-fast speeds. High-frequency traders can conduct trades in approximately one 64-millionth of a second, compared with the several seconds it took traders in the 1980s.

These trades are typically very short term in nature and may involve buying and selling the same security multiple times in a matter of nanoseconds. AI algorithms analyze large amounts of data in real time and identify patterns and trends that are not immediately apparent to human traders. This helps traders make better decisions and execute trades at a faster pace than would be possible manually.

Another important application of AI in HFT is natural language processing, which involves analyzing and interpreting human language data such as news articles and social media posts. By analyzing this data, traders can gain valuable insights into market sentiment and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.

Benefits of AI Trading

These AI-based, high-frequency traders operate very differently than people do.

The human brain is slow, inaccurate and forgetful. It is incapable of quick, high-precision, floating-point arithmetic needed for analyzing huge volumes of data for identifying trade signals. Computers are millions of times faster, with essentially infallible memory, perfect attention and limitless capability for analyzing large volumes of data in split milliseconds.

And, so, just like most technologies, HFT provides several benefits to stock markets.

These traders typically buy and sell assets at prices very close to the market price, which means they don’t charge investors high fees. This helps ensure that there are always buyers and sellers in the market, which in turn helps to stabilize prices and reduce the potential for sudden price swings.

High-frequency trading can also help to reduce the impact of market inefficiencies by quickly identifying and exploiting mispricing in the market. For example, HFT algorithms can detect when a particular stock is undervalued or overvalued and execute trades to take advantage of these discrepancies. By doing so, this kind of trading can help to correct market inefficiencies and ensure that assets are priced more accurately.

Stock exchanges used to be packed with traders buying and selling securities, as in this scene from 1983. Today’s trading floors are increasingly empty as AI-powered computers handle more and more of the work.

The Downsides

But speed and efficiency can also cause harm.

HFT algorithms can react so quickly to news events and other market signals that they can cause sudden spikes or drops in asset prices.

Additionally, HFT financial firms are able to use their speed and technology to gain an unfair advantage over other traders, further distorting market signals. The volatility created by these extremely sophisticated AI-powered trading beasts led to the so-called flash crash in May 2010, when stocks plunged and then recovered in a matter of minutes – erasing and then restoring about $1 trillion in market value.

Since then, volatile markets have become the new normal. In 2016 research, two co-authors and I found that volatility – a measure of how rapidly and unpredictably prices move up and down – increased significantly after the introduction of HFT.

The speed and efficiency with which high-frequency traders analyze the data mean that even a small change in market conditions can trigger a large number of trades, leading to sudden price swings and increased volatility.

In addition, research I published with several other colleagues in 2021 shows that most high-frequency traders use similar algorithms, which increases the risk of market failure. That’s because as the number of these traders increases in the marketplace, the similarity in these algorithms can lead to similar trading decisions.

This means that all of the high-frequency traders might trade on the same side of the market if their algorithms release similar trading signals. That is, they all might try to sell in case of negative news or buy in case of positive news. If there is no one to take the other side of the trade, markets can fail.

Enter ChatGPT

That brings us to a new world of ChatGPT-powered trading algorithms and similar programs. They could take the problem of too many traders on the same side of a deal and make it even worse.

In general, humans, left to their own devices, will tend to make a diverse range of decisions. But if everyone’s deriving their decisions from a similar artificial intelligence, this can limit the diversity of opinion.

Consider an extreme, nonfinancial situation in which everyone depends on ChatGPT to decide on the best computer to buy. Consumers are already very prone to herding behavior, in which they tend to buy the same products and models. For example, reviews on Yelp, Amazon and so on motivate consumers to pick among a few top choices.

Since decisions made by the generative AI-powered chatbot are based on past training data, there would be a similarity in the decisions suggested by the chatbot. It is highly likely that ChatGPT would suggest the same brand and model to everyone. This might take herding to a whole new level and could lead to shortages in certain products and service as well as severe price spikes.

This becomes more problematic when the AI making the decisions is informed by biased and incorrect information. AI algorithms can reinforce existing biases when systems are trained on biased, old or limited data sets. And ChatGPT and similar tools have been criticized for making factual errors.

In addition, since market crashes are relatively rare, there isn’t much data on them. Since generative AIs depend on data training to learn, their lack of knowledge about them could make them more likely to happen.

For now, at least, it seems most banks won’t be allowing their employees to take advantage of ChatGPT and similar tools. Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and several other lenders have already banned their use on trading-room floors, citing privacy concerns.

But I strongly believe banks will eventually embrace generative AI, once they resolve concerns they have with it. The potential gains are too significant to pass up – and there’s a risk of being left behind by rivals.

But the risks to financial markets, the global economy and everyone are also great, so I hope they tread carefully.

The Russell Reconstitution Preliminary List

Posted on May 18, 2023May 18, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

The New Russell Indexes Unconfirmed Versions – How Investors Use Them

The preliminary list of stocks to be included in the Russell Reconstitution, and also which Russell Index, is a huge day for many stock investors and the impacted companies as well. This year, it occurs on Friday, May 19. The list, although preliminary and subject to refinements each Friday through June, includes the stocks that are believed to meet the requirements based on valuations taken on April 28. This is the first official file from the popular index provider, in addition to informing the investor public what to expect when the indexes are reconstituted. The reconstitution can be expected to impact prices as index fund managers readjust holdings. The event also, for many, redefines market-cap levels that are considered small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap.

Background

The Russell Reconstitution is an annual event that reconfigures the membership of the Russell indexes by defining the top 3000 stocks based on market-cap (Russell 3000), then the top 1000 stocks (Russell 1000), and reclassifying the smaller 2000 stocks to form the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index. These serve as a benchmark for many institutional investors, as the indexes reflect the performance of the U.S. equity market across different market-cap classifications. The reconstitution process adds, removes, and weights stocks to ensure the indexes accurately represent the market.

The Preliminary List which will be published after the market closes on May 19, 2023, is a crucial step in the market cap reclassification process. It provides market participants with an initial glimpse into potential additions and deletions from the indexes. The stocks listed on this preliminary roster may experience increased attention from investors, as it hints at potential buying or selling pressure once the final reconstitution is completed.

The newly reconstituted indexes become live after the market close on June 23.

Implications for Investors

The release of the Russell Preliminary List on May 19 could provide opportunities for investors, including:

Enhanced Market Visibility – Companies listed on the Preliminary List may experience increased trading volumes and heightened market popularity, or even scrutiny, as investors evaluate their potential inclusion in the Russell indexes.

Potential Price Movements – Stocks slated for addition or deletion from the indexes can experience price volatility as market participants adjust their positions to align with the anticipated reconstitution changes.

Portfolio Adjustments – Active managers who track the Russell indexes may need to realign their portfolios to reflect the new index constituents, potentially triggering buying or selling activity in affected stocks.

Investor Considerations

Stock market participants should consider the following factors when analyzing the Preliminary List and its potential impact:

Final Reconstitution – The Preliminary List is subject to changes in the final reconstitution, which is typically announced in late June. Investors should monitor subsequent updates to confirm the actual index membership changes. These updates may occur as the result of faulty data or dramatic changes to the company such as a merger since the April 28 market cap snapshot.

Fundamental Analysis – As always, the fundamentals and financial health of the companies should be among the most important factors for non-index investors to consider. In the past, potential additions often presented attractive investment opportunities, while potential deletions may mean the stock gets less attention from investors.

Take Away

The release of the Preliminary List on May 19, 2023, marks a significant milestone in the Russell Reconstitution process. Investors should pay close attention to the stocks listed, as they may experience increased market visibility and potential price movements. However, it is important to remember that the Preliminary List is subject to changes. Thorough fundamental analysis, including earnings, potential growth, and liquidity assessment, is prudent for most stock investments. For information to evaluate small-cap names, look to Channelchek as a source of data on over 6,000 small cap companies.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://research.ftserussell.com/products/downloads/FTSE_FAQ_Document_Russell_US_Equity_2023.pdf

Release – Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. Announces $175 million Upsize and Extension of its Credit Facility

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on EGLE

May 17, 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT

PDF Version

STAMFORD, Conn., May 17, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (NYSE: EGLE) (“Eagle Bulk”, “Eagle”, or the “Company”), one of the world’s largest owner-operators within the midsize drybulk vessel segment, today announced that it has entered into an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement which provides for an increased borrowing capacity of $175 million, a reduction in margin, and an extension in maturity by two years.

The senior secured Amended Credit Facility (the “Facility”) totals $485 million, comprised of a $300 million term loan and a $185 million revolving credit facility, and bears an interest rate of Adjusted Term SOFR plus a margin of between 2.05% and 2.75%, depending on leverage and the Company meeting certain sustainability-linked criteria. The term loan will continue to amortize at a rate of $12.5 million per quarter, while starting in September, the availability under the revolving credit facility will reduce at a rate of $5.5 million per quarter. The Facility will mature on September 28, 2028.

As of today, $260 million remains available under the Facility, $75 million under the term loan, and $185 million under the revolving credit facility.

Eagle’s CEO, Gary Vogel, commented, “Following the recent acquisition of four modern Ultramax vessels, this financing has significantly increased our liquidity position, with cash and available borrowings now totaling over $400 million. Our enhanced liquidity profile positions us well to continue to take advantage of opportunities and create value for our stakeholders, including the potential retirement of our convertible bond which matures in 2024.”

Crédit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank (“Credit Agricole”), Danish Ship Finance A/S, DNB Markets Inc., Nordea Bank Abp, Filial I Norge, and Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (PUBL) acted as Lenders, Mandated Lead Arrangers, and Bookrunners. Deutsche Bank AG and ING Bank N.V., London Branch, acted as Lenders. Credit Agricole also acted as Structurer and Sustainability Coordinator and is the Facility Agent for the loan.

About Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc.

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (“Eagle” or the “Company”) is a US-based, fully integrated shipowner-operator providing global transportation solutions to a diverse group of customers including miners, producers, traders, and end users. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, with offices in Singapore and Copenhagen, Eagle focuses exclusively on the versatile midsize drybulk vessel segment and owns one of the largest fleets of Supramax / Ultramax vessels in the world. The Company performs all management services in-house (including strategic, commercial, operational, technical, and administrative) and employs an active-management approach to fleet trading with the objective of optimizing revenue performance and maximizing earnings on a risk-managed basis. For further information, please visit our website: www.eagleships.com.

Investor and Media Contact
investor@eagleships.com
+1 203 276 8100

Forward-Looking Statements

Matters discussed in this release may constitute forward-looking statements that may be deemed to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements reflect current views with respect to future events and financial performance and may include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. These statements may include words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “intend,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” and similar expressions in connection with any discussion of the timing or nature of future operating or financial performance or other events.

The forward-looking statements in this release are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, examination of historical operating trends, data contained in our records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, Eagle cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections.

Risks and uncertainties are further described in reports filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Source: Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc.

Release – Tonix Pharmaceuticals Announces Pharmacology and Medicinal Chemistry Results that Reveal the Molecular Mechanism of Action of Tianeptine, the Active Ingredient of TNX-601 ER, in Treating Depression

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on TNXP

May 17, 2023 7:00am EDT

Research Supports Direct Role for Restoring Neuroplasticity and Upsets Previously Held Beliefs About the Significance of Neurotransmitters in Treating Depression

Findings Explain Why Tianeptine Is Not Associated with Sexual Dysfunction and Weight Gain

Mechanism Supports Development of TNX-601 ER for a Broad Range of Neurodegenerative Diseases and Psychiatric Disorders

CHATHAM, N.J., May 17, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: TNXP) (Tonix or the Company), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, today announced the molecular mechanism of action of tianeptine, the active ingredient of TNX-601 ER (tianeptine hemioxalate extended-release tablets), currently in Phase 2 clinical development for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD)^*. Based on pharmacology and medicinal chemistry experiments, scientists at Tonix have established that tianeptine is an agonist for the nuclear peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR) isoforms PPAR-β/δ and PPAR-γ, and tianeptine’s effects on these PPAR isoforms account for its ability to induce neuroplasticity in cultured neurons.

The findings upset a long-held belief that the only way to restore the connectivity of neurons damaged in the state of depression was to increase the synaptic levels or activity of neurotransmitters such as the monoamines serotonin, norepinephrine, and dopamine. The new findings show that selective activation of nuclear PPAR-β/δ and PPAR-γ in neurons and supporting glia appears to be a more direct mechanism to achieve the goal of restoring neuronal connectivity, which is called neuroplasticity. Drugs that restore neuroplasticity are called plastogens.^1-3 Consequently, tianeptine is a plastogen that acts directly on nuclear receptors that regulate gene expression in neurons and microglia.

“The discovery that tianeptine stimulates neuroplasticity by activating certain PPAR isoforms could lead to a paradigm shift in designing new antidepressants, and change the relative reliance developers place on targeting synaptic neurotransmitter levels and activity,” said Stephen Stahl, M.D., Ph.D., Adjunct Professor of Psychiatry at the University of California San Diego, Chairman of Neuroscience Education Institute, author of the bestselling clinical manual, Essential Psychopharmacology Prescriber’s Guide, and consultant to Tonix. “This may lead to better pharmacological treatments for depression and for a range of neurodegenerative diseases in which neuronal connections are atrophying and the need to restore the connectivity is paramount to achieving more positive and more sustainable outcomes. Tianeptine avoids some of the more intolerable side effects of the traditional antidepressants because it cuts in line and intervenes downstream from the monoamine transporters and receptors.”

The new research provides clarity on why tianeptine does not cause sexual dysfunction, weight gain, or several other treatment-limiting toxicities associated with traditional antidepressants. Tianeptine treats depression by activating select nuclear PPAR isoforms, and has little to do with monoaminergic neurotransmitters, which are known to be implicated in the most frequently cited side effects of most marketed antidepressants. Key experiments were performed by scientists at Tonix’s Research and Development Center (RDC) in Frederick, Maryland.

“Understanding the mechanism of action of a molecule generally speeds its development and often points the way to broader clinical application,” said Seth Lederman, M.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tonix Pharmaceuticals. “Despite its success in treating depression outside of the U.S. for more than 30 years, tianeptine’s mechanism has remained obscure. Pioneering studies by Prof. Bruce McEwen, Ph.D. at Rockefeller University revealed that tianeptine stimulates stress-atrophied neurons to form new connections.¹ Subsequently, Prof. Ronald Duman, Ph.D. at Yale University discovered that enhancing these connections is a common principle underlying the therapeutic effects of traditional antidepressants, which only act indirectly on neuroplasticity by changing the level and activity of synaptic neurotransmitters.”⁴

“In animal models, tianeptine restores neuroplasticity and reverses stress-induced impairments through activation of select nuclear PPAR isoforms without modulating synaptic monoamine neurotransmitters,”¹ said Gregory Sullivan, M.D., Chief Medical Officer of Tonix Pharmaceuticals. “Tianeptine mimics naturally occurring polyunsaturated fatty acid in binding to PPARs.⁵ When compared to the traditional classes of antidepressants (SSRIs, tricyclics, etc.), the tianeptine sodium immediate release products available outside of the U.S. demonstrate comparable efficacy⁶ and decreased side effects including sexual dysfunction^7-9, derangement of sleep architecture¹⁰, sedating effects¹¹ despite anxiolysis, weight gain even with long term treatment¹², and cognitive impairment.”^11, ^13-15

Dr. Sullivan continued, “Regarding potential future indications beyond our current program in MDD, the proposed mechanism is consistent with the clinical effects of tianeptine in promoting cognition in Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and bipolar disorder^14,15 and motivates us to develop TNX-601 ER as a treatment for these and other conditions, in addition to our previously stated objectives to study it in posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and corticosteroid-induced cognitive dysfunction. The PPAR-β/δ target is validated by prior work on agonists treating animal models of neurodegenerative and autoimmune disease of the central nervous system.¹⁶ The PPAR-γ target is validated by prior work treating peripheral diabetes in animals and as FDA-approved drugs, and the concept that Alzheimer’s can be considered a form of diabetes that affects the CNS, or type-III diabetes.”¹⁷

Dr. Sullivan noted that the new Tonix findings about tianeptine’s mechanism dispel the notion that tianeptine’s weak µ-opioid receptor activity was central to its mechanism of treating depression.¹⁸ This hypothesis was proposed based on results in the forced swim test (FST) using high-dose tianeptine in mice.¹⁹ “Our work found no connection between tianeptine’s neuroplastic effects on cultured neurons and its weak µ-opioid receptor agonism,” Dr. Sullivan said. “In fact, we have identified a new chemical entity related to tianeptine, TNX-4300, that restores neuroplasticity in cultured neurons and is free from µ-opioid receptor activity.”

Tonix is planning to submit data supporting tianeptine’s mechanism of action for presentation at upcoming scientific conferences and for publication in peer reviewed journals.

^* TNX-601 ER is an investigational new drug and is not approved for any indication
¹ McEwen, BS, et al. Mol. Psychiatry 2010, 15 (3), 237–249.
² Olson DE. J Exp Neurosci. 2018, 19;12:1179069518800508.
³ Cooper T, et al. J Psychopharmacol. 2023, 37(3):242-247.
⁴ Price RB, Duman R. Mol Psychiatry 2020, 25 (3), 530-543.
⁵Helmstädter M et al. Int J Mol Sci. 2022, 23(17):10070.
⁶Wagstaff AJ, et al. CNS Drugs 2001, 15 (3), 231-59.
⁷Bonierbale M, et al. Curr Med Res Opin 2003, 19 (2), 114-124
⁸Ducrocq F. Encephale 1999, 25 (5), 515-6. French.
⁹Atmaca M, et al. Hum Psychopharmacol 2003, 18 (4), 277-80.
¹⁰ Le Bon O. Dialogues Clin Neurosci 2005, 7 (4), 305-13.
¹¹Yoon JS, et al. Clin Psychopharmacol Neurosci 2003, 1, 27-34.
¹²Dalery J, et al. Hum Psychopharmacol 2001, 16 (S1), S39-S47.
¹³Jeon HJ, et al. J Clin Psychopharmacol 2014, 34 (2), 218-25.
¹⁴García-Alberca JM, et al. J Alzheimer’s Dis 2022, 88 (2), 707-720.
¹⁵Kauer-Sant’Anna M, et al. J Psychopharmacol 2019, 33 (4), 502-510.
¹⁶Kahremany S et al. Br J Pharmacol 2015, 172(3):754-70
¹⁷ Nguyen et al., Int J Mol Sci. 2010, 21(9):3165
¹⁸ Samuels BA, et al. Neuropsychopharmacol 2017, 42 (10), 2052-2063.
¹⁹ Reardon S. Nature 2019, 571 (7766), 456-457.

About Depression

According to the National Institute of Mental Health, an estimated 21 million adults in the U.S. in 2020 experienced at least one major depressive episode¹, with highest prevalence among individuals aged 18-25 at a rate of 17.0%. For approximately 2.5 million adults in the U.S., adjunctive therapies are necessary for depression treatment.^2,3 Depression is a condition characterized by symptoms such as a depressed mood or loss of interest or pleasure in daily activities most of the time for two weeks or more, accompanied by appetite changes, sleep disturbances, motor restlessness or retardation, loss of energy, feelings of worthlessness or excessive guilt, poor concentration, and suicidal thoughts and behaviors. These symptoms cause clinically significant distress or impairment in social, occupational, or other important areas of functioning. The majority of people who suffer from depression do not respond adequately to initial antidepressant therapy.⁴

¹ Data Courtesy of SAMHSA on Past Year Prevalence of Major Depressive Episode Among U.S. Adults 2020. Retrieved from http://www.nimh.nih.gov/health/statistics/major-depression.shtml
² IMS NSP, NPA, NDTI MAT-24-month data through Aug 2017.
³ Kubitz N, et al. PLoS One 2013, 8 (10), e76882.
⁴ Rush AJ, et al. Am J. Psychiatry 2007, 163 (11), 1905-1917.

About TNX-601 ER

TNX-601 ER (tianeptine hemioxalate extended-release tablets) is a novel oral formulation of tianeptine designed for once-daily daytime dosing in development as a candidate for the treatment for MDD, posttraumatic stress disorder, and neurocognitive dysfunction associated with corticosteroid use. Tianeptine sodium (amorphous) immediate release (dosed 3 times daily) was first marketed for depression in France in 1989 and has been available for decades in Europe, Russia, Asia, and Latin America for the treatment of depression. Tianeptine sodium has an established safety profile from decades of use in these jurisdictions. Currently no tianeptine-containing is product approved in the U.S. and no extended-release tianeptine product is approved in any jurisdiction. Tonix discovered a novel oxalate salt of tianeptine that may provide improved stability, consistency, and manufacturability compared to known salt forms of tianeptine. In animal models, tianeptine restores dendritic arborization of pyramidal neurons in the CA3 region of hippocampus and in the dentate gyrus region promotes new neuron formation and integration into hippocampal networks.¹ Tianeptine’s enhancement of neuroplasticity in animal models of stress is believed to be mediated by activation of PPAR isoforms PPAR-β/δ and PPAR-γ, which makes TNX-601 ER’s properties distinct from traditional monoaminergic antidepressants in the U.S. and contributes to its potential for clinical indications beyond MDD and stress disorders. Tianeptine and its MC5 metabolite are also weak mu-opioid receptor (MOR) agonists that present a potential abuse liability if illicitly misused in large quantities (typically abused at 8-80 times the therapeutic dose on a daily basis²). In patients who were prescribed tianeptine for depression, the French Transparency Committee found an incidence of misuse of approximately 1 case per 1,000 patients treated³ suggesting low abuse liability when used at the antidepressant dose in patients prescribed tianeptine for depression. Clinical trials have shown that cessation of a therapeutic course of tianeptine does not appear to result in dependence or withdrawal symptoms following 6-weeks^4-8, 3-months⁹, or 12-months¹⁰ of treatment. The ER formulation of TNX-601 includes several potentially abuse deterrent ingredients include gel forming polymers which impede extraction. In addition, the tablet’s hardness makes it difficult to crush, cut or grind to fine particle size, which potentially hinders efforts to misuse by insufflation or intravenous routes. Tianeptine’s reported pro-cognitive and anxiolytic effects as well as its ability to attenuate the neuropathological effects of excessive stress responses suggest that it may also be used to treat posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and neurocognitive dysfunction associated with corticosteroid use. TNX-601 ER is expected to have patent protection through 2037.

¹ McEwen, B. S., et al. Mol. Psychiatry 2010, 15 (3), 237–249.
² Lauhan, R., et al. Psychosomatics 2018, 59 (6), 547–53.
³ Haute Authorite de Sante; Transparency Committee Opinion. Stablon 12.5 Mg, Coated Tablet, Re- Assessment of Actual Benefit at the Request of the Transparency Committee. December 5, 2012.
⁴ Emsley, R., et al. J. Clin. Psychiatry 2018, 79 (4)
⁵ Bonierbale M, et al. Curr Med Res Opin 2003, 19(2):114-124.
⁶ Guelfi, J. D., et al. Neuropsychobiology 1989, 22 (1), 41–48.
⁷ Invernizzi, G. et al., Neuropsychobiology 1994, 30 (2–3), 85–93.
⁸ Lepine, J. P., et al. Hum. Psychopharmacol. 2001, 16 (3), 219–227.
⁹ Guelfi, J. D. et al., Neuropsychobiology 1992, 25 (3), 140–148.
¹⁰ Lôo, H. et al., Br. J. Psychiatry. Suppl. 1992, 15, 61–65.

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. ^*

*All of Tonix’s product candidates are investigational new drugs or biologics and have not been approved for any indication.

This press release and further information about Tonix can be found at www.tonixpharma.com.

Forward Looking Statements

Contacts

Jessica Morris (corporate)
Tonix Pharmaceuticals
investor.relations@tonixpharma.com
(862) 904-8182

Maddie Stabinski (media)
Russo Partners
Madeline.Stabinski@russopartnersllc.com
(212) 845-4273

Peter Vozzo (investors)
Westwicke/ICR
peter.vozzo@westwicke.com
(443) 213-0505

Source: Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.

Released May 17, 2023

Schwazze (SHWZ) – Reports First Quarter Results

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Schwazze (OTCQX:SHWZ, NEO:SHWZ) is building a premier vertically integrated regional cannabis company with assets in Colorado and New Mexico and will continue to take its operating system to other states where it can develop a differentiated regional leadership position. Schwazze is the parent company of a portfolio of leading cannabis businesses and brands spanning seed to sale. The Company is committed to unlocking the full potential of the cannabis plant to improve the human condition. Schwazze is anchored by a high-performance culture that combines customer-centric thinking and data science to test, measure, and drive decisions and outcomes. The Company’s leadership team has deep expertise in retailing, wholesaling, and building consumer brands at Fortune 500 companies as well as in the cannabis sector. Schwazze is passionate about making a difference in our communities, promoting diversity and inclusion, and doing our part to incorporate climate-conscious best practices.

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

1Q Results. Schwazze reported revenue of $40 million, an increase from last year’s $31.8 million. We had estimated revenue of $41.5 million. Schwazze reported net income, before preferred dividends, of $1.7 million, compared to a loss of $26.8 million last year. After preferred dividends, net loss was $283,965, or a loss of $0.01/sh, versus a loss of $28.5 million, or a loss of $0.61/sh, last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $14.5 million, or a margin of 36.3%, compared to $7.9 million, or 24.7%, last year.

Retail Solid, Wholesale Taking Baby Steps. Retail sales rose 35% to $35.8 million. In the Colorado wholesale market, flower pricing remains compressed but has begun to show signs of stability. Quarter-over-quarter wholesale sales grew 29% from $3.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2022 to $4.1 million in the first quarter of this year.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) – Refinancing Completed; A Sale/Leaseback of Equipment

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Refinancing. Yesterday, as widely expected, Orion closed on its debt refinancing. The new 3-year $103 million senior secured asset based credit facility with White Oak ABL, LLC and White Oak Commercial Finance, LLC consists of a $65 million asset based revolving credit facility and a $38 million fixed asset term loan. The new credit facility replaces the Company’s previous $42.5 million revolver.

Terms. The Revolver will initially bear interest at a rate of the 30-day SOFR plus 5.5% and the Term Loan at a rate of the 30-day SOFR plus 8.0%, subject to a SOFR floor of 4.0%. At a current 4.91% SOFR rate, this implies rates of approximately 10.4% and 12.9%. Orion was paying 10.2% on its previous credit line. At closing, the Company made an initial Revolver draw of $9.5 million.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Euroseas (ESEA) – Euroseas largely booked out, but is still a play on rising rates because of newbuilds

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Euroseas Ltd. was formed on May 5, 2005 under the laws of the Republic of the Marshall Islands to consolidate the ship owning interests of the Pittas family of Athens, Greece, which has been in the shipping business over the past 140 years. Euroseas trades on the NASDAQ Capital Market under the ticker ESEA. Euroseas operates in the container shipping market. Euroseas’ operations are managed by Eurobulk Ltd., an ISO 9001:2008 and ISO 14001:2004 certified affiliated ship management company, which is responsible for the day-to-day commercial and technical management and operations of the vessels. Euroseas employs its vessels on spot and period charters and through pool arrangements.

Michael Heim, Senior Vice President, Equity Research Analyst, Energy & Transportation, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

First-quarter results largely as expected. Financial results continue to suffer the effects of a sharp decline in TCE rates over the last twelve months. While Euroseas has locked in 91% of remaining shipping days in 2023, those rates eventually roll off and get replaced with lower rates. The Aegean Express ended a contract at $41,000/day, which was replaced by a rate of $13,000/day. Four other ships with rates in the high $20,000’s/day will roll off in the second half of the year.

Shipping rates are improving and could go higher. Shipping rates appear to have bottomed out in February. Current rates for 1,700 TEU and 2,500 TEU ships have risen to $16,800/day and $18,750/day, respectively, returning to a point above the ten-year trailing average and Euroseas’ breakeven cash operating point. We believe rates will move even higher should global economic concerns abate and the war in Ukraine comes to an end.

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This Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Blackboxstocks (BLBX) – First Quarter Results Released

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by cpereira@noblefcm.com

Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Blackboxstocks, Inc. is a financial technology and social media hybrid platform offering real-time proprietary analytics and news for stock and options traders of all levels. Our web-based software employs “predictive technology” enhanced by artificial intelligence to find volatility and unusual market activity that may result in the rapid change in the price of a stock or option. Blackbox continuously scans the NASDAQ, New York Stock Exchange, CBOE, and all other options markets, analyzing over 10,000 stocks and up to 1,500,000 options contracts multiple times per second. We provide our users with a fully interactive social media platform that is integrated into our dashboard, enabling our users to exchange information and ideas quickly and efficiently through a common network. We recently introduced a live audio/video feature that allows our members to broadcast on their own channels to share trade strategies and market insight within the Blackbox community. Blackbox is a SaaS company with a growing base of users that spans 42 countries; current subscription fees are $99.97 per month or $959.00 annually. For more information, go to: www.blackboxstocks.com .

Joe Gomes, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Generalist , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Joshua Zoepfel, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Results. Blackboxstocks generated revenue of $859,004 compared to $1.3 million in the prior year. Operating loss was at $1.9 million compared to a loss of $1.0 million last year. Net loss for the Company was at $1.9 million compared to a loss of $1.2 million in the previous year. The Company believes that the revenue decline has been stabilized, due to the release of the Blackbox 2.0 platform in March.

A Continued Trend. The volatility of the stock market along with inflation, higher interest rates, and ever-looming recession fears have continued to impact the Company’s performance. It is shown with the average member count, as it decreased to 3,555 in the first quarter from 5,709 in the prior year quarter and 4,607 in the previous quarter.

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This Company Sponsored Research is provided by Noble Capital Markets, Inc., a FINRA and S.E.C. registered broker-dealer (B/D).

Is Your Bank Prepared for a US Debt Default?

Posted on May 17, 2023May 18, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

War Rooms and Bailouts: How Banks and the Fed are Preparing for a US Default – and the Chaos Expected to Follow

When you are the CEO responsible for a bank and all the related depositors and investors, you don’t take an “it’ll never happen” approach to the possibility of a U.S. debt default. The odds are it won’t happen, but if it does, being unprepared would be devastating. Banks of all sizes are getting their doomsday plans in place, and other industries are as well, but big banks, on many fronts would be most directly impacted. The following is an informative article on how banks are preparing. It’s authored by John W. Diamond the Director of the Center for Public Finance at the Baker Institute, Rice University, and republished with permission from The Conversation. – Paul Hoffman, Managing Editor, Channelchek

Convening war rooms, planning speedy bailouts and raising house-on-fire alarm bells: Those are a few of the ways the biggest banks and financial regulators are preparing for a potential default on U.S. debt.

“You hope it doesn’t happen, but hope is not a strategy – so you prepare for it,” Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, the nation’s second-biggest lender, said in a television interview.

The doomsday planning is a reaction to a lack of progress in talks between President Joe Biden and House Republicans over raising the US$31.4 trillion debt ceiling – another round of negotiations took place on May 16, 2023. Without an increase in the debt limit, the U.S. can’t borrow more money to cover its bills – all of which have already been agreed to by Congress – and in practical terms that means a default.

What happens if a default occurs is an open question, but economists – including me – generally expect financial chaos as access to credit dries up and borrowing costs rise quickly for companies and consumers. A severe and prolonged global economic recession would be all but guaranteed, and the reputation of the U.S. and the dollar as beacons of stability and safety would be further tarnished.

But how do you prepare for an event that many expect would trigger the worst global recession since the 1930s?

Preparing for Panic

Jamie Dimon, who runs JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank, told Bloomberg he’s been convening a weekly war room to discuss a potential default and how the bank should respond. The meetings are likely to become more frequent as June 1 – the date on which the U.S. might run out of cash – nears.

Dimon described the wide range of economic and financial effects that the group must consider such as the impact on “contracts, collateral, clearing houses, clients” – basically every corner of the financial system – at home and abroad.

“I don’t think it’s going to happen — because it gets catastrophic, and the closer you get to it, you will have panic,” he said.

That’s when rational decision-making gives way to fear and irrationality. Markets overtaken by these emotions are chaotic and leave lasting economic scars.

Banks haven’t revealed many of the details of how they are responding, but we can glean some clues from how they’ve reacted to past crises, such as the financial crisis in 2008 or the debt ceiling showdowns of 2011 and 2013.

One important way banks can prepare is by reducing exposure to Treasury securities – some or all of which could be considered to be in default once the U.S. exhausts its ability to pay all of its bill. All U.S. debts are referred to as Treasury bills or bonds.

The value of Treasurys is likely to plunge in the case of a default, which could weaken bank balance sheets even more. The recent bank crisis, in fact, was prompted primarily by a drop in the market value of Treasurys due to the sharp rise in interest rates over the past year. And a default would only make that problem worse, with close to 190 banks at risk of failure as of March 2023.

Another strategy banks can use to hedge their exposure to a sell-off in Treasurys is to buy credit default swaps, financial instruments that allow an investor to offset credit risk. Data suggests this is already happening, as the cost to protect U.S. government debt from default is higher than that of Brazil, Greece and Mexico, all of which have defaulted multiple times and have much lower credit ratings.

But buying credit default swaps at ever-higher prices limits a third key preventive measure for banks: keeping their cash balances as high as possible so they’re able and ready to deal with whatever happens in a default.

Keeping the Financial Plumbing Working

Financial industry groups and financial regulators have also gamed out a potential default with an eye toward keeping the financial system running as best they can.

The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, for example, has been updating its playbook to dictate how players in the Treasurys market will communicate in case of a default.

And the Federal Reserve, which is broadly responsible for ensuring financial stability, has been pondering a U.S. default for over a decade. One such instance came in 2013, when Republicans demanded the elimination of the Affordable Care Act in exchange for raising the debt ceiling. Ultimately, Republicans capitulated and raised the limit one day before the U.S. was expected to run out of cash.

One of the biggest concerns Fed officials had at the time, according to a meeting transcript recently made public, is that the U.S. Treasury would no longer be able to access financial markets to “roll over” maturing debt. While hitting the current ceiling prevents the U.S. from issuing new debt that exceeds $31.4 trillion, the government still has to roll existing debt into new debt as it comes due. On May 15, 2023, for example, the government issued just under $100 billion in notes and bonds to replace maturing debt and raise cash.

The risk is that there would be too few buyers at one of the government’s daily debt auctions – at which investors from around the world bid to buy Treasury bills and bonds. If that happens, the government would have to use its cash on hand to pay back investors who hold maturing debt.

That would further reduce the amount of cash available for Social Security payments, federal employees wages and countless other items the government spent over $6 trillion on in 2022. This would be nothing short of apocalyptic if the Fed could not save the day.

To mitigate that risk, the Fed said it could immediately step in as a buyer of last resort for Treasurys, quickly lower its lending rates and provide whatever funding is needed in an attempt to prevent financial contagion and collapse. The Fed is likely having the same conversations and preparing similar actions today.

A Self-Imposed Catastrophe

Ultimately, I hope that Congress does what it has done in every previous debt ceiling scare: raise the limit.

These contentious debates over lifting it have become too commonplace, even as lawmakers on both sides of the aisle express concerns about the growing federal debt and the need to rein in government spending. Even when these debates result in some bipartisan effort to rein in spending, as they did in 2011, history shows they fail, as energy analyst Autumn Engebretson and I recently explained in a review of that episode.

That’s why one of the most important ways banks are preparing for such an outcome is by speaking out about the serious damage not raising the ceiling is likely to inflict on not only their companies but everyone else, too. This increases the pressure on political leaders to reach a deal.

Going back to my original question, how do you prepare for such a self-imposed catastrophe? The answer is, no one should have to.

Newcrest Mining Just Agreed to Be Acquired by Newmont, Who’s Next?

Posted on May 17, 2023May 17, 2023 by phoffman@channelchek.com

Is Further Consolidation in the Mining Sector Expected?

Two of the world’s leading gold producers have agreed to merge. In a press release this week, Newmont Mining (NEM) said it entered into a definitive agreement to acquire 100% of shares of Newcrest Mining (NCMGY). The deal represents a 30.4% premium to Newcrest stockholders above the price when Newmont first made an offer in February. While this is a huge deal that will greatly expand the world’s largest gold-producing company, investors are seeing possible opportunities in smaller mining companies. It’s likely some are quietly being targeted in 2023 for a number of important reasons. Investors interested in this industry may want to familiarize themselves with the current dynamics.

About the Newmont Newcrest Deal

Newmont, the world’s largest gold producer, is solidly moving toward becoming much larger after the board of takeover target Newcrest Mining unanimously agreed to recommend the merger bid to shareholders. Newmont projections indicate the combined entity could create annual production of 8Moz of gold and 155k tonnes of copper.

The merged company would easily control world-leading gold stocks. Newmont is also set to become a significant copper producer, with current and expected developments to provide significant production upside in the coming years, including the world-class Wafi-Golpu copper-gold project in Papua New Guinea.

Takeover Details

After rejecting Newmont’s initial February 2023 offer, the Newcrest board today elected to accept the significantly upgraded April revised proposal. The deal carries an implied equity value of US$26.2 billion and enterprise value for Newcrest of US$28.8 billion.

Current Newcrest shareholders will have 31% ownership of the combined group.

According to Newcrest’s chairman, Peter Tomsett, the transaction will combine two of the world’s leading gold producers, bringing forward significant value to Newcrest shareholders through the recognition of the company growth pipeline.

Will the Merger Trend Continue?

Higher metals prices and increased demand brought on by changing energy production and storage, post-pandemic demand, and commodities investing in an uncertain global economy have caused a number of deals in this sector already this year.

The primary reasons to expect more consolidation within the mining sector are growing.

The chart above created by the CRU Group shows how fragmented gold mining is relative to other metals. The top 10 largest gold miners only produce 28% of all output. Gold prices have been rising fairly steadily but spending on exploration has been stalled. Growth to create shareholder value, would most efficiently and expediently be achieved by merger and acquisition (M&A). In the current environment, buyouts of active producers with known reserves are the alternative way for larger miners to to increase their production share, replenish depleting gold reserves and… lower production costs through with far less risk and in a shorter time period.

More Reasons to Own Mining Companies

World demand has been heightened for gold, copper, and other minerals used to store or distribute electricity. This dynamic which has been trending upward in recent years, is likely to push other financially strong mining companies, that want to satisfy new production demand now rather than through exploration and long, uncertain bureaucratic approval processes will shop for producers to increase production and grow to serve shareholders. Smaller companies that find themselves the target of an acquisition, also have a duty to serve shareholders. Often this plays out by the target company negotiating terms that are similar to the 30% gain seen in the Newmont/Newcrest deal.

What Else

Informed stock selection is key to discovering and deciding whether to invest in companies best positioned to benefit from a sector experiencing growing demand where acquisitions, in full or in part, fulfill larger company goals.

Where does an investor start to better understanding the mining sector and individual companies? Earlier this year The Channelchek Take Away Series brought to viewers a live in-depth presentation of 12 mining companies that were just coming off the huge PDAC mining conference in Canada. These presentations are available on video to be replayed – they may be the best place to begin hearing from mining company executives and a highly respected senior natural resources analyst. Click here to get started. Then visit Channelchek’s Natural Resources data of the many other companies available to discover for even more interesting, actionable opportunities.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.newmont.com/investors/news-release/news-details/2023/Newmont-Enters-into-Definitive-Agreement-to-Acquire-Newcrest/default.aspx

https://im-mining.com/category/mining-mergers-and-acquisitions/

https://www.crugroup.com/knowledge-and-insights/insights/2023/gold-sector-consolidation-has-a-long-way-to-go/

Release – Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Announces Closing of $103 Million Senior Secured Credit Facility and $13 Million Equipment Sale-Leaseback

Posted on May 16, 2023May 16, 2023 by aweinsoff@channelchek.com

Research News and Market Data on ORN

May 16, 2023

HOUSTON, May 16, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ORN) (the “Company”), a leading specialty construction company, today announced the closing of a new 3-year $103 million senior secured asset based credit facility with White Oak ABL, LLC and White Oak Commercial Finance, LLC, which are the asset based lending affiliates of White Oak Global Advisors, LLC, (collectively, “White Oak”). This credit facility has replaced the Company’s $42.5 million revolver with Regions Bank and other lenders. At the same time, the Company entered into a $13 million sale-leaseback of certain concrete segment equipment with Gordon Brothers (the “Sale-Leaseback”).

The new credit facility includes a $65 million asset based revolving credit facility (the “Revolver”) and a $38 million fixed asset term loan (the “Term Loan”). The Revolver will initially bear interest at a rate of the 30-day SOFR plus 5.5% and the Term Loan at a rate of the 30-day SOFR plus 8.0%, subject to a SOFR floor of 4.0%. At closing, the Company made an initial Revolver draw of $9.5 million. Borrowings from the facility will primarily be used to refinance existing debt as well as for other general corporate and working capital purposes. The Sale-Leaseback includes equipment on lease schedules of 24-months and 36-months.

“This new credit facility and $13 million Sale-Leaseback provide increased financial flexibility and additional capital to take advantage of our growth opportunities. We are now well positioned to execute our strategic plan and deliver improved financial results to our stakeholders,” said Travis Boone, Orion’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “White Oak has been a collaborative partner and we appreciate their support and strong vote of confidence.”

Tom Otte, Head of White Oak ABL, LLC added, “We are very impressed with Orion’s new management and their strategy to unlock the embedded value of the company. Orion’s recent major wins like the Pearl Harbor project for the Navy strengthened our conviction that White Oak is the right financing partner to help Orion fulfill its growth potential.”

About Orion Group Holdings

Orion Group Holdings, Inc., a leading specialty construction company serving the infrastructure, industrial and building sectors, provides services both on and off the water in the continental United States, Alaska, Hawaii, Canada and the Caribbean Basin through its marine segment and its concrete segment. The Company’s marine segment provides construction and dredging services relating to marine transportation facility construction, marine pipeline construction, marine environmental structures, dredging of waterways, channels and ports, environmental dredging, design, and specialty services. Its concrete segment provides turnkey concrete construction services including place and finish, site prep, layout, forming, and rebar placement for large commercial, structural and other associated business areas. The Company is headquartered in Houston, Texas with regional offices throughout its operating areas. https://www.oriongroupholdingsinc.com.

About White Oak Global Advisors

White Oak Global Advisors, LLC (“WOGA”) is a leading alternative debt manager specializing in originating and providing financing solutions to support small and middle market enterprises at every stage of their lifecycle. WOGA and its financing affiliates optimize capital structure based on available assets and cash flow and provide over twenty lending products to the market that include term, asset-based, and equipment loans. Since its inception in 2007, WOGA and its affiliates have deployed over $10 billion across its product lines, utilizing a hands-on, disciplined investment process that focuses on delivering risk-adjusted investment returns to investors, while establishing long-term partnerships with its borrowers. More information can be found at www.whiteoaksf.com.

About White Oak Commercial Finance

White Oak Commercial Finance, LLC (WOCF) is a global financial products and services company providing credit facilities to companies across the economy. WOCF’s solutions include asset-based lending, full-service factoring, invoice discounting, government contract financing, lender financing, supply chain financing, inventory financing, US import/export financing, trade credit risk management, account receivables management and credit and collections support. The firm has offices and personnel throughout the US, UK, and Australia, including San Francisco, Charlotte, Washington D.C., Atlanta, Los Angeles, London, Glasgow, and Sydney. WOCF is an affiliate of White Oak Global Advisors, LLC and its institutional clients. More information can be found at www.whiteoaksf.com/commercialfinance.

Forward-Looking Statements

The matters discussed in this press release may constitute or include projections or other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Exchange Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, of which provisions the Company is availing itself. Certain forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, such as ‘believes’, ‘expects’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘could’, ‘should’, ‘seeks’, ‘approximately’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘estimates’, or ‘anticipates’, or the negative thereof or other comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, intentions, estimates, forecasts, outlook, assumptions, or goals. In particular, statements regarding future operations or results, including those set forth in this press release, and any other statement, express or implied, concerning future operating results or the future generation of or ability to generate revenues, income, net income, gross profit, EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, or cash flow, including to service debt, and including any estimates, forecasts or assumptions regarding future revenues or revenue growth, and our ability to negotiate and obtain the refinancing of our credit facility, the terms, restrictions, and covenants of our refinancing, and the timing of such refinancing, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also include project award announcements, estimated project start dates, anticipated revenues, and contract options which may or may not be awarded in the future. Forward-looking statements involve risks, including those associated with the Company’s fixed price contracts that impacts profits, unforeseen productivity delays that may alter the final profitability of the contract, cancellation of the contract by the customer for unforeseen reasons, delays or decreases in funding by the customer, levels and predictability of government funding or other governmental budgetary constraints, the effects of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, and any potential contract options which may or may not be awarded in the future, and are at the sole discretion of award by the customer. Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future results. In light of these and other uncertainties, the inclusion of forward-looking statements in this press release should not be regarded as a representation by the Company that the Company’s plans, estimates, forecasts, goals, intentions, or objectives will be achieved or realized. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. The Company assumes no obligation to update information contained in this press release whether as a result of new developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Please refer to the Company’s 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed on March 16, 2023, which is available on its website at www.oriongroupholdingsinc.com or at the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov, for additional and more detailed discussion of risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations, estimates or forecasts.

Contacts:
Financial Profiles, Inc.
Margaret Boyce 310-622-8247
Donni Case 310-622-8224
ORN@finprofiles.com